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INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY 15 -17 November 2017 FAO Headquarters, Rome Italy

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

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Page 1: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

INTERNATIONALTECHNICAL CONFERENCEON CLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY15 -17 November 2017FAO Headquarters, Rome Italy

Page 2: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

Potential Conflicts between Agricultural Trade Rules and Climate Change

Mitigation and Adaptation CommitmentsChristian Häberli, PhD (Law)

Fellow at the World Trade Institute, University of Bern, SwitzerlandRome, 16 November 2017

Climate Change affects

Conditions of Competitio

n

Page 3: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC)

Parties and Signatories(November 2017)

3

Source (as of 14/11/17): UNFCCC http://unfccc.int/2860.php

Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed (197 Parties)

Ratified (170 Parties) and IN FORCE since 4/11/2016

Page 4: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

Bottom-up obligationsProgressively mitigate global warmingAccount for delivery and performance

Top-down CommitmentsAll parties to address climate change

Overall Reduction TargetsTechnology and Finance Transfers (required by developing countries)

Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC)

IET

BAM

GIS

CDM

ETS

Art.XXVCLT

GATT vs PIL

4

(FAO 2018)

Page 5: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

How to do mitigate and adapt?

Brandi (ICTSD 2017), Holzer (2014) 5

Prohibitsdiscrimination

at the border (MFN/NT) and

limits or prohibits

certain NTM, subsidies, and

other incentives

Prescribes(product and

country) differentiation

Different production and processing methods

(PPM)« non-product related »

👐

5

5

Page 6: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

A «Climate Action Toolbox»

Trade: tariffs, quotas, other

border measures (BAM, ETS,

differential GHG taxation,

performance requirements),

safeguards, export restrictions,

trade defence, import standards

and regulations

Production: subsidies,

production risk insurance

schemes, stockpiles, access

to credits, meteorology,

biofuels, biotech, organic

Context issues: land tenure, indigenous peoples’ and communal rights, cooperatives reform, (small) farmer support schemes, gender measures, food aid, emergency measures, migration policies

Investment: international protection agreements and instruments, investment and production credits, FDI incentives and investment contracts

Commerce: commodity exchanges, risk hedging, stockpiles, consumer information

Source: Häberli (2016+2017)

Which tools are «smart»?Climate correlation?Trade impacting?

6

Page 7: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

Did

yo

u s

ay

« R

en

ew

ab

leEn

erg

y »

?*Canada — Renewable Energy

Moldova — Environmental Charge

Canada — Feed-In Tariff Program

US — Countervailing Measures(incl. solar panels, wind towers)

India — Solar Cells EU — Biodiesels(5 cases)

China — Measures concerning wind power equipment

EU - Renewable Energy Generation Sour

ce: I

ISD

(160

706)

* Th

irte

enre

new

able

ener

gydi

sput

eca

ses

wer

e+

lost

by

the

resp

onde

nts.

7

Page 8: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

Risk Management / Hedging

v Crop Insurance Support Programs (US, Canada, Spain)

v Weather Based Crop Insurance Schemes (India, Ethiopia etc.)

Questions from WTOØ Who pays? For what risks?Ø Trade distortion? Ø A matter of size?

(IFPRI 2017, Glauber 2016, OECD 2015)

8

Page 9: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY 9

Chile’s mandatory «rotulos» informing (some say warning) the consumer of high levels of sugar, saturated fats, sodium, and calories (2016)

(Boza 2016, Limenta 2017, Häberli 2017)

Did you say "Labelling"(nudging)?

Traffic light labels on

all UK breakfast

cereals (2018)

Page 10: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

Did you say « Mutual Supportiveness »?*

Paris Agreement

WTO Agreements Agriculture(Art. 6 + Annex 2)

SCM (Art. 3 + Fish)

DSU (+VCLT!)

GATT(Art. II:1

b + XVIII

+ XX + XXIV + XXVIII)

GATS(Art. II +

XIV

+ XVI + XVII + XVIII

+ Schedules)

GPA (Art. V)

LIC + PSI + VAL + RoO + TFA

SPS Art. 3.4

TBT Art. 2.2NFIDC

TRIMSTRIPS (Art. 10)Safeguards

10*

Nin

etee

n le

gal p

rovi

sion

s in

the

WTO

Agr

eem

ent

need

tobe

revi

site

d fo

r «P

aris

» m

plem

enta

tion

.

(Häberli 2017)

Antidumping (Art.3.5)

Page 11: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

But before you do either, here is the challenge:vProvide maximum policy space for climate mitigation and adaptation…

v… without negatively impacting on other countries, or unduly restricting trade and investment especially in poor developing countries

11

Summing up (I) Negotiate or Litigate**(or self-discriminate –

if you are rich enough)

Page 12: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

For all countries

vA “Paris Waiver” to be added to the list of measures in GATT-Article XX (VCLT won’t do!)

vA «Climate-smart Green Box» allowing for efficient and effective climate mitigation support measures based on internationally recognised standards (e.g. best agricultural practices, GRP, ISO etc).

Only for poor developing countries: a real SDT!?v«Developing Country Green Box» (Art. 6.2 AoA) to be available for climate-friendly investments and certain agricultural input subsidies, for low-income or resource-poor producers.

vAllow clearly defined infant industry protection for climate-friendly start-ups in poor developing countries (Art.XVIII:cGATT)

12

Summing up (II) Solutions – Any?

Don’t bet on it…

Page 13: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

merc

i /

gra

cias

For questions & suggestions please contact [email protected]

For information visit my websites athttp://www.nccr-trade.org/people/haeberli/ or

http://ssrn.com/author=1380616

Page 14: INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ON CLIMATE …...The Paris Agreement (UNFCCC) Parties and Signatories (November 2017) 3 Source (as of 14/11/17): ... Adopted (12/12/2015) Signed

INTERNATIONAL TECHNICAL CONFERENCE ONCLIMATE CHANGE, AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND FOOD SECURITY

Christian HäberliPhD (Law) / World Trade Institute (WTI)

16 November 2017

Potential Conflicts between Agricultural Trade Rules and Climate Change

Mitigation and Adaptation Commitments