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8/4/2019 Investment Risks
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Trading Guide 1
Eective Risk
Management
8/4/2019 Investment Risks
2/14
Contents
Introduction
Risk Warning
Insufcient Risk Management
Understanding Risk
Risk Management
the Lieblood o any Trader
Position sizing
Two percent rule
Support resistance
Exit strategy
Step 1 Stop Loss
Step 2 - Take Proft
Breakout strategy
Calculating Margin
How to calculate your total exposure
Control your leverage
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
11
12
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Intro
du
ction
Before you start it is important to ensure that you are aware of the risks
associated with spread betting. Please take a minute to view the risk warning
and disclaimer below before proceeding.
Risk Warning
Spread Betting is a leveraged product and carries a high level of risk to
your capital and it is possible to lose more than your initial investment. Only
speculate with money you can afford to lose.
These products may not be suitable for all investors, therefore you must fully
understand the risks involved, and seek independent advice if necessary.
CMC Spreadbet Plc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services
Authority.
Please remember CMC Markets provides an execution-only service.
This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide
trading or investment advice or any personal recommendations.
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A common mistake that people often make is that they dont apply Strategy,
Methodology and Record Keeping to their trades. Too many people enter
trades without adequately thinking of what they want to achieve out of that
position.By minimising risk, you can prevent a substantial loss, ultimately affecting the
preservation of your trading capital.
Within this PDF, we will go through how and when to place a stop loss and how
much risk you should be placing on your trades. We will also discuss another
common mistake that people make which is over leverage.
Insuf
cien
t
riskma
nage
men
t
Having a trading plan, a trading journal and a risk
management plan helps to stabilise your trading
decisions with a logic that can be recorded,
assessed and continually improved on. Craig Inglis
Trader Tip:
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Regardless of market conditions, you still need to take a very active approach
to the way you manage the risks associated with trading.
Its a fact of life that even the most gifted traders have to face the possibility
of making a loss. Its important for all traders to be realistic and put a riskmanagement strategy in place at the earliest opportunity.
Whilst picking the right product is important, no trader gets it right 100% of the
time so it is the preservation of capital that is the most valuable lesson to
learn.
When people rst start trading they enter trades for the excitement value
and the prospect of making a nice return on their money. However, many
new traders ignore the inherent risks and how to manage these risks. Some
products are particularly volatile and this is where the requirement for good
risk management becomes even more important.
Und
ersta
ndin
gris
k
Example of a highly volatile product chart
Too much focus on the upside, with little
regard for an exit strategy on the downside
means you dont know when to exit and
preserve your capital. Michael Hewson
Trader Tip:
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The Lieblood oany Trader
If you dont know where your stop
will go then how many pounds per
point should you trade?
Most position sizing methods
require you to know the answer
to both without knowing this
you cant apply consistent risk
management to your positions.
Learn to be mechanical in your
approach to placing stop losses
and ensure you place them on every
trade you perform. By not having
a mechanical approach to stop
losses, it will allow your heart to take
over. The want for a product price
to turn around and be protable
leads to bigger and bigger losses in
downward markets, making it harderto get out of the trade.
This can lead to being in a trade far
longer than you should be, or want
to be. This is also an ineffective use
of your capital.
Our next generation
spread betting platform
lets you place your
stop loss based on the
approximate amount
of money that you areprepared to lose or based
on a target price. You can
also set a default stop
loss based on margin
requirement.
Note:
Riskma
nage
men
t The other advantage of stop lossesis that they allow you to easilydetermine how much capital to place
on each trade - this is known as riskto reward.
There are numerous different
strategies that you can use to
place more effective stop losses,
giving you a greater chance of a
successful trade, without having to
risk a disproportionate amount on
one trade.
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Risk Management comes down to both where we place our stops and how
much we place on each individual trade, and this is known as position sizing.
There are several position sizing models available and they determine yourrisk based on either a xed pound amount or a xed percentage.
One of the most popular methods is to risk only 2% of your trading capital
on any one trade. Not only does this mean you are risking a very small
amount per trade, relative to your trading account, but it allows you to place
5 or 6 trades and never have more than 10-15% of your trading capital at
risk at any one time.
Two percent rule
Risking no more than 2% of your total capital per trade is a standard
starting point when setting up your risk management plan.
Many professional traders believe even this is too much
- youll need to decide what is right for you.
2% per trade risk formula
Account size x 2% = risk amount per trade
10,000 x 2% = 200 amount per trade
Your system would need to produce more winners than losers.
You would need 60% winners. This has nothing to do with leverage,
as you can use leverage and still stay within 2% equity of your account.
The 80/20 ruleThe Pareto principle is also called the 80/20 rule. This states that 80% of
your prot will come from 20% of your trades, but that you need to protect
your capital so that you can take advantage of these opportunities when
they arise.
Po
sitio
n
sizin
g
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Su
pport
resis
tanc
eThe concept of support and resistance is central to helping us
understand market price movements when studying charts. In order
to ascertain trends (the basis of Technical Analysis) we need to identify
key highs and lows in price.
A resistance level is an area higher than the current market price where the
selling is strong enough to overcome the buying pressure creating a peak or
high. A support level is the opposite of resistance and is an area lower than
the current market price where the buying is strong enough to overcome the
selling pressure creating a trough of low.
On the above chart we have placed a Support level (yellow line) at the key
signicant market lows. As the market approaches this level we have two
main options.
A) History will repeat itself and price will start to rise.
B) We think that fundamental news will override the support level and price
will break through this level and head lower.
For this example lets say we believe that history will repeat itself (A), and we
will base our trading decision on this. We therefore place an order to buy just
above the support level (blue triangle).
Please note: our charts and charting tools are provided solely for
information purposes and must not be relied upon as trading or investment
advice or a personal recommendation.
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Ex
itstr
ateg
y Step 1 Stop LossAs the most important risk
management tool availableto clients, it is important to limit
your risk by placing a stop loss.
CMC Markets suggest one for
you (only available on our next
generation platform) when you
rst place a trade at the margin
requirement for the trade, this can
be altered to a new level if desired. In
this scenario we will place the stop
loss (red line) just below the supportlevel (yellow line) as we believe that if
the price breaks through this level it
will continue to go down and we want
to limit any potential losses.
Another option is to place a trailing
stop* at this level, this new order
type will still offer protection against
the markets moving against you,
but will also rise if the market movesin your favour, effectively locking in
some of that movement.
Step 2 Take Proft
In many cases it is just as important
to set a clear dened take protlevel. You can use support and
resistance levels to help you
determine where that price might be.
In this example we have also placed
a resistance level on the chart and
as we now know this could be an
area where sellers enter the market.
Therefore we want to place a Take
Prot Order (green line) to close out
this trade just below this Resistancelevel to lock in our prot.
* Trailing Stops are only available on our next generation platform.
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Breakout Strategy
For those of you more familiar in the
eld of technical analysis, you canalso have buy signals when the price
breaks out of a resistance level. You
can enter a buy trade just above
this price (blue triangle), we do this
as we are waiting for conrmation
of change in trend, and a signicant
break is enough conrmation.
Taking on board what we have just
learnt, we look for possible supportareas that could provide us with the
perfect place to position our stop
loss. Remember, our next generation
deal ticket will show you how much
(in points or value) you stand to lose
if the price is stopped out.
If you class yourself as risk averse
or you lack the condence in the
upside movement, you could place
your stop just above the rst
support level.
If you regard this price as too close
you could decide to place your stop
loss at the second support level,
though you are now risking more.
Options here are to lower your total
stake size to cater for the bigger
stop loss position. Therefore we are
risking the same amount on both.
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How to calculate yourtotal exposure
Multiply the product price by your
chosen bet size.
For example, if the share price of a
stock is 99.00/100.00 and you wish
to go long (buy) at 10 per point,
what would your exposure be?
100.00 x 10 = 1000 exposure.
Total: 5% margin (Stock ABC)
1000 x 5% = 50
C
alcu
latin
g
m
arg
inWhat are Close-Out levels?
Close-Out levels (or liquidation
levels as theyre referred to on
our Marketmaker platform) arelevels on your account that will
cause your existing positions to be
automatically reduced or closed
out. These levels are to provide our
clients with extra protection against
adverse price movements.
It is important to make sure
you keep an active eye on your
account at all times to ensure youraccount is in order. If further market
movements occur and you are
signicantly overtrading,
CMC Markets reserves the right to
close out (liquidate) your position(s)
without warning to try and protect
you from further losses.
Wed like to remind you that
you should not rely on our rightto liquidate your position to
protect you from going into decit.
Therefore you should consider
using Stop Loss orders to manage
your risk.
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You should consider placing
a threshold on the maximum
leverage that you apply to your
capital. In order to remain relatively
conservative a limit of 3x leverage
may be appropriate.
This would mean that if you had
10,000 in your account then you
wouldnt take on more than 30,000
worth of market exposure.
Contro
lyou
r
lev
erag
e
Your stop losses are very important but if there
is a sudden move in the market, a conservative
amount of market exposure can be of even
greater importance to you.Ashraf Laidi
Trader Tip:
We learnt earlier
(Insufcient RiskManagement) about
placing stop losses at
previous signicant
price levels. These support
areas limit our losses in
price, though if our market
exposure is large the losscan still be quite signicant.
For example a stop loss
at 25 pence equates to a
loss of 2,500 when the
exposure is 10,000. If
the exposure was 5,000
the stop loss of 25 pencewould lead to only a
1,250 loss.
Note
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CMC Spreadbet plc
133 Houndsditch
London EC3A 7BX
United Kingdom
Freephone 0800 0933 633
Tel +44 (0)20 7170 8200Fax +44 (0)20 7170 8498Email [email protected] www.cmcmarkets.co.uk
Registered Number 02589529