Indonesia's Central Government Debt Profile April 2013 (English)

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  • 7/27/2019 Indonesia's Central Government Debt Profile April 2013 (English)

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    MINISTRY OF FINANCE OF REPUBLIC OF INDONESIA

    DIRECTORATE GENERAL OF DEBT MANAGEMENT

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Table of Contents

    Chapter 1

    Backgrounds, Debt Management Objective and Strategy,Debt Instruments, Legal Basis

    1. Backgrounds (1)

    2. Backgrounds (2)

    3. Debt Management Objectives and Strategy

    4. Debt Instruments (1)

    5. Debt Instruments (2)

    6. Debt Management: Legal Basis

    Chapter 2

    State Budget, Deficit and Its Financing

    7. State Budget (APBN) 20082013

    8. Financing Cash flow 2008-2013

    9. Fiscal Deficit and State Budget Financing, 2008-2013

    10. Deficit in Various Countries 2008-2013

    11. Budget and Realization of Debt Financing 201312. Realization of Government Securities Issuance 2013

    13. Loans Drawing by Type of Financing, 2008-2013

    14. Program Loan 2008-2013

    15. External Loan Financing 2008 2013

    16. Loan Disbursement 2013 - Project Financing

    17. Loan Disbursement 2013 - Project Financing (Chart)

    Chapter 3Debt Portfolio (Outstanding, Maturity Profile, Change inSecurities and Loans Positions)

    18. Government Debt Outstanding 2008-2013

    19. Government Debt Outstanding 2008-2013 (Chart)

    20. Debt Maturity Profile as of March 28,2013

    21. Government Securities Outstanding 2008-201322. Loans Outstanding by Creditor Types

    23. Loans Outstanding by Creditor Types (Chart)

    24. Loans Outstanding by Economic Sectors

    25. Loans Outstanding by Economic Sectors (Chart)

    26. Government Debt Outstanding - Main Currencies

    27. Government Debt Outstanding - Other Currencies

    28. Government Debt Outstanding - by Currencies(Chart)

    29. Loans Drawing Proportion by Financing Type (Chart)

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 4

    Debt Portfolio Management Performance (Debt

    Performance Measurement and Comparison, LoanDisbursement, Government Debt Securities Re-profiling)

    30. Central Government Debt to GDP Ratio

    31. Debt to GDP Ratio, Indonesia & some Countries

    32. Maturity Profile of Tradable Securities as of March28, 2013

    33. Debt Switching and Buyback

    34. Debt Reduction through Debt Swap Scheme

    35. Loans Disbursement Performance

    36. External Loan Services to Reserves Ratio

    37. Debt to GDP Ratio, Some Countries & The Changes

    38. Debt per Capita, of Some Countries

    39. Debt per Capita, of Some Countries & The Changes

    40. Debt Risk Indicators, 2008-2012

    Table of Contents

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Chapter5Costs of Borrowing (Debt Services, Cost of Fund, YieldCurve, External Debts Cost)

    41. Debt Services Realizations, Fiscal Year 2013

    42. Debt Services Realizations, Fiscal Year 2013 (Chart)

    43. Interest Payment to Debt Ratio

    44. Interest Payment Realization

    45. Terms and Conditions of Loan from Multilateral

    46. Terms and Conditions of Loan from Bilateral (Japan)

    47. Domestic Government Debt Securities Yield Curve

    48. Indonesian Global Bond Yield Curve

    Chapter 6Performance of Secondary Market for Govt. Securities(Trading Volume, Govt. Securities Ownership Structure)

    49. Average Daily Trading of Domestic Govt. Securities

    50. Government Debt Securities Ownership

    51. Domestic Debt Government Securities Ownership

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    60. Indonesia Sovereign Credit Rating Performance(1)

    61. Indonesia Sovereign Credit Rating Performance(2)

    62. Government Guarantee Outstanding and BudgetAllocation

    63. BPK Opinion on Government Financial Report

    64. Conclusion

    Table of Contents

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    52. Domestic Debt Government Securities Ownership( in % )

    53. Foreign Ownership of Domestic GovernmentSecurities by Tenor

    54. Spread over UST- Jan 18

    55. Spread over UST- Feb 22

    56. Spread over UST- Feb 42

    Chapter 7

    Rating, Government Guarantee, Supreme Audit Agency(BPK) Opinion, Conclusion

    57. Credit Rating of Indonesia

    58. Indonesia Credit Rating Performance (1)

    59. Indonesia Credit Rating Performance (2)

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    Chapter 1

    Background, Debt Management Strategy and

    Objective, Debt Instruments, Legal Basis

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Background (1)

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Debt management and policy is an integral part of fiscal policy which alsoconstructs economic policy and management in general.

    Ultimate objectives of economic management: Welfare creation and maintenance in the form of:

    Reducing unemployment.

    Alleviating poverty.

    Spurring more growth in the economy.

    Security and stability enhancement.

    Debt is materialized if state budget is in deficit.

    Deficit financing through debt has been perceived to be a standard approach inmost of the countries in a modern world:

    Debt is primary tool to fill fiscal gap and to refinance matured debts;

    Debt refinancing will end up with new and better debt profile in term of risk

    and fee.

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Background (2)

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Government debt, in nominal term, has increased due to:

    Legacy debts that need to be refinanced;

    Inevitable effect of currency and banking crises in 1997/1998: Exchange rate depreciation;

    Banking bail out and recapitalization;

    Part of proceed coming from asset recovery used for debt/banking recap securities repayment.

    Fiscal deficit financing is also a result of political process and of political decision madeby the Government and the Parliament, which is intended for: Supporting fiscal stimuli through development activity in infrastructure, agriculture, energy, and

    another kind of pump priming project;

    Sustaining peoples welfare program such as PNPM, BOS, Jamkesmas, Raskin, PKH, subsidy;

    Supporting real sectors activity, for instance through tax incentive;

    Maintaining 20% of state budget to back up education sector;

    Enhancing army and defense system;

    Continuing bureaucratic reform.

    Access to soft loans coming from multilateral donors has been restricted by:

    Indonesia is no longer considered as low income country;

    How much upper limit of foreign loans can be received by an economy.

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Debt Management Strategy and Objective

    Objectives

    Long-term :

    Securing Government Budget debt financing needs at minimum cost and tolerable risk level, thusfiscal sustainability can be maintained

    Supporting efforts to develop a deep, active and liquid Government Securities market.

    Short-term :

    Ensuring the availability of funds to cover budget deficit and to meet debt repayment obligations ina timely and efficient manner

    General Strategies optimizing potential sources of financing from domestic market through issuance of IDR denominated

    Government securities and domestic loan disbursement;

    developing debt instrument to obtain flexibility in selecting a more suitable, cost-efficient and minimum riskinstrument;

    utilizing foreign loans to finance priority projects, at favorable terms & conditions for the Government, andwithout having any political agenda from creditors;

    maintaining the medium term policy of reducing the outstanding of foreign loan;

    improving coordination with monetary and capital market authorities, particularly to support the financialdeepening;

    improving coordination and communication with various parties to enhance the efficiency of loanmanagement and improve sovereign credit rating

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Debt Instruments (1)

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Government Loan consists of external and domestic loans: External Loan

    World Bank, Asian Development Bank, Islamic Development Bank and bilateraldonors (Japan, Germany, France, etc.) and Export Credit. Program Loan:

    Intended for budget support. Its disbursement is a function of the realization of statedpolicy matrix aiming at the targets set up in MDGs scheme (poverty alleviation,education, and corruption eradication), people empowerment and also policy relatedwith climate change and infrastructure development.

    Project Loan :To support infrastructure project in transportation, energy etc and also povertyalleviation project.

    Domestic Loan Government Regulation No. 54 Year 2008 on Domestic Loan Procurement Procedure and

    Domestic Loan Channeling;

    Coming from state-owned enterprise, local government and local state-owned enterprise;

    To finance policy related with the effort to support local industry, infrastructure project forpublic service and investment generating revenue project.

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Debt Instruments (2)

    Government securities (SBN) in local and foreign currency denominated,tradable and non-tradable, fixed and variable:

    Government Debt Securities (SUN) T-Bills: short-term (up to 1 year);

    Govt. Bond (> 1 year)

    Coupon Bond

    Tradable: ORI, FR/VR bond, Global bond

    Non tradable: SRBI for bank recap, bond issued for Bank Indonesias recap

    and restructuring of banking industry Zero coupon

    Government Islamic securities/Sukuk (SBSN) in domestic and foreigncurrency denominated in the scheme of Ijarah, Musyarakah, Istisna,etc Islamic T-Bills;

    IFR/Ijarah Fixed Rate; Global Sukuk; SDHI/Indonesian Haj Fund Sukuk; Project BasedSukuk (PBS).

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 2

    State Budget, Deficit and Its Financing

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    State Budget (APBN) 20082013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    [ in Trillion IDR ]

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    LKPP LKPP LKPP LKPP BUDGET-R BUDGET

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    A. Revenues and Grants 981.6 848.8 995.3 1,210.6 1,358.2 1,529.7

    I. Domestic Revenues 979.3 847.1 992.3 1,205.4 1,357.4 1,525.2

    1. Tax Revenues 658.7 619.9 723.3 873.9 1,016.2 1,193.0

    2. Non Tax Revenues 320.6 227.2 268.9 331.5 341.1 332.2

    II . Grants 2.3 1.7 3.0 5.2 0.8 4.5

    B. Expenditures 985.7 937.4 1,042.1 1,295.0 1,548.3 1,683.0

    I. Central Government 693.4 628.8 697.4 883.7 1,069.5 1,154.4a. Interest Payments 88.4 93.8 88.4 93.2 117.8 113.2

    - Domestic Currency 59.9 63.8 61.4 79.6 84.7 80.7

    - Foreign Currency 28.5 30.0 26.9 13.6 33.0 32.5

    b. Subsidies 275.3 138.1 192.7 295.3 245.1 317.2

    II . Transfers to Regions 292.4 308.6 344.7 411.3 478.8 528.6

    C. Primary Balance 84.3 5.2 41.5 8.8 (72.3) (40.1)

    D. Budget Surplus (Deficit) (A-B) (4.1) (88.6) (46.8) (84.4) (190.1) (153.3)E. Financing 84.1 112.6 91.6 130.9 190.1 153.3

    I. Debt 67.5 87.1 86.9 102.7 156.2 161.5

    II . Non Debt 16.6 25.5 4.6 28.3 33.9 (8.1)

    Financing Surplus (Deficit) 80.0 23.9 44.7 46.5 0.0 0.0

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    Financing Cash flow 2008-2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    [ in Billions IDR ]

    LKPP

    2008

    LKPP

    2009

    LKPP

    2010

    LKPP

    2011

    BUDGET -R

    2012

    BUDGET

    2013

    Financing Needs (99,720) (236,975) (203,538) (245,479) (386,124) (342,312)Budget Deficit (4,121) (88,619) (46,846) (84,399) (190,105) (153,338)

    Debt Repayment (108,958) (120,145) (135,893) (138,818) (169,121) (166,044)

    Bond Redemptions and Buybacks (40,333) (49,067) (76,532) (87,272) (110,823) (100,421)

    Foreign Loan Amortization (63,435) (68,031) (50,633) (47,323) (49,725) (58,405)

    Domestic Loan Amortization - - - - (141) (250)

    On Lending (5,189) (3,047) (8,729) (4,224) (8,432) (6,968)

    Non Debt Financing Needs 13,359 (28,211) (20,799) (22,262) (26,898) (22,929)

    Financing Sources 179,670 260,939 248,243 292,029 386,124 342,311

    Debt 176,468 207,200 222,822 241,503 325,283 327,530

    Government Securities Issuance, Gross 126,249 148,538 167,634 207,136 270,419 280,861

    Domestic 86,932 101,736 142,593 176,659 - -

    Foreign 39,317 46,802 25,041 30,477 - -

    Foreign Loan Disbursements 50,219 58,662 54,795 33,747 53,731 45,919

    Program Loans 30,100 28,938 28,975 15,266 15,604 6,510

    Project Loans to Central Government 14,929 26,678 17,091 14,257 29,695 32,441

    Project Loans On Lending 5,189 3,047 8,729 4,224 8,432 6,968

    Domestic Loan Disbursements - - 394 619 1,132 750

    Non Debt 3,202 53,740 25,421 50,526 60,842 14,782

    Financing Surplus (Deficit) 79,950 23,965 44,706 46,549 (0) (0)Net Financing Cash Flows 84,072 112,583 91,552 130,949 190,105 153,338

    Net Debt 67,510 87,055 86,929 102,685 156,162 161,486

    Governm ent Secur it ies 85,916 99,471 91,102 119,864 159,596 180,440

    Foreign Loans (18,406) (12,416) (4,566) (17,799) (4,426) (19,454)

    Domestic Loans - - 394 619 991 500

    Net Non Debt 16,561 25,528 4,622 28,264 33,943 (8,148)

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    86 9

    9

    91

    120

    160 1

    80

    (18

    )

    (12) (

    4)

    (17

    ) (3)

    (19)

    1726

    5

    28 34

    (8)(4)

    (89)

    (47)

    (84)

    (190)

    (153)

    (0.1)

    (1.6)

    (0.7)

    (1.1)

    (2.2)

    (1.7)

    (4)

    (3)

    (2)

    (1)

    -

    1

    2

    3

    4

    (200)

    (180)

    (160)

    (140)

    (120)

    (100)

    (80)

    (60)

    (40)

    (20)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180200

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

    [ % to GDP][Trillion Rupiah]

    Securities (netto) Domestic & Foreign Loan (netto) Non Debt (netto) Budget Surplus (Deficit) Budget Deficit to GDP ratio (RHS)

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Fiscal Deficit and State Budget Financing 2008-2013

    Source: Ministry of Finance

    Since 2005, government securities have played role as a primary instrument offinancing

    Refinancing strategy to achieve a better debt profile explains the movement ofgovernment securities in 2008-2013.

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :2008-2011 Audited* BUDGET-R 2012** BUDGET

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Deficit in Various Countries 2008-2013

    Fiscal deficit in Indonesia is lower than other countries.

    Fiscal rule stated on Law Number 17/2003 has fixed upper limit of deficit in the level of3% of GDP. In consequence, additional debt to finance fiscal deficit is also limited.

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    -14.0

    -12.0

    -10.0

    -8.0

    -6.0

    -4.0

    -2.0

    0.0

    2.0

    4.0

    6.0

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Brazil China Indonesia Japan

    Mexico Russia United Kingdom United States

    Notes :

    - in % to GDP- For Indonesia, Year 20082011 are the audited (LKPP) numbers, 2012 are APBN-P numbers and 2013 are the budget (APBN) numbers

    Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2012 & Ministry of Finance

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Budget and Realization of Debt Financing 2013

    Notes:

    *) Provisional

    - Securities issuance budget is tentative, depend on financing need in term of securities portfolio managementMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    (in billion IDR)

    Nominal %

    (1) (3) (6)=(4)+(5) (7) = (6) : (3) (8) = (3) - (6) (9) = (8) : (3)

    A. Expenditures 113,243.8 26,348.5 23.3 86,895.3 76.7

    1 Domestic Interest Payments 80,703.3 18,865.0 23.4 61,838.3 76.6

    - Securities 80,613.2 18,865.0 23.4 61,748.2 76.6

    - Domestic Loans 90.1 - - 90.1 100.0

    2 External Interest Payments 32,540.5 7,483.4 23.0 25,057.1 77.0

    - External Loans 15,216.2 2,208.2 14.5 13,008.0 85.5

    - Global Bonds / Securities in valas 17,324.3 5,275.3 30.5 12,049.0 69.5

    B. FinancingI Domestic Financing

    A. Domestic Loans (Net) 500.0 24.5 4.9 475.5 95.1

    B. Net Securities 180,439.9 40,011.7 22.2 140,428.2 77.8

    II External Financing (Net) (19,454.2) (7,396.5)

    1. External Loan Disbursement (Gross) 45,919.1 1,746.4 3.8 44,172.7 96.2

    a. Program Loan 6,510.0 37.7 0.6 6,472.3 99.4

    b. Project Loan 39,409.1 1,708.7 4.3 37,700.4 95.7

    1. Central Government Project Loan 32,440.8 1,246.1 3.8 31,194.7 96.2

    2. On Lending 6,968.3 462.6 6.6 6,505.7 93.4

    2. On Lending (Spending) (6,968.3) (462.6) 6.6 (6,505.7) 93.4

    3. External Loan Amortization (58,405.0) (8,680.2) 14.9 (49,724.8) 85.1

    Nominal %

    (2)

    No. Description BudgetRealization *)

    as of March 28, 2013

    rest of budget

    li i f G S i i 20 3

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Realization of Government Securities Issuance 2013

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    * Adjusted by changes in Cash Management & Debt Switch

    (in million IDR)

    Description TargetRealization Nominal

    (as of March 28, 2013)

    %

    Realization

    Government Securities-Net (Budget

    2013)180.439.900 40.011.717 22,17%

    Government Securities Maturity 2013 85.620.835 28.934.586 33,79%

    Buyback 3.000.000 37.572 1,25%

    Issuance Need* 280.860.735 68.983.875 24,56%

    49.800.000

    49.800.000

    41.000.000

    8.800.000

    19.183.875

    19.183.875

    4.215.000

    14.968.875

    International Sukuk

    Government Islamic Debt Securities

    Domestic Government Islamic Debt Securities

    - IFR/PBS (- Islamic Fixed Rate Bond/Project

    Based Sukuk (IFR/PBS))- SPN-S

    - SBSN Ritel

    - SDHI

    Government Debt Securities (GDS)

    Domestic GDS

    - ON

    - SPN

    - ORI

    International Bonds

    L D i b T f Fi i 2008 2013

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    Loan Drawing by Type of Financing, 2008-2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    *) Provisional (Unaudited)

    [in Trillions IDR]

    Nominal % of Budget

    TOTAL 50.22 58.66 55.19 34.37 31.95 46.42 1.77 3.8%

    in bil l ion US$ 4.59 6.24 5.51 3.79 3.35 4.99 0.18

    30.10 28.94 28.97 15.27 14.98 6.51 0.04 0.6%

    in bill ion US$ 2.75 3.08 3.22 1.68 1.57 0.70 0.00

    a. World Bank 12.91 14.65 15.34 10.76 8.61 4.65 0.04 0.8%

    b. A D B 9.17 5.06 6.39 3.63 5.80 1.86 - 0.0%

    c. JAPAN 4.87 6.07 4.59 0.87 - - - 0.0%

    d. FRANCE 2.20 2.79 2.73 - - - - 0.0%

    e. IDB - - - - 0.57 - - 0.0%

    f. Others - - - - - - - 0.0%

    20.12 29.72 25.82 18.48 16.05 39.41 1.71 4.3%

    in bill ion US$ 1.84 3.16 2.87 2.04 1.71 4.24 0.18

    - - 0.39 0.62 0.93 0.50 0.02 4.9%

    in bill ion US$ - - 0.04 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.00

    LKPP/

    Audited2008

    2013

    Budget

    LKPP/

    Audited2009

    Real. As of March 28,LKPP/

    Audited2010

    LKPP/

    Audited2011

    2012 *

    3. Domestic Loan

    2. Project Loan

    TYPE OF FINANCING

    1. Program Loan

    P L 2008 2013

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Program Loan 2008-2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaSource : Directorate of External Debt and Grant

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    [ in Million USD]

    2008 2009 2012

    Real Real Real BUDGET

    Real - as of

    March 28,

    2013

    A. WORLD BANK 1,197 1,553 1,704 1,011 907 500 3.9

    -

    B. ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK 830 500 700 400 600 200 -

    C. JICA, JAPAN 500 600 505 100 - - -

    D. ISLAMIC DEVELOPMENT BANK - - - - 59 - -

    TOTAL 2,727 2,953 3,209 1,511 1,566 700 3.9

    2010 2011 2013

    LENDERS

    E t l L Fi i 2008 2013

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :

    *) Budget 2013

    External Loan Financing 2008 - 2013

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    45.0

    55.6

    46.1

    29.5

    45.3

    39.0

    -63.4-68.0

    -50.6 -47.3 -49.7-58.4

    -18.4-12.4

    -4.6

    -17.8

    -4.4

    -19.5

    -90

    -70

    -50

    -30

    -10

    10

    30

    50

    70

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

    External Loan Disbursement, gross External Loan Principal Repayment External Loan Financing (nett)

    [in

    trillion

    IDR

    ]

    [ in trillion IDR ]

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

    External Loan Disbursement, gross 45.03 55.62 46.07 29.52 45.30 38.95External Loan Principal Repayment (63.44) (68.03) (50.63) (47.32) (49.73) (58.41)

    External Loan Financing (nett) (18.41) (12.42) (4.57) (17.80) (4.43) (19.46)

    Loan Disbursement 2013 Project Financing

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Loan Disbursement 2013 - Project Financing

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Million USD Billion IDR Million USD Billion IDR

    A. Int'l Organization 69.19 670.30 1.6%

    WORLD BANK (IBRD & IDA) 49.03 473.33 1.2%

    A D B 10.01 97.29 0.2%

    I D B 5.90 58.51 0.1%

    I F A D 4.25 41.18 0.1%

    B. Country 106.44 1,038.41 2.5%

    JAPAN 23.69 236.33 0.6%

    GERMANY 10.68 103.30 0.3%

    AUSTRIA 4.49 43.37 0.1%

    FRANCE 8.38 80.74 0.2%

    SINGAPORE 9.41 91.26 0.2%

    SPAIN 0.19 1.86 0.0%

    OTHERS 49.61 481.55 1.2%

    TOTAL 4,237.54 39,409.10 175.63 1,708.71 4.1%

    NEGARA

    BUDGET Real. As of March 28, 2013

    % to BUDGET

    Loan Disbursement 2013 Project Financing (chart)

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Loan Disbursement 2013 - Project Financing (chart)

    [ in billion IDR ] [ % of Project Loan ]

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    1.2%

    0.2%

    0.1% 0.1%

    0.6%

    0.3%

    0.1%

    0.2% 0.2%

    0.0%

    1.2%

    0.0%

    0.2%

    0.4%

    0.6%

    0.8%

    1.0%

    1.2%

    1.4%

    -

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    Disbursement % to Budget (RHS)

    Million USD Billion IDR Million USD Billion IDR

    TOTAL 4,237.54 39,409.10 175.63 1,708.71 4.14%

    % to

    BUDGETNEGARA

    BUDGET Real. As of March 28, 2013

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 3

    Debt Portfolio(Outstanding, Maturity Profile,

    Change in Securities and Loans Positions)

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Government Debt Outstanding 2008 2013

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Government Debt Outstanding, 2008-2013

    Notes :

    * Semi commercials included

    ** Some semi comm ercials included

    *** CommercialsMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    #) Pr ov is io nal##) Very Pr ov is io nal

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012#)Nominal %

    Central Govt. Debt Total ( in trillion IDR) 1,636.74 1,590.66 1,681.66 1,808.95 1,975.42 1,991.22 100.0%

    a. Loans (in trillion IDR) 730.25 611.20 617.25 621.29 614.32 590.20 29.6%1). External Loan 730.25 611.20 616.86 620.28 612.52 588.38

    Bilateral *) 484.90 387.92 380.67 381.66 358.12 336.74 16.9%

    Multilateral **) 222.69 202.37 208.28 212.96 229.68 227.67 11.4%

    Commercial ***) 21.69 20.24 27.34 25.15 24.32 23.62 1.2%

    Suppliers ***) 0.97 0.66 0.57 0.50 0.41 0.35 0.0%

    Others ***) - - - - - - 0.0%

    2). Domestic Loan - - 0.39 1.01 1.80 1.82

    b. Securities (in trillion IDR) 906.50 979.46 1,064.40 1,187.66 1,361.10 1,401.01 70.4%Foreign Currency 122.64 143.15 161.97 195.63 264.91 264.81 13.3%

    Local Currency 783.86 836.31 902.43 992.03 1,096.19 1,136.21 57.1%

    Central Govt. Debt Total

    (In bil l ion US$)

    149.47 169.22 187.04 199.49 204.28 204.88 100.0%

    Consis t of :

    Local Curr ency Securit ies (in bil l ion US$) 71.58 88.97 100.37 109.40 113.36 116.91 57.1%

    Foreign Currency Securities (in bil l ion US$) 11.20 15.23 18.02 21.57 27.39 27.25 13.3%

    Local Currency Loan (in bil l ion US$)- - 0.04 0.11 0.19 0.19 0.1%

    Foreign Curr ency Loan (in bil l ion US$) 66.69 65.02 68.61 68.40 63.34 60.54 29.5%

    Exchange Rate (IDR to US$1) 10,950 9,400 8,991 9,068 9,670 9,719

    March 2013 ##)

    Government Debt Outstanding 2008-2013 (chart)

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Government Debt Outstanding, 2008-2013 (chart)

    Notes :

    *) Provisional

    **) Very Provisional, As of March 28, 2013Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    906 9791,064

    1,1881,361 1,401

    730 611617

    621

    614 590

    -

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*) 2013**)

    Loans Securities

    [ in Trillions IDR ]

    [ in trillion IDR and % ]

    Year

    Loans 730 45% 611 38% 617 37% 621 37% 614 31% 590 30%

    Securities 906 55% 979 62% 1,064 63% 1,188 63% 1,361 69% 1,401 70%

    Central Govt. Debt

    Total1,637 100% 1,591 100% 1,682 100% 1,809 100% 1,975 100% 1,991 100%

    2013**)2012*)20102009 20112008

    Debt Maturity Profile as of March 28 2013

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Debt Maturity Profile as of March 28, 2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    61

    95

    85

    75

    59

    88

    69

    82

    77

    108

    56

    33 4

    4

    22

    4743

    3

    29

    31

    47

    33

    5

    21

    10

    37 4

    3

    8

    90

    45

    55

    53

    49

    43

    42

    41

    4035

    30

    25

    21

    18

    15

    1310

    9

    8 8

    87

    5

    3

    2

    11

    1

    2

    -

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    2013

    2014

    2015

    2016

    2017

    2018

    2019

    2020

    2021

    2022

    2023

    2024

    2025

    2026

    2027

    2028

    2029

    2030

    2031

    2032

    2033

    2034

    2035

    2036

    2037

    2038

    2039

    2040-2055

    Loans Securities

    [in Trillions IDR]

    Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

    Loans 42% 37% 38% 40% 42% 32% 37% 33% 32% 22% 31% 39% 29% 41% 21%

    Securities 58% 63% 62% 60% 58% 68% 63% 67% 68% 78% 69% 61% 71% 59% 79%

    Year 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039

    Loans 20% 74% 22% 21% 15% 18% 49% 12% 14% 3% 2% 6%

    Securities 80% 26% 78% 79% 85% 82% 51% 88% 86% 97% 98% 94%

    2%

    98%

    2040-2055

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    Loans Outstanding by Creditor Types

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Loans Outstanding by Creditor Types

    *)

    Notes :*) Global Bonds excluded.

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    [ in trillion IDR ]

    Nominal % Total

    EXTERNAL LOAN 730.25 611.20 616.86 620.28 612.52 588.38 99.7%

    1. BILATERAL 484.90 387.92 380.67 381.66 358.12 336.74 57.1%

    a. Japan 324.28 259.50 274.47 280.45 254.64 235.16 39.8%

    b. France 27.86 25.56 21.88 20.90 21.30 21.03 3.6%

    c. Germany 37.80 28.34 22.65 20.29 20.00 19.43 3.3%

    d. Other Bilateral 94.96 74.52 61.68 60.02 62.18 61.12 10.4%

    2. MULTILATERAL 222.69 202.37 208.28 212.96 229.68 227.67 38.6%

    a. World Bank 98.16 94.96 102.23 108.73 122.14 122.38 20.7%

    b. ADB 118.99 102.32 100.40 97.92 100.34 98.24 16.6%

    c. IDB 2.81 2.96 3.76 4.23 5.05 4.93 0.8%

    d. Other Multilateral 2.73 2.13 1.89 2.09 2.14 2.12 0.4%

    3. COMMERCIAL 21.69 20.24 27.34 25.15 24.32 23.62 4.0%

    4. SUPPLIERS 0.97 0.66 0.57 0.50 0.41 0.35 0.1%

    DOMESTIC LOAN 0.39 1.01 1.80 1.82 0.3%

    TOTAL*) 730.25 611.20 617.25 621.29 614.32 590.20 100.0%

    2008AS of March 28, 2013

    2009 2010 2011 2012COUNTRIES

    Loans Outstanding by Creditor Types (chart)

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Loans Outstanding by Creditor Types (chart)

    Multilateral (World Bank, ADB) and Bilateral (Japan) external loan are long matured &relatively cheap financing sources alternatives

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    44% 42% 45% 45% 41% 40%

    13%16% 17% 18% 20% 21%

    16% 17% 16% 16% 16% 17%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 March 2013

    Japan France Germany Other Bilateral World Bank

    ADB IDB Other Multilateral COMMERCIAL SUPPLIERS

    Loans Outstanding by Economic Sectors

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    g y

    Notes :

    *) As of March 28, 2013

    - Economic Sectors Classification by Bank Indonesia and National Statistics Agency

    - Financial Sector is program loan dominated

    Source : Ministry of Finance & Bank Indonesia

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    [ in billion IDR ]

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 *)

    Agriculture, Husbandry, Forestry & Fishing 17,683 16,773 19,946 19,593 13,881 16,594

    Mining & Drilling 8,801 7,294 7,620 7,479 5,671 6,566

    Manufacturing 29,121 21,534 19,946 18,483 14,916 13,796

    Electricity, Gas & Water Works 74,873 51,442 53,408 53,145 43,607 46,029

    Housing & Building 122,039 115,160 113,448 114,340 95,764 105,784

    Trading, Hotel & Restaurant 10,510 7,717 6,990 6,290 5,276 4,969Transport & Communication 29,814 22,257 21,476 20,001 17,516 19,173

    Financial, Leasing and Financial Services 96,005 81,995 86,422 88,092 57,559 96,825

    Services 167,009 145,353 153,544 163,684 237,653 163,707

    Other Sectors 174,391 141,673 134,452 130,185 122,479 116,762

    TOTAL 730,246 611,198 617,252 621,292 614,322 590,205

    Loans Outstanding by Economic Sectors (chart)

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Loans Outstanding by Economic Sectors (chart)

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Source : Ministry of Finance & Bank Indonesia

    17,683

    16,773

    19,946

    19,593

    13,881

    16,594

    8,801

    7,294

    7,620

    7,479

    5,671

    6,566

    29,121

    21,534

    19,946

    18,483

    14,916

    13,7967

    4,873

    51,442

    53,408

    53,145

    43,607

    46,029

    122,039

    11

    5,160

    11

    3,448

    11

    4,340

    95,764

    105,

    784

    10,510

    7,717

    6,990

    6,290

    5,276

    4,969

    29,814

    22,257

    21,476

    20,001

    17,516

    19,173

    96,005

    81,995

    86,422

    88,092

    57,559

    96,82

    5

    167,009

    145,353

    153,544

    163,684

    237,65

    3

    163,707

    174,391

    141,673

    134,452

    130,185

    122,479

    116,762

    -

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 *)

    Agriculture, Husbandry, Forestry & Fishing Mining & Drilling

    Manufacturing Electricity, Gas & Water Works

    Housing & Building Trading, Hotel & Restaurant

    Transport & Communication Financial, Leasing and Financial Services

    Services Other Sectors

    [ in billion IDR ]

    Notes : *) As of March 28, 2013

    Government Debt Outstanding - Main Currencies

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    g

    Notes :*) IDR Currency in Trillion IDR, **) in Billions, ***) As of March 28, 2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013***

    in original currencies

    IDR*) 783.86 836.31 902.82 992.84 1,097.99 1,138.03

    USD**) 32.55 35.80 39.77 44.35 49.78 49.67

    JPY**) 2,820.48 2,713.84 2,698.75 2,585.42 2,498.81 2,500.46

    EUR**) 6.75 5.97 5.44 4.71 4.49 4.45

    SDR**) 1.74 2.01 2.15 2.19 2.17 2.16

    AUD**) 0.14 0.24 0.29 0.33 0.39 0.40

    Other Currencies

    in trillion IDR

    IDR 783.86 836.31 902.82 992.84 1,097.99 1,138.03

    USD 356.46 336.54 357.61 402.16 481.33 482.70

    JPY 341.90 276.01 297.62 301.98 279.77 258.12

    EUR 104.15 80.68 64.99 55.30 57.53 55.33

    SDR 29.44 29.57 29.83 30.44 32.39 31.38

    AUD 1.08 2.05 2.66 3.05 3.88 4.07

    Other Currencies 19.86 29.49 26.13 23.18 22.54 21.59

    Total 1,636.74 1,590.66 1,681.66 1,808.95 1,975.42 1,991.22

    Mid Rate IDR to US$1 10,950.00 9,400.00 8,991.00 9,068.00 9,670.00 9,719.00

    Mid Rate JPY to US$1 90.33 92.42 81.53 77.64 86.37 94.15

    Mid Rate EUR to US$1 0.71 0.70 0.75 0.77 0.75 0.78

    -------------------------- Other Currencies --------------------------

    Government Debt Outstanding - Other Currencies

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :*) in Billions, **) As of March 28, 2013

    g

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013**

    in original currencies

    ACU*) 0.02 0.20 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.34

    ADB*) 0.20 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.10

    CAD*) 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.14

    CHF*) 0.38 0.33 0.30 0.27 0.24 0.24

    CNY*) 0.00 0.00 1.43 1.55 1.55 1.55

    DKK*) 0.07 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04

    GBP*) 0.58 0.51 0.46 0.41 0.36 0.36

    KRW*) 168.47 184.82 184.32 196.63 205.44 212.59

    KWD*) 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01

    SAR*) 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.10

    WBD*) 0.00 1.12 0.71 0.42 0.21 0.17

    in trillion IDR

    ACU 0.38 2.90 3.69 4.22 5.05 4.93

    ADB 2.19 1.50 1.30 1.16 1.06 0.99

    CAD 1.60 1.49 1.41 1.31 1.35 1.33

    CHF 3.94 3.02 2.83 2.62 2.55 2.45

    CNY 0.00 0.00 1.94 2.23 2.38 2.40

    DKK 0.15 0.10 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.07

    GBP 9.15 7.69 6.36 5.77 5.66 5.33

    KRW 1.46 1.49 1.47 1.54 1.86 1.86

    KWD 0.59 0.43 0.37 0.20 0.30 0.30

    SAR 0.41 0.32 0.28 0.26 0.26 0.26

    WBD 0.00 10.56 6.39 3.78 1.99 1.67

    TOTAL 19.86 29.49 26.13 23.18 22.54 21.59

    Government Debt Outstanding by Currencies(chart)

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :*) As of March 28, 2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    48%53% 54% 55% 56%

    57%

    22%21% 21%

    22% 24%24%

    21%17% 18% 17%

    14% 13%

    6% 5% 4% 3%3% 3%

    2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*)

    IDR USD JPY EUR SDR AUD Others

    Loans Drawing Proportion by Financing Type

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :*) LKPP - Audited**) Provisional***) Budget 2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    [ in trillion IDR] [ % ]

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    28.

    57

    28.

    97

    15.

    27

    15.

    60

    6.

    51

    23.

    54

    25.

    82

    18.

    48

    38.

    13

    39.

    41

    0.7

    5

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    -

    5

    10

    15

    20

    2530

    35

    40

    2009* 2010* 2011** 2012** 2013***PROGRAM LOAN PROJECT LOAN DOMESTIC LOAN

    % PROGRAM LOAN (RHS) % PROJECT LOAN (RHS) % DOMESTIC LOAN (RHS)

    [in trillion IDR]

    TYPE OF LOANS 2008* % 2009* % 2010* % 2011* % 2012** % 2013*** %

    PROGRAM LOAN 30.10 60% 28.94 49% 28.97 53% 15.27 44% 15.60 28% 6.51 14%

    PROJECT LOAN 20.12 40% 29.72 51% 25.82 47% 18.48 54% 38.13 69% 39.41 84%

    DOMESTIC LOAN - 0% - 0% 0.39 1% 0.62 2% 1.13 2% 0.75 2%

    TOTAL 50.22 58.66 55.19 34.37 54.86 46.67

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 4

    Debt Portfolio Management Performance

    (Debt Performance Measurement andComparison, Loan Disbursement, Government

    Debt Securities Re-profiling)

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Central Government Debt to GDP Ratio

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Sources: Ministry of Finance and National Statistics Agency, processed data

    Notes :*) Provisional**) BUDGET 2013

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    14.7% 10.9%

    9.6% 8.4% 7.5% 6.4%

    18.3%17.4%

    16.5% 16.0% 16.5% 16.6%

    33.0%

    28.3%26.1%

    24.4% 24.0%

    23.1%

    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0%

    40.0%

    50.0%

    60.0%

    70.0%

    80.0%

    90.0%

    100.0%

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    9,000

    10,000

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*) 2013**)

    Loans Securities GDP

    Loan to GDP Ratio (RHS) Securities to GDP Ratio (RHS) Total Debt to GDP Ratio (RHS)

    [ in Trillions IDR] [ %]

    [ in trillions IDR ]

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*) 2013**)

    730 611 617 621 614 595

    906 979 1,064 1,188 1,361 1,542

    1,637 1,591 1,682 1,809 1,975 2,137

    4,954 5,613 6,443 7,427 8,242 9,270

    Loans

    Securities

    Total

    GDP

    Debt to GDP Ratio,Indonesia & some Countries

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Indonesia & some Countries

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :- Nominal in % to GDP

    - Indonesia data: taken from audited Government Financial Statements

    The debt rises of Developed Countries are greater than those of Developing Countries

    Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook Database, October 2012 & Ministry of Finance

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Country 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Argentina 58.5 58.7 49.2 44.9 45.2

    Brazil 63.5 66.9 65.2 64.9 64.1

    Germany 66.9 74.7 82.4 80.6 83.0

    India 74.1 74.2 68.0 67.0 67.6

    Indonesia 33.0 28.3 26.0 24.4 24.0

    Italy (RHS) 105.7 116.0 118.6 120.1 126.3

    Japan (RHS) 191.8 210.2 215.3 229.6 236.6

    Turkey 40.0 46.1 42.4 39.3 37.7

    United Kingdom 52.2 68.0 75.0 81.8 88.7

    United States 76.1 89.7 98.6 102.9 107.2

    Maturity Profile of Tradable Securitiesas of March 28 2013

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    as of March 28, 2013

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2030 2031 2032 2033 2035 2036 2037 2038 2041 2042

    TOTAL 52,62 77,80 77,16 66,67 49,63 76,62 56,50 69,11 60,18 91,71 42,45 18,01 28,02 19,61 44,28 39,82 25,68 27,10 42,80 28,65 15,55 4,11 29,72 35,12 13,55 33,87

    SUKUK USD - 6,32 - - - 9,72 - - - 9,72 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    SUKUK IDR 2,17 7,34 18,96 14,97 1,17 8,66 - 0,25 - 1,22 - - 1,55 - 2,88 - 2,18 - - - - 4,11 8,74 - - -

    SUN JPY - - - - - - 3,61 6,19 - 6,19 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

    SUN USD - 22,35 9,72 8,75 9,72 18,47 19,44 19,44 24,30 19,44 - - - - - - - - - - 15,55 - 14,58 19,44 - 21,87

    SUN IDR 50,45 41,79 48,48 42,95 38,74 39,78 33,45 43,22 35,88 55,14 42,45 18,01 26,47 19,61 41,40 39,82 23,50 27,10 42,80 28,65 - - 6,40 15,69 13,55 12,00

    -

    20,00

    40,00

    60,00

    80,00

    100,00

    Debt Switching and Buyback

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Buyback : debt management program which objectives are stabilizing the market, managing portfolio of debt and

    reducing Government Debt Securities outstanding which issued with high coupon

    Debt Switching : debt management program to reduce refinancing risk

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Year Auction FrequencyTenor of Source Bonds

    (Year)

    Destination Bonds

    (Yaer)

    Volume of Bid

    Accepted (billion

    IDR)

    2005 1 < 1 year s.d. 4 year 15 year 5,673

    2006 12 < 1 year s.d. 5 year 5 s.d. 19 year 31,179

    2007 9 < 1 year s.d. 6 year 11 s.d. 20 year 15,782

    2008 2 < 1 year s.d. 4 year 14 s.d. 15 year 4,571

    2009 6 < 1 year s.d. 5 year 12 s.d. 15 year 2,938

    2010 6 < 1 year s.d. 8 year 10 s.d. 21 year 3,920

    2011 4 < 1 year s.d. 4 year 15 year 664

    2012 4 < 1 year s.d. 5 year 10 s.d. 15 year 11,859

    2013 1 < 1 year s.d. 5 year 10 year 616

    Total 77,202

    Year Auction FrequencyTenor of Series to be

    Buyback (Year)

    Volume of Buyback

    Accepted (billion IDR)

    2003 2 1 year up to 3 year 8.127

    2004 1 3 year up to 5 year 1.962

    2005 4 < 1 year up to 4 year 5.158

    2007 2

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :

    *) TFCA - GoI contribution is USD 20 millions- Contribution from NGO Conservation Int'l Foundation & Kehati is USD 2 millions

    - Future cancellation is USD 29,921,500 (principal + interest)Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Title

    1 2 3

    Debt Swap I Elementary Education EUR 12.8 EUR 25.6 EUR 25.6

    Debt Swap II Junior Secondary Education EUR 11.5 EUR 23.0 EUR 23.0

    Debt Swap IIIa Financial Assistance for Environmental Investements

    for Micro and Small Enterprises Project

    EUR 6.3 EUR 12.5 EUR 3.2

    Debt Swap IIIb Strengthening the Development of National Parks in

    Fragile Ecosystems

    EUR 6.3 EUR 12.5 EUR 0.0

    Debt Swap IV School Reconstruction and Rehabili tation in

    Earthquake Area in Yogyakarta and Central Java

    EUR 10.0 EUR 20.0 EUR 20.0

    Debt Swap V Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tubercolosis and Malaria

    (GFATM)

    EUR 25.0 EUR 50.0 EUR 50.0

    Debt Swap VII Indonesian - German Scholarship Program EUR 9.4 EUR 18.8 EUR 0.0

    EUR 5.7 EUR 5.7 EUR 5.7

    USD 24.2 USD 24.2 USD 24.2

    USA Debt Development Swap Tropical Forest Conservation Act/TFCA USD 20.0 USD 29.9 USD 15.7 *)

    Debt Development Swap Tropical Forest Conservation Act/TFCA II USD 23.8 USD 29.5 USD 8.1

    Australia Debt Swap Debt2Health AUD 37.5 AUD 75.0 AUD 15.6

    EUR 87.0 EUR 168.0 EUR 127.5

    USD 68.0 USD 83.6 USD 48.0

    AUD 37.5 AUD 75.0 AUD 15.6

    218.2 376.6 227.2

    TOTAL

    TOTAL in million USD

    4 5 6

    Germany

    Italy Debt Swap I Housing and Setlement

    Country Debt Swap

    Project Cancelation

    Amount Commitment Realization

    [in Millions]

    Loans Disbursement Performance

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :- Nominals between 2008 until 2013 have been cumulatively calculated since January 1, 2008.- Net commitment = signed loans; disbursement = disbursed loans.

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    Net Commitment Disbursement Undisbursed

    [in Trilions IDR]

    [in trillion IDR]

    YearCumulative 1967

    to 20072008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Cumulative 1967

    to 2013

    Net Commitment 1,711.8 55.2 143.9 197.0 239.8 326.4 335.6 2,047.5

    Disbursement 1,620.9 52.8 91.7 129.3 146.0 159.1 160.6 1,781.5Undisbursed 90.9 2.4 52.2 67.8 93.8 167.3 175.0 265.9

    External Loan Services to Reserves Ratio

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Notes:

    External Loan Services = Ext. Loan Principal + Ext. Loan Interest Payments

    * provisional, based on assumption: 1) ext loan services nominal = realizations as of end of period ,

    2) reserves nominal = averages of reserves nominal from the beginning of year until the end of

    period.

    16.8%

    17.9%

    9.0%

    7.4%7.9%

    8.7%

    0.0%

    2.0%

    4.0%

    6.0%

    8.0%

    10.0%

    12.0%

    14.0%

    16.0%

    18.0%

    20.0%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

    Debt to GDP Ratio,Some Countries & The Changes

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    Indonesian debt per capita is among the lowest compared to those ofdeveloped countries with the fastest/biggest decrease

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Public Debt, 2012(in % of GDP) Public Debt, changes 2003-2012(in % of GDP)

    Source: IMFMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0 50 100 150 200 250

    Chile

    Indonesia

    Australia

    Colombia

    Turkey

    South Africa

    Philippines

    Thailand

    Malaysia

    Poland

    Brazil

    India

    Germany

    United KingdomUnited States

    Italy

    Japan

    -100 -50 0 50 100

    Indonesia

    Australia

    Turkey

    Philippines

    Colombia

    Chile

    Thailand

    South Africa

    Brazil

    India

    Poland

    Malaysia

    Italy

    GermanyJapan

    United States

    United Kingdom

    Debt per Capita of Some Countries

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    China and India have higher ratios despite the more populations compared to Indonesia.

    Brazil and Italy with investment grade rating have higher ratios compared to Indonesia ofnon-investment grade rating

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaSource: IMF

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    7,000

    8,000

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Brazil Poland Chile India Philippines Indonesia Japan (RHS)

    In US Dolar In US Dolar

    Debt per Capita,Some Countries & The Changes

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    g

    Indonesian debt per capita is among the lowest and it is considered tofluctuate insignificantly

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Public Debt per Capita, 2012(in US$) Public Debt per Capita, changes 2003-2012(in %)

    Source: IMFMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000

    IndonesiaIndia

    Philippines

    Chile

    Thailand

    Colombia

    South Africa

    Turkey

    MalaysiaBrazil

    Poland

    United Kingdom

    United States

    Japan

    0% 100% 200% 300%

    PhilippinesIndonesia

    Turkey

    South Africa

    Japan

    Thailand

    United States

    Chile

    ColombiaMalaysia

    Poland

    India

    Brazil

    United Kingdom

    Debt Risk Indicators,2008-2012

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes:

    *) The 2012 projection figures are based on realization per December 2012.Source: Ministry of Finance

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    22.9 22.020.3

    18.8

    16.1

    28.2 28.226.1 25.9

    22.4

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Interest Rate Risk

    Variable rate ratio [%] Refixing rate [%]

    17.213.4 12.1 11.0 10.6

    52.147.4 46.2 45.1 44.4

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Exchange Rate Risk

    FX Debt to GDP ratio (%) FX Debt to total debt ratio (%)

    10.0

    9.7

    9.5

    9.3

    9.7

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Average Time To Maturity (ATM)

    Average Time to Maturity

    6.4 7.6 7.18.2 7.2

    18.620.3 20.8

    22.7 21.5

    31.133.2 34.2 34.6 32.4

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

    Debt Maturing in 1, 3 and 5 Years

    Maturity debt portion < 1 year (%) Maturity debt portion < 3 year (%)

    Maturity debt portion < 5 year (%)

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 5

    Costs of Borrowing

    (Debt Services, Cost of Fund, Yield Curve,

    External Debts Cost)

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Debt Services RealizationsFiscal Year 2013

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Notes :- Provisional, realization as of March 28, 2013

    [ in billion Rupiah ]

    January February March Q-1 Total

    I. POKOK 186,464 7,882 15,535 14,894 38,311 38,311 20.55%

    A. PINJAMAN 58,655 2,915 2,210 3,556 8,680 8,680 14.80%

    a. Pinjaman Dalam Negeri 250 - - - - 0.00%

    b. Pinjaman Luar Negeri 58,405 2,915 2,210 3,556 8,680 8,680 14.86%

    B. SURAT BERHARGA NEGARA 127,809 4,968 13,325 11,338 29,630 29,630 23.18%

    1. SBN Rupiah 123,809 4,968 13,325 11,338 29,630 29,630 23.93%

    a. SUN 109,025 4,966 5,250 11,338 21,554 21,554 19.77%

    b. SBSN 14,784 2 8,075 - 8,076 8,076 54.63%

    2. SBN Valas 4,000 - - - - - 0.00%

    a. SUN 4,000 - - - - - 0.00%

    b. SBSN - - - - - - 0.00%- -

    II. BUNGA 113,244 10,686 5,863 9,800 26,348 26,348 23.27%

    A. PINJAMAN 15,306 802 689 717 2,208 2,208 14.43%

    a. Pinjaman Dalam Negeri 90 - - - - 0.00%

    b. Pinjaman Luar Negeri 15,216 802 689 717 2,208 2,208 14.51%

    B. SURAT BERHARGA NEGARA 97,937 9,883 5,174 9,083 24,140 24,140 24.65%

    1. SBN Rupiah 80,613 7,547 4,692 6,627 18,865 18,865 23.40%

    a. SUN 70,543 6,918 3,407 5,852 16,177 16,177 22.93%

    b. SBSN 10,070 629 1,285 775 2,688 2,688 26.70%

    2. SBN Valas 17,324 2,337 483 2,456 5,275 5,275 30.45%a. SUN 15,904 2,337 483 2,456 5,275 5,275 33.17%

    b. SBSN 1,420 - - - - - 0.00%

    III. TOTAL POKOK + BUNGA 299,708 18,568 21,398 24,693 64,659 64,659 21.57%

    Budget

    Payment Realization *)

    % to Budget

    Debt Services RealizationsFiscal Year 2013 (Chart)

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Notes :- Provisional, realization as of March 28, 2013

    58,655

    127,809

    15,306

    97,937

    8,680

    29,630

    2,208

    24,140

    15%

    23%

    14%

    25%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    -

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    A. LOAN B. SECURITIES A. LOAN B. SECURITIES

    PRINCIPAL INTEREST

    in

    BillionIDR

    Budget Realization *) % to Budget (RHS)

    Interest Payment to Debt Ratio

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes :- LKPP - Audited*) provisional, based on Budget 2013 assumption.

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    8.7%

    7.4%7.6%

    6.7%

    6.2% 5.5%

    1.4%1.2%

    0%

    2%

    4%

    6%

    8%

    10%

    12%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

    to Revenues to Expenditures to Total Debt to GDP

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*

    to Revenues 9.0% 11.0% 8.9% 7.7% 8.7% 7.4%

    to Expenditures 9.0% 10.0% 8.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.7%

    to Total Debt 5.8% 5.8% 5.4% 5.3% 6.2% 5.5%to GDP 1.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2%

    Interest Payment Realization

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Notes :-LKPP - Audited

    *) Provisional-**) Budget 2013

    32% 32% 30%15%

    28% 29%

    68% 68% 70%85%

    72% 71%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

    Domestic Debt Interest Payment External Debt Interest Payment

    [in trillion IDR]

    Nml % Nml % Nml % Nml % Nml % Nml %

    88.43 100.00 93.78 100.00 88.38 100.00 93.20 100.00 117.79 100.00 113.24 100.00

    a. Domestic Debt Interest Payment 59.90 67.74 63.76 67.98 61.4 69.47 79.60 85.41 84.75 71.95 80.70 71.27

    b. External Debt Interest Payment 28.53 32.26 30.03 32.02 27.0 30.53 13.60 14.59 33.04 28.05 32.54 28.73

    Debt Interest Payment

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012* 2013**

    Terms and Conditions of Loan from Multilateral

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Loan Maturity 24.5 years 15-18 years 14-20 years up to 32 years

    Grace Period 9 years 3 years 3-5 years up to 8 years

    Repayment Period 15.5 years 12 years 9-16 years 5-27 years

    Commitment Charge - - - 0.15%

    Front End Fee 0.25% - - -

    Service Charge - - - -

    Interest Rate/ LIBOR + 0,40%Mark-up ***) *)

    LIBOR + 0.48 % (Varia ble

    Spread)

    ALM 13 years = Nil **)

    13 years< ALM 16

    years = 0.10 % p.a

    **)

    16< ALM < 19 years =

    0.20% p.a

    **)

    Description

    Multilateral

    IBRD-WB IFAD IDB ADB-OCR

    LIBOR + 1.0% (Fixed Spread)

    IFAD Reference Rate

    (Semester I 2012= 1.39%)

    LIBOR (swap) + 1.35%

    Maturity Premium

    *) for negotiations held on and / or after July 1, 2011

    **) for negotiations held on and / or after April1, 2012

    ***) Mark-up = margin (IDB Loan)

    ALM = Average Loan Maturity

    Terms and Conditions of Loan from Bilateral (Japan)

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Standard Option1 Option2 Standard Option1 Option2 Option3 Standard Option

    Loan Maturity 25 years 20 years 15 years 40 years 30 years 20 years 15 years 40 years 30 years

    Grace Period 7 years 6 years 5 years 10 years 10 years 6 years 5 years 10 years 10 years

    Repayment Period 18 years 14 years 10 years 30 years 20 years 14 years 10 years 30 years 20 years

    Commitment Charge

    Front End Fee - - - - - - - - -

    Service Charge - - - - - - - - -

    Interest Rate

    (for non consultant services

    Interest Rate

    (for consultant services) 0,01%

    Maturity Premium

    0,1%

    1,40% 0,95% 0,80% 0,65% 0,55% 0,50% 0,40% 0,20% 0,10%

    Description

    Bilateral

    Jepang/ Japan (JICA)

    General terms Prefential terms STEP

    Domestic Government Debt Securities Yield Curve

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    Declining cost of fund of Domestic Government Securities reflects increasing market confidence as aresponse of prudent fiscal policy and debt management.

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    [%]

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 10Y 15Y 20Y 30Y

    Des '12 Des '11 Des '10 Des '09 28 Mar '13

    Teno r 28 Mar '13 Des '12 Des '11 Des '10 Des '09

    1Y 4,24 3,96 4,35 5,36 6,72

    2Y 4,44 4,32 4,92 5,82 7,61

    3Y 4,65 4,52 5,22 6,27 8,23

    4Y 4,84 4,63 5,24 6,34 8,75

    5Y 5,05 4,65 5,35 6,78 8,80

    6Y 5,13 4,88 5,45 6,96 9,06

    7Y 5,24 4,98 5,83 7,16 9,24

    10Y 5,55 5,15 5,96 7,57 10,04

    15Y 6,28 5,87 6,56 8,78 10,64

    20Y 6,50 6,24 7,02 9,24 10,72

    30Y 6,51 6,34 7,26 9,68 10,97

    Indonesian Global Bond Yield Curve

    [ ]

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia42Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    [%]

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 15 16 17 18 19 20 25 26 27 28 29 30

    Dec-08

    Dec-09

    Dec-11

    Dec-12

    28-Mar-13

    Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-11 Dec-12 28-Mar-13

    1 Y 1,416 0,979

    2 Y 2,707 1,421 1,581

    3 Y 2,991 1,647 1,979

    4 Y 3,079 1,965 2,327

    5 Y 8,642 4,188 3,374 2,141 2,905

    6 Y 9,057 4,387 3,515 2,448 2,994

    7 Y 9,925 4,886 3,899 2,666 3,132

    8 Y 5,107 3,955 3,439

    9 Y 9,385 5,255 2,826

    10Y 5,346 3,97 2,902

    20 Y 4,268 4,846

    25 Y 9,662 6,731 5,044 4,297 4,942

    30 Y 9,321 6,806 5,201 4,235 4,806

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 6

    Performance of Secondary Market

    for Government Securities(Trading Volume, Government Securitiess

    Ownership Structure)

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Average Daily Trading of Domestic Government Securities

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    10.0

    11.0

    12.0

    13.0

    14.0

    J FMAMJ JASONDJ FMAMJ JASONDJ FMAMJ JASONDJFMAMJ JASONDJFMAMJ JASONDJFMAMJ JASONDJFM

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    [Frequency][in IDR Trillion]

    Average Daily Volume per Month Average Daily Volume per Year Frequency - RHS

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Positive trend on average daily trading activityshows increasing market liquidity

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Government Debt Securities Ownership

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Note:Non-Bank including Government institution

    More diversified investor base which demonstrated byincreasing ownership from non-bank, foreign and retailinvestor.

    Increasing offshore ownership indicates better marketconfidence.

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    -

    5,00%

    10,00%

    15,00%

    20,00%

    25,00%

    30,00%

    35,00%

    40,00%

    45,00%

    50,00%

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    Agus

    t'04

    Ma

    r'05

    Ok

    t'05

    Me

    i'06

    Dec'06

    Ju

    l'07

    Feb

    '08

    Sep'08

    Ap

    r'09

    Nop'09

    Jun'10

    Jan'11

    Agus

    t'11

    Ma

    r'12

    Octobe

    r-12

    [IDR trillion]

    BANK NON-BANK % Foreign to Total - RHS

    Domestic Debt Government Securities Ownership

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    45Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Notes:

    Nominal in trillion IDR;

    Includes only tradable domestic Government Debt Securities;

    Including Islamic Government Debt Securities

    Foreign ownership of Bank, Private Bank, Mutual Funds, and Foreign Securities;

    Others include Corporates, Retail, Foundation, etc;

    *) Since February 8, 2008, including repo transaction of Government Securities to Bank of Indonesia.

    Dec'08 Dec'09 Dec'10 Dec'11 Dec'12 Jan'13 Feb'13 Mar'13

    BANK 258.75 254.36 217.27 265.03 299.66 307.46 309.93 315.89

    State-owned Bank Recap 144.72 144.19 131.72 148.64 147.52 152.64 150.88

    Private Bank Recap 61.67 59.98 54.93 67.33 81.58 81.66 78.16Non-Recap Bank 45.17 42.40 26.26 42.84 62.07 64.30 71.36

    BPD Recap 6.50 6.02 1.41 4.32 3.67 4.14 4.22

    Shariate Bank 0.69 1.77 2.95 1.90 4.83 4.72 5.31 5.17

    Government Institution 23.01 22.50 17.42 7.84 3.07 1.90 4.60 4.86

    NON-BANK 243.93 304.89 406.53 450.75 517.53 524.05 541.86 540.76

    Mutual Fund 33.11 45.22 51.16 47.22 43.19 43.78 43.04 41.91

    Insurance 55.83 72.58 79.30 93.09 83.42 85.72 117.44 120.78

    Foreign 87.61 108.00 195.76 222.86 270.52 273.20 281.63 280.75

    Including: Central Bank of

    Foreign Country50.87 51.04

    Pension Fund 32.98 37.50 36.75 34.39 56.46 57.31 27.55 27.61

    Securities 0.53 0.46 0.13 0.14 0.30 0.63 1.18 1.04

    Individu 25.77 30.29 27.56

    Others 33.87 41.12 43.43 53.05 63.64 37.65 40.72 41.12

    TOTAL 525.69 581.75 641.21 723.61 820.27 833.42 856.39 861.52

    Domestic Debt Government Securities Ownership (%)

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    46Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Notes:

    Nominal in trillion IDR;

    Includes only tradable domestic Government Debt Securities;

    Including Islamic Government Debt Securities

    Foreign ownership of Bank, Private Bank, Mutual Funds, and Foreign Securities;

    Others include Corporates, Retail, Foundation, etc;

    *) Since February 8, 2008, including repo transaction of Government Securities to Bank of Indonesia.

    Dec'08 Dec'09 Dec'10 Dec'11 Dec'12 Jan'13 Feb'13 Mar'13

    BANK 49.22% 43.72% 33.88% 36.63% 36.53% 36.89% 36.19% 36.67%

    State-owned Bank Recap 27.53% 24.79% 20.54% 20.54% 17.98% 18.32% 17.62%

    Private Bank recap 11.73% 10.31% 8.57% 9.30% 9.95% 9.80% 9.13%Non-recap Bank 8.59% 7.29% 4.10% 5.92% 7.57% 7.72% 8.33%

    BPD recap 1.24% 1.03% 0.22% 0.60% 0.45% 0.50% 0.49%

    Shariate Bank 0.13% 0.30% 0.46% 0.26% 0.59% 0.57% 0.62% 0.60%

    Government Institution 4.38% 3.87% 2.72% 1.08% 0.37% 0.23% 0.54% 0.56%

    NON-BANK 46.40% 52.41% 63.40% 62.29% 63.09% 62.88% 63.27% 62.77%

    Mutual Fund 6.30% 7.77% 7.98% 6.53% 5.27% 5.25% 5.03% 4.87%

    Insurance 10.62% 12.48% 12.37% 12.86% 10.17% 10.29% 13.71% 14.02%Foreign 16.66% 18.56% 30.53% 30.80% 32.98% 32.78% 32.89% 32.59%

    Including: Central Bank of

    Foreign Country18.06% 18.18%

    Pension Fund 6.27% 6.45% 5.73% 4.75% 6.88% 6.88% 3.22% 3.20%

    Securities 0.10% 0.08% 0.02% 0.02% 0.04% 0.08% 0.14% 0.12%

    Individu 3.09% 3.54% 3.20%

    Others 6.44% 7.07% 6.77% 7.33% 7.76% 4.52% 4.76% 4.77%

    TOTAL 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

    Foreign Ownership of Domestic Government Securitiesby Tenor

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    4,46%

    10,18% 11,87%7,84%

    10,22%8,10% 6,63%

    4,74%

    4,64%8,19%

    2,83%3,11%

    2,53% 2,58%

    19,78%18,14%

    16,78%

    16,50%16,66%

    16,62% 16,69%

    21,72%

    21,03%

    24,93%

    27,83% 25,11% 27,30% 27,67%

    49,30% 46,00% 38,23% 45,01% 44,91% 45,46% 46,42%

    19%

    30,53% 30,80%32,98% 32,78% 32,89% 32,59%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    0,00%

    20,00%

    40,00%

    60,00%

    80,00%

    100,00%

    Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 28 Maret 2013

    0-1 >1-2 >2-5 >5-10 >10 % Foreign Ownership to Total (RHS)

    Mar-13

    Spread over UST- Jan 18

    600

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0

    200

    400

    600

    26-Jan-12 26-Mar-12 26-May-12 26-Jul-12 26-Sep-12 26-Nov-12 26-Jan-13 26-Mar-13

    INDO 18 TURK 18

    PHIL 19 BRAZ 19

    MEX 19

    DATE INDO 18 UST 18 TURK 18 PHIL 19 BRAZ 19 MEX 19

    Sep-12 2.27 0.69 2.95 2.19 1.91 1.83

    Dec-12 2.16 0.73 2.43 2.00 1.75 1.39Jan-13 2.42 0.87 2.64 2.22 2.05 1.12

    Feb-13 2.59 0.73 2.55 2.19 2.15 1.10

    22-Mar-13 2.64 0.76 2.75 2.23 2.23 1.47

    25-Mar-13 2.68 0.75 2.76 2.23 2.23 1.44

    26-Mar-13 2.71 0.74 2.77 2.24 2.23 1.35

    27-Mar-13 2.74 0.70 2.80 2.22 2.16 1.35

    Spread over UST- Feb 22

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    -

    200

    400

    600

    26-Mar-12 26-May-12 26-Jul-12 26-Sep-12 26-Nov-12 26-Jan-13 26-Mar-13

    PHIL 21 BRAZ 21

    INDO 22 MEX 22

    TURK 22

    Date PHIL 21 BRAZ 21 UST 22 INDO 22 MEX 22 TURK 22

    Sep-12 2.43 2.25 1.53 3.05 2.68 3.77

    Dec-12 2.26 2.08 1.61 2.90 2.58 3.21Jan-13 2.50 2.45 1.83 3.13 2.61 3.53

    Feb-13 2.39 2.51 1.69 3.28 2.78 3.59

    22-Mar-13 2.49 2.63 1.72 3.47 2.82 3.73

    25-Mar-13 2.49 2.59 1.72 3.51 2.81 3.75

    26-Mar-13 2.49 2.60 1.71 3.55 2.90 3.76

    27-Mar-13 2.48 2.60 1.64 3.54 3.01 3.80

    Spread over UST-Feb 42

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    0

    200

    400

    600

    26-Mar-12 26-May-12 26-Jul-12 26-Sep-12 26-Nov-12 26-Jan-13 26-Mar-13

    MEX 40 BRAZ 41

    TURK 41 COLM 41

    INDO 42

    DATE MEX 40 BRAZ 41 TURK 41 COLM 41 INDO 42 UST 42

    Sep-12 4.01 3.96 4.91 4.00 4.40 2.80

    Dec-12 3.95 3.80 4.44 3.91 4.23 2.91Jan-13 4.38 4.30 4.77 4.34 4.57 3.14

    Feb-13 4.43 4.37 4.92 4.38 4.71 3.06

    22-Mar-13 4.54 4.63 5.11 4.57 4.75 3.13

    25-Mar-13 4.54 4.59 5.12 4.55 4.77 3.13

    26-Mar-13 4.54 4.59 5.12 4.52 4.79 3.13

    27-Mar-13 4.48 4.55 5.14 4.47 4.80 3.07

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Chapter 7

    Rating, Government Guarantee, SupremeAudit Agency Opinion (BPK), Conclusion

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Credit Rating of Indonesia

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Rating Improvement Determinants

    The Indonesian economy resilience in the face of global crisis in 2007-2008

    Political stability and law enforcement improvement

    Prudential government debt management:

    Decrease of debt to GDP ratio

    Timeliness of debt obligations payment

    Increasing investors / lenders confidence

    Sovereign Credit Rating (Fitch, Moodys, S&P)

    Improvement rating one notch down the potential performance yield of new foreigncurrency of government securities approximately 75-115bps

    Country Risk Classification (CRC)

    Credit risk measurement of a country by OECD member countries

    Range 0-7 (high risk)

    Decrease 1 level CRC potentially reduce the cost of foreign loans, especially new export

    credit facility of about 130-150bps

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Indonesia Credit Rating Performance (1)

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    On October 18, 2012, R&Iupgraded IndonesiasSovereign Credit Rating fromBB+ to BBB-

    on March 30, 2012, OECDupgraded CRC of Indonesiafrom classification 4 to 3

    on January 18, 2012, Moody'supgraded Indonesia's CreditRating from Ba1 to Baa3

    Indonesia Rating Performance 1999 - 2012

    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    S&P Fitch Moody's R&I JCRA CRC1999 CCC+ B- B3 B- - 6

    2000 B- B- B3 B- - 6

    2001 CCC B- B3 B- - 6

    2002 CCC+ B B3 B- B 6

    2003 B B+ B2 B- B 6

    2004 B+ B+ B2 B- B+ 6

    2005 B+ BB- B2 BB- B+ 5

    2006 BB- BB- B1 BB- BB- 5

    2007 BB- BB- Ba3 BB+ BB- 5

    2008 BB- BB Ba3 BB+ BB- 5

    2009 BB- BB Ba2 BB+ BB+ 5

    2010 BB BB+ Ba2 BB+ BBB- 4

    2011 BB+ BBB- Ba1 BB+ BBB- 4

    2012 BB+ BBB- Baa3 BBB- BBB- 3

    Tahun/

    year

    Rating

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Indonesia Credit Rating Performance (2)

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaMinistry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    -

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13

    14

    1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    Moody's (RHS) S&P's Fitch's

    CCC-

    CCC+

    B

    BB-

    BB+

    BBB

    SD/DD

    R/C

    CC

    CCC

    B-

    B+

    BB

    BBB-

    BBB+

    Ca

    Caa2

    B3

    B1

    Ba2

    Baa3

    Baa1

    C

    Caa3

    Caa1

    B2

    Ba3

    Ba1

    Baa2

    2000 2004 2005 20062001 2002 2003 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20121998 19991997

    Investment

    grade

    Moodyss upgrade to Ba1/stable

    outlook as of 17 Jan2011

    S&Ps upgrade to BB+/ positif

    outlook as of8 Apr 2011

    Fitchs reconfirm at BBB-/stable

    outlook , as of Nov 21, 2012

    BankRecapitalization

    s

    EconomicCrisis in

    1998

    Reprofiling VR & HB,assets bond swap, long

    term issuance

    Regular issuancethrough auction,buyback program

    Regular issuancethrough auction,buyback program, & Debt Switching

    Regular issuancethrough auction,buyback program

    , debt switching, &diversification

    instrument

    In

    vestment

    grade

    NonInvestmen

    tgrade

    S&Ps downgradeto SelectiveDefault, but

    revised it after 2days

    NonIn

    vestmentgrade

    Moodyss upgrade to Baa3/stable

    outlook as of 18 Jan 2012

    Fitchs upgrade to BBB-/stable

    outlook as of 15 Dec 2011

    S&Ps reconfirm at BB+/positif

    outlook as of23 Apri2012

    Indonesia Sovereign Credit Rating Performance (1)

    O M h 30th 2012 OECD d d I d i ' C t Ri k Cl ifi ti (CRC) f

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    On March 30th 2012, OECD upgraded Indonesia's Country Risk Classification (CRC) from

    classification 4 to 3, along with Thailand, Uruguay, South Africa, Rusia, India, Brasil and Peru.

    On January 18th 2012, Moody's Investors Services upgraded Indonesia's Sovereign Credit

    Rating from Ba1 to Baa3 with stable outlook. Highlights from Moody's are:

    Some of the key drivers of the decision are Moody's anticipation that government financialmetrics will remain in line with Baa peers, the demonstrated resilience of Indonesia's economicgrowth to large external shocks, the presence of policy buffers and tools that address financialvulnerabilities and a healthier banking system capable of withstanding stress

    On December 15th 2011, Fitch upgraded Indonesia Credit Rating from BB+ to BBB- with

    stable outlook which placed Indonesia into Investment Grade. Highlights from Fitch are:

    The upgrades reflect the country's strong and resilient economic growth, low and declining publicdebt ratios, strengthened external liquidity and a prudent overall macro policy framework

    On April 8th 2011, S&P upgraded Indonesia Credit Rating from BB to BB+ with positive

    outlook. Highlights from S&P are:

    The main factor supporting this decision is continuing improvements in the government's balancesheet and external liquidity, against a backdrop of a resilient economic performance and cautiousfiscal management

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Indonesia Sovereign Credit Rating Performance (2)

    On October 18 2012 R&I upgrades Sovereign Credit Rating of the Republic of

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    Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    On October 18, 2012, R&I upgrades Sovereign Credit Rating of the Republic ofIndonesia to BBB- /stable outlook. R & I stated key factors supporting thedecision of upgrading the sovereign credit rating of Indonesia (1) Indonesian

    economic resilience in achieving high growth amid the global economic downturn(2) conservative fiscal management (3) Governments debt burden is kept lowand (4 ) financial system has become more stable.

    On July 13th 2010 JCRA upgraded Indonesias Credit Rating from BB+ to BBB-which placed Indonesia into Investment Grade. Highlights from JCRA are:

    JCRA explained that the upgrade reflects (i) enhanced political and social stabilityalong with the progress in democratization and decentralization, (ii) sustainableeconomic growth outlook underpinned by solid domestic demand, (iii) alleviatedpublic debt burden as a result of prudent fiscal management, (iv) reinforced resilienceto external shocks stemming from the foreign reserves accumulation and an improvedcapacity for external debt management and (v) efforts made by the second Yudhoyonoadministration to outline the framework to deal with structural issues such asinfrastructure development.

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Government Guarantee Outstanding and Budget Allocation

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Notes:- As of February 28, 2013- Rate assumptions : Rp. 9670,- per USD

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

    1 Fast track Program Phase 1 (FTP 1) 34 74,386.80 283.0 1,000.0 1,000.0 889.0 623.3 611.2

    2Program Percepatan Penye diaan Air Minum

    (Clean Water Avaliability Program)3 205.16 - - 50.0 15.0 10.0 35.0

    3 Penjaminan Proyek Ke rjasama Peme rintah danSwasta (Public Private Partnership Project)

    1 30,944.00 - - - - - 59.8

    4 Fast track Program Phase 2 (FTP 2) 4 20,656.13 - - - - -

    126,192.09 283.0 1,000.0 1,050.0 904.0 633.3 706.0TOTAL

    No Program PenjaminanJumlah Surat

    Jaminan

    Nilai Jaminan

    (Miliar Rupiah)

    Alokasi APBN (Miliar Rupiah)

    BPK Opinion on Government Financial Report

    I d i S A di A (BPK) h d d

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Indonesian Supreme Audit Agency (BPK) has awardedUnqualified Opinion to the Financial Report of all accounts

    related to debt management and administration (BA-999.01)

    Debt managements accountability continues to improve

    Internal control system

    Compliance to the existing regulation

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

    Conclusion

    Fiscal deficit requires financing Debt has long been recognized as the best policy

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    Ministry of Finance Republic of IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik IndonesiaKementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia

    Fiscal deficit requires financing. Debt has long been recognized as the best policytool to support liquidity and to refinance matured debt

    Debt outstanding accounts growth in nominal term but debt as a share of GDP

    keeps to record a significant decrease and, as our fiscal rule mandates, it is stillin a healthy level

    Ultimate goal of debt management is to acquire fund with low cost & risk, withlong term maturity, untied to any political agenda

    Continuing to achieve sound fiscal policy and debt management: Looking at another developing and even advanced countries performance, debt

    indicator of Indonesia stays better and is continuing to be so Rules and regulations are already installed in place to guarantee accountability and

    transparency of debt management

    Central Governments Financial Report of 2008, 2009, 2010, and 2011 has beenawarded Unqualified Opinion (WTP) by the Supreme Audit Agency (BPK)

    Global crisis has not changed investor expectation and market confidence to Indonesia.Rating upgrade especially since 2005, and on March 12th 2010 S&P upgraded Indonesiarating from BB- to BB in the midst of global financial crisis and rating downgrading ofother economies. This proves at least two things: positive expectation of the economyin the short-to-medium run and the credibility of fiscal policy. By JCRA and Fitch,Indonesia has been placed into Investment Grade category

    Ministry of Finance Republic of Indonesia

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