33
IIHS Michigan Traffic Safety Summit 2007 Anne T. McCartt East Lansing, MI March 14, 2007 Motorcycle Helmets: What’s the Latest Research?

IIHS Michigan Traffic Safety Summit 2007 Anne T. McCartt East Lansing, MI March 14, 2007 Motorcycle Helmets: What’s the Latest Research?

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

IIHS

Michigan Traffic Safety Summit 2007

Anne T. McCartt

East Lansing, MI March 14, 2007

Motorcycle Helmets:What’s the Latest Research?

IIHS

IIHS

Motorcycle crashesNational problem size and status

Per mile traveled, there were 34 motorcyclist deaths for every car occupant death in 2004

4,439 motorcyclists died in crashes in 2005, more than double the all-time low in 1997 and 15% higher than in 2004

Increase in deaths not fully explained by increased exposure; FHWA estimates that motorcycle registrations increased by 63% from 1997 to 2005

Per mile traveled, there were 34 motorcyclist deaths for every car occupant death in 2004

4,439 motorcyclists died in crashes in 2005, more than double the all-time low in 1997 and 15% higher than in 2004

Increase in deaths not fully explained by increased exposure; FHWA estimates that motorcycle registrations increased by 63% from 1997 to 2005

IIHS

Motorcyclist deaths By age, 1975-2005

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

1975 80 85 90 95 2000 05

30-39 years old

≤ 29 years old

40-49 years old

50+ years old

IIHS

Characteristics of crash deaths2005

MotorcyclistsPassenger

vehicle occupants

Male 90% 65%

Age 40 or older 47% 44%

Single-vehicle crash 44% 49%

Friday-Sunday 59% 50%

Of fatally injured drivers at night, BAC ≥ 0.08% 53% 58%

Fatally injured drivers with invalid licenses 25% 15%

IIHS

Driver error in crashes involving a motorcycle and a passenger vehicle 2005

Percent of motorcyclist

deaths

Passenger vehicle driver error 44

Motorcyclist error 35

Both assigned errors 11

Neither assigned errors 11

IIHS

Helmet use and alcohol-impairment among fatally injured motorcycle driversBy age, 2005

Helmeted (percent)

BAC ≥ 0.08 (percent)

younger than 30 62 19

30-39 55 35

40-49 50 37

50 and older 56 22

IIHS

Motorcyclist deathsMichigan and United States, 1975-2005

0

50

100

150

200

250

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

-500

500

1500

2500

3500

4500

5500

Michigan

US

IIHS

Motorcyclist deaths in MichiganBy age, 1975-2005

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

<30

30-39

40-49

50+

IIHS

Helmets are primary countermeasure for reducing crash-related head injuries

About half of motorcyclist deaths during 1979-1986 were attributed to head injuries (Sosin et al., 1990)

Helmets reduce risk of dying in a crash by about 40% (Deutermann, 2004; Norvell & Cummings, 2002)

In a crash, unhelmeted motorcyclists are 3 times more likely than helmeted cyclists to suffer traumatic brain injuries (NHTSA, 2005)

Advances in helmet design and materials continue to increase effectiveness

About half of motorcyclist deaths during 1979-1986 were attributed to head injuries (Sosin et al., 1990)

Helmets reduce risk of dying in a crash by about 40% (Deutermann, 2004; Norvell & Cummings, 2002)

In a crash, unhelmeted motorcyclists are 3 times more likely than helmeted cyclists to suffer traumatic brain injuries (NHTSA, 2005)

Advances in helmet design and materials continue to increase effectiveness

IIHS

Myths about helmets

Increase risk of neck injury: Many studies found that helmets reduce head injuries without increasing spinal and neck injuries (Orsay et al., 1994, 1995)

Obstruct peripheral vision: Helmets don’t reduce ability to see vehicle in adjacent lane (McKnight & McKnight, 1994)

Reduce hearing: No difference in hearing threshold with or without helmet; sounds audible above engine can be heard with helmet (McKnight & McKnight, 1994)

IIHS

International universal motorcycle helmet laws

Argentina

Australia

Brazil

Canada

India

Most countries in the European Union

Many other countries around the world

Indonesia

Japan

Malaysia

Thailand

Venezuela

IIHS

States with universal helmet laws

0

10

20

30

40

50

1966 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 2000 02 04 06

1967: Helmet laws required for states to qualify for federal highway funds

1991: Incentive grants for helmet and safety belt laws

1976: Highway Safety Act removed authority to withhold funds from

states without helmet laws

1995: Grants removed

IIHS

Wall Street JournalDecember 1, 2004

IIHS

Helmet use laws in U.S. statesJanuary 1997 compared with January 2007Helmet use laws in U.S. statesJanuary 1997

MD

DE

DC

MA

OR

RINJ

NH

ME

PA

WV

NC

SC

GA

FL

OH

MI

INIL

WI

IA

MO

LA

NM

CO

SD

ID

CA

WA

TN

VT

MS

MT ND

NV

AZ

UT

WY

NE

KS

OK

TX

AR

MN

AL

KY VA

NY

CT

AK

HI

universal law

no law or limited law

IIHS

Observed motorcycle helmet use in U.S. (percent)NHTSA

0

20

40

60

80

100

1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2005 2006

DOT-compliant

non-compliant

any helmet

IIHS

Observed motorcycle helmet use by universal helmet law status (percent)NHTSA

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1987 1989 1991

universal law

no/partial law

IIHS

Observed DOT-compliant motorcycle helmet use by universal helmet law status (percent)NHTSA

0

20

40

60

80

100

2002 2004 2006

universal lawno/partial law

IIHS

Effects of motorcycle helmet laws

Based on studies of state law changes, helmet use approaches 100% with a universal helmet law and about 50% with no law or a partial law

Motorcyclist deaths and injuries decline when helmet use is mandated and increase after laws are repealed or weakened

Based on studies of state law changes, helmet use approaches 100% with a universal helmet law and about 50% with no law or a partial law

Motorcyclist deaths and injuries decline when helmet use is mandated and increase after laws are repealed or weakened

IIHS

Percent change in motorcyclist deaths after enactment of universal helmet laws

California -37

Maryland -20

Oregon -33

Nebraska -32

Texas -23

Washington State -15

IIHS

Percent change in helmet use and motorcyclist deaths after laws were weakened

Helmet use Deaths

Arkansas -46 +21

Kentucky -32 +58

Louisiana -48 +108

Texas -32 +31

IIHS

Florida helmet law change

July 1, 2000: universal law weakened to exclude riders 21 and older with at least $10,000 in medical insurance

Secondary enforcement

Motorcyclist deaths almost doubled after law change

July 1, 2000: universal law weakened to exclude riders 21 and older with at least $10,000 in medical insurance

Secondary enforcement

Motorcyclist deaths almost doubled after law change

IIHS

IIHS study of effects of Florida helmet law change on motorcyclist deaths

Motorcycle registrations up dramatically after change

No reliable data on motorcycle miles traveled

Compared motorcyclist deaths per 1,000 crashes before law change (1998-99) versus after (2001-02)

IIHS

Observed helmet use before and after law change

Observed use of any helmet type declined from nearly 100% before law change to 53% after

Estimated DOT-compliant helmet use declined from 59% to 47%

Reliability of data on compliant vs. novelty helmet use not known

IIHS

Deaths per 1,000 crashes by vehicle type before and after law change, Florida

0

10

20

30

40

50

cars light trucks bicycles motorcycles

before

after

IIHS

Motorcyclist deaths per 1,000 crashes by rider age before and after law change, Florida

0

10

20

30

40

50

< 20 years 21-39 years 40+ years

before

after

IIHS

Motorcyclist deaths per 1,000 crashes before and after law change, Florida

Before After

Total 31 39

Single-vehicle 35 41

Multiple-vehicle 29 38

Driver 32 40

Passenger 22 35

Male 35 43

Female 14 19

IIHS

Helmet use among fatally injured motorcyclists before and after law change (percent), Florida

Before After

Total 88 39

Drivers 88 41

Passengers 92 17

Male operators 87 41

Female operators 91 37

Age < 20 72 55

Age 21-39 86 44

Age > 40 93 32

IIHS

Conclusions

Given involvement in a motorcycle crash, likelihood of death increased by 25% after law change

Increase occurred in all motorcyclist groups including riders younger than 21

117 motorcyclist deaths in 2001-02 could have been avoided if universal helmet law had been retained

IIHS

NHTSA study of Florida helmet law changePreusser Research Group

Motorcyclist deaths per 10,000 motorcycle registrations up 21% during two years after law change (2001-2002), compared to two years prior (1998-1999)

Hospital admissions from head, brain, and skull injuries increased 82% after law change.

Average cost per case of treating these injuries went from $34,518 to nearly $40,000

Less than one-quarter of treatment costs of injured motorcyclists would have been covered by $10,000 medical insurance requirement

IIHS

www.iihs.org

Anne McCartt Senior Vice-President, Research

[email protected]

IIHS

Motorcyclist deaths By age, 1975-2005

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

1975 80 85 90 95 2000 05

30-39 years old

< 29 years old

> 40 years old

IIHS

Probability of death in a motorcycle crash associated with helmet law change, age, and seating position, Florida

Odds Ratio

Operator vs. passenger 1.44

Age group (yrs)

< 20

21-39

> 40

0.75

0.94

1.00

After vs. before law change 1.25