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Trade and Economic RelationsProspects for the Future
INDIA-TURKEY
August 2014
A Knowledge Report
Title
Year
Copyright
Disclaimer
: India-Turkey Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
: August 2014
: No part of this publication may be reproduced in any form by photo,
photoprint, microfilm or any other means without the written
permission of FICCI
: The information and opinions contained in this document have been
compiled or arrived at from sources believed to be reliable, but no
representation or warranty expressed is made to their accuracy,
completeness or correctness. This document is for information purpose
only. The information contained in this document is published for the
assistance of the recipient but is not to be relied upon as authoritative
or taken in substitution for the exercise of judgment by any recipient.
This document is not intended to be a substitute for professional,
technical or legal advice. All opinions expressed in this document are
subject to change without notice.
FICCI do not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or
consequential loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or
its contents or otherwise arising in connection herewith.
Contact Address:
Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) Federation House, 1
Tansen Marg, New Delhi-110001
The emerging global economic imperatives have directly impacted the way
India and Turkey have been engaging each other in the past. Last few years
have brought a qualitative shift in terms of widening and deepening of our
economic engagements.
Presidential and ministerial visits from both countries and over eight FICCI business delegations visiting
number of business centres across Turkey in last two years and the resultant Turkish sectoral delegation
visits to India are some of the positive indicators which augur well for our bilateral relations.
Despite Turkey being 17th largest global economy and 6th when compared to EU countries and India
well on its path to become a USD 2 trillion economy soon, our trade volume that stood at over USD6
billion in 2013-14, is well short of the actual potential. The enhanced people-to people and B2B
interactions have been necessitated to re-vitalise our trade and investment relations. The vigour would
ably support the cause of Turkish companies to actively evaluate the Indian market and vice-versa at a
time when economic scenario has begun to look up. The fact that Indian economy is projected to
stabilise and grow by over 6% by next fiscal, significantly higher than what would be achieved by the
western economies, makes the efforts timely and pertinent.
Moving beyond the perception of a services-led economy, India's manufacturing sector, with SMEs
playing a pivotal role, is gradually scaling high standards in several segments. All major sectors namely,
automobiles, food processing, textiles, pharmaceuticals, infrastructure, new and renewable energy; to
highlight a few, beckon enhanced cooperation between Indian and Turkish companies.
The organisation of India Show in Turkey which, FICCI is partnering with Ministry of Commerce and
Industry, GoI, constitutes one of the largest well-calibrated efforts to take India-Turkey commercial
relations to a next plane.
To fully capitalize on the momentum generated by the initiative and to further deepen our relationship,
will require vision, new ideas, innovation and active dialogue from both sides. This publication is
intended to become the backdrop to such synergies that can ignite partnership between India and
Turkey.
We are confident that this publication will be a useful enabler in triggering new ideas and perspectives
among stakeholders on both sides along which new Indo-Turkish partnerships will emerge. FICCI remain
committed to assisting all stakeholders in developing strategic economic and knowledge partnerships
and are confident that the government, private sector and citizens will benefit greatly from this report.
Foreword
Sincerely,
(Dr. A Didar Singh)
Secretary General
FICCI
Executive Summary 1
Turkey Today: An Economic Update 3
India Today: An Economic Update 9
Introduction: India-Turkey Bilateral 19Trade & Investment Relations
Major Sectors of Mutual Interest 27
Table of Contents
1. India and Turkey enjoy a historical connect that goes back over a two millennia. At a time when Turkey and India have emerged as economic force to reckon with in their respective regions and beyond, the time has come for both the countries to aggressively reach out to each other for mutual gains.
2. This report and today's forum is to establish and cement existing opportunities and also find newer aspects of furthering the relations, business and people to people interaction between India and Turkey. This report has attempted to give a brief insight into the potential industries depicting avenues that are available to business communities of India and Turkey.
3. India is one of the fastest growing free market economies with a sustainable development model built on a solid foundation of entrepreneurial energy, youthful dynamism and creativity. India and Turkey will be benefited by stronger ties in the background of inherent and complementary economic strengths of each other.
4. While Turkey and India have a long history of doing business with each other, as a percentage share of national data, this is minimal on both sides and there is huge potential to increase the bilateral engagement. There may be cooperation in facilitating FDI inflows not only between large corporate but also between small and medium enterprises (SMEs) on both sides. More foreign investment flow from Turkey would lead to more jobs and skill development in India. At the same time Turkish global competitiveness will improve. Enhanced economic activities will also lead to job expansion in Turkey.
5. India has made enormous strides in its economic development in
the past two decades. India is also well positioned to leverage
strengths in today's knowledge-based global economy; to capture
1 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Executive Summary
the Knowledge Process Outsourcing (KPO) space which is the next
wave in global outsourcing. The growth of the IT sector in India
symbolizes the potential of Indian industry to perform according to
world-class standards.
6. Current focus on energy security is timely, with the vast majority of
the global population spread in marginal and emerging economies,
the challenges of energy demand and its affordability has become
fundamental to the quality of life. Turkey, India as well as other
countries require ensuring global energy security on sustainable
basis. This challenge also opens new vistas for global business
opportunities both for developed nations and also for emerging
economies like India and Turkey.
7. The fact that India has a strong and stable political system, based
on parliamentary democracy and a fast and modern economy that
attracts foreign investors reveals the potential for establishing a
strategic partnership and international cooperation. This represents
a unique opportunity also for Turkey to develop joint initiatives aimed
at fostering trade, business and cultural relations.
2 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkey Today: An Economic Update
Turkey has four main industrial zones. They are Istanbul and the area around the
Sea of Marmara, the Aegean coast around Izmir, the Adana basin, and the region
around Ankara.
Turkey has weathered the credit crunch better than other emerging economies.
Partly thanks to tough regulation, not a single Turkish bank has gone under. That
is also because, unlike many Western banks, they have few toxic assets and
limited mortgage exposure. So the government has not had to divert public
money into rescuing banks.
As the GDP levels increased to USD 820 billion in 2013, up from USD 305 billion
in 2003, GDP per capita soared to USD 10,782, up from USD 4,565 in the given
period. According to the OECD, Turkey is expected to be the fastest growing
economy of the OECD members during 2012-2017, with an annual average
growth rate of 5.2 percent.
The visible improvements in the Turkish economy have also boosted foreign
trade, while exports reached USD 152 billion by the end of 2013, up from USD 47
billion in 2003. Similarly, tourism revenues, which were around USD 14 billion in
2003, exceeded USD 32.3 billion in 2013.
While this is good news in all respects, some residents are still afraid that these
might lead to an economic overheating as policy makers have failed to reduce
domestic demand that has gone on to become quite rampant.
However, Turkey's uncertainty related to policy-making, and fiscal imbalances
leave the economy vulnerable to destabilizing shifts in investor confidence. The
economy continues to be burdened by a high current account deficit and remains
dependent on often volatile, short-term investment to finance its trade deficit.
The stock value of FDI stood at USD174 billion at year-end 2010, but inflows have
slowed considerably in light of continuing economic turmoil in Europe, the
source of much of Turkey's FDI. Major structural imbalances remain and could
yet jeopardize a largely positive outlook for the emerging economy.
4 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkey Today: An Economic Update
Rampant growth, a low savings rate and increased dependence on flows of "hot
money" have driven Turkey's external deficits to critical highs.
Turkey's increased wealth has also not been spread evenly. The country's
Anatolian heartland and the predominantly Kurdish southeast are still much
poorer and lacking in investment.
Unemployment is stubbornly high and economic growth has not so far translated
into sustained job creation.
By 2015, experts believe a significant change will occur, putting the GDP at
USD852.379 billion.
Turkey has attracted tremendous amount of foreign direct investment (FDI) in
recent years. By attracting more than USD135 billion over the past decade,
whereas it only had attracted USD15 billion FDI in the eight decades between
1923 and 2003, Turkey has developed into an attractive destination for FDI in the
world. The country attracted a record high over USD22 billion FDI in 2007. As
such the country continues to be one of the most attractive FDI destinations in
the world.
According to Mr Mustafa Alper, former secretary general of the International
Investors Association of Turkey (YASED),“Turkey has the potential of attracting
five percent of its GNP, around USD 25 billion, in foreign investment every year”.
Foreign Investments
5 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3
5,66,78.8
11.715
18,721
23,725,5
29,433,8
37,3
Number of Companies with Foreign Capital
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
'000
125
100
75
50
25
0
135
17
1923-2003 (81 years) 2004-2013 (10 years)
FDI Inflows($ billions)
Soaring FDI Inflows
Turkish authorities are approaching FDI without discriminating about the sector
or origin, but give special attention to investments that will bring new jobs, know-
how and generate value-added to the economy. Investments in information and
communications technology, machine tools, machinery, metal processing,
logistics and automotive industry, food processing, pharmaceuticals, energy,
services and infrastructure are being particularly encouraged.
Consumer-oriented service companies are pouring into the country, mesmerized
by the country's young population and rapidly changing shopping habits. Turkey
presents its compatibility with global business environment, but the country is
also receiving more and more Greenfield investments in different sectors.
According to Investment Support and Promotion Agency of Turkey(ISPAT)“The
expansion of already installed companies (as in the automotive industry,
household appliances, etc.) presents also an important domain for Turkey's
economy. Turkey is enjoying seeing that the investors strongly believe in the
future of the country and its competitive advantages.”
FDI in Turkey
Increasing Confidence in the Turkish Economy
China
India
Brazil
Unied States
Germany
Australia
Singapore
United Kingdom
Indonesia
Malaysia
South Africa
Russia
Turkey
Vietnam
United Arab Emirates
Thailand
France
Taiwan
South Korea
Canada
Japan
Switzerlan
Poland
Spain
The Netherlands
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
1
3
4
2
5
7
24
10
20
21
-
18
23
12
11
-
13
-
-
9
-
-
6
-
-
1
5
6
3
10
11
7
4
21
16
18
9
20
12
8
-
13
-
24
22
15
-
22
-
-
1.87
1.73
1.60
1.52
1.52
1.52
1.47
1.47
1.45
1.41
1.40
1.39
1.39
1.38
1.38
1.37
1.37
1.36
1.35
1.34
1.31
1.30
1.30
1.29
1.27
Maintained ranking
Moved up
Moved down
Low confidence Values calculated on a 0 to 3 scale High confidence
Ranking
2007 2010 2012 Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index 2012
Source: A.T. Kearney
6 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkish Investments Abroad
According to the Central Bank of Turkey report in January 2011, some 3,500
Turkish companies have invested a total USD23.6 billion in 103 countries until
October 2010. The biggest investment areas of Turkish companies abroad are in
energy, banking, financial services, chemical products, airport operations and
textiles.
Major Turkish Investors Abroad
Company Sector
AdvansaSasa Synthetic Fiber
Kordsa Global Tire Fabric and Industrial Yarns
Temsa Global Commercial Vehicles
Turkish Petroleum Corporation (TPAO) Oil & Gas
TAV Holding Airport Operator
Turkcell Mobile Phone Services
Top reasons to invest in Turkey
• Dynamic, Stable &
Attractive Economy
•
•
•
•
•
GDP & Income
Key numbers
Population
International Hub
Structural Reforms
Benchmarking Performance of the Turkish Economy
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
786 772
490 478
384304
268196 169
126 9251
Ma
aysi
al
Sth
ica
ou A
fr
Pola
nd
Nhe
raet
lnd
s
Tur
eyk
enAr
gtin
a
Chile
zh
Rp-
Cec
e
a
Rom
ani
Huga
ryn
Slov
kia
a
Bulg
eria
2012 GDP (Current Prices, $Billion)
Average Annual Real GDP Growth (%) 2002-2012
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
5,04,7 4,5
4,33,6 3,5 3,5 3,3
2,92,5
1,61,1 1,0 0,8
Turk
ey
Chile
Sk
alo
vai
aPo
lnd rB
azil
Bulg
eria
Sth
ic
a
ouAf
r
oma
Ran
iCz
ec R
elic
hpu
b
exic
o
M
USHu
ngar
yEu
ro A
re(1
7)a Ja
pan
Source: OECO, Eurostart and National Sources
7 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
8 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
TAV Holding’s is one of the biggest Turkish investments abroad. Turkey’s top 19
non-financial multinationals held more than USD31 billion in foreign assets as of
December 2009, according to a study carried out jointly by Kadir Has University
(KHU), KPMG Turkey, the Foreign Economic Relations Board of Turkey (DEÝK) and
Vale Columbia Centre on Sustainable International Investment (VCC). The foreign
sales of these companies in 2009 stood at USD14.725 billion. They employed
89,946 persons abroad.
Yildiz
India Today: An Economic Update
India Today: An Economic Update
The prospects of a possible rebound inIndian economy have clearly strengthened
this year. The Prime Minister's pledge to put India back on the high growth
trajectory is supported by an ambitious economic agenda. Within first 30 days
after assuming office and the ensuing union budget, has firmly put the focus on
economic revival – be it measures to tackle inflation or addressing the issue of
black money or undertaking steps to move ahead towards improved
governance.These have certainly lifted the mood of the investors.
In the fiscal year 2013-14economy grew by 4.7 percent y-o-y, which was the
second consecutive year of sub 5.0 percent growth. The lackluster industrial
performance, subdued investment scenario, policy hurdles made the situation
difficult.Besides, uncertainty on the external front further added to the woes.
Thestrong show by the farm sector was the only saving grace last year.The
economy is all set to regain its verve and is expected to cross 5.0%mark in 2014-
15.
Latest numbers for industry and export growth indicate an improvement reviving
the hope of a possible bounce back; however, one will have to be watchful of the
trend. IIP registered a thirteen month high growth rate of 3.4 percent in April
2014. And exports recorded a double digit growth rate in May 2014 after a
prolonged period of low growth.
However, elevated inflation remains a key challenge. Headline WPI inched up in
May 2014 to a five month high of 6.01 percent driven primarily by food and fuel
prices. Inflation remains a key impeding factor to the overall growth prospects of
the economy. The government has clearly indicated that handling inflation will be
a top priority and we hope to see concrete action on this soon.
The upcoming budget, first one for the new government is surrounded with high
expectations. The industry looks forward to a pro growth and pro reforms
budget. The budget provides a good opportunity to give a positive signal to the
industry and the investors.
10 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
11 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• GDP growth rate for the year 2013-14 was primarily supported by agricultural
sector output with a good harvest reported in both the Kharif and the Rabi
seasons. With a GDP growth of 4.6 percent y-o-y in Q4, the fiscal year 2013-
14 rounded up an annual growth of 4.7 percent y-o-y. Bland show in industrial
activity persisted throughout the year due to dismal consumer sentiment in
the domestic as well as external economy. Also lack of resolution with regard
to pertinent issues like land acquisition, environmental clearances, mining
activities added to the woes.
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV
% YoY
GDP growth FY12 Agriculture FY13 Industry Services FY14
GDP FY12: 6.7% GDP FY13: 4.5% GDP FY14: 4.7% 4.7%
% Growth
Year PFCE GFCE GCF GFCF
Q1 FY13 5.0 10.2 -2.3 -4.1
Q2 FY13 4.7 9.9 0.8 -0.6
Q3 FY13 5.1 4.5 6.6 4.4
Q4 FY13 5.1 1.8 4.3 3.3
Q1 FY14 5.6 12.9 -5.1 -2.8
Q2 FY14 2.8 -0.1 0.3 3.1
Q3 FY14 2.8 3.6 -3.2 0.2
Q4 FY14 8.2 -0.4 -2.2 -0.9
Source: CMIE
12 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• In Q4 2013-14, farm sector recorded a growth of 6.3 percent y-o-y, up from
3.7 percent y-o-y growth in the previous quarter. In the last two quarters of
2013-14, vis-a-vis the previous year, mining (-0.4 percent in Q4 FY14/ -1.2
percent in Q3 FY14) and manufacturing (-1.4 percent in Q4 FY14/ -1.5 percent
in Q3FY14) sectors witnessed contraction. Infrastructure activity remained
subdued and the construction sector growth rate witnessed considerable
moderation. Service sector growth also decelerated marginally reporting a
growth of 6.4 percent y-o-y in Q4 2013-14, vis-a-vis 7.2 percent y-o-y growth
in Q3 2013-14.
• Private final consumption expenditure (PFCE) noted a sudden jump in growth
rate in the last quarter of 2013-14. This was quite surprising given the passive
performance of consumer durables segment and elevated retail inflation.
PFCE rose by 8.2 percent y-o-y in Q4 2013-14 as against 2.8 percent y-o-y
and 5.1 percent y-o-y growth in Q3 2013-14 and Q4 2012-13 respectively.
With regards to investment, GCF and GFCF declined by 2.2 percent y-o-y and
0.9 percent y-o-y in Q4 2013-14 respectively.
• The outlook for 2014-15 has improved with nascent signs of recovery in sight.
Various assessments expect GDP growth to go beyond 5.0% and the same
has also come across in FICCI’s latest Economic Outlook Survey. However,
sub par monsoons might act as a dampener.
Index of Industrial Production (IIP)
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Jan-1
2
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep-1
2
Nov-
12
Jan-1
3
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep-1
3
Nov-
13
Jan-1
4
Mar
-14
% YoY
Manufacturing Mining IIP
Industrial performance –Trend (% YoY)
• Index of Industrial Production (IIP) for the month of April 2014 increased by
3.4 percent y-o-y, which was a thirteen month high. IIP growth had
contracted by 1.8 percent and 0.5 percent in February and March 2014
respectively. All the three main sub segments (mining, manufacturing and
electricity) recorded positive growth in April 2014 which is noteworthy and
revives the hope of a bounce back in industrial activity. Nonetheless, it will
be crucial to watch the trend going ahead.
• The manufacturing sector growth in April 2014 rose to a nine month high of
2.6 percent y-o-y as against 1.2 percent y-o-y contraction in March 2014. This
was supported by a turnaround in merchandise exports in April 2014.
Fourteen out of twenty two manufacturing sub groups recorded a positive
growth in the month of April 2014 as compared to the same month previous
year. Major sub-sectors which contributed to the overall manufacturing
growth included electrical machinery & apparatus (66.0 percent), machinery
& equipment (9.6 percent), tobacco products (9.1 percent).
• As per use-based classification, capital goods which recorded a sharp decline
of (-) 11.6 percent y-o-y in March 2014 reported a growth rate of 15.7 percent
y-o-y in April 2014. Basic goods and intermediate goods growth rate
increased by 6.8 percent y-o-y and 4.4 percent y-o-y in April 2014
respectively, up from 4.4 percent y-o-y and 1.6 percent y-o-y in March 2014.
Consumer goods declined for the seventh consecutive month and
contracted by 5.1 percent in April 2014.Although business sentiment seems
to have improved as reflected by a rise in the capital goods output, consumer
sentiment is still to witness an improvement with a dip noted in both durable
and non-durable goods segment.
• The slew of announcements made recently definitely indicate government’s
endeavor to restore confidence among investors and reignite investment
inflows in the country. Going ahead, it will be important to focus on speedy
and timely implementation.
13 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
14 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Foreign Trade
-25
-15
-5
5
15
25
-25
-15
-5
5
15
25
May
-13
Jun-1
3
Jul-1
3
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct
-13
Nov-
13
Dec-
13
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar
-14
Apr-14
May
-14
USD Bn% YoY
Trade balance (RHS) Exports growth
Imports growth
Indicators (USD Bn) Apr- May 2013-14 Apr- May 2014-15
Exports 49.2 53.6
Imports 86.3 75.0
Trade deficit 37.0 21.3
Time period Oil Non-oil Oil Non-oil
May-13 14.1 30.2 -3.2 11.1
May-14 14.5 24.8 2.4 -17.9
Apr-May 2013-14 27.2 59.1 -3.3 15.1
Apr-May 2014-15 27.4 47.5 1.0 -19.6
Imports (USD Billion) Growth rate (YoY %)
• Trade deficit in the month of May 2014 contracted by 42.0 percent y-o-y to
USD 11.2 billion from USD 19.4 billion in May 2013 as exports rebounded and
recorded a six month high double digit growth rate. Overall exports grew by
12.4 percent y-o-y in May 2014 after witnessing a growth of 5.3 percent y-o-y
in April 2014 and a contraction of 4.8 percent y-o-y in March 2014.
• In absolute terms, exports during April-May 2014 rose to USD 53.6 billion
from USD 49.2 billion during the same period previous year, growing by 9.0
percent y-o-y. Strong export growth in May 2014 was aided by increase in
shipment of commodities like engineering goods, petroleum products,
readymade garments and pharmaceuticals.
• Imports continued to be on a declining trend, dipping by 11.4 percent y-o-y in
May 2014 to USD 39.2 billion. This was the eleventh consecutive month of
decline from July 2013 onwards. Cumulative imports dipped by 13.1 percent
y-o-y during April-May 2014 as against growth of 6.6 percent y-o-y during the
same period of the previous year. The continuous decline in gold imports has
contributed to the plunge in overall imports. It is reported that inbound gold
shipment declined by almost 72 percent y-o-y in May 2014. However, non-oil
imports excluding gold rose for the first time in ten months to USD 22.57
billion in May 2014, hinting towards some improvement in industrial
performance.
• After a prolonged period of low growth, the recovery in exports in May 2014
point towards the fact that there is some improvement in global demand. The
economic growth in the advanced economies is slowly picking up. The trend
if con-tinues will have a favorable impact on the exports in the coming
months. However, it is too soon to term it as a rebound.
15 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Foreign Investments
(Net) Foreign Direct Investment
(USD Million)
(Net) Portfolio Investment
(USD Million)
Total Foreign Investment Inflows
(USD Million)
Apr-13 2788 1621 4409
May-13 1866 6782 8648
Jun -13 1835 -8628 -6793
Jul-13 1930 -4716 -2785
Aug-13 1661 -2031 -370
Sep-13 4511 145 4655
Oct-13 2040 -414 1626
Nov-13 2165 –83 2082
Dec-13 1861 2887 4747
Jan-14 -559 2528 1969
Feb-14 -666 1421 755
(Net) Foreign Direct Investment
(USD Million)
(Net) Portfolio Investment
(USD Million)
Total Foreign Investment Inflows
(USD Million)
Mar-14 2133 5309 7442
Apr-14 2203 -121 2082
Apr’12- Mar -13 19819 26891 46710
Apr’13-Mar-14 21564 4822 26386
% changeFY 14 over FY 13 8.8 -82.1 -43.5
Source:RBI
• A considerable decline was noted in the total foreign in-vestment inflows in
April 2014. The total foreign inflows stood at USD 7.4 billion in March 2014,
which came down to USD 2.1 billion in April 2014, anm-o-m contraction of
72.0 percent. This was primarily owing to a sharp fall in net portfolio
investments inflows.
• Net portfolio investments stood at USD (-) 0.12 billion in April 2014 vis-à-vis
USD 5.4 billion inflows in March 2014.
• However, the daily data for FIIs put out by SEBI points towards a turnaround
in the month of May 2014. The election results announced in May have
brought in a wave of optimism. The investors are once again reposing their
faith in India’s economy.
• Net foreign direct investment in April 2014 amounted to USD 2.2 billion, a
decline by 21 percent on a y-o-y basis. However, net FDI increased by 3.3
percent when compared with March 2014.
Exchange Rate
Rupee Exchange Rate
54.3859.73
83.2100.98
70.7781.24
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Apr-13
May
-13
Jun-1
3
Jul-1
3
Aug-1
3
Sep-1
3
Oct
-13
Nov-
13
Dec-
13
Jan-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar
-14
Apr-14
May
-14
Jun-1
4
Rupee/US dollar Rupee/Pound Sterling Rupee/Euro
Source: CMIE
16 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• The Rupee Dollar exchange rate witnessed some ap-preciation in May 2014.
The Rupee value averaged 59.3 for a dollar in May 2014 vis-à-vis the average
value of 60.4 in April 2014. However, it once again slipped to 59.7 in June
2014.
• The election results did bring in a sentiment of optimism leading to an influx
of foreign investment inflows in both debt and equity markets boosting the
Rupee value.
• However, the pressure on Rupee value remains. The developments in Iraq
and Ukraine might weigh heavy on the currency movements.
• The Rupee USD exchange rate as on July 1, 2014 was 60.14.
17 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Key Policy Announcements – June 2014
• Monetary Policy announced on June 3, 2014 –Reserve Bank of India kept the
repo rate unchanged in the monetary policy announced on June 3, 2014. The
SLR, however, was brought down from 23.0 percent to 22.5 percent.
• Forest clearance to go online from July 1, 2014–The forest clearance process
has been made on line and is likely to ex-pedite the process of green
clearances bringing in greater transparency.
• Hon’ble President Pranab Mukherjee puts across the new government’s road
map – The Hon’ble President presented a comprehensive road map of the
new government focusing on growth with equity and human development.
• Government proposes to enhance FDI in defence subject to strategic
safeguards.
• Government increases rail fares – government announced an increase in rail
fares by around 14.0 percent across all classes, while the freight fares were
increased by 6.5 percent.
• Government announces measures for improving coal availability and quality -
Mr. Piyush Goyal, Minister of State for Power, Coal and New & Renewable
Energy (I/C) announced measures to address concerns of power producers
pertaining to coal availability and quality. While moves like reducing coal for e-
auction could ramp up supplies in the short- term, streamlining the
processes of environmental and forest clearances with time-bound approvals
and ensuring better coordination with railways will help the sector in
increasing coal supplies in the medium term.
18 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• Government extends reduced excise duty rates till December 31, 2014 for
auto industry.
• Labor ministry has introduced a web portal where enterprises can file their
compliance returns for 16 of the 44 central labor laws in the country. This
portal will be applicable only to establishments operating under the Central
sphere and by October this year it will be operational at the national sphere.
It was also informed that in due course of time the Labor Ministry will come
up with a single return format for the 16 labor laws after due amendments in
the rules.
• Central Bank reduces export credit re finance limit - The Reserve Bank of
India’s has reduced the availability of funds under the export credit refinance
(ECR) window to 32 per cent from 50 per cent of export credit outstanding.
However, the RBI, in its second bi-monthly monetary policy, proposed to
“fully compensate’’ for the reduction in liquidity under the scheme through a
special term repo (borrowing) facility of 0.25 per cent of net demand and
time liabilities.
• Government draws a plan for national waterway grid – government has
drawn a Rs 25000 crore plan to create a national waterway grid connecting
Ganga, Brahmputra, Mahanadi and Godavari rivers.
• RBI tightens money laundering rules - Reserve Bank of India has tightened
the money laundering rules for money transfer companies and has
empowered their designated directors to penalizeoffenders who fail to
comply with the Prevention of Money Laundering Act, 2002.
• Government provides clarity on CSR activities under Companies Act - The
government has said that "one off events" such as marathons and
sponsorships of television programmes would not be considered towards
CSR expense and CSR activities should be undertaken only in
‘project/programme’ mode.
• To tackle high food inflation - new government has imposed export restriction
on certain commodities. It is also likely to release 5 million tonnes of rice
from state stock piles and announced to offer a line of credit to the states to
directly import pulses and edible oils to meet shortages. The center had
advised the states to freely allow movement of fruits and vegetables by
delisting those from Agricultural Produce Market Committee (APMC) Act and
has urged states to crack down on hoarders.
Introduction: India-Turkey Bilateral Trade & Investment Relations
Bilateral relations are friendly and cordial and are steadily improving. Indian
economic progress and technological advancement have been instrumental in
the recent upsurge in Turkish interest towards India also given that both are G-20
members with progressive economies.
Institutional arrangements in terms of Joint Commission for Economic and
Technical Cooperation (JCETC), Joint Business Council (JBC) exist between the
two countries. Last meetings of JCETC and JBC were held in India and Turkey in
January 2014 and September 2009 respectively. Turkey and India are signatories
to agreements such as avoidance of double taxation (DTA), reciprocal protection
and promotion of investments (BIPA), S&T, maritime, agricultural and tourism
cooperation.
Economic and commercial relations between India and Turkey have been
growing steadily, though last year saw a significant decline in Turkish exports to
India. Turkey is India's 40thlargest trading partner globally and the 42ndlargest
investor in India.
The last few years have seen substantial growth in trade relations between the
two countries. The balance of trade has been in India's favour. Bilateral trade was
impacted negatively as a result of the financial/economic crisis of 2009. The trade
which was showing signs of healthy growth, contracted by 16% in 2008-2009,
but for 2012-13 it registered a volume of USD 5.99 billion (+ 31.27 % yoy
growth).
Recent Bilateral Trade and Investment Trends
Trade
20 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Introduction: India-Turkey Bilateral Trade & Investment Relations
21 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
India-Turkey Bilateral Trade (figures in USD Million)Source: Ministry of
Commerce and Industry, GoI
2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014
India’s Exports 1,539.20 2,749.15 3,547.26 3,963.66 4,432.48
%Growth 8.64 78.61 29.03 11.74 11.83
India’s Imports 1,603.64 821.06 1,021.91 2,034.18 760.74
%Growth 6.6 -48.8 24.46 99.06 -62.60
Total Trade 3,142.84 3,570.21 4,569.17 5,997.84 5193.22
%Growth 7.59 13.6 27.98 31.27 -13.41
India’s exports to Turkey include cotton and synthetic yarn, organic dyes,
organic chemicals, denim, steel, granite, antibiotics, carpets, unwrought zinc,
sesame seed, TV CRTs, mobile handsets, clothing and apparel.
Turkey’s exports to India include auto components, marble, textile machinery,
handlooms, denim, carpets, cumin seed, minerals (vermiculite, perlite and
chlorites), and fittings and steel products.
Turkey ranks 42ndoverall in terms of FDI Inflows to India with cumulative direct
investment into India amounting to USD 87.23 million (April 2000 – May 2014)
accounting for 0.04% of total FDI inflows.
Turkish companies having presence in India include LÝMAK Construction, SARAR,
SOKTAÞ and IZOPOLI-KINGSPAN.
• LÝMAK has been in India since 2001 and has so far participated, in
collaboration with an Indian company-Soma in construction, widening and
strengthening of National Highway segments measuring 135 kms and in
collaboration with another Indian company – Gammon India Ltd in laying
of cross country pipeline and associated facilities on a 274 kms long
segment.
Investments
Turkish Investments in India
Turkish companies in India
22 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• SARAR, a high-end garment manufacturer entered the Indian market
through its franchisee partners in 2003. SOKTAÞ, a leading garment
manufacturer in the European Customs Union – Turkey registered itself in
India in early 2007 and has also started work on a proposed garment
factory to be set up in Maharashtra.
• IZOPOLI-KINGSPAN, a leading manufacturer of fire retardants, has
already opened an office in India in 2007 and they are looking at the
possibility of putting in investment for manufacturing of the fire
retardants to cater to the Indian market.
• Hidromas – manufacturer of heavy earth movers are in the process of
setting up a manufacturing unit in Chennai.
• A consortium formed by the Nas Aviation Services India Ltd and the
Turkish airport ground services provider Celebi won a tender to provide
ground services for 10 years at Mumbai international airport in India.
Celebi has a 51% stake in the venture while the Indian company has a
49% stake. In yet another development, Celebi won another tender for
modernization of the cargo terminal at Delhi’s IGIA and managing it for 25
years.
• Fernas, a Turkish infrastructure company mainly operating in pipeline
sector, has won a contract for laying and commissioning a segment the
GAIL pipeline in Gujarat.
More than 150 companies with Indian capital have registered businesses in
Turkey in the form of joint ventures, trade and representative offices. They
include M/s Polyplex, GMR Infrastructure, TATA Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra,
Reliance, Ispat, Aditya Birla Group, Tractors and Farm Equipment Ltd., Jain
Irrigation, Wipro and Dabur.
• The Indian Railway Construction Company (IRCON) executed two railroad
electrification projects worth USD 35 million awarded by the Turkish State
Railway Authority (TCDD) in nineties. Since then, there have been some
forward movements in cooperation in this sector.
• Kalpataru, Gujarat along with BARMEK participated in power transmission
line projects for TEAS in 2003.
• Punj Lloyd along with LIMAK had undertaken construction work in the
prestigious Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Pipeline Project. It was the first foreign
company to do such a project in Turkey.
Indian Investments in Turkey
23 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• An Indian company Polyplex set up a polyplex film manufacturing factory
in Chorlu, Turkey in 2005 with a total capital investment of USD 60
million. The production from the factory is utilized mostly for exporting to
West European countries and partly to Turkish market.
• In 2002, Indo-Rama Group started a production unit for polyester fiber.
• TATA Motors have an existing tie-up with Mesin Limited of Isotlar Group
for marketing and after sale service for TATA vehicles in Turkey. For past
few years, they have been selling TATA Pickup vehicles in Turkey. In
February 2005, TATA Motors launched their Passenger Vehicles in Turkey.
This included TATA Indica and TATA Indigo models. TATA Motors has
started an Assembly Unit in Adana for assembly of TATA buses primarily
for export to Middle East.
• Mahindra & Mahindra has formed a joint venture marketing network with
ILCE OtomotivServisve Ticaret A.S. for its utility vehicles and tractors in
Turkey. Approval for utility vehicles has been obtained.
• Industrial houses such as Reliance, Ispat, Aditya Birla Group etc. have
established their trading offices in Turkey to look for opportunities in the
market here.
• Tractors and Farm Equipment Ltd (TAFE), a Chennai-based company of
the Amalgamations group, announced in October 2008 that it plans to set
up a tractor manufacturing plant in Turkey. With an investment of
aroundUSD 20 million,the plant went on stream in 2010 and
manufactures a range of tractors for distribution in Turkey through
AGCO's dealer network.
• The Indian Oil Corporation Limited (IOCL), in collaboration with ÇalikEnerji
of Turkey, was granted license for establishing an oil refinery with a
capacity of 15 million tons a year in Ceyhan, envisaging a total investment
of approximatelyUSD 5 billion. However, the two partners in this project
are yet to agree on details and no work on the ground has started so far.
• National Building Construction Corporation (NBCC) provided consultancy
services for the Marmara Engineering Emergency Reconstruction Project.
• Jain Irrigation Systems has invested aroundUSD20 million in two major
projects in the southern province of Adana. The manufacturing facility
produces irrigation systems. They have plans to invest in a food
processing plant at a later stage.
24 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• Arcelor Mittal has acquired significant business interests in two steel
plants in Turkey, operated by Erdemir and Borusan respectively.
• CRI Pumps have set up an assembly unit in Izmir.
• Dhanus Technologies, a Chennai based IT company had concluded an
agreement to acquire Borusan Telekom - Turkey’s first alternative telecom
operator with “A” type license in January 2008 with an investment of
USD 77 million.
• Some of the Indian companies have invested in mining sector in Turkey,
including in iron ore, marble and boron.
• In July 2010, Indian IT major WIPRO signed a joint service provider
agreement with AS/Nexia of Turkey to provide consultancy services on
energy issues and risk management in the context of the deregulation
and privatization in Turkey.
• Dabur India Limited has acquired 100% stake in HobiKozmetik Group, a
Turkish personal care products company, through its international arm –
Dabur International Limited for Rs 323.78 crores (approximately USD69
million).
• Pioneer WinconPvt. Ltd has installed and commissioned 250 KW capacity
wind turbine in Turkey in July 2010.
• India and Turkey on February 9, 2010 desired to develop and expand
cooperation in science and technology and in other areas of common
interest and launched an Advanced Science and Technology Dialogue,
besides offering to actively study the possibilities of working together in
mutually identified projects in areas such as telecommunications,
computerization, non-technology space research, bio-technology and
environmental technology.
India and Turkey have signed many Agreements over the years to strengthen and
deepen their economic cooperation.
• The Bilateral Trade Agreement between India and Turkey was signed in
1973.
Recent Trade and Investment breakthroughs
Major Bilateral Agreements
25 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• This was followed by an Agreement on setting up an India–Turkey Joint
Committee on Economic and Technical Cooperation (JCETC) in 1983.
Under this Agreement, JCETC meetings are held alternately in India and
Turkey. The 10th session of the JCETC was held in New Delhi in January,
2014.
• Establishment of a Joint Study Group (JSG) to explore the possibility of
concluding a bilateral FTA was announced during 9th JCETC meeting in
2009.
• India-Turkey Joint Business Council (JBC) between Federation of Indian
Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI) and Foreign Economic
Relations Board of Turkey (DEIK) was set up in 1996. The last session of
JBC was held in Istanbul on September 9, 2009.
• During the visit of the Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan in February
2008, FICCI and TOBB signed a memorandum of understanding to
enhance cooperation.
• During visit of the Indian Prime Minister Vajpayee to Turkey in September
2003, it was also decided to set up an Indo-Turkish Joint Working Group
on Trade and Economic Issues (JWG). The first meeting of JWG was held
in New Delhi in October 2004. The second meeting of JWG was held in
Ankara on September 7, 2009.
• During the Turkish Prime Minister TurgutÖzal’s visit to India in 1986, the
bilateral Civil Aviation agreement was signed.
• Two Agreements – one regarding avoidance of double taxation and the
second on tourism – were signed during the Turkish President Demirel’s
visit to India in 1995.
• During President K.R. Narayanan’s visit to Turkey in September 1998,
Agreements on Reciprocal Promotion and Protection of Investment;
Prevention of Illicit Trafficking in Narcotics and Psychotropic Substances;
Memorandum of Understanding between the Council for Scientific and
Industrial Research (CSIR) and Turkish Scientific and Technological
Research Institute (TUBITAK) and Memorandum of Understanding
between the National Centre of Trade Promotion (NCTP) and Export
Promotion Centre of Turkey (IGEME) were signed. Upon exchange of
Instrument of Ratification, the agreement between India and Turkey
concerning the Reciprocal Promotion and Protection of Investment
entered into force on October 18, 2007.
26 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• A Memorandum of Understanding for Cooperation in agriculture was
signed during visit of the Turkish Prime Minister Bülent Ecevit in 2000.
• Another Memorandum of Understanding for cooperation in the Railway
sector was signed during the visit of Turkish Minister for Transport to India
from 21 September to 26 September, 2000.
• During Prime Minister Vajpayee’s visit to Turkey in September 2003, an
Agreement on Cooperation in the field of Science & Technology and a
Protocol on Cooperation in the fields of Information Technology and
Computer Software were signed.
• Cooperation in hydrocarbon sector got a boost when a MoU was signed
during the visit of Turkish Minister of Energy & Natural Resources to India
in November 2005. In pursuance of the MoU, the first meeting of India-
Turkey Joint Working Group (JWG) on cooperation in Hydrocarbons was
held in New Delhi at the time of the referred visit. The second meeting
took place in Ankara on May 21, 2008. The 3rd meeting is to take place in
India on a mutually convenient date.
• A bilateral Memorandum of Understanding in the field of agriculture was
signed on March 31, 2000.
• During the visit of Rashtrapati ji Shri Pranab Mukherjee to Turkey during
October 5-7, 2013, five inter-governmental agreements were signed along
with six agreements in the education sector viz., MoU between NSIC and
Small and Medium Enterprises Development Organization (KOSGEB);
Protocol between All India Radio & Turkish Radio & TV Corporation (TRT);
Protocol between Department of Science & Technology (DST) & Scientific
& Technological Research Council of Turkey (TUBITAK); Protocol between
Doordarshan & TRT; Protocol in the field of Archives between Govt. of
India & Govt. of Turkey ; MoU between Jamia MilliaIslamia & Kadir Has
University, Turkey; MoU between Delhi University &Kadir Has University,
Turkey; MoU between Mevlana University, Turkey & University of
Hyderabad; MoU between Jamia MilliaIslamia & Istanbul University; MoU
between Delhi University & Ataturk University, Turkey; MoU between
JNU & Kadir Has University, Turkey.
Major Sectors of Mutual Interest
Automotive Sector
Turkey
Turkey, according to provisional statistics of the Paris-based International Motor
Vehicle Manufacturers’ Association (OICA), ranked 6thbiggest motor vehicle
manufacturer in Europe and 16th largest in the world in 2012.
Turkey is Europe’s largest producer of commercial vehicles and stands
8thbiggest manufacturer on the planet. In Europe, only Germany, Spain, France,
Russia, United Kingdom manufactured more motor vehicles than Turkey in 2010.
28 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The automotive industry has developed spectacularly since the launching of
Turkey's customs union with the European Union (EU) in 1996, with most of
world's major manufacturers deciding to establish production bases in Turkey for
sales both to domestic and export markets. Production increases have been
export-driven.
Major Sectors of Mutual Interest
Development in the Turkish Automotive Market (2002-2010)
Source: Automotive Manufacturers Association (OSD)
(000 Units)
Production
Exports
Sales
Imports
Share of Exports (%)
2002
357
262
175
83
73
2003
562
360
401
223
64
2004
862
518
754
436
60
2005
914
561
763
438
61
2006
1,024
706
670
384
69
2007
1,132
828
641
359
73
2008
1,171
920
526
306
79
2009
884
637
575
267
72
2010
1,124
763
793
465
68
29 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Today, 14 out of every 1,000 motor vehicles produced in the world are
manufactured in Turkey. In 2009, the nation became Europe’s biggest producer of
commercial vehicles, surpassing Spain and France in output.
All major foreign automotive companies have operations in Turkey, including Ford,
Toyota, Mercedes Benz, Hyundai, MAN, Renault and Fiat. Turkey has 15 large
motor vehicle manufacturers. Most of the companies in the sector are either
foreign-owned or joint ventures with foreign manufacturers. Some produce
under license agreements with foreign manufacturers.
A record 793,172 motor vehicles were sold in Turkey in 2010, up 38% from 2009.
The previous record in sales of motor vehicles in the country was in 2005, when
763,163 units were sold. Some 59% of all motor vehicles sold in Turkey in 2010
were imports.
In addition to passenger cars, farm tractors, trailers, light and heavy-duty trucks,
pick-up trucks, passenger buses, mini and midi buses are produced in Turkey.
Timeline of the Development of the Turkish Automotive Industry
1960-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-1995 2005-20151996-2004
Development of automotive supply
industry
Development of automotive supply
industryStarting of exports
Fully integratedproduction centers,Sustainable global
competition
Growth in R&D. Design and Technology
Management
Assembly plantsreached concrete
capacity
Protected Market-Import Substitution Transition Period-Export Oriented Production
Free Market-Perfect Competition Opportunities
Source: Automotive Manufacturers Association
Companies Passenger Commercial Agricultural
Cars Vehicles Tractors Total
Tofas 115,720 196,525 312,245
Oyak-Renault 307,083 307,083
Ford Otosan 242,070 242,070
Toyota 83,286 83,286
Hyundai Assan 77,000 77,000
Turk Trator 28,277 28,277
Karsan 24,719 24,719
Honda Turkey 20,305 20,305
Turkish Motor Vehicle Production in 2010 by Companies
(In Units)
30 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
With more than 800 manufactures the country also has thriving components,
parts and tyre industries. 80% of the components used are locally manufactured.
Some of the foreign companies with investments in the auto components
industry include Bosal Holding (Belgium), Arcelor Auto (France), H.P. Chemie
Pelzer (Germany), Magnetti Marelli (Italy), Mecaplast (Monaco), Autoliv (Sweden),
Gestamp Automocion and Bamesa Group (Spain), Robert Bosch (Germany), Hanil
E Hwa (South Korea), and Federal Mogul (U.S.), Cummins Inc.(U.S.), Teksid (Italy),
Heyes Lemmerz (U.S.), Arvin Meritor (U.S.), Exide Corp (U.S.), Faurecia (France),
Sango Co. (Japan), Yazaki (Japan), Michelin Kronprinz, Groupe Plastic Omnium
(France),Goodyear (U.S.), Bridgestone (Japan), Toyoda Iron Works (Japan), ZF
Lemförder (Germany), ZF Friedrichshafen (Germany) Mando Corp. (South Korea).
Many of the vehicles produced in Turkey are domestically designed and
manufactured only locally and nowhere else. But Turkey doesn’t have its own
brand automobile. Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has urged the country’s
leading businessmen to come together to produce Turkey’s first international
brand automobile.
The industry is largely export oriented with nearly 80% of all automobiles and
69% of all commercial vehicles sold abroad. About 70% of all of its vehicle
exports are destined to the nations of European Union. Prime Minister Recep
Tayyip Erdogan’s conservative government set a target for USD 75 billion in
annual automotive exports for the country by 2023, the 100th anniversary of the
Republic.
Production of low-cost, small, hybrid or electrically charged models, the real need
of the nation’s consumers, is just in its incipient stages in Turkey. The government
in early 2011 introduced tax incentives to encourage the country’s foreign
dominated manufacturers to produce electric models for domestic and export
markets to revive the industry.
Companies Passenger Commercial Agricultural
Cars Vehicles Tractors Total
M. Benz Tork 14,480 14,480
Temsa 3,367 3,367
B. M. C. 3,342 3,342
Anadolu Isuzu 3,292 3,292
Otokar 2,236 2,236
Hattat Tarim 2,148 2,148
MAN Turkey 1,132 1,132
TOTAL 603,394 491,163 30,425 1,124,982
Source: Automotive Manufacturers' Association (OSD)
31 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Sales taxes on electrical model cars would be a fraction of cars running on
gasoline and other fossil fuels with the Ministry of Finance, in February 2011,
slashing the special consumer tax (ÖTV) on electrical automobiles to as low as
3% from 37%. Buyers of automobiles operating on gasoline, diesel or liquefied
petroleum gas will pay anywhere between 37% to 84% ÖTV on cars depending
on the engine capacity. The developments came as Turkish-designed electrical
automobiles were the stars of the March2011 Geneva Automobile Show.
The high quality of the Turkish industry in terms of production technology,
innovation capacity and human resources is appreciated worldwide.
Geographical position and logistic opportunities make Turkey an attractive
location for automotive investments. Turkish companies are aware of the
importance of these factors for global competition. Turkey is also showing good
progress in harmonizing its legislation and regulations on the automotive sector
with those of the EU in matters such as fair competition, consumers, patents,
machinery directives etc. The country’s legislation is generally in line with
international rules of free trade within the context of the Customs Union and the
World Trade Organization.
The Indian automobile market is estimated to become the 3rd largest in the
world by 2016 and will account for more than 5% of the global vehicle sales;
India is expected to become the 4th automobiles producer globally by 2020 after
China, US and Japan.
India
10,000*
5,100*
3,2343,1462,9872,357
1,838
2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2015-16 2020-21
Figures for financial year - April to March
(*Estimates)
• CAGR 2008-12: 14%
• CAGR 2012-21: 13%*
('000 units)
10,000
7,500
5,000
2,500
Passenger Vehicles Prodution
32 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The turnover of the Indian auto component sector stood at USD 39.7 billion in
FY2012–13. The growth is likely to remain robust in coming years with the auto
component industry expected to reach USD 115 billion by 2020/21.
Holding immense promise, India’s exports of auto components increased at a
CAGR of 17% during 2008-13; Exports have further risen to USD 9.7 billion in
2012-13. India is emerging as global hub for auto component sourcing. Relative
to competitors, India is geographically closer to key automotive markets like the
ASEAN, Japan, Korea & Europe.
One of the key factors driving the sector’s growth is the cost advantage enjoyed
for the sector vis-a-via Europe and Latin America. Another factor is India being
the 4th largest producer of steel in the world and among the lowest-cost ones; ndthe country is slated to become the 2 largest steel producer by 2015. Buoyed
by the future potential, major global OEMs are planning to make India a
component sourcing hub for their global operations.
Growing working population and expanding middle class are expected to remain
key demand drivers. Presence of a large pool of skilled and semi-skilled
workforce amidst a strong educational system is only going to extend needed
support to log impressive growth in coming years. Increased investments in
R&D operations and laboratories, which are being set up to conduct activities
Eicher Maruti SuzukiEscorts New HollandHero Moto Corp MahindraHonda Motorcycle Suzuki MotorcyclesHonda SIELCars Swaraj MazdaICML Tata MotorsJCB Yamaha
Bajaj Auto Man ForceFlat Marcedes BenzForce Mators PSAGM SkodaJohn Deere Tata HitachiMahindra Tata MotorsMahindra Navistar Volkswagen
Volvo Eicher
*New Hub: SanandTata Motors, Maruti, Ford India,
Ashok Leyland RenaultBMW ROyal EnfieldCaterpiller Same DeutzDaimler TAFEFord Tata MotorsHindustan Motors Toyota KirloskarHyundai TVSNissan VOlvo Buses
Hindustan Motors
(Illustrative List)
Automotive Clusters in India
Singficant Manufacturing base of OEMs-Indian & Global
North
West
South
East
33 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
such as analysis and simulation, and engineering animations. Reduction in excise
duties in motor vehicle sector will spur demand for auto components. Several
global Tier-I suppliers have therefore announced plans to increase procurement
from their Indian subsidiaries.
The growth of global OEM sourcing from India and the increased in digenisation
of global OEMs is turning the country into a preferred designing and
manufacturing base. Investment opportunities are emerging in engine & engine
parts. The entry of global players is expected to intensify competition in sub-
segments such as gears, clutches and shock absorbers.
Foreign Investors in Auto Component Sector
Bosch (Germany) Delphi, UK
Aisin Seiki Company (Japan) GrazianoTrasmissioni (Italy)
Denso (Japan) ZF (Germany)
Valeo, (France) FAG (Germany)
TRW (USA) Magna (Canada)
Japan 58%
Korea 17%
Local 17%
US 6%
Europe 2%
Korea 26%
Japan 53%
Europe 5%US
7%
Local 9%
Mercedes BenzFordToyotaHondaGMFlatHyundaiMaruti SuzukiTata MotorsMahindraHindustan Motors
BMW
VW
Skoda
Renault Nissan
Mercedes Benz
Ford
Toyota
Honda
GM
Flat
Hyundai
Maruti Suzuki
Tata Motors
Mahindra
Force Motors
Hindustan Motors
Maruti SuzukiTata MotorsMahindraHindustan MotorsPremier
MahindraHindustan MotorsPremier
Rapidly growing presence of Global OEMS
Passenger Vehicle market share by OEM parent country
2007 2011
1980 1990 2000 2011
Illustrative List
Loca
lFore
ian
34 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
It is estimated that there will be excellent demand in India for low cost xEVs that
are suited for safe short-distance urban commute (average 50-100 km/trip), and
are rugged enough to perform reliably in the most hot climatic conditions that
also see torrential monsoon rains for 3-4 months of the year. It is estimated that
the total xEV sales would be about 6-7 million units by 2020.
100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route in auto components sector
subject to all the applicable regulations and laws.
The textile industry, combining cotton and synthetic yarns, fibers and fabrics,
home textiles, ready-wear and apparel, continues to be the largest economic
sector of Turkey, employing an estimated 2.5 million people and providing indirect
jobs for 6.5 million others. The industry contributes to around 10% of the GNP.
Turkey’s textile industry is the world’s 10th biggest and the European Union’s
number one supplier. The clothing industry until recent times was characterized
by small, low-capital family-run operations, many of which were simple cut and
paste operations with no original designs and products.
The country has around 180,000 clothing producers. The country has around
2,000 textile manufacturers, which are large-scale, heavily mechanized
operations, employing more than 150persons each and having more than USD 15
million in annual sales each. About 60% of the nation’s textile and clothing are
exported.
Textile and Apparel Sector
Turkey
Turkey Textile, Clothing, Leather and Carpet Exports in 2009 and 2010
(In 1,000 U.S. Dollars)
*Textile and raw materials: cotton yam, gray cloth, fabrics, home taxtiles, synthetics fibers and yarns andfabrics, accassories, and technical textiles.
Source: Turkish Exporters' Assembly(TIM)
Products 2009 2010 Change in % Over 2009
Ready wear and apparel 13,297,909 14,644,153 10.7
Textile and Raw Materials 5,514,480 6,528,299 18.4
Leather and leather products 1,064,715 1,272,305 19.5
Carpets 1,086,205 1,286,389 20.8
Total 20,963,349 23,732,144 13.2
35 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkey is the world’s 6th biggest ready wear and apparel manufacturer and the
European Union’s 2nd largest supplier after China. According to the Turkish
Clothing Manufacturers’ Association and the Centre for the Promotion of Exports
(ÝGEME) the nation controls a 4.3% share in the global export trade in clothing, a
6.4% share in foreign sales of apparel in the European Union, and a 1.7% of
exports of apparel to the U.S.
The industry is undergoing a major restructuring because of increased
competition from low cost products from China in the European Union and the
U.S., Turkey’s principal markets for textiles. Particularly hard hit have been Turkish
ready-wear manufacturers, who are seeing their profits decline and markets
shrink.
Nevertheless, Turkey’s vast clothing and apparel industry is changing its image
from a mass producer of ready wear for manufacturers, fashion houses and
department stores in western Europe and the United States to a creator and
retailer of new designs, fashions and quality labels, turning out higher end and
higher priced products for upper income families.
The conditions are ripe for foreign investment and partnerships in aspects of
quality design and production, management, marketing and distribution. Co-
production of European and Turkish firms is now a general fact. Some 294
foreign-owned firms operate in the sector. Many western manufacturers, such as
Hugo Boss and Levi Strauss have manufacturing operations in Turkey. Foreign
department stores and hypermarkets, such as Marks and Spencer, JC Penny, and
Sears have purchasing offices in Turkey or have agents that make purchase
orders on behalf of them. Companies such as GAP, Next and Nike also buy direct
from Turkish producers for their (world-wide networks). The existence of these
companies has to some extent protected Turkey from the progressive loss of
competitiveness due to the over-valued Turkish Lira.
Turkey's Main Textile Exports Are
• Cotton weaves including, cotton apparel and weaves
• Woolen yarns and weaves
• Silk and synthetic yarns, weaves and chord fabrics
• Linen, hemp and jute, including sisal yarn and sisal weaves
• Floor covering, hand made and machine made carpets, tuftring, felt and kilims
• Knit wear
• Ready wear garments
• Leatherwear and footwear
36 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkey has been producing garments and ready wear for a wide range of
European and American fashion houses and clothing manufacturers and retailers
from Versace to Benetton to Wal-Martand Carrefour for the past two decades.
The country’s demographics with 50% of Turkey’s 73.711 million people are
under the age 28 and its closeness to heavily populated markets in Western and
Eastern Europe, the Middle East, and Africa make it an excellent base for foreign
investment.
The top five foreign markets for Turkish exports are Germany, the USA, the
Russia, the UK and France.
Turkey also imports clothing and textiles mainly gray cloth, cotton yarn, fabrics,
synthetic fibers and yarns. Most of its imported clothing comes from Italy, Spain,
China, England, Germany, France, Bulgaria, India, Greece and the Netherlands.
Most of its textile imports originate from the U.S., Italy, Germany, China, India,
South Korea, Pakistan, Indonesia and Greece. According to a report by TÜÝK
Turkey imported2.557 billion in textile and apparel in 2010.The country is also a
major importer of cotton. In 2010, it paid USD 3.385 billion for cotton imports.
Turkey also imports chemical dyes. Turkey’s clothing manufacturers are also
hoping to be admitted to planned special industrial zones that will be able to sell
products to the U.S. without any quotas and tariffs.
Textile imports were around USD10.179 billion in 2010, including cotton and
synthetic fibers and leather products and accessories. Clothing imports
increased rapidly between 1999 and 2005,with a CAGR of 25.4%, reaching
USD2.562 billion in 2010. Around 70% of the total textile and apparel imports are
textile materials like cotton, fibers, yarns and fabrics, and the rest are ready made
garments and articles.
Size of Textile and Apparel Industry
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
16
30
23 26
52
45
89
89
140
Domestic Exports
42
37 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
India
India is 2ndlargest exporter of textile and apparel in the world. The sector
contributes 14% to industrial production and 4% to GDP and 13% of country’s
export earnings. With over 45 million people, the industry is one of the largest
sources of employment generation in the country. The domestic textile and
apparel industry in India is estimated to reach USD100 billion by 2016-17 from
USD67 billion in 2013-14.
Total fabric production in India is expected to grow to 112 billion square metres
by 2016-17 from 64 billion square metres in 2013-14.India’s fibre production is
expected to reach an estimated 10 million tonnes in 2016-17 compared to 7
million tonnes in 2013-14.
Indian textile industry accounts for about 24% of the world’s spindle capacity
and 8% of global rotor capacity. India has the highest loom capacity (including
hand looms) with 63% of the world’s market share. India accounts for about
14% of the world’s production of textile fibers and yarns. India’s manufacturing
spans the entire value chain-from fiber to finished goods. Indian handicrafts and
handlooms provide unparalleled design and product diversity.
The fundamental strength of the textile industry in India is its strong production
base of wide range of fiber/yarns from natural fibers like cotton, jute, silk and
wool to synthetic/man-made fibers like polyester, viscose, nylon and acrylic.India
is largest producer of Jute, 2ndlargest producer of Silk and Cotton.
India enjoys a comparative advantage in terms of skilled manpower available at
reasonable wages. Increased penetration of organized retail and favourable
demographics are driving textile demand. Changing lifestyle and increasing
demand for quality products is set to fuel demand for apparel.
Total Produce of Indian Textile Industry in Fabric Sector
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
40000
45000
50000
55000
2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007
38 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Increasing disposable income of Indian consumer along with brand awareness is
expected to lead branded segment of apparel market to grow in double digits in
foreseeable future. Indian retail market with 1.2 billion consumer base is one of
the most attractive destinations for all global brands and retailer today.
Indian Government has introduced favourable policies to support the industry
including-promotion of textile parks, processing parks, apparel parks, interest
subvention under TUFS, skill development. Special central and state government
incentives are available to technical textile sector investment in order to promote
this sector. With a high expected market growth rate, technical textile sector
offers immense opportunity to investors.
India domestic consumption and exports are both are on a high growth
trajectory. At this point in time, investment in large scale, efficient garment
factories is a good proposition for investors.
With manufacturing costs rising in China and its internal demand also growing,
China is vacating space in international trade. India is the only credible alternative
sourcing base and hence there is an expansion in export market for Indian goods.
Foreign investors in India
Hugo Boss, Germany Liz Claiborne, USA
Marzotta, Italy Marks & Spencer, UK
JC Penny, USA Gap, USA
Rieter, Switzerland Trutzschler, Germany
Soktas, Turkey Zambiati, Italy
Bilsar, Turkey Monti, Italy
CMT, Mauritius E-land, South Korea
Skaps, USA Ahlstorm, USA
Terram, UK Strata Geosystems, USA
Nissinbo, Japan Marubeni, Japan
Benetton, Italy Esprit, USA
Benetton, Italy Levi’s, USA
Zara, Spain Mango, Spain
Jockey, USA Levi Strauss, USA
100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route in textile sector subject to all the
applicable regulations and laws.
39 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Marble, Ceramics & Sanitary Products and Glassware Sector
Turkey
Marble
Ceramics & Sanitary Products
Turkey is one of the world’s oldest and biggest producers of marble.The natural
stone has been produced in Anatolia for 4,000 years with mining having started
on Marmara Island, from which it is believed marble (mermerininTurkish) got its
name.
The nation has the world’s largest marble reserves with 13.9 billion tons (5.2
billion cubic meters),controlling one-third of global reserves. In 2009, some 2.715
million cubic meters of marble and 15.322 million tons of other naturalstones
were mined in Turkey, the 7thbiggest producer and 8thlargest exporter of
thenatural stone in the world.
As per a report by General Directorateof Mining,Turkey’s exports of marble and
other natural stones (travertine, granite, limestone, dolomite, esiteand onyx)
stood at 6,640,908 tons worth USD1.568 billion in 2010, up 28.3% from
USD1.222billion in 2009, accounting for 42.9% of the country’s mineral and ore
exports.
More than 1,500 marble quarries, 1,500 marble processing plants and 7,500
workshops exist inthe country, employing 250,000 persons.
The ceramics industry is one of Turkey’s most competitive sectors. The industry
expanded its output three-fold during the 1990s and the early 2000s, as a result
of investments in technology, research and development and gigantic increases
in capacity. Turkey today is the world’s 6thbiggest producer of ceramic tiles and
the 3rdin terms of exports.
The nation is also Europe’s biggest producer of sanitary ware. Turkey produces
floor and wall tiles, porcelain, and ceramic bathroom sinks, water closets,
bathtubs, bidets and accessories. One-third of Turkish production is exported.
According to the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK), Turkish ceramic exports to
talled USD644,706 million in 2010, a 21.7% increase from 2009. Turkish ceramic
tile exports go to 113 countries, while its sanitary ware products are sold in 95
nations.
40 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Inheriting a rich tradition, Turkish ceramic producers have combined the
multicultural and multi-coloured historical riches of Anatolia with modern designs.
The Turkish ceramics industry employs an estimated 220,000 people. Seven
producers Kale Group, Söðüt, Toprak, Seramiksan, Graniser, Eczacibaþi,
Yurtbayand Tamsa control about 60% of production capacity in ceramic tiles.
There are 26 large and mid-sizefirms producing ceramic tiles and 40 firms
manufacturing sanitary ware in Turkey.In sanitary ware, Eczacibaþi has the largest
production capacity in the world with 6.2 millionunits and, at the same time, the
largest capacity available under one roof. Another major globalproducer is
SerelSeramik. The nation’s produces around 17 million items annually, according
tothe Turkish Ceramics Federation, a trade group.The top seven companies
control 67% of productive capacity in the ceramics sanitary ware sub-sector.
As per Turkish Ceramics Federation report,by the end of 2010, Turkey had a
407.375 million-square meter ceramic tile production capacity,as a result of new
investments and capacity increases. A thriving housing and real estate market in
Turkey has driven enormous increases in production, particularly for wall and
floor coverings and sanitary ware.
The country’s biggest ceramics manufacturer is the Kaleseramik, which has an
annual 72 millionsquaremeter ceramic tile production capacity. Turkish production
in ceramic tiles in 2010 wasaround 260 million square meters while production in
sanitary ware was 230,000 tons.
“The language of stone surpasses the language of man”- Rabindranath Tagore,
Nobel Laureate
India is a treasure trove of stones, possessing a wide spectrum of dimensional
stones viz. granite, marble, sandstone, limestone, slate, quartzite etc. spread out
India
Exports of the Ceramic Industry 2008 - 2010
(In Million U.S. Dollars)
Ceramic Tiles 517,116 390,849 487,798
Ceramic Sanitary Ware 176,516 139,036 156,908
Total Ceramic Exports 693,632 529,885 644,706
2008 2009 2010
Source : Undersecretariat of Foreign Trade
41 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
all over the country. The nation is one of the largest producers of stones in the
world. The Indian stone industry has been growing steadily at an annual rate of
around 10% per year for the past few years.
The quality of deposits is outstanding and Indian stones are known for their
strength and vibrancy.Indian Stones conform to the highest International
Standards and provide excellent uniformity and consistency and have been used
in several well-known buildings all over the world.
India is also amongst the largest producer of raw stone material and the sector is
quite developed and vibrant in South as well as in Rajasthan and Gujarat, with a
dedicated resource of entrepreneurs. India also has an indigenous resource of
machinery & tool manufacturers, which cater well to the demands of this sector.
The Indian stone industry has evolved into the production and manufacturing of
blocks, flooring slabs, structural slabs, calibrated - ready to fix tiles, monuments,
tomb stones, sculptures, artefacts, cobbles, cubes, kerbs, pebbles and
landscape garden stones.
While being the 3rdlargest exporter of stones in the world, India is also amongst
the largest consumers of stones and stone products. With a well-established
distribution network within India, the Indian stone industry caters well to the
domestic demand and rising aspirations of the burgeoning middle class of India.
Dimensional Stone Exports From India (Million Rupees)
*estimates
Indian Stone Exports comprise mainly Granite Cut Blocks, Granite Slabs and Tiles, The Share of marble, state
and sandstone are steadily increasing for the past few years. The major importers of Indian stones are USA
Italy, Taiwan, Japan, Germany and China.
Capexil Description 2004-05 2005-05 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10*
Granite and Products 27257.99 34904.91 47248.42 42874.85 48149.00 50508.00
Marble and Products 1766.00 1668.91 1784.73 2914.21 2293.40 1889.00
Slatestone 1931.25 2107.40 2350.41 2110.10 2072.05 2417.00
Other stones products 5505.63 6937.57 10640.45 12816.68 9776.56 8989.00
Grand Total 3641.20 45619.79 62024.01 60715.84 62291.01 63800.00
Export trends India is amongst the leading exporter countries of the world, bieng a close
copetitor to China and Italy who are the leader.
42 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Marble Deposits in India
State Total (In million tons)
All India Total 2216
Rajasthan 1144
Jammu & Kashmir 405
Madhya Pradesh (estimated) 400
Gujarat 95
Chhattisgarh 83
Maharashtra 59
Haryana 22
Uttaranchal 6
Sikkim 2
Marble
Marble deposits are widespread in India with deposits of economic importance
being concentrated in the states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana
and Andhra Pradesh. Newer varieties are gradually being developed for economic
exploitation in the states of Bihar, Jammu & Kashmir, Maharashtra, Sikkim, Uttar
Pradesh and West Bengal.
Rajasthan is the main depository of marble with reserves spread over the
districts of Nagaur, Udaipur, Rajsamand, Banswara, Dungarpur, Jaipur, Sirohi,
Bhilwara, Ajmer, Bundi, Alwar and Pali. The main varieties in Rajasthan are Green,
Makrana Albeta White, Makrana Kumari White, Makrana Dungri White, Jhiri
Onyx, Phalodi Pink, Ambaji White, Indo-Italian, Babarmal Pink, Bhainslana Black,
Forest Green, Forest Brown, Agaria White, Morwar White etc.
Next to Rajasthan, Gujarat has vast reserves of marble in Banskantha, Bharuch,
Vadodara, Kachchh and Panchmahals districts. Of these, Ambaji area in
Banaskantha district and Chunchupura area in Vadodara district are the main
quarrying centres for marble. Deposits of marble in Andhra Pradesh are spread
over Guntur, Khammam, Cuddapah, Kurnool and Anantapur districts. Marble
rocks of Bhedaghat, Katni, Majholi near Jabalpur in Madhya Pradesh are the
latest discoveries.
Marble reserves in India were assessed by Indian Bureau of Mines in the year
2000. Subsequently, extensive deposits spread over 65 sq. km. area was
discovered in Madhya Pradesh and are now being actively exploited.
43 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Granite
India is endowed with one of the best granite deposits in the world having
excellent varieties comprising over 200 shades. India accounts for over 20% of
the world resources in granite. Granite reserves in India have now been
estimated by Indian Bureau of Mines at over 42,916 million cubic metres.
Splendid black and multicolour varieties of granite are available in the states of
Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Uttar Pradesh. Granite deposits are
also widespread over the provinces of Rajasthan, Bihar, West Bengal and Gujarat.
India is the largest exporter of granite and granite products in the world.
Granite Deposits in India
State Total (In million tons)
All India Total 42916
Karnataka 9740
Jharkhand 8847
Rajasthan 8479
Andhra Pradesh 2788
Orissa 2135
Maharashtra 878
Tamil Nadu 713
Assam 584
Uttar Pradesh 495
Gujarat 420
Meghalaya 286
Chhatisgarh 50
Haryana 34
West Bengal 33
Kerala 4
Ceramics & Sanitary Products
According to the Indian Council of Ceramic Tiles and SanitarywareIndian tile
industry, despite an overall slowdown of the economy, continues to grow at a
healthy 15% per annum. Investments in the last 5 years have aggregated over
Rs 5000 crores. The overall size of the Indian ceramic tile industry is
44 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
approximately Rs 18,000 crore (FY12). The production during 2011-12 stood at
approximately 600 million square meters. India ranks in the top 3 list of countries
in terms of tile production in the world.
Ceramic tiles as a product segment have grown to a sizeable chunk today at
approximately 680 millions square meters production per annum.The key drivers
for the ceramic tiles in India are the boom in housing sector coupled by
government policies fuelling strong growth in housing sector. The retail boom in
the Indian economy has also influenced the demand for higher end products.
The main product segments are the Wall tile, Floor tile, Vitrified tile and Industrial
tile segments. The market shares (in value terms) are 20%, 23% 50%, and 7%
respectively for Wall, Floor, Vitrified, and Industrial tiles. Both, traditional methods
of manufacturing (tunnel) and the latest single fast firing methods are deployed in
manufacturing. Some of the latest trends in manufacturing methods can be seen
in India.
The industry also enjoys the unique distinction of being highly indigenous with an
abundance of raw materials, technical skills, infrastructural facilities despite being
fairly capital intensive. A total of over 5,50,000 people are employed in the
sector. The potential is huge considering the per capita consumption of ceramic
tiles in India. Currently it is at 0.50 square meters per person in comparison to
over 2 square meters per person for like countries like China, Brazil and Malaysia.
Turkey, one of the world’s fastest growing tourism markets, is the 6th most
visited holiday destination in the world (2012), attracting more than 30 million
tourists each year. The Turkish tourism industry’s energetic and continuous
growth remains unhindered by the negative effects of the recent global
economic crisis, while retaining immense untapped potential.
The robustly growing industry is enriched by its wide variety of tourist
attractions, such as breathtaking coastlines along the Aegean and Mediterranean
seas with long sandy beaches and pristine bays. Construction is continuing on
hundreds of new luxury hotels and holiday villages along the Turquoisecoast, the
highly indented southwest corner of Anatolia, which will cement the
nation’splace in the big league of world tourism in the next five years. In addition
to the hotel and resort construction boom, drinking water and sewage systems
Tourism Sector
Turkey
45 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
arebeing overhauled, and new marinas and golf courses are being built to attract
rich foreign tourists to coastal areas, characterized by miles of long, unpolluted
beaches, ruins of magnificent cities of antiquity, and long warm summers and
mild winters. New hotels are also springing up in Istanbuland other big cities to
encourage convention and business tourism across Turkey.
According to a report by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUÝK) the number of
tourists visiting Turkey swelled 21.7-fold in the past three decades, from
1.523million in 1979 to a record 33.027 million in 2010, including 28.632 million
foreign nationals and 4.395 million Turks living abroad but visiting the country.
Turkey’s tourism earnings also grew from a modest USD 280 million in 1979 to a
record USD 21.2 billion in 2009, according to the Ministry of Culture and Tourism.
In 2008, the country had a 3.34% share in the global tourism market share,
upfrom 2.7% in 2005.By 2023, the centennial of the republic, Turkey aims to
attract 60 million foreign tourists annually and earn USD60 billion a year from
tourism, according to the State Planning Organization (DPT).
In 2013 Travel & Tourism Competitive Index report by World Economic
Forum,Turkey averaged 4.44 out of 6.The Travel & Tourism Competitive Index
measures the investment attractiveness of the travel and tourism industry in a
country.Turkey improved both its air transport and tourism infrastructure from
2011 to 2013. Nine airports were built from 2003 to 2013, which increased the
total number of airports to more than 50.
Year Tourists (million) Revenues (billion dollars)
2004 17.6 15.9
2005 21.1 18.2
2006 19.8 16.9
2007 23.3 18.5
2008 26.3 21.9
2009 27.0 21.2
2010 28.6 20.8
Foreign Tourist Arivals in Turkey 2003-2009
France
Spain
Italy
Turkey
Brazil
Thailand
Serbia
Russia
Romania
Bulgaria
6
5.5
5
4.5
4
3.5
3
T&T Regulatory Framework
Business Environment and infrastructure
T&T Human, Cultural and Natural Resources
Source : World Economic Forum; The Travel and Tourism
Competitive Index Report
Note: Scores from 1-6
46 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
At the end of 2009, Turkey had 3,379 hotels and holiday villages with a total bed
capacity of840,241, according to the Association of Turkish Travel Agencies. This
is an enormous expansion since 1966, when the country had only 456 hotels
with a bed capacity of just under 40,000.As per Tourism Investors’ Association
investors are pouring USD 3 billion into the construction of 124 new hotels,
including 22 five-star and36 four-star facilities, across the country.
The contribution of the travel and tourism industry to Turkey’s GDP has a higher
growth forecast compared to that of Europe. From 2013 to 2023 average growth
is expected to remain around 3% for Turkey which higher than what is projected
for Europe in the same period (around 2%). The contribution of the industry to
employment is projected to increase from USD 2.1 billion to USD 2.5 billion,
which is a 17% increase from 2013 to 2023.
The Travel and Tourism Competitive Index, 2013
47 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Some 255 foreign hotel operators have direct investments in Turkey, including
America’s Hilton, the Ritz Carlton Hotels and Resorts and the Sheraton, and
Canada’s Four Seasons Hotels andResorts, Germany’s Kempinski and Iberote,
the Marriottl and France’s Novotel Hotels and ClubMediterranean.
According to the World Travel and Tourism Council the nation has theopportunity
to develop alternatives including ecological tourism, incentive and convention
tourism,adventure travels, ski holidays, religious and culture tours, and there is
almost immeasurablepotential for growth and profit in the travel and tourism
industry in Turkey.
Travel & Tourism Employment, 2007-2023
Source : World Travel & Tourism Council
-6%
-3%
-1%
2%
5%
7%
10%
12%
15%
17%
20%
22%
20
07
20
08
20
09
201
0
201
1
201
2
201
3*
201
4*
201
5*
201
6*
201
7*
201
8*
201
9*
2020*
2021*
2022*
2023*
Contribution to GDP of Turkey
Contribution to GDP of Europe
Chan
ge
Source : World Travel & Tourism Council
Travel & Tourism Growth, 2007-2023
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
007
2 008
2 009
2012
001
12 012
201
*
23
2023
*
Contribution to Employment Growth
US
D B
illio
n
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Gro
wth
17. 41 %
48 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
India
The direct contribution of travel and tourism to the Indian GDP in 2013 was Rs.
2,178.1 billion (USD 35.71 billion approx.) (2% of GDP); this is forecasted to rise
by 7.5% to Rs. 2,341.45 billion (USD 38.38 billion approx.) in 2014. Number of
domestic tourist visits in India during 2012 was 1,036.3 million (provisional) as
compared to 864.53 million in 2011, with a growth rate of 19.9%.
rdTourism is the 3 largest foreign exchange earner for India after gems and
jewellery and readymade garments. In 2013 foreign exchange earnings (FEE)
from tourism were USD18.13 billion as compared to USD17.74 billion in 2012,
registering a growth of 2.2%. Tourism is a big employment generator; every one
million invested in tourism creates 78 jobs. Foreign tourist arrivals during 2013
were 6.97 million with a growth of 5.9% as compared to 6.31 million during 2011.
India ranks 42nd in the United Nations World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
rankings for foreign tourist arrivals. With a share of 1.56% in the world’s tourism
receipts, India occupies the 16th rank.
UNWTO has forecast that the travel and tourism industry in India will grow by
8% per annum, in real terms, between 2008 and 2016. Foreign exchange
earnings from tourism are likely to show annualized growth of 14% during the
same period.
Growing recognition of tourist’s contribution to employment and economic
growth, availability of better infrastructure, focused marketing and promotion
efforts, liberalization of air transport, growth of online travel portals, growing
intraregional cooperation and more effective PPPs are seen as key drivers for
tourism in the next decade.
More than half of the Ministry of Tourism, Govt.of India’s Plan budget is
channelized for funding the development of destinations, circuits, mage projects
as also for rural tourism infrastructure projects. The ministry also ensured that
10% and 2.5% of its total annualplan 2013-2014 outlay went to the tourism
projects in the north- eastern region and tribal areas, respectively. Recently, the
India government has also released a fresh category of visa referred to as
medical visa or ‘M’ visa; it is especially designed to encourage medical tourism
in India.
100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route in tourism and hospitality,
subject to applicable regulations and laws; 100% FDI allowed in tourism
construction projects including development of hotels, resorts and recreational
facilities.
49 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Foreign Investors In India
Accor, France Four Seasons,Canada
Starwood, USA Thomas Cook, UK
Marriott ,USA Expedia , UK
Premier Travel Inn, UK Cox & Kings, UK
Mandarin Oriental, Hong Kong Jumeirah, UAE
The National Tourism Policy, 2002 has a vision to enhance employment potential
within the tourism sector as well as to foster economic integration through
developing linkages with other sectors; policy objectives include positioning
tourism sector as a major engine of economic growth, positioning India as a
global brand, acknowledging the Critical role of private sector and creating
integrated tourism circuits.
Construction and Real Estate Sector
Turkey
Housing Market
As per a report by the Turkish StatisticalInstitute (TÜÝK) Turkey’s construction
industry grew 17.5% in 2010 after slumping 16.3% in 2009. The industry has run
parallel to Turkey’s recovery from the global recession, during which the housing
market sharply declined, government spending on infrastructure projects,
ranging from urban transport and intercity motor ways to hydro electricdams and
sewerage systems, fell. The Real Estate Investment Trusts’ Association
(GYODER), a trade group, estimated that market size of the construction industry
was USD43.6 billion in 2010.
The sector grew 21.5% in 2005 and 19.4% in 2006, and 5.7% in 2007, after a flat
average annual2.4% growth from 1990 to 2004.The construction industry
accounted for 3.8% of Turkey’s GDP in2009, down from 5.3% in 2006. The
industry’s share in theeconomy is predicted to grow in the coming years.
Demand for public housing is continuing in Turkey’s urban centres, particularly
Istanbul, its largestcity, because of an influx of rural migrants displaced from the
countryside, rising income levels amongmetropolitan residents, a booming
young population and the availability of low-cost mortgages.The country’s
population is rising 1.6% a year, but in the cities of western and southern
Turkey,the population is growing 4% annually because of the migration from the
rural areas,according to Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜÝK).
50 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
GYODER in a report published in 2011 estimated that Turkey would need to build
3.4 million housing units by 2015. The requirement for housing loans will be
around USD80.103 billion a year in 2015, a more than two-fold increase from
2010, the report said. In 2000, housing loans stood at a mere USD961,654, the
Banks Association reported.
A surge is taking place in the construction of new office buildings and shopping
centres in citiesthroughout Turkey, where new American-style suburbs are
mushrooming.Turkey had 270 modern shopping centres as of March 2011 and
some 74 others were underconstruction, according to Jones Lang LaSalle, a
global real estate services group. Even oncesleepyeastern Anatolian cities, like
Elazi ð, Diyarbakir, Tatvan, Karabük, Kastamonu and Sivasnow have thriving
shopping malls.
Shopping Centres and Commercial Buildings
Shopping Centres in Turkey as of March 31, 2011
Istanbul Anatolia Total
96
28
124
174
46
220
270
74
344
Existing
Under Construction
Total*
* Total projected for and 2013
Source: Jones Lang Lasalle
2Rentable Space in Turkish Shopping Centers (M )
2009 2010 2011MARCH
UNDERCONSTRUCTION
END OF 2013 TOTAL
Istanbul 2.280.000 2.650.000 2.850.000 1.020.000 3.870.000
Source: Jones Lang Lasalle
Anadolu
Total
3.410.000
5.690.000
3.870.000
6.520.000
3.930.000
6.780.000
1.270.000
2.290.000
5.200.000
9.070.000
Some 6,780,000 square meters of rentable space was available at Turkish
shopping centres as of the end of March 2011, up from 4,858,280 million square
meters at the end of 2007. As per Jones Lang La Salle Turkey will have a total
344 shopping centres with available rentable space of 9,070,000 square meters
by the end of 2013.
All this isn’t strange in a country that introduced the concept of shopping centres
to the world. The 15th century Covered Bazaar is still the world’s biggest
51 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
emporium with more than 4,000shops on 58 streets in a labyrinthine structure of
connecting markets in central Ýstanbul, sellingmainly jewellery, furniture,
garments, leather wear, ceramics, carpets and other home textiles. As a result of
a building spree that began 22 years ago, Istanbul with its population
approaching14 million now has more modern shopping centres than in any other
European city.
Foreign developers, such as Coldwell Banker of Parsippany, New Jersey, and
Emaar of Dubai, haveen tered the construction market in Turkey. Coldwell Banker,
the biggest U.S. real estate company, in 2008 began to invest USD5 billion in
Turkishreal estate, including construction of studio apartment flats in Istanbul’s
Beylikdüzü district. Emaar, which has developed the USD700 million “Toskana
Valley” villas in Istanbul’s Büyükçek mecedistrict, acquired the Libadiye
Properties, on the Asian side of the city, from the Savings Deposits Insurance
Fund, a state banking receivership fund, in February 2008. It announced that it
would build new residential homes, business offices and a shopping centre at
the site near the Çamlica hilltop park. Emaar also said it was looking at investing
in housing projects in other fast growing Turkish cities.
The real estate sector is the 2ndlargestemployment-generating sector after
agriculture. Growing at a rate of about 20% per annum, this sector has been
contributing about 5-6% to India’s GDP. Not only does it generate ahigh level of
direct employment, but it also stimulates the demand in over 250
ancillaryindustries such as cement, steel, paint, brick, building materials,
consumer durables and so on.
The Indian real estate industry has been on a roller coaster ride since 2005.
Consequent to the Government’s policy to allow 100% Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI) under the‘automatic route’ in townships, housing, built-up
infrastructure and construction development projects, there was a boom
ininvestment and developmental activities. The sector not only witnessed the
entry of many new domestic realty players but also the arrival of many foreign
real estate investment companies including private equity funds, pension funds
and development companies who entered the sector lured by the high returns
on investments. The real estate sector has been riding through many highs and
lows since then. The industry achieved new heights during 2007 and early
2008,characterised by a growth in demand, substantial development and
increased foreign investments. However, by mid-2008, the effects of the global
economic slowdown were evident here as FDI inflow into real estate dropped
India
52 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
significantly and what had emerged as one of the most promising markets for
foreign investments experienced a down turn.
India has huge potential to attract large foreign investments into real estate. With
real estatereaching a point of saturation in developed countries and the demand
and prices falling, global real estate players are looking at emerging economies
such as India for tapping opportunities in real estate.
Indian real estate will stay attractive due to its strong economic fundamentals
and demographic factors. While developed economies are still struggling to
regain their growth momentum, developing countries including India and China
are expected to grow at a reasonably high rate. Investments in Indian real estate
will fetch higher returns for investors as compared to other global markets. In the
coming years, the opportunities in the real estate sector will attract more global
players to India and hence will help the industry to mature, become more
transparent, improve management and adopt advanced construction techniques.
Turkey has become one of the fastest growing energy markets in the world in
parallel to its economic growth registered over the last ten years. The
successfully implemented privatization program in the said period – power
distribution is now completely in private sector hands, while the privatization of
power generation assets is set to be completed within the next few years – has
given the country’s energy sector a highly competitive structure and new
horizons for growth.
Turkey’s production of primary energy supplies increased in 2009 to 30.125
million tons oilequivalent from 23.7 million tons in 2003, as a crash program in
production of hard and lignitecoal, natural gas, crude oil, wind and geothermal
electricity and solar energy was underway.The country’s energy exports, mainly
refined oil products and electricity, rose to USD 4.511 billion in 2010from USD
3.902 billion in 2009. Turkey exported a record USD 7.532 billion in energy
products in 2008.
Energy and Renewable Sector
Turkey
53 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Economic expansion, rising per capita income, positive demographic trends and
the rapid pace of urbanization are the main drivers of the energy demand,
estimated to increase around 7% per annum until 2023.
Hydro 33%
Lignite 19%
Hardcoal 8%
Gas 29%
Fueloil 3%Nuclear 5%
Wind 3%
Source : Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources
Installed Capacity By Resources, 2020 (MW)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2015 2020 2010 2015 2020
Low Low Low High High High
180
224
248
299
338
406199
245
362
302
414
491
776046675145
Source : State Planning Organization (SPO)
Thermal
Hydro
Demand
Electricity Production and Demand, 2020
The Turkish electricity market is one of the fastest growing in the world, with an
average of approx. 9%annual growth in 2010 and 2011.Turkey will need a large
infusion of foreign capital to double its generating capacity to 96,348MW by the
year 2020.As of December 9, 2010, Turkey’s total installed power production
54 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
capacity reached an estimated48,435.7 MW, according to the Ministry of Energy
and Natural Resources.
The government is exploring alternatives for adding significant amounts of
capacity in order to meet the probable shortage of supply in the medium term.
Considering the projects under construction, an additional capacity requirement
of about 52,000 MW will be needed. State Planning Organization economists
calculate that this will require a total investment amount of USD 84 billion.
Investment requirement would be USD 20 billion during 2011-15 and USD 51
billion during 2016-20. Deloitte breaks down the financing needed by 2015 for an
additional capacity generation of 23,981 MW as USD 31.9 billion. To meet the
shortfall, the government is seeking private investors to build and operate new
hydro electric dams, thermal energy power plants and rehabilitate existing ones.
More than USD 2.3 billion of electricity generation investments were realized
between 2004 and 2012.The countries that invested the most were the USA,
Canada, Japan and various European countries.
Natural gas consumption in Turkey reached approx. 46 billion cubic meters in
2012 demonstrating an increase of 4.7%compared to the previous year. Natural
gas demand is expected to grow by 2.9% annually until 2020according to the
Ministry of Energy and Resources. The state Petroleum Pipeline
Corporation(BOTAÞ) estimated that gas consumption will be 53 billion cubic
meters in 2015 and 61 billion cubic in 2020.Distribution sales of gasoline, diesel
oil and fuel oil products increased by 3.8%, which corresponds to18.2 million
tons in 2012. Crude oil importsincreased by 7% and reached 19.5 million tons
in2012.Import is the most critical component in the value chain as Turkey’s natural
2000
1000
0
3000
4000
5000
USD Million
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Total FDI Inflows for the Electricity and Gas Sector
Source : YASED
55 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
gas production is very limited. There are ample opportunities for investment in
the import market.
One of the latest steps the Turkish government has taken towards a more
competitive energy sector, the establishment of an energy stock exchange, is in
its final stage of planning. The energy stock exchange will not only enhance the
liberalization of the market but will also ensure transparency and help maintain a
healthy balance between supply and demand once it has become operational in
2014.
In addition to having a huge domestic market, Turkey is strategically located
between major energy consumers and suppliers, thus serving as a regional
energy hub. Having a position central to the regions of Europe, the Balkans, the
Aegean, the Black Sea, the Caucasus-Caspian Basin and Central Asia, Turkey is a
natural transit country for maritime and pipeline transportation of gas and oil.
The existing and planned oil/gas pipelines, the critical Turkish straits and
promising finds of hydrocarbon reserves in the country itself give Turkey
increased leverage over energy prices and reinforce its gateway status.
The renewable forms of energy -hydro, wind, solar, geothermal and others - are
abundant in Turkey and encouraging policies backed by favourable feed-in tariffs
are expected to increase their share in the national grid in the coming years.
Renewables including waste, geothermal and wind accounted for only 5% of the
installed capacity in 2012, wing energy being the highest with 2,261 MW.
Renewable Energy
Turkey's Installed Capacity Including the Share of Renewables, 2012
88%
6%6%
36%
34%
14%
9% 2%5%
Hydro
Fuel Oil
RenewablesLignite
Natural GasHard Coal
Waste
Geothermal
Wind
HydroNatural
Gas*
Hard Coal**(Local &
Imported)Lignite Fuel Oil Wind Geothermal
Other Renewables
Total
19,609 20,439 5,058 8,143 1,227 2,261 162 159 57,058
34.37% 35.82% 8.87% 14.27% 2.15% 3.96% 0.28% 0.28% 100%Share
*Including dual fuel plants
**Including local and imported coal plants & asphaltite plants
Installed
Capacity
(MW)
56 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Major steps are being taken in various renewable energy fields in Turkey,
including wind, solar, hydro, geothermal, and nuclear and hydrogen energy for
electricity and for space and water heating, as viable environmentally friendly
alternatives to fossil fuels, which cause no pollution and produce no greenhouse
gasses.
The Turkish government has made it a priority to increase the share of renewable
sources in the country's total installed power to a remarkable 30 percent by
2023, while taking the energy efficiency concept to realization by enacting laws
that set principles for saving energy, both at the individual and corporate levels.
As of December 31, 2010, Turkey ranked 17thin the world and 11thin Europe in
wind energy production capacity, according to the World Wind Energy
Association.By 2013, Turkey will have a power generating capacity of 2,163 MW
from wind energy, meeting 4.1% of Turkey's total energy demand from wind
power, according to the State Planning Organization.
Turkey intends to increase its wind energy capacity 16-fold to 20,000 MW by
2020 from 1,265.5 MW in 2010, Turkey's Wind Power and Hydropower Plants
Businessmen's Association reported.
A half a dozen foreign companies are selling wind energy technology to Turkey,
including General Electric, Venisys (Costa Rica), Furlander, Conergy, Nordex and
Enercom of Germany and Vestas of Denmark. Turkey's Demirer Group, which
constructed the country's first two wind farms in Alaçati, near the resort town of
Çesme in western Turkey, and in the Aegean island of Bozcada, says it plans to
invest in wind blades in Turkey, possibly with European partners.
According to the Izmir-based Aegean Technology Association Turkey could install
40,000 MW of renewable energy power generating capacity by 2023, including
30,000 MWs of wind farms. This would represent 40% of all generating capacity
to be added to the Turkish power grid in the next 15 years.
With an average 2,640 hours of sunny weather throughout the year, or 7.2 hours
a day, “Turkey is luckier than many countries because of its location and its
higher potential for solar energy,” the state Electricity Affairs Research
Administration (EÝEÝ) reported.
Wind Energy
Solar Energy
57 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkey has been increasing its solar energy output every year since 1998. In
2009, it produced 429 tons oil equivalent of solar energy, an increase of 12%
from 2004 and 110% more than in 1998. Solar energy panels (collectors) are
widely used in the Aegean and Mediterranean regions of Turkey, which have the
most sunshine in the country.
Geothermal Energy
Turkey has the richest geothermal resources in Europe and 7thbiggest in the
world, with the “theoretical potential” for 31,000 MW of electricity generation
capacity a year, according to the state Mineral Technical Exploration Agency
(MTA).
Turkey has 1,000 known geothermal wells and mineral springs. Of these 184
have temperatures of over 104 degrees Fahrenheit. Some 13 have temperatures
averaging anywhere between 266 degrees Fahrenheit and 467.6 degrees
Fahrenheit and are suitable for electricity production, the EÝEÝ reported.
Currently, geothermal energy is harnessed in producing electricity in Kizildere,
Denizli (20 MWe) and Salavatli, Aydin (7.9 MWe). The Energy Market regulatory
Agency issued production licenses for another 5.5 MW geothermal plant in
Kizildere and a 7.5 MW plant in Tuzla, Çanakkale. A 10 MW geothermal plant in a
project phase in Simav, Afyon, in western Anatolia is also in the pipeline.
Turkish Solar Energy Output in Tons Oil Equivalent (TOE)
Year Amount
1998 200
1999 236
2000 262
2001 290
2004 375
2008 420
2009 429
Source : EIEI
58 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Major joint ventures with domestic companies to invest in renewable
energy projects in Turkey:
• France’s Perfect Wind Co. is building Turkey’s biggest wind farm in
Kirþehir province in central Turkey. The 150 MW wind farm will cost Euro
210 million. Perfect Wind Co. is planning Euro 550 million investments in
wind energy projects in Turkey totaling 400 MW by 2011.
• In 2007, Izmir-based ALKE Construction and German SSC Montage
formed a joint venture, AESSC Ltd., which installs wind farms throughout
Turkey and Europe.
• Model Enerji announced it will begin producing wind tower and wind
blades in 2009 under a license from American Superconductor Corp. A
separate factory producing wind turbines is being constructed in
Adapazari, in northwest Anatolia Nett Enerji Elektrik Üretim A.Þ. is
establishing the factory.
• France’s Areva is investing Euro 66 million to produce power transformers
in a plant in Gebze, 40 km east of Ýstanbul.
• The Turkish company Tunçmatik and Japan’s Kyocera announced that they
will co-produce solar energy systems for homes.
• Italy’s Saif Enerji Kaynaklari A.Þ. has begun production of organic fuels
from waste edible oils in a plant in Mersin’s Organized Industrial Zone.
• Norway’s Statkraft acquired 95% of Turkish energy company YeþilEnerji
from Global Investment Holding of Istanbul for an undisclosed sum.
YeþilEnerji owns the majority shares of seven hydroelectric dams with a
total 630MW capacity.
• Turkey’s Saran Group and Spain’s Fersa Group signed an agreement in
Ankara on November 13, 2009, to invest USD 1 billion in renewable
energy projects in the eastern and southern Turkey.
• Turkey’s Borusan Group and Germany’s EnBW AG in April 2009 formed a
partnership to invest in Euro 2.5 billion in energy projects in Turkey.
All these developments provide opportunities for international companies to
cooperate and develop energy technology in Turkey.The total amount of
investments required to meet the energy demand in Turkey by 2023 is estimated
to be around USD 120 billion, more than double the total amount invested in the
last decade. Turkey’s ambitious vision for 2023, the centennial foundation of the
Republic, envisages grandiose targets for the energy sector in Turkey.
59 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Energy Sector in India
India is one of the fastest growing economies in the world, with current
electricity generation capacity of about 230 GW to meet the needs of over 1.25
billion population. India's per capita annual consumption of energy at
approximately 600 kWh is one of the lowest in the world, even when compared
to developing countries like Brazil and China. This is a decade where India needs
a clean energy revolution for transforming the electricity infrastructure to provide
energy access to over 400 million of households that still lack basic access to
electricity.
At the same time, India currently boasts a middle class population exceeding 300
million (almost the size of USA) that is looking for the same level of energy
access and power quality that is taken for granted in developed countries
through movement towards green cities and sustainable living.
The newly elected government in India has taken number of steps in past couple
of months to fast track development of the energy infrastructure and set
aggressive targets for continued renewable energy deployments in India.
Policy makers have taken some key initiatives that can drive grown of storage
and microgrids:
• India is looking for rapid adoption of clean energy technologies with
anticipated addition of 30-50 GW of new wind capacity and 20-30 GW of
solar capacity by 2020.
Investment Needs of the Turkish Energy Sector, 2005-2020
Sector Investment, $ Mn
Coal exploration 5,109
Oil 16,000
Natural resources 2,700
Water (DSI) 6,093
Generation (EUA$) 458
New Generation facilities 91,276
Transmission 938
Distribution 6,000
Total 128,574
Source: Ministry of Energy (MENR)
60 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• India has various initiatives for providing energy access where
government of India provides up to 90% of the capital funding for
building microgrids in rural areas with no access to electricity.
• Telecom Regulatory Authority of India has mandated use of renewable
power for telecom towers in India that are currently utilizing diesel power
as primary source of energy.
These policy initiatives have resulted in tremendous opportunities for integration
of energy storage technologies for variety of applications. Advanced energy
storage market in India is in its infancy however it carries significant market
potential. A recent market assessment by India Energy Storage Alliance
suggests a potential of 15-20 GW by 2020 in India.
India has also recently launched a National Mission on Electric Mobility with a
target of 6 million electric vehicles (4 million two-wheelers and 2 million four-
wheelers) by 2020. For efficient roll out of the EV program, electrical distribution
infrastructure upgrades and smarter systems are required which will control or
limit simultaneous charging of hundreds of EVs from the same feeder.
The oil and gas industry is amongst the six core industries in India. India was the
4thlargest consumer of crude oil and petroleum products in the world in 2013,
after the United States, China, and Japan. India held nearly 800 MMT of proved
oil reserves at the beginning of 2014, mostly in the western part of the country.
About 44% of reserves are onshore resources, while 56% are offshore. India is
heavily dependent on imports to meet its energy needs. Hence, oil imports
constitute 80% of India’s total domestic oil consumption (May 2014). Oil and gas
contribute 39.2% to the primary energy consumption.
During 2013-14, natural gas constituted about 7.8% of the energy mix. India had
47 Tcf of proved natural gas reserves at the beginning of2014. About 34% of
total reserves are located onshore, while 66% are off shore. The country’s
natural gas pipeline network to talled over 15,340 km in 2013, and it is proposed
to expand the network to 30,000 km by 2018-19.
Investments worth USD 70 billion are envisaged across the oil and gas value
chain under the 12th Plan (2012–17).At the same time, India was the 4thlargest
LNG importer in 2013 and accounted for 5.5% of global imports. India’s crude oil
pipeline network spans over 9460 km and has a total capacity of 129.4 MMTPA.
Oil and Gas
61 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Foreign investors in India
British Petroleum, UK Cairn Energy India
Shell, UK BG Group, Scotland
Niko Resources, Canada
In the International Energy Outlook 2013, India and China are projected by EIA to
account for about half of global energy demand growth through 2040, with
India’s energy demand growing at 3% per year.
• Shale gas has transformed the landscape of the energy industry in the
US with the country becoming a net exporter of natural gas. India has
nearly 96 Tcf of technically recoverable shale gas resources.
• Underground coal gasification represents another interesting area of
opportunity in the oil and gas sector. Coal gasification has been notified
as one of the end uses under the government’s captive mining policy.
• Opportunities for E&P services and equipment companies: 48% of the
country’s sedimentary area is yet to be appraised.
• City Gas & Distribution sector offers opportunities for both incumbents
and new companies.
• Opportunities for pipeline transportations as Compared to advanced
economies like the US, where more than 60% of petroleum product
movements happen by pipeline, in India, currently, only 35% of product
movement happens over pipelines.
• In the Refining sector expansions are planned for tapping foreign
investment in export-oriented infrastructure, including product pipelines
and export terminals.
• Opportunities for foreign investments and technology partnerships in the
upstream sector are plenty since securing supplies is expected to remain
on top of India’s energy agenda for the foreseeable future. While a lot of
exploration activity has taken place in the on-land and shallow basins of
the country, deep water and ultra-deep water oil and gas resources hold
the key to substantially increasing domestic production. This provides
opportunities for strategic investors having technical expertise and
financial muscle.
Investment opportunities
62 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Renewable Energy
India is endowed with vast potential for solar energy and is fast developing as a
major manufacturing hub for solar power plants. India’s installed solar capacity
increased to 1,686 MW at the end of FY 13 from barely 2647 MW in FY 13-
14.Besides, it is expected that the annual PV-installed capacity will grow at a
CAGR of around 49.5% during 2010–14 to reach 1,500 MW by the end of 2014.
Wind accounts for nearly 70% (21.1 GW) of installed capacity, thereby making
India the world’s 5thlargest wind energy producer.The Government of India has
set a renewable energy capacity addition target of 30.0 GW for the 12th Five-
Year Plan to take the total renewable capacity to almost 55GW by the end of FY
17.This includes 15 GW from wind, 10 GW from solar, 2.9 GW from biomass and
2.1 GW from small hydro.Small hydro has installed capacity of 3.8 GW as against
estimated potential of 19.7 GW. Bio-power (including biomass and bagasse
cogeneration) has an installed capacity of 4.1 GW against estimated potential of
22.5 GW. Solar power (billion GWh) has installed capacity of 1.7 GW against 6
GW.
India has the 5th largest power generation portfolio worldwide with a generation
capacity of 245 GW. This growth can be attributed to several factors such as
economic growth and increasing prosperity; growing rate of urbanization; rising
per capita energy consumption; widening access to energy in the country.
Current renewable energy contribution stands at 31.70 GW out of the total
installed capacity of 245 GW in the country as on March 2014.
Projects such as the Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission (aims to generate
20,000 MW of solar power by 2022) are creating a positive environment among
investors keen to tap into India’s potential. The country offers unlimited growth
potential for the solar photovoltaic (PV) industry.
Wind Energy Production Capacity by Countries in 2010
(In Mw)
Country MW Production Capacity
1 China 42.227
2 United States 40,100
3 Germany 27,214
4 Spain 20,676
5 India 13,065
63 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
India ranks as the 4thlargest importer of oil and the 6thlargest importer of
petroleum products and LNG globally. The increased use of indigenous
renewable resources is expected to reduce India’s dependence on expensive
imported fossil fuels. The government is playing an active role in promoting the
adoption of renewable energy resources by offering various incentives, such as
generation-based incentives (GBIs), capital & interest subsidies, viability gap
funding, concessional finance, fiscal incentives, as well as through the
instruments like Renewable Purchase Obligation/Renewable Energy Certificates,
bundling of conventional power with solar power, etc.
• Investment in RE sector in 2013 in India was around USD 6 billion.
• Achieving 12thFive Year Plan (2012-17) targets requires investment ofUSD
50 billion.
• Of total investment institutional finance requirement is ofUSD 35 bill.
• As of March 2013, share of PSBs in RE finance - 5 % of lending to power
sector.
• Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA) has USD 1.4
billion LOCs over 2014-17 from ADB, JICA, AFD, KfW, EIB etc.
• Around USD 2 billion low cost finance to be made available from National
Clean Energy Fund (NCEF), over 2013-17 for co-financing to
Banks/Financing Institutions.
• The recently notified Solar Policy, 2011, of Rajasthan envisages of setting
solar manufacturing facilities in the proposed solar parks.
• Gujarat solar park also makes special provisions for encouraging on-site
manufacturing facilities to provide equipment to projects coming up
within the park, as well as adequate repairs and maintenance, as well as
skilled manpower to service projects within the park.
FDI up to 100% under the automatic route is permitted in renewable energy
generation and distribution projects subject to provisions of Electricity Act, 2003.
Up to 100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route for:
üExploration activities of oil and natural gas fields
Investment opportunities
64 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
üInfrastructure related to marketing of petroleum products and natural gas
üMarketing of natural gas and petroleum products
üPetroleum product pipelines
üNatural gas/pipelines
üLNG regasification infrastructure
üMarket study and formulation
üPetroleum refining in the private sector
üFDI is subject to the existing sectoral policy and regulatory framework in
the oil marketing sector and the policy of the government on private
participation in exploration of oil and the discovered fields of national oil
companies.
Up to 49% FDI is allowed under the automatic route into petroleum refining by
public sector undertakings (PSUs), without any disinvestment or dilution of
domestic equity in the existing PSUs. It means a public sector company has to
incorporate a new JV for setting up refinery business.
Turkey’s mining sector has grown in parallel with the country’s robust economy.
The sector’s total production value soared to USD 12 billion in 2012, up from
USD 2.6 billion in 2003.Although Turkey ranks 10thin the world in terms of
mineral wealth, it stands in 28thplace in theworld mineral production.Turkey is
richly endowed in mineral resources, but the importance ofmining in the
country’s economic life has steadily declined since the 1940s, when it
accountedfor 40% of the GDP. In 2008, it accounted for only 1.37% of the GDP.
The Turkish government is attempting to revive mining, by encouragingprivate
and foreign investment.
The nation has privatized or leased out most of the mines and mineral
processing plants owned by EtiMaden, including chromate mines in Elazið, in
eastern Turkey, and Muðla, on the Aegean Coastand a modern ferrochromium
complex in the Mediterranean resort city of Antalya. It also sold itsinterests in an
aluminium complex in Seydiþehir, central Turkey.
Mining Sector
Turkey
65 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Some 710 known chromite deposits exist in Turkey. The nation also has Boron
reserves, a chemical element, used in the metal industries. Boron compounds
are also used in the manufacture of glass, detergent, ceramics, paper, plastics
and leather. Some Turkish researcher sare experimenting with boron compounds
to produce zero emission hydrogen energy, the energy of the 21stcentury which
will eventually replace fossil fuels.
The country also has large reserves of iron ore, bauxite, meerschaum, wolfram,
manganese, mercury, zinc, magnetite, perlite, cinnabar and emery. Excluding oil
and coal resources, the country has about 4,400 mineral deposits. Some 53
different kinds of minerals and rocks are commercially mined in Turkey. The nation
exports mainly boron minerals, natural stone (marble, travertine, granite),
magnetite, chromium ores and concentrates, copper and concentrates, feldspar,
zinc ores, pumice stone, kaolin, barite, and other clays and perlite.
In 2010, Turkey’s total mineral and metal exports stood at USD3.608 billion,
accounting for 3.2% of the nation’s total foreign sales, according to the Turkish
Exporters’ Assembly (TÝM). The biggest importers of Turkish mineral and metals
are the United States, Italy, Japan, Austria, China, Germany, Belgium, England,
Holland, Spain, Norway, France, Russia, South Korea and Ukraine.
With its location in the Tethyan-Eurasian Metallogenic Belt, one specific kind of
ophiolite extending from the western Mediterranean via the Alps to South-
Eastern Europe through Turkey, the Lesser Caucasus, Iran, and the Himalayas to
China, Turkey harbors much proven potential for mining investors. As the least
explored portion of the belt, Turkey stands out as a very promising region for
miners and explorers. In addition, as mining in Turkey has been limited to surface
excavations, huge potential with deep drilling is awaiting international investors.
India produces 88 minerals (4 fuel, 10 metallic, 50 non-metallic and 24 minor
minerals). In 2012-13, number of operating mines (excluding minor minerals,
petroleum (crude), natural gas and atomic minerals) in India was 3108. India’s
mineral output in 2011-12 was around USD 13.4 billion.
India is slated to become the 2ndlargest steel producer by 2015. Crude steel
production increased at a CAGR of 8.2 per cent over 2008–11 to 70.67 million
metric tonnes. India has vast mineral potential, mining lease granted for a long
duration of minimum 20 years and up to 30 years. The demand for various metals
and minerals will grow substantially over the next 15 years. Power and cement
industries also aiding growth in the metals and mining sector.
India
66 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
India’s strategic location enables convenient exports. India’s per capita steel
consumption is much lower than global average.India has the world’s 6thlargest
reserve base of bauxite and 5thlargest base of iron ore respectively, and
accounts for about 5% and 8% respectively, of total world production.
With the Indian economy expected to grow by approximately 7% in the years to
come, the sectors like infrastructure and automobile will receive a renewed
thrust, which would further generate demand for power & steel in the country.
This is expected to provide a major thrust to the demand of minerals like coal &
iron ore.
Minerals like manganese, lead, copper and alumina are expected to witness
significant growths in the years ahead. There is significant scope for new mining
capacities in iron ore, bauxite, and coal. India holds a fair advantage in cost of
production and conversion costs in steel and alumina. Sustained growth in India’s
automotive sector has been driving demand for steel and aluminium.
The power sector accounts for a large share of the consumption of aluminium
and coal in the country. Infrastructure projects continue to provide lucrative
business opportunities for steel, zinc and aluminium producers. Iron and steel
being a core component of the real estate sector, demand for these metals is
set to continue given strong growth expectations for the residential and
commercial building industry.
India has 301.564 billion tonnes of coal resources as on April2014. Production of
coal stood at 540 million tonnes and 557.7 million tonnes in FY12 and FY13,
respectively. India ranks 4thglobally in terms of iron ore production. In FY13, the
country produced 136.02 million tonnes of iron ore.
FDI up to 100% is allowed in exploration, mining, mineral processing and
metallurgy under the automatic route for all non-fuel and non-atomic minerals
including diamonds and precious stones.
Mining and mineral separation of titanium bearing minerals and ores, its value
addition and integrated activities is under the government route.FDI in coal
mining is allowed for captive consumption only.
Foreign investors in India
Rio Tinto, Australia BHP Billiton, Australia
Indian Resources Limited, Australia Vedanta Resources, UK
Australian Indian Resources, Australia JFE Steel Corp, Japan
NSL Consolidated, Australia China Steel Corporation,
Kolar Gold, Guernsey
67 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Healthcare Sector
Turkey
With a CAGR of 3.35% between 2008 and 2012,Turkey stands just below high
income countries and the world average. However, according to Economic
Intelligence Unit (EIU) forecasts, the health care sector in Turkey is set to boom
by a CAGR of 5.6% between 2013 and 2017, while most developed countries will
be experiencing relatively lower growth rates. Turkey is also expected to surpass
the forecasted world average with this growth rate.
Although per capita healthcare expenditure has increased four-fold since 2002,
health indicators show that there is much room for growth in Turkey. Public
health expenditures, totalledUSD38billion in 2009, representing 6.2% of GDP,
compared to 8-18% for the European Union (EU), the Economic Intelligence Unit
reported. About one-third of health spendingis related to drug expenditures. Total
annual healthcare spending in Turkey, according to Deloitte Turkey’s forecast, will
reach USD63 billion by 2014.
The private sector, taking a 26% share in total health expenditure compared to
an averageof38% in OECD countries, still has room for growth. A substantial
portion of healthcare services is provided by the public sector. As of May 2011,
The Ministry of Health operated 842 of Turkey’s1,439 hospitals with 120,535 of
200,678 total beds. Turkey has a generous incentive system for health
investments. Hospitals can import all required machinery and equipment listed
on their incentive certificate free of customs duty and related charges and can
make deferred payments on value-added tax. The private sector began to take
advantage of the incentive system in recent years. Supported by the increasing
Medical Hospitals and Bed Capacities in Turkey in 2011*
Organization Number of Hospitals Number of Beds
Ministry of Health 842 120,535
Private 490 28,147
Universities 62 35,001
Ministry of Defense 42 15,900
Municipalities 3 1,095
Total 1,439 200,678
* As of May 30
Source: Istanbul Health Admistrators' Assication, Ministry of Health, TUIK
68 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
demand for private healthcare services, the number of private hospitals
increased from 1993 onwards, rising from141 in 1995 to 365 in 2007 and 490 in
spring 2011. The private sector operates 34.1% of Turkey’s hospitals and accounts
for 14% of its beds.
In the past decade, investment in healthcare in Turkey has averaged around
USD5 billion a year, with around 75 percent carried out by the private sector,
Istanbul Health Administrators’ Association, reported. Several healthcare groups
own multiple hospitals around Turkey. As of the end of 2010, some 66 of Turkey’s
81 provinces had private hospitals. Some 76% of the private hospitals and 80%
of the beds of private health care institutions were concentrated in 20 provinces,
led by Istanbul.
The medical equipment market has gained the status of an industry in the last
two decades, in line with the increased investment in total health facilities, and
the trend towards privatization. The market grew an estimated 12-14% annually
in recent years, and reaching around USD 2.1 billion in2010. It is expected to
reach USD 3.12 billion by 2015. The growth has been mainly fuelled by the
increase in imports rather than production.
Turkey was able to attract an impressive level of FDI for its health and social work
sector. FDI inflows to the industry increased at a CAGR of39% from 2008 to
2012, reaching USD 545 million in 2012.
Numerous foreign companies and private equity funds have acquired interests in
private Turkish healthcare concerns since 2004.In 2006, Citibank Venture Capital
Ltd bought Biopharma Pharmaceuticals Company for USD200million. Bermuda-
based Eastpharma Holding purchased a 96% stake in pharmaceuticals
manufacturer SabaÝlaç Sanayiive Ticaret A.Þ. for USD10 million.
In 2007 and 2008, Abraaj Limited of the United Arab Emirates acquired a total
57.86% stake in Acibadem Healthcare Services for USD605.3 million; the Global
Environment Fund of the U.S. purchased dental care company Dent Istanbul for
an undisclosed amount; Greece’s Hygeia purchased50% of the private Þafak
Hospitals for USD48 million. In 2009, the U.S. Carlyle Group acquired a40%
stake in Medical Park Hospitals for USD100 million. In 2010, Luxembourg-based
Swan Holding bought a 30% stake in Dunya Göz Hastanesi for an undisclosed
sum and United Kingdom-based Argus Capital Partners and the Qatar
Investment Authority purchased a 40% interest in the Memorial Health Group for
USD120 million.
69 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Major multinationals with manufacturing facilities in medical equipment sector
include GE Healthcare and Siemens. In June 2009, GE Healthcare Turkey said it
would invest in a new plant in Ankara. Siemens openeda new production site in
Gebze, 40 km east of Istanbul with a USD76 million investment. The Turkish
government is encouraging foreign companies to invest in this field. Germany’s
MAQUET, for instance, produces sophisticated surgical operating tables and
cardiopulmonary equipment, including catheters, in the Antalya Free Zone, along
the southwest Mediterranean coast of Turkey.
In addition Turkish hospitals enjoy costs one-third to one-fifth of those in the
European Union. The Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) recently estimated that
165,000 foreigners visit Turkey annually for healthcare purposes. The country,
TUIK said, earns USD 360 million a year from health tourism. One of the biggest
markets for Turkey’s medical tourism market is the UK. By 2020, Turkey aims to
attract 500,000 foreign patients each year and earn USD 10 billion from health
tourism, according TOBB, Turkey’s largest business organisation.
The demand for health care services and equipment is expected to continue
expanding in the next several years. The trend toward privatization of health
services coupled with increasing demand of private hospitals for advanced
technology paves the way for modern and specialized health facilities and alarger
healthcare market. Private sector healthcare services are expanding, with its
share in total fixed capital health investments on the rise - from 48% in 1993 to
over 75% in recent years.
As growth in the healthcare sector is expected to continue and restructuring of
the health financing system is on the agenda, Turkey will remain an attractive
market for investment in equipment and supplies, as well as medical consulting
services and knowledge transfers. In addition to its growing internal market,
Turkey also offers opportunities for healthcare services and equipment providers
as a stepping-stone to the markets in the Central Asia and North Africa.
Developments in the healthcare policy will have further positive effects on the
growth of private healthcare services. As a result of successive health reforms
partly supported by the World Bank, the health sector has been undergoing a
significant restructuring, whereby a greater reliance is being put on private sector
funding.
The Indian healthcare industry was estimated at USD 40 billion in 2010 is
expected to reach USD 280 billion by 2020. Large investments by private sector
Healthcare Sector in India
70 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
players are likely to contribute significantly to the development of India’s hospital
industry, which comprises around 80% of the total market, according to the
report ‘Indian Hospital Services Market Outlook’ by consultancy RNCOS. As per
estimates by ratings agency Fitch, the sector is poised to grow to USD 100
billion by the year 2015 and further to USD 275.6 billion by 2020.
The Indian healthcare sector comprises the sub-sectors of hospitals, medical
infrastructure, medical devices, clinical trials, outsourcing, telemedicine, health
insurance and medical equipment.
India presently has 0.5 million doctors, 0.9 million nurses and around 1.37 million
beds, and has the highest number of medical and nursing colleges, at 303 and
3,904, respectively. In addition, the cost of medical treatment in India is one-
tenth that compared to costs in the US and Europe.
The Indian government is encouraging the growth of this market through policies
such as a reduction in import duties on medical equipment, higher depreciation
on life-saving medical equipment (40%, up from 25%), and a number of other
tax incentives.
India’s foreign investment policy is very liberal for hospitals. Since January 2000,
FDI is permitted up to 100% under the automatic route for the hospitals sector in
India. Approval from the Foreign Investment Promotion Board (FIPB) is required
only for foreign investors with prior technical collaboration, but allowed up to
100%.The government also allots priority to proposals of greater social relevance
such as hospitals, lifesaving drugs and equipment.
Many foreign players have entered the Indian healthcare market due to the large
size. Some of these foreign players are Pacific Healthcare of Singapore, which is
a JV with Vital Healthcare in Hyderabad; Columbia Asia Group, a Seattle-based
hospital services company; Wockhardt Hospitals; Steris, a US-based medical
equipment company that has set up a wholly-owned arm in India; and Amcare
Labs, an affiliate of Johns Hopkins International of the US, which has set up a
diagnostic laboratory in Hyderabad through a JV with the Apollo Group.
Besides hospitals, foreign players have also evinced interest in establishing
research and development (R&D) centres in India; for example, Abbot
Laboratories has announced plans to set up an R&D centre in collaboration with
Syngene, a contract research subsidiary of Biocon Ltd., to develop nutrition
products in India; US pharma company Merck, which is known as MSD outside
of the US and Canada, plans to set up a laboratory in New Delhi for developing
vaccines at an estimated cost of USD 133.93 million.
71 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The total FDI inflow into India in the hospitals and diagnostics sector for the
period April 2000–April 2011 was USD 1 billion, according to the Department for
Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), which is part of the Ministry of
Commerce and Industry and which is responsible for formulating the FDI policy
in the country.
In addition, India is now acknowledged as the premier destination for medical
tourism, owing to cheaper costs and treatments in the country. According to
industry estimates, the market size of medical tourism in India is growing at over
25% annually at over USD 2.5 billion. The segment’s growing business potential
prompted the ITC Group to set up the 58-room Fortune Park Lake City business
hotel at the Jupiter LifeLine Hospitals complex in Thane, near Mumbai, to serve
medical tourists.
Most international patients are from Africa, SAARC and West Asia. Patients
requiring higher-end tertiary care are now coming to India for cardiology,
orthopaedics, neurology, oncology and organ transplants. Affordability of
treatment is a big pull factor as treatment in India costs just 10% to 20% of what
it costs abroad.
The main areas where a number of market opportunities exist for both domestic
and foreign players in the Indian healthcare domain include medical tourism,
healthcare insurance, telemedicine and medical equipment.
The main drivers of growth in the healthcare sector are India’s booming
population; growing middle class; increasing purchasing power; growth in
infectious, chronic degenerative and lifestyle diseases; and rising awareness of
personal healthcare.
Turkey has a thriving chemical products industry (CPI), but is heavily dependent
on imports of chemical raw materials, many basic chemicals and finished
products. Chemical imports are the second biggest import item of the country
after fossil fuels. Imports exceed exports by three times.The foreign trade in
chemical products has increased threefold in the past four years.
The country’s CPI is roughly divided into manufacturers of petrochemicals and
basic chemicals, syntheticfibers, plastic products, agricultural chemicals,
industrial gases, abrasives, explosives, chemical fertilizers, textile chemicals,
pharmaceuticals, paint, soda, rubber, adhesives, chromiumchemicals, boron
Chemical and Petrochemical Sector
Turkey
72 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
chemicals, sodium sulphate, personal care products, soap and detergent,
essential oils and cosmetics.
Turkey’s substantial economic growth combined with industry’s strong
positioning offer ample growth opportunities for Turkey’s chemicals industry.
Production value soared increasing by a CAGR as high as 9% between 2006 and
2011, reaching nearly USD 37 billion in 2011. The increase from 2010 to 2011 was
a staggering 11%, showing great promise for the future.
Turkey’s export growth reached double digits as it increased from USD 12 billion
in 2007 to more than USD 20billion in 2012.Proximity to neighbouring markets
and increasing demand in these markets placed Turkey in a very strategic
vantage point. Egypt was Turkey’s largest export market constituting 9.4% of
total exports, followed by Iraq with almost 6% and Germany with approximately
5%.
Turkey exports to 180 nations with the European Union as the main market,
followed by the former Soviet Union, Eastern Europe and the Middle East.
Plastics and plastic products combined was the biggest export item with a 37%
share. Flexible intermediate bulk containers, sacks and bags made polyethylene
or polypropylene traps and bags made of ethylene polymers, plates, sheets, film
foil and plastic packaging materials lead these. Rubber products, including tyres
and tire tubes, are Turkey’s second largest chemical products exports, accounting
for about 19% of CPI exports. Other major CPI exports include soap, detergent,
organic and inorganic chemicals, pharmaceuticals, dyes, pigments, synthetic
fibers, essential oils and cosmetics.
Manufacture of Rubber and Plastic Products
Manufacture of Chemicals, Chemical Products and Basic Pharmaceutical Products and Materials
FDI In the Chemical Manufacturing Industry in Turkey
Source : CBRT
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
US
D M
illio
n
2012
73 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Turkey’s chemical imports increased from more than USD 55 billion in 2007 to
more than USD 90 billion in2012, indicating a CAGR 10% growth during these
years. Turkey’s primary import partner is Russia with a 36%share, followed by
Iran with 21% and Italy and Germany with 8% and 7%, respectively. Total
imports retractedto USD 88 billion in 2013.Raw materials and semi-finished
products accounted for almost 90% of Turkey’s chemical imports.
Turkey has ambitious 2023 targets for thechemical industry which include
reaching USD50 billion in chemical exports, thus capturing0.79% share of the
global chemicals market.The government has also launched a strategicaction plan
for the chemical industry in order toreduce the industry’s import dependency.
Turkey had the highest amount of FDI in chemicalmanufacturing in 2007 with
more than USD 1.1billion. FDI inflows to the industry increased CAGR 27%from
2008 to 2012 nearing almost USD 1 billion in2012. M&A’s in Turkish chemicals
industry from 2010 to 2013 accounted for more than USD 800 million.
Demand for petrochemicals is steadily rising in Turkey, increasing an average 11%
a year. Totallocal demand for petrochemicals, which was 2 million tons in 1991,
doubled to 4.100 milliontons in the year 2003 and increased more than five-fold
to an estimated 9.500 million tons in2009.
Demand for thermoplastics is expected to exceed Turkey’s production capacity
seven-fold by2015, leading to a boom in imports, the Istanbul Chamber of
Industry (ÝSO) said in a report onthe chemical industry. A supply shortage of tire
raw materials was around 272,000 tons a year in2010. Since the economic life
span of existing facilities will come to an end in 2015, thermoplastic
productionwill cease to exist in Turkey, and major new investments will be
needed, the ÝSO report said.
Turkey has become a big importer of petrochemicals since its entry into a
customs union withthe European Union in 1996. Producers in the EU meet
shortages in ethylene, caprolactum, andpolyvinyl chloride, polypropylene, low-
density polyethylene and other products, for which demandis rapidly rising in
Turkey.
The Turkish government earmarked the chemical industry for extensive
incentives in the comingyears to allow companies to make new investments and
make the industry competitive. WithTurkey now a candidate for full membership
in European Union, small and medium-size Turkishchemical companies stand to
benefit from EU funds to develop research and development programs.
Petrochemicals
74 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
India
In terms of volume of production of chemicals, India is positioned as the
3rdlargest producer in Asia, next to China and Japan, and the 12thlargest in the
world. The estimated value of output of the Indian chemical industry (2012-13) is
around USD 144 billion (Rs 782,949 crore). India accounts for approximately 16%
of the world production of dye stuff and dye intermediated. Total production of
major chemicals in India was 19,308 thousand metric tonnes in FY2013-14. One
of the most diversified sectors, covering more than 70,000 commercial products,
the sector provides chemicals for various end products such as textiles, paper,
paints and varnishes, leather, etc.
In terms of sub-sectors, the Indian chemicals industry is composed of base
chemicals that account for 53% share, pharmaceuticals contributing 24%,
specialty chemicals 18%, biotech 3% and agro chemicals 2% share.
Indian is currently the world’s 3rdlargest consumer of polymers and 3rdlargest
producer of agrochemicals.The current production of polymers is around 9 million
tons with import of around 2.8 million tons.The polymer demand is expected to
grow by 8-10% with a healthy growth in clothing, automobiles, etc.
The size of the Indian chemicals industry was estimated to be around USD 83
billion in 2009-10. It contributes around 5% to India’s total GDP. The chemical
industry also accounts for 13% share in total exports and 8% share in total
imports of India. The sector contributes around 20% to national revenue by way
of taxes and levies.
Indian companies are attracting foreign equity investments in the chemicals
sector based on their strong fundamentals. For example, Standard Chartered
Bank’s private equity segment has invested USD 19 million in Mumbai-based
Privi Organics. Similarly, global asset manager, The Carlyle Group, has invested
USD 25 million in emulsion manufacturer Visen Industries through an affiliate,
First Carlyle Ventures III.
Foreign players are also strengthening their presence through the expansion
route. For instance, over-the-counter (OTC) Russian brands of Mumbai-based JB
Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals (JBCPL) have been acquired by Johnson &
Johnson (J&J) for about USD 260 million. Another example is the Shanghai Baijin
Chemical Group of China, which has formed a joint venture with Indofil
Industries Ltd, the INR 5,000 crore K. K. Modi Group company. The venture will
set up a carbon di-sulphide (CS {-2}) plant at Dahej in Gujarat at an investment of
USD 40 million. The plant, Indo Baijin Chemicals Pvt Ltd, and will have an annual
capacity of 50,000 tonnes of CS {-2}.
75 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The Indian government allows 100% FDI in the chemicals sector. No licenses are
required for production of most of the chemicals, including organic, inorganic,
dyestuff and pesticides. Only a few hazardous chemicals need licenses for
production.
The total FDI inflow into India in the chemicals sector was USD 2,927 million
from April 2000 to April 2011, according to the Department of Industrial Policy
and Promotion (DIPP), which is a part of the Ministry of Commerce and Industry
and is responsible for FDI policy in the country. Today, India has a significant
presence in the production of basic organic and inorganic chemicals, pesticides,
paints, dyestuffs and intermediates, petrochemicals, fine and specialty
chemicals, cosmetic and toiletry product segments.
India has huge potential for value addition in chemicals and petrochemicals
sectors. Currently, investments are planned by integrating petroleum refining
with downstream petrochemical plants.Polymers, specialty chemicals,
agrochemicals and dyes industries in India present immense growth
opportunities. Potential exists for putting up manufacturing plants for Engineering
Polymers. Currently, engineering polymers are imported and tailored for specific
endue applications by compounding with various additives.India can be a
manufacturing hub of plastic processing sector as OEMs for automobiles/
electronics/ telecommunications etc. due to availability of skilled manpower for
the sector.Retail industry boom is helping consumption of various plastics
packaging material growth.
Large population with huge domestic market, dependence on agriculture, retail
sector and export demand are the key growth drives for the chemicals industry
in India.Demand for plastic processing articles will increase due to high
disposable income, packaging needs, growing young population.Growing
construction industry and adoption of advanced coating, ceiling & polymer-based
reinforcing material in construction; plastics, paints and coatings usage in
automotive sector will add to the demand.
Turkey’s pharmaceutical market became the 6thlargest market in Europe and the
16thlargest in the world in terms of sales in 2012. Pharmaceutical sales reached
USD 12.5 billion, which means a CAGR of nearly 10% between 2003 and 2012.
Domestic and international investors are ramping up their new investments in
the pharmaceutical sector to take advantage of Turkey’s attractive market where
Pharmaceuticals Sector
Turkey
76 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
the pharmaceutical sector grew by 8.9 percent from 2012 to 2013, while the
growth in real GDP was 3.5 percent for the same period.
Turkey’s foreign-dominated pharmaceuticals industry accounts for about 10% of
the chemicalindustry’s production. Some 300 companies operate in the sector,
including 43 manufacturersof pharmaceuticals and of pharmaceutical raw
materials. Sixty-seven multinationals have investmentsin the Turkish
pharmaceuticals industry, with 13 having their own production facilities.Leading
local pharmaceutical producers are Abdi Ýbrahim, BilimÝlaç, Eczacibaþi
Pharmaceuticals(now owned by Zentiva), Ýbrahim EthemUlugay (now owned by
Menarini), Mustafa Nevzat,Fako (now owned by Actavis) and Deva (now part of
EastPharma).Major multinational pharmaceutical companies with investments in
Turkey include Roche, GlaxoSmithKline,Novartis, Bayer, Hoechst Marion Roussel,
Sanofi-Aventis, BoehringerIngelheim,Johnson and Johnson, Baxter and Pfizer.
National expenditure on pharmaceuticals in 2010 stood at Euro 6.960 billion,
according to the PharmaceuticalManufacturers’ Association (ÝEÝS).The Turkish
market had 7,672 pharmaceutical products in 2010, of which 61.7% were
locallymanufactured and 38.3% imported, the ÝEÝS reported. Twenty companies
accountfor 74.3% of sales in pharmaceuticals in Turkey. The industry employs
25,000 persons.
In 2010, Turkish pharmaceutical imports totalled USD4.410 billion. About 47% of
the imports werefor raw materials and 53% for finished products, the Turkish
Statistics Institute reported. Exportsin 2010 reached a record high of USD558.2
million, with about 20% in raw materials and 80% infinished products.
US
D B
illio
n
Top 20 Countries According to Pharmaceutical Sales in 2012
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
USA
Japa
n
China
Fran
cer
l
Baz
i
mGer
any
anCad
aIta
lyUK
Spain
South
orea
K India
Austr
liaa
Mex
ico
Rs
usia
urTke
y
Poland
rin
Net
hea
d
Belgumi
Vene
zuela
12.5
Turkey
Emerging Countries
Developed Counrties
77 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Major suppliers of pharmaceuticals include England, Germany, France,
Switzerland, the U.S., andItaly. Germany is the main recipient of Turkish
pharmaceutical exports, followed by Spain, Switzerland,the U.S., Poland and
England.
In contrast to the European and North American markets, where cardiovascular
drugs lead consumption,antibiotics, cardiovascular, antirheumatic drugs, nervous
systemics and oncologicalpreparations are the most widely consumed drugs in
Turkey, accounting for about 47.4% of thetotal market in 2008.Cardiovascular
drugs totalled only 11.4% of total consumptionin the Turkish market.Turkey
hasone the lowest per capita consumption figures among European countries,
the European Federationof Pharmaceutical Industries’ Associations reported.
Despite aspiring for membership in the European Union, Turkish compliance with
patent protectionand intellectual property rights, particularly in pharmaceuticals,
remains an issue of contention.
A recent government decree allows for data protection and data exclusivity.
Under this decree, setup in compliance with the World Trade Organization’s
TRIPS agreement, generic drugs similarto patented medicines can only be
produced 6 to 10 years after the original product has beenintroduced on the
market. Patents are protected for 20 years.
The pharmaceutical market is expected to rapidly grow, driven by rising income
levels and populationgrowth and greater importance given to healthcare.The
pharmaceutical industry is one of the few sectors in Turkey where the
government has significantcontrol over prices. All drugs have to be registered
with the Ministry of Health, whichdetermines the rates by which pharmaceutical
companies can increase their prices - often lower than increases in the
wholesale and consumer price indexes.
Indian pharmaceutical industry is 3rdlargest in the world and is one of the most
developed industries.The industry accounts for about 2.4% of the global
pharmaceutical industry in value terms and 10% in volume terms.The Indian
pharmaceutical industry revenue is expected to expand at a CAGR of 12.1%
during 2012–20 and reach USD45 billion.
India’s generic drugs account for 20% of global exports in terms of volume,
making India the largest provider of generic medicines globally.Between 2011
and 2016 patent drugs worth USD255 billion are estimated to go off-patent
leading to a huge surge in generic product. The newly available market will be
India
78 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
filled by generics, which would provide great opportunity to the Indian
companies.The generics market is expected to grow to USD26.1 billion by 2016
from USD11.3 billion in 2011.
In 2011, India’s OTC drugs market stood at USD3 billion; it is expected to rise at a
CAGR of 16.3% to USD6.6 billion during 2008-16. Increased penetration of
chemists, especially in rural regions of India, would make OTC drugs easily
available.Pharmaceutical companies have increased spending to tap rural
markets and develop better medical infrastructure.
Technologically strong and totally self-reliant, the pharmaceutical industry in India
has low costs of production, low R&D costs, innovative scientific manpower,
strength of national laboratories and an increasing balance of trade. Indian
pharmaceutical industry today is ranked world class, in terms of technology,
quality and range of medicines manufactured. From simple headache pills to
sophisticated antibiotics and complex cardiac compounds, almost every type of
medicine is now made indigenously.
The industry today can boast of producing the entire range of pharmaceutical
formulations, i.e., medicines ready for consumption by patients and about 350
bulk drugs, i.e., chemicals having therapeutic value and used for production of
pharmaceutical formulations.
Per Capita Pharmaceutical Consumption in Turkey by Years
(in U.S. Dollar)
Year Per Capita Consumption
1990 17
1995 25
1996 26
1997 32
1998 35
1999 38
2000 42
2001 38
2002 68.6
2003 85
2006 81.4*
2007 136
2009 132
* in euros
Source : Pharmaceutical Industry Employers Association, Istanbul Chamber of Industry
79 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The pharmaceutical industry in India is stated to be valued at approximately USD
12.26 billion as per industry estimates. This industry is growing at 10-11% per
annum on compounded growth rate basis. Although total turnover of
pharmaceutical industry is estimated at USD 21.04 billion, about 65% of this
revenue is from exports. It spends around 18 % of this revenue on research and
development (R&D) activities. Additionally, India’s clinical research industry is
estimated to be a USD 2.2 billion with a high growth rate of 23%. Moreover,
Indian pharmaceutical off-shoring industry is slated to become a USD 2.5 billion
opportunity by 2012, due to low R&D costs and a high-talent pool.
Through the introduction of a system of product patents since 2005, Indian
industry has today become very a worldwide exporter of high quality generic
drugs. India exports pharmaceuticals to many countries across the world,
including the U.S., Germany, France, Russia and UK.
The Indian Government is very proactive for boosting growth and investment in
Indian pharmaceutical sector. It allows 100 per cent FDI under the automatic
route in the drugs and pharmaceuticals sector.
The DIPP data suggests that the drugs and pharmaceuticals sector has attracted
an impressive level of FDI worth USD 1,882.76 million during April 2000 to March
2011. Industrial licenses are not required in India for most of the drugs and
pharmaceutical products. Manufacturers are free to produce any drug duly
approved by the Drug Control Authority.
This patent regime has led to the investment from many pharmaceutical
multinationals in India. Now they are looking at India not only for its traditional
strengths in contract manufacturing but also as a highly attractive location for
research and development (R&D), particularly in the conduct of clinical trials and
other services. Indian and foreign companies are continuing with patented drug
launches in India and between 2005 and 2010, the Indian Patent Office has
granted 3,488 product patents, as per a KPMG report.
Indian Pharmaceutical sector is slated to grow to USD 55 billion by 2020,
becoming 6thlargest market globally in absolute size, based on projections by a
McKinsey report on Pharma 2020. While pharmaceutical MNCs already present
in India are further consolidating their presence through acquisitions, many
MNCs have staged a re-entry after 2005. The share of pharmaceutical MNCs in
the domestic pharmaceutical market is estimated to increase to 35% by 2015.
India rates higher than other countries on cost efficiency. This is visibly reflected
in the manufacturing costs of US FDA-approved plants in India, wherein the
costs are 65% lower than that in the US and 50% lower than that in Europe.
80 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Foreign investors in India
Teva Pharmaceuticals, Israel Nipro Corporation, Japan
Procter & Gamble, USA Pfizer, USA
Glaxo Smith Kline, UK Johnson & Johnson, USA
Otsuka Pharmaceutical, Japan AstraZeneca, Sweden-UK
Going forward, there is immense scope for growth. The per capita consumption
of drugs in India, stands at USD 3, is amongst the lowest in the world, as
compared to Japan- USD 412, Germany- USD 222 and USA- USD 191.
Apparently, this huge gap indicates the underlying opportunities.
Outsourcing in the fields of R&D and manufacturing is the next best event in the
pharmaceutical industry. Spiralling cost, expiring patents, low R&D cost and
market dynamics are driving the MNCs to out source both manufacturing and
research activities. India with its apt chemistry skills and low cost advantages,
both in research and manufacturing coupled with skilled manpower will attract a
lot of business in the days to come.
Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) Sector
Turkey
Breakdown of the ICT Market in Turkey 2007-2010
(in Billion$)
Market 2007 2008 2009 2010
Telecommunications 19.3 20.9 19.6 20.0
IT 6.5 7.2 5.7 7.3
ICT total 25.7 28.1 26.3 27.3
Source : Turkish Informatics Industrialsts' Association (Tubisad) and Marketing Services and Research Group
Turkey’s information and communication technologies (ICT) market reached a size
of USD27.3 billion in 2010, an increase of 3.8% from 2009, as the industry pulled
out of the global recession, according to Inter Pro Marketing Services and
Research Group. The market, which more than doubled from 2003, had 14%
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2005 and 2009,in contrast to the
single digit expansion in the U.S. and the European Union. Telecommunications
accounted for USD20.0 billion of the market, while information technologies (IT)
corresponded toUSD7.3 billion.
81 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Although great momentum has been gained in recent years, the share of ICT in
GDP remains around 4.2% compared with 8% to 10% in the European Union.
ICT imports widely exceed exports and average spending per person on ICT is
around USD40 compared to USD500 in Western Europe and USD1,200 in the
USA.
Though relatively small with a USD7.3 billion market size in 2010, Turkey has one
of the fastest growing IT markets of the world. The IT market is dominated by
hardware sales, with over 50%of the market. Some 3.604 million computers
were sold in Turkey in 2010, a 20% increase from 2009 anda six-fold rise from
2002, when only 600,000 PCs were sold. Around 70% of the sales are in
notebook computers.
Internet Service Users in Turkey by Years
Years Number of Subscribers
1999 2,000,000
2000 2,500,000
2001 3,500,000
2002 4,000,000
2003 6,000,000
2004 11,279,000
2005 14,844,000
2006 16,406,000*
2007 17,851,000*
2008 19,052,000*
2009 20,104, 000*
2010 20,957,000*
*Estimated
Source : Ministry of Transportation and telecommunications, SPO and Pyramid Research, and Economicst
Intelligence Unit
There has been a remarkable increase in notebook sales in recent years due to
the high in terest in use of wireless internet, and third generation
telecommunications (3G) services and sustained growth of the economy. When
compared to developed countries, Turkey still has an internet users ratio of
around 49%, bringing it close to rates in other countries, such as Italy, Bulgaria
and Romania, the Economic Intelligence Unit reported. The population segment
ages 15 to 44 offers a high potential in terms of consumption of technology
82 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
products and accessories. Accordingly, growth of computer sales in Anatolian
cities has been remarkable over the recent years.
The IT market is expected to continue its expansion triggered by investments
both in public and private sector. Currently, finance and public sectors are top
two main sectors in terms of IT services expenditures. Turkey’s IT equipment
manufacturing capability is modest and software is largely imported. Local
manufacturing activity is limited to assembly. The current share of software in
total market is15%, which is far below worldwide averages. The IT sector views
software as its strategic growth. In 2008, the total value of registered software
exports stood at around USD250 million. This figure, however, does not reflect
the real value of sector exports, because software products are often apart of
other products and services such as machinery, electronics, electronic
machinery, engineering, medical equipment, etc. The main export markets for
Turkish-made software are the USA, Germany, Iraq, Kazakhstan, the Netherlands,
Ukraine and Greece.
One major development was the August 6, 2010, opening in western Turkey of a
Foxconn factoryto turn out 2.4 desk top computers a year. A Hewlet-Packard (HP)
affiliate based in China, Foxconn opened the factory in the industrial town of
Corlu, in Thrace, 200 km west of Istanbul, with a USD60 million investment. The
products are for both the domestic market and for exports. In 2009, San Jose,
California-based secure electronic payments systems company Verifone acquired
the Turkish ICT companies Teknosis and Lipman Elektronik for an undisclosed
sum.
The Turkish ICT market will be shaped by stronger and more global players in the
comingperiods. All the new entrants in 2005 including Oger Telecoms and
Vodafone as well as Turk Telekom unveiled significant amount of investment
plans for the next few years.
The sector is far from being saturated. The penetration rate of 26% in fixed line
telephony services in Turkey is one of the lowest in Europe. The Internet
penetration rate as of end-2007is a low 25.3%. Although Turkey shows a
doubling of broadband lines from 2003 to 2004and further on, it is still well
behind most European countries. With the introduction of 3G,in 2009, the range
of telecommunication services is diversifying to a great extent to include
broadband communications services, WiFi, Wimax and value added services.
Given that and continuing progress in deregulation and commercialization
activities, the Turkish wireless market provides plenty of room for growth,
offering opportunities for exporters and existing and new players.
83 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
E-Transformation Turkey and e-government projects, which are being executed as
part of the convergence with the European Union (EU), will create a lucrative
demand for ICT companies, paving the way for large e-Government projects with
large amounts of public funding and fuelling internet use and content creation.
Cisco’s investment plans worth USD275 million, which was announced in
September 2006, involves supporting Turkey’se - transformation agenda by
providing networking technology and prototypes to support pilot programs
targeted towards rural broadband for education, as well as connectivity for
smalland medium businesses, municipalities and local communities.
There are long-term prospects for Turkey becoming strong in software exports.
The IT sector views software as its strategic growth segment for exports and a
great deal of Turkish software companies is on the way to obtain CMMI, SPICE:
ISO 15504, ITIL, and COBIT. The Silicon Valley Project, which started under the
Ministry of Industry, is expected to givea push to these efforts. Meanwhile,
Oracle opened its “Istanbul ISV Migration Centre” in mid-2006 to meet the
software requirements of the Europe Middle East and Africa region. YASAD
(Software Industrialists Association) has set its target as software exports worth
USD2 billion during the next five years.
In addition to the mounting demand from local companies, Turkey has substantial
strengths to be the location for offshore outsourcing services, including
European calls. Growth of technology supermarkets, such as Smile, Darty,
Bimeks, Vatan Bilgisayar and Teknosa are also fuelling retail sales.
India is regarded as the premier destination for global IT and ITeS outsourcing,
accounting for almost 55% of the global sourcing market in 2010, according to
the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology. The Indian IT
industry's (including hardware) share in the global market stands at 7% and
growth has been largely due to exports. The ITeS sector includes IT hardware,
software and services.
India boasts of a robust sector comprising of more than 15,000 firms; of which
1000+ are large firms. Sector accounts for largest share in total services exports
(38%). 600 offshore development centres (ODCs) of 78 countries.
Indian IT companies have, in recent years, started expanding their global
footprint through the global delivery model to seamlessly service their clients’
needs worldwide. Industry analysts expect the top IT firms to grow between
India
84 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
23% and 27% in 2012 on the basis of an increased number of discretionary
projects, improved pricing and robust business volumes.
The Indian IT-BPO sector is estimated to have aggregated revenues of USD 88.1
billion in 2010–2011, with the IT software and services sector (excluding
hardware) accounting for USD 76.2 billion of revenues. During this period, direct
employment is expected to have reached nearly 2.5 million, an addition of
240,000 employees, while indirect job creation is estimated at 8.3 million. As a
proportion of national GDP, the sector revenues have grown from 1.2% in
1997–1998 to an estimated 6.4% in 2010–2011. Its share of total Indian exports
(merchandise plus services) has increased from less than 4% in 1997–1998 to
26% in 2010–2011, as per the report of the working group on the IT sector for
the 12th Five-Year Plan (2012–17).
The main growth drivers of the IT and ITeS industry are cost efficiencies,
utilization rates, diversification into new verticals, and shifting business and
pricing models. India is a preferred destination for companies that are seeking to
offshore IT and back-office functions. It also retains its low-cost advantage and is
a financially attractive location when viewed in combination with the business
environment it offers and the availability of skilled people. The country is also
known across the world for its successful export-led software industry.
Software and services exports (including ITeS-BPO), excluding hardware exports,
were estimated at USD 59 billion in 2010–11, as per NASSCOM, India’s premier
association in the IT sector. Software and services exports constituted more than
half of the electronics and IT-ITeS industry’s revenues in 2010–11.
As per the report of the task force set up by Ministry of Communications and
Information Technology (MoC&IT), the demand for electronics hardware in the
country is projected to increase from the USD 45 billion in 2009 to USD 400
billion by 2020. The task force has been set up to suggest measures to stimulate
the growth of the IT-ITeS and the electronics hardware manufacturing industry in
India.
According to the executive summary report published by the Department of
Electronics and Information Technology, MoC & IT, the sector has grown to
become the biggest employment generator in the country. As per NASSCOM
estimates, the workforce in the Indian IT sector will touch 30 million by 2020.
Global companies such as Accenture, HP Enterprise Services, IBM and
Capgemini have a strong presence in India. These companies already have a
large number of India-based employees — Accenture (40,000+), IBM (130,000+),
HP Enterprise Services (15,000+) and Cap Gemini (26,000+); global players are
85 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
aiming to develop onshore service providers who can deliver seamless hybrid
onshore-offshore services at low costs.
Between April 2000 and March 2011, the computer software and hardware
sector received cumulative FDI of USD 10,723 million, according to the
Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), which is part of the
Ministry of Commerce and Industry and which is responsible for formulating the
country’s FDI policy.
IT and ITeS has played a major role in the overall growth and development of
India. In the electronics and IT sector, 100% FDI is permitted under the
automatic route. The major fiscal incentives provided by the Government of India
in this sector have been for export-oriented units (EOU), software technology
parks (STP) and special economic zones (SEZ).
According to NASSCOM, the Indian IT industry is poised to become a USD 225
billion industry by 2020.According to a McKinsey report titled ‘Perspective 2020:
Transform Business, Transform India,’ the exports component of the Indian IT
industry is expected to reach USD 175 billion in revenue by 2020. Over 80%
growth is expected from non-traditional sectors such as public sector, media and
utilities; in addition, strong demand is expected from emerging countries that
currently account for only 20% of global IT spending. At the same time, the
domestic component will contribute USD 50 billion in revenue by 2020 as India is
considered to be the global hub as far as the availability of skilled talent is
considered. Moreover, the growing talent pool of India has the ability to drive the
R&D and innovation business in the IT-BPO space.
Foreign investors in India
Accenture (Ireland) Cognizant (USA)
HP (USA) Capgemini (France)
IBM (USA) Atos (France)
Microsoft (USA) CDNS (USA)
Intel (USA) Dell International (USA)
Agilent Technologies (USA) Mentor Graphics (USA)
Oracle Corporation (USA) Qualcomm (USA)
Steria (France) Ricoh (Japan)
SAP (Germany) TIBCO (USA)
Applied Materials (USA) Philips (Netherlands)
86 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
Food and Agriculture Sector
Turkey
With its favourable geographical conditions and climate, Turkey,the 7thbiggest
agricultural economy in the world, is considered to be one of the leading
countries in the world in the field of food and agriculture.The restructuring efforts
that began in the early 1980s, alongside a series of reforms such as privatizations
and the reduction of trade barriers in the agriculture sector, resulted in a
domestic market that is an integral part of the world economy today.
Turkey has a large and growing food and agriculture industry that corresponds to
9% of the overall gross value-added (GVA) and 25 percent of the employment
levels in the country.Turkey’s agricultural production is equivalent to 40% and
20% of EU-25 production of fruits andvegetables respectively.In arable crops, it
is a major producer (in EU terms), while in other crops it is a competitive
producer(in EU and world terms) of certain grain legumes such as chickpeas and
lentils, of cotton, and of somequalities of tobacco and olive oil.
About 39 million hectares devoted to agriculture represents 23% of the EU-25
agricultural area. Turkeyhas a far richer endowment of agricultural resources in
terms of cultivable land and availability ofwater than any Middle Eastern
country.Although the Turkish agricultural sector employed 5.2 million people as of
March 2010, or 24% of the country’s workforce, agricultural output constituted
only 8.3% of the GDP.
Agricultural output has ranged between USD50 billion to USD55 billion in recent
years. The bulk isaccounted by plant products. According to the Food and
Agriculture Organization of the UnitedNations, Turkey ranks among the top 10
countries in terms of vegetable and fruit production percapita as well as in total
output. Turkey’s great advantage is the conjunction of ample land with avariety of
climatic conditions. All temperate-zone and Mediterranean climate crops can be
grownin the country, as can a number of subtropical crops.
Production 2008 2009 2010
000 tons 000 tons 000tons
Cereals 31,132 33,553 32,700
Wheat 17,782 20,600 19,600
Barley 5,923 7,300 7,200
Maize 4,274 4,250, 4,300
Rice 753 750 860
Others 1,200 653 800
Agricultural Production 2007-2010
87 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
In 2010, Turkey’s most important agricultural products were cereals (32.7 million
tons), followed by various types of vegetables (26 million tons) and fruit (16.6
million tons). The bulk of cereals is wheat with 19.6 million tons and barley (7.2
million tons), while grapes ranked first in fruits(4.103 million tons), followed by
citrus fruits and apples. Cereals and cereal–based products accounted for 8% of
food production according to the latest analysis by the State Planning
Organization. Turkey is also an important producer in the following areas: It ranks
5th in olive oil production just after Spain, Italy, Greece and Tunisia, while it isa
top contender in dairy production with a milk market of about 11 million tons.
Turkey is a significant agricultural exporter. In fruit and vegetables in particular,
which account for around 46% of all Turkey’s processed food and agricultural
exports, it is a major world producer and net exporter. The shares of vegetable
oils and confectionary and chocolate products are increasing in total exports. The
country exports 1,530 agricultural and food products to 177 nations.
In 2010, Turkish agricultural and processed food exports stood at USD12.055
billion, the Turkish Exporters Assembly reported. A large part of its food and
agricultural exports go to the European Union countries. Food and agricultural
imports, including residues and wastes from the food industry, stood at an
estimated USD7.2 billion in 2010. Oil seeds, fruit, animal fats and vegetable
oilswere the biggest import items, accounting for 34% of imports.
Production 2008 2009 2010
000 tons 000 tons 000tons
Pulses ua ua ua
Cotton 1,820 1,725 2,100
Tobacco 100 85 55
Sugar beet 15,488 17,274 17,996
Potatoes 4,225 4,425 5,751
Sunflower Seeds 854 992 1,058
Fruits 15,600 16,600 16,600
Grapes 3,918 4,264 4,260
Olives 1,464 1,290 1,410
Hazelnuts 800 500 630
Tea 1,100 1,103 1,300
Vegetables 27,200 26,400 26,000
Source : Turkish Statistics Institute
88 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The government aims to raise agricultural and food exports to USD39.9 billion by
2023, the 100th anniversaryof the Turkish Republic.The size of the Turkish agro
industry market, as a combination of demand for food, beveragesand tobacco, is
estimated around USD51 billion, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute
(TÜÝK).
Turkey attracted USD43 million in foreign direct investment (FDI) in its
agriculture, hunting, forestryand fisheries industries in 2009, a mere 0.8% of
total FDI inflows to the country in the year,theUndersecretariat of Treasury
reported. This was because of “continued structural problems, risksand
uncertainties in the sector and the faster growth in the service sector,” Deloitte
Turkey said.
Turkey is reshaping its agriculture in preparation for European Union (EU)
membership as wellas in line with its commitments to the IMF, and the sector
holds the promise of making Turkey amajor player in EU and world terms. The
comprehensive agricultural reform being executed since2000 creates a more
competitive agricultural sector and reduces state involvement. The WorldBank
contributes to these projects with USD600 million in loans.
The sector is developing fast in volume as well as in product variety and quality.
Domesticdemand is driven by increasing income levels and the changing
demand patterns of the newgenerations. Integration with the EU as well as
Turkey’s increasing globalization is spurringexports. In the longer term Turkish
accession can be expected to lead to an increase of tradein both directions as
the EU membership would mean an end to the protectionist measuresagainst
EU products.
Foreign investors’ success with merchandising the same products that dominate
Turkish agriculturaloutput means that there are major opportunities for
companies interested in thelow-cost output possible in Turkey. Opportunities
exist in animal products (meat and milk),fishery products, fruit and vegetable
processing, confectionery products, pasta and pastry production,herbal foods,
processed organic foods as well as vegetable oil (especially olive oil)and
viticulture.
There is a new focus on organic farming techniques and the government
isespecially very supportive of organic food manufacturing projects. Turkey
boasts the largestorganically grown area in the Mediterranean region. The
impressive advantage it has is thatorganic agriculture can easily be applied with
low cost in the country.
89 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
It is a gateway to the Middle East which represents an import marketof over
USD200 billion. The GAP region, with its 210.3 million sqm area particularly
available for organic farming, presents unprecedented advantages for organic
agriculture and hence for organic textile and an excellent location for the food
and beverages manufacturing industries.
India boasts of a rich agriculture resource base. In 2012, India ranked No. 1 in the
world in production of bananas, mango, papaya, chick-peas, ginger, okra, milk
(fresh & whole of buffalo and goat) and buffalo meat. Further; India ranks No. 2 in
the world in production of sugarcane, rice (paddy), potato, wheat, garlic,
groundnuts (with shell), dry onion, green peas, pumpkins, gourds, cauliflowers,
tea, tomatoes, lentils, wheat and cow milk.
The gross cropped area is 199 million hectares and the cropping intensity is
140%. The net irrigated area is 89.9 million hectares. A total of 127 agro-climatic
zones have been identified in India.
Strategic geographic location and proximity to food importing nations, makes
India favorable for export of processed foods. The Indian food processing
industry accounts for 32% of the country’s total food market. Estimated to be
worth USD 121 billion, it is one of the largest industries in India, and is ranked
5thin terms of production, consumption and exports. The industry employs 13
million people directly and 35 million people indirectly. It accounts for 14% of
manufacturing GDP, nearly 13% of India’s exports and 6% of total industrial
investment. Currently growing at more than 10% per annum, it is expected to
touch USD 194 billion by 2015.
Liberalization and growth of organized retail have made the Indian market more
attractive for global players. FDI in the sector has been increasing significantly
with a cumulative inflow of USD 5.89 billion between April 2000 and May
2014.Major global players in the food domain are already present in India. Major
MNCs already present in India include Nestle, Pepsi, Coke, Kellogg's, Delmonte,
Conagro, Unilever, Wal-Mart, Perfetti, Glaxo Smith Kline, Heinz, Wyeth
Ajinomoto, Nissin Met, Le Bon Griffith Laboratories, and many others are in
pipeline.
There are a number of foreign players operating in India, either directly or in
collaboration with Indian partners. For instance, McDonald’s is present in India
through two collaborations, one which involves a Development Licensee for the
southern and western regions, and the other a joint venture for operations in the
north and east.
India
90 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
The US-based private equity fund, New Vernon Private Equity Limited (NVPEL),
has decided to invest Rs 45 crore in Kochi-based spice major, Eastern
Condiments, which is the flagship company of the Eastern Group. Another
example is America’s largest chocolate and confectionery-maker, Hershey, which
is acquiring a 51% stake in Godrej Beverages and Foods for US$ 54 million.
With a large agriculture sector, abundant livestock, and cost competitiveness,
India is fast emerging as a sourcing hub of processed foods. Exports of
processed food and related products have also been rising steadily - Main export
destinations are Middle East and South East Asia.
The Indian food processing industry is divided into agri-products, milk and milk
products, and meat, poultry and marine products. Major industries constituting
food processing sector are grain mill, sugar, edible oils, beverages and dairy
products.
In agri-products, India is the largest producer of several fruits, such as banana,
mango and papaya. It is also the 2ndlargest producer of vegetables such as
brinjal, cabbage and onion. The country is also the 2ndlargest producer of rice,
wheat, sugar and cotton. In milk and milk products, India is the largest producer,
accounting for 20% of global production. In terms of livestock, the country has
the largest livestock population in the world, with 98.7 million buffaloes and 176
million cows, as per 2008 estimates.
There are 12 products reserved for manufacturing by the small-scale sector.
These products include bread, pastries, confectioneries, rapeseed oil, mustard
oil, sesame oil, groundnut oil, sweetened cashewnut products, ground and
processed spices other than spice oil and oleo resin spice, tapioca sago and
tapioca flour.
UNIDO has identified over 60 food processing clusters, consisting of small and
medium enterprises, across India. The state-wise distribution of the clusters
shows the largest concentration of companies in Maharashtra and Gujarat
followed by Andhra Pradesh, Punjab and Orissa.
Forty two Mega Food Parks are being set up in public-private partnership at an
investment of INR 98 billion. The parks have around 1200 developed plots and
enabling basic infrastructure that the entrepreneurs can take on lease for setting
up of food processing and ancillary units.121 Cold chain projects are being set up
to develop Supply Chain infrastructure in India.
The Government of India allows 100% FDI under the automatic route in the food
processing sector, in agri-products, milk and milk products, and marine and meat
products.
91 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
• The Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Investment Support and Promotion
Agency (ISPAT)
• Foreign Economic Relations Board (DEIK)
• ISPAT’s – Turkish Business Outlook 2012
• Invest India
• The Automotive Components Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA)
• http://chemicals.nic.in
• http://www.cci.in
• www.dipp.nic.in
• www.rbi.org.in
` • http://www.fipbindia.com/
• http://www.mca.gov.in/
• http://finmin.nic.in/
• http://www.sebi.gov.in/
• http://moia.gov.in/
• http://mofpi.nic.in/
• http://www.mca.gov.in/
• http://www.nasscom.in/
• http://www.ibef.org/industry/informationtechnology.aspx
• http://www.mit.gov.in/
Reference
92 | INDIA-TURKEY Trade and Economic Relations: Prospects for the Future
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N O T E S
N O T E S
Federation of Indian Chambers ofCommerce and Industry (FICCI)
Federation House, 1 Tansen Marg,New Delhi-110001