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Invest in New Bulgaria Ministry of Economy Ministry of Economy July 2003 July 2003

Invest in New Bulgaria

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Invest in New Bulgaria. Ministry of Economy July 2003. The Competitive Edge of Bulgaria. Strategic geographic location Liberalised access to markets with over 560m consumers (incl. EU, CEFTA, Turkey) Almost 100 agreements on the protection of investments and avoidance of double taxation - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Invest in New BulgariaMinistry of EconomyJuly 2003

  • The Competitive Edge of Bulgaria Strategic geographic location

    Liberalised access to markets with over 560m consumers (incl. EU, CEFTA, Turkey)

    Almost 100 agreements on the protection of investments and avoidance of double taxation

    Forthcoming NATO and EU membership

  • Investors in Bulgaria Will Find...Among the lowest costs of doing business in EuropeRobust legal framework focused on attracting and protecting foreign investmentFast improving business climateamong the lowest taxes in Europesignificant reduction in regulatory obstacles and start up costsaggressive business stimulus package introduced in 2002/2003Institutional support for major foreign investment projects Superb academic and vocational training Excellent labour quality/labour cost ratio average monthly salary of EUR144

  • Significant Business Climate ImprovementsSimplified licensing, permit and registration regimessimplification or abolishment of more than 50% of the existing ones; clarification of remaining regimesnew regimes to be imposed solely by Parliament voteAmbitious economic programme stimulating the economy0% profit tax in over 1/3 of the territory of the countrypending creation of industrial zones with significant investment incentivesVAT-free imports for investment projects over EUR5 mAdoption of International Accounting Standards (IAS)2003 for financial institutions and public companies2005 for all other companies

  • Macroeconomic Indicators

  • Bulgarian Economy in Early 2003:Accelerating GrowthIndustrial production grew by +23.4% yoy in March and by +9.2% yoy in April. Industrial sales by +30.4% and +9.6% respectivelyExports for the first four months jumped up by impressive +40.4% yoyUnemployment went down to 14.3% in May 2003, a record low level for the last three yearsInflation stays at bay: 0.8% for the first five months, 1.5% of the year and deflation of 0.6% is recorded for May

  • Bulgarian Economy in 2002: Well on TrackBulgaria is among the leaders in Europe in economic growth: 6.4% in Q3, 3.4% in Q4, 4.8% for 2002Inflation of 3.8%Unemployment of 16.27%, a drop of 1.63% compared to 2001Record high forex reserves: EUR4.58bnNear record low external public debt: USD8.3bnRobust growth in tourism revenues: 10% compared to 2001Improving current and trade account deficits to GDP ratios

  • Macroeconomic Stability Testimony from AbroadThe Governments economic program has received positive evaluation. The countrys credit rating has been raised on several occasions. The rating for Bulgarias long-term foreign currency currently stands at:BB+ (with stable outlook) according to Standard&PoorsBB (with positive outlook) by Fitch IBCAB2 (with stable outlook) by MoodysBB+ (with positive outlook) by the Japan Credit Rating Agency more rating upgrades are expected in 2003Support of the international financial institutionsthe IMF approved a two-year stand-by agreement for SDR250 mthe World Bank adopted a supporting strategy worth USD750 m in totalthe EBRD launched a USD500 m private sector financing program

  • Second Generation of Economic Reforms (1)VAT-free imports for investment projects over EUR5 m0% profit tax in high unemployment regionsSignificant reduction of bureaucracyintroduction of one-stop-shopIntroduction of silent consent approachreduction of licensing regimesnew regimes to be imposed solely by ParliamentPlanned creation of industrial zones with significant investment incentivesPlanned introduction of 100% yearly depreciation for equipment for priority investment projects

  • Second Generation of Economic Reforms (2)The launch of a Private Equity Fund(s) is shortly expected state participation of up to EUR51 m (BGN100 m) additional investment from the private sector the funds will be invested in equities of developing Bulgarian companies strong competition for the professional management of the Fund: 15 applications4 candidates selected (TBIF Financial Services BV and Equest Partners Ltd., Copernicus Capital Management SP, GED Capital Development SA, Time Capital Partners and BAC)

  • GDP Growth (by Quarters, %)Source: CANSTAT, EUROSTAT

  • GDP Growth (%)Source:EBRD, Ministry of Economy

  • Gross Domestic Product (EUR bn)Source: Ministry of Finance

  • GDP Structure (by Sector, %)Source: National Statistics Institute

    Chart1

    15.130.754.2

    26.227.945.9

    18.830.550.7

    16.328.255.5

    13.929.157

    13.628.557.9

    12.527.859.7

    12.829.657.6

    Agriculture and Forestry

    Industry

    Services

    12.8

    12.5

    13.6

    13.9

    16.3

    18.8

    26.2

    15.1

    29.6

    27.8

    28.5

    29.1

    28.2

    30.5

    27.9

    30.7

    57.6

    59.7

    57.9

    57.0

    55.5

    50.7

    45.9

    54.2

    Companies with FDI

    Information & Communication TechnologiesInformation & Communication Technologies

    CountryCompanyInvestmentForeign Firms with Investments in Bulgaria

    AustriaMOBILTEL HOLDING GmbH

    GreeceINTRACOM

    GreeceOTE

    NetherlandsGLOBAL ONE HOLDING

    UKCABLE AND WIRELESS

    USARILA SOLUTIONS

    Energy Sector

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    USAACCESS INTERNATIONAL

    USAENERGY

    Transport and Logistics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    AustriaFRANZ WELZ

    AustriaSCHENKER

    AustriaVAE

    GermanyWILLI BETZ

    HungaryINTERLICHTER

    SwitzerlandM + M MILITSER INTERNATIONAL

    Tourism

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    CyprusCLASMAN ENTERPRISES

    GermanyC&N TOURISTIC AG

    GreeceGOODYS

    ItalyAUTO RICAMBI SRL

    SwitzerlandZURICH INVEST

    TurkeyPRINCESS HOLDING GROUP

    USAHILTON INTERNATIONAL

    USAMcDONALDS

    Food processing, Beverages and Tobacco Industry

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumINTERBREW

    CyprusSOFTBUL INVESTMENT

    GreeceBREWINVEST

    GreeceCHIPITA INTERNATIONAL

    GreeceDELTA

    GreeceTKM FRUIT AND JUICE

    FranceDANONE

    LuxembourgKLARINA HOLDING

    NetherlandsEASTSTRACH

    NetherlandsPROVIMI

    PortugalVINPROM SERVICE KORK

    SwitzerlandNESTLE

    UKBOYAR INTERNATIONAL

    UKLUXCRAFT

    UKUNIBUL WINES

    USAKRAFT FOODS INTERNATIONAL

    USASEABORD OVERSEAS

    Textile and Apparel

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    GermanyHAINER & PETER ROESLER

    GermanyROLLMANN

    IrelandMARLAND INTERNATIONAL LTD.

    ItalyMIROGLIO

    ItalySALVADORI

    NetherlandsBRANDEX

    TurkeyMASER

    Electrical Engineering and Electronics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumEPIQ GROUP

    Czech RepublicPRAMET

    FranceSCHNEIDER ELECTRIC

    GermanyFESTO

    GermanyLIEBHERR

    GermanySIEMENS

    GermanySPARKY TRADING

    HungaryVIDEOTON HOLDING

    KoreaHYUNDAI

    Switzerland, SwedenASEA BROWN BOVERI

    USAMICHIGAN MAGNETICS

    bgdream:check RADISSON SASWhat company is that?

    GDP break-up by industry

    National Statistic Institute, 2001

    Economic Sectors

    Agriculture and Forestry

    Agriculture

    Forestry

    Industry

    Mining

    Manufacturing

    Electricity, Gas and Water Supply

    Construction

    Services

    %

    19961997199819992000200120022003P

    15.126.218.816.313.913.612.512.8

    30.727.930.528.229.128.527.829.6

    54.245.950.755.55757.959.757.6

    Total100100100100100100100100

    1995199619971998199920002001

    39.340.144.250.452.151.354.8

    8.37.74.64.67.910.87.2

    17.919.317.612.496.15.8

    3.93.53.24.94.444.8

    11.911.513.612.112.415.214.3

    18.817.916.715.514.112.511.7

    1995199619971998199920002001

    37.335.837.145.248.44449.4

    1.31.51.31.50.80.80.6

    35.53633.724.923.527.823.7

    4.14.54.95.56.48.77.6

    5.85.17.28.187.57.9

    15.917.115.714.71311.19.5

    GDP break-up by industry

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Other secs by country

    Other FDI Sectors and Foreign Firms in Bulgaria

    IndustryCountryInvestors

    Chemical IndustryFranceFRANCE ARNE

    RussiaLUKOIL PETROL

    BelgiumSOLVAY

    USAWHITEBEAM HOLDING

    MetallurgyGreeceHALKOR

    BelgiumUMICORE

    GreeceVIOHALKO

    Building MaterialsAustriaBRAMACK DACHSYSTEME

    SwitzerlandKERAMIK HOLDING

    AustriaKNAUF

    GermanyYTONG

    Cement IndustryFranceCEMENT FRANCAIS

    GermanyHEIDELBERGER ZEMENT

    TradeGreeceENA

    AustriaEUROBILLA

    GermanyMETRO

    TurkeyMIGROS TURK T.A.S.

    AustriaOMV

    UKSHELL

    FDI by country

    Foreign Direct Investment by Country till 2001 ($m)

    Country

    Denmark5.8

    Japan9.1

    Sweden10.3

    Czech10.5

    Malta11.2

    Liechtenstein12

    Israel17.5

    Hungary18.8

    Ireland23

    Luxemburg57.6

    Korea59.8

    Switzerland105.9

    France123.7

    Turkey128.5

    Spain129.8

    United Kingdom196

    Netherlands204.8

    Russia205.3

    Cyprus267.2

    USA277

    Austria351.2

    Belgium415.9

    Italy451.4

    Greece541.7

    Germany563.2

    source: Foreign Direct Investment Agency

    PrivatisationGreenfield investment and reinvested profitsTotal FDI

    1992034.434.4

    19932280.4102.4

    1994134.276.7210.9

    199526136.6162.6

    199676.4180256.4

    1997421.4214.8636.2

    1998155.8464.2620

    1999226.7592.1818.8

    2000366635.51001.5

    200119670689

    2002E800

    Overall FDI by sector in %

    Financial intermediation* 44%4.4

    Post & telecoms 28%28

    Basic metals 8.7%8.7

    Trade 3.8%3.8

    Construction 3.1%3.1

    Coal, refined petrolemum products & nuclear fuel 1.8%1.8

    Offer (small sectors) 50.2%50.2

    100

    Total Direct Investment by sector and year $m

    Sector1998199920002001*TotalSector1998199920002001*Total by sectors

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9

    Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6

    Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7

    Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6

    Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6

    Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773

    Construction6.36.512.718.844.3Other465.9

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.88.125.7

    Leather and leather products0.7021.20.222.1

    Electriciti, gas and water0018.70.819.5

    Agriculture, foresrty and fishing0.12.410.71.314.5

    Publishing00.20.38.48.9

    Transport6.2-11.710.12.77.3

    Mining02.702.85.5

    Vehicles and other transport equipment-0.91.700.61.4

    Other5.588.899.7122.7316.7

    FDI by country

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Privatisation

    Greenfield investment and reinvested profits

    Total FDI

    FDI by year ($m)

    market cap

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FDI

    IT profs

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Operating costs

    1EUR1.95583

    BGNEUR

    Official market A12,641,073.40

    Official market B56,545,973.70

    Official market C147,380,246.55

    216,567,293.65110,729,099

    Unofficial market106,769,247,099.00

    106,985,814,392.6554,700,978,302

    Source:Global IT IQ Report of March 2002 of Brainbench, Inc.

    The data for the population is taken from the mid-2001 estimates of

    U.S. Census Bureau, International Database and The World Factbook, 2000.

    IT Certified Professionals in % of the Population

    (World Top 10 Countries)

    %Number

    Latvia0.1927%4597

    Estonia0.1443%2054

    Bulgaria0.1147%8844

    Singapore0.0828%3559

    Lithuania0.0823%2972

    Romania0.0721%16122

    United States0.0698%194211

    United Arab Emirates0.0617%1485

    Canada0.0607%19181

    Israel0.0533%3164

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    %

    Number

    194211

    Operational Costs in Bulgaria, 2002

    Monthly salary, EUR130

    Nominal salary growth, %7.3

    Social security, unemployment fund and health care contributions as % of monthly salary42.7 (75% payed by the employer)

    Corporate tax, %

    Aggregate rate, %23.5

    VAT, %20

    Price of arable land, year 2001, average EUR/1000 sq mile35-179

    Office rent in Sofia, average EUR/sq m/month25-35

    Apartment purchase price in Sofia, average EUR/sq m299

    Water charges for industrial use in Sofia, EUR/m0.13

    Water charges for household use in Sofia, EUR/m0.16

    Telephone installation charges, EUR51

    Telephone monthly subscription fee, EUR2.56/4.62

    International phone call EUR/min

    Europe0.31-0.41; 0.16-0.21

    USA0.74-0.20

    Electricity prices per kWh, including VAT

    Electricity for industrial use, EUR

    3 tariff-reading

    pick0.070

    day0.043

    night0.027

    2 tariff-reading

    day0.056

    night0.027

    Electricity for household use, EUR

    day0.050

    night0.027

  • GDP Structure (by Ownership, %)Source: National Statistics Institute

    Chart4

    55.944.1

    63.436.6

    62.437.6

    6436

    69.630.4

    71.728.3

    72.727.3

    8515

    Private

    Public

    85.0

    72.7

    71.7

    69.6

    64.0

    62.4

    63.4

    55.9

    15.0

    27.3

    28.3

    30.4

    36.0

    37.6

    36.6

    44.1

    GDP break-up by industry

    Structure of GDP by sector

    19961997199819992000200120022003F

    Private55.963.462.46469.671.772.785

    Public44.136.637.63630.428.327.315

  • Annual Inflation (%, Year-End, 1991-2003E) Source: National Statistics Institute

  • Inflation (%, Year-End)Source: Governmental Sources and National Statistics Institute

  • Unemployment (%, 01/1992-05/2003)Source: Employment Agency

  • Unemployment (%, 01/2001-05/2003)Source: Employment Agency

  • Base (Benchmark) Interest Rate(%, 01/1998-05/2003)Source: Bulgarian National Bank 2.96%

    Chart1

    0.0656

    0.0652

    0.064

    0.0627

    0.0607

    0.059

    0.0578

    0.0561

    0.0553

    0.0549

    0.0532

    0.0528

    0.0532

    0.0541

    0.0541

    0.0537

    0.0532

    0.0524

    0.0516

    0.0512

    0.0516

    0.052

    0.0516

    0.0512

    0.0508

    0.0512

    0.052

    0.0528

    0.0524

    0.0516

    0.0512

    0.0508

    0.0504

    0.0499

    0.0508

    0.0512

    0.0508

    0.0504

    0.0499

    0.0491

    0.0483

    0.0487

    0.0483

    0.0479

    0.0475

    0.0471

    0.0467

    0.0463

    0.0454

    0.0356

    0.045

    0.0446

    0.0442

    0.045

    0.0475

    0.0479

    0.0475

    0.0479

    0.0475

    0.0471

    0.0463

    0.045

    0.0446

    0.0442

    0.0446

    0.0442

    0.0426

    0.0413

    0.0393

    0.0368

    0.034

    0.0323

    0.0311

    0.0303

    0.0348

    0.0356

    0.0364

    0.036

    0.0364

    0.0356

    0.0348

    0.0344

    0.036

    0.0417

    0.0405

    0.0393

    0.0372

    0.0344

    0.0348

    0.0344

    0.0372

    0.0401

    0.0385

    0.0381

    0.0393

    0.0401

    0.0397

    0.0401

    0.0413

    0.0442

    0.0446

    0.045

    0.0471

    0.0467

    0.0458

    0.0454

    0.0463

    0.0453

    0.0429

    0.0396

    0.0421

    0.0415

    0.0424

    0.0436

    0.0439

    0.0447

    0.0447

    0.0447

    0.0447

    0.0455

    0.0459

    0.0475

    0.0468

    0.0476

    0.0463

    0.0479

    0.0465

    0.0478

    0.0454

    0.0443

    0.0408

    0.0392

    0.0371

    0.0367

    0.0379

    0.0375

    0.0371

    0.0371

    0.0331

    0.025

    0.0252

    0.0256

    0.0295

    0.0296

    RATE

    07.02.199145.00%05.02.199642.00%1/5/986.56%

    10.06.199152.00%06.03.199649.00%1/7/986.52%

    10.07.199147.00%26.04.199667.00%1/14/986.40%

    21.08.199154.00%10.05.1996108.00%1/21/986.27%

    06.07.199249.00%24.09.1996300.00%1/28/986.07%

    03.08.199245.00%18.10.1996240.00%2/4/985.90%

    15.09.199241.00%04.11.1996180.00%2/11/985.78%

    01.01.199347.00%28.01.1997198.00%2/18/985.61%

    22.02.199351.00%01.03.1997216.00%2/25/985.53%

    04.06.199348.00%07.04.1997205.68%3/4/985.49%

    23.08.199344.00%14.04.1997169.80%3/11/985.32%

    01.11.199347.00%21.04.199796.36%3/18/985.28%

    10.11.199352.00%28.04.199774.40%3/25/985.32%

    10.01.199456.00%12.05.199762.40%4/1/985.41%

    14.03.199462.00%19.05.199751.48%4/8/985.41%

    07.09.199472.00%26.05.199743.08%4/29/985.37%

    10.04.199565.00%02.06.199748.72%5/6/985.32%

    25.04.199560.00%09.06.199747.28%5/13/985.24%

    08.05.199554.00%16.06.199735.76%5/20/985.16%

    21.06.199548.00%23.06.199715.20%5/27/985.12%

    03.07.199544.00%30.06.199710.12%6/10/985.16%

    17.07.199539.00%07.07.19979.76%6/24/985.20%

    01.08.199534.00%14.07.19976.96%8/5/985.16%

    21.07.19976.12%8/19/985.12%

    28.07.19975.42%9/9/985.08%

    04.08.19975.50%10/14/985.12%

    11.08.19975.59%10/21/985.20%

    18.08.19975.70%10/28/985.28%

    25.08.19975.86%11/11/985.24%

    01.09.19975.98%11/18/985.16%

    08.09.19976.11%11/25/985.12%

    15.09.19976.23%12/2/985.08%

    22.09.19976.27%12/9/985.04%

    29.09.19976.03%12/16/984.99%

    06.10.19975.78%12/30/985.08%

    13.10.19975.53%1/6/995.12%

    20.10.19975.12%1/13/995.08%

    27.10.19974.87%1/27/995.04%

    03.11.19974.95%2/10/994.99%

    10.11.19975.45%2/17/994.91%

    17.11.19975.41%3/10/994.83%

    24.11.19975.90%3/17/994.87%

    01.12.19976.40%3/24/994.83%

    03.12.19976.94%3/31/994.79%

    10.12.19976.85%4/7/994.75%

    17.12.19976.77%4/14/994.71%

    29.12.19976.65%4/21/994.67%

    4/28/994.63%

    5/5/994.54%

    5/10/993.56%

    5/12/994.50%

    5/19/994.46%

    5/26/994.42%

    6/23/994.50%

    6/30/994.75%

    7/7/994.79%

    8/11/994.75%

    8/25/994.79%

    9/1/994.75%

    9/15/994.71%

    9/23/994.63%

    9/29/994.50%

    10/6/994.46%

    10/13/994.42%

    11/3/994.46%

    1/5/004.42%

    1/12/004.26%

    1/19/004.13%

    1/26/003.93%

    2/2/003.68%

    2/9/003.40%

    2/16/003.23%

    2/23/003.11%

    3/1/003.03%

    3/15/003.48%

    3/22/003.56%

    4/5/003.64%

    4/12/003.60%

    4/26/003.64%

    5/10/003.56%

    5/17/003.48%

    5/25/003.44%

    6/14/003.60%

    6/21/004.17%

    6/28/004.05%

    7/5/003.93%

    7/12/003.72%

    7/19/003.44%

    8/2/003.48%

    8/16/003.44%

    8/23/003.72%

    8/30/004.01%

    9/7/003.85%

    9/13/003.81%

    9/20/003.93%

    9/27/004.01%

    10/4/003.97%

    10/11/004.01%

    10/18/004.13%

    10/25/004.42%

    11/1/004.46%

    11/15/004.50%

    11/22/004.71%

    12/6/004.67%

    12/13/004.58%

    12/20/004.54%

    12/28/004.63%

    1/3/014.53%

    1/17/014.29%

    2/7/013.96%

    2/21/014.21%

    3/7/014.15%

    4/4/014.24%

    4/18/014.36%

    5/2/014.39%

    5/16/014.47%

    6/4/014.47%

    6/20/014.47%

    7/4/014.47%

    7/18/014.55%

    8/1/014.59%

    8/15/014.75%

    9/5/014.68%

    9/19/014.76%

    10/3/014.63%

    11/21/014.79%

    12/5/014.65%

    1/2/024.78%

    2/6/024.54%

    3/6/024.43%

    4/3/024.08%

    4/30/023.92%

    6/5/023.71%

    7/3/023.67%

    8/7/023.79%

    9/4/023.75%

    10/2/023.71%

    11/6/023.71%

    12/4/023.31%

    1/29/032.50%

    2/26/032.52%

    3/26/032.56%

    4/30/032.95%

    5/28/032.96%

  • Base (Benchmark) Interest Rate(%, Year-End)Source: Governmental Sources and Bulgarian National Bank

  • Budget Surplus/Deficit (% GDP)Source: Governmental Sources and Ministry of FinanceBulgariaCEE Countries (2002)

    Chart

    -0.0120.029

    0.0090.055

    -0.010.03

    -0.0110.032

    -0.0090.029

    -0.0070.028

    -0.0070.028

    00.032

    Budget surplus/deficit, % GDP

    Primary surplus, % GDP

    0.9

    -1.0

    -1.1.

    -0.9

    -0.7

    -0.7

    0.0

    -1.2

    2.9

    5.5

    3.0

    3.2

    2.9

    2.8

    2.8

    3.2

    Data

    1997-1.2%2.9%

    19980.9%5.5%

    1999-1.0%3.0%

    2000-1.1%3.2%

    2001-0.9%2.9%

    2002-0.7%2.8%

    2003F-0.7%2.8%

    2005F03.2%

    Chart1

    -0.065

    -0.052

    -0.049

    -0.048

    -0.035

    -0.025

    -0.02

    -0.007

    -0.7%

    -2.0%

    -2.5%

    -3.5%

    -4.8%

    -4.9%

    -5.2%

    -6.5%

    Data

    Croatia-6.5%

    Poland-5.2%

    Hungary-4.9%

    Slovakia-4.8%

    Romania-3.5%

    Slovenia-2.5%

    Czech Republic-2.0%

    Bulgaria-0.7%

  • Foreign Exchange Reserves (EUR m, 1998-2002)Source: Bulgarian National Bank

  • Foreign Debt (USD m, 1996-2002)Source: Bulgarian National Bank

  • Government Debt (% GDP, 1997-2002)Maastricht criterionSource: Ministry of Finance105.1%83.2%86.7%77.1%70.1%56%50%60%70%80%90%100%110%199719981999200020012002

  • Source: National Statistics InstituteAverage Monthly Salary (EUR, 01/2000-03/2003)

  • Source: AIMS Human Capital Bulgaria (2002)Low averageHigh averageGross Monthly Salary Levels (USD)

    Chart4

    27505300430050507500

    10002000220022004000

    6001500130020002500

    300300500550500

    Bulgaria

    Romania

    Czech Republic

    Hungary

    Poland

  • Low averageHigh averageSource: AIMS Human Capital BulgariaGross Monthly Salary Levels (USD)

    BG v Average-low avg

    27505616.6666666667

    10002800

    6001933.3333333333

    300516.6666666667

    Bulgaria

    Average for Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary

    salary data

    Average Salaries - low estimate

    BulgariaRomaniaCzech RepublicHungaryPolandAverage for Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary

    Chief Executive275053004300505075005617

    Top/Senior Management100020002200220040002800

    Mid Management60015001300200025001933

    Professional Staff300300500550500517

    Average Salaries - high estimate

    BulgariaRomaniaCzech RepublicHungaryPolandAverage for Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary

    Chief Executive275053004300505075005617

    Top/Senior Management150030003200400055004233

    Mid Management100025002250350040003250

    Professional Staff5208001200200015001567

    Source: Aims Human Capital Bulgaria

    BG v Average-high avg

    27505616.6666666667

    15004233.3333333333

    10003250

    5201566.6666666667

    Bulgaria

    Average for Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary

    salary data

    Average Salaries - high estimate

    BulgariaRomaniaCzech RepublicHungaryPolandAverage for Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary

    Chief Executive275053004300505075005617

    Top/Senior Management150030003200400055004233

    Mid Management100025002250350040003250

    Professional Staff5208001200200015001567

    Source: Aims Human Capital Bulgaria

  • Gross Capital Formation (% GDP, 1996-2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

  • Gross Capital Formation (BGN bn, 1997-2002)Gross Capital Formation (BGN bn, 1997-2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

  • Macroeconomic Indicators (1)Source: Ministry of Finance

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002E

    2003F

    GDP

    (BGN bn)

    14.43

    17.43

    22.42

    23.79

    26.75

    29.62

    32.32

    35.00

    Real GDP growth

    (%)

    -9.4

    -5.6

    4.0

    2.3

    5.4

    4.0

    4.8

    4.8

    Annual inflation

    (year-end, %)

    311.6

    547.7

    1.6

    7.0

    11.3

    4.8

    3.8

    4.0

    Budget deficit

    (% GDP)

    -10.4

    -3.0

    1.0

    -0.9

    -1.0

    -0.9

    -0.7

    -0.7

  • Macroeconomic Indicators (2)Source: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Economy and Bulgarian National Bank

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    Foreign debt

    (% GDP)

    97.0

    100.4

    85.5

    84.2

    88.9

    78.3

    70.6

    Balance of payments

    (USD m)

    -724

    1,205

    -95

    96

    137

    373

    715

    Current account

    (USD m)

    164

    1,046

    -61

    -652

    -702

    -842

    -677

    Current account

    (% GDP)

    1.7

    10.1

    -0.5

    -5.0

    -5.6

    -6.2

    -4.4

    Trade balance

    (USD m)

    122

    321

    -381

    -1,081

    -1,175

    -1,580

    -1,593

    Exports

    (USD m)

    4,689

    4,809

    4,193

    4,006

    4,825

    5,113

    5,688

    Imports

    (USD m)

    4,568

    4,488

    4,574

    5,087

    6,000

    6,693

    7,281

    Import coverage

    (months)

    1.5

    5.1

    6.1

    5.9

    5.4

    5.0

    6.1

    FDI

    (USD m)

    109

    505

    537

    819

    1,002

    813

    479

  • Taxation

  • Among the Lowest Taxes in EuropeCorporate tax23.5%0% in regions with high unemployment, 1/3 of the countrys territoryfast depreciation rates: 2 years for computers, 3 1/3 years for equipmentPersonal income taxhighest rate at 29%rates of 0, 15, 22, 26 and 29% (year 2003)Capital gains tax: 0%Interest income tax: 0%

  • 0% Corporate Profit Tax in 2003 (Green Regions)N.B.The list is solely based on unemployment figuresThe regions include industrial sites with developed infrastructure

  • Tax and Accounting ReformAdoption of International Accounting Standards (IAS) from 2003 for financial institutions and public companies and from 2005 for all other companiesIntroduction of 100% yearly depreciation for equipment for priority investment projectsCreation of a single State Revenues AgencyValue added tax (VAT)exemption for imports for investment projects over EUR5mgeneral tax refund time falls from 4 to 3 months45 days refund for export-oriented companiesexemption for software exportsregistration threshold falls to BGN50,000 from BGN75,000

  • Personal Income Tax Rates/Brackets (%, 1999-2005)Source: Ministry of Finance

  • Market Access & Foreign Trade

  • Preferential Market Access (1)WTO membership since 1996European Union Association AgreementEFTA AgreementCEFTA membershipFree Trade Area with Turkey, Macedonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Israel, and EstoniaSighed Free Trade Agreement with AlbaniaPending signature of a Free Trade Agreement with Moldova, Bosnia & Herzegovina, and Serbia & Montenegro

  • Preferential Market Access (2)European UnionEFTACEFTAOthers

    Pending FTAs:Bosnia & HerzegovinaSerbia & MontenegroMoldova

    Free Trade Agreement With:

  • Exports (by Region, %, 1995-2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

    Chart11

    39.38.317.93.911.918.8

    40.17.719.33.511.517.9

    44.24.617.63.213.616.7

    50.44.612.44.912.115.5

    52.17.994.412.414.1

    51.310.86.1415.212.5

    54.87.25.84.814.311.7

    55.66.44.55.414.711.5

    EU

    Balkan

    CIS

    CEFTA

    Other from OECD

    Other

    39.3

    40.1

    44.2

    50.4

    52.1

    51.3

    54.8

    55.6

    10.8

    8.3

    7.7

    7.9

    7.2

    4.6

    4.6

    6.4

    19.3

    17.6

    12.4

    5.8

    6.1

    17.9

    9.0

    4.5

    4.8

    4.0

    4.4

    4.9

    3.2

    3.5

    3.9

    5.4

    11.9

    11.5

    13.6

    12.1

    12.4

    15.2

    14.3

    14.7

    11.7

    12.5

    14.1

    15.5

    16.7

    17.9

    18.8

    11.5

    External Sector

    19951996199719981999200020012002

    EU39.340.144.250.452.151.354.855.6

    Balkan8.37.74.64.67.910.87.26.4

    CIS17.919.317.612.496.15.84.5

    CEFTA3.93.53.24.94.444.85.4

    Other from OECD11.911.513.612.112.415.214.314.7

    Other18.817.916.715.514.112.511.711.5

  • Imports (by Region, %, 1995-2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

    Chart10

    37.31.335.54.15.815.9

    35.81.5364.55.117.1

    37.11.333.74.97.215.7

    45.21.524.95.58.114.7

    48.40.823.56.4813

    440.827.88.77.511.1

    49.40.623.77.67.99.5

    50.20.718.57.38.913.1

    EU

    Balkan

    CIS

    CEFTA

    Other from OECD

    Other

    50.2

    49.4

    48.4

    45.2

    37.1

    35.8

    37.3

    44.0

    0.7

    1.3

    0.8

    1.5

    0.8

    0.6

    1.5

    1.3

    18.5

    23.5

    24.9

    33.7

    36.0

    23.7

    27.8

    35.5

    7.3

    7.6

    8.7

    6.4

    5.5

    4.9

    4.5

    4.1

    8.9

    8.1

    8.0

    5.8

    5.1

    7.2

    7.5

    7.9

    13.1

    9.5

    11.1

    13.0

    14.7

    15.7

    17.1

    15.9

    External Sector

    Imports by region

    19951996199719981999200020012002

    EU37.335.837.145.248.44449.450.2

    Balkan1.31.51.31.50.80.80.60.7

    CIS35.53633.724.923.527.823.718.5

    CEFTA4.14.54.95.56.48.77.67.3

    Other from OECD5.85.17.28.187.57.98.9

    Other15.917.115.714.71311.19.513.1

    99.910099.999.9100.199.998.798.7

    MBD00008CFD.xls

    Chart10

    37.31.335.54.15.815.9

    35.81.5364.55.117.1

    37.11.333.74.97.215.7

    45.21.524.95.58.114.7

    48.40.823.56.4813

    440.827.88.77.511.1

    49.40.623.77.67.99.5

    51.10.818.67.38.313.9

    51.1

    49.4

    48.4

    45.2

    37.1

    35.8

    37.3

    44.0

    0.8

    1.3

    0.8

    1.5

    0.8

    0.6

    1.5

    1.3

    18.6

    23.5

    24.9

    33.7

    36.0

    23.7

    27.8

    35.5

    7.3

    7.6

    8.7

    6.4

    5.5

    4.9

    4.5

    4.1

    8.3

    8.1

    8.0

    5.8

    5.1

    7.2

    7.5

    7.9

    13.9

    9.5

    11.1

    13.0

    14.7

    15.7

    17.1

    15.9

    Companies with FDI

    Information & Communication TechnologiesInformation & Communication Technologies

    CountryCompanyInvestmentForeign Firms with Investments in Bulgaria

    AustriaMOBILTEL HOLDING GmbH

    GreeceINTRACOM

    GreeceOTE

    NetherlandsGLOBAL ONE HOLDING

    UKCABLE AND WIRELESS

    USARILA SOLUTIONS

    Energy Sector

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    USAACCESS INTERNATIONAL

    USAENERGY

    Transport and Logistics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    AustriaFRANZ WELZ

    AustriaSCHENKER

    AustriaVAE

    GermanyWILLI BETZ

    HungaryINTERLICHTER

    SwitzerlandM + M MILITSER INTERNATIONAL

    Tourism

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    CyprusCLASMAN ENTERPRISES

    GermanyC&N TOURISTIC AG

    GreeceGOODYS

    ItalyAUTO RICAMBI SRL

    SwitzerlandZURICH INVEST

    TurkeyPRINCESS HOLDING GROUP

    USAHILTON INTERNATIONAL

    USAMcDONALDS

    Food processing, Beverages and Tobacco Industry

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumINTERBREW

    CyprusSOFTBUL INVESTMENT

    GreeceBREWINVEST

    GreeceCHIPITA INTERNATIONAL

    GreeceDELTA

    GreeceTKM FRUIT AND JUICE

    FranceDANONE

    LuxembourgKLARINA HOLDING

    NetherlandsEASTSTRACH

    NetherlandsPROVIMI

    PortugalVINPROM SERVICE KORK

    SwitzerlandNESTLE

    UKBOYAR INTERNATIONAL

    UKLUXCRAFT

    UKUNIBUL WINES

    USAKRAFT FOODS INTERNATIONAL

    USASEABORD OVERSEAS

    Textile and Apparel

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    GermanyHAINER & PETER ROESLER

    GermanyROLLMANN

    IrelandMARLAND INTERNATIONAL LTD.

    ItalyMIROGLIO

    ItalySALVADORI

    NetherlandsBRANDEX

    TurkeyMASER

    Electrical Engineering and Electronics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumEPIQ GROUP

    Czech RepublicPRAMET

    FranceSCHNEIDER ELECTRIC

    GermanyFESTO

    GermanyLIEBHERR

    GermanySIEMENS

    GermanySPARKY TRADING

    HungaryVIDEOTON HOLDING

    KoreaHYUNDAI

    Switzerland, SwedenASEA BROWN BOVERI

    USAMICHIGAN MAGNETICS

    bgdream:check RADISSON SASWhat company is that?

    GDP break-up by industry

    National Statistic Institute, 2001

    Economic Sectors

    Agriculture and Forestry:

    Agriculture

    Forestry

    Industry:

    Mining

    Manufacturing

    Electricity, Gas and Water Supply

    Construction

    Services:

    Structure of GDP

    199619971998199920002001

    Agriculture and Forestry15.126.218.816.313.913.6

    Industry30.727.930.528.229.128.5

    Services54.245.950.755.55757.9

    Total100100100100100100

    1995199619971998199920002001

    39.340.144.250.452.151.354.8

    8.37.74.64.67.910.87.2

    17.919.317.612.496.15.8

    3.93.53.24.94.444.8

    11.911.513.612.112.415.214.3

    18.817.916.715.514.112.511.7

    Structure of GDP by sector

    199619971998199920002001

    Private55.963.462.46469.671.7

    Public44.136.637.63630.428.3

    1995199619971998199920002001

    37.335.837.145.248.44449.4

    1.31.51.31.50.80.80.6

    35.53633.724.923.527.823.7

    4.14.54.95.56.48.77.6

    5.85.17.28.187.57.9

    15.917.115.714.71311.19.5

    GDP break-up by industry

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Agriculture and Forestry

    Industry

    Services

    Other secs by country

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Private

    Public

    FDI by country

    Other FDI Sectors and Foreign Firms in Bulgaria

    IndustryCountryInvestors

    Chemical IndustryFranceFRANCE ARNE

    RussiaLUKOIL PETROL

    BelgiumSOLVAY

    USAWHITEBEAM HOLDING

    MetallurgyGreeceHALKOR

    BelgiumUMICORE

    GreeceVIOHALKO

    Building MaterialsAustriaBRAMACK DACHSYSTEME

    SwitzerlandKERAMIK HOLDING

    AustriaKNAUF

    GermanyYTONG

    Cement IndustryFranceCEMENT FRANCAIS

    GermanyHEIDELBERGER ZEMENT

    TradeGreeceENA

    AustriaEUROBILLA

    GermanyMETRO

    TurkeyMIGROS TURK T.A.S.

    AustriaOMV

    UKSHELL

    market cap

    Foreign Direct Investment by Country till 2001 ($m)

    Country

    Denmark5.8

    Japan9.1

    Sweden10.3

    Czech10.5

    Malta11.2

    Liechtenstein12

    Israel17.5

    Hungary18.8

    Ireland23

    Luxemburg57.6

    Korea59.8

    Switzerland105.9

    France123.7

    Turkey128.5

    Spain129.8

    United Kingdom196

    Netherlands204.8

    Russia205.3

    Cyprus267.2

    USA277

    Austria351.2

    Belgium415.9

    Italy451.4

    Greece541.7

    Germany563.2

    source: Foreign Direct Investment Agency

    PrivatisationGreenfield investment and reinvested profitsTotal FDI

    1992034.434.4

    19932280.4102.4

    1994134.276.7210.9

    199526136.6162.6

    199676.4180256.4

    1997421.4214.8636.2

    1998155.8464.2620

    1999226.7592.1818.8

    2000366635.51001.5

    200119670689

    2002E800

    Overall FDI by sector in %

    Financial intermediation* 44%4.4

    Post & telecoms 28%28

    Basic metals 8.7%8.7

    Trade 3.8%3.8

    Construction 3.1%3.1

    Coal, refined petrolemum products & nuclear fuel 1.8%1.8

    Offer (small sectors) 50.2%50.2

    100

    Total Direct Investment by sector and year $m

    Sector1998199920002001*TotalSector1998199920002001*Total by sectors

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9

    Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6

    Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7

    Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6

    Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6

    Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773

    Construction6.36.512.718.844.3Other465.9

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.88.125.7

    Leather and leather products0.7021.20.222.1

    Electriciti, gas and water0018.70.819.5

    Agriculture, foresrty and fishing0.12.410.71.314.5

    Publishing00.20.38.48.9

    Transport6.2-11.710.12.77.3

    Mining02.702.85.5

    Vehicles and other transport equipment-0.91.700.61.4

    Other5.588.899.7122.7316.7

    market cap

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Privatisation

    Greenfield investment and reinvested profits

    Total FDI

    FDI by year ($m)

    IT profs

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FDI

    Money matters

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    External Sector

    1EUR1.95583

    BGNEUR

    Official market A12,641,073.40

    Official market B56,545,973.70

    Official market C147,380,246.55

    216,567,293.65110,729,099

    Unofficial market106,769,247,099.00

    106,985,814,392.6554,700,978,302

    Operating costs

    Source:Global IT IQ Report of March 2002 of Brainbench, Inc.

    The data for the population is taken from the mid-2001 estimates of

    U.S. Census Bureau, International Database and The World Factbook, 2000.

    IT Certified Professionals in % of the Population

    (World Top 10 Countries)

    %Number

    Latvia0.1927%4597

    Estonia0.1443%2054

    Bulgaria0.1147%8844

    Singapore0.0828%3559

    Lithuania0.0823%2972

    Romania0.0721%16122

    United States0.0698%194211

    United Arab Emirates0.0617%1485

    Canada0.0607%19181

    Israel0.0533%3164

    Operating costs

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    %

    Number

    194211

    Inflation by month

    Periods199719981999200020012002

    January2.10%2.40%2.40%0.60%2.70%

    February1.30%-0.70%1.10%0.30%1.60%

    March0.20%-1.00%-0.30%0.50%0.80%

    April0.40%-0.60%-1.00%-0.20%-0.10%

    May-1.70%-0.90%0.10%0.10%-2.10%

    June1.40%-3.50%-0.90%0.20%-0.10%

    July2.50%-0.70%3.40%0.60%-0.20%

    August5.50%0.30%0.70%3.00%0.30%

    September3.80%3.20%1.50%2.20%1.30%

    October0.80%0.30%1.10%1.20%1.70%

    November1.00%-0.50%0.50%0.80%0.20%

    December0.20%0.40%1.30%0.40%0.60%

    Foreign Debt Payments

    199619971998199920002001

    Payed principal598.5457.4665560.6655994.3

    Payed interest480.4439.7529.8484.6515.3526.9

    ???199619971998199920002001III.20022002

    Foreign debt (USD mln)9601.610408.510891.910913.911201.81061610398.310200

    199619971998199920002001III.2002

    Short-term as % of Gross Foreign Debt10.717.514.511.612.911.410.9

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Inflation

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Payed principal

    Payed interest

    19951996199719981999200020012002

    EU39.340.144.250.452.151.354.854.8

    Balkan8.37.74.64.67.910.87.27.2

    CIS17.919.317.612.496.15.85.8

    CEFTA3.93.53.24.94.444.84.8

    Other from OECD11.911.513.612.112.415.214.314.3

    Other18.817.916.715.514.112.511.711.7

    19951996199719981999200020012002

    EU39.340.144.250.452.151.354.854.8

    Balkan8.37.74.64.67.910.87.27.2

    CIS17.919.317.612.496.15.85.8

    CEFTA3.93.53.24.94.444.84.8

    Other from OECD11.911.513.612.112.415.214.314.3

    Other18.817.916.715.514.112.511.711.7

    Imports by region

    19951996199719981999200020012002

    37.335.837.145.248.44449.451.1

    1.31.51.31.50.80.80.60.8

    35.53633.724.923.527.823.718.6

    4.14.54.95.56.48.77.67.3

    5.85.17.28.187.57.98.3

    15.917.115.714.71311.19.513.9

    99.910099.999.9100.199.998.7100

    39.38.317.93.911.918.8

    40.17.719.33.511.517.9

    44.24.617.63.213.616.7

    50.44.612.44.912.115.5

    52.17.994.412.414.1

    51.310.86.1415.212.5

    54.87.25.84.814.311.7

    54.87.25.84.814.311.7

    EU

    Balkan

    CIS

    CEFTA

    Other from OECD

    Other

    37.31.335.54.15.815.9

    35.81.5364.55.117.1

    37.11.333.74.97.215.7

    45.21.524.95.58.114.7

    48.40.823.56.4813

    440.827.88.77.511.1

    49.40.623.77.67.99.5

    Operational Costs in Bulgaria, 2002

    Monthly salary, EUR130

    Nominal salary growth, %7.3

    Social security, unemployment fund and health care contributions as % of monthly salary42.7 (75% payed by the employer)

    Corporate tax, %

    Aggregate rate, %23.5

    VAT, %20

    Price of arable land, year 2001, average EUR/1000 sq mile35-179

    Office rent in Sofia, average EUR/sq m/month25-35

    Apartment purchase price in Sofia, average EUR/sq m299

    Water charges for industrial use in Sofia, EUR/m0.13

    Water charges for household use in Sofia, EUR/m0.16

    Telephone installation charges, EUR51

    Telephone monthly subscription fee, EUR2.56/4.62

    International phone call EUR/min

    Europe0.31-0.41; 0.16-0.21

    USA0.74-0.20

    Electricity prices per kWh, including VAT

    Electricity for industrial use, EUR

    3 tariff-reading

    pick0.070

    day0.043

    night0.027

    2 tariff-reading

    day0.056

    night0.027

    Electricity for household use, EUR

    day0.050

    night0.027

  • Exports (by Country, %, 1999-2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

    Chart1

    13.914.31515.4

    9.99.19.59.5

    7.310.28.19.3

    8.67.88.89.2

    4.54.85.75.3

    4.46.14.94.8

    3.73.95.64.7

    2.72.13.33.4

    2.52.42.62.9275004435

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2.9

    3.4

    4.7

    4.8

    5.3

    9.2

    9.3

    9.5

    15.4

    Sheet2

    Structure of Bulgarian Exports (Country, %, 1999 - 2002)

    1999200020012002

    Italy13.914.31515.4

    Germany9.99.19.59.5

    Turkey7.310.28.19.3

    Greece8.67.88.89.2

    France4.54.85.75.3

    Belgium4.46.14.94.8

    USA3.73.95.64.7

    Spain2.72.13.33.4

    UK2.52.42.62.9

  • Bulgarian Export Growth (%, 1996-2002)Source: Bulgarian National Bank

  • Bulgarian Exports(by Commodity Groups, 2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

  • Bulgarian Imports(by Commodity Groups, 2002)Source: National Statistics Institute

  • Current and Trade Account Deficit/Surplus(% GDP)Source: Governmental Sources and Bulgarian National BankBulgariaCEE Countries (2002)

    Chart1

    -9

    -6.9

    -4.8

    -4.7

    -4.4

    -4.4

    -3.8

    -1.4

    Data

    Slovakia-9.0

    Croatia-6.9

    Hungary-4.8

    Romania-4.7

    Czech Republic-4.4

    Bulgaria-4.4

    Poland-3.8

    Slovenia-1.4

  • Foreign Trade with the European Union(USD bn, 2001-2005F)

    EU

    2.7993.583

    3.1163.925

    3.39754.2282

    3.78054.3432

    4.01844.4572

    Exports (fob)

    Imports (cif)

    Sheet1 (2)

    EU

    200120022003F2004F2005F

    Exports (fob)2.7993.1163.39753.78054.0184

    Imports (cif)3.5833.9254.22824.34324.4572

    0.0027990.0031160.00339750.00378050.0040184

    0.0035830.0039250.00422820.00434320.0044572

    0

  • Foreign Trade Projections Up to 2005Improving trade balance trade deficit to drop from USD1.3 m in 2001 to USD0.9 mExports will continue to grow, reaching a 29% increase compared to 2002Imports will continue to grow, reaching a 14% increase compared to 2002Exports/imports ratio will increase to 0.82 (from a current value of 0.74)No major changes in commodity groups relative shares of exports and imports

  • FDI and Business Climate

  • Foreign Direct Investment(USD m, 1992-2002)Source: Bulgarian Foreign Investment Agency

  • Inflow of Foreign Investment (by Sector, % and USD m, 1998-2002)Source: Bulgarian Foreign Investment Agency

    Chart1

    876.4

    528.4

    340.5

    271

    255.3

    163

    148.7

    137

    120.2

    118.9

    111.4

    88.5

    80.2

    544.3

    Wood products, paper3%. 119

    Hotels and restaurants3%. 111

    Real estate and business activities2%. 80

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment2%. 89

    Mechanical products4%. 149

    Textile and clothing3%. 120

    Food products4%. 137

    Mineral products 7%. 255

    Metallurgy4%. 163

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products7%. 271

    Telecommunications9%. 341

    Trade and repairs14%. 528

    Financial activities24%. 876

    Sheet1

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.2114.6135.7876.4

    Trade and repairs177.412489.5117.819.7528.4

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9248.839.5340.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.1-9.52.2271

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.427.7-2.2255.3

    Metallurgy13.272.217.181-20.5163

    Mechanical products21.31864.713.231.5148.7

    Food products31.532.711.737.423.7137

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.357.75.7120.2

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.12.915.7118.9

    Hotels and restaurants26.840.520.817.95.4111.4

    Electrical eng,, electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.628.214.388.5

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.822.64080.2

    Other5.588.893.256.363.7544.3

    Sheet2

    Sheet3

    MBD0005073D.xls

    Chart4

    688.9

    462.5

    289.8

    249.2

    229.6

    139.7

    120.6

    118.8

    105.6

    104.8

    90.5

    73

    465.9

    Hotels and restaurants3%. 105

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products9%. 290

    Metallurgy4%. 140

    Telecom7%. 230

    Mechanical products4%. 121

    Food products4%. 119

    Wood products, paper3%. 106

    Mineral products 8%. 249

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment2%. 73

    Textile and clothing3%. 91

    Other15%. 466

    Financial activities22%. 689

    Trade and repairs15%. 463

    FDI by country

    Sector1998199920002001*TotalSector1998199920002001*Total by sectors

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9

    Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6

    Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7

    Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6

    Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6

    Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8Hotels and restaurants26.840.520.816.7104.8

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773

    Construction6.36.512.718.844.3Other465.9

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.88.125.7

    Leather and leather products0.7021.20.222.1

    Electriciti, gas and water0018.70.819.5

    Agriculture, foresrty and fishing0.12.410.71.314.5

    Publishing00.20.38.48.9

    Transport6.2-11.710.12.77.3

    Mining02.702.85.5

    Vehicles and other transport equipment-0.91.700.61.4

    Other5.588.899.7122.7316.7

    FDI by country

    688.9

    462.5

    289.8

    249.2

    229.6

    139.7

    120.6

    118.8

    105.6

    104.8

    90.5

    73

    0

  • Inflow of Foreign Investment by Country(USD m, 1992-2002)Source: Bulgarian Foreign Investment Agency

    Chart4

    115

    128.8

    131.4

    161.4

    201.1

    201.6

    251.1

    266.7

    300.6

    435.8

    482.2

    556.9

    623.3

    652.1

    FDI

    FDI by country

    Foreign Direct Investment by Country till 2001 ($m)

    Country

    Denmark5.8

    Japan9.1

    Sweden10.3

    Czech10.5

    Malta11.2

    Liechtenstein12

    Israel17.5

    Hungary18.8

    Ireland23

    Luxemburg57.6

    Korea59.8

    (14) Spain115

    (13) Turkey128.8

    (12) France131.4

    (11) Switzerland161.4

    (10) Russia201.1

    (9) United Kingdom201.6

    (8) Netherlands251.1

    (7) Cyprus266.7

    (6) USA300.6

    (5) Austria435.8

    (4) Belgium482.2

    (3) Italy556.9

    (2) Germany623.3

    (1) Greece652.1

    source: Foreign Direct Investment Agency

    FDI by country

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    FDI

    0

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    1

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    MBD00213F8B.xls

  • Privatisation (1)Privatisation Lawcompletely new law embodying new philosophystate-owned stakes in some 1,600 enterprises are declared open for privatisationno preferences for employee-management buyoutslimited deferred paymentsconcentration of privatisation process in a specialised body-the Privatisation Agencynew Post-Privatisation Control Agency

  • Privatisation (2)Privatisation achievements (2002)Biochim BankDZI (insurance)Privatisation achievements (2003)DSK Bank12.8% Bulgartabac on the stock exchangeForthcoming major deals (2003)BTC (telecommunications)Electricity distribution companiesBulgartabac

  • Privatisation Revenues(EUR m, 1997-2002)Source: Privatisation Agency

    Chart5

    3090

    2560

    4090

    4120

    3420

    2190

    Privatisation Revenue

    Privatisation

    All Privatisation Entities, In BGN m

    199719981999200020012002

    Privatisation Revenue309256409412342219

    000000

    Privatisation Agency, In BGN m

    199719981999200020012002

    Privatisation Revenue52724547829428489

    Privatisation

    320264

    654435

    631580

    429160

    17258

    4917

    Whole enterprisese

    Specific parts

    0

    0

    Enterprises shares

    Specific parts

    Number of Deals

    01/01-09/04/2001

    01/01-09/04/2001

    09/05/2001-05/31/2002

    09/05/2001-05/31/2002

    28

    97

    47

    124

    Payments in $m

    Payments in BGN m

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Privatisation Revenue

    309

    256

    409

    412

    342

    219

    Privatisation Revenue

  • Business Climate and Reduction ofBureaucracy (1)In June 2003, the Parliament approved the removal of 20.5% (c. 74 out of 360) of the existing licensing, permit and registration regimes, and for the simplification of another 33% (c. 120 out of 360) of themAbout half of the changes have already been implementedA new Law on Administrative regulation and control of commercial activity became in law in June 2003 establishing the new registration and permit regimes and reducing the bureaucracy in the business environment

  • Business Climate and Reduction ofBureaucracy (2)An upsweep in the activity of the courts with regard to companiesAccording to Transparency International data, in the period 1998-2001 Bulgaria has moved from the 66th to the 47th place in the list based on the international index of corruption perceptions

  • International Corruption Indicators* Higher figures show improvementTransparency International Index WEF Corruption Subindex RankingSource: Transparency International, World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Report 2002-2003

  • EducationBulgarias secondary education is among the best in the world in recent years: 5th in the world in sciences, 11th in mathematics in late 90sBulgarians rank second in international IQ tests (MENSA International)Bulgarians are among the top university students worldwide (2nd in the world in SAT scores)Many students abroadA top-quality MBA (Master of Business Administration) program started in 2003

  • IT Certified Professionals(Top 10 Countries in % of Population) Source: Global IT IQ Report of March 2002 of Brainbench, Inc. The data for the population is taken from the mid-2001 estimates of U.S. Census Bureau, International Database and The World Factbook, 2000

    Chart10

    0.0019274597

    0.0014432054

    0.0011478844

    0.0008283559

    0.0008232972

    0.00072116122

    0.000698194211

    0.0006171485

    0.00060719181

    0.0005333164

    %

    Number

    194211

    IT profs

    IT Certified Professionals in % of the Population

    (World Top 10 Countries)

    %Number

    Latvia0.1927%4597

    Estonia0.1443%2054

    Bulgaria0.1147%8844

    Singapore0.0828%3559

    Lithuania0.0823%2972

    Romania0.0721%16122

    United States0.0698%194211

    United Arab Emirates0.0617%1485

    Canada0.0607%19181

    Israel0.0533%3164

    IT profs

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    %

    Number

    194211

  • Electronics & Electrical EngineeringStrategic sector with priority in long-term development programsPotential for more than 200 enterprises with possible specialisation in:Electrical engineering, Computer and office facilities, Electronics, Radio engineering and communication equipment, Household appliances, Defense industrySource: Bulgarian Foreign Investment Agency

    Companies with FDI

    Information & Communication TechnologiesInformation & Communication Technologies

    CountryCompanyInvestmentForeign Firms with Investments in Bulgaria

    AustriaMOBILTEL HOLDING GmbH

    GreeceINTRACOM

    GreeceOTE

    NetherlandsGLOBAL ONE HOLDING

    UKCABLE AND WIRELESS

    USARILA SOLUTIONS

    Energy Sector

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    USAACCESS INTERNATIONAL

    USAENERGY

    Transport and Logistics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    AustriaFRANZ WELZ

    AustriaSCHENKER

    AustriaVAE

    GermanyWILLI BETZ

    HungaryINTERLICHTER

    SwitzerlandM + M MILITSER INTERNATIONAL

    Tourism

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    CyprusCLASMAN ENTERPRISES

    GermanyC&N TOURISTIC AG

    GreeceGOODYS

    ItalyAUTO RICAMBI SRL

    SwitzerlandZURICH INVEST

    TurkeyPRINCESS HOLDING GROUP

    USAHILTON INTERNATIONAL

    USAMcDONALDS

    Food processing, Beverages and Tobacco Industry

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumINTERBREW

    CyprusSOFTBUL INVESTMENT

    GreeceBREWINVEST

    GreeceCHIPITA INTERNATIONAL

    GreeceDELTA

    GreeceTKM FRUIT AND JUICE

    FranceDANONE

    LuxembourgKLARINA HOLDING

    NetherlandsEASTSTRACH

    NetherlandsPROVIMI

    PortugalVINPROM SERVICE KORK

    SwitzerlandNESTLE

    UKBOYAR INTERNATIONAL

    UKLUXCRAFT

    UKUNIBUL WINES

    USAKRAFT FOODS INTERNATIONAL

    USASEABORD OVERSEAS

    Textile and Apparel

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    GermanyHAINER & PETER ROESLER

    GermanyROLLMANN

    IrelandMARLAND INTERNATIONAL LTD.

    ItalyMIROGLIO

    ItalySALVADORI

    NetherlandsBRANDEX

    TurkeyMASER

    Electrical Engineering and Electronics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumEPIQ GROUP

    Czech RepublicPRAMET

    FranceSCHNEIDER ELECTRIC

    GermanyFESTO

    GermanyLIEBHERR

    GermanySIEMENS

    GermanySPARKY TRADING

    HungaryVIDEOTON HOLDING

    KoreaHYUNDAI

    Switzerland, SwedenASEA BROWN BOVERI

    USAMICHIGAN MAGNETICS

    bgdream:check RADISSON SASWhat company is that?

    Other secs by country

    Other FDI Sectors and Foreign Firms in Bulgaria

    IndustryCountryInvestors

    Chemical IndustryFranceFRANCE ARNE

    RussiaLUKOIL PETROL

    BelgiumSOLVAY

    USAWHITEBEAM HOLDING

    MetallurgyGreeceHALKOR

    BelgiumUMICORE

    GreeceVIOHALKO

    Building MaterialsAustriaBRAMACK DACHSYSTEME

    SwitzerlandKERAMIK HOLDING

    AustriaKNAUF

    GermanyYTONG

    Cement IndustryFranceCEMENT FRANCAIS

    GermanyHEIDELBERGER ZEMENT

    TradeGreeceENA

    AustriaEUROBILLA

    GermanyMETRO

    TurkeyMIGROS TURK T.A.S.

    AustriaOMV

    UKSHELL

    FDI by country

    Foreign Direct Investment by Country till 2001 ($m)

    Country

    Germany563.2

    Greece541.7

    Italy451.4

    Belgium415.9

    Austria351.2

    USA277

    Cyprus267.2

    Russia205.3

    Netherlands204.8

    United Kingdom196

    Spain129.8

    Turkey128.5

    France123.7

    Switzerland105.9

    PrivatisationGreenfield investment and reinvested profitsTotal FDI

    1992034.434.4

    19932280.4102.4

    1994134.276.7210.9

    199526136.6162.6

    199676.4180256.4

    1997421.4214.8636.2

    1998155.8464.2620

    1999226.7592.1818.8

    2000366635.51001.5

    200119670689

    2002E800

    Overall FDI by sector in %

    Financial intermediation* 44%4.4

    Post & telecoms 28%28

    Basic metals 8.7%8.7

    Trade 3.8%3.8

    Construction 3.1%3.1

    Coal, refined petrolemum products & nuclear fuel 1.8%1.8

    Offer (small sectors) 50.2%50.2

    100

    Total Direct Investment by sector and year $m

    Sector1998199920002001*Total by sectorsSector1998199920002001*Total by sectors

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9

    Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6

    Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7

    Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6

    Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6

    Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773

    Construction6.36.512.718.844.3Other465.9

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.88.125.7

    Leather and leather products0.7021.20.222.1

    Electriciti, gas and water0018.70.819.5

    Agriculture, foresrty and fishing0.12.410.71.314.5

    Publishing00.20.38.48.9

    Transport6.2-11.710.12.77.3

    Mining02.702.85.5

    Vehicles and other transport equipment-0.91.700.61.4

    Other5.588.899.7122.7316.7

    FDI by country

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Privatisation

    Greenfield investment and reinvested profits

    Total FDI

    FDI by year ($m)

    market cap

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FDI

    FDI by country ($m)

    IT profs

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Operating costs

    1EUR1.95583

    BGNEUR

    Official market A12,641,073.40

    Official market B56,545,973.70

    Official market C147,380,246.55

    216,567,293.65110,729,099

    Unofficial market106,769,247,099.00

    106,985,814,392.6554,700,978,302

    IT Certified Professionals in % of the Population

    (World Top 10 Countries)

    %Number

    Latvia0.1927%4597

    Estonia0.1443%2054

    Bulgaria0.1147%8844

    Singapore0.0828%3559

    Lithuania0.0823%2972

    Romania0.0721%16122

    United States0.0698%194211

    United Arab Emirates0.0617%1485

    Canada0.0607%19181

    Israel0.0533%3164

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    Operational Costs in Bulgaria, 2002

    Monthly salary, EUR130

    Nominal salary growth, %7.3

    Social security, unemployment fund and health care contributions as % of monthly salary42.7 (75% payed by the employer)

    Corporate tax, %

    Aggregate rate, %23.5

    VAT, %20

    Price of arable land, year 2001, average EUR/1000 sq mile35-179

    Office rent in Sofia, average EUR/sq m/month25-35

    Apartment purchase price in Sofia, average EUR/sq m299

    Water charges for industrial use in Sofia, EUR/m0.13

    Water charges for household use in Sofia, EUR/m0.16

    Telephone installation charges, EUR51

    Telephone monthly subscription fee, EUR2.56/4.62

    International phone call EUR/min

    Europe0.31-0.41; 0.16-0.21

    USA0.74-0.20

    Electricity prices per kWh, including VAT

    Electricity for industrial use, EUR

    3 tariff-reading

    pick0.070

    day0.043

    night0.027

    2 tariff-reading

    day0.056

    night0.027

    Electricity for household use, EUR

    day0.050

    night0.027

    Chart2

    73

    3065.9

    Companies with FDI

    Information & Communication TechnologiesInformation & Communication Technologies

    CountryCompanyInvestmentForeign Firms with Investments in Bulgaria

    AustriaMOBILTEL HOLDING GmbH

    GreeceINTRACOM

    GreeceOTE

    NetherlandsGLOBAL ONE HOLDING

    UKCABLE AND WIRELESS

    USARILA SOLUTIONS

    Energy Sector

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    USAACCESS INTERNATIONAL

    USAENERGY

    Transport and Logistics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    AustriaFRANZ WELZ

    AustriaSCHENKER

    AustriaVAE

    GermanyWILLI BETZ

    HungaryINTERLICHTER

    SwitzerlandM + M MILITSER INTERNATIONAL

    Tourism

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    SwedenRADISSON SAS

    CyprusCLASMAN ENTERPRISES

    GermanyC&N TOURISTIC AG

    GreeceGOODYS

    ItalyAUTO RICAMBI SRL

    SwitzerlandZURICH INVEST

    TurkeyPRINCESS HOLDING GROUP

    USAHILTON INTERNATIONAL

    USAMcDONALDS

    Food processing, Beverages and Tobacco Industry

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumINTERBREW

    CyprusSOFTBUL INVESTMENT

    GreeceBREWINVEST

    GreeceCHIPITA INTERNATIONAL

    GreeceDELTA

    GreeceTKM FRUIT AND JUICE

    FranceDANONE

    LuxembourgKLARINA HOLDING

    NetherlandsEASTSTRACH

    NetherlandsPROVIMI

    PortugalVINPROM SERVICE KORK

    SwitzerlandNESTLE

    UKBOYAR INTERNATIONAL

    UKLUXCRAFT

    UKUNIBUL WINES

    USAKRAFT FOODS INTERNATIONAL

    USASEABORD OVERSEAS

    Textile and Apparel

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    GermanyHAINER & PETER ROESLER

    GermanyROLLMANN

    IrelandMARLAND INTERNATIONAL LTD.

    ItalyMIROGLIO

    ItalySALVADORI

    NetherlandsBRANDEX

    TurkeyMASER

    Electrical Engineering and Electronics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumEPIQ GROUP

    Czech RepublicPRAMET

    FranceSCHNEIDER ELECTRIC

    GermanyFESTO

    GermanyLIEBHERR

    GermanySIEMENS

    GermanySPARKY TRADING

    HungaryVIDEOTON HOLDING

    KoreaHYUNDAI

    Switzerland, SwedenASEA BROWN BOVERI

    USAMICHIGAN MAGNETICS

    bgdream:check RADISSON SASWhat company is that?

    GDP break-up by industry

    National Statistic Institute, 2001

    Economic Sectors

    Agriculture and Forestry:

    Agriculture

    Forestry

    Industry:

    Mining

    Manufacturing

    Electricity, Gas and Water Supply

    Construction

    Services:

    Structure of GDP

    199619971998199920002001

    Agriculture and Forestry15.126.218.816.313.913.6

    Industry30.727.930.528.229.128.5

    Services54.245.950.755.55757.9

    Total100100100100100100

    1995199619971998199920002001

    39.340.144.250.452.151.354.8

    8.37.74.64.67.910.87.2

    17.919.317.612.496.15.8

    3.93.53.24.94.444.8

    11.911.513.612.112.415.214.3

    18.817.916.715.514.112.511.7

    Structure of GDP by sector

    199619971998199920002001

    Private55.963.462.46469.671.7

    Public44.136.637.63630.428.3

    1995199619971998199920002001

    37.335.837.145.248.44449.4

    1.31.51.31.50.80.80.6

    35.53633.724.923.527.823.7

    4.14.54.95.56.48.77.6

    5.85.17.28.187.57.9

    15.917.115.714.71311.19.5

    GDP break-up by industry

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    Agriculture and Forestry

    Industry

    Services

    Industry

    00

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    Private

    Public

    unemployment

    Business Climate

    Jan-00Feb-00Mar-00Apr-00May-00Jun-00Jul-00Aug-00Sep-00Oct-00Nov-00Dec-00Jan-01Feb-01Mar-01Apr-01May-01Jun-01Jul-01Aug-01Sep-01Oct-01Nov-01Dec-01Jan-02Feb-02Mar-02Apr-02

    5.56.56.2

    Jan-00Feb-00Mar-00Apr-00May-00Jun-00Jul-00Aug-00Sep-00Oct-00Nov-00Dec-00Jan-01Feb-01Mar-01Apr-01May-01Jun-01Jul-01Aug-01Sep-01Oct-01Nov-01Dec-01Jan-02Feb-02Mar-02Apr-02

    5.56.56.23.41.32.98.37.711.98.29.58.79.912.91114.517.621.923.324.123.320.323.123.625.123.218.919.9

    unemployment

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    Sheet2

    Unemployment rate

    Jan-00Feb-00Mar-00Apr-00May-00Jun-00Jul-00Aug-00Sep-00Oct-00Nov-00Dec-00Jan-01Feb-01Mar-01Apr-01May-01Jun-01Jul-01Aug-01Sep-01Oct-01Nov-01Dec-01Jan-02Feb-02Mar-02Apr-02

    17.218.118.819.018.918.218.318.017.817.817.817.918.518.718.418.517.817.116.816.716.516.717.217.318.017.917.517.8

    Sheet2

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    Other secs by country

    Average salary

    Jan-00Feb-00Mar-00Apr-00May-00Jun-00Jul-00Aug-00Sep-00Oct-00Nov-00Dec-00Jan-01Feb-01Mar-01Apr-01May-01Jun-01Jul-01Aug-01Sep-01Oct-01Nov-01Dec-01Jan-02Feb-02Mar-02Apr-02

    104106114115118117117116123118123129121119125129133133131131135132133142128139135

    Other secs by country

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    FDI by country

    Other FDI Sectors and Foreign Firms in Bulgaria

    IndustryCountryInvestors

    Chemical IndustryFranceFRANCE ARNE

    RussiaLUKOIL PETROL

    BelgiumSOLVAY

    USAWHITEBEAM HOLDING

    MetallurgyGreeceHALKOR

    BelgiumUMICORE

    GreeceVIOHALKO

    Building MaterialsAustriaBRAMACK DACHSYSTEME

    SwitzerlandKERAMIK HOLDING

    AustriaKNAUF

    GermanyYTONG

    Cement IndustryFranceCEMENT FRANCAIS

    GermanyHEIDELBERGER ZEMENT

    TradeGreeceENA

    AustriaEUROBILLA

    GermanyMETRO

    TurkeyMIGROS TURK T.A.S.

    AustriaOMV

    UKSHELL

    market cap

    Foreign Direct Investment by Country till 2001 ($m)

    Country

    Denmark5.8

    Japan9.1

    Sweden10.3

    Czech10.5

    Malta11.2

    Liechtenstein12

    Israel17.5

    Hungary18.8

    Ireland23

    Luxemburg57.6

    Korea59.8

    Switzerland105.9

    France123.7

    Turkey128.5

    Spain129.8

    United Kingdom196

    Netherlands204.8

    Russia205.3

    Cyprus267.2

    USA277

    Austria351.2

    Belgium415.9

    Italy451.4

    Greece541.7

    Germany563.2

    source: Foreign Direct Investment Agency

    PrivatisationGreenfield investment and reinvested profitsTotal FDI

    1992034.434.4

    19932280.4102.4

    1994134.276.7210.9

    199526136.6162.6

    199676.4180256.4

    1997421.4214.8636.2

    1998155.8464.2620

    1999226.7592.1818.8

    2000366635.51001.5

    200119670689

    2002E9003001200

    Overall FDI by sector in %

    Financial intermediation* 44%4.4

    Post & telecoms 28%28

    Basic metals 8.7%8.7

    Trade 3.8%3.8

    Construction 3.1%3.1

    Coal, refined petrolemum products & nuclear fuel 1.8%1.8

    Offer (small sectors) 50.2%50.2

    100

    Total Direct Investment by sector and year $m

    Sector1998199920002001*TotalSector1998199920002001*Total by sectors

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9

    Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6

    Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7

    Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6

    Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6

    Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773

    Construction6.36.512.718.844.3Other465.9

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.88.125.7

    Leather and leather products0.7021.20.222.1

    Electriciti, gas and water0018.70.819.5

    Agriculture, foresrty and fishing0.12.410.71.314.5

    Publishing00.20.38.48.9

    Transport6.2-11.710.12.77.3

    Mining02.702.85.5

    Vehicles and other transport equipment-0.91.700.61.4

    Other5.588.899.7122.7316.7

    3138.9

    Telecom229.6

    Other FDI2909.3

    Energy

    Other FDI

    Transport7.3

    Other FDI3131.6

    Tourism

    Food products118.8

    Other FDI3020.1

    Textile and apparel90.5

    Other FDI3048.4

    Electrical eng. and electronics73

    Other FDI3065.9

    market cap

    000

    000

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    Privatisation

    Greenfield investment and reinvested profits

    Total FDI

    FDI by year ($m)

    IT profs

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    Money matters

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    External Sector

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    Privatisation

    Greenfield investment and reinvested profits

    22

    EU Accession

    0

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    tax

    0

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    Privatisation

    0

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    Operating costs

    0

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    1EUR1.95583

    BGNEUR

    Official market A12,641,073.40

    Official market B56,545,973.70

    Official market C147,380,246.55

    216,567,293.65110,729,099

    Unofficial market106,769,247,099.00

    106,985,814,392.6554,700,978,302

    Source:Global IT IQ Report of March 2002 of Brainbench, Inc.

    The data for the population is taken from the mid-2001 estimates of

    U.S. Census Bureau, International Database and The World Factbook, 2000.

    IT Certified Professionals in % of the Population

    (World Top 10 Countries)

    %Number

    Latvia0.1927%4597

    Estonia0.1443%2054

    Bulgaria0.1147%8844

    Singapore0.0828%3559

    Lithuania0.0823%2972

    Romania0.0721%16122

    United States0.0698%194211

    United Arab Emirates0.0617%1485

    Canada0.0607%19181

    Israel0.0533%3164

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    %

    Number

    194211

    Inflation by month

    Periods199719981999200020012002

    January2.10%2.40%2.40%0.60%2.70%

    February1.30%-0.70%1.10%0.30%1.60%

    March0.20%-1.00%-0.30%0.50%0.80%

    April0.40%-0.60%-1.00%-0.20%-0.10%

    May-1.70%-0.90%0.10%0.10%-2.10%

    June1.40%-3.50%-0.90%0.20%-0.10%

    July2.50%-0.70%3.40%0.60%-0.20%

    August5.50%0.30%0.70%3.00%0.30%

    September3.80%3.20%1.50%2.20%1.30%

    October0.80%0.30%1.10%1.20%1.70%

    November1.00%-0.50%0.50%0.80%0.20%

    December0.20%0.40%1.30%0.40%0.60%

    Foreign Debt Payments

    199619971998199920002001

    Payed principal598.5457.4665560.6655994.3

    Payed interest480.4439.7529.8484.6515.3526.9

    ???199619971998199920002001III.20022002

    Foreign debt (USD mln)9601.610408.510891.910913.911201.81061610398.310200

    199619971998199920002001III.2002

    Short-term as % of Gross Foreign Debt10.717.514.511.612.911.410.9

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    Inflation

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    Payed principal

    Payed interest

    1995199619971998199920002001

    EU39.340.144.250.452.151.354.8

    Balkan8.37.74.64.67.910.87.2

    CIS17.919.317.612.496.15.8

    CEFTA3.93.53.24.94.444.8

    Other from OECD11.911.513.612.112.415.214.3

    Other18.817.916.715.514.112.511.7

    1995199619971998199920002001

    EU39.340.144.250.452.151.354.8

    Balkan8.37.74.64.67.910.87.2

    CIS17.919.317.612.496.15.8

    CEFTA3.93.53.24.94.444.8

    Other from OECD11.911.513.612.112.415.214.3

    Other18.817.916.715.514.112.511.7

    Imports by region

    1995199619971998199920002001

    EU37.335.837.145.248.44449.4

    Balkan1.31.51.31.50.80.80.6

    CIS35.53633.724.923.527.823.7

    CEFTA4.14.54.95.56.48.77.6

    Other from OECD5.85.17.28.187.57.9

    Other15.917.115.714.71311.19.5

    99.910099.999.9100.199.998.7

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    EU

    Balkan

    CIS

    CEFTA

    Other from OECD

    Other

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    000000

    EU

    Balkan

    CIS

    CEFTA

    Other from OECD

    Other

    CyprusLithuaniaSloveniaCzech RepublicHungaryLatviaSlovakiaEstoniaPolandMaltaBulgariaRomania

    Provisionally closed chapters282827272625252424222011

    Opened chapters22334556681013

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    Provisionally closed chapters

    Opened chapters

    20

    19921993199419951996199719981999200020012002

    Highest personal income rate (%)40%50%50%50%50%40%40%40%40%38%29%

    0

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    Highest personal income rate (%)

    Privatisation deals

    Number of concluded privatisation deals

    199719981999200020012002

    Whole enterprisese32065463142917249

    Specific parts2644355801605817

    Number of deals

    01/01-09/04/200109/05/2001-05/31/2002

    Enterprises shares2847

    Specific parts97124

    Payments

    Payments in BGN m

    01/01-09/04/200109/05/2001-05/31/2002

    Payments in $m208.5391.3

    Privatisation Revenue

    All Privatisation Entities, In BGN m

    199719981999200020012002

    Privatisation Revenue619512819823683124

    Privatisation Agency, In BGN m

    199719981999200020012002

    Privatisation Revenue52724547829428489

    199319941995199619971998199920002001V.2002

    0.371.671.074.0918.364.4816.974.430.970.37

    199319941995199619971998199920002001V.2002

    0.42.03.17.225.630.047.051.452.452.8

    Average Foreign Direct Investment per Year (USD m)

    1997-20012002-2006

    Average Foreign Direct Investment per Year ($ m)600950

    Average Foreign Direct Investment per Year in USD

    1997-20012002-2006

    Average Foreign Direct Investment per Capita74121

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    bgdream:

    Enterprises shares

    Specific parts

    Number of Deals

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    Payments in $m

    Payments in BGN m

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    0

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    Average Foreign Direct Investment per Year ($ m)

    Average FDI per year

    0

    0

    Average Foreign Direct Investment per Capita

    Average FDI per capita

    Operational Costs in Bulgaria, 2002

    Monthly salary, EUR130

    Nominal salary growth, %7.3

    Social security, unemployment fund and health care contributions as % of monthly salary42.7 (75% payed by the employer)

    Corporate tax, %

    Aggregate rate, %23.5

    VAT, %20

    Price of arable land, year 2001, average EUR/1000 sq mile35-179

    Office rent in Sofia, average EUR/sq m/month25-35

    Apartment purchase price in Sofia, average EUR/sq m299

    Water charges for industrial use in Sofia, EUR/m0.13

    Water charges for household use in Sofia, EUR/m0.16

    Telephone installation charges, EUR51

    Telephone monthly subscription fee, EUR2.56/4.62

    International phone call EUR/min

    Europe0.31-0.41; 0.16-0.21

    USA0.74-0.20

    Electricity prices per kWh, including VAT

    Electricity for industrial use, EUR

    3 tariff-reading

    pick0.070

    day0.043

    night0.027

    2 tariff-reading

    day0.056

    night0.027

    Electricity for household use, EUR

    day0.050

    night0.027

    MBD00213F8B.xls

  • IT and TelecomsCross-point for telecommunications traffic from Europe to the Middle East and AsiaRegulatory framework harmonized with EU standardsBy rate of development in 2000, Bulgarian market for mobile telephone services ranked 5th among CEE countries; over 2m mobile phone subscribersTelephone switch exchange manufacturing presents another opportunitySource: Bulgarian Foreign Investment Agency

    Companies with FDI

    Information & Communication TechnologiesInformation & Communication Technologies

    CountryCompanyInvestmentForeign Firms with Investments in Bulgaria

    AustriaMOBILTEL HOLDING GmbH

    GreeceINTRACOM

    GreeceOTE

    NetherlandsGLOBAL ONE HOLDING

    UKCABLE AND WIRELESS

    USARILA SOLUTIONS

    Energy Sector

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    USAACCESS INTERNATIONAL

    USAENERGY

    Transport and Logistics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    AustriaFRANZ WELZ

    AustriaSCHENKER

    AustriaVAE

    GermanyWILLI BETZ

    HungaryINTERLICHTER

    SwitzerlandM + M MILITSER INTERNATIONAL

    Tourism

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    CyprusCLASMAN ENTERPRISES

    GermanyC&N TOURISTIC AG

    GreeceGOODYS

    ItalyAUTO RICAMBI SRL

    SwitzerlandZURICH INVEST

    TurkeyPRINCESS HOLDING GROUP

    USAHILTON INTERNATIONAL

    USAMcDONALDS

    Food processing, Beverages and Tobacco Industry

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumINTERBREW

    CyprusSOFTBUL INVESTMENT

    GreeceBREWINVEST

    GreeceCHIPITA INTERNATIONAL

    GreeceDELTA

    GreeceTKM FRUIT AND JUICE

    FranceDANONE

    LuxembourgKLARINA HOLDING

    NetherlandsEASTSTRACH

    NetherlandsPROVIMI

    PortugalVINPROM SERVICE KORK

    SwitzerlandNESTLE

    UKBOYAR INTERNATIONAL

    UKLUXCRAFT

    UKUNIBUL WINES

    USAKRAFT FOODS INTERNATIONAL

    USASEABORD OVERSEAS

    Textile and Apparel

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    GermanyHAINER & PETER ROESLER

    GermanyROLLMANN

    IrelandMARLAND INTERNATIONAL LTD.

    ItalyMIROGLIO

    ItalySALVADORI

    NetherlandsBRANDEX

    TurkeyMASER

    Electrical Engineering and Electronics

    CountryCompanyInvestment

    BelgiumEPIQ GROUP

    Czech RepublicPRAMET

    FranceSCHNEIDER ELECTRIC

    GermanyFESTO

    GermanyLIEBHERR

    GermanySIEMENS

    GermanySPARKY TRADING

    HungaryVIDEOTON HOLDING

    KoreaHYUNDAI

    Switzerland, SwedenASEA BROWN BOVERI

    USAMICHIGAN MAGNETICS

    bgdream:check RADISSON SASWhat company is that?

    Other secs by country

    Other FDI Sectors and Foreign Firms in Bulgaria

    IndustryCountryInvestors

    Chemical IndustryFranceFRANCE ARNE

    RussiaLUKOIL PETROL

    BelgiumSOLVAY

    USAWHITEBEAM HOLDING

    MetallurgyGreeceHALKOR

    BelgiumUMICORE

    GreeceVIOHALKO

    Building MaterialsAustriaBRAMACK DACHSYSTEME

    SwitzerlandKERAMIK HOLDING

    AustriaKNAUF

    GermanyYTONG

    Cement IndustryFranceCEMENT FRANCAIS

    GermanyHEIDELBERGER ZEMENT

    TradeGreeceENA

    AustriaEUROBILLA

    GermanyMETRO

    TurkeyMIGROS TURK T.A.S.

    AustriaOMV

    UKSHELL

    FDI by country

    Foreign Direct Investment by Country till 2001 ($m)

    Country

    Germany563.2

    Greece541.7

    Italy451.4

    Belgium415.9

    Austria351.2

    USA277

    Cyprus267.2

    Russia205.3

    Netherlands204.8

    United Kingdom196

    Spain129.8

    Turkey128.5

    France123.7

    Switzerland105.9

    PrivatisationGreenfield investment and reinvested profitsTotal FDI

    1992034.434.4

    19932280.4102.4

    1994134.276.7210.9

    199526136.6162.6

    199676.4180256.4

    1997421.4214.8636.2

    1998155.8464.2620

    1999226.7592.1818.8

    2000366635.51001.5

    200119670689

    2002E800

    Overall FDI by sector in %

    Financial intermediation* 44%4.4

    Post & telecoms 28%28

    Basic metals 8.7%8.7

    Trade 3.8%3.8

    Construction 3.1%3.1

    Coal, refined petrolemum products & nuclear fuel 1.8%1.8

    Offer (small sectors) 50.2%50.2

    100

    Total Direct Investment by sector and year $m

    Sector1998199920002001*Total by sectorsSector1998199920002001*Total by sectors

    Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9Financial activities63.8119.1443.262.8688.9

    Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5Trade and repairs177.412489.571.6462.5

    Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8Petroleum, chemical, rubber and plastic products41165.272.111.5289.8

    Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2Mineral products (cement, glass,...)150.671.87.419.4249.2

    Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6Telecommunications23.214.114.9177.4229.6

    Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7Metallurgy13.272.217.137.2139.7

    Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6Mechanical products21.31864.716.6120.6

    Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8Food products31.532.711.742.9118.8

    Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6Wood products, paper37.324.938.15.3105.6

    Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8Hotels and restorants26.840.520.816.7104.8

    Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5Textile and clothing4.425.127.333.790.5

    Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773Electrical eng., electronics, computers and communication equipment11.55.928.62773

    Construction6.36.512.718.844.3Other465.9

    Real estate and business activities0.114.72.88.125.7

    Leather and leather products0.7021.20.222.1

    Electriciti, gas and water0018.70.819.5

    Agriculture, foresrty and fishing0.12.410.71.314.5

    Publishing00.20.38.48.9

    Transport6.2-11.710.12.77.3

    Mining02.702.85.5

    Vehicles and other transport equipment-0.91.700.61.4

    Other5.588.899.7122.7316.7

    FDI by country

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    FDI by country ($m)

    IT profs

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    Operating costs

    1EUR1.95583

    BGNEUR

    Official market A12,641,073.40

    Official market B56,545,973.70

    Official market C147,380,246.55

    216,567,293.65110,729,099

    Unofficial market106,769,247,099.00

    106,985,814,392.6554,700,978,302

    IT Certified Professionals in % of the Population

    (World Top 10 Countries)