53
Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…. MS PRICES EU AVG PRICES D G A G R I D A S H B O A R D : A P P L E S 20.08.2020 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II INDEX EXPORT DIV. 116 93 90 85 85 87 89 95 103 101 103 83 94 124 111 96 94 90 93 95 97 101 110 115 118 104 104 96 89 86 85 85 85 86 88 95 92 96 90 96 90 85 83 82 82 81 82 83 90 83 86 85 89 83 81 79 78 79 77 78 79 85 75 76 80 78 68 72 73 71 72 71 72 72 76 66 66 71 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in France (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 42 52 60 59 62 61 59 61 67 72 69 76 62 87 73 84 90 91 89 89 95 94 99 104 109 92 58 59 58 58 59 58 58 59 60 62 65 68 60 49 51 49 48 49 48 49 49 50 52 54 56 50 41 44 40 38 39 39 39 39 40 41 43 44 41 32 30 23 22 25 26 28 29 30 33 38 31 29 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in Germany (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 62 66 68 70 70 71 72 73 79 84 87 85 74 73 74 86 87 87 88 91 90 93 99 103 105 90 69 68 72 73 73 74 75 74 75 78 80 80 74 67 65 68 68 69 69 70 69 70 72 74 73 69 65 61 63 64 64 64 65 64 65 66 67 65 65 60 52 52 52 53 54 56 55 60 59 60 56 56 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in Italy (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 58 62 64 63 64 65 66 70 77 82 92 90 71 79 74 76 78 77 77 79 81 83 89 90 92 81 65 63 61 61 60 60 61 62 63 67 67 68 63 61 58 56 55 55 56 56 57 58 61 60 61 58 56 53 51 50 50 51 51 51 52 55 53 54 53 49 42 40 41 42 43 44 47 48 50 46 44 45 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in the EU (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers) Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged 14 37 39 38 38 40 44 50 57 71 109 118 55 48 38 40 40 38 37 41 41 44 47 46 47 42 35 30 27 26 27 26 28 30 33 38 34 35 30 31 27 23 22 23 23 24 26 27 31 29 29 26 27 24 19 18 19 19 21 23 22 25 23 24 23 22 19 14 12 10 14 16 19 10 10 10 12 14 5 25 45 65 85 105 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR Apple prices in Poland (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19 Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line 5 year avg 66% lower line Monthly 5 year MIN €/100 kg €/100 kg

INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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Page 1: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa….

MS PRICESEU AVG PRICES

D G A G R I D A S H B O A R D : A P P L E S 20.08.2020PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE IIINDEX EXPORT DIV.

116

93

90

85 85

87

89

95

103101

103

83

94

124

111

9694

90

93

95

97101

110

115

118

104104

96

89

8685 85 85

8688

9592

96

90

96

90

85

8382 82 81

8283

90

83

8685

89

8381

79 78 7977 78

79

85

7576

8078

68

72 73

7172

7172 72

76

66 66

71

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in France (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line5 year avg 66% lower lineMonthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and

packaged

42

52

60 5962 61

5961

67

72

69

76

62

87

73

84

90 9189 89

95 94

99

104

109

92

58 59

58 58 59 58 5859 60

62 65

68

60

49 51 4948 49 48 49 49

5052

5456

50

41

44

4038 39 39 39 39

4041

43 4441

3230

23 2225

2628

29 30

33

38

3129

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in Germany (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line5 year avg 66% lower lineMonthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged

62

6668

70 7071 72

73

79

84

87

85

7473

74

8687 87 88

9190

93

99

103

105

90

6968

7273 73 74

7574

7578

80 80

74

67

65

68 68 6969 70

6970

7274

73

69

65

6163 64 64 64 65

6465

6667

65 65

60

52 52 52 5354

56 55

60 5960

56 56

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in Italy (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged

58

6264

63 6465

66

70

77

82

9290

71

79

74

7678

77 77

7981

83

89 9092

81

65

6361 61 60 60

61 6263

67 6768

63

61

58

56 55 55 56 56 5758

6160

61

58

56

53

5150 50 51 51 51

52

55

53 5453

49

42

40 4142

4344

4748

50

4644 45

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in the EU (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged

14

3739

38 3840

44

50

57

71

109

118

5548

3840 40

38 37

41

4144

47 46 47

4235

3027 26 27 26

2830

33

38

34

35

3031

27

23 22 23 2324

26 27

3129 29

2627

24

19 18 19 19 2123 22

2523 24 2322

19

14

1210

1416

19

10 10 1012

14

5

25

45

65

85

105

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in Poland (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg€/100 kg

Page 2: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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2

INDEX

0. Summary overview, market update

1. Prices

* EU prices

* MS prices for major producers

2. Production (by variety + extreme weather events + stocks)

3. Trade

* Evolution of the trade balance

* Import monitoring

* Export development

4. Further detail on trade developments

5. Export diversification

Page 3: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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3

0. SUMMARY OVERVIEW, MARKET UPDATE

RECENT DEVELOPMENTS – Marketing year 2020/21

1. The new marketing year (2020/21) started on 1 August 2020. WAPA/Prognosfruit delivered production forecasts for

21 Member States. The volume of the EU28 crop is expected to be about 10 792 thousand tonnes of which slightly

under 2% is the UK crop.

2. The volume of the new crop is 1% below the preceding « small » crop and 7% less than the 5 year reference

average.

3. The level of stocks has been low during the marketing year 2019/20 (15% below the reference 5 year average on 1

July 2020). Given the small incoming volumes expected for the new crop, stocks are should remain at low levels

during the new marketing year.

4. Prices have been above normal levels during the last marketing year. This is expected to continue for one more

year.

5. In Poland, one of the two top EU producers, prices have been at high and very high levels, breaking all historical

records since the spring. This is due to low stocks in this country and very firm demand in the EU during the

sanitary crisis.

Page 4: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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4

1. PRICES

1.1. EU Prices

1.2. MS prices for major producers

* Poland (1st EU28 volume producer)

* Italy (2nd)

* France (3rd)

* Germany (4th)

Page 5: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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5

Market summary

58

6264

63 6465

66

70

77

82

9290

71

79

74

7678

77 77

7981

83

89 9092

81

65

6361 61 60 60

61 6263

67 6768

63

61

58

56 55 55 56 56 5758

6160

61

58

56

53

5150 50 51 51 51

52

55

53 5453

49

42

40 4142

4344

4748

50

4644 45

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in the EU (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg) Simple avg of 4 MSs (the 4 major producers)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged

DATA

Page 7: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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7

+2 %

+2 %

-1 %

+4 %

92->90

109->118

87->85

101->83

154->148

382->403

118->117

124->96

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jun ->Jul ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Jun to Jul %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Jun to Jul %

Jun -Jul ’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – July 2020

-2 %

+8 %

-3 %

-19 %

+2 %69->76 127->137DE-Germany +10 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Market summary

Previous month

DATA

Provisional

Aug data on an

additional slide

Page 8: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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8

-2 %

-9 %

+2 %

-8 %

82->92

71->109

83->87

101->103

133->154

227->382

116->118

112->124

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

May ->Jun ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from May to Jun %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from May to Jun %

May -Jun ’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – June 2020

+2 %

+54 %

+4 %

+2 %

+5 %72->69 139->127DE-Germany -4 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 9: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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9

+7 %

+15 %

+3 %

+8 %

77->82

57->71

79->83

103->101

133->133

212->227

113->116

123->112

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Apr ->May ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Apr to May%Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Apr to May %

Apr -May ’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – May 2020

+7 %

+23 %

+6 %

-2 %

+3 %67->72 134->139DE-Germany +8 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 10: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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10

+2 %

+2 %

+1 %

+2 %

70->77

50->57

73->79

95->103

123->133

188->212

106->113

116->123

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Mar ->Apr ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Mar to Apr %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Mar to Apr %

Mar -Apr ’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – April 2020

+10 %

+16 %

+8 %

+6 %

+2 %61->67 125->134DE-Germany +10 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 11: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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11

+1 %

+8 %

-1 %

+1 %

66->70

44->50

72->73

89->95

118->123

182->188

103->106

109->116

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Feb ->Mar ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Feb to Mar %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Feb to Mar %

Feb ->Mar ’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – March 2020

+6 %

+12 %

+2 %

+7 %

0 %59->61 120->125DE-Germany +4 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 12: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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12

+1 %

+7 %

+1 %

-1 %

65->66

40->44

71->72

87->89

117->118

176->182

103->103

106->109

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jan ->Feb ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Jan to Feb %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Jan to Feb %

Jan ->Feb ’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – February 2020

+2 %

+10 %

+1 %

+2 %

0 %61->59 126->120DE-Germany -4 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 13: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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13

0 %

0 %

+1 %

0 %

64->65

38->40

70->71

85->87

115->117

167->176

102->103

104->106

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Dec ’19 ->Jan ‘20,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Dec to Jan %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Dec to Jan %

Dec ’19 ->Jan’20, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – January 2020

+2 %

+6 %

+1 %

+2 %

-1 %62->61 127->126DE-Germany -2 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 14: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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14

0 %

+4 %

0 %

-1 %

63->64

38->38

70->70

85->85

114->115

171->167

102->102

103->104

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Nov->Dec ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Nov to Dec %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Nov to Dec %

Nov->Dec ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – December 2019

+1 %

+1 %

+1 %

-1 %

+1 %59->62 123->127DE-Germany +4 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 15: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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15

-1 %

-3 %

+1 %

-3 %

64->63

39->38

68->70

90->85

114->114

173->171

100->102

106->103

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Oct->Nov ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Oct to Nov %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Oct to Nov %

Oct->Nov ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – November 2019

-2 %

-4 %

+3 %

-6 %

-2 %59->59 121->123DE-Germany 0 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 16: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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16

-3 %

-16 %

+5 %

-5 %

62->64

37->39

66->68

93->90

107->114

138->173

102->100

104->106

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Sep->Oct ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Sep to Oct %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Sep to Oct %

Sep->Oct ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – October 2019

+3 %

+5 %

+2 %

-3 %

-4 %52->59 102->121DE-Germany +14 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Market summary

Previous month

Page 17: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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17

-5 %

-14 %

-3 %

-7 %

58->64

14->37

62->66

116->98

96->109

44->138

93->102

120->110

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Aug->Sep ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

2019/20, changes

from Aug to Sep %Seasonal factors, 5 year avg price,

changes from Aug to Sep %

Aug->Sep ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – September 2019

+9 %

+168 %

+7 %

-15 %

+3 %42->52 84->102DE-Germany +26 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Market summary

Previous month

Page 18: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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18

+1 %

-1 %

-11 %

+23 %

56->58

12->14

56->62

110->116

94->96

38->44

74->93

140->120

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jul->Aug ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

18/19->19/20, changes

from Jul to Aug %5 year avg price,

changes from Jul to Aug %

Jul->Aug ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – August 2019

+3 %

+18 %

+11 %

+5 %

-11 %48->42 86->84DE-Germany -14 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 19: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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19

0 %

-4 %

0 %

0 %

55->56

10->12

65->56

96->110

92->94

31->38

86->74

123->140

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

Jun->Jul ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

2018/19, changes

from Jun to Jul %5 year avg price,

changes from Jun to Jul %

Jun->Jul ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – July 2019

+2 %

+18 %

-14 %

+14 %

+2 %49->48 90->86DE-Germany -3 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

Page 20: INDEX 85 PRICES PROD. TRADE I TRADE II EXPORT DIV ...2020/09/02  · Sources: Eurostat, MSs notifications, DG Agri, Comext, Comtrade, GTA, ITC, AMI, Expert groups, Freshfel, Wapa…

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20

-2 %

-6 %

+2 %

-9 %

55->55

10->10

67->65

93->96

89->92

30->31

91->86

108->123

EU

PL-Poland

IT-Italy

FR-France

May->Jun ‘19,

Price, €/100 kg

2018/19, changes

from May to Jun %5 year avg price,

changes from May to Jun %

May->Jun ‘19, comparison to

5 year avg, base = 100 %

Apple prices €/100kg (= Euro cents/kg) and % changes – June 2019

+0 %

-3 %

-3 %

+4 %

+5 %50->49 95->90DE-Germany +0 %

CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO 5 YEAR AVERAGE CURRENT PRICES COMPARED TO ONE MONTH AGO

Previous month

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21

14

3739

38 3840

44

50

57

71

109

118

5548

3840 40

38 37

41

4144

47 46 47

4235

3027 26 27 26

2830

33

38

34

35

3031

27

23 22 23 2324

26 27

3129 29

2627

24

19 18 19 19 2123 22

2523 24 2322

19

14

1210

1416

19

10 10 1012

14

5

25

45

65

85

105

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in Poland (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg€/100 kg

DATA

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22

62

6668

70 7071 72

73

79

84

87

85

7473

74

8687 87 88

9190

93

99

103

105

90

6968

7273 73 74

7574

7578

80 80

74

67

65

68 68 6969 70

6970

7274

73

69

65

6163 64 64 64 65

6465

6667

65 65

60

52 52 52 5354

56 55

60 5960

56 56

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in Italy (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19

Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line

5 year avg 66% lower line

Monthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged

DATA

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23

116

93

90

85 85

87

89

95

103101

103

83

94

124

111

9694

90

93

95

97101

110

115

118

104104

96

89

8685 85 85

8688

9592

96

90

96

90

85

8382 82 81

8283

90

83

8685

89

8381

79 78 7977 78

79

85

7576

8078

68

72 73

7172

7172 72

76

66 66

71

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

125

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in France (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line5 year avg 66% lower lineMonthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and

packaged

DATA

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24

42

52

60 5962 61

5961

67

72

69

76

62

87

73

84

90 9189 89

95 94

99

104

109

92

58 59

58 58 59 58 5859 60

62 65

68

60

49 51 4948 49 48 49 49

5052

5456

50

41

44

4038 39 39 39 39

4041

43 4441

3230

23 2225

2628

29 30

33

38

3129

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul YEAR

Apple prices in Germany (€/100kg=Euro cents/kg)

Current 2019/20 (Previous) 2018/19Monthly 5 year MAX 66% upper line5 year avg 66% lower lineMonthly 5 year MIN

€/100 kg

Those "producer" prices are ex packaging station, sorted and packaged

DATA

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25

2. PRODUCTION

2.1. EU production for MSs that are major producers

2.2. EU production by variety (%)

2.3. Extreme weather events

2.4. Apple stocks

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28

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AGRO-WEATHER INDEX

1. Background with main elements

2. Summary multi-event map

* main events

3. Precipitation analysis

* 90 day

* 30 day

* maps of current or recent droughts in the EU

4. Temperature analysis

* 30 day average, °C, regional deviations

* Relative number of cold days

5. Other agro-weather events

General index

WEATHER FACTORSIN FRUIT AND VEGETABLE

PRODUCTIONS

Agro-weather index

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Source: Climate Prediction Center

Further detail

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE

TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES +/-°C ON AVG

22 Jul to 20 Aug 2020 (+/- 30 days)

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31Further detailSource: JRC

The update of

this map is

temporarily

unavailable

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32Further detail

Source: Ag Weather

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE

90 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES

21 May to 20 Aug 2020 (+/-90 days) - % of normal

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33Further detail

Source: Ag Weather

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE

30 DAY PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS OF ANOMALIES

21 Jul to 20 Aug 2020 (30 days) - % of normal

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34Source: Severe weather database

EXTREME WEATHER EVENTS IN EUROPE

16 May to 5 Jul 2020

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Data sources: WAPA&AMI

Further detail

Update

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37

3. TRADE

3.1. Comparison of exports and imports of apples

3.2. Import monitoring

2.3. Export development (export diversification is under section 5)

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38

Update

300 000

500 000

700 000

900 000

1 100 000

1 300 000

1 500 000

1 700 000

1 900 000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

ExtraEU28 trade for apples 2004 to 2019 Tonnes - calendar year Comext data - code 080810

Exports

Imports

Severe weather event: spring frosts in 2017 destroyed 23 %

of the crop (calculated on 3 year average crop)

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39

Update

Source: GTA

TOTAL Tonnes

Calendar year data

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40

Update

TOTAL Tonnes

Source: GTA

Calendar year data

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41

4. TRADE INDICATORS (II)

- Total export value by MS

- Total import value by MS

- Export diversification

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42Further detail

EU EXPORT VALUE – 080810

Provisional data 2019/20 – Data source: DG Taxud

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43Further detail

EU IMPORT VALUE – 080810

Provisional data 2019/20 – Data source: DG Taxud

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5. EXPORT DIVERSIFICATION

- Map of top world importers/exporters of apples with their prices

- Bar chart on top world importers/exporters and annual growth rates

- Key trade indicators on top world importers/exporters of apples

- Ranking of countries with the most negative trade balance (value terms)

- World consumption of apples, main players

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45Further detail

CIF IMPORT PRICE $/ton

TOP WORLD IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS – 080810 - 2019

Calendar year data

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46Further detail

TOP WORLD APPLE IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS 2019 and % Annual growth in value 2015-19

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TOP WORLD APPLE IMPORTERS FROM ALL ORIGINS - 080810

Further detail

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48Further detail

Partners

Balance in

value in

2010

Balance in

value in

2011

Balance in

value in

2012

Balance in

value in

2013

Balance in

value in

2014

Balance in

value in

2015

Balance in

value in

2016

Balance in

value in

2017

Balance in

value in

2018

Balance in

value in

2019

Exported

value in

2019

Imported

value in

2019

1 Germany -376 097 -413 358 -385 146 -456 573 -395 542 -385 542 -406 991 -545 036 -563 163 -386 350 44 357 430 706

2 Egy pt -70 614 -96 080 -180 935 -166 610 -231 251 -401 917 -323 730 -190 715 -194 189 -365 891 496 366 386

3 United Kingdom -373 361 -357 739 -414 827 -441 041 -394 371 -428 419 -386 481 -399 250 -399 644 -363 368 15 619 378 987

4 Russian Federation -501 323 -542 959 -618 771 -593 725 -466 648 -341 052 -330 543 -353 956 -434 640 -347 414 4 506 351 920

5 Viet Nam -18 451 -18 019 -18 262 -18 145 -18 307 -34 268 -46 356 -58 918 -70 872 -314 580 640 315 220

6 Indonesia -126 580 -133 831 -132 577 -132 226 -150 643 -125 184 -238 073 -278 995 -301 206 -305 158 1 305 159

7 Taipei, Chinese -114 370 -103 830 -127 677 -153 117 -184 492 -215 224 -250 050 -236 094 -205 656 -227 786 45 227 830

8 India -81 506 -122 631 -144 382 -149 003 -172 017 -183 222 -209 984 -268 957 -248 445 -209 145 8 766 217 911

9 Thailand -91 515 -97 005 -121 816 -138 894 -127 919 -210 536 -215 959 -174 809 -159 434 -188 161 933 189 095

10 Bangladesh -41 025 -42 846 -39 169 -29 336 -77 965 -140 628 -139 874 -132 248 -182 816 182 816

11 Saudi Arabia -114 696 -124 423 -144 177 -140 001 -133 254 -170 221 -174 029 -161 373 -161 168 -165 960 19 165 979

12 Canada -120 696 -125 005 -158 722 -188 504 -159 885 -142 431 -199 493 -162 432 -149 610 -162 863 27 607 190 471

13 Philippines -31 556 -47 614 -59 388 -67 601 -62 742 -79 003 -138 498 -135 107 -136 438 -151 052 151 052

14 Hong Kong, China -45 157 -53 802 -65 829 -63 537 -68 418 -112 921 -118 510 -107 911 -132 031 -150 684 74 571 225 255

15 Mex ico -173 279 -152 737 -226 114 -258 627 -207 753 -251 657 -210 603 -248 303 -244 976 -142 971 529 143 500

16 United Arab Emirates -126 426 -141 410 -163 505 -189 614 -180 142 -160 326 -70 904 -106 560 1 368 107 928

17 Malay sia -40 573 -41 230 -48 413 -61 666 -55 494 -95 967 -104 752 -97 825 -94 838 -105 614 1 275 106 888

18 My anmar -16 -9 972 -26 826 -11 758 -12 201 -14 446 -7 318 -20 652 -7 116 -91 354 91 354

19 Colombia -57 994 -65 366 -85 719 -84 274 -87 699 -90 140 -87 430 -89 314 -87 335 -88 992 187 89 179

20 Sw eden -62 416 -73 905 -84 996 -92 845 -82 277 -86 350 -82 790 -87 066 -90 164 -72 777 1 427 74 204

21 Nepal -7 749 -9 917 -8 890 -9 759 -13 937 -20 853 -37 569 -41 379 -59 668 -65 550 65 550

22 Ireland -43 492 -44 645 -50 193 -55 280 -53 584 -52 375 -57 758 -61 814 -66 930 -56 309 5 291 61 600

23 Spain -103 173 -89 137 -76 748 -128 836 -81 211 -69 063 -72 154 -70 360 -68 763 -54 447 92 597 147 044

24 Norw ay -51 364 -54 133 -57 789 -62 533 -56 135 -56 071 -54 755 -57 219 -56 580 -51 973 282 52 256

25 Singapore -37 082 -36 156 -43 683 -45 885 -48 253 -55 966 -52 228 -47 845 -46 123 -51 699 6 498 58 197

LIST OF COUNTRIES WITH THE MOST NEGATIVE TRADE

BALANCE IN 2019 – 080810 – Source: ITC/COMTRADETOP WORLD IMPORTERS – Thousand Euro – Calendar year data

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49Further detail

TOP WORLD EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS – 080810 - 2019

FOB EXPORT PRICE $/ton

Calendar year data

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50Further detail

TOP WORLD APPLE EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS 2019 and % Annual growth in value 2015-19

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TOP WORLD APPLE EXPORTERS TO ALL DESTINATIONS - 080810

Further detail

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53

The end

Thank you

GENERAL REMARKS AND DISCLAMERS

1. Where the EU is listed it should be read as “EU+UK” since 1 February 2020.

2. Due to different timings of data processing in different slides and some other factors, such as the intermediate data carrier and methodologies, some differences on figures referred to similar or almost identical indicators are possible.ge

3. This a working document intended for reflection and analysis not containing any official position of the European Commission.