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2018 Investor Day

Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

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Page 1: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Page 2: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Disclaimers

2

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS REMINDER

This presentation may contain forward looking statements concerning the future operations, strategies, financial results or other developments of Liberty Mutual Holding Company Inc. and its affiliated entities (collectively the "Company" or "LMHC"). Forward looking statements may contain words and phrases such as “may,” “expects,” “should,” “believes,” “anticipates,” “estimates,” “intends” or similar expressions. Because these forward looking statements are based on estimates and assumptions that are subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Company’s control or are subject to change, actual results could be materially different. The Company’s forward looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation or as of the date referenced and should be regarded solely as the Company’s current plans, estimates and beliefs. The Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward looking statements.

For a more detailed discussion of these and other cautionary statements and risks, visit the Company’s Investor Relations website at www.libertymutualgroup.com/investors, however, some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ include: the occurrence of catastrophic events or terrorist acts, inadequacy of loss reserves; adverse developments involving asbestos, environmental or toxic tort claims and litigation; adverse developments in the cost, availability or ability to collect reinsurance; disruptions to the Company’s relationships with its independent agents and brokers; a rise in interest rates; risks inherent in the Company’s alternative investments in private limited partnerships, limited liability companies, commercial mortgages and natural resource working interests; subjectivity in the determination of impairments on the Company’s investments; unfavorable outcomes from litigation and other legal proceedings, investigations by state and federal authorities or divestitures of prior operations: the Company’s exposure to credit risk in certain of its business operations; changes to insurance laws and regulations; changes in the amount and determinations of statutory capital that the Company must hold to maintain its financial strength and credit ratings; a downgrade in the Company’s claims-paying and financial strength ratings; inflation; political, legal, operational and other risks faced by the Company’s international business; potentially high severity losses involving the Company’s surety products; risks arising out of the Company’s securities lending program; the Company’s utilization of information technology systems and its implementation of technology innovations; difficulties with technology or data security; the Company's ability to successfully integrate operations, personnel and technology from its acquisitions; insufficiency of the Company’s enterprise risk management models and modeling techniques; and changing climate conditions.

DISCLAIMER OF INVESTMENT ADVICE

The information in this Presentation is provided for information only and does not constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or otherwise transact in any investment including any products or services or an invitation, offer or solicitation to engage in any investment activity. It is strongly recommended that you seek professional investment advice before making any investment decision.

Page 3: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Agenda

3

9:00 AM Introduction & Welcome Ed PeñaDirector, Investor Relations

9:05 AM Company Overview David Long Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

9:15 AM Financial Update Chris Peirce Chief Financial Officer

9:30 AM Global Retail Markets Tim SweeneyPresident, Global Retail Markets

10:00 AM Break

10:10 AM Global Risk Solutions Dennis LangwellPresident, Global Risk Solutions

10:40 AM Investments Neeti Bhalla JohnsonChief Investment Officer

11:00 AM Q&A

Page 4: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

2018 Investor DayDavid Long

Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Page 5: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Liberty Mutual Overview

5

Founded in 1912 Businesses

2017 Results

Revenues $39.4B

Assets $142.5B

Fortune 1001 68th

Liberty Mutual Investments

(“LMI”)

Global Retail Markets

East

WestU.S.

Global Risk Solutions

North America Specialty

NationalInsurance

Global Surety

OtherGRS

LibertySpecialtyMarkets

$28BEstimated 2018 NWP

$12BEstimated 2018 NWP

$72BInvested Assets

as of Q3 2018

1 Based on 2017 revenues – as reported.

Page 6: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Financial ResultsChris Peirce

Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Page 7: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Consolidated Financial Results

7

$27,928$29,694

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Net Written Premium

($699)

$1,869

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Pre-Tax Operating (Loss) Income

107.3%98.8%

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Combined Ratio

$1,753

$1,970

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Net Investment Income

($ Millions) ($ Millions)

($ Millions)

Page 8: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Financial Results – Global Retail Markets

8

$20,181

$20,992

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Net Written Premium

$297

$1,364

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Pre-Tax Operating Income

101.2%

95.8%

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Combined Ratio

($ Millions) ($ Millions)

4.0%

5.4 pts

Page 9: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Financial Results – Global Risk Solutions

$7,884

$9,016

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Net Written Premium

($1,243)

$690

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Pre-Tax Operating (Loss) Income

124.6%

99.3%

2017 Q3 YTD 2018 Q3 YTD

Combined Ratio

($ Millions) ($ Millions)

14.4% 25.3 pts

9

Page 10: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Significantly Improved Underwriting Results

10

1 The core combined ratio and core loss ratio exclude catastrophes and net incurred losses attributable to prior years. Effective September 30, 2016, our definition of a catastrophe changed to be a natural catastrophe or terror event exceeding $25 million in

estimated ultimate losses, net of reinsurance, and before taxes. The 2012 ratios have been adjusted to reflect this change.

29.4% 29.7%

2012 Q3 2018 YTD

98.0%

94.2%

2012 Q3 2018 YTD

68.6%

64.5%

2012 Q3 2018 YTD

4.1pts

0.3pts

3.8pts

11

Core Combined Ratio1 Core Loss Ratio1 Expense Ratio

Consolidated Results

Page 11: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Capital Structure & Liquidity Overview

11

$21,014

$7,255

$29,269

as of 9/30/2018

Total Capital

Equity Debt Hybrids

$1,000

12/31/2017 9/30/2018

Holding Company Interest Coverage 5.5x 5.4x

Adjusted Debt / Total Capitalization

(ex. AOCI)1 24.4% 22.6%

RBC LMIC 354% -

A

A

A2

S&P: Stable

A.M. Best: Stable

Moody’s: Stable

Liquidity Facilities as of 9/30/2018 AmountAmount

Available

Unguaranteed Facility $1,000 $1,000

Repurchase Facilities 500 500

FHLB Memberships 5,425 5,001

Total Committed $6,925 $6,501

Available Cash and Short Term Investments 1,510 1,510

Total Liquidity $8,435 $8,011

($ Millions)

1 Assumes that the Series A and B Junior Subordinated Notes receive 100% equity credit.

Page 12: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Debt Maturity Profile

12

($ Millions)

$-

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

'18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '28 '29 '30 '31 '32 '33 '34 '35 '36 '37 '38 '39 '40 '41 '42 '43 '44 '67 '87 '88 '97

Senior Debt Subordinated Debt (Scheduled Maturity) Subordinated Debt (Final Maturity) Surplus Notes

Page 13: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Effective Liability Management

13

• Opportunistic management of debt portfolio

• Over $2B in buybacks since 2011

– Cumulative NPV of $573M

• Level interest expense since 2011 while raising an additional $2.8B in capital

$5.5

$6.3 $6.6

$7.2 $7.2

$7.7

$8.3 $8.3

7.6%

6.8%

6.2%6.0% 5.9%

5.5%5.2% 5.2%

$4.0

$4.5

$5.0

$5.5

$6.0

$6.5

$7.0

$7.5

$8.0

2.8%

4.8%

6.8%

8.8%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Total Debt Average Interest Rate (LTD)

Page 14: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Strong Enterprise Risk Management Capabilities

14

“Risk management culture is viewed favorably as Liberty has established a

culture of accountability that does not reward taking outsized risks for

short-term gains. The company’s mature governance structure,

comprehensive reporting that clearly identifies risk exposures and aggregation

levels, and significant oversight from senior management and the board

compares favorably to other positively rated peers.”

“The group has an extensive ERM program in place that is proven and

demonstrable. Managing risk is a core competency of the group and

integrated throughout its worldwide operations.”

Page 15: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Reduced Long-tail Liability ExposureAdverse Development Covers (“ADC”)

15

Liberty Mutual ADC Ironshore ADC

$3.3

$3.2

$12.5

$15.8

$19.0

Retention

Ceded recoverable at

inception

Limits remaining at

inception $6.5 B

Coverage

Limit

$400

$300

$475

$2,052

$2,752

$3,227

Retention

Ceded recoverable

at inception

(95% p/o $500M) Limits

remaining at inception$875

Coverage

LimitLess Corridor (retained)

$2,452

Structure

• Reinsured: Liberty Mutual Insurance

Company and affiliates

• Reinsurer: National Indemnity Company

(NICO)

• Effective: 1/1/2014

• Provides $6.5B reinsurance coverage

excess of $12.5B retention

• Subject Business:

• Net WC Accident Years 2013 & prior

• Net A&E Policy Years 2004 & prior

Structure

• Reinsured: Ironshore

• Reinsurer: National Indemnity

Company (NICO)

• Effective: 5/1/2017

• Provides $875M reinsurance coverage

excess of $2,052M retention and

$300M primary loss corridor

• Subject Business:

• Global Ironshore including

Pembroke

• Net Accident Years 2016 & prior

As of September 30, 2018

($ Billions)$- $-

($ Millions)

$12.5 $2,052

Page 16: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Global Retail MarketsTim Sweeney

Executive Vice President & President, Global Retail Markets

Page 17: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Global Retail Markets Overview

17

85%

6%5%

4%

Asia

U.S.

LatAm

W. Europe

NWP ($B)

Geography

24.2 25.2 26.6

21.0

20172015 2016 2018 Q3 YTD

52% global GDP access in 16 countries

across our 3 regions

$28B in estimated 2018 premium

30K employees worldwide

6#6 ranked Personal Lines and Small

Commercial insurer globally

11 languages spoken11

Page 18: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

GRM Regional Model

18

GRM U.S. $24B GRM West $3B GRM East $1B

UNITED STATES

BRAZIL

IRELAND

PORTUGAL

SPAIN

COLOMBIA

ECUADOR

CHILE

RUSSIA

CHINA

INDIA

HONG KONG

THAILAND

SINGAPORE MALAYSIA

VIETNAM

1 market, present in all 50 states 7 countries, 4 markets 8 countries, 6 markets, 1 practice area

• 19,000+ employees in 200+ offices

• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and

19% Commercial Lines

• 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest

Small Commercial writer

• 7,000+ employees

• Product mix is 79% Personal Lines,

14% Commercial Lines, and 7% A&H

• 4,000+ employees

• Product mix is 65% Personal Lines,

18% Commercial Lines, and 17% A&H

Page 19: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Our Global Competitors

19

Single Market Focused

#6Global Personal Lines &

Small Commercial Insurer1Global

1 Based on company filings and internal analysis

Currently Ranked Ahead of GRM

Currently Ranked Behind GRMLogo Legend:

Page 20: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Our Goals and Aspirations

20

Achieve top global position to touch more lives and bring greater peace of mind to

individuals and small business ownersAspiration:

Generate sufficient returns

to fulfill our promises and

fund our growth

Reinvent ourselves to

meet the evolving needs

of our customers,

employees, and partners

Be the most trusted brand

and best place to workGoals:

Priorities:Scale Locally & Optimize Globally

Build Global Digital & Data Capabilities Diversify for the Future

Empower Our Talent & Leadership

Purpose: We exist to help people embrace today and confidently pursue tomorrow

Page 21: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Sources of Future Growth

21

The World’s economic center is expected to shift further East and Asia shows the most potential

U.S.

3.8%

Latin

America

5.9%

Europe

3.5%

India

10.0%

China

8.6%

Southeast Asia

4.4%

Australia

5.3%

2016 – 2028 CAGR

% = CAGR

2016 GDP

2028 GDP

Source: IMF

Page 22: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Key Trends Facing Our Industry

22

Property Profitability &

Severe Weather

Auto Trends &

Profitability

Disruption &

Innovation

International Growth

Opportunities

Increasingly Competitive

Environment

Expense Pressures

Geopolitical Uncertainty

Evolving Consumer

Preferences

• Product diversification

What We Need to Win

• Pricing sophistication, digital

solutions, and ease of use

• Advanced data & analytics

• Scale and the benefits from scale

• High caliber, diverse, and versatile

talent

• Omni-channel capabilities

Page 23: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

We Have Broad Distribution and Products

23

GRM Product MixGRM Distribution Capabilities

51%

24%

19%

1%5%

Homeowners

A&HPersonal Auto

Commercial

Other

Agent

Captive

Direct

Digital

Bank

Partner / Dealer

Page 24: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

We are a Leader in Partnerships

24

Partnerships with 9,400 employer groups and 600

alumni associations

4,000+ appointed agents at external third party

call centers

Drive $9B in DWP annually from partnerships,

with over 20 years of experience

5,900 active REALTORS® enrolled & $6.7M NB

DWP written this year

$1.6B+ in DWP in banking and credit union

relationships rounding out our product portfolio

Partner programs with nearly 50% of auto OEMs

across 15 brands

34 carrier appointments in internal agency, driving

significant customer value

Grew Business Lines partnerships to $100M in

DWP in 2 years

Expanding product lines by launching Accident

and Critical Illness products in 2019

Global partnership model transformation underway

with initial focus on Brazil, India, and China

Page 25: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Lead communications, rewards &

recognition, and capability building to

cultivate and reinforce a culture that supports

great customer and employee experiences

Focus on the design and execution of

research to get deep customer insights

including our Net Promoter Score survey

Execute on a long-term customer experience

roadmap designed to raise retention & NPS

while building a pipeline of new ideas

We are Focused on Exceptional Agent and Customer Experiences

25

J.D. Power 2018 Agent Satisfaction

Digital Experience Recognition

#1

#2

Business Lines

Personal Lines

Customer

Experience

Operations

Employee

Culture

Insights

Serves as an advocate for customers and relentlessly strives to

make tomorrow’s experience even greater than today’s

U.S. Customer Advocacy Office

Page 26: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

We are Fostering a Culture of Innovation

26

Our Focus for the Future

Next-Gen.

Vehicles

Connected

Life

Sharing

Economy

Igniting innovation for a

Better and Safer futureBoston

• Launched in 2015 to foster new ideas and a

more experimental culture across Liberty Mutual

New location in Sao Paulo

Singapore

• Launched in 2017 to accelerate experimentation

and transfer of capabilities across GRM East

Sao Paulo

• Launching in Q2 2019 to accelerate

experimentation and transfer of capabilities

across GRM West

Page 27: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

In Summary, We Have Several Priorities and Initiatives

27

Scale Locally

and Optimize

Globally

Diversify for the

Future

Build Global

Digital & Data

Capabilities

Empower Our

People

Drive GRM to a top

position in each of its

markets, in the most

efficient and effective

way possible

Deliver all offerings in

digital platforms while

leveraging our data to

better meet customer

needs

Expand GRM’s

protection offerings to

address the evolving

needs of customers

and position GRM for

the future

Become a global

employer of choice with

a robust talent brand,

engaged leaders, and a

motivating environment

Page 28: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

We are Well-Positioned for Success

28

• Balanced global footprint covering 52% of the World’s GDP

• Size and scale of mature operations that we can learn from

• Differentiated capabilities in product, pricing, and distribution

• Investments in China & India to position us in markets with significant projected growth

• Commitment to fortify, disrupt, and diversify ourselves in order to position us for the future

Page 29: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Page 30: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Global Risk SolutionsDennis Langwell

Executive Vice President & President, Global Risk Solutions

Page 31: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Global

Specialty

National

Insurance

Global Reinsurance

Strategy Group

(“GRSG”)

Ironshore

Specialty

Specialty Reinsurance

Inland Marine

Surety

Middle Market

Specialty

Casualty

Property

Specialty Internal Reinsurance

Ceded Reinsurance

$8.6B

$2.8B $0.3B

$4.0BGlobal

Risk

Solutions

Represents 2018 estimated GWP

The Businesses that Formed Global Risk Solutions

31

Page 32: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Legacy Structure

Global Specialty

Ironshore

National Insurance

NI

Asurion

Ironshore North America

LIU Canada IronshoreSurety

Liberty MutualSurety

Pembroke

Ironshore

Int’l

Ironshore Bermuda

LIU Asia Pacific

LIU Latin America

Liberty Specialty Markets

National Insurance

~$7B

North America Specialty

~$2B

Global Surety

~$1B

Liberty Specialty Markets

~$5B

North America~$9B

Rest of World~$5B

Global Surety~$1B

Ironshore Canada

Global Risk Solutions New Structure

32

Represents 2018 estimated GWP

Page 33: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

* Helmsman was voted as TPA of the year by Business Insurance Magazine

in Gross Written Premium$16B

10Kglobal

employees

24 countrieswith offices

40Klarge/midsize

customers

100+

BY THE NUMBERSRANKINGS

1st in U.S. commercial buyer unaided brand awareness and

brand preference

1st in Global surety

2nd largest U.S. inland marine writer

3rd largest U.S. commercial & specialty lines writer

3rd largest Lloyd’s Syndicate

8th largest U.S. surplus lines carrier

7th largest U.S. P&C Third-Party Administrator*

9th largest Global P&C commercial and specialty insurer

Global Risk Solutions Highlights

33

global product offerings

Page 34: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

24% growth

$12.7 $15.7

2015 2018 Expected

Global Risk Solutions Overview

Market Mix

Gross Written Premium ($B)

Product Mix

U.S.

London/Europe

Asia Pacific

Canada

GRSG

Other

62%

29%

3%

2%

1%

3%

38%

19%

12%

10%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%General Liability

Specialty Reinsurance

Workers’ Comp

GS Inland Marine

Specialty Insurance

GRSG

CMP

Other Prop & Liability

Commercial Auto

Surety

34

Page 35: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Liberty Specialty Markets Overview

LONDON | REINSURANCE | INTERNATIONAL MARKETS

Risk exposure in

170+ countries

100+ offices in

24 countries

Lloyd’s

Syndicates:

PRODUCT SET

• Ironshore Bermuda

• Ironshore International

• LIU Asia Pacific

• LIU Latin America

• LSM Europe

• LSM Middle East &

North AfricaProperty

Energy &

Construction

Aviation

Marine

Fine Arts &

Specie

Legal Indemnity

Casualty

Financial

Lines

Environmental

War &

Terrorism

Reinsurance

Equine

Global

Financial Risks

Professional

Indemnity

Strategic

Assets

Structured

Risk Solutions

Personal

Accident

Contingency

£

~$4.0BNet Written Premium

OPERATING SEGMENTS

35

Page 36: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Property 27%

General Liability24%Comm Auto

16%

Workers' Comp 34%

LINE OF BUSINESS MIX

Mid and Large

businesses with

$150K+ in

account premium

TARGET MARKET SEGMENTS

Construction

Energy

National Casualty

Middle Market

PropertyHealthcare

Excess Casualty

HelmsmanPublic Entity

IND

US

TR

YV

ER

TIC

AL

S

National Insurance Overview~$4.0B

Net Written Premium

36

Page 37: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

OPERATING UNITS & MIX

Ironshore US | GRS Canada

GRS CANADA

US Specialty Casualty

20%

Professional Lines 16%

US Property 16%

Environmental 11%

Canada 10%

Political Risk 4%

Healthcare

23%

Alternative Risk Management

Energy & Construction

Environmental

Financial Institutions

Management & Professional Liability

Marine

Workers’ Compensation

Property & Casualty

Surety

Commercial Auto

Real Estate

Advanced

Manufacturing

HealthcareFinancial

Institutions

EnergyConstruction

INDUSTRY PRACTICE GROUPS MAJOR CLASSES

Environmental

Healthcare

Political Risk

Professional Lines

Property

Specialty Casualty

North America Specialty Overview~$2.0B

Net Written Premium

IRONSHORE US

37

Page 38: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Global Surety Overview

SEGMENT MIX

International 23%

Commercial 25%

Contract

52%

KEY STATS

CONTRACT | COMMERCIAL | FIDELITY

PRODUCT LINES

~$0.8BNet Written Premium

38

2ndlargest U.S. surety writer

Underwriting offices in 12 countries

Bonds in over 40 countries

1stin global surety

U.S. and Mexico insurance operations

Page 39: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Our Commercial and Specialty (Re)Insurance case for change

We need to make it easier to do business with us

Lack of holistic account and

customer-focused solutions

Fragmented structure complicated broker

engagement, product overlap/pricing

inconsistency andchannel conflict

Market trends require scale to support

investment in innovation and

efficiency

Sub-optimal operational efficiency/ lack of scale in U.S.

39

Page 40: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Global Commercial & Specialty Rankings

*GRS 2017 premium; Proforma full year Ironshore and excludes $0.3B from GRSG; National Insurance includes $2.9B from Asurion

$28.3

$26.5

$25.0

$24.0

$22.0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

$19.4

$18.1

$18.0

$15.7

$11.8

Allianz

Chubb

Zurich

AXA | XL Catlin

AIG

PICC

Travelers

Tokyo Marine

Liberty Mutual GRS

QBE

2016 GWP ($B)Market Position GRS By Segment GWP Splits*

National Insurance

$7.1B

Liberty Specialty Markets

$5.1B

North America Specialty

$2.4B

Global Surety

$0.8B

With no dominant global player, opportunity exists for GRS to capitalize on a fragmented market

~$20BLarge/Mid

~$14BLarge/Mid

~$12BEx-Asurion

~$20BLarge/Mid

40

Page 41: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Our Advantages

1st in U.S. commercial buyer unaided brandawareness and brand preference

Significant market positions in most businesses

Excellence in customer service and satisfaction

Broad product set

Global reach

Adequate scale to support technology and

innovation investments

41

Page 42: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Key Strategic Initiatives

42

Win with Brokers& Customers

Develop EliteUnderwriting

Deliver Best-in-ClassService & Outcomes

Engage OurPeople

Increase ease of

doing business with

strong relationships,

superior distribution

management and

whole account

solutions

Enhance underwriting

culture, define clear

appetite, create

innovative products and

employ total portfolio

management

Deliver superior

experiences and

results through claims

handling, risk control

and integrated

coverages

Achieve our shared

vision through

collaboration, continuous

learning and

development, and

openness and inclusion

Page 43: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day 43

Win with Brokers and Customers

How We Win Internally How We Win Externally

People

Tech

Process

Introduced Cross GRS Field Distribution

Organization: 6 Regional Executives & 1

Wholesale supported by 21 Branch

Executives

• Salesforce

• Account Rounding Tool

• Broker Engagement Index

• Standard pipeline management practices

• Shared calendars tied to broker location and

prospects

• Regional operational reviews

Ease of

Doing

Business

Holding

Brokers

Accountable

• One-stop solution for P&C and Specialty

product lines

• Focus on whole account solutions

• Focus on industry vertical expertise across

GRS

• Hold brokers accountable for

engagement across all GRS segments

• Build better relationships with our

brokers – learn what they want and

follow through

Page 44: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Key Strategic Initiatives

44

Win with Brokers& Customers

Develop EliteUnderwriting

Deliver Best-in-ClassService & Outcomes

Engage OurPeople

Increase ease of

doing business with

strong relationships,

superior distribution

management and

whole account

solutions

Enhance underwriting

culture, define clear

appetite, create

innovative products and

employ total portfolio

management

Deliver superior

experiences and

results through claims

handling, risk control

and integrated

coverages

Achieve our shared

vision through

collaboration, continuous

learning and

development, and

openness and inclusion

Page 45: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Underwriting Strategy and Performance Partners Across GRS to Identify Opportunities for Strategic Change

Middle Market Industry /

Verticals Strategy

Portfolio Management

Predictive Analytics

UW Focus Areas

Consistent Appetite Evolve UW approach

Optimize portfolioProduct development /

innovation

Underwriting Performance and Strategy aims to facilitate elite UW

45

Property Re-underwriting

Page 46: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Key Strategic Initiatives

46

Win with Brokers& Customers

Develop EliteUnderwriting

Deliver Best-in-ClassService & Outcomes

Engage OurPeople

Increase ease of

doing business with

strong relationships,

superior distribution

management and

whole account

solutions

Enhance underwriting

culture, define clear

appetite, create

innovative products and

employ total portfolio

management

Deliver superior

experiences and

results through claims

handling, risk control

and integrated

coverages

Achieve our shared

vision through

collaboration, continuous

learning and

development, and

openness and inclusion

Page 47: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Claims Capabilities

…providing customers with the best possible

service and handling for their claims

94% 92%

Best In Class Customer Service

Believe their claims rep was

professional, responsive

& courteous

Believe their claims rep

was knowledgeable

about their claim

16% 16%Average cost savings

per workers’ comp claim

Faster in closing

workers’ comp claims

Consistently Superior Claims

Outcomes

Global Risk Solutions Claims

One exceptional and consistent

claims service experience

As a result of our changes, we combined

our US claims organizations into one group…

47

Page 48: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Moving Forward

Solid foundation established in 2018

Collaborative and engaged team is validated by improved engagement scores

Distribution partners are supportive as demonstrated by $200M of cross-sold premium

We’re committed to achieving target returns through operating efficiencies and improved

risk selection

The organization is excited about our “One GRS” opportunity

48

Page 49: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

InvestmentsNeeti Bhalla Johnson

Executive Vice President & Chief Investment Officer

Page 50: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Liberty Mutual Investments (“LMI”)

LMIG Driven

Portfolio positioned to meet the unique needs (e.g., regulatory, tax, liquidity, etc.) of LMIG

Assets Under Management

Total AUM of ~$72B GA

Asset Allocation

Mix of traditional & non-traditional investments to provide competitive income and capital appreciation by exploiting strategic advantages over a cycle

Global Reach

Portfolio spans 20+ countries; majority of assets are US-dollar based

Organizational Capabilities

200+ staff of investment, finance, and operations professionals located in Boston, MA

Focus on maximizing risk-adjusted total returns over a cycle while balancing capital preservation and income generation

50

Page 51: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Holistic Investment Process

Portfolio

Construction

Cross- Sector Relative Value

Security Selection based on

conservative underwriting by

industry specialists

Portfolio

Construction

Macro Economic Outlook &

Expected Returns

Client Requirements: Liabilities,

Regulations, Liquidity, Tax, Risk Profile,

etc.

Bottoms-Up Approach

Top-Down Approach

51

Page 52: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Broadly Diversified Portfolio

UST9%

Securitized18%

Municipal12%

Corporate & Other36%

Foreign7%

CML3%

Equity-like15%

Asset Allocation

AAA35%

AA14%

A21%

BBB23%

Below IG7%

Credit Quality

52

As of September 30, 2018

Page 53: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

The Monetary Policy Cycle: Close to the End Game• Federal Funds rate is just below the “neutral” rate

• Current tightening cycle is longest on record; the yield curve is flirting with inversion

53

Page 54: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

The Credit Market Cycle: Levered • The corporate bond market has growing significantly since GFC with the BBB segment expanding most

• Spreads remain fairly contained, but have begun to widen as risk of turn in the cycle is escalating

54

Page 55: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

The Equity Market Cycle: Strong Headwinds Ahead• Record profit margins and share buy backs have driven EPS higher

• Equity valuations are adjusting to higher interest rates, leverage risks, and potential for margin compression

55

Page 56: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Portfolio Initiatives

Diversifying exposure with select partners in the alternative credit space

Credit Strategies

Refining Risk Budgeting framework that allocates key risk factors at the asset manager and aggregate portfolio level

Risk Management

PE Secondary SaleDivest small, non-core, Oil & Gas properties

Focus on defensive Real Estate sectors

Private Capital

Implementing a “modified” Total Return framework that moves beyond a traditional

buy-and-hold book yield approach to a dynamic process that encompasses both income and

capital appreciation

Fixed Income

Partner with LMIG to ensure continued alignment on mandate, constraints, and supporting

processes across our global insurance operations

Enterprise Collaboration

2

3

4

5

1

56

Page 57: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Page 58: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Presenter Bios: David Long

58

David Long is Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer of Liberty Mutual Insurance. He

began his career at Liberty Mutual in 1985 and he has held positions of increasing responsibility

in the company’s International Operations, Commercial Markets, Underwriting and Financial,

and Mergers and Acquisitions. He was elected President in 2010, became CEO in 2011, and

Chairman in 2013.

David serves on the Board of Directors of multiple Liberty Mutual affiliate companies. He is also

on the Board of Trustees for Hartwick College, Ford’s Theatre, and Massachusetts General

Hospital. He serves on the board for Greater Boston Chamber of Commerce, Jobs for MA, and

Massachusetts Competitive Partnership.

David is also Chairman for the annual MGH Aspire Fundraiser, which provides social services

and development opportunities for children and young adults on the Autism Spectrum.

He earned a B.A. degree in mathematics from Hartwick College in 1983 and an M.S. in finance

from Boston College in 1989. David was awarded an honorary doctorate degree from Hartwick

College in 2014, an honorary doctorate of commercial science degree from Bentley University

in 2017 and a doctor of business and commerce honorary degree from Merrimack College in

May, 2018.

David Long

Chairman and

Chief Executive Officer

Page 59: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Presenter Bios: Chris Peirce

59

Chris Peirce is Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Liberty Mutual Insurance.

He oversees corporate accounting and reporting, planning and capital management, corporate

taxation, treasury, enterprise risk management and mergers & acquisitions.

Prior to this role, Chris served as President of the Global Specialty and Commercial Markets

business units and held various financial roles within Liberty International, including Chief

Financial Officer from 2006 - 2011.

Chris joined Liberty Mutual Group as a manager in the Corporate Financial Group in 1995. He

was employed as a tax manager with KPMG Peat Marwick prior to joining the Liberty Mutual

Group.

Chris received a bachelor’s degree in Economics from Harvard University and is a Certified

Public Accountant.

Chris Peirce

Chief Financial Officer

Page 60: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Presenter Bios: Tim Sweeney

60

Tim joined Liberty Mutual in 1993 as Director of Corporate Strategy. Over his 25-year career with the company, Tim has led distribution and product management in the small commercial insurance independent agency segment, overseen numerous successful insurance company acquisition and integration efforts, and led the distribution, marketing, digital and customer service organizations for Liberty’s U.S. personal lines business unit.

In January 2009, Tim was named President, U.S. Personal Insurance, and in February 2016 was appointed President, Global Consumer Markets. In January 2018, Tim was named President, Global Retail Markets, adding Liberty’s U.S. small commercial business to his responsibilities.

Tim serves on the board of directors of Blue Cross Blue Shield of Massachusetts, as well as the Statue of Liberty-Ellis Island Foundation, Inc. and the Mass General Hospital annual gala to benefit children and young adults on the autism spectrum. He is a prior director of Insurance.com in Cleveland, Ohio, the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety in Washington, D.C., and the Massachusetts Business Roundtable.

Tim holds a BA in Economics from Harvard University and an MBA from Harvard Business School. He is a native of Lowell, Massachusetts and currently resides in the Boston area.

Tim Sweeney

President, Global Retail

Markets

Page 61: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Presenter Bios: Dennis Langwell

61

Dennis Langwell

President, Global Risk

Solutions

Dennis Langwell is President of Global Risk Solutions business unit of Liberty Mutual Insurance.

Dennis’s career at Liberty Mutual has spanned more than 25 years including 15 years as Chief

Financial Officer, during which time Liberty nearly tripled in size. In January of 2018 Dennis was

named President of the newly formed Global Risk Solutions business unit which combined

Liberty’s mid to large Commercial lines, Specialty, Surety and Reinsurance businesses.

Dennis is a magna cum laude graduate of Providence College with a Bachelor of Science

degree in accounting and is a certified public accountant. He is a member of the USS

Constitution Museum Board of Trustees and the Providence College Board of Trustees. Dennis

and his wife Ruth reside in Boston, Massachusetts.

Page 62: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day

Presenter Bios: Neeti Bhalla Johnson

62

Neeti Bhalla Johnson is the Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer for Liberty

Mutual Insurance Group.

Neeti joined Liberty Mutual in September 2013. She was previously a managing director at

Goldman Sachs. She began her career with Goldman Sachs in 2000, working as an analyst in

the firm’s Investment Banking Division in London. In 2002, she joined the Goldman Sachs

Investment Management Group in New York, where she was responsible for tactical asset

allocation decisions for Private Wealth Management clients. In her position as head of the

Tactical Asset Allocation team, she was a member of the Investment Strategy Group. Before

Goldman Sachs, Neeti worked at the Central Bank of Kenya and the Nairobi Stock Exchange.

Neeti is an active participant in WE@Liberty, a women’s network and advocacy group at Liberty

Mutual. While at Goldman Sachs, she also participated in the women’s network and mentored

women in the firm’s Returnship program. Neeti has been featured in Working Mothers

Magazine, Glass Hammer, Insurance Business America, as well as having been honored by the

Foreign Policy Association.

Neeti was a Rhodes Scholar at Oxford University, where she earned an MBA and MSc in Social

Anthropology. She also has a BA in Economics from Kenyatta University in Nairobi, Kenya.

Neeti Bhalla Johnson

Chief Investment Officer

Page 63: Investor Day - Liberty Mutual...• Product mix is 81% Personal Lines and 19% Commercial Lines • 6th largest Personal Lines and 4th largest Small Commercial writer • 7,000+ employees

2018 Investor Day