32
Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010

Finnair Group

Page 2: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Cautious growth in the sector

Demand has gradually returned during this yearBusiness travel has clearly picked up Capacity has increased less quickly than demand, so load factors have improvedSector’s profit forecast for current year 9 billion dollarsPrice level has improved from last year, but is still below the 2008 levelNext year, growth is expected to increase less quickly and capacity additions to accelerate

Page 3: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

For Finnair, a historically good quarter

First profitable quarter after seven successive loss-making quarters Demand and unit revenues improved in the third quarter, turnover up 26.2% Operational result, 41.9 million euros, in January-September 2.0 million eurosEfficiency programme reduced unit costs by 3.8%, in first nine months 7.1%Scheduled traffic unit revenues improved 23.5% in Europe-Asia traffic due to increased business travelPassenger load factor is goodCargo is clearly profit-makingCash flow from operations clearly positiveStrong balance sheet and cash position

Page 4: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Operational result improvedQ3/10 Q3/09 Change %

Turnover mill. euro 551,4 436,9 26,2

Operational expenses mill. euro 513,9 473,6 8,5

Adjusted EBITDAR* mill. euro 86,1 15,3 -

Adjusted EBIT* i.e. Operational result mill. euro 41,9 -32,9 -

One off items/ capital gains mill. euro 0,3 8,6 -

Changes in fair value of derivatives and exchange rates in fleet overhauls

mill. euro 8,4 3,7 -

Operating profit/loss (EBIT) mill. euro 50,6 -20,6 -

Profit before tax mill. euro 43,9 -24,5 -

*excl. capital gains, changes in fair value of derivatives and exchange rates in fleet overhauls and non recurring items

Page 5: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

A record quarter after seven loss-making quarters EBIT* per quarter

*excl. capital gains. fair value changes of derivatives and non recurring items

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

MEUR

2006 2007 20082005 2009 2010

Page 6: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

Positive trend strengthened in unit revenues and cost development

% Yield (EUR/RTK) Unit costs (EUR/RTK)

2006 2007 20082005 2009

Change YoY

2010

Page 7: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Efficiency program lowered unit costs

Q3/10 Q3/09

Unit costs of flight operations* c/RTK -3,8% -8,0%

Unit costs of flight operations* excl. fuel c/RTK -3,6% -2,5%

Personnel expenses c/RTK -18,3% +1,5%

Fuel costs c/RTK -4,6% -20,3%

Traffic charges c/RTK -0,8% +0,7%

Ground handling and catering €/psgr. +1,3% -2,2%

Sales and marketing €/psgr. +43,8% -32,8%

Aircraft lease payments and depreciation c/RTK -17,2% +13,8%

Other costs* c/RTK +2,5% -4,9%

* excluding fair value changes of derivatives and non-recurring itemsRTK = Revenue Tonne Kilometre

Page 8: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Headcount shrinks

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q32010

Personnel on averagePersonnel

Page 9: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Finnair’s long-haul fleet grows

Harmonised Airbus long-haul fleet, average age less than three yearsLater this year one more A330 aircraft and at turn of year two more A340 aircraft. Next year a total of 15 long-haul Airbus aircraftFive new Airbus A321ER aircraft for leisure traffic 2012-13Last MD-11 aircraft were sold; one is used in Finnair’s cargo traffic

Page 10: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Asian strategy stands up

Finnair’s market share in Asian traffic 6%Asian revenues clearly above European revenuesIn August, sales in Japan greater than in FinlandNew openings next year• Daily direct flight to Singapore next spring• Weekly frequencies to Hong Kong up from 7 to 12• In spring, additional flights to present Asian

destinations• After planned capacity increases Finnair is flying over

70 weekly flights to AsiaCargo traffic rising strongly and with an improving price level

Page 11: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Consistent growth in Asian traffic

Finnair weekly frequencies to Asia(summer season average frequencies)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F

India

SE Asia

China

NE Asia

Summer peak season frequencies per week

Page 12: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

North Atlantic7 %

Asia57 %

Domestic3 %

Europe33 %

Asian traffic Finnair’s corner stone

RPK July-September 2010

Geographical distribution in scheduled traffic

Page 13: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

36%

48% *

4% 12%

Majority of Finnair’s revenues comes from Europe–Asia traffic

* Cargo revenues represent 17% of Asian revenues

Asia USDomestic Europe

54%*

5% 6%

34%Aasia-

EurooppaVia Helsinki

>65 %

Distribution of passenger and cargo revenues in scheduled traffic Jul-Sep 10

Page 14: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Funding secured

Funding ensured for the final part of the investment programCash reserves 540 mill. eurosFunding sources totalling over 500 mill. euros• 1 A330 in Q4 probably operational lease• Loan-back of TyEL pension fund reserves, 330 mill.

euros remaining • Unused credit facility of 200 mill. euros signed in June

Cash flow from operations turned to positive

In addition, 200 million euro commercial paper programme, of which 46 in use

Page 15: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Cash flow improved in Q3 Cash flow statement

Q3/2010 Q3/2009

Cash flow from operations mill. euro +46 +1

Investments and sale of assets mill. euro -48 +29

Grossinvestments ** mill. euro -13 -11

Change of advances and others

mill. euro -35 +40

Cash flow from financing mill. euro -28 +8

Liquid funds at the beginning mill. euro 569 266

Change in liquid funds mill. euro -30 +38

Liquid funds at the end * mill. euro 539 304

** incl. A330 aircraft lease arrangement

* incl. financial interest bearing assets at fair value

Page 16: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Strong balance sheet after investments Equity ratio and adjusted gearing

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q3 2010

Equity ratio Adjusted Gearing%

Page 17: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Full year result in black figures

Capacity will grow by nearly five per centStrengthening of demand and average price will continue as business travel increasesIncreased unit costs will undermine profitabilityLeisure travel picking upCargo demand continues to be strongEfficiency measures will continue, impact will also depend partly on early-autumn collective agreement solutionsFinal quarter weaker than thirdThe operational result for the full year is expected to be in profit

Page 18: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Appendices

Page 19: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Strong growth in traffic

January-August traffic performance

• Scheduled traffic +4%

• Passenger load factor +2%-points

• Asian traffic +11%

• Business class in Asian traffic +34%

• Business class share of long-haul traffic 11%

• Cargo +38 %

Page 20: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Operational result in January-September slightly on black

Q1-Q3/10

Q1-Q3/09

Change %

Turnover mill. euro

1506,41380,0 9,2

Operational expenses mill. euro 1520,8 1526,0 -0,3

Adjusted EBITDAR* mill. euro 138,6 9,1 -

Adjusted EBIT* i.e. Operational result mill. euro 2,0 -133,4 -

One off items/ capital gains mill. euro 1,4 8,6 -

Changes in fair value of derivatives and exchange rates in fleet overhauls

mill. euro -12,0 51,3 -

Operating profit/loss (EBIT) mill. euro -8,6 -73,5 -

Profit before tax mill. euro -23,4 -80,9 -

*excl. capital gains. fair values changes of derivatives and non recurring items

Page 21: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Segment results* Q3

Mill. euro Q3/2010 Q3/2009Airline Business 45,2 -24,8Aviation Services 2,8 -4,7Travel Services -0,9 -0,4Unallocated items -5,2 -3,0Total 41,9 -32,9

* Operating profit. excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non restructuring items

Page 22: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Segment results* January–September

Mill. euro Q1-Q3/10 Q1-Q3/09Airline Business 10,0 -116,0Aviation Services 6,7 -2,6Travel Services -2,1 -5,5Unallocated items -12,6 -9,3Total 2,0 -133,4

* Operating profit. excluding capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non restructuring items

Page 23: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Trend in profitability turned

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

MEUR

2006 2007 20082005 2009 2010

Change in EBIT* per quarter

*excl. capital gains, fair value changes of derivatives and non recurring items

Page 24: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Cash flow improved in January-September

Cash flow statement

Q1-Q3/10 Q1-Q3/09

Cash flow from operations mill. euro +48 -114

Investments and sale of assets mill. euro -125 -275

Grossinvestments ** mill. euro -156 -338

Change of advances and others

mill. euro +31 +63

Cash flow from financing mill. euro +9 +301

Liquid funds at the beginning mill. euro 607 392

Change in liquid funds mill. euro -68 -88

Liquid funds at the end * mill. euro 539 304

** incl. A330 aircraft lease arrangement

* incl. financial interest bearing assets at fair value

Page 25: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

ROE and ROCE Rolling 12 months

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

Q1 200

5

Q2 200

5

Q3 200

5

Q4 200

5

Q1 200

6

Q2 200

6

Q3 200

6

Q4 200

6

Q1 200

7

Q2 200

7

Q3 200

7

Q4 200

7

Q1 200

8

Q2 200

8

Q3 200

8

Q4 200

8

Q1 200

9

Q2 200

9

Q3 200

9

Q4 200

9

Q1 201

0

Q2 201

0

Q3 201

0

% ROE ROCE

Page 26: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Investments and cash flowfrom operations

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q3 2010

Operational net cash flow InvestmentsMEUR

Page 27: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Aircraft operating lease liabilities

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q3 2010

MEUR Flexibility. costs. risk management

On 30 September all leases were operating leases. If capitalised using the common method of multiplying annual aircraft lease payments byseven, the adjusted gearing on 30 September 2010 would have been90.0%

Page 28: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Fuel price development levels off

Page 29: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Finnair has a rolling hedging policy

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010Q4 2011Q1 2011Q2 2011Q3 2011Q4 2012Q1 2012Q2 2012Q3 2012Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2 2013Q3

Page 30: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

21

117108

-189

-3

0

50

100

150

2009Q3 Volume Price Currency HedgingDeviation

2010Q3

MEUR

Fuel cost change in Q3

Incl. hedging cost of -24 MEUR

Incl. hedging cost of -6 MEUR

Page 31: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

Finnair Financial Targets

”Sustainable value creation”

Operating profit (EBIT)

EBIT margin at least 6% => over 120 mill. €

EBITDAREBITDAR margin at least 17% => over 350 mill. €

Economic profit

Pay out ratio Minimum one third of the EPS

Adjusted Gearing

Gearing adjusted for aircraft lease liabilities not to exceed 140 %

To create positive value over pretax WACC of 8.25%

Page 32: Interim Report 1 January – 30 September 2010 Finnair Group

www.finnair.com/groupFinnair Group Investor Relations

email: [email protected]

tel: +358-9-818 4951fax: +358-9-818 4092