Integration Reloaded - Streamlining Moldova's European Course by Dr. Stanislav Secrieru

8/9/2019 Integration Reloaded - Streamlining Moldova's European Course by Dr. Stanislav Secrieru

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integration

reloaded

Ss S BrieFing PaPer 56, 23 M 2010

StreaMlining MoldovaS euroPean courSe

56


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Mlv rwt ltrt wr t r thrtr tr 2009.Hwvr, t th l ttt t lt w h tt th l rltrylt, ltl rtty t t rt 2010.

T wly t vrt h ht t r-lh rr rt rl vrtv t trl trrt. I th tr, rt rrt, lty jtyt wk trtv ty hrt r th rv xtv r lkly t hrth vrt blty t lt rr.

R hl vrl rtl lvr, whh t ly t btrt Mlv Er r.Hwvr, th R t Mlv rlly wk rlt th eu rwr Ch r tv t trbl.

Althh th Erzt t t rr, Mlv wll tht rt th eu. B r t lt tv tlty, th eu ht t Mlv ly t lrl rv t l-tr blty t ltth rr.

integration reloaded

d. Ss S

rs Fw

c f es ep as Ss, Bs

rss r gb cx s pmm

t Fs is f i affs

Bf Pp 56

23 M 2010

StreaMlining MoldovaS euroPean courSe


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the FinniSh inStitute oF international aFFairS

I 2009, t ll xtt, Mlv t hk t rt rt t lv bh

zz rr t tl r rEr trt. Althh th Ert jy vrwhl rt Mlv,th xr th eu ltt wr hvhw tht rt ly trlz y rrr t th ry hwrk. I thrh ltl wll blty t ltrr Mlv? Wht h th w vrt r, tlly xtrlly, t brMlv lr t th eu? Wht r th btl thtl hr rr Mlv? Hw l th euhl t br bt h, lrt MlvErzt?

A turbulent 2009

Rtrtvly k, th ltl lt Mlv vl r r t jblt 2009, bt th w ltr vrhw by lltl rtty, whh t t rt

2010. T ltl r h b trr by thCt Prty ttt t brk th ttr rt trt rr t rt thrr yr rtbl tblty Mlv.Prt Vr, wh h rv th xtw tv tr , w l tt w tr lt tk th tl Skr Prlt, rl whhwl, rlty, llw h t trl llblr tr rt. Hwvr, th tttt lt th Krl ltl thly

Mlv l bkr.

T t th Ct vtry th Arl rltry lt rk rtt

jr tw. I th tl, Ch, l trt tr vlt, wth rtrrk tt r t rt th ry rlt bl. Atr tl t,th vrt thrz post factumth rt vl th rt rttr rrttv. Mtry Jt tx tr lh hrt t ngo. T thrt R rz th rt, lr twt R lt personae non gratae,rtr th v r r R tz trrly l th brr t t wtrhbr. It tht wht h trt t ttt t ltz l thrtr, h r Lukashenization Mlv, th h lttly k th Ctthlv.

Ivk rv rrlrt r th lt,th t r t rz th rlt

bytt th rtl lt. Oly vthrt, th Ct Prty l tw rw tlt th w h tt. Prlt w lv lt t r th Jly. T w bllt,rz r r trtl rty,r th br Ct Prty t t 48,whl th t bt t r, lh53 t th 101-br hbrht tll w vrt rlt Skr.T r t rt, th Lbrl DrtPrty, th Lbrl Prty, th Drt Prty th

Or Mlv All r th rl lt, th

P: tms K


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All r Er Itrt (aei). T t th ltrl r rt th th Mlv l t lr rvv h rth try wt Erzt.

Hwvr, th t-vtry xtt h b by th t th try

w th rt rtrttttl r. Bk 2005, rr tv ltl lk, rt th rltryt rv th ry vtr th Ct Prty t r th rtr-lt, xh r r rr. Taei xt rrty, rt v rvrbl tr t lh th wr trt.It, th Ct t t rl thrtty, h tht vr r t r wl r r v lt th aei,

lttly v th wy r th rty rtrt wr. H, th rltt t rt t bllt r th aei t, thwy r lt br th th rrt trwhh, tttl rr, tkl t 2010. Utl th, th Skr wllb bl t th t t rt, r wth th ttt.

Re-launching Europeanization

Jt th rl lt w Ertrt t ly rrty, Mlv wbl by th r. T, th wlyt vrt h t tk th l rl r-htr blr rr t xthth t th trbl t th r w wv rr. T xtv lyhll t ry t thr jr trtwtk.

T rt rrty w t rvt th ll bl ll by hr l ttrv rtt (whh -thr th gdp) by lt 50 % 30 % rtvly.I t, th vrt h t lh htr t rz th try rblrtrtr, whh t t r tt. Atr wt tt wth th im,th vrt l rt r thr-yr l $590 ll. T Wrl Bk rrk

$80 ll r Mlv 2010, whl Ch

l r r-l t r theu. h vrt l t r usl t wrth $262 ll thrh thMll Chll Crrt.

T rt rrty r th xtv w tr b rl vrt tht wl

ltt trl trrt. I th lht Mlv Er rt, th rlthwth th eu t t xtrl . Rltbtw th eu Mlv r b thPrtrh Crt Art (pca). Ir 1998, th t tblh llb r ltl l, rt vrl, lltv rxt rt rMlv trt twr ry rkt y. I 2005, th rwrk thEr Nhbrh Ply, bth r

eu-Mlv At Pl t lttth ltt th pca rv wll t.

Whl rz Mlv rr vrlr, th Er C t rrt ltt th t l l tjr fw r lw, bt rrt,rr th jry, r r thr h th b lt. Althhv t lt thr yr, th t l wxt tl 2009. T eu l ly tt w rt wth Mlv th tr rt lt.Bt th t-ltrl vl llw Arlvt ly rv t h Mlv rthr wyr th eu. It x r wk thtry ttt (lw rt th jry rtlr) r qt btMlv tt t th rl lw. Atr th bllt, th w thrt Ch trv

t r Mlv rblty . T h vrt h rt l vt t Brl,rtrt Mlv tt t rtvl trt r rlt wth theu. T vrt h t r r rr t lll th bjtv t t th eu-Mlv t l. T vlthv h bttl t eu-Mlvrlt lt tv r r th eu.

R Mlv Er tr

rtr th rtr th try


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eu brh b. Cqtly, th vrtt wt h t rr bltrl rlt

wth t wtr hbr. Ch lt thv r r R tz wthrwt t t th xll lt. Th vrt tr twr thrlzt rlt hv b vw vryvrbly Bhrt, wth th rlt tht thMlv r h b t rrty rR ly th lttr rt 2009.

Althh t trly ttl, thhbr hv lt, ltrl htrllt, Bhrt ly Mlv r rt r. It Rtl trt t hr t brr wth rr ry r y rz ft, R wr tht xt Ertrt rthr t th t th t twy rbl lt t Mlv l-t rbl. A th eu xtrl brrtt, R l bl t ly th rl trtr btw Mlv th eu. H,

tr ll-t lw bltrl rlt, Rh z th rtty t bl lylt-lvl lk tht wll rw Mlv lrt th eu.

T tw hv th Cvt ll-l brr tr whh, t thr lthy brr, wll tly x thr-t-r tt tht wr l bk 2007 tr R t th eu th bqt t th v r r

Mlv. T vrt hv l r t

w brr r tlly xthr lr twrk. I t, Ch

Bhrt hv rh r thr bltrl rtv-ll b.Bth t r-lh tt 12trvrtl trl rt, t rtrh r Mlv Er trt t l thr brr r trty. rvMlv ry rty, th rt hv rh rlry rt t trt thrltrty trl trrtt twrk.R h l l t rv xrt rth rr Mlv l r. Dt th r, Bhrt rlv t llt 100ll -rbl t r th r20102013, t rt rtrtrrjt t th ll lvl Mlv. I rly 2010,R lh rl lb Brlbb th Mlv r r, j by rth hl th eu br tt k t rtMlv Erzt.

O th tr rt, Mlv h ht t

rlbrt t rlt wth Ukr, whh hr brr wth th rtt r rtr thrr bl r lrlt t th rtr ft. Hh-lvltt r k t lt bbr thbltrl t tr hbrhrlt r t Er rt. Shttlly btw Kv Ch lr thwy r bltrl rt th rtt th rht tl rt, r th jt t br r th brr

( rtt t xt l th Dtr

r sps f pm b f 2009 pmy s. P: va (Wkm cmms)


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rvr), rtl whh th rvrt th tl rt rrty

rht th rlt rrty rlt.I rly 2010, th rtt th r brr rt, l th trth lth rtt r rtr. tr b-rl trt, Kv Ch kk-trtth rt th Dtr Err, hr eu t wth th Etr Prtrhrwrk. Btw th rt r th rtl lt Ukr, Mlvr tr h t wth bth ,ll r th tv tr bltrl rlt tb t, rrl th lt rlt.

Whl h r lr t wth th eu, Mlv lt bl t r th cist Ch Ylt rr t l bt y rt wthrwl rth cis trtr t rr th Krl t trt vl tr rltwth R. T vrt th xrtt Mw t tt th lt lt

tr brrr (tr 2006) tht wlr Mlv w xrt, whh tr 12.2 % th R w rkt 2009.T xtv l l th r lt thlry rtrt Mlv hrt-tr vt t R. Atr ht lt vr yr, Ch ht t thMlv-R trvrtl tr rt.

T r t rt r- tblty

t r rly rl tt wr

t t trl rr v th vrtl rr r 20092013. I

rltvly hrt t, th vrt rtlw t lqt th l rt, t tr yt rvt bl, t hrz thr wth th eu acquis communitaire thry l try hyttrytr. T bll r t rv th

jt yt, x Mlv xrt t theu lz t th Ery Ctyrv lt Dbr 2009. T Mtry Itrl Ar b wrk t rrtht wl ltz, trlz rllyltrz th l r, br t r lwth vl ll ty . T xtvl tk t t lbrlz vrl t thrkt tr b-rly vrt.Tr r lty r lltv ttv th l trt t Mlv trrt.Hwvr, th ll-rtt ltt lw th rt th rr whh l rv th thll r Mlv.

Roadblocks

I th hrt tr, Mlv vrlbtl tht wll tt th rl lt wll blty t t th rrt zl kh r h.

Atr vrl l ttt t lt rt 2009, th aei t t th ttt, rtlr rv lt th h tt,

thr by lwr th br vt

P: _pff (fk)


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r 61 t 52 r by r-wr th Mlvl t rtly lt th rt. T CtPrty t th ttv th twl lt th lvr t h t t th lrt tt whr ltrtv jrty rlt lk th rqt vt t r vtry r t t. Gv th Ct

Prty rt ttl, th r l ty. Althh tl r vrt lrltl lk th tr, th r tlwl tk tll th aei ttt rr.T br th lt tht r lkly t y vt lt t (th Lbrl Prty),r v t th vt thrhl (OrMlv), wll lkly t tl rt t thtttl rr rr t v rltrylt. I th aei l t v th Ctt lt tttl t, t wll

hv t t v lr rr.I th vt tht th tttl h r tt, th ltl r l r by2010, ll rtty vr Mlv tr.

Wth bl lt th hrz, th hr th aei ly l r tly. Ath rry bjtv h rty wll b tt lt rt bl bt th rtt, wr llt ht vrhwth vr t. T ll-r-th trty hlt th Ct wth v mp lry brkrk, whl th ll hw l trr th rty. Yt t th trlr, th rty r ltl r t brk wth. Hwvr, t rthr l lwk th aei rl lt tyth tr-lt tt, whh h b ktr r l t by r th t b.

I t t th xht ltl bttl, th

wr rrt, lty jt yt wk trtv ty r th trtht wll hr th ltt rr th tr. T rvy t 2008 byrry Itrtl rvl tht r80 % tz rrt btl tMlv vlt. I 2007, Mlv tth lt tt wth th hht rt ErCrt H Rht (ec) vt rt, x th vr r tl. Mt th lt wth th rht t r trl, rrty

rht rtt, vl r

rty. t, Mlv r tht 100ll rr t xt th ec rl. Tttt hhlht t ly th r tht hl th bt r vtt, btl trt th r tr tltl tt t trth th rl lw Mlv. Urttly, th vrt h

hrt ql rl vr lrlt t Er trt, whh vrlylw th rr.

The Russia and China factors

Althh th th rr lrly Mlv trl rr, th Rtr l lvr lt jlt l thwy. Olly, Mw rt Ch Er

h, l t t rl Mlv rrtt th cis trtr vll t wth R. Dlt rhtr, th w vrt r-Err l t xtly lht R-kr, wh rr Mlv l thr rvl hr trt. Bk 2008,r tlk wth thr Mlv ll, Rl r th wht thy w thtblty btw Mlv trlty t trt t th eu.

Althh thr r t yt y rt rtr Mlv brh, R-rtwrk ngo ll wht lk lk r-tv , x th h trthbt th eu th trt r Mlv.Rthr th trt rtlr l, th th eu wk t r, th xltt w br, th llrr r trt th thrt th r

tl tty. T t rtrtby R tlt Mlv.

R hl vrl rtl lvr t Mlv,l t th rkt, ry lvr, ltry r, th rlv lt rtr rtr bt(vr $2 bll). T lvr w R wth rtr ty r trr. Hwvr,t th lvr wl rtlyh R l th y th Mlv

wl ltt t R trt th


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th l r l t, ly br15 ll by Dbr 2009. Dr vt tMlv, th Er Cr r ExtrlRlt Er Nhbrh Ply tht th eu l wth r100 ll 2010 t r th t th r Mlv. I t, wth th

Er Nhbrh Ply rwrk, th euh rrk 273.1 ll r Mlv r thr 2011-2013. I Mrh 2010 Brl wll ht trtl r t, rz t rtl r Mlv.

I rly 2010 th eu lh tt thAt Art wth Mlv. T ErC rl t v r tht wl hl th Mlv vrt t rryt rr ry r tblh D

Crhv Fr r Ar tt, whhl trt Jly 2010. T C l t t t vlt th rt r v-r trvlr wth Mlv.

h eu t t th hh-lvl lyvry t b b wth Mlvvrtl trtr. ltt rt th brr btw Mlv Ukr, theu h v th blty ly ththl xrt euam, whh h hl trv th brr trl btw th tw tt 2006. It rt l wthrt t vr r, r th r rt th tr, h v bltrlhl r y eu br tt.

Attuning EU support

R l r th eu

r bttt r vrt t, hwvr.Ulttly, th th rr lrly Mlv t rr. Sr, th lt vrt h trv t kt trl r ly lv t t r-Er rhtr. Bt th ly th b thr r tll r t tht th xtv ht lvr . Althh rlt btw th eu Mlv hv rv rtlly, t rtrt tlk tr qlttv brkthrh. Yt, rltvly hrt r t, Ch h

t t t r tht l

lvt t rlt wth th eu t qlttvlyw lvl. T trt th rtv-ll br th t rtt vlt th rt, th r wll hv r-rhq r Mlv.

Svrl th tr t bv, hwvr,

ht hr r rl Mlv Erzt.I th hrt tr, th lklh w rltrylt tttl t wll ttt th r th vrt tt t thrt vl tl r r rlt wthth eu. I th vt lt br th thrrt tr, t r th lkly tht ltlrty wl b bl t w jrty rtblh t r l-rty vrt.Trr, Mlv wll t t b vr bylt, whh t rly b th t

wl l th rt t r th rvrrt l lt. Irrtv thrltry rt t-ltrl rr,t r t b whthr thy wll b bl trt tl wr qlbr tht wllrrv hlthy ltl tt tth rr.

Althh th Erzt Mlv b th, th eu h rl rl t ly rv th btl t bv t th vrt rrt rv. xz th rlt br Mlv lr tEr, th eu br tt wll t hlwll hv t thr ltr .

Frtly, th vrwhl rt r Ertrt Mlv (63 %) thrw lk t th eu t ttrth th tv tlty whh wllbt t trrtv wr Mlv. Fr

t, th l th v-r trvl rrv l rtty t r trrlk btw rr ltt tr th h, rwr th thr. I l,th l rlt w-w tt whhth rrt rt wl r ltrl t,tz l trvl rly t Er, th euwl r rtl rr th l jt,r rty rt th wr rtt trth th rl lw Mlv. V-rtrvl r rt hv lry h tv

f Mlv-Ukr rlt, tlt


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th r rt rtzt th brr. By th rr , v-r

trvl r wl r Mlv l th y th rtr rthr bltr theu rl th rlt Mlv rtrttrrtrl ft.

Sly, rtzt t lr r Mlv tll h l wy t th rt.T bt trty t y k thrtrt th tr wl b t ly tlrl, whh vtl r th tty rr. Vbrt ltl tt, rlt , tr vl tywll b rl r t th . T, ttrt th lt rv l ttt.A bl rly bllt l rv rtty t rv t ly th vt r,bt l ltrl hrt tby th trtl brvr 2009. Slrly, theu t l hl t ltt llt btw th ltl rt thtttl t th Ct Prty

h ht tht t ht b wll t tt.

Trly, th trtrl rr Mlv wll b by r r whh vrt wll r ll. T eu h t t Mlv rv tblty t lt rr, rrl ttlh th rl lt. T eu hlhl t tr tttl t tht r wllqt wth th wy whh th eu t, t tht wll rv rl r tt w

d. Ss Srs Fw

c f es ep as Ss, Bs

iSBn 978-951-769-255-7

iSSn 1795-8059

c p: w. (fk)

l : ly nkk

ly: tms K

t Fs is f i affs 2010

www.p-f.f

r wth th U, lt tt th vrll qlty vr.

A th Er l fw t Mlv r, rl bl trt r l rt r th t t .

S , Mlv h brb rly t tt th. Bt r thrt t th l h. Althh Mlv w rry rbl, th rl lrlt thrtr t 2009 ll r hlthy t. Wth t trt th eu t ltltrl t,Mlv l t xl by ly thrtl vl th Etr Prtrh, tv rvrbrt thrht thr. T eu Mlv wll t lyh try rrvrbly, bt wll trthth vrll Er Nhbrh Ply,trbt t ly t th rty Er, btl t t rtv ttrtv.

a bb cs pm sby eu. P: g cm

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Integration Reloaded - Streamlining Moldova's European Course by Dr. Stanislav Secrieru