34
A Forbes & Manhattan Group Company Corporate Presentation December 2012 TSX/JSE : FMC RAPIDLY GROWING COAL PRODUCER IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

Investor Presentation

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Investor Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Investor Presentation

A Forbes & Manhattan Group Company

Corporate Presentation

December 2012 TSX/JSE : FMC

RAPIDLY GROWING COAL PRODUCER IN SOUTHERN AFRICA

Page 2: Investor Presentation

2

TSX/JSE : FMC Disclaimer

This presentation contains forward-looking statements under Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the development potential and timetable of the Magdelena and Aviemore projects; the Company’s ability to raise additional funds as necessary; the future price of coal; the estimation of mineral resources; conclusions of economic evaluations (including scoping studies); the realization of mineral resource estimates; the timing and amount of estimated future production, development and exploration; costs of future activities; capital and operating expenditures; success of exploration activities; mining or processing issues; currency exchange rates; government regulation of mining operations; and environmental risks. Generally, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”,

“budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases or statements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking statements are based on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are made. Estimates regarding the anticipated timing, amount and cost of mining at the Company’s projects are based on assumptions underlying mineral resource estimates and the realization of such estimates; results of previous mining activities at the projects, and detailed research and analysis completed by independent consultants and management of the Company; research and estimates regarding the timing of delivery for long-lead items; and knowledge regarding certain factors described in the technical report filed under the profile of the Company on SEDAR. Capital and operating cost estimates are based on results of previous mining activities, research of the Company and independent consultants. Production estimates are based on mine plans and production schedules, which have been developed by the Company’s personnel and independent consultants. Forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements, including but not limited to risks related to: timing and availability of external financing on acceptable terms; unexpected events and delays during construction, expansion and start-up; variations in ore grade and recovery rates; receipt and revocation of government approvals; actual results of exploration and mining activities; changes in project parameters as plans continue to be refined; future prices of coal; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labour disputes and other risks of the mining industry. Although management of the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements except in accordance with applicable securities laws. Investors are advised that National Instrument NI 43-101 of the Canadian Securities Administrators (“NI 43-101”) requires that each category of mineral reserves and

mineral resources be reported separately. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability. Johan Odendaal, B.Sc.(Geol.), B.Sc.(Hons)(Min. Econ.), M.Sc. (Min. Eng.), a director of Minxcon and an independent Qualified Person, as defined in National Instrument 43-101 has reviewed and approved the scientific and technical information contained in this presentation. Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated or Inferred Resources The information presented uses the terms “measured”, “indicated” and “inferred” mineral resources. United States investors are advised that while such terms are recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize these terms. “Inferred mineral resources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of inferred mineral resources may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of measured or indicated mineral resources will ever be converted into mineral reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource exists, or is economically or legally mineable.

Page 3: Investor Presentation

3

TSX/JSE : FMC Company Overview

Forbes & Manhattan Coal Corp.’s (FMC) vision is to build a high quality bituminous and anthracite coal company with production capacity in excess of

10 million tonnes per year

C o m p a n y S u m m a r y

Headquarters: Toronto, Ontario Total mineable coal

resource

(NI 43-101):

51.7 million tonnes Bituminous

(all measured)

50.8 million tonnes Anthracite*

(15.1 million inferred)

Number of

mines:

2 (Magdalena

and Aviemore)

Historical annual saleable

production:

923,700 saleable tonnes in

fiscal 2012

Mine location: Kwa-zulu, Natal,

South Africa

1 year target production: 583,000 saleable tonnes

Bituminous - Magdalena

242,000 saleable tonnes

Anthracite – Aviemore

110,000 saleable tonnes

Bituminous-bought in

Production capacity: 2 million tonnes

* As set out in the Technical Report of the Company entitled “An Independent National Instrument 43-101 Technical Report on Slater Coal and Subsidiaries, KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa”, dated March 1, 2011, prepared for the Company by Minxcon (the “Technical Report”). A copy of the Technical Report is available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Page 4: Investor Presentation

4

TSX/JSE : FMC

Location of Operations

Page 5: Investor Presentation

5

TSX/JSE : FMC Mining Resource (Dundee)

NI 43 – 101 Global Resource1

Measured Indicated MI Inferred Yearly

ROM2 (t)

LOM

Magdalena Bituminous

51.7 m - 51.7 m - 0.9 mt + 20 years

Aviemore Anthracite

1.6 m 34.1 m 35.7 m 15.1 m 0.4 mt + 20 years

1. Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report (Minxcon March 1, 2011) available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. 2. As per management’s guidance

Page 6: Investor Presentation

6

TSX/JSE : FMC Magdalena Bituminous Coal Operations

Page 7: Investor Presentation

7

TSX/JSE : FMC Magdalena Bituminous Coal Operations

Location: • Dundee, Kwa-Zulu, Natal

Coal Type: • Bituminous

Resource: • 51.7 million tonnes1

Acres: • 4,557

Average BTU: • 12,250 BTU/lb

• 6,800 kcal/kg

Ash: • 15.0%

Volatility: • 16.7%

Saleable Production:

• 2011FY2: 556,000 tonnes

• 2012FY2: 748,000 tonnes

Mine Life: • Approximately +20 years

Infrastructure: • Wash plant, processing plant and siding

Asset Summary

1. Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report (Minxcon March 1, 2011) available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. 2. Fiscal year-end February 28

Page 8: Investor Presentation

8

TSX/JSE : FMC Magdalena Project Area & Mining Rights

* Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Page 9: Investor Presentation

9

TSX/JSE : FMC Magdalena Bituminous Coal Production Profile

Drilling at Magdalena for potential opencast mine expansion has been

completed, Hilltop exploration drilling license has recently been granted.

Magdalena Saleable Bituminous Coal Production

(000 t)/February 28 year-end

* Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

299 347 326

449 485

556

748

583

FY06A FY07A FY08A FY09A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13E

Magdalena o/c Magdalena u/g

Page 10: Investor Presentation

10

TSX/JSE : FMC Aviemore Anthracite Coal Operations

Page 11: Investor Presentation

11

TSX/JSE : FMC Aviemore Anthracite Coal Operations

Location: • Dundee, Kwa-Zulu, Natal

Coal Type: • Anthracite

Resource: • 50.8 million tonnes1

(15.1 million tonnes inferred)

Acres: • 13,818

Average BTU: • 12,800 BTU/lb

• 7,100 kcal/kg

Ash: • 13.7%

Volatility: • 7.9%

Saleable Production:

• 2011FY2: 92,000 tonnes

• 2012FY2: 176,000 tonnes

Mine Life: • Approximately +20 years

Infrastructure: • Wash plant, processing plant and

siding

Asset Summary

1. Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. 2. Fiscal year-end February 28

Page 12: Investor Presentation

12

TSX/JSE : FMC Aviemore Project Area & Mining Rights

* Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

Page 13: Investor Presentation

13

TSX/JSE : FMC Aviemore Anthracite Coal Production Profile

At Aviemore, a feasibility study for an expansion is underway. There is potential

for 1 million tonnes of ROM per annum.

Aviemore Anthracite Coal Saleable Production1

(000 t)/February 28 year-end

1. Source: National Instrument 43 – 101 Report available under the profile of the Company on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.

59 62 61

102

20

92

176

242

FY06A FY07A FY08A FY09A FY10A FY11A FY12A FY13E

Page 14: Investor Presentation

14

TSX/JSE : FMC ZAC Anthracite Operations

Ngwabe

CHPP Deep

E

Western Extension

Outcrop Siding

Page 15: Investor Presentation

15

TSX/JSE : FMC ZAC Anthracite Coal Operations

Asset Summary

Location: • 230 kms from Forbes Dundee

operations

Coal Type: • High quality anthracite

Resource: • Productions levels over the past 5

yrs average 700,000 tpa

Combined

Yield:

• Approximately 75% on ROM production

Allocation: • 150,000 tpa at Richard’s Bay

Infrastructure: • Rail siding 10 kms from plant

owned and operated by ZAC

Page 16: Investor Presentation

16

TSX/JSE : FMC Forbes Coal Pro Forma (ZAC)

PROFORMA FMC STAND-ALONE

(Sustainable) FMC/RHL CONSOLIDATED

ROM Production

0.8mt Bituminous / 0.5mt Anthracite

TOTAL 1.3 MT

1.3mt Bituminous/ 1.2mt Anthracite

TOTAL UP TO 2.5 MT

Port & Rail

1.1mt port allocation/ 1.5mt siding facility

1.1mt port allocation – FCD + 0.2mt port allocation ZAC/ 1.5mt siding

facility

EBITDA $22 mln for 2012 fiscal year $32 to $47 mln potential

Marketing 70% Bituminous/ 30% Metallurgic 50% Bituminous/ 50% Metallurgic

Page 17: Investor Presentation

17

TSX/JSE : FMC Strong Results Reflecting Growth

Q1 2013 (March – May 2012 )

Q2 2013 (June – Aug 2012 )

% Change (YTD)

Revenue $ 20.8 million $ 23.4 million +13%

Gross Profit $ 1.81 million $ 2.35 million +30%

Consolidated EBITDA $ 2.45 million $ 2.72 million +11%

Q1 2013 (March – May 2012 )

Q2 2013 (June’ -Aug’ 2012)

% Change (YTD)

Run of Mine Production (t)

387,075 414,551 +7%

Saleable

Production (t) 244,605 256,583 +5%

Total Sales (t) 234,997 284,196 +21%

Page 18: Investor Presentation

18

TSX/JSE : FMC

• Good working relationship with its two unions: National Union of Mineworkers

(NUM) and Amalgamated Mining & Construction Union (AMCO)

• Labour contracts are negotiated on an

annual basis

• Recent labour disruption was settled

November 16, 2012 resulting in an

average wage increase of 14.8%

• Implementing internationally recognized safety, health, environmental and quality management systems

• Adheres to the tenets of the Mining Charter and promotes local procurement and procurement from BEE companies

• Committed to developing local communities

Responsible Development

Page 19: Investor Presentation

19

TSX/JSE : FMC Experienced Management Team

Stephan Theron, B.Comm, CGA │President and Chief Executive Officer Extensive management, project finance and equity analysis experience in the mining, energy and infrastructure sectors. Previous capital and project experience includes Weir PLC and AMEC PLC as well as former sector head

materials and energy with a specific focus on South African coal market. Malcolm Campbell, Pr. Cert. Eng. (Mining) │Chief Operating Officer Fourth generation coal miner with 25 years industry experience. Skilled in operational management, turnaround strategies and business development. Spent 20 years with Anglo Coal; held a variety of positions including regional manager for new business development and strategy.

Fanie Müller, B.Sc. Eng., M. Eng. │ Group Manager - Technical Support Service

A Professional Mining Engineer registered with the Engineering Council of South Africa. Project experience in commodities ranging from coal, gold and diamonds to platinum and uranium. The foundation of his career in mining was initiated at Anglo Coal. He joined Forbes Coal as the Group Technical Services Manager in 2010. Deb Battiston, CGA │Chief Financial Officer Financial specialist with over 20 years experience in the mining sector.

Sarah Williams, CA │Vice President Finance Chartered Accountant (SA) with nine years experience in the corporate finance industry and expertise in the resource sector where she played key roles in company listings and IPOs, mergers and acquisitions, restructurings and debt and equity capital raisings. Kevern Mattison, NHD (Mining), B. Tech.│General Manager More than 20 years operational coal mining experience and spent over 20 years with Anglo Coal, most recently as a manager of mining.

Page 20: Investor Presentation

20

TSX/JSE : FMC Directors

Stephan Theron, B.Comm, CGA , │ President and CEO Craig Wiggill, B.Sc. Eng. │ Chairman of the Board Has held management, executive and directorship positions on several international mining companies in the coal sector and, as CEO of Coal Americas at Anglo American plc. was responsible for all of that company’s coal activities in North and South America. He was previously Managing Director of Anglo Coal Marketing Ltd from 2000 to 2004. Stan Bharti, P.Eng. │ Director Business consultant and a professional mining engineer with more than 25 years experience President of Forbes & Manhattan, Inc., a private merchant focused on the resource sector, since July 2001. John Dreyer, │ Director Mr. Dreyer is a qualified South African lawyer, CEO of Tavistock Coal and executive director of Anglo American Platinum. He served as chairman of ASX listed Firestone Energy until 2011. Mr. Dreyer currently serves on the board of ASX listed Cobar Consolidated Resources where he also serves on the audit committee. Bernard Wilson, │ Director An advisor in corporate finance and investment banking. Notable leadership roles include serving as the Chairman of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce (with 175,000 members), Chairman of the Canadian Council for International Business, Chairman of the International Chamber of Commerce, as a member of the Canada/US Trade Committee and Chairman Founders Board of the Institute of Corporate Directors. Ryan Bennett, M.Mining Eng. │ Director Masters degree in Mining Engineering from the Colorado School of Mines with extensive technical mining project analyses experience. Senior Partner of Resource Capital Fund;(significant shareholder in Forbes Coal). Michael Price, B.Sc., Phd. │ Director Thirty-five years experience in mining and mining finance. After working for BP Coal, BP Minerals and BP Exploration in various mine management and business development roles Mr. Price moved into mining finance with NM Rothschild & Sons, Societe Generale and Barclays Capital. Mr. Price is now a Non-Executive Director of several mining companies and he is an

independent adviser on mining finance as well as the London Representative of Resource Capital Fund.

Page 21: Investor Presentation

21

TSX/JSE : FMC Investment Highlights

• Resource base of high quality bituminous and anthracite coal in one of the best developed coal markets in the world

• Goal to triple organic production within three years from 2010 historic levels using existing infrastructure and capacity

• Established infrastructure to reach export corridors and growing domestic market

• Delivering on goals to increase sales while lowering production costs, resulting in strong EBITDA

• ZAC acquisition moves FMC towards enviable mid-tier production status

• ZAC increases portfolio of high quality coal products, has solid marketing agreements in place and great logistics, fully funded by Investec, maximizing potential returns to shareholders

• Experienced coal-focused management team

Page 22: Investor Presentation

22

TSX/JSE : FMC Share Price Performance

Source: Google Finance; www.profile.co.za, 28 November 2012

Ticker Company Exchange YTD performance

FMC Forbes Coal TSX -66%

ZYL Zyl ASX -30%

FSE Firestone Energy ASX -20%

UNV Universal Coal ASX -57%

IKW Ikwezi Mining ASX -72%

CCC Continental Coal ASX -72%

CZA Coal of Africa ASX -75%

Shares Outstanding 34.8 million

FD Shares Outstanding 39.5 million

Closing Price (Dec 3, 2012) C$0.65

Trading Range (52 week)

C$0.48 – $2.03

Market Capitalization (Basic) C$22.6 million

Market Capitalization (FD) C$2.6 million

Capitalization

Page 23: Investor Presentation

23

TSX/JSE : FMC Strategy and Business Plan

Magdalena

• Continuing exploration program on the recently granted Hilltop exploration license;

• Increasing production capacity with additional mechanisation, and operational efficiency initiatives;

• Ramp-up saleable production up to 1,000,000 tonnes for the year;

• Investigate regional possibilities for the relocation of the opencast at the end of the current extension;

• Increase wash plant recovery rates from the current level of 62% to 68%;

• Investigate product upgrade potential.

Aviemore

• Achievable saleable production up to 300,000 tonnes for the year;

• Progress exploration and feasibility study for the expansion of1 million ROM tonnes per year producer.

Improve operational efficiencies by:

• Further develop management team with international experience;

• Explore opportunities to increase sales and exports;

• Increase rail and port allocation to further gain exposure to seaborne bituminous and anthracite export

markets.

Page 24: Investor Presentation

24

TSX/JSE : FMC New Opportunities

Where?

• Forbes Coal to stay focused on Southern Africa. Most of the coals in Southern Africa can be washed to

produce an acceptable export thermal product.

• Lack of both infrastructure and investment are the main reasons why production and exports remain

constrained.

• The countries that are viewed to have the best potential for coal projects are South Africa, Botswana,

Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Tanzania and Swaziland.

• Opportunities have already been reviewed in most of the Southern African countries

How?

• Acquisitions

• Farm in options

• Licence applications

• Outright acquisitions preferable for operational assets and advanced projects

• Farm in options help mitigate against the risk of huge capital outlay. This is the preferred entry opportunity

for exploration projects

• Licence applications will only work in countries with robust and transparent licence frameworks (e.g

Botswana, Mozambique)

Page 25: Investor Presentation

25

TSX/JSE : FMC

Appendix

Page 26: Investor Presentation

26

TSX/JSE : FMC Current Company Structure

Forbes Coal Ownership Structure

Forbes Coal (Proprietary) Limited (South Africa)

Zinoju Coal (Proprietary) Limited (South Africa)

Aviemore Anthracite Coal

Magdalena Bituminous Coal

70%

100% 100%

Forbes and Manhattan Coal Inc. (Ontario)

30%

Corondale Prospecting and Mining (Proprietary) Limited

Dormant Company 100%

Forbes and Manhattan Coal Corp. (Ontario, TSX/JSE Listed)

BEE (Nulane)

100%

100%

Bowwood and Main 33 (Pty) Ltd) (South Africa)

100%

Page 27: Investor Presentation

27

TSX/JSE : FMC Production – ROM - Quarter

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

2,000,000

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

Cu

mu

lati

ve R

OM

to

nn

es

Qu

arte

rly

RO

M t

on

ne

s

Total ROM tonnes

Magdalena Aviemore Cum. Plan Cum. Act.

Page 28: Investor Presentation

28

TSX/JSE : FMC Production - Saleable - Quarter

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

Qu

arte

rly

Sale

able

to

nn

es

Saleable tonnes

Saleable Magdalena Saleable Aviemore Bought in Coal

Page 29: Investor Presentation

29

TSX/JSE : FMC Sales tonnes – Quarter (Operations)

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

Sale

s to

nn

es

Sales tonnes

Sales Magdalena Sale Aviemore

Page 30: Investor Presentation

30

TSX/JSE : FMC Combined ROM and Saleable Tonnes

20121 ROM tonnes Saleable tonnes

Dundee - bituminous 1 009 555 748 0222

Dundee - anthracite 281 244 175 675

ZAC - anthracite 668 995 518 528

Total 1 959 794 1 442 225

52%

14%

34%

ROM tonnes 20121

Dundee - bituminous

Dundee - anthracite

ZAC anthracite

52%

12%

36%

Saleable tonnes 20121

Dundee - bituminous

Dundee - anthracite

ZAC - anthracite

1. Dundee tons for the financial year ended 28 Feb 2012 and ZAC tons for the financial year ended 30 June 2012

2. Includes 66 906 bought in tonnes

Page 31: Investor Presentation

31

TSX/JSE : FMC Revenue and Sales Tons (CAD$)

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

FY11Q1 FY11Q2 FY11Q3 FY11Q4 FY12Q1 FY12Q2 FY12Q3 FY12Q4 FY13Q1 FY13Q2 FY13Q3 FC

FY13Q4 FC

Sale

s to

nn

es

‘00

0

Rev

en

ue

$’m

Revenue and sales tonnes

Revenue $'m Sales tons'000

Notes: 1) The API4$ price has decreased significantly from FY12Q3. Export contracts on API4$ account for 50%-60% of

total sales. This has impacted on revenue and margins.

2) Current API4$ pricing is $86 per tonne - $88 per tonne

API4$ pricing decreased from $118 to $86.

Page 32: Investor Presentation

32

TSX/JSE : FMC

EBITDA Forecast – FY13 (CAD$)

Notes: 1) FY 2013: Target EBITDA: $16mil; Forecasted EBITDA: $12,3mil. 2) FY 2012: Target EBITDA: $30mil; Achieved EBITDA: $27mil. 3) The lower EBITDA number is a result of decrease in API4$ pricing and higher cost per tonne numbers.

-

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,000

-

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12

EBIT

DA

CA

D $

pe

r ye

ar

EBIT

DA

CA

D$

pe

r m

on

th

EBITDA forecast –FY2013(CAD$)

EBITDA (Cumulative YTD) (CAN$) EBITDA Monthly (CAN$)

EBITDA Target Monthly (CAN$) EBITDA Target (Cumulative YTD) (CAN$)

Page 33: Investor Presentation

33

TSX/JSE : FMC

• For Fiscal 2012 Forbes Coal reported record export sales of 578,000 tonnes an increase of 179% from Fiscal 2011, reflecting strong demand from export markets

• Global thermal trade flows show India and China as major global importers of thermal coal

• South Africa exported an estimated 23 million tonnes of thermal coal to India in 2010

• Asia dominates demand for anthracite coal

• 83% of global imports; 95% of expected export demand growth

Access to Lucrative Export Markets

Global Thermal Coal

Trade Flows

1. Source : Company Reports

Page 34: Investor Presentation

34

Stephan Theron President & CEO

Forbes & Manhattan Coal Corp.

Tel: + 1 416 861 5912

December 2012

CONTACT INFORMATION

65 Queen Street West, Suite 815 P.O. Box 71, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5H 2M5

Email: [email protected] Website: www.forbescoal.com

TSX/JSE : FMC

Samantha Thomson Investor Relations Manager

Forbes & Manhattan Coal Corp.

Tel: +1 416 309 2957