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Inverse emission estimates for Europe using tall tower observations and the COMET inverse model. Alex Vermeulen 1 , Gerben Pieterse 1,2. 1: ECN2: IMAU. ECN and Cabauw observations. Cabauw – CBW – The Netherlands (ECN). Height: 200m AGL Base: -2m ASL Lon:04°56’ Lat:51°58’ - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Inverse emission estimates for Europe using tall tower observations and the COMET inverse model
Alex Vermeulen1, Gerben Pieterse1,21: ECN2: IMAU
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
ECN and Cabauw observations
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
Cabauw CBW The Netherlands (ECN)Height: 200m AGLBase: -2m ASLLon:0456Lat:5158Levels:20m, 60m, 120m, 200mLU:Grassland, crops
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
CBW CO2 trend 2000-2006
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
Flux and concentration vertical gradients Cabauw Casso-Torralba et al, 2007 (in prep)
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
Measurements, Modelling, SRMs and Inversion
Independent verification of bottom up estimates: UNFCCC, process models
It seems so easy: Subtract the influence of meteorology on the concentration, what remains is the influence of emissions
BUT: the atmosphere is a very efficient mixer, most of the signal is lost in 1-2 days of travel
SO: measure close to the sources at high temporal resolution, extend in the mixed layer to reduce the very local influence
Current global network not sufficient
Not many stations, but high frequency measurements and lots of noise in atmosphere and models
Mathematically: Ill posed problem, we need constraints
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
The COMET modelTrajectory model, offline meteorologyCOMET model, 0.5o windfields, Flextra trajectories ECMWF meteorology, MLH Crit. Richardson schemeCH4 fluxes from METDAT (Berdowski et al, 1998): 3-hourly time-res. at 10 horiz. resolutionMixed layer bulk concentration Hourly 144-hr backward trajectoriesCH4 meas vs. model: R2=0.84 during summer, bias=0 ppb, RMSE=115 ppb (6%)Full year: R2=0.72
Vermeulen et al, ACPD, 8727, 2006
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
Modeling framework at ECN
ForwardCalculations
Spatial Aggregation
InverseCalculationsdXk=Cklel
Trajectory dataLPDM dataInventory dataFlux modelConcentration dataFlux data?
Recursive Spatial Aggregation
LPDM model(FLEXPART1)
COMETmodel(FLEXTRA1)
(Co) Variance OptimizationConcentrationsConcentrationsFluxesSynthetic data1 Stohl, A. (1998): Computation, accuracy and applications of trajectories - a review and bibliography, Atm. Env., 32, 947-966
Deposition fluxesConcentration enhancements
SRMCalculations
8th Transcom meetingPurdue Univ.; April 24, 2007
Diurnal variation get lost after 24 hoursModel: COMET; Background CO2 levels from TM5 (Krol, pers comm).
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