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Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1233187 Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1233187 0 INVESTMENT BANKING INDUSTRY STUDY IN THE PHILIPPINES B ASANT V ENUGOPAL Washington SyCip Graduate School of Business Asian Institute of Management Manila, Philippines. [email protected] [email protected]

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Page 1: INVESTMENT BANKING - United Nationsunpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/apcity/unpan049155.… · Electronic copy available at: 1233187 0 INVESTMENT BANKING INDUSTRY STUDY

Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1233187Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1233187

0

INVESTMENT BANKING

INDUSTRY STUDY IN THE PHILIPPINES

BA S A N T VE N U G O P A L

Washington SyCip Graduate School of Business

Asian Institute of Management

Manila, Philippines.

[email protected]

[email protected]

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Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1233187Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1233187

1

A B S T R A C T

The Philippines is dominated by large business conglomerates whose success has been largely

attributed to an underlying assumption that these business families had a financial institution

as the backbone for all their diverse business holdings. The lucrative nature of providing

financial services has been looked into with a view to understand whether the fundamental

assumption is correct. The study has focused especially on the investment banking services of

the Philippines to understand current trends, competitive structure and the government

support for such services. The study is a working paper that does not conclude on whether

there are enough factors to attribute the success of business conglomerates but rather is an

industry study on investment banking services and whether the environment is conducive for

other players to enter the Philippines investment banking sector.

Keywords: Philippines, Investment Banking, Performance, Current trends, Success factors.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

C O U N T R Y A N A L Y S I S ( U S I N G S T E E P F R A M E W O R K ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

P O L I T I C A L F A C T O R S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4 D O M E S T I C I S S U E S ..............................................................................................................................................4 P O L I C Y T R E N D S ..................................................................................................................................................4 G L O B A L I Z A T I O N B R O A D E N S M A R K E T H O R I Z O N S ...........................................................................................4 B A N K I N G R E F O R M S ............................................................................................................................................5 C A P I T A L M A R K E T R E F O R M ...............................................................................................................................6 I S S U E S A N D C O N C E R N S ......................................................................................................................................6

E C O N O M I C F A C T O R S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 C O U N T R Y P E R F O R M A N C E ..................................................................................................................................7 L I Q U I D I T Y A N D C U R R E N C Y I N D I C A T O R S ..........................................................................................................8 C O U N T R Y P R O S P E C T S ........................................................................................................................................9

E N V I R O N M E N T A L F A C T O R S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 0 C O R P O R A T E S E C T O R S T R U C T U R E ...................................................................................................................10

F A M I L Y O W N E R S H I P D O M I N A N T ..................................................................................................................................10 C O N G L O M E R A T E S D I V E R S E ............................................................................................................................................11 S T A T E O W N E R S H I P S T I L L P R O M I N E N T .........................................................................................................................11 B A N K F I N A N C I N G ...........................................................................................................................................................11 D I R E C T F I N A N C I N G M A R K E T S I M M A T U R E ...................................................................................................................11

S O C I A L F A C T O R S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 2 P H I L I P P I N E S O C I A L C A P I T A L ...........................................................................................................................12

T H E I M P O R T A N C E O F R E C I P R O C I T Y A N D P A T R O N - C L I E N T R E L A T I O N S H I P S ................................................................13 T E C H N O L O G I C A L F A C T O R S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 4

P R O F I T D R I V E R .................................................................................................................................................14 T E C H B R E A K T H R O U G H : O F F - S H O R I N G ..........................................................................................................15

I N V E S T M E N T B A N K I N G . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 6

A B R I E F P A S S A G E T H R O U G H T I M E . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 6 T H E G L O B A L I N D U S T R Y . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 6

F U L L S E R V I C E F I R M S .......................................................................................................................................16 B O U T I Q U E F I R M S .............................................................................................................................................18

S T R U C T U R E F O R D E L I V E R Y O F F I N A N C I A L S E R V I C E S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 9 B E N E F I T S A N D C O S T S O F U N I V E R S A L B A N K I N G . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 0 R E A L I Z A T I O N O F T H E P O T E N T I A L B E N E F I T S A N D C O S T S ( T H R O U G H V A R I O U S

C O R P O R A T E S T R U C T U R E S ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 0 P H I L I P P I N E S I N V E S T M E N T B A N K I N G I N D U S T R Y . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 2

I N V E S T M E N T H O U S E S - D E S C R I P T I O N ...........................................................................................................22 P R O F I L E O F I N V E S T M E N T H O U S E S .................................................................................................................22 R E G U L A T I O N S A N D T I M E L I N E .........................................................................................................................23

M A R K E T O U T L O O K . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 5 G L O B A L D E A L S O U T L O O K ...............................................................................................................................25

H U N T F O R H I G H E R R E T U R N S I N E M E R G I N G M A R K E T S ................................................................................................25 G O I N G L O C A L .................................................................................................................................................................26 M & A A S A N A T T R A C T I V E O P T I O N T O I P O ...................................................................................................................26

P H I L I P P I N E D E A L S O U T L O O K ..........................................................................................................................26 D E A L A C T I V I T Y ...............................................................................................................................................................27

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D E A L S O U T L O O K ............................................................................................................................................................27 C O M P E T I T I V E E N V I R O N M E N T . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 8 B A N K A F F I L I A T E D I - B A N K S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 8

P E R F O R M A N C E ..................................................................................................................................................28 S E R V I C E O F F E R I N G S & B E N E F I T S ...................................................................................................................29

I N D E P E N D E N T I - B A N K S . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2 9 F O R E I G N I N V E S T M E N T B A N K S .........................................................................................................................30 L O C A L I N V E S T M E N T B A N K S A N D T H E I R R O U T E T O W A R D S C A P T U R I N G D E A L S ...........................................31

I N D U S T R Y A N A L Y S I S ( 5 F O R C E S F R A M E W O R K ) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 2

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CO U N T RY AN ALYSI S (USI NG STEEP FR A M E WOR K )

P O L I T I C A L F A C T O R S

DO M E S T I C I S S U E S

The Philippine president, Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, is in a precarious position. In the past year

she has survived a coup attempt, allegations of vote-rigging and an opposition attempt to

unseat her. Restiveness within the lower ranks of the military also remains a concern, and

opposition-led demonstrations could yet lead to her ouster in a “people power” revolution.

Despite this, the president has retained the support of the top ranks of the military. The

possibility of her sudden overthrow cannot be ruled out, but unless a credible alternative

government emerges, Ms. Macapagal Arroyo should be able to survive as president until the

end of term in 2010.

PO L I C Y T R E N D S

Ms. Macapagal Arroyo has moved very determinedly on the reform agenda, but progress has

been faltering as a result of the administration’s need to deal with political problems. The most

important casualty of the political uncertainty in 2006 was the Budget Appropriations Bill (the

piece of legislation that authorizes the government to spend money). Although a

supplementary bill was eventually passed in late 2006, the delay highlighted the kind of

problems the government will continue to experience for as long as it lacks the congressional

support it needs to carry out all of its policies. However, it appears that progress in the

privatization agenda would continue with evidence coming in the form of the raising of US $

326 million by the sale of the energy company, PNOC-Energy Development Corporation in

December 2006. More progress is expected on a scheme to rationalize investment incentives,

which would reduce the amount of the tax revenue that the government foregoes from

investments that would have taken place regardless of whether or not incentives are in place.

G L O B A L I Z A T I O N BR O A D E N S MA R K E T H O R I Z O N S

The IMF’s involvement in the economy after financial crises in the 1980s, and lower growth due

to limited reforms helped Philippine authorities protect the financial sector from the worst of

East Asia’s mid 1990s excesses. However, more prudential reforms were needed to develop

financial markets so they are more active in corporate financing and disciplining corporate

entities. Although the Philippine banking sector needed less restructuring than elsewhere in the

region after the crisis, since then, bank led restructuring has converted many non performing

loans to equity. Sales of these shares have diversified corporate ownership and increased share

market liquidity.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed and enacted four financial market

development bills: the Corporate Recovery Act to fast track the rehabilitation of distressed

companies, the Special Purpose Vehicles Act to create asset management companies and to

provide them incentives to buy banks’ non performing loans, the Revised Investment

Companies Act to stimulate mutual fund industry development, and the Securitization Act to

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encourage public and private companies to borrow against a pool of existing assets and/or

receivables.

BA N K I N G RE F O R M S

In the financial sector, the thrust is to preserve overall stability and resilience of the banking

system. This is important to manage the vulnerabilities highlighted by the Asian Financial crisis

and the challenges posed by the prevailing complex financial environment. This involves key

reforms risk management, stronger capital base and improved corporate governance standards

in the banking system.

The banking system remains resilient amid an ongoing economic recovery largely weathering

local and international shocks in the latter part of the year. Key financial indicators reflected

increasing capitalization, expansion in assets, double-digit growth in deposits and resumption of

lending. Capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of the banking system was at 18.8 percent, significantly

than the 10 percent statutory standard and certainly well above the international benchmark of

8 percent.

Banks also managed to enhance their asset quality. As of June 2007, the banking sector’s non-

performing loans (NPL) ratio stood at 5.7%. To sustain this positive momentum, banks will need

to stay vigilant while nurturing their competitive spirit. Banks need to intensify efforts to build

on reform initiatives for greater efficiency and increased viability.

Towards this motive, banks have started to reinforce their asset cleanup and strengthen the

capital base. These gained initial momentum when the SPV Act of 2002 became fully effective

on 9 April 2003 and its implementing rules and regulations came into force. The SPV law

provides tax incentives for the sale of NPAS to special purpose corporations. Since then, several

banks have taken decisive steps to dispose of their NPAS through the availment of incentives

under the law.

The urgency to clean up NPAS which eat up on the banks’ capital position got further

underscored with the move towards compliance with the shift to risk-based capital

requirements under Basel II by the start of 2007. These initiatives are in accordance with our

agenda to help banks strengthen their capital base and sufficiently align capital standards with

international norms.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has also started to implement measures to enhance

prudential and regulatory standards and improve the quality of corporate governance and risk

management practices across the financial system. A process of fully implementing a

consolidated and risk-based approach to bank supervision is being put in place. The shift to a

consolidated and risk-based approach to bank supervision is consistent with the overarching

goal of ensuring the smooth and orderly functioning of the entire financial system.

To create a sound banking environment, it is important that cognizance of the need to foster an

effective regulatory environment is taken. In July 2004, the BSP teamed up with the SEC, the

Insurance Commission (IC), and the Philippine Deposit Insurance Corporation (PDIC) to form the

Financial Sector Forum (FSF). The FSF serves as a venue for bringing into line sector efforts to

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enhance the financial system reform agenda, particularly in addressing harmonization and

coordination of supervisory and regulatory methods and policies, reporting and information

exchange and dissemination, and consumer protection and education. Considerably, this

initiate aligns the Philippines with the international practice to adopt a system-wide

consolidated approach to supervision.

CA P I T A L MA R K E T RE F O R M

The emergence of highly interconnected financial systems transcending national boarders

encouraged BSP to take an activist stance to develop the domestic capital market and to

optimize the country’s access to international capital.

One fundamental step toward this goal is the shift to inflation targeting and the higher level of

policy transparency it requires, as basis for the conduct of our monetary policy in achieving

price stability. Price stability is the key to macro-economic stability, which is a necessary pre-

condition to capital market development. Policy wise, there has been a commitment to

mitigate supply side inflationary pressures but with some degree of flexibility so as not to

sacrifice economic growth.

Another corollary initiative is to broaden the array of available capital market instruments such

as tier 2 paper, LTNCDS, documented repos, structured debt, collateralized debt obligations,

and credit derivatives. BSP has supported this with regulatory changes giving some incentive to

financial innovation but under appropriate risk management standards.

On the demand side, BSP has reformed the trust business with the conversion of the common

trust funds into a better product called the unit investment trust fund or UITF. BSP is also

looking at other managed funds to further expand the domestic investor base for sophisticated

and unsophisticated investors under adequate safeguards.

Also, the entry of more high quality rating agencies is being encouraged as they are crucial in

discovering fair prices commensurate to risk. Another reform initiative is to institutionalize an

independent securities custody system to improve investor protection, to defeat market

malpractices like multiple selling of securities and undocumented transactions, and to reduce

systemic risks.

I S S U E S A N D CO N C E R N S

Despite a number of policy reforms and recent good news, the Philippines continues to face

important challenges and must sustain the reform momentum to catch up with its regional

neighbors and to translate the current cautious optimism into the long-term confidence

required to spur investments, achieve higher growth, generate employment, and alleviate

poverty for a rapidly expanding population. Absent new revenue measures, sustained fiscal

stability will require more aggressive tax collection efficiency to address the severe under-

spending in infrastructure and social services in recent years of tight budgets. Addressing delays

in power sector privatization remains critical to the long-term stability of public sector finances,

ensuring reliable electricity supply, and to bringing down the high cost of power.

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Potential foreign investors, as well as tourists, continue to be concerned about law and order,

inadequate infrastructure, policy and regulatory instability, and governance issues. While trade

liberalization presents significant opportunities, intensifying global competition and the

emergence of low-wage export economies also pose challenges. Competition from other

Southeast Asian countries and from China for investment underlines the need for sustained

progress on structural reforms to remove bottlenecks to growth, to lower costs of doing

business, and to promote good public and private sector governance. The government has been

working to reinvigorate its anti-corruption drive, and the Office of the Ombudsman has

reported improved conviction rates. Nevertheless, the Philippines will need to do more to

improve international perception of its anti-corruption campaign—an effort that will require

strong political will and significantly greater financial and human resources.

E C O N O M I C F A C T O R S

CO U N T R Y PE R F O R M A N C E

GDP growth accelerated to 7.3% in the first half of 2007

from 5.6% in the first half of 20061 (See attached figure

for Growth of GDP demand components). The sharp rise

was due to robust growth of net exports and private

consumption, and higher government expenditure.

Private consumption, accounting for more than three

quarters of GDP, grew by 6.0% in the period,

underpinned by an 18.1% rise (to $7.0 billion) in

remittances from overseas workers. Government

consumption rose by a sharp 11.8% and public sector construction investment surged by 33.8%.

Both were boosted by some nonrecurring factors: recovery expenditures for typhoon-damaged

areas and accelerated spending ahead of legislative & local government elections in May 2007.

GDP had risen by 5.4% in 2006, maintaining its slight

upward trend of the past 5 years (see attached figure for

GDP growth)2. Personal consumption expenditures and

net exports were the main contributors in 2006. The

substantial remittances and low interest rates supported

private consumption.

However, gross fixed capital formation continued to

decline as a share of GDP to the lowest level in 20 years 3

(refer to attached figure for Gross fixed capital formation),

reflecting a deficient investment environment and

restraints on the public capital spending required to

buttress the Government’s fiscal position.

1 Asian Development Outlook database; National Statistical Coordination Board, available: http://www.nscb.gov.ph.

2 Asian Development Outlook, ibid.

3 CEIC Data Company Ltd., downloaded from http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/ADO/2007/figs/f2-26-2.xls.

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On the supply side, services recorded particularly strong growth of 8.6%. Retail trade, a major

sub-sector, expanded by 10.5% on the robust private consumption. Industry grew by 7.2%:

construction and mining performed well,

manufacturing less so (See attached figure for growth

of industry sub-sectors). Construction was strongly

supported by the jump in public sector investment.

Private sector construction also grew, by 8.5%, a

turnaround from a decline in the year earlier period.

Mining output (up by 24.3% in the first half)

benefited from high global prices for minerals and

startups of new projects. Production of coal, natural

gas, and nickel increased, although from low bases.

Quarrying surged with the higher levels of construction activity. Manufacturing grew by just

3.9% in the first half, the lowest rate of expansion in several years, in part because of weakness

in global demand for electronic products, a major export category.

The outlook for the full year has improved with the stronger than expected first-half

performance and lower than projected inflation. Private consumption spending will continue to

be boosted by remittances. On the other hand, with elections out of the way, government

spending is unlikely to be as strong in the second half. The contribution of net exports is

projected to decline, too, because imports were unusually weak in the first half. Still, taking into

account the higher than expected private consumption and government-led investment, the

GDP forecast for this year has been revised up to 6.6% from 5.4% by various organizations

monitoring economic activity in the region especially the Philippines.

L I Q U I D I T Y A N D CU R R E N C Y I N D I C A T O R S

Broad money (M3) rose by about 20% on average in

the first 6 months of 2007, double the rate of a year

earlier, driven mainly by foreign exchange inflows and,

to a lesser extent, by the growth of credit to the public

and private sectors. Reflecting ample liquidity in the

banking system, interest rates on domestic treasury

bills eased: the nominal yield on 91-day bills declined

below comparable US treasuries in November 2006, for

the first time in 25 years, and this relationship has been maintained this year (See attached

figure for the Treasury bill rates).4

Gross international reserves increased to $30.3 billion

as at end- August 2007, equivalent to 5.6 months of

imports. Strong demand for pesos for current and

capital account transactions led to a 5.2% appreciation

4 BSP, http://www.bsp.gov.ph; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, http://www.federalreserve.gov.

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against the US dollar in the 8 months to August.5 (See figure attached in the previous page). The

real effective exchange rate appreciated by 5.1% in that period.

BSP, the central bank, concerned that the strong growth in money supply posed inflation risks,

in May moved to drain surplus liquidity. It encouraged government-controlled corporations to

deposit funds with the central bank and made available a special deposit account facility to a

wider range of financial institutions. In July, the monetary authorities ended a tier system on

rates paid to banks on overnight deposits, an arrangement that encouraged banks to lend. BSP

has described the overall impact on monetary policy of these July changes as neutral.

Later, BSP on Oct 4, 2007 unexpectedly cut its key policy rates by 25bps, taking the borrowing

and lending rates to 5.75% and 7.75% respectively. The scope for further cuts beyond that

appears limited, however, given the expectation that the US Fed will not cut rates below 4.50%.

Importantly, inflationary risks also lie to the upside in 2008, with the output gap set to widen

and this year’s rate cuts coming ahead of a projected rise in budget spending in 2008. Given

these factors, there are signals that one more 25bp cut by the year-end is in the offing taking

the overnight borrowing rate to 5.50%.

CO U N T R Y P R O S P E C T S

Robust growth is expected to be sustained in 2008,

though not at the pace of this year. Services will

continue to be the main driver, supported by growth

in remittances and therefore in consumption. Retail

trade and transport, residential real estate, and

communications services are expected to expand

strongly. Services as a whole are projected to grow by

7.4% next year.

In industry, export-oriented manufacturing will do better if global demand for electronic

products picks up as projected, but mining and quarrying is likely to decelerate from the rapid

expansion seen in 2007. Government expenditures on infrastructure will support growth of

construction. However, the expected softening of the global electronics market and the

slowdown in overall external demand will crimp manufacturing output. Industry as a whole is

expected to grow at around 5.0%.

Investment will likely recover to 4–6% growth, compared

with 2.0% in 2006 and an average annual increase of just

0.4% in 2002–2006. It will be supported by higher

government expenditures and low real interest rates.

Bank balance sheets have strengthened (see attached

figure), and so banks’ willingness to lend may rise,

especially as the lending–deposit spread is at the top of

the range seen over recent years.

5 A point above zero indicates an appreciation of the peso. CEIC Data Company Ltd.

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E N V I R O N M E N T A L F A C T O R S

(The environment assessed here is the business or corporate environment of the Philippines)

CO R P O R A T E SE C T O R ST R U C T U R E

The Philippines market lack competition with diverse, family controlled conglomerates

operating alongside large government owned firms. Private individuals own most firms and rely

almost exclusively on private and bank debt financing. Even listed firms retain close to 70 per

cent of their equity in private hands and draw their finance mostly from banks. Relatively weak

competition in finance, goods and services markets shelters managers from external discipline.

Conglomerates form cartels, which guarantee high profit rates in many markets, despite often

poor management.6

FA M I LY OW N E R S HI P DO M I N A N T

The Philippines’ top five families control almost 43% of total listed corporate assets, the highest

proportion in East Asia7. In total, families control 48 per cent of publicly listed firms, where

control is defined as 20 per cent of equity; this is the second highest rate of family ownership in

East Asia after Hong Kong. Families tightly control most boards, minimizing outside minority

shareholders’ influence. Business groups often comprise a complex mix of listed and private

companies, producing opaque ownership structures8. Of the major banks, each one is owned by

a family, a single firm or the Government.

% of Total Market Capitalization That Families Control

Top Family Top 5 Families Top 15 Families

Hong Kong 6.50 26.20 34.40

Indonesia 16.60 40.70 61.70

Korea 11.40 29.70 38.40

Malaysia 7.40 17.30 28.30

Philippines 17.10 42.80 55.10

Singapore 6.40 19.50 29.90

Taiwan 4.00 14.50 20.10

Thailand 9.40 32.20 53.30

Source: International Monetary Fund

6 ‘Changing Corporate Asia: What Business Needs to Know’, March 2005, Economic Analytical Unit, Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade.

7 Claessens, S., Djankov, S. and Lang, L.H.P., 2000, ‘East Asian Corporations: Heroes or Villains?’, World Bank Discussion Paper No 409, World

Bank, Washington DC and Mueller, Holger M., and Philippon, Thomas, September 2006, ‘Family Firms, Paternalism, and Labor Relations’

8 Naughton, T., 2001, Consultancy prepared for the Economic Analytical Unit, August.

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CO N G LO M E R A T E S D I V E R S E

More than many other corporations in any East Asian economy (except maybe Japan),

Philippine corporations cross-hold equity in large portions thereby creating larger

conglomerates. They operate in a wide range of sectors, including real estate, services, banking,

infrastructure supply, manufacturing, retail, telecommunications and mass media. While this

can often reduce their economies of scale and raise costs, entry barriers maintain high profits at

consumers’ expense. Corporate groups with affiliated banks and finance companies can access

cheap finance, reducing their need for direct financing.9

ST A T E OWN E R S HI P ST I L L PR O M I N E N T

Despite more than a decade of privatization, the Government still owns and manages more

than a 100 state owned enterprises in the power, agriculture, railways, high technology and

financial sectors. The government owned Development Bank of the Philippines is a significant

source of concession finance. The government pension fund also holds equity in private banks

and other firms, potentially influencing their lending decisions and other outcomes affecting

outside investors.10 The Government can direct private banks to lend to state owned firms,

providing implicit guarantees for state firms to borrow, increasing the risk of unviable

investment.

BA N K F I N A N CI N G

Commercial banks largely finance firms, especially those belonging to the same industrial group.

However, banks’ roles in corporate governance are much less clear than, for example, in Japan,

under the ‘main bank’ system. Philippine banks are not represented in management positions,

nor do they monitor corporate activity in the way Japanese ‘main banks’ do.11

Like elsewhere in East Asia, firms prefer bank financing to equity financing, as it does not dilute

ownership. Close bank-corporate connections remove the need for managers to compete for

equity market finance; only 200 of the Philippines’ top 1 000 companies are publicly listed. Bank

ownership also is concentrated amongst powerful family shareholders, hindering prudential

supervisors’ regulatory capacity.12

D I R E CT F I N A N CI N G MA R K E T S IM M A T U R E

Banks and corporate entities are reluctant to dilute ownership by issuing equity; this inhibits

share market development. Companies often issue minimal shares to secure a listing.13 Large

blocs of controlling shareholders hold tightly most shares in most Philippine companies and

9 De Ocampo, R.F., 2000, Corporate Ownership and Corporate Governance: Issues and Concerns in the Philippines, paper presented at Asian

Development Bank—OECD-World Bank ‘2nd Asian Roundtable on Corporate Governance’, Hong Kong, 31 May-2 June. 10 Cruz, S., 2001, Economic Analytical Unit interview with Director, Corporate Affairs, Department of Finance, Manila, February.

11 Naughton, ibid.

12 De Ocampo, ibid.

13 De Ocampo, ibid.

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often dominate decision making in public companies. Regulations require firms to list a certain

minimum of their equity in initial public offers, deterring private companies from listing.

Central bank regulations also deter securitization, with reserve requirements preventing banks

from selling commercial paper. However, with the enactment of the new Securitization Act,

there appears to be intent to bring in more liquidity and leverage to the financing market. On

the demand side, the middle class mostly prefers to hold US dollar deposits, which represent 60

per cent of all bank deposits, rather than local shares, also inhibiting the share market

developing. Hence, share market capitalization is a relatively modest 60 per cent of GDP;

furthermore low share market turnover increases price volatility and deters investors.

Outside the banking sector, mergers and acquisitions, hostile takeovers and corporate raiders

are rare, limiting discipline on management by protecting managers from the consequences of

poor decisions. When corporate entities change owners, they normally do so behind closed

doors.

However, with the advent of globalization and a heightened sense of corporate governance, the

corporate structure has been in a state of flux. These factors combined with a lot of developed

countries looking for countries that would diversify their business portfolios has led to

reshaping the business structure alongside the practices that have always dogged the country.

S O C I A L F A C T O R S

Traditional macro-economic models considered several factors contributing to the production

process: land, labor and capital. As technology, corporate ownership, and governance and

societal models themselves evolved, the differences among these factors have diminished and

their importance relative to each other has changed. In the advanced economies of today, it

would be more accurate to simply distinguish between “natural capital” and “human capital”.

The latter has metamorphosed into various buzzwords like “knowledge capital”, “intellectual

capital” and to some extent with reference to specific countries into “cultural capital”. One

such reference point in the development of human resources has been the notion of “social

capital” that has come to be defined as “the ability of people to work together for common

purposes in groups and organizations” or “the ability to associate with each other” which in

turn depends on “the degree to which a community shares norms and values and subordinates

individual interests to those larger groups”.

PH I L I P P I N E S O C I A L CA P I T A L

Despite the absence of any convincing and scientifically established account in defense of a

distinctively Filipino philosopher or of a distinctively Filipino philosophical school, it would be

erroneous to infer that no distinctively Filipino “political culture” – one that identifies with

Filipino people and the Filipino nation – exists. Philippine society is characterized by a rich

spatial (rural and urban, multiplicity of regional and ethnic groups, etc.) and temporal or

historical diversity. The plurality of languages (111 in all including dialects), ethnicities, religions

together with geographic fragmentation (7,107 islands) and its relatively short experience as a

sovereign nation, all account for the constitution of peculiar political culture.

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The contemporary Philippine political culture has the following hallmarks: the primacy of

kinship ties, the importance of reciprocity and patron-client relationships, the emphasis on

smooth interpersonal relationships and a pervasive poverty.14

THE I M P O R T A N CE O F R E CI P R O CI T Y A N D P A T R O N - CL I E N T R E LA T I O N S HI P S

Reciprocity means that favors or gifts received now should be returned in the future. There is

no clear distinction between a gift or a personal favor and whatever one receives as due

because of a legal or moral right. The patron-client relationship is a kind of reciprocity

between persons of unequal socioeconomic status and it is modeled after the paternal-

filial relationship. The obligations arising from the patron-client relationship are almost

unilaterally determined by the patron. Thus, this relationship can very easily degenerate into

an exploitative one.

Reciprocity, and in particular, patron-client relationships, are governed by the traditional value

of "utang ng loob" (literally, "inner debt" in the sense of "debt of self", or better still, a

deep and practically non-repayable "debt of gratitude"). This custom is perhaps the strongest

agent of vertical integration in society, outside of kinship ties. Whoever fails to honor his

“utang ng loob" is considered a social outcast or "walang hiya" ("without shame, honor or

credibility", public "loss of face"), which is the worst opprobrium possible in Philippine society.15

After the principle of kinship, the second most powerful force in the shaping of Filipino

society -and of business organizations within it- is that of patronage. Patronage is the

preferential treatment extended towards one's workers or the members of one's town,

province or linguistic group, eliciting in return a deep sense of indebtedness (utang ng

loob). Its influence is most keenly felt in the realms of government and politics. The success of

a business venture in the Philippines heavily depends on having a powerful and influential

patron in government. Oftentimes, government officials are favorable to a person

because they have received financial support from him for their political campaigns or they

somehow expect to benefit from his wealth and good business fortune. Thus patronage,

which theoretically could have been exercised for altruistic ends, becomes a mode of rent-

seeking and a catalyst for corruption. A person that forms part of the elected officials'

"cronies", receives preferential treatment from government and his business flourishes.

From the favored person's perspective, it does not really matter that the financing for

the advantageous government projects comes from the public treasury. Such deeds will

always be remembered as "personal" favors that sometime, somehow will have to be repaid. In

the opposite case, when the political climate is perceived to be adverse to a prominent business

person, he may very well decide to close shop, liquidate his interests and migrate elsewhere. As

the Philippines evolves from an agricultural society to a more industrial one, the

14

Timbermann, David (1995): A Changeless Land. Continuity and Change in Philippine Politics. Singapore:

Institute of Southeast Asian Studies.

15

Sison, Alejo Jose G., “Business and Culture in the Philippines: A Story of Gradual Progress”, Instituto Empresa y

Humanismo, Universidad de Navarra.

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patronage formerly exercised by the landlords has been passed on to the state, more

concretely, to government officials, be they elected, appointed or bureaucrats.

These two unwritten factors combine to form a strong social context to understand the

business dynamics in Philippines as they form a base on which investment banking business is

created.

T E C H N O L O G I C A L F A C T O R S

Many forces, internally and externally, could force a country and its organizations to change.

Researchers in the 1990s program at MIT had developed a framework called the ‘Dynamic

Tension between External and Internal Dimensions of the Organization’16 that is still very

relevant in understanding the importance of technology in its impact on the country and

organization. The framework and research recognized the importance of the external

technological environment and with the extraordinary growth of internet use, the force of

technological impact has assumed even more significance. To stay ahead of the game, countries

and organizations have started to work tirelessly to stay ahead of the curve and to enhance

finally the experience of the users – customers and investors.

PR O F I T DR I V E R

Technology has been identified as a top profit driver over the next three to five years especially

the technology required to build strategic alliances with customers, partners and other

stakeholders. 17 One of the key emerging technology trends lies in navigation and

personalization. Customers are increasingly choosing for themselves how they communicate

with providers. At HSBC, for instance, more customers interact with the bank online and by

phone than enter its branches. Elaborate, technical functionality becomes less important than

ease of use, navigability and personalization. Successful firms will balance personal contact and

technology to provide personalized service at a reasonable cost.

Financial services firms must also look to technology to strengthen relationships with partners

and intermediaries. Working together in a joint IT exercise to deliver a product or service can be

challenging but spreads the cost burden. Similarly, intermediaries welcome technology that

helps them operate more efficiently, reduces their costs and maximizes their profits.

For institutional clients, sell-side firms have flocked to offer multi-product electronic trading

platforms, featuring direct market access (DMA) and algorithmic trading. Lower commissions,

anonymity, faster execution and improved communication have made DMA attractive to hedge

funds and other buy-side institutions. Over the next three to five years, these platforms will

evolve further, becoming more robust and providing sophisticated post-trade analysis, risk

modeling and performance management reporting. Even on the institutional side, technology

should play a central role in client service and client communication. Clients’ portfolios have

16

Scott Morton, M.S., “The Corporation of the 1990s: Information Technology and Organizational Transformation”,

New York: Oxford University Press. 1991. 17

Deloitte Financial Services, “Global Financial Services Industry Outlook: Shaping Your Strategy in a Changing

World”, Survey conducted to identify the key transformative issues in the industry, 2007.

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become accessible 24 hours a day, seven days a week. If somebody is up at 3:00 a.m. and

visiting somebody in Japan and a story comes across the wire that a company goes bankrupt,

then they can go into a password-protected website and see if they own the stock or bonds of

that company.

T E C H BR E A K T H R O U G H : O F F - S H O R I N G

Off-shoring has become a competitive fact of life for financial institutions and the boom has

expanded into many countries, perhaps most prominently India, the Philippines, Malaysia and

China. The industry as a whole could triple the cost savings from its offshore operations and

there have been estimates that off-shoring institutions could reduce their annual cost base by

up to $16 billion – tripling current savings of around $5 billion. The additional benefits would

come from two key sources. First, scaling headcount from around 3.5% of total headcount

offshore with average cost savings of 38% to the current best practice of 6.7% of total

headcount could yield 60% cost savings. Second, efficiency gains could be created by expanding

the scope of operations to “full service,” which means relocating all types of functions from IT

and back office, to middle and front office activities.

Though some institutions have retreated from offshore call centers, companies generally add

more functions, often full-service, after several years of off-shoring a single function. Large

institutions are naming heads of global off-shoring or outsourcing, a sign that off-shoring is

maturing. Increasingly, the industry is moving away from outsourcing toward captive

operations or a hybrid approach of captive and outsourced functions.18

The Philippines, for instance, is the third largest English-speaking nation in the world (after the

US and the UK). Filipino IT professionals are highly trainable with a typical learning curve of six

to eight weeks. The Philippines also has the largest pool of high quality accountants in Asia.

There are about 115,000 licensed accountants in the country, recognized as ‘among the best in

the world’.19 Schools in the Philippines produce more than 100,000 graduates in Finance,

accounting and management every year, and that number is rising.20

18

Deloitte Financial Services, “Global Financial Services Offshoring: Scaling the Heights”, 2005. 19

Deloitte Global Financial Services Industry survey: EU firms show keen interest in the Philippines financial

professionals, 2007 survey of CEO, CIO etc. 20

Taing, Anna, “The times are a-changing”, August 8, 2006, The Edge.

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IN V EST M E N T BA NK I N G

A B R I E F PA S S A G E T H R O U G H T I M E

The story begins with the remedial intention of the legislation through the Glass-Steagall Act21

to separate the commercial banking activities from investment banking activities. The

legislation of the 1930s was motivated with a need to protect bank depositors from the risks

inherent in securities transactions. The act placed restrictions on the commercial banks from

engaging in securities underwriting, from taking positions for their own accounts in certain

types of securities and from acting as agents in securities transactions. Also, investment banks

were barred from taking deposits and corporate lending as these were inside the domain of the

commercial banks.

Investment banking has been narrowly defined as those financial services associated with the

issuance of corporate securities or primary markets maker for securities and broking and

dealing services in securities (secondary market). This was the traditional view of investment

banking after the passing of the Glass-Steagall Act. In recent times, investment banking has

been come to view on the basis of purely functional terms such as cash-generating activities

and support activities. The cash-generating activities include primary and secondary market

making, trading, corporate restructuring, financial modeling, advisory services, merchant

banking, investment management and consulting. The support services include clearing,

research, internal financing and information services.

However, on November 12, 1999, President Bill Clinton signed into law the Gramm-Leach-Bliley

Act (GLBA) that repealed the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933. The GLBA allowed commercial and

investment banks to consolidate and the combined industry came to be known as the “financial

services” industry.22

T H E G L O B A L IN D U S T R Y

The global investment banking industry is often described as an oligopoly as a relatively few

firms dominate the industry. The largest firms are the ones who find their names in the largest

size in the tombstones of the public offering announcements also known as the “Special

bracket” or “bulge bracket”. The second-tier of firms are known as “Major bracket” and then

come the “Regional” or “Sub-major”. The industry though denominated by a small number of

players is characterized by intense competition.

FU L L SE R V I C E F I R M S

Investment banks range from being full-service providers to boutique-firms. The latter are

known as specialty banks and only cater to certain industry segments or provide specific

services in which they have a core competence. The full range of services that an investment

bank can provide is as follows:

21

As mentioned in an early interview with Mr, Norman T. Pe (SVP- Controller, Penta Capital Investment

Corporation) and further researched on by the student-researcher-MRR writer. 22

Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, available in Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gramm-Leach-Bliley_Act)

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1. Primary and Secondary market making

These would include underwriting and issue management, dealing and trading

(speculation and brokerage) and private placement

2. Treasury and Financing

The services provided would include among others loan syndication, fixed income

instruments (like Treasury bills, asset-backed securities etc.) investment etc.

3. Financial Engineering or Structured Finance

The general services provided would be way of complex financial modeling, structuring

of mortgage-backed securities or providing securitization functions, structuring and

dealing with derivative products and receivables discounting, promissory note lines,

leasing etc.

4. Advisory Services

The many types of advisory services that can be provided would be in areas of

investment management, venture capital seeking and sourcing, consulting on general

business & strategy.

5. Support Activities

These are miscellaneous services like research (support during issues or generally as

industry analysis or company analysis), funding or internal financing and information

services or brokering

While the above is more of a services view of an investment bank, many are distinguished by

way of desks that revolve around presenting and executing new investment opportunities to

the clients like:

1. Sales – Offering of trading strategies through liaising with the traders and researchers

on what they have in their books and their knowledge of the market. Sales is also

responsible for raising capital on behalf of companies and governments by placing

bonds and shares with investors

2. Trading - Traders make prices, book trades and manage risk on behalf of clients. They

generally liaise with the sales team on their desk to understand what clients want, what

ideas Sales and Research are pushing to clients and whether these are realistic

according to market prices.

3. Research - Depending on the desk, researchers are often client facing with Sales,

presenting their research and ideas on how different markets will perform. This might

include analysis of a company or industry sector’s financial performance, or an opinion

on the GDP growth prospects of a particular country.

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4. Structuring - These are the people who create the more complex, over-the-counter

instruments, they have their own desks and interface with clients. There are hundreds

of trading desks globally in large investment banks, but they can be split into some key

areas:

a. EQUITY - These desks handle investments in various companies across the world.

Investors typically buy and sell equity in companies based on expectations of

future profitability. The Research function plays an important part:

i. Analysts examine company performance, investigate industry trends and

scrutinize any issues impacting the companies’ finances.

ii. Traders pay close attention to results statements, but any information

that could affect future financial performance of a company will result in

swift buying or selling activity.

b. DEBT - Also known as fixed income, many banks buy and sell debt (typically

bonds) issued by governments, institutions and corporate entities. Organizations

issue debt instruments in order to secure funds for a fixed term, perhaps 5-10

years. Investors buy bonds for the regular interest payments they receive before

an instrument matures and the debt is repaid. Debt is sometimes considered less

fast-paced than equities due to a higher proportion of longer-term investors.

c. MONEY MARKETS & FOREIGN EXCHANGE - Money market desks typically lend

and borrow large amounts for very short-term periods (usually from a day to

three months).

d. DERIVATIVES - These are complex instruments based on the performance of an

underlying asset, e.g. debt or equity. Derivatives are a way of dealing in a

particular financial instrument in the future under specific circumstances, so they

are often used to manage risk. More complex still are structured products –

derivatives based on multiple, market factors. These instruments are often

tailored to very specific needs and as such require a detailed knowledge of

market dynamics and risk modeling to make the structured product attractive to

the client and profitable for the bank.

BO U T I Q U E F I R M S

Boutique firms require that they maintain a close relationship with the big banks as they would

be called upon a regular basis to provide the expertise that they have gained or have a core

competence on. By employing boutique firms, the major firms get access to the special

knowledge that a boutique firm possesses. Such an arrangement is not a rarity in the

investment banking industry as it is better always to slice the pie and give some small pieces

rather than keep the whole.

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S T R U C T U R E F O R D E L I V E R Y O F F I N A N C I A L SE R V I C E S

The figure below presents three alternative structures for the undertaking of nontraditional

activities by commercial banks: the universal bank, in which the nontraditional activity is

consolidated within the same corporate unit as the bank; the holding company affiliate, in

which the bank is in one subsidiary of a holding company and the nontraditional activity is in

another subsidiary of the holding company; and the operating subsidiary, in which the

nontraditional activity is located in a subsidiary of the bank. 23

A pure universal bank is one that manufactures and distributes all financial services within a

single corporate structure, while the German variant combines commercial and investment

banking in a single corporation but conducts other financial activities through separately

capitalized subsidiaries. A universal bank can also be considered a financial conglomerate. The

Joint Forum on Financial Conglomerates24 defines financial conglomerates as “any group of

companies under common control whose exclusive or predominant activities consist of

providing significant services in at least two different financial sectors (banking, securities,

insurance)” (Joint Forum, 1995: 1). Bancassurance, a marketing arrangement wherein banks sell

insurance products, that involves affiliated firms also meets the definition of a financial

conglomerate.

The structure that a bank adopts in delivering integrated financial services is influenced

primarily by regulation. There are also other factors, including the historical development of a

country’s financial markets, market power, and economies of scale and scope.25

Figure: Three Alternative Structures

Source: Shull and White, 1998

23

Shull, Bernard, and Lawrence White. 1998. Of Firewalls and Subsidiaries: The Right Stuff for Expanded Bank

Activities. (extracted from the SSRN archives - http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=164498) 24

The Joint Forum was established in 1996 under the aegis of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, the

International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), and the International Association of Insurance

Supervisors (IAIS), in order to take forward the work of the Tripartite Group on a range of issues relating to the

supervision of financial conglomerates. 25

Skipper, Harold. 2000. Financial Services Integration Worldwide: Promises and Pitfalls. (extracted from the World

Bank website - http://www.worldbank.org.cn/English/content/skipper.pdf)

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B E N E F I T S A N D C O S T S O F UN I V E R S A L B A N K I N G

BENEFITS COSTS

1. Informational Advantages

a. More information from clients via

various products offered

b. Developing of long-term relationships

and offer better terms to the clients

2. Economies of scope

a. Information access, distribution and

marketing economies, risk mgmt.

b. Lower transaction costs, negotiating

better deals, potential for lower

product prices for customers in

competitive environment

3. Economies of scale

a. Overhead reduction in administration,

back office operation, IT & investment

banking style operations

b. Also allows exploitation of scope

economies

4. Risk diversification

a. Stable revenue streams

b. Higher profits in periods of

disintermediation

5. Increase in revenue generation

a. Cross-selling of different services &

products

1. Conflicts of interest

a. Abuse of trust – sell low-quality

securities without explaining risks

2. Reduction in competition

a. Reduce scope of competition.

Tradeoff between safety & soundness

3. Concentration of Economic & Political

power

4. Monitoring

a. More difficult to supervise

b. More difficult for the market to

monitor

5. Expansion of safety net

a. Safety net of deposit taking

institutions maybe extended to

investment banking activities of banks

R E A L I Z A T I O N O F T H E PO T E N T I A L B E N E F I T S A N D C O S T S ( t h r o u g h v a r i o u s c o r p o r a t e s t r u c t u r e s )

The extent to which the potential benefits of integrated banking can be realized depends

largely on the organizational model that is permitted to adopt for the commercial banking and

securities activities. Three models can be distinguished:

(i) the universal banking model;

(ii) the bank-parent model; and

(iii) the holding company model.

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Benefits/ Costs Universal Banking Bank - Parent Holding Company

Informational

Advantage

Realization to the full

extent

Maybe reduced if

bank-parent do not

share information

Severely reduced as

units are restricted

from exchange of

information

Economies of scale and

scope

Realization to the full

extent

Somewhat reduced

due to introduction of

operational separate-

ness & activities not

fully integrated

Reduced as operational

separateness requires

development and

operation of separate

units – increased costs

of operation

Diversification of

sources of revenue

Realization to the full

extent

As profits accrue to

the bank, impact of

diversification can be

realized at bank level

Limited as revenues

generated by securities

activities accrue to that

unit

Cross-selling benefits &

revenue increase

Realization to the full

extent

Can only be realized to

the extent that bank

can use its outlets to

cross-sell products

Limited

Competition reduction Potentially Potentially Potentially

Conflicts of interest Limited safeguards Potential reduction in

conflict of interests

Potential reduction in

conflict of interests

Extension of

government safety net

Limited safeguards Dependent on the

existence of firewalls

and requirements of

arm’s length trans-

actions.

Bank unit is insulated to

a certain degree from

failure of securities

business and holding

company is limited to

the extent of capital

infusion it can provide

to securities subsidiary

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P H I L I P P I N E S IN V E S T M E N T B A N K I N G IN D U S T R Y

I N V E S T M E N T HO U S E S - DE S C R I P T I O N

These are enterprises that are engaged in underwriting securities of other corporations,

dealership and brokering of securities that are not authorized to perform commercial banking

activities. Therefore, these enterprises cannot take in deposits or draw funds from the public

unless granted a Quasi-banking (QB) license. Also, such enterprises may perform trust and

fiduciary functions subject to BSP approval.

From the above description, the investment houses in Philippines can be divided into sub-

categories:

� Investment houses with Quasi Banking Licenses

o These entities with a minimum capitalization of Php 300 million are regulated by

BSP and SEC, allowed to source funds from more than 19 lenders or investors at

any time through deposit substitutes.

� Investment houses without Quasi-Banking Licenses

o These entities also have a minimum capitalization of Php 300 million and are

regulated by the BSP. However, they are allowed to source their funds from not

more than 19 lenders or investors at any time through deposit substitutes

unlike banks and other corporate issuers.

Of the above investment houses there can be another categorization i.e., being either bank-

affiliated (as part of universal bank or commercial bank) or independent house.

PR O F I L E O F I N V E S T M E N T HO U S E S

The investment houses profile of the Philippines can be described in the context of the above

categories. Currently, there are 35 investment houses in the Philippines out of which 6 possess

a QB license and account for approximately 53% of total resources of the sector.26 There are 11

bank-affiliated investment houses among the total number of firms in the country. The total

assets of the investment houses as of 2006 were Php 72.372 Billion and the total net-worth as

of the same year of all the investment houses was Php 29.922 Billion. The average ROA stood at

approx. 3% while the ROE was 7% for the year 2006.

The other salient features of the investment houses to understand the dynamics of the industry

are that about 50% of the assets under the management of the investment houses are held in

Trading Account Securities and as investments in bonds & other debt instruments.27

26

‘Role of Investment Houses as Catalysts of the Capital Markets’, IHAP, December 2006. 27

‘Role of… Capital Markets’, ibid

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RE G U L A T I O N S A N D T I M E L I N E

Presidential Decree No. 129 (PD No. 129 or Investment Houses Law)

The decree was promulgated in 1973 vesting upon the investment houses the franchise to

underwrite, on a firm basis, the distribution of any and all securities. It formalized the scope

and powers of Investment Houses:

� Arrange to underwrite, on a firm basis, the securities of other corporations or the

Government;

� Act as financial consultant, advisor, or broker;

� Promote, sponsor, or otherwise assist and implement venture projects, and

programs that contribute to the economy’s development;

� Encourage companies to go public, and initiate and/or promote the formation,

merger, consolidation, reorganization, expansion or recapitalization of productive

enterprises;

� Subject to prior approval by the Monetary Board, to engage in foreign exchange

operations.

Regulatory Timeline

The Philippines went through its own set of regulatory changes in the financial sector over the

years that had its impact on the investment banking industry also. A timeline of such changes is

given below for understanding the evolvement of the investment banking regulations in

Philippines.

The timeline and the implications are tabulated below:

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Year Regulation Implications

1949 RA No. 337

General Banking Law

Shares the fundamental philosophy underlying the Glass-Steagall

Act of 1933 segregating the functions and allowable

undertakings of a commercial bank vis-à-vis an investment bank.

1960 Investment Company

Act

Served as a predecessor of PD 129

1973 PD 129

Investment Houses

Law

Envisioned the creation of a class of financial intermediaries

which served the function of actively promoting the securities or

capital markets through underwriting, brokering/dealing,

financial advisory, and portfolio management.

1980s RA No. 337

(amended)

Creation of a category known as Expanded Commercial Banks or

Universal Banks

� Grants commercial banks with expanded banking functions

(i.e., “Universal Banks”) to engage in activities outside the

traditional and allied functions of banks

� Essentially allows “universal banks” to perform the functions

of an Investment House in addition to their regular

commercial banking functions

1977 RA No. 8366 Sets the Investment Banking industry more in line with global

standards

� Foreign ownership of up to 60% of the voting stock of any

investment house

� Increased paid-up capital requirement to Php 300 million for

new investment houses

o Existing houses given two years to comply with

minimum paid-up capital requirement

� Promotes foreign investment and participation, endorsing

global competitiveness

2002 SEC Omnibus Rules &

Regulations for Uni-

banks and

Investment houses

with QB licenses

Provides supporting legislation for Investment Houses’ primary

function of underwriting through the establishment of risk

management requirements

� Investment houses are made to comply with the capital

adequacy requirements prescribed by the Monetary Board

of the BSP

� Prohibits investment houses from undertaking underwriting

commitments in an amount exceeding twenty (20) times its

net worth

2006 BSP Circular The Monetary Board –reopened window for granting QB licenses

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M A R K E T O U T L O O K

G L O B A L DE A L S O U T L O O K 28

The rapid globalization of capital continues to propel global Initial Public Offering (IPO) markets

forward with powerful momentum, as new issuances raised the greatest amount of capital ever

in 2006 and the first quarter of 2007 saw several large IPOs. The emerging markets remain the

wellspring of the world’s most vibrant growth stories, with China fueling Asian markets, and

Russia driving European markets. Chinese companies raised the most capital, including the

world’s largest IPO ever, thanks to its headline-grabbing IPOs. Regionally, European exchanges

hosted the most IPOs, sparked by the popularity of London as the top listings destination for

cross-border issuers, especially from Russia. Among countries, the US, which still has the most

sophisticated and mature capital market, launched the highest number of IPOs in 2006 and in

the first quarter of 2007.

Heated rivalry among the world’s exchanges for cross-border listings has led to many attempts

at bourse partnerships, including the NYSE Euronext merger, successfully completed in 2007. At

the same time, with the vast surge in liquidity on local exchanges, most of the world’s largest

IPOs are now listing at home. Finally, in the past 18 months, private equity firms have been

powerhouse players behind many of the world’s large IPOs, as financial sponsors buy

companies, add shareholder value, and take them public.

Trends in IPO activity can be difficult to predict. However, as long as conditions remain

favorable, the packed IPO pipelines in 2007 indicate a diverse range of large, but not super-

sized, profitable companies ready to come to the market on the world’s exchanges in the

months to come. In the past 18 months, key IPO trends reflect the effects of globalization:

flourishing stock markets awash in liquidity, vibrant growth in the emerging markets, escalating

rivalry between the world’s stock exchanges, the rise of more world-class financial centers, the

boom in large listings on local exchanges, and the proliferation of capital-raising options,

especially private equity’s emergence as a key player behind so many large IPOs. In 2007,

globalizing capital and a surge in IPO ready companies worldwide are broadening the horizons

of the world’s financial markets.

HU N T FO R HI G HE R R E T U R N S I N EM E R G I N G MA R K E T S

Eager investors seeking high-growth stories are heating up the fast-growing emerging markets.

In 2006, IPOs coming from BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, and China) raised US$86.5 billion

in 279 deals. Emerging market IPOs raised US$20.6 billion on foreign exchanges, mostly in

London reflecting the belief that more institutional investors could be tapped abroad than on

the domestic exchange. From 2001 to 2003, emerging market economies began growing rapidly

which in turn began the migration of capital from the developed economies into the emerging

economies, leading to global rebound in IPO activity that continues into 2007. The bottom line

is that in recent years emerging markets have outperformed developed markets. Emerging

28

Ernst & Young, Transaction Advisory Services, Strategic Growth Markets, “Global IPO Trends Report, 2007”

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markets as an asset class are up 30-40% in 2006 as opposed to global markets that were up 15-

19%. 29

GO I N G LO CA L

Even as capital becomes more global, there’s no place like home for most companies going

public as evidenced by the fact that the vast majority of the IPOs stay local. Around the world,

companies still prefer to list where they live. The growth of local liquidity and international

investor interest has enabled even the largest of companies to list at home. If at all a company

does a dual listing, the primary reason usually is that the domestic market is not big enough for

doing a transaction.

Most pre-listed companies prefer to stay local for their IPOs since their customer base is usually

local, and it is local investors who best understand their business. For most companies, the local

markets are where infrastructure, investors and liquidity can most easily be found, and where

investor relations, regulatory framework, and market expectations are the most familiar.

Deepening worldwide liquidity is making the trend towards localization possible. Global growth

in institutional and retail markets and the localization of global asset managers in the emerging

markets are producing greater liquidity. Analysts point to the Asian capital markets as a good

example of the localization trend—global asset managers have relocated people, capital and

resources to the region in order better manage larger and dedicated pools of capital focused on

Asia. As a result, most global asset managers can now invest directly in emerging markets.

M&A A S A N A T T R A CT I V E O P T I O N T O IPO

Many global companies view a trade sale through M&A as an appealing alternative to a

traditional IPO, especially if there’s a buyer willing to pay a premium. In 2006, global M&A

volumes rose to their highest peaks ever at US$3.8 trillion. The frenetic deal-making pace looks

unlikely to slow down this year. With M&A’s significant deal activity last year, many companies

which were IPO candidates chose the M&A track instead. A strategic sale becomes a top option,

because there is certainty and realization of cash is much quicker than through an IPO. Fueling

the M&A activity is the unprecedented eagerness of banks and hedge funds to lend money to

deal-makers, cash-rich private equity funds, lower interest rates, cheap credit, an “eat-or-be-

eaten” pressure felt by CEOs, and the vigorous worldwide economy.

PH I L I P P I N E DE A L S O U T L O O K

Investors renewed sense of optimism in the Philippine economy is being reflected in the

buoyant stock market. The Philippine Stock Exchange index reached new highs, closing at 3,665

at the end of June 2007, an 18% growth from December 2006. Companies are actively engaged

in stock rights offerings and initial public offerings. These include the US $370 million stock

rights offering of the Alliance Global Group, and the IPOs of National Reinsurance Corporation

and Pacific Online Systems Corporation, raising US $52.3 million and US $7.6 million

respectively. This positive sentiment is also being mirrored in higher foreign portfolio

29

Goldman Sachs International, Equity Capital Markets, “Understanding New Markets: Beyond the BRICs”, April

2007.

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investments of US $1,673 million for the first 5 months of 2007, which was 152% higher for the

same period in 2006. 30

DE A L ACT I V I T Y

The value of money raised in IPOs in comparison to the rest of the countries in the Asia Pacific

region has not been much in Philippines. However, the outlook for the IPO market is bullish

given the fact that approx. US $ 1 billion was raised in the year 2006. 31

The value of announced deals was up by 42% to US $2.3 billion for the first half of 2007, with

deal volume increasing to 88 as compared to the 59 for the first half of 2006. The increase in

deal volume, specifically in inbound investments, can be attributed to the increased optimism

with respect to the economic and political environment of the country.

DE A LS OU T LO O K

The Philippine macroeconomic fundamentals has been showing strength as evidenced by the

higher than expected 2007 half-year growth, low interest rates and a strong Peso. Investors

remain bullish on the economy, with the mining and BPO sectors expected to spearhead the

growth.

Mining Sector

The Philippines being one of the world’s largest deposits of metallic and non-metallic mineral

sources, mining is expected to grow significantly. It has reported in various national and local

dailies that some 300 firms have already positioned themselves for the mining boom. In

retrospect, the Supreme Court of the Philippines ruled that the 1995 Mining Act was

constitutional, thus confirming the permissibility of 100% foreign-owned mining contracts.

Property Sector

There is also renewed confidence in the property sector. Property demand is seen to be driven

by BPOs, tourism and housing demand from OFWs. This is reflected in the consolidation of the

property companies of Villar-owned Vista Land, Lifescapes and C&P Homes.

The President’s trip to China in April 2007 resulted in the property development deal of the Fort

Bonifacio property estimated at US $2-4 billion. The proponents of this project are the Shimao

Group of China and the Bases Conversion Development Authority. Alliance Global Group

likewise consolidated its interest in Megaworld, another major property firm in the Philippines

specializing in office spaces for BPOs by increasing the stake in the latter by 25% in February 07.

Privatization of Government Assets

Given the Philippine fiscal situation, the main thrust of the government is to raise money via

selling government assets. The government-owned National Power Corporation was a major

contributor to the deficit and thus was put up for sale. The government is expected to raise at

30

PricewaterhouseCoopers, Asia Pacific M&A Bulletin, Mid-year 2007. 31

Source: Dealogic, Thomson Financial.

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least US $ 1,081 million from the privatization of power plants. Also, the country’s major

seaports and airports have been up for auction. These include the Laguindingan airport in

Misamis Oriental, the North Harbor in Tondo and the Batangas port, all of which have been

expressed interests upon by both foreign companies (mainly Korean like Daewoo, Samsung etc)

and other local listed companies. The government is also including for sale its 29% stake in

Meralco and the Lopez group is readying itself for the purchase.

Despite the deficit target, the government will continue its spending, allocating US $ 3.1 billion

for infrastructure projects in 2007. These government-led activities, coupled with the promising

outlook for the economy as a whole, will continue to feed the increased M&A trend for the

foreseeable future.

C O M P E T I T I V E E N V I R O N M E N T

The best way to understand the competition that the target company is part of is by scanning

the environment along the lines that the industry has segregated investment banks viz. Full

service firms and Boutique firms. However, in the Philippines context and the structure for

delivery of the financial services that these investment banks offer, it is easier to segregate the

competition along the lines of being universal bank affiliated and being independent

investment houses. The target company falls in the latter category which incidentally would

also include the global investment banks like UBS, ATR Kim-Eng, Deutsche Bank etc.

BAN K AF FI L I A T E D I -BAN K S

PE R F O R M A N C E

The PSE website offers a link that provides a list of companies that have taken themselves

public through IPO or have offered a secondary IPO in the past 18 months. The same link also

has a list of companies that have applied with the PSE for listing of their shares in the exchange.

These two lists in many ways offer the first and the most compelling market insight into the

performance and the market share of the bank affiliated investment houses.

An approximate total of Php 41 billion has been raised from the market in the past 18 months

via 11 companies that have got listed. Of the total amount of money raised approx. Php 39

billion has been underwritten by BDO Capital – lead underwriter, an affiliate of the universal

bank, Banco de Oro (the 2nd largest bank in the Philippines with total assets of Php 650 billion).

That alone accounts for almost 96% of the total deals in value of money that has been raised. In

terms of number of deals, BDO Capital has been the lead underwriter in 7 out of a total of 11

companies. There was one issue that had a secondary foreign underwriter among the 7

companies that BDO Capital took public. Also, an interesting subtext to be followed is the

presence of BDO Uni Bank as the receiving bank for the proceeds in 3 of the 7 IPOs that BDO

Capital underwrote.

The above statistics show the market dominance of BDO Capital. Such a dominance translates

itself into visibility and most importantly, towards the creation of a reputation. With accolades

such as the “Best Investment Bank of the Philippines 2006- 2007” by FinanceAsia.com, “Best

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Domestic Investment Bank in Philippines – 2006” by the Asset Magazine or “Best Debt House of

the Philippines – 2006 -2007” or “Best Equity House of the Philippines – 2006-2007” by

AsiaMoney 32, BDO Capital leaves almost all of its competitors far behind in a country that still is

developing the finance and capital market.

At the same time, the other bank affiliated investment houses are also picking up deals albeit of

small value. However, the intensity of the competition is best understood in the recent case of

bids for underwriting Splash Corporation who have chosen First Metro Investment Corporation,

the investment banking arm of the Metrobank Group, the largest Uni-bank in the Philippines as

their lead underwriter for their approx. Php 2 Billion offering.

While the IPO market dynamics give an indication of the market power of the bank-affiliated

investment houses, the outlook in the M&A market and the importance of reputation and

brand-building should also be taken into consideration. The question that lingers is – Can an

independent bank survive in this environment and the answer goes back to the Porter’s

framework where it was concluded that independent players can survive by offering niche

services that the big guns of bank-affiliated investment houses would gladly outsource.

SE R V I C E O F F E R I N G S & BE N E F I T S

Most of the bank-affiliated investment houses are full service firms offering a wide array of

services ranging from equity and debt underwriting, loan syndication, financial advisory/

mergers and acquisitions, project finance, direct equity investments, off-balance sheet facilities,

private placement and securities trading.

Also, the affiliation to the bank gives the investment house access to a distribution network

that is simply not available with an independent firm. Also, the uni-bank gives the investment

house a certain amount of “bragging” rights about how the investment house is attached to a

bank that occupies market leading positions in the core business lines of corporate and middle-

market banking, consumer banking, credit cards, asset management, remittances, leasing and

finance.

The presence and geographic reach of the uni-bank also places the investment house in a

unique position of gaining market intelligence and information which is the key success factor

for an investment house.

IN DE P EN D EN T I -BAN K S

The assessment of independent investment banks’ performance can be done by way of

understanding their service offerings:

32

Information sourced from BDO Capital & Investment Corporation, Presentation of Credentials. October 2007.

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FO R E I G N I N V E S T M E N T B A N K S

Strategic focus areas

� One Stop Shopping The investment banking arms of major foreign banks and financial

conglomerates have begun making inroads by offering themselves as a one-stop shop

for the total financing and advisory needs of Filipino companies. They offer a diverse

range of services by bringing in their expertise in risk management practices coupled

with their access to global markets. These investment banks offer not just their core

service but also securities, asset management, consumer finance and insurance (or

sometimes reinsurance).

� Economic Globalization These banks are only making the Filipino corporations respond

to economic globalization by making them aware of the progress made in financial

technology and development of the infrastructure that allows for greater cross-border

movements of funds and information.

� Developing a Brand Strategy In addition these banks are leveraging on their

reputation and their historical performance to influence and impress their Filipino

clients. It is a proven marketing theory that when a company wins the trust of its

customers and maintains ongoing relations with them, the company’s brand has a

positive impact on customers when they purchase products or services; in other words,

the foreign investment banks have gained a competitive advantage by leveraging on

their past performance outside Philippines.

Foreign Investment Banks’ Performance

The foreign banks that are operating their investment banking division in Philippines

include among others UBS, Deutsche Bank, ATR Kim-Eng etc. The last mentioned firm is

even a publicly listed company that is ranking fourth (the top 3 banks being bank affiliated)

in the country among all investment banks in terms of Total Assets. The company focuses

primarily on corporate finance (capital raising (equity & debt), debt restructuring, financial

advisory and direct equity investments. However, one of the firm’s greatest strength is

their presence in an array of financial services viz. Broking securities through its 100%

subsidiary ATRKE Securities which in 2006, it was awarded the Best Broker in Philippines by

Finance Asia, insuring through its subsidiary companies ALGA (a lead insurer in the group

benefits market) and ALFA, a provider of quality life products for individuals) and property

development through its subsidiary ATRKE Land which currently is jointly developing a

property in a JV with Landco Pacific Corporation.33

As for UBS and Deutsche Bank, they are leveraging on their research and access of capital

in other markets in approaching corporations that do not have access to foreign/ global

markets but have large financing needs. However, in July 2007, two IPO offerings had both

these banks play the role of co-lead underwriter. UBS underwrote jointly with BDO, the

Aboitiz Power Corporation IPO offering of Php 1 billion and is being increasingly seen as a

33

Source: ATR Kim-Eng Annual and Quarterly SEC filings of December 2006 and June 2007.

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partner in bringing the foreign exchange portion in any large equity or debt offering.34

Similarly, Deutsche Bank co-underwrote the GMA Network offering of Php 776 million with

ATR Kim-Eng. These two deals illustrate the major inroads that the foreign players have

started to make into the investment banking industry in Philippines.

In addition to the above banks, there are other foreign banks that have specific focus

industries like Macquarie Bank (Metals and Mining industry), Standard Bank (Mining),

Banca Intesa (Oil & Gas), ABN Amro Bank (energy deals) etc who are positioning

themselves as experts in their industry.

LO C A L I N V E S T M E N T B A N K S A N D T H E I R R O U T E T O W A R D S C A P T U R I N G D E A L S

Services Offered

� Focus on traditional areas of strength Most of the local investment houses have gone

through their own cycle of growth while at the same time the ones who have survived

also have faced their moment of truth – Asian Financial Crisis. However, most of the

successful firms have renewed their focus by looking at what they were good at

initially and returning to the same.

� Focus on clientele, offer broad array of services From being “everything to everyone”,

the more successful investment houses are focusing on being “everything to someone”.

The focus has changed to acquiring and retaining clients i.e. each investment house

have in their clientele at the least one conglomerate which is on a growth stage of its

business cycle.

� Personalized and Tailored services The products and the people handling the deals are

structured as a “partnership” where there is an emphasis on a “pledge” of personal

time and commitment that would lead to the delivery of timely and accurate research

products and investment advice, the timely execution as well as efficient and reliable

settlement of all deals.

� Claim Local Knowledge Provide services that are broad in their array and which are

rooted on expert knowledge of Philippine market.

Local Investment Banks’ Performance

The focused nature of the local investment houses has enabled them a positioning of being

niche players and therefore making them a sought-after partner when it comes to specific

transactions. For instance, AB Capital generally is a preferred partner in capital raising activity

due to its strong focus on capital markets and in the past 18 months has been involved in a

couple of IPOs including the Php 658 million offering by i-Remit Inc where AB Capital was the

co-underwriter. Also, it has established itself as a leading player in the area of fund

management and offering investment management services to high net-worth individuals.

34

Information gleaned from interviews with equity and debt managers of a large bank-affiliated investment bank

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Similarly, while Asian Alliance has been involved in equity fund raising activities, its focus has

shifted to being an investment house that has become an outsourcing arm for US equity

research. The Multinational Group has primarily become a merchant banking firm and financing

company in developing local enterprises. It has a QB license also which it uses to borrow funds

from more than 20 lenders for re-lending purposes.

I N D U S T R Y A N A L Y S I S (5 F O R C E S F R A M E W O R K )

1. INTERNAL RIVALRY - HIGH

The structure of the investment banking industry in Philippines is somewhat puzzling – some

elements point towards collusion, others towards intense marketplace competition. The

industry seems to have low barriers to entry for small, upstart players but very high barriers to

catapulting firms into bulge bracket status. No wonder, then, that historically, the industry has

resembled a pyramidal structure, with the “bulge bracket” firms at the top and “boutique”

banks at the bottom. The existence of relatively few competitors in the bulge bracket reduces

rivalry. There appears to be cooperation among the major banks, and except for distribution,

concerted efforts have been made to prevent the business from being a commodity-like

business especially since the clientele itself appears very limited. However, times are changing,

and since the various amendments in the regulations in the Philippines and the repealing of the

Glass-Steagall Act, which effectively prevented commercial banks from being in the investment

banking business, competition has grown fiercer.

2. SUPPLIER BARGAINING POWER - HIGH

Supplier bargaining power has traditionally been high, but it might diminish in the face of new

competitive challenges. Investment banking is essentially a relationships business, and stronger

the network of critical investors a bank has, the more supplier power it has, and the more rents

it can extract. In addition, some banks are more specialized in some industries than other banks,

and this gives them additional supplier power in that particular industry.

There is also a need for specific talent which is also manifested by the large number of

independents who are trying desperately to differentiate by providing specific services like

securitization or research support. Also, there appears to exist a private pool of capital suppliers

who keep deals private and in-house instead of approaching capital markets for their funding

needs.

3. BUYER BARGAINING POWER - HIGH

Buyer bargaining power is considerable on the surface. Switching from one investment bank to

another seems to entail few costs. In spite of this, statistical studies show that investment

banks enjoy significant client-base loyalty. Buyer bargaining power should be on the rise owing

to the increase in the number of suppliers of investment banking services and also because of

innovations such as Internet IPOs and online brokerages. The reduced spreads should reduce

industry profits. However, a closer look at the industry has convinced us that the typical users

of the major investment banks are quality-conscious and relatively price-insensitive.

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4. SUBSTITUTES - LOW

Historically, there were no clear substitutes for services such as IPOs, underwriting, distribution,

M&A advisory, etc. Technology, however, is changing that. Though still at a germinal stage, it is

generating unprecedented alternatives that go towards reducing setup costs of investment

banks thereby attracting more entry and further driving profits down. However, the Philippines

market is not appearing to be moving towards such a substitute. But the attraction of emerging

markets ever increasing, such threats cannot be totally ignored.

5. THREAT OF NEW ENTRANTS - LOW

Securities firms and commercial banks without a substantial history of involvement in classic

investment banking have long eyed the investment banking being the profitable end of the

business with envy. After the repealing of the Glass-Steagall Act, commercial banks and other

financial service organizations are making a determined effort to edge their way into

investment banking services. This is true not only of domestic banks, but also of foreign banks

with merchant banking competence developed in other markets around the world. However,

the capitalization requirement of Php 300 Million combined with the importance of

institutional reputation and brand equity makes it high barrier to entry. Refer also the issues

raised under ‘Internal Rivalry’.

Complementary Services: An important issue to consider is whether it is wiser for an

investment bank to merge with a commercial bank or an insurance company and form a

financial conglomerate, a “universal bank”, or operate as a stand-alone investment bank. The

recent trend has certainly been towards consolidation or bundling of services.

CONCLUSION

The Philippines investment banking industry behaves almost like the global investment banking

industry by locking out any potential new entrants by creating high barriers of entry via an

informal collusion or alliance while at the same time being fiercely competitive with each other.

The established players charge a premium for their services due to the high quality

recommendations that they provide due to their market experience and expertise. However,

they also outsource the services that they do not have a competence in to the niche firms

thereby playing a bridge-role that in some ways keep the niche players from aspiring for bigger

deals. All this leads to the closed boys club that places a high rating on the quality of

relationships and networks which in turn lead to word-of-mouth knowledge on viable and

potential deals within large Philippine conglomerates.

The niche players also play a very important role by studying the market and providing research

support to the large deals. This places them in a position of gaining market intelligence and this

puts them in a unique position of being able to gauge trends from a distance and even create or

make trends. Most foreign players have taken a niche route of penetrating the market.

In conclusion, the industry is unattractive for new entrants while remaining viable and

favorable for entrenched players.