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In Search of Lonely Top Quarks at the Tevatron Work with Matt Strassler and Matt Bowen (GS) ISMD, Sonoma, CA 7/27/04

In Search of Lonely Top Quarks at the Tevatron Work with Matt Strassler and Matt Bowen (GS) ISMD, Sonoma, CA 7/27/04

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In Search of Lonely Top Quarks at the Tevatron

Work with Matt Strassler and Matt Bowen (GS)

ISMD, Sonoma, CA 7/27/04

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 2

Outline1. What is single-top

2. Why it is worthwhile to study

3. What makes it challenging – counting is not enough!

4. Another approach – Shapes Matter!

5. Conclusions

Note: The Group in Seattle is rebuilding itself as a Particle, Field, String & Phenomenology Group: Aganagic, Ellis, Karch, Nelson, Sharpe, Strassler, Yaffe

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 3

What is single-top?Two single-top channels are classified by W momentum

t-channels-channel

The top quark was discovered in Run I through Neither single-top channel has been confirmed in Run II yet

Run I limits: t < 13.5 pb, s < 12.9 pb

qq tt

time-like

space-like

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 4

Studying single top quark production because …

• Leads to measurement of Vtb

• Background to other searches (Higgs, etc.)

t-channel,

t-channel, 1 ~ 1.98 1.96 TeVt pb s s-channel

s-channel, 1 ~ 0.88 1.96 TeVt pb s

Vtb

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 5

Plus top quark may be a special case with big payoff!!

Potential for new physics discovery

• Extra Scalar Bosons – top-color• Extra Gauge Bosons – top flavor• Extra Dimensions – 5D with gauge bosons in bulk

• Extra Generations of Quarks - will change unitarity constraints on CKM elements

• Extra couplings (Modified) – top interaction with SM particles. ex: Ztc

Affects-channel

Affectt-channel

See, for example, T. Tait hep-ph/0007298

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 6

Looking for the t-channel

1 lepton Missing Transverse

Energy (from neutrino) 1 b-tagged jet 1 non b-tagged jet (from

light quark)

b

e+

e

often not seen

Trigger on -

Similar for s-channel - extra jet from extra radiation!

jet

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 7

What else do we see?

, e.g., (last year’s signal is this year’s background); trigger particles + lots of extra activity, but symmetrical event

, e.g., where b tag is fake, or extra q’s are b’s or g becomes a heavy quark during showering/fragmentation

Pure QCD, where nearly everything (leptons and maybe b) is a fake.This is difficult to simulate, but experimentalists (I talk to) say it is small! We will ignore it here.

eug W dg e dg

tt eqq tt be bqq

Wjj

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 8

Define “Aggressive” Event Sample for Counting Experiment

Advanced Cuts: Same, except b-tagged jet PT > 60 GeV, other jet PT > 30 GeV

Mtop = invariant mass(bl): 160 GeV < Mtop < 190 GeV

HT = PTlepton+MET+ Σall jets (jet PT): 180 GeV < HT < 250 GeV (all jets PT > 20 GeV, |η| < 3.5)

Studies done with Madgraph + Pythia + PGS Detector Simulation for 3 fb-1

Basic Cuts : 1 lepton PT > 15 GeV, |η| < 2.0; MET > 15 GeV 1 b-tagged jet with PT > 20 GeV, |η| < 2.0 (at least) 1 other jet with PT > 20 GeV, |η| < 3.5

PGS jets, Rcone =0.4; R(lepton,jet) > 0.4

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 9

Aggressive Event sample in 3 fb-1, sum over + , e +

Channels Events for Basic Cuts

Advanced cuts

Systematic Uncertainty

t-channel 443 32 >15%

s-channel 192 16 >10%

W+jj 6400 136 >10%

Tt 3200 48 >10%

t

•Basic sig:bkg ratio is 1:15•Advanced sig:bkg is 1:4•Systematics prevent discovery

t

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 10

Conclude that Life is Hard!!!Contrast with the 1:2 ratio suggested by Stelzer, Sullivan and

Willenbrock (SSW), hep-ph/9807340

SSW more optimistic about the Tevatron energy and the top quark cross section than is now appropriate

SSW were more optimistic about light quark/gluon mistagging (as b) than we are –

• Mistagged at ~ 1% rate, PT > 50 GeV

• g c, b at ~ 1-2% rate during (Pythia) showering/fragmentation

comparable contributions to background rate

SSW were more optimistic about top quark mass reconstruction than we are

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 11

Look for more handles on data: symmetries, correlations and event

shapes• CP symmetry of initial state

• Kinematic asymmetry of Initial state: (asymmetric) vs (symmetric)

• In t-channel signal there is a correlation between scattered q and final lepton due to LH W vertex and carried by top quark spin (which decays before it interacts), q t l

qqqg

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 12

CP Invariance of the Tevatron

P P

1. pp initial state at Tevatron is CP invariant, but not C or P invariant separately

2. At leading order, processes that proceed through an s-channel gluon “forget” that they are not separately C and P invariant (tt and QCD)

3. Processes with W’s “remember” that they are not separately C and P invariant (single top and W+jets)

Initial State

P P

Under C or P transformation

P P

Under CP

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 13

Focus on 2-D distributions in signed rapidity, *ˆ

lQ

ˆj

A B

C D

Same correlations in and

Strong correlation in t-channel signal,

Very weak correlation in s-channel and

Weak, but similar correlation in

t t

tt

Wjj

ˆ ˆ, 0l j

ˆ l ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, ,

ˆ ˆ l j l jl j l j l j

d d d

d d d d d d

CP invariant

**Indicates C or P non-invariance

**

*Used by CDF in 1-D analysis

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 14

Define “Relaxed” Event Sample for Shape Analysis

Advanced Cuts: Mtop = invariant mass(bl): 130 GeV < Mtop < 210 GeV

HT = PTlepton+MET+ Σall jets (jet PT): 170 GeV < HT < 300 GeV (all jets PT > 20 GeV, |η|<3.5)

Basic Cuts : (only) 1 lepton PT>15 GeV, |η|<2.0; MET > 20 GeV 1 b-tagged jet with PT>40 GeV, |η|<2.0 (at least) 1 other jet with PT>30 GeV, |η|<3.5

Keep more of signal and more background, especially tt

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 15

Relaxed Event sample in 3 fb-1, sum over + , e +

Channels Events for Basic Cuts

Advanced cuts

Systematic Uncertainty

t-channel 191 133 >15%

s-channel 85 51 >10%

W+jj 1476 667 >10%

tt 1908 568 >10%

t t

•Basic sig:bkg ratio is 1:12•Advanced sig:bkg is 1:7

But look at shapes!!

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 16

Contour plots of 4 channels – as predictedb) tbj = t-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

0.00 pb0.001 pb0.002 pb0.005 pb0.01 pb0.02 pbc) tt

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

d) Wjj

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

_

a) tb = s-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

!Sig

Bkg

ˆ ˆl j

d

d d

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 17

Focus on Shape with following basis functions

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, , , , , , CP Invˆ ˆ l j l j l j l j l j l jl j l j l j

d d dF F F

d d d d d d

1ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, , , , , Sym

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ4l j l j l j l j l jl j l j l j l j

d d d dF

d d d d d d d d

1ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, , , , , P Even

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ4l j l j l j l j l jl j l j l j l j

d d d dF

d d d d d d d d

1ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, , , P Odd

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ2l j l j l jl j l j

d dF

d d d d

Complete & Orthogonal

Uncorrelated bits cancel in F+

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 18

Uncorrelated and P even

• Uncorrelated –

• P even

ˆ ˆˆ ˆ l jl j

df g

d d

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ:l l j jf f g g

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, , ,ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ

ˆ ˆ,ˆ ˆ

l j l j l jl j l j l j

l jl j

d d d

d d d d d d

d

d d

Cancel in F+ and F-

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 19

b) tbj = t-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

0.00 pb0.001 pb0.002 pb0.005 pb0.01 pb0.02 pbc) tt

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

d) Wjj

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

_

a) tb = s-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

ˆ ˆ,l jF ~ ~tt Wjj tb tbjF F F F

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 20

b) tbj = t-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

-0.01 pb-0.003 pb-0.001 pb0.00 pb0.001 pb0.003 pb0.01 pbc) tt

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

d) Wjj

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

_

a) tb = s-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

ˆ ˆ,l jF ~Wjj tbj tt tbF F F F

Different shapes

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 21

b) tbj = t-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

-0.01 pb-0.003 pb-0.001 pb0.00 pb0.001 pb0.003 pb0.01 pbc) tt

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

d) Wjj

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

_

a) tb = s-channel

jet

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

lep

ton

-1

0

1

ˆ ˆ,l jF ~Wjj tbj tt tbF F F F

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 22

Quantify this by again looking at the sum over + , e + in the 4 quadrants for 3 fb-1t t

38 41

29 76

Signal = t + s-channels

281 286

325 343

Background = tt + Wjj

But use the shapes!

11 -11

-11 11

F-

F+ 3 -3

-3 3

-19 6

-6 19

-31 19

19 31

ˆ ˆl j

d

d d

Note signs

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 23

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

jet

-1

0

1

le

pto

n

00.51.01.52.0

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

jet

-1

0

1

2

le

pto

n

00.51.01.52.0

Signal/Background

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

jet

-1

0

1

2

le

pto

n

00.51.02.04.0

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

jet

-1

0

1

lep

ton

00.51.02.04.0

ˆ ˆl j

d

d d

|F+| |F-|

F_

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 24

Suggests that we can separate Signal and Background, If we use the Shape

information!

• Systematic issue #1: Do we understand the shape of the Wjj background in detail?

• Answer: Not Yet! There are many individual channels with somewhat different shapes, whose relative contribution rates depend largely on mis-tag rates and g b,c rates.

• But we will learn using the many different handles on the data, e.g., look at Zjj!!

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 25

We can improve further by choosing specific “windows” – helps also with statistical N issues

• Uncertainty in NF+ :

in any region of plane

• Uncertainty in NF- :

1 1

4 2FN Tot FN N

1 1

2 2FN B C FFN N N N

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 26

N/ N (appropriate)

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3jet

-2

-1

0

1

2

le

pto

n 00.51.01.52.0

a)

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3jet

-2

-1

0

1

2

le

pto

n 00.51.01.52.0

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3jet

-2

-1

0

1

2

le

pto

n 00.51.01.52.0

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3jet

-2

-1

0

1

2

le

pto

n 00.51.01.52.0

c) d)

b)

1.7 1.8

ˆ ˆl j

d

d d

F

_

F+ F-

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 27

Can also consider a likelihood analysis based on the difference in shapes

= NSig/NTot 0.13 (all of phase space)

• Uncertainty

2

10.04

ˆ ˆ ˆ ˆ, ,ˆ ˆ

ˆ ˆ,

ˆ ˆ 1

Sig l j Bkg l j

Tot l j

Tot l j

X l j

f fN d d

f

f d d

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 28

Conclusions

• Phenomenology at hadron colliders is tough!

• Shape variables are very useful/essential for finding the single top quark signal

• We need to understand the shapes of the backgrounds, especially Wjj (and QCD)

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 29

Extra Detail Slides

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 30

Extra (Pseudo-)Scalar Bosons: Top-color models

• Scalars (such as Higgs) exist as bound states of top and bottom quarks

• For Mπ± = 250 GeV, tR-cR mixing of ~20% s-channel cross-section doubles

• No interference as SM is from left-handed light quarks• t-channel contribution is suppressed by 1/Mπ±

2 and that π±

doesn’t couple to light quarks

e.g., He & Yuan: hep-ph/9810367

time-like momentum allows for resonance

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 31

Extra Gauge Bosons: Top-flavor models

• Postulate a larger gauge group which reduces to the SM gauge group at low energies to explain top mass

• 1st and 2nd gen quarks transform under SU(2)l, and 3rd under SU(2)h, add heavy doublet of quarks

• SU(2)h gauge couplings mix with SU(2)l according to sin2φ

• For MW‘ = 1 TeV, sin2φ =0.05 s-channel increases ~20%

• t-channel contribution suppressed by 1/MW‘

2

W'

SU(3)C x SU(2)h x SU(2)l x U(1)Ye.g.,

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 32

Extra Dimensions:5-D Gauge Bosons

• Allow only SM gauge bosons to propagate in compactified extra dimension

• Permits Kaluza-Klein modes of W (Wkk)

• For MWkk= 1TeV, s-channel amplitudes interfere destructively to reduce cross-section by 25%

• t-channel contributions are suppressed by 1/MW'

2

Wkk

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 33

Extra quark generations:CKM constraints

• For 3 generations, the unitary of the CKM matrix constrains |Vts| < 0.043

• With >3 generations, one possibility is |Vtb|=0.83 and |Vts|=0.55

• Because gluons split to ss far more than bb, the t-channel cross-section rises by 60%

• s-channel produces as many tops as before, but less with an additional b quark – so the observable cross-section goes down a little.

• Changes decay structure of top

Without imposing 3 family unitarity, these are the 90% CL direct constraints.

Vts

s

s

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 34

Extra Couplings*:FCNC: Z-t-c

• Can argue that low energy constraints (κZtc < 0.3) may not apply in the presence of additional new physics

• For κZtc = 1, t-channel increases 60%• These couplings change top decay structure• κZtc recently constrained by LEP II data to be < ~ 0.5

(hep-ex/0404014)

cc

Z

*there’s nothing “extra” about these couplings; the appropriate title would be “Modifications to Top Couplings”

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 35

Shifted cross-sections plot

Plot from hep-ph/0007298t-channel CS has changed to 1.98pbED from hep-ph/0207178

SM prediction3σ theoretical deviation

Charged top-pion

FCNC Z-t-c vertex

4 gen

Top-flavor modelExtra dimensions

S. D. Ellis ISMD 2004 36

Lessons1) t-channel is affected by modifications

to top quark couplings

2) s-channel is affected by heavy particles

3) Many other models to consider, good practice for general searches

Therefore, measuring the t- and s-channels separately is important and could potentially be a “Window to Physics Beyond the SM”