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Industrialization of x-band technology and societal impact of
CLICAnastasiya Magazinik on behalf of the CLIC team
High Gradient Workshop 2019, 10-14 June 2019
OUTLINE
CLIC state
Industrial surveys
Industrialization study
Societal Impact Assessment
Conclusion
12/06/2019 2
CLIC
12/06/2019 3
Reports on design, technology, and project implementation plan
Key technologies have been
demonstrated
CLIC is now a mature project, ready to be
built
current
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Discs Halves Full
assembly
(disc
version)
Optional
Production
period
(year)
Production
rate
(discs/day)
at 250
work-
days/yr
Production
rate
(halves/day)
at 250
work-
days/yr
Production
rate
(cavities/day)
at 250 work-
days/yr
627 270 43 260 21 630 5 501.82 34.62 17.3
Accelerating structures for 380 GeV is about 8% of the total cost:
Main Linac Modules is ~ 22.6 % of total CLIC 380 GeV cost (from 2018)
AS structures is ~ 37 % of Two Beam Module (from 2010);
CLIC 380 GeV cost CLIC Timeline
AS quantity for 380 GeV
Examples of production
rates
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Project Numbers of cavities Production sharing # cavity
production
Production period Production rate (cavities/day) (at 250 work-
days/yr)
XFEL 640 50% 640 3 0.43
ILC 16 000 100% 16000 6 (=2*3 (XFEL)) 10.7
SwissFEL 104 (113 caps per structure) 100% 104 2 0.2-0.4 (1-2 per week)/23.5 caps per day
CLIC 380 GeV 21 630 100%
50%
21630
10815
5 17.3 /501.82 caps per day
8.65
Industrial surveys
First survey - Industrialization study:
CLIC needs to check feasibility of going from prototype to
mass production phase:
Many parts to be produced;
Limited amount of qualified suppliers;
Are industries ready for thousands of parts?
When will they be ready?
What kind of investment will they need and how this will
affect costs?
How will the production ramp up and down?
Second survey - Societal impact study:
As a part of societal impact assessment
To highlight all possible benefits of the project for main
stakeholders (public, university, government)
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Industrialization study
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Research & Development
DesignPrototype and
mock-upTesting and Validation
IndustrializationSupplier
managementProduction Logistics
Industrialization in a Process
Chain
Industrialization - the transition from the design phase to the mass
production phase.
From the concept to the design the project, up to the development
and implementation of series production, the entire process chain is
designed and optimized to meet the highest quality standards.
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Industrialization
Industrialization …
is critical and requires the consideration of various
constraints: technical, organizational, economic and
human.
requires well-defined milestones and targets
guarantees the achievement of high-level quality and
production targets at lowest production costs.
takes place through the reviewing and adopting all
processes such as purchases, acceptance, production,
testing and inspections to mass production.
Necessary equipment is also validated and completed
to ensure mass production.
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Industrialization
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Design of the production
process
Risk analysis
Validity of equipment
Operator training
Definition of process controls
Setting of inspections
Choose a production
process, plant layout
It is essential to define
adequate monitoring and
achieve the right balance
between quality and cost
Definition and building of
equipment necessary to
production of components
The assurance of training and
competence of personnel
The monitoring at certain
stages of production
guarantees high quality
standards and compliance
with the requirements
The final validation and
tests for delivering a
product without defects
Industrializationstudy
First survey - Industrialization study:
CLIC needs to check feasibility of going from prototype to
mass production phase
Technical specification (TS) and Technical questionnaire (TQ)
TS and TQ were sent to qualified suppliers
For COMPANIES
An exercise of “imagination”,
Companies are asked to project to the situation where they need
to produce 21 630 accelerating structures in five years,
Technical questionnaire aims to guide companies through critical
questions for preparation to mass production
For CLIC
Evaluate capabilities of the current suppliers,
Take corrective actions if required,
Approximate estimation of time , cost and needed infrastructure
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It is not a price inquire for 21 630 structures!!!
Industrializationstudy
Aim:
To evaluate feasibility and efforts for the manufacturing of one of
the most challenging components of CLIC – 12 GHz accelerating
structures;
Three options: discs, halves and assembly.
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Disc (type A)
Halves (type B)
Optional
Full assembly (disc version)
Optional
Fraction of
total no of
structures
Discs
(type A)
Halves
(type B)
Optional
Full
assembly
(disc version)
Optional
Production
period
(year)
Production
rate
(discs/day) at
250 work-
days/yr
Production
rate
(halves/day) at
250 work-
days/yr
Production rate
(cavities/day) at
250 work-
days/yr
Scenario 1 100% 627 270 43 260 21 630 5 501.82 34.62 17.3
Scenario 2 50% 313 635 21 630 10 815 5 250.91 17.3 8.65
Scenario 3 % proposed by company
Production discs or halves
Capacity
Current;
Required.
Production process (see next
slides)
Process type;
Plant layout;
Level of automation;
Subcontracting operations;
Production strategy.
Quality and Communication
Process capability index;
Quality strategy;
Documentation;
Timely communication.
Recycling policy;
No conform part
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Transport and storage
Raw material supply;
Packing procedure;
Delivery strategy;
Stock capacity
Resources
People, training;
Equipment, building etc
Cost and Time
Evaluated investment;
Evaluated cost of
manufacturing
Potential partnership
Production process
Process type:
Batch (moderate volume and moderate flexibility)
Repetitive (high volume and low flexibility)
Continuous (very high volume and very low flexibility)
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Process type
Batch
Repetitive
Continuous
Layout choice
Functional
Cellular (batch flow)
Line-based layoutInte
rm
itte
nt
pro
ce
ss
Decisions concerning process and layout choices (Production
Development, 4th edition, M. Bellgran, K. Safsten, 2010 )
Production process
Plant layout: A decision can be made on the following basic layouts:
(a) Functional layout (functional/process oriented): equipment of the same
type is collocated;
(b) Cellular layout (batch flow): different equipment and processes
needed for making a product are collocated, comparing to the line-based
flow, handling and moving between stations are still manual and still
intermittent process;
(c) Line-based flow (sequential/product oriented. Workers and equipment
are arranged accordingly to the technological sequence required by the
product or service involved;
A combination of the different layouts
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Various type of plant layout (Fundamentals of modern manufacturing,
4th edition, Mikell P. Groover, 2010 )
Quality and communication
How much to inspect and how often?
When to inspect in the process?
Acceptance from supplier?
Process Capability Index (Cpk =1.33 means 30 parts per million
non within specification): to assess the ability of the process to
meet specification.
12/06/2019 16
Process capability index (Operations Management, 11th edition, William J. Stevenson, 2012 )
Full assembly
Are you interested to deliver a full assembled structure?
Do you have experienced staff, tooling and facilities for:
Cleaning (procedure to be accepted by CERN);
Assembly of structures;
Brazing/bonding facilities;
RF measurements.
Are you interested in a partnership with other
suppliers?
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Societal impact assessment
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19
What is an impact? What is a societal impact?
1. What is an impact?
“Measure of the tangible and intangible effects (consequences) of one thing's or
entity's action or influence upon another.” from BusinessDictionary
2. What is social impact?
Social impact indicates the contribution of the research to the social capital of a
nation (e.g., stimulating new approaches to social issues, informed public debate, and
improved policymaking).
3. What is societal impact?
The superior to social and is concerned with is the assessment of social, cultural,
environmental, and economic returns (impact and effects) from results (research
output) or products (research outcome) of publicly funded research.
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20
WHY?
- To help decision
making process;
- To promote a
project;
- To evaluate all
types of benefits.
…and HOW?
WHAT?
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2112/06/2019
Societal Impact Assessment
Second survey - Societal impact study:
As a part of societal impact assessment
To highlight all possible benefits of the project for main
stakeholders (Public, university, government)
Provide the results to a European Strategy committee in
2020
General Industrial survey – online
https://forms.gle/WAvB86wk1fzmQCaP7
All CLIC suppliers
Questions about environment, people, resources etc.
12/06/2019 22
Societal Impact Assessment
Company general information to asses societal impact of
CLIC;
There are questions related to social, environmental,
scientific, technological impacts;
Some information about previous business with CERN or
other scientific laboratories;
Questions:
Company size, turnover;
Application of X-band technologies for other business;
Requests from other laboratories;
Attending conferences;
Publications or patents.
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Societal Impact Assessment
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https://forms.gle/WAvB86wk1fzmQCaP7
Societal Impact Assessment
12/06/2019 25
Japanese Company Visit February 2019
With a great help and perfect “ultra-precise” organisation by Toshi
Higo and Akira Yamamoto
The visit to Japanese company was organised in February 2019;
The idea behind
To get feedback from high-tech companies based on KEK experience
collaboration;
To compare Japanese and European approaches for mass production.
Five companies in UP machining:
MORIKAWA
JUKEN
MHI
K-PRO
U-Corporation
All companies were very welcoming and enthusiastic about further
cooperation.
12/06/2019 26
Industrial surveys
Summary
The technical questionnaire (Industrialization) was distributed
To five Japanese companies during the visit in February 2019;
Up to now received the feedback from two companies;
To seven European qualified supplier in UP machining (four
companies) and bonding (three companies) in April 2019;
Discussion phase.
General questionnaire (Societal Impact Assessment)
Pilot distribution to a few frequent supplier of RF components (6
companies)
Up to now receive the feedback from four companies.
Planning to contact more than 300 suppliers.
With the assistance of CERN procurement service
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Conclusion
Industrialization study has been launched with
qualified companies. Expecting feedback in
Summer 2019.
Answers expected in three months.
General Industrial Survey is under preparation. The
survey will be distributed in July 2019.
Estimated time to fill in ~1 hour.
Expected feedback from companies:
Technical questionnaire completed as much as
possible;
Comments and suggestions;
Feedback and cooperation.
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EXTRA
12/06/2019 29
CLIC cost
12/06/2019 30
380 GeV: ~5.9 BCHF
Upgrade to 1.5 TeV: ∼ 5.1 billion CHF
For klystron 1.5 TeV: 25% more expensive
Upgrade to 3TeV: ∼ 7.3 billion CHF Project Implementation Plan 2018
Maintenance cost 116 MCHF per year.
Reference: CLICTechnology
Graph: Company
12/06/2019 31
Reference:Company
Graph: CLICTechnology
12/06/2019 32
12/06/2019 33
Reference: orders
Technogram
12/06/2019 34
12/06/2019 35
Laboratories (collaborators)
FERMI FEL
VALENCIA S-BAND
X-BAND TEST STAND TSINGHUA
AWA FACILITY
EUPRAXIA@SPARC_LAB
COMPACT LIGHT AT LNF-INFN
LANL
SXFEL
PSI
CLARA
SMART*LIGHT
DESY
VHEE
LANL
12/06/2019 36
12/06/2019 37
38
Clic costs
380 GeV: ~5.9 BCHF
Upgrade to 1.5 TeV: ∼ 5.1 billion CHF
For klystron 1.5 TeV: 25% more expensive
Upgrade to 3TeV: ∼ 7.3 billion CHFProject Implementation Plan 2018
Maintenance cost 116 MCHF per year.
12/06/2019
39Accelerators in the world
Based on the review from 2014 (Florio, M.,
Bastianin, A., Castelnovo, P., 2018):
27 000 accelerators in industry
14 000 for medical purposes
1200 for basic research
(Florio, M., Bastianin, A., Castelnovo, P., 2018)
Industry
64%
Medical
33%
Basic
research
3%
Number of accelerators 2014
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4012/06/2019
Accelerators only at CERN
LHC is the world’s largest and most powerful particle accelerator (27 km ring) successfully operated
for the first run 2009-2013 and for the second run 2015-2018.
41
Stopped for two years for major upgrade and
renovation works, restart in 2021.
From 2025 The High-Luminosity LHC (HL-LHC)
increase luminosity by a factor 10 beyond LHC
design value.
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