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Impact Of Electricity Consmption on Population Growth, Income and Foriegn Direct
Investment
A thesis submitted
By
M.Hamdan Hussain
Id: 4051
To
Department of Business Administration
In partial fulfillment of
The requirement for the
Degree of
MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
In
Finance
This thesis has been
Accepted by the faculty
FACULTY OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
________________________
Syed Ali Raza
Advisor
______________________
Syed Tehseen Jawaid
Manager
Table of Content
CHAPTER-1 INTRODUCTION.............................................................................................1
1. Introduction..............................................................................................................................1
1.1 Background:...........................................................................................................................1
1.2. Problem Statement:...............................................................................................................2
1.3. Research Objective:..............................................................................................................3
1.4. Research Question:...............................................................................................................3
1.5 Scope of the Study:................................................................................................................3
1.6 Limitations of Study:.............................................................................................................3
CHAPTER-2 LITERATURE REVIEW.................................................................................4
2. Literature Review....................................................................................................................4
2.1 Theoretical Background:.......................................................................................................4
2.2 Empirical Studies:..................................................................................................................5
CHAPTER-3 METHODOLOGY..........................................................................................16
3 Methodology...........................................................................................................................16
3.1 Research Approach:.............................................................................................................16
3.2 Research Purpose:................................................................................................................16
3.3 Research Design:.................................................................................................................16
3.4 Data Source:.........................................................................................................................16
3.5Period:...................................................................................................................................17
3.6 Statistical Technique/Tools:................................................................................................17
3.7 Model:..................................................................................................................................17
3.8Hypothesis: ..........................................................................................................................18
3.9Variable Description:............................................................................................................19
Introduction
1.1 Background Factors of Economic growth of any Country in all over the world depend upon the energy consumption. One of the leading factors of energy consumption is electricity. Electricity plays a vital role for the development of any country whether it is required for commercial and non-commercial usage. In commercial we use electric power in any type of industry, fishery and agriculture. In non-commercial we use the electric power for improving our living standard through using some domestic lighting, domestic mechanical gadget like refrigerator, air conditioners. Electricity becomes the necessity of life.
Electricity have a very important role of individual or house hold. A person or households require electricity for the daily work routine. Electricity has become the main form of energy as a leading source to improve the standard of living. Latest invention or research boosts the demand of electricity. In many projects researcher are trying to improve the quality of life which leads to manual devices to friendly user technological equipment. The demand for electricity is rapidly growing in Asian countries. There is a massive use of information and communication technologies.
In Asia there is a serious electricity demand supply mismatch because of the use of the old designed and heavy electricity consuming machines in some countries region. The continental of Asia is on the top of list for consuming energy because it have some large population countries like China, India, Pakistan etc. There are some method to produce electricity like solar panel, static electricity, electric generator, batter, thermocouple temperature device and electric turntable cartridge. Most of the countries fulfill their electricity requirement through other projects like sunlight, coal, water and oil. Every new day there is an increase of electricity consumption not only in Asia but also in all over the world.
Electricity has its impact on income, population and foreign direct investment. The energy has been identified, computes and dignified by every country of the world because they know the importance of the energy. Because of these reason there is ups and down in electricity prices in 20th century. In the last century there is an increase in electricity consumption instead of increase in energy resources. International Monetary fund (IMF) World Bank (WB) is looking to find out the model which can utilize for calculating energy consumption rate as well as looking for increase in price of the product which is requires to produce energy consumption(Oil, gas).
Energy consumption is cut down around 1.5% at the world level. This is the first time after the Second World War. But the Asia and Middle East are not able to cut down. Electricity consumption demand also cut down around 4.5% by Europe and North America both. Japan also cut down electricity consumption demand by 7%. But the two largest population countries India and China continued to consume on strong pace by 7% to meet their economic growth. In Middle East there electricity consumption is high by 4.5%.
Coal is one major factor of electricity. Coal can be used for power of generation. Coal was not such impact on the economic development of any country due to less attention by the authorities. But now Most of the countries are coming towards the use of coal for producing electricity for economic development. If there is an increase in electricity consumption so there should be an increase in resources. Coal may be the good option to produce electricity.
Tang (2008) examined that there is a positive relationship between electricity consumption, foreign direct investment and population growth. If there is an increase in electricity consumption other factor (Foreign direct investment, population growth, income growth) also increased.
1.2) Problem Statement
In previous years, many studies have been conducted to find out the relationship between
electricity consumption and economic growth and these researches are done in all over the
world1. Most of the researchers have conducted the relationship between the electricity
consumption and GDP 2.Some of the researchers also measures the impact of electricity
consumption on population growth, foreign direct investment and income 3. Past studies
indicate that there is significantly positive relationship between the electricity consumption,
foreign direct investment and income. However, there is a variety of research done on
electricity consumption, income, economic growth and foreign direct investment in all over
the world as well as in Asian countries scenario, but there is still need to work on energy
consumption. In that consideration that research has been conducted to examine the
electricity consumption impact on population growth, income and foreign direct investment.
1.3) Objectives of the Research:
To find out the impact of electricity consumption on foreign direct investment, population
growth and income.
To find out the relationship between electricity consumption, population growth, foreign
direct investment and income.
1.4) Research Question:
Is there any impact of electricity consumption on population growth, income and FDI.1 Gupta and sahu (2006)2 Chen Et all (2006)3 Tang (2008)
1.5) Scope of the research:
This research is designed to examine the impact of energy consumption on economic
growth. Consumption may also have variable parts like distribution and prices. So it will
provide,
The statistical data for the policy makers that how will they overcome the shortage
of energy resources .And how will they generate further power resources to resolve
this issue, especially from coal.
This research will provide the statistical data to the investor that if they will invest in
power generation in Pakistan then what return will they get or will suffer a loss.
Finally it will help and provide the authentic information to the economist of
Pakistan and also the investment board that how will they plan to generate and
distribute energy in all sectors.
1.6) Limitations:
The time period is limited for detailed research.
AS I am working person I am facing a lot of problems during the research time
period.
I want to do my research in electricity consumption function, population growth, FDI,
and income with the help of time series data.
2) Literature Review
2.1) Theoretical Background:
Energy crises overcoming in the World market but these issues are resolving by increasing in
the production and availability of resources through new invention. Now the world has
leaved back and ignores the previous trends of an electricity use. There is some method
which is use for generating electricity in world wide. These methods are electric turntable
cartridge, electric generator, batteries, solar panel etc. These latest techniques need wind, sunlight,
rain and heat, coal. These resources are easily available in world market in a massive form.
Nowadays mostly scientists are working on coal comparatively to other resources. Coal is just use
for power generation purpose. Now electricity is the essential need for any individual or
house hold. According to the theory there is a most trends and shape of energy in the world
which are using for commercial and individual use. Nuclear power is used for obtaining the
atomic energy and also established an atomic plant from the help of nuclear
energy .Renewable energy is obtained from wind, sun light, rain and heat to get an alternate
resources for energy consumption.
Electricity consumption has a strong relationship with population growth, electricity
consumption, foreign direct investment, income. If there is an increase in electricity
consumption then there is an increase in population growth. Past studies indicates that
population growth plays an important role by consuming electricity whether we talk about
commercial or non commercial usage. FDI is the new explanatory variable into the electricity
consumption. Conceptually If FDI induce in any country for enhancing industry sector,
agriculture sector, manufacturing sector there is a need of electricity for the growth of these
sectors. The informal link between the electricity consumption, income, population growth
and FDI are vital because it has significant impact on country’s development policy. Policies
which encourage electricity consumption will be harmful for the economy of the country.
Electricity is now the running engine for most of a country’s economic activities, especially
for those countries which are focusing on industrialization development such as India,
Malaysia, and China. Over the past decades Asia is not able to shrink the electricity
consumption. As you know that the huge increase of electricity consumption is one of the
important factors which lead the Asian developing countries into the vision of industrialized
and developed countries in the future. Moreover the increase of FDI affects the electricity
consumption in Asian countries through the high investment in manufacturing and the
advance technology industry. Now the electricity has become the leading source for today
and as well as for the future economic development not only in Asia but also in the world.
2.2) Empirical studies:
Tang (2008) examines electricity consumption, income, foreign direct investment, and
population growth in Malaysia during the period of 1970-2005. In this study co integration
test has been applied to analyze the relationship of electricity, income, foreign direct
investment and population growth. The main variable FDI, Population growth and Income.
All variable have a positive significant between electricity consumption. In Malaysia when
huge amount of FDI comes so electricity consumption increases so Malaysia economic
growth increase. It is suggested that Malaysian Government reduce their tax rate so FDI
come easily.
Gupta and Sahu (2006) investigate that electricity consumption and economic growth in India
during the period of 1960 to 2005. In this research Granger Engel causality test has been
applied to analyze the effect of electricity consumption on economic growth. The main
variable is real GDP. Real GDP have a positive impact on electricity consumption. This
research implies that increase in electricity consumption may be leading indicator of growing
economy particularly developing country such as India. Government of India should remove
the power sector inefficiencies to get the welfare goal as well as millennium development
goals.
Altinay and Karagol (2005) examine the relationship between electricity consumption and a
real GDP in Turkey for the period of 1950 to 2005. In this study Granger causality test has
been applied to investigate the relationship between the electricity consumption and real
GDP. The main variable is Real GDP. Real GDP have a positive impact on electricity
consumption. This research implies the increase in electricity consumption will lead to
economy on better position. This research also implies that supply of electricity is vitally
important to fulfill the requirement of electricity consumption. Government of Turkey should
provide the electricity requirement to grow electricity consumption, hence to maintain the
economic growth.
Shamizadeh et Al. (2012) analyze the impact on economic growth of energy prices in Iran
during the period 1979 to 2008 .In this study co integration test has been applied to analyze
the impact of prices on economy growth .They consider Gross domestic product, Kerosene,
fuel, gasoline, electricity and gas subsides as variables. All energy subsides has significant
negative impact on Gross Domestic Product. Also Durban Watson statistics is estimated and
calculated and that shows that auto correlation is not present in the model. That research
would be help for further research and interesting to apply the model including the
mechanism of channels to a larger countries sample. This will require a very critical and
calculated work of different institution and political conditions.
Kakar and Khilji (2012) examine and identify the nature of relationship between economic
growth and total energy consumption for Pakistan during 1980 to 2009. In that study two
techniques which are Co-integration and Error Correction Model has been applied to identify
the energy consumption and economic growth relationship. They consider natural logarithm,
annual growth rate of GDP and total energy consumption as variables. All the variables are
co integrated and there is a long run relationship between the variables. They suggest that
further research may done on by changing the variables which having the impact on
economic growth.
Amin and Rahman (2011) investigate the causal degree of relationship between energy and
its output in Bangladesh during 1973-2007. In that study Aurumented Dicky Fuller (ADF)
test has been used .They consider real gross domestic product, energy use, energy production,
electricity production and electricity consumption as variables. The increase in economic
activities in the country may cause the energy production, this may increase the energy use
and result high economic growth. They suggest that further research could be done to test the
validity between output energy and environment pollutants in Bangladesh. A new direction
for future research would be to examine the relationship between energy growth, pollution
causes and other related and relevant variables such as automobile use, health expenditure
and urbanization.
Young-Xiu, et al. (2007) empirically identifies that how industrial consumption and energy
consumption have an effectiveness on gross domestic product 1978 to 2006.In that study
Granger causality test, co integration and error correction model test has been applied to
check the effectiveness of energy consumption and industrial consumption on GDP. They
consider GDP and energy consumption as variables in this research. There is a motion
produced by such a force or to impulse a response to energy consumption caused and affected
by economic growth which is important in that time period.. They suggest that to to make
perfect and affective the industrial sector and structure should improve the technical level of
industrial production for strong economic growth.
Menyah and Rufael (2010) empirically estimate the long run and causality relationship
among economic growth and energy consumption in South Africa during the period 1965–
2006.They consider Granger non causality test and co integration test to find the effectiveness
of energy variables on GDP in south Africa. They consider log of real GDP,fixed capital,
energy consumption,employement and oil consumption(carbon dioxide gas) .There is a short
and long run relationship between the variables with positively statistically significant
relation among pollutant emissions and gross domestic product which is an economic
growth.. They suggest that policy makers should applying a new and modified version of the
Granger causality test and further take different variables which may have an impact on
economic growth.
Gelo (2009) empirically investigate that how energy consumption may have an impact on
economic development in Croatia during 1953 to 2005.In that study Granger causality test
unit root test and vector error correction. They consider total primary energy consumption
TPEC(coal, liquid oil, hydropower, waste ,electricity and renewable) and fluctuation of
economic activity(GDP) as a variables. There is a significant relationship in the fact that
gross domestic product is the cause of change in total primary energy consumption and on the
other hand primary energy consumption is not the cause of change in gross domestic product
or economic activity. They suggest that policy makers should make further research on the
relationship between gross domestic product and oil consumption .Variables could be other
then electricity coal and gas.
Bayruktutan, et al. (2012) investigate the effect of energy usage on industrial production is
examined with the relationship of economic growth during 1970 to 2012. In that study
regression model has been used to estimate the impact of energy consumption on economic
growth in an industrial area. They consider economic growth rate and energy consumption as
variables. Regression analysis gives the estimation that over all models is significant. There is
a relationship of economic growth and industrial energy consumption. Positive value
coefficient is reflected in industrial energy consumption has a positive impact on economic
growth. They suggest that policy makers should consider the economic growth rate of the
country and according to that increasing the energy needs and energy resources. Further
researcher may take another variable related to industrial energy consumption to find the
impact to economy growth.
Acaravci (2010) empirically investigate about the causes issues of long run and short run
among electricity consumption and economic growth in Turkey during 1968 to 2005.In that
study vector error correction model and co-integration test has been applied to find the causes
of effectiveness on gross domestic product by electricity consumption in Turkey. He consider
electricity consumption and GDP per capita as research variables.. He reject the null
hypothesis because electricity consumption per capita does not cause or degree of
dependency on GDP per capita He suggest that policy makers should continue and identify
the new resources for electricity supply and also researcher may take a hydroelectric power
plants and thermal power plants as variables in the research.
.
Aziz (2005) examine the impact on economic growth of energy consumption and growth In
Malaysia during 1970 to 2009.In that study co integration and vector error correction model
have been applied. He consider energy consumption, energy prices ,real income ,aggregate
output as variables .There is good favor and opportunity for long run relationship between
energy variables that is price and consumption and economic growth at 1% level of
significance. They suggest that researcher may use multivariate models for research .
Rufael and Menyah (2010) empirically investigate the nuclear energy impact on consumption
and also on real gross domestic product for nine developed countries during 1971 to 2005. In
that study Granger causality test and some part of VEC has been applied They consider
nuclear energy consumption, real GDP, , real gross fixed capital formation and labor force.
Different and opposite causality is present from economic growth to nuclear energy
consumption in Canada and Sweden. In Spain, Uk and USA there is an increase in nuclear
energy consumption may cause the increase in economic growth. While in, France, Japan,
Netherland and Switzerland there is an increase in nuclear consumption may cause to
decrease the economic growth. They suggest that policy makers should take steps on nuclear
safety variable .And the clean energy may also the driven force toward the economic growth.
Vilahinic, et al. (2010) analyze the causes of relation among the energy and economic
growth in Croatia during 1993 to 1996.In that study bivariate of real gross domestic product
and normality test has been applied. In normality tests they use Jarque_Bera test, Lilliefors
and Shapiro test to find out the significance among the variables. They consider GDP,
energy consumption in industry and house hold, oil consumption, primary energy
consumption and net energy imports as variables in the research. If there is an increase in oil
consumption with a leg then GDP is also increases. If gross domestic product is increase it
also affect the rise in oil consumption.. They suggest that their research shows the relatively
low energy intensity in Croatia so policy makers and researcher can do same research in
developing countries. In the future it may be good to investigate causes for a long time span
and high frequency data.
Hannesson (2009) analyze the relationship between the growth in energy use and the growth
of Gross domestic product during 1950-2004.In this study linear regression of the growth rate
in energy uses on the growth rate of GDP, GDP per capita and the oil prices .He consider
growth rate in the use of energy, growth rate of real GDP,per capita GDP and the oil prices as
variables. There is a significantly positive relationship between growth in energy use and
growth in GDP for all countries. There is a significantly negative relationship between
growth in energy use and oil prices. Variation in oil prices has not significant affect on the
growth in energy. He suggests that the growth in energy use become less sensitive to GDP
growth as countries become richer.
Adjaye(2000) empirically estimates the relationship between energy consumption and
income in India, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand during 1974-1988.In this study co
integration and error correction modeling techniques has been used. He consider real income,
energy consumption and prices. The study results do not support the view that energy and
income are neutral with respect to each other, with the exception of Indonesia and India
where neutrality is observed in the short-run. He suggests that the high level of economic
growth leads to high level of energy demand. At the same time, efforts must be made to
encourage industry to adopt technology that minimizes pollution.
Et al (2000) analyze the effectiveness and cause between energy consumption and GDP and
using the data of Taiwan during 1954-1997.In this study Granger’s test is used to .It is very
convenient detecting the presence of effectiveness and causes between two variables. They
consider GDP, energy, coal ,oil ,gas and electricity .All variables were statistically
significant. The causal results are sensitive to the structure of the independent variables. They
suggest that there is a bi directional effect and causes between total energy consumption and
GDP.
Zhang (2003) investigating the relative importance of structural change and real intensity
change in China’s energy consumption during 1980-2000.In this study The Laspeyres method
and Divisia method are the two most commonly used decomposition methods. It has been
applied to find the energy consumption details. He consider the China, energy, structural
change and energy intensity change as variables in this research. The overwhelming
contributor to the decline in industrial energy use in the 1990s was the decline in real energy
intensity, indicating that the trend of real energy intensity declines in the 1980s.He suggest
that researcher may use different models for further research.
Fatai,et al.(2004) analyzed the close relationship between energy consumption and real GDP
growth suggest that energy conservation policies are likely to affect real GDP growth during
1960-1999.In this study Engle-Granger representation theorem which establish the
relationship between cointegration.They consider GDP ,coal ,gas electricity as the variables
in this research.
Found that neither bidirectional nor unidirectional link between real GDP and coal, gas and
industrial energy demand. They suggest that there is close relationship between energy
consumption and GDP growth so government of these 4 developing countries should take
care about the consumption demand.
Lee and Chang (2005) empirically identify the linear and non linear effect of energy
consumption on economic growth in Taiwan during 1955 to 2003.In that study there is an
application of the TAR mode has been used. They consider real output, labor force, real
capital stock, real export and a growth rate of energy consumption as a variables. The
external effect appears to be significant and positive for the regime below the threshold,
while it is positive but insignificant for the regime corresponding to energy consumption
above the threshold. They find that energy consumption has a positive influence on economic
growth. They suggest that policy makers when adopt any strategy or method to promote o
conserve energy consumption the role of energy use should not be neglected. This is the case
of relationship between energy consumption and economic growth.
Aqeel and Butt (2001) investigate the relationship between energy consumption and
economic growth and on the other hand energy consumption and employment in Pakistan
during 1955 to 1956 and 1996 to 1996In this study co-integration techniques, Hsiao’s version
of Granger causality and test for unit root has been used. to find out the relationship between
energy consumption and economic growth. They consider GDP, total energy consumption,
employment as variables. Economic growth leads to petroleum consumption. On the other
hand neither economic growth nor gas consumption affects each other. And with respect to
electricity, electricity consumption leads to economic growth without feedback. They suggest
that the energy conservation policy has no harmful effect on Pakistan economy. Researcher
may take other variables for further findings.
Abbasian, et al.(2010) investigate about the causal relationship among the energy
consumption and economic growth in the Iranian economy during 1965 to 2005.In that study
VAR version of Granger and other causality test has been apllied to find out the impact of
energy consumption directional and un directional on Iranian economic growth.They
consider energy consumption and economic growth as variables. Enregy consumption is
related to labor and capital and it has been effect on economic growth.They suggest that
policy makers should take another variables related to energy consumption in which there is
no work done in Iran which may have an impact on economic growth in Iran.
Belke, Et al. (2010) emperically estimate the relationship between energy consumption and
economic growth with repect to long run term and the data is coming from 25 developed
countries during 1981 to 2007.In that study unit root test and co integration analysis has been
applied to find out the impact of energy consumption on economic growth.They consider real
gross domestic product per capita, enetrgy prices and energy consumption has been used a
variables.There is a mutual causal relationship between energy consumption prices and
economic growth.They suggest that researcher may take international developments about the
energy consumption as a variable rather then local factors.
Hou(2009) investigate the relationship between energy consumption and economic growt in
Chaina during 1953 to 2006.In this study,cointegration test and Hsiao’s granger test has been
used to find out the relation among economic growth and energy consumption.They consider
real GDP and energy consumption as varaibles.Tests conclude tha energy consumption cause
economic growtha and economic growth causes energergy consumption repectively.He
suggest to policy makers that they shoul pay attenetion towards the energy use with
circulation point of view.
Li and Li (2011) investigate a causal relationship between coal consumption and economic
growth of Chaina and India during 1965 to 2006.In this study Granger causilty test has been
used to find out the causal relationship.They consider Coal consumption and gross domestic
product as varables.There is an undirectional causilty relationship found from GDP to coal
consumption in Chaina on the other hand, from coal consumption to GDP in India.They
suggest that researcher should work on coal consumption variable further because of less
research work done by others.
Gbadebo, et al. (2009) investigate the relationship between energy consumption and
economy growth in Nigeria during 1970 to 2005.In this study co integration technique has
been used to analyze the relationship among the energy consumption and economic growth.
They consider GDP, coal, consumption, crude oil consumption, electricity consumption,
labor force and gross fixed capital formation as variables. Coal consumption is positively
related with economic growth.Petrolium has a high correlation with economic growth.
Increase in energy consumption has a strong determination of economic growth in the
country. They suggest to policy makers that all sectors may have an intention to see the usage
of energy and also the requirement of power generation.
3) Methodology
This chapter talk about the correct facts and figure about the related research.
3.1) Research Approach:
For this research Quantitative approach will be use to analyze the correlation between
dependent variable and independent variable. Quantitative approach talk about the collection
of data, inspecting of data in numeric forms and it is relatively large scale of sufficiency
about gathering facts in this type of study.
3.2) Research Purpose:
The explanatory research is used in this research. In this type of research, research mention
each variable with fully explanation and also mention about the effectiveness of one variable
to other variable. In this study like independent variable like foreign direct investment how it
impact on dependent variable (electricity consumption).
3.3) Research Design:
The design of this study talk about the importance of electricity consumption, and it is also
examine the correlation to conclude that what significant and how much significant between
dependent and independent variables. This study of research is base from co relational
research design which have multiple regression analysis.
3.4) Data Source:
In this specific research secondary source of data is required, since annual data pertain to
dependent variable (electricity consumption function) and independent variable (FDI,
Population Growth, income)
In this research the World Bank Secondary source data is used. There is a big reason for
choosing this source is that all data easily available in this data basis are authentic and
reliable which is compiled by experienced and professional’s persons.
3.5) Period
To check out the impact of electricity consumption on FDI, Population growth and income of
Asia data is collected from the period of 1980 to 2010.
3.6) Statistical Techniques/ Tools:
In this research simple regression technique is used with the help of time series data, as we
have analyze or find out the relationship between electricity consumption, foreign direct
investment , population growth and income.
3.7) Model:
On the basis of research questions and techniques, the following model is derived to examine
and check out the relationship or impact of electricity consumption on foreign direct
investment, population growth and income, we use regression and co integration analysis.
Regression test is used when we have to find out the relationship between the dependent
variable and one or more independent variable.
The statistical model of the research is given below:
Y=α0 +β1X1+ β2X2+ β3X3+et
i.e,
EC= α0+ β1FDI+ β2PG+ β3I+ e _____________________1
Where,
EC= Electricity Consumption
FDI=Foreign Direct Investment
PG=Population Growth
I= income
3.8) Hypothesis:
Ho1 Foreign direct investment has significant impact on electricity consumption.
Ho2 Population growth has significant impact on electricity consumption.
Ho3 Income has significant impact on electricity consumption.
3.9) Variable Description:
In Variable description Details about the variables are mention in this research are given
below.
1. Electricity consumption:
Electricity consumption is a non-scientific phrase often used to explain the conversion of
electrical energy into mechanical work, for example heat or light. Now a day’s electricity
becomes the biggest energy source. It is helpful for consumption purpose in industries,
manufacturing, transportation and house hold sectors. Electricity can be got from power
generation plant with the help of gas.
2. Foreign Direct investment
Any investment which is come from the outside of the country from any single person, group
or company in a money foam is called Foreign Direct investment.
3. Population Growth:
Population Growth can be define as the Increase in the number of people who live in a
country, territory ,state or a sudden raise in the relatives number of population.
4. Income:
Income can be defined as the income of any single person, individual or group , for example
if your income rise 5% greater then the previous year and the inflation for this year was 2%
then your real income increase around 3% only. If your income increase in 2% and inflation
increase in 4% then your real income decrease in 2%.