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Investor Presentation May 2016

Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

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Page 1: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Investor Presentation

May 2016

Page 2: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Forward-looking statements

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future

events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties.

A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.

May 2016 | P1

Page 3: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Executive Summary

Page 4: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Acquisition of E.ON’s UK North Sea assets completed On-going asset disposals

2016 – progress against targets

On track to deliver at or above upper end of FY guidance of 65-70 kboepd 88% operating efficiency in Q1

Opex tracking 10-20% below budget; expected FY opex of c. $17/boe Gross G&A on track to deliver 10% reduction on 2015 (ex E.ON)

Solan on-stream 12 April, >14 kboepd tested from P1 P2 expected on-stream by mid-year

Pre-first oil capex 15% lower at $1.35 bn; first oil on schedule for 2017 FPSO delivery to Singapore by July; targeting subsea work completion by Q4

Net debt of $2.68 bn at end April; 2016 capex spend front-end loaded Expect to be cash flow positive at oil prices above c. $50/boe in Q4

Discussions ongoing with lenders to secure financial covenant waiver if required

May 2016 | P3

Maximise production

Further cost reductions

Solan on plateau (20-25 kboepd)

Progress Catcher

Focus on net debt

Manage covenant headroom

Refocusing the portfolio

Page 5: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Focus on Advantaged Assets

• UK, SE Asia, Falklands • Disposal of non-core assets • Appropriate balance of current cash flow,

development projects and longer-term upside

Looking forward

Strategy

Accelerate Debt Reduction • Take necessary corporate actions to

minimise net investment in 2016 (as in 2015)

• 2017 will see de-leveraging at the current forward curve

Continue Focus on Cost Base • Further opex and G&A savings in 2016 • Current and future capex spend

reductions

Financial Position

200

300

400

500

FY 2014(actual)

2015Budget

FY 2015(actual)

2016Budget

Solan, Huntington

100

200

300

400

FY 2014(actual)

2015Budget

FY 2015(actual)

2016Budget

G&A ($mm)

Opex ($mm)

May 2016 | P4

Page 6: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Looking forward

Proven Track Record in Acquisitions/Divestment • 6 separate transactions since 2013, focused on

pre-development assets • E.ON portfolio added 70 mmboe at cost of <$2/bbl;

offers further opportunities for asset disposal

Portfolio Management

Quality 2019 Portfolio • 80-90 kboepd; $15/bbl opex; long life

assets • Balance sheet debt reducing rapidly

Highly leveraged to oil price recovery • Low cash cost base; low effective

tax rate • Costs re-set to a sub-$50 world • c. 850 mmboe of reserves and

resources

Forward Position

379

120

0

100

200

300

400

Divestments Acquisitions

$mm

Operating Cash flow

Capex & Abex

Operating Cash flow

Capex & Abex

Operating Cash flow

Capex & Abex

2017 2018 2019

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

$40/bbl

$50/bbl

$60/bbl

$45/bbl

$55/bbl

$70/bbl

$60/bbl

$80/bbl

$70/bbl

$mm

Illustrative Base Case

May 2016 | P5

Page 7: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Asset update

Page 8: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Summary of asset upsides

UK – Premier • Upside in Huntington and Solan • Elgin-Franklin producing above budget • Opex and capex savings in Catcher

project • Potential reserve upgrade at Catcher • Targeting substantial cost reductions • Potential disposal strategies

Q1 2016 production 18 kboepd Q1 2016 opex $30/bbl

VIETNAM • Infill programme targeting

18 kboepd (2018) • Seeking further cost reductions • FPSO lease restructuring

Q1 2016 production 17 kboepd Q1 2016 opex $7/bbl

INDONESIA • Ongoing developments (BIGP, Tuna, Lama) • Seeking further cost reductions • Increasing market share over time (→60%) • Synergies with Block B

Q1 2016 production 14 kboepd Q1 2016 opex $9/bbl GSA1 market share 44%

PAKISTAN • Ongoing infill drilling • Sale process underway

2016 Q1 production 8 kboepd 2016 Q1 opex $3/bbl

FALKLAND ISLANDS • Targeting savings to reach 20%

IRR at $55/bbl • Seeking long term partner(s) • Mature phase 2 and 3 concepts

Sea Lion: current economics

20% IRR at $65/bbl

EXPLORATION • Plan for 2018 drilling

programmes

Mature Mexico and Brazil (Ceara Basin) drilling targets

May 2016 | P7

Page 9: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Pakistan (8.3 kboepd) • Well-established gas

producing fields • Generates positive, stable

cash flows • Formal sales process

ongoing

0

5

10

15

2015 Q1 2016

Current production – high operating efficiency

Indonesia (14.0 kboepd) • Singapore demand above

take or pay • GSA1 share 44%; above

contractual share of 40.9%

0

5

10

15

20

2015 Q1 2016

Vietnam (17.4 kboepd) • Delivering ahead of

expectations • High operating efficiency • Better than predicted

reservoir performance

0

5

10

15

20

2015 Q1 2016

Group •Maintained high

operating efficiency •E.ON delivered

17 kboepd in Q1 •New production

from Solan

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2015 Q1 2016

FY GUIDANCE

Expect to be at /above

65 – 70 kboepd

North Sea (17.6 kboepd) • 99% OE and lower decline from

Huntington • Unplanned shutdown on B Block • Solan on-stream April • E.ON production consolidated

from 28 April

05

10152025

2015 Q1 2016

OE 90%

OE 88%

OE 83%

Production (kboepd) Production (kboepd)

Production (kboepd)

Production (kboepd)

OE 70%

OE 87%

OE 96%

OE 93%

OE 90% OE

95% OE

95%

May 2016 | P8

Solan + E.ON

Page 10: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

UK – production growth

• Averaged 17.6 kboepd in Q1 2016

• Group production growth driven by UK: E.ON assets, new Solan production and Catcher

• Continue to target substantial cost savings; opportunity to generate operating and cost synergies

• UK long life assets include Elgin-Franklin, Wytch Farm & Catcher

• $3.5 bn of UK tax losses and allowances and c. $550 m of Investment Allowances

May 2016| P9

Babbage

Balmoral Area Solan

Wytch Farm

Kyle Huntington

Elgin Franklin

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Group BaseProduction

Solan 20-25 kboepd

E.ON 12-17 kboepd

Catcher 20-25 kboepd

Page 11: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

South East Asia – reliable low cost production

Vietnam

• Strong Q1 2016 production and operating efficiency

– 32.8 kboepd (gross) production

– 96% operating efficiency

• Progressing further cost reductions

• Planning f0r future infill programme targeting unswept areas and low risk new reservoirs

Indonesia

• High operating efficiency and robust demand maintained production levels

– Market share exceeded contract

– Will increase as other suppliers decline

• Longer term, Indonesia (Batam) and Singapore are both seeking additional volumes

• Planning further developments to increase production beyond 2018

– Bison, Iguana, Gajah Puteri

– Lama exploitation

– Tuna

2015 operating

costs c.$13/bbl

2015 operating

costs c. $8/bbl

May 2016 | P10

Page 12: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Solan – first oil achieved, moving on to second oil

• P1 on-stream 12 April

– rates of 8 kbopd achieved from natural flow, rising to 14 kbopd with ESP

• Planned shut down ahead of second oil

– W2 tied in

– Final commissioning of water injection plant underway

– ESP completion for P2 being installed with tie-in planned for early June

• Utilise Superior Flotel to maximise workforce on platform to complete remaining systems

• Re-start production and ramp up to plateau rates of 20-25 kbopd

Plateau production

by Q3 of 20-25 kbopd

May 2016 | P11

Page 13: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Catcher – under budget and scheduled for 2017

Subsea

• 2015 subsea installation programme completed; 2016 programme underway

– Remaining templates installed

– Installation of bundles and riser system in progress

– Buoy and Mooring system to be installed over the summer

STB Buoy Underside of STB Buoy

15% lower pre-first oil

capex at $1.35 bn

Launching Catcher trailing towhead

Catcher towhead, Wick

May 2016 | P12

Page 14: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Catcher – under budget and scheduled for 2017

FPSO

• Hull fabrication accelerating in Japan and Korea

• Topsides and Turret fabrication advanced in ProFab, Dynamac and Asia Offshore yards

• Commencement of hull and integration work in Singapore from Summer 2016

Stern Terra Block; Japan

Aerial View of Catcher Modules; Singapore

May 2016 | P13

Fore Terra Block, Korea

Page 15: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

• Ensco 100 rig on hire since July 2015

• 4 wells drilled with excellent operational performance

– two injectors (CTI1 and CCI2)

– Two producers (CCP3 and CTP1)

• Pre-drill predictions for reservoir depth, thickness and extent confirmed

• Reservoir quality and flow rates met or exceeded expectations

• Injector well tests demonstrated water injection capability into the field

• 4 further development wells planned for 2016

Catcher – initial drilling results encouraging

Well results confirm

high quality reservoir

Catcher CCP3 producer well

Catcher exploration well 29-1

Cromarty reservoir

0 500ft

May 2016 | P14

Page 16: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Final Investment Decision Timing

Will remain dependent on:

• Achieving attractive rates of return

• The outlook for long term oil prices

• The level of cost reductions secured

• Premier’s ability to fund project – without risking the balance sheet

Sea Lion complex – low cost option for large future value

• Phase 1 project economics enhanced

– 220 mmbbls from NE & NW areas of PL032

– 18 wells (13 pre-drilled) and 20 year field life

– $1.8 bn capex to first oil unchanged (costs down 30%)

• Conceptual design work completed

• Draft FDP submitted to FIG for comment

• Completed SPA amendment with RKH

• Phase 1 FEED is progressing cautiously

• Anticipate securing further cost reductions

• Looking to bring in additional upstream partner

Enhanced project

economics

Falling break-even

price

Subsea Installation

Subsea Prod’n System

Risers

FPSO

“Collaborative partnership”

“Collective costs incentives”

May 2016 | P15

Page 17: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

North Falklands Basin – potential confirmed

Successful exploration programme now complete

• Zebedee discovery proves up additional resource to northern North Falklands Basin development

– Adds c. 60 mmbls resource to Sea Lion Phase 2

• Isobel Complex potential confirmed

– Potential for >480m oil column

– Multiple additional oil-bearing sands

• Programme curtailed due to rig performance issues

• Further appraisal concurrent with Sea Lion development

Sea Lion complex

520 mmbls; 2 phases

N Isobel Deep Geobody

Isobel Complex de-risked

May 2016 | P16

Page 18: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Finance

Page 19: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Strong cash flows despite lower oil prices

12 months to 31 Dec

2015 $m

12 months to 31 Dec

2014 $m

Working Interest production (kboepd) 57.6 63.6

Entitlement production (kboepd) 53.4 57.8

Realised oil price (US$/bbl) - post hedge 79.0 101.0

Realised gas price (US$/mcf) - post hedge 6.5 8.4

$m $m

Cash flow from operations 903 1,133

Taxation (94) (209)

Operating cash flow 809 924

Capital expenditure (1,070) (1,514)

Disposals 220 131

Finance and other charges, net (101) (120)

Dividends - (44)

Share buy back - (93)

Net cash in (out) flow (142) (716)

Net Debt (2,242) (2,122)

Capital expenditure ($m) Comprises proceeds from the sale of Block A Aceh and Norway and a positive adjustment from Scott area disposal Liquids hedging (incl E.ON)

2016 2017

Barrels hedged (mmbbls)

5.53 1.53

Average price ($/bbl)

67.0 45.8

2015 2016E

Exploration $216 c$100

Development $854 c$630

Total $1,070 c$730

May 2016 | P18

Page 20: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

12 months to 31 Dec 2015

$m

12 months to 31 Dec 2014

$m

Sales and other operating revenues 1,099 1,629

Cost of Sales (661) (987)

Impairments (1,024) (784)

Gross profit/(loss) (586) (142)

Exploration/New Business (109) (84)

General and administration costs (14) (25)

Disposals 1 3

Operating profit/(loss) (708) (248)

Financial items (122) (136)

Profit/(loss) before taxation (830) (384)

Tax credit/(charge) (241) 174

Profit/(loss) after taxation (1,071) (210)

Income statement

Operating costs ($/boe)

Exploration write offs include Badada well in Kenya and uncommercial Bonneville discovery in UK

2014 2015 2016

UK $37.2 $30.0 $27

Indonesia $10.0 $10.0 $11

Pakistan $3.3 $3.7 $5

Vietnam $14.6 $11.7 $13

Group $18.5 $15.5 c$16-17

EBITDAX 752 1,074

$3.5 bn of UK tax losses and allowances

May 2016 | P19

Page 21: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

200

300

400

500

FY 2014(actual)

2015Budget

FY 2015(actual)

2016Budget

Solan, Huntington

More than 250 further initiatives identified targeting savings of > $50m p.a

Cost reduction continuing

0

500

1000

1500

2014 2015 2016F 2017F 2018F

Committed capex profile ($mm)

P&D Capex

Exploration

Opex ($mm)

100

150

200

250

300

350

FY 2014(actual)

2015Budget

FY 2015(actual)

2016Budget

G&A ($mm)

• Contractor rate cuts • Contract renegotiations • G&A headcount

reductions of c20% • Discretionary capex/opex

cuts • Operating efficiencies • Lower cyclical costs

(fuel/insurance etc.)

• Further contractor rate cuts

• Additional contract renegotiations

– FPSOs – Logistics

• Collaboration with other operators

• Phasing of capex payments with suppliers

Initial Cost Reductions 2014/15 Further Actions

2016+

2015 Opex down 25% G&A down 25% 2016

Opex down 10-20% G&A down 10%

May 2016 | P20

Page 22: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Covenant compliance and mitigating actions

• E.ON UK asset acquisition materially covenant accretive

4.

• Covenant position amended – Net debt $2.2 billion (YE 2015) – Headroom > $900m (YE 2015) – Strong support from banks & bondholders

1.

• Key focus on compliance in low oil price environment

– Tested half yearly at 30 June and 31 Dec – Likely to require relaxation of covenants if

low oil price persists

2.

• Mitigating actions – Capex phasing, pre-paid oil sales, further

cost reductions, sale and leaseback, asset disposals

3.

Financing structure

• Corporate unsecured • No reserve base

determinations • No amortisations

Liquidity • $1.2 bn cash & undrawn facilities at year end 2015

• No maturities until end 2017

Cost of debt

• 60% fixed interest rate • Average debt costs of 3.5%

in 2015

307 362

1468

558

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Drawn debt maturities (US$mm)

May 2016 | P21

Page 23: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

End 2015 2P reserves and resources

Falklands Indonesia Mauritania Pakistan UK Vietnam Total

2P

On Production – 35.2 0.1 12.6 22.8 23.8 94.5

Approved for Development

– 12.7 – – 87.4 0.1 100.2

Justified for Development

136.0 1.1 – – – – 137.1

Total Reserves 136.0 49.0 0.1 12.6 110.2 24.0 331.9

2C

Development Pending

– – – – – – –

Development Unclarified / on hold

134.4 98.3 – 7.2 17.6 11.2 268.7

Development not viable

126.7 1.8 – – 21.3 7.2 157.0

Total Contingent Resources

261.1 100.1 – 7.2 38.9 18.4 425.7

Total Reserves + Contingent Resources

397.1 149.1 0.1 19.8 149.1 42.4 757.6

May 2016 | P22

Page 24: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Appendix

Page 25: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Rationale for the E.ON acquisition

• Strengthens Premier’s position in UK North Sea with its associated tax benefits; opportunity to generate operating and cost synergies

• Continues Premier’s track record of capturing long term value through acquisition at low points in the oil price cycle

• Adds stable UK gas revenues to the portfolio; rebalancing commodity exposure

• Adds high quality assets at a compelling valuation with a valuable hedging position in 2016 and 2017

– Assets acquired at $1.6/boe based on CPR estimate of 2P reserves vs. UK North Sea average of $13/boe (since 2000)

– CPR values the net asset value of 2P reserves and SNS infrastructure at $494 million (pre-tax) vs. purchase consideration of $120m

• Adds immediate cash generative production, tax synergies and material covenant accretion with rapid payback – meeting Premier’s stated acquisition criteria

Total 73 kboepd

Proforma 2015 Production

ProformaYE15 Reserves

Elgin-Franklin area

Huntington

Other CNS

Tolmount

Babbage area

Premier

Total 402 mmboe

Elgin-Franklin area

Huntington

Other CNS

Babbage area

Other SNS

Premier

May 2016 | P24

Page 26: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Huntington (38.5%, op.) • Existing Premier field, equity interest

increases to 100% • 2.5mmboe net reserves1 • 2016 ytd production: 5.2 kboepd (net),

in line with 2015

E.ON UK assets – strong start to 2016

Tolmount (50%, op.) • c.30 mmboe (169 Bscf) net reserves1 • Est. resources 200 Bcf – 1Tcf (gross) • Est. peak production 150-200 mmcfd

(gross) • 2017 investment decision, first gas

2019/2020 • Further discoveries and prospects

Babbage (47%, op.) • Adds gas production to Premier • 19 Bscf (3.2mmboe) net reserves1 • 2016 ytd production: 3.4 kboepd (net)

in line with 2015 • Plans to operate unmanned

Elgin Franklin Area (5.2% non-op.) • 34.6 mmboe net reserves1

• 2016 ytd production: 5.3 kboepd (net), 14% up on 2015

• Current production rates expected for next 3 years

• Development drilling through to 2019, 7 new wells, capex (net) £50m

• Low opex of $8/boe in 2016

Significant gas

discovery

Opportunity to reduce costs

and enhance production

World class asset with long-term production

In-field and near-field

growth opportunity

2016 YTD Production

Total 17.2

kboepd 1. as per effective date 1.1.2015

1. as per effective date 1.1.2015

Elgin-Franklin area

Huntington

Other CNS

Babbage area

Other SNS

May 2016 | P25

Page 27: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

• Acquired with a valuable hedging portfolio in 2016 and 2017 – 2016: 32% estimated gas production @ 63p/therm, 33% estimated liquids production

@ $97/bbl – 2017: 21% estimated gas production @ 57p/therm

• Significant benefit to covenants (Net Debt to EBITDAX) at 30 June 2016 and 31 Dec 2016

• Expected payback of around 2 years, sooner if potential disposal of assets

• Sharing of liabilites with seller on Ravenspurn North & Johnston • c.£250m of historic tax paid off-settable against future decommissioning

expenditure

Quick pay back

• Adds significant cash flow in 2016 and 2017 even at current oil/gas prices – c.15mboepd of net production and associated cash flow added on completion – YTD production ahead of forecast

Strong cash flow

Valuable hedging portfolio

Covenant accretive

Financial benefits of the E.ON acquisition

Abandon- ment

liabilities mitigated

May 2016 | P26

Page 28: Investor Presentation - DEVEX Conference presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning

Premier Oil Plc 23 Lower Belgrave Street London SW1W 0NR Tel: +44 (0)20 7730 1111 Fax: +44 (0)20 7730 4696 Email: [email protected]

www.premier-oil.com

May 2016