IMCORE Project Update

SEP Joint Advisory Committee May 2011

Progress Update:

• Key areas:– Education Pack & activities– Informing Adaptation on the Estuary

• Report cards • Severn Estuary scenarios• Planning survey

– Adaptation guidelines

Education work

• Education pack (Beacons & IMCORE)– hard copies– Severn Estuary extended case

study• INTERACTIVE, WEB-BASED

• Education activities– Interactive workshops

completed– Website development

• http://www.severnestuary.net/yocco/index.html

Informing adaptation

http://www.projectseeds.com/2010_11_01_archive.html

Report cards

• Report cards for policy makers/ stakeholders– Cards on various themes (SLR; temperature,

precipitation etc.)– Additional topic under development:

• weather & storms on the Severn Estuary – Considering repacking elements of cards on

IMCORE / SEP website for easy access

• Other related work:– IMCORE support for State of Severn Estuary

report– The Severn Estuary Climate Change

Research Advisory Group (SECCRAG) options

Severn Estuary scenarios

• Views of the estuary in 2040– Based on stakeholder Autumn

workshops (Bristol & Cardiff)– Socio-economic exploratory

scenarios i.e. ‘possible futures’• Scenarios developed post

workshops– Disseminated to workshop

delegates for comment – Review & validation ongoing

• By external Experts• Cardiff University workshops

– Social & physical scientists

Planning survey

• Focused on planning & climate change for Local Planning Authorities

• Built on IMCORE planning reports

• Over 40 respondents• Identified key concerns

& possible adaptation options for planning community

IMCORE Severn adaptation guidelines• A guide to help local

government around the estuary:– understand the likely

effects of projected climate change during the 21st century

– plan appropriate responses

• Focus on planning

Tentative contents:IntroductionFuture climate change

Summary of the science Climate change impacts

Implications for key sectors

Include scenariosResponding to the impacts of

climate changePlanning tools Linking planning to other

relevant plans e.g. SMPII

Ways forwardRecommendations

Developing the guidelines: key aspects• Workshops with key local

authorities to identify key: – issues from each scenario – adaptation options for each

issue

• Consultation – Workshop– Electronic consultation with

scenario participants

• Launch at Severn Estuary Forum

The Severn Process

Exploratory Scenario issues

PlanningSurvey issues

Issues Matrix

Local Authority Workshops

CU Review of issues & adaptation options

Draft Adaptation ‘strategy’

Workshop & Consultation

Final Adaptation ‘strategy’

Guidelines review

Science workstream outputs

Thank you!

• Rhoda Ballinger BallingerRC@Cardiff.ac.uk

http://www.severnestuary.net/sep/imcore/index.html