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Investor Presentation
March 2015
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Forward Looking Statements
This presentation may include forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable
securities legislation. All forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions based on information available at the time the assumptions were made
and on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors deemed appropriate in the
circumstances. Forward-looking statements are not facts, but only predictions and generally can be identified by the use of statements that include phrases such as “may”,
“will”, “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “project”, “foresee”, “potential”, “enable”, “continue”, or other comparable terminology. These statements are not
guarantees of our future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause our actual performance to be materially different from
that projected. In particular, this presentation contains forward-looking statements pertaining to our business and anticipated future financial performance; our success in
executing on our growth projects; the timing and the completion and commissioning of projects under development, including major projects such as the South Hedland Power
Project, and their attendant costs; expectations regarding the Alberta Electric System Operator’s (“AESO”) plans for resolving regional constraints on Alberta’s transmission
system; spending on growth and sustaining capital and productivity projects; expectations in terms of the cost of operations, capital spend, and maintenance, and the variability
of those costs, including expectations on the cost savings anticipated from the major maintenance agreement entered into with Alstom; the impact of certain hedges on future
reported earnings and cash flows; expectations related to future earnings and cash flow from operating and contracting activities (including estimates of 2015 comparable
earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (“EBITDA”), comparable funds from operations (“FFO”), and comparable free cash flow; estimates of fuel supply
and demand conditions and the costs of procuring fuel; expectations for demand for electricity in both the short term and long term, and the resulting impact on electricity prices;
the impact of load growth, increased capacity, and natural gas costs on power prices; expectations in respect of generation availability, capacity, and production; expectations
regarding the role different energy sources will play in meeting future energy needs; expected financing of our capital expenditures; expected governmental regulatory regimes
and legislation and their expected impact on us and the timing of the implementation of such regimes and regulations, as well as the cost of complying with resulting regulations
and laws; our trading strategies and the risk involved in these strategies; estimates of future tax rates, future tax expense, and the adequacy of tax provisions; accounting
estimates; anticipated growth rates in our markets; our expectations regarding proceedings before the Alberta Utilities Commission (the “AUC”) as well as those relating to the
outcome of existing or potential legal and contractual claims, regulatory investigations, and disputes; expectations regarding the renewal of collective bargaining agreements;
expectations for the ability to access capital markets at reasonable terms; the estimated impact of changes in interest rates and the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the
U.S. dollar and other currencies in locations where we do business; the monitoring of our exposure to liquidity risk; expectations in respect of the global economic environment
and growing scrutiny by investors relating to sustainability performance; our credit practices; the estimated contribution of Energy Marketing activities to gross margin; and
expectations relating to the performance of TransAlta Renewables Inc.’s (“TransAlta Renewables”) assets and plans for the sale of contracted assets to TransAlta Renewables.
Factors that may adversely impact our forward-looking statements include risks relating to: fluctuations in market prices and the availability of fuel supplies required to generate
electricity; our ability to contract our generation for prices that will provide expected returns; the regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which we operate;
environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities under, these requirements; changes in general economic conditions including interest rates; operational risks involving
our facilities, including unplanned outages at such facilities; disruptions in the transmission and distribution of electricity; the effects of weather; disruptions in the source of fuels,
water, or wind required to operate our facilities; natural or man-made disasters; the threat of domestic terrorism and cyberattacks; equipment failure and our ability to carry out
or have completed the repairs in a cost-effective manner or timely manner; commodity risk management; industry risk and competition; fluctuations in the value of foreign
currencies and foreign political risks; the need for additional financing; structural subordination of securities; counterparty credit risk; insurance coverage; our provision for
income taxes; legal, regulatory, and contractual proceedings involving the Corporation; outcomes of investigations and disputes; reliance on key personnel; labour relations
matters; development projects and acquisitions, including delays in the construction of the South Hedland Power Project and the construction of the Australia Natural Gas
Pipeline; failure to proceed with plans for the sale of contracted assets to TransAlta Renewables as a result of failure to agree to commercial terms with the independent
directors of TransAlta Renewables, adverse market conditions or failure to obtain any required regulatory, shareholder or other third party approvals; and the satisfactory receipt
of applicable regulatory approvals for existing and proposed operations and growth initiatives. The foregoing risk factors, among others, are described in further detail in the
Risk Management section of this MD&A and under the heading “Risk Factors” in our 2015 Annual Information Form. Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in
evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this
document are made only as of the date hereof and we do not undertake to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect new information, future events or
otherwise, except as required by applicable laws. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events might occur to a different extent or at a
different time than we have described, or might not occur. We cannot assure that projected results or events will be achieved.
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• One of Canada’s largest publicly traded
power generator & marketer with over 100
years of operating experience
• Diversified asset base with 64 facilities
strategically positioned in Canada, Western
U.S. and Western Australia
• Total fleet capacity of over 8,500 MWs
• Sponsor and 70% owner of TransAlta
Renewables
• Listed on Toronto and New York stock
exchanges
• Investment grade credit ratings
Our Platform
1Includes 100% of TransAlta Renewables’ assets.
• Coal 4,930 MW
• Gas 1,447 MW
• Wind 1,271 MW1
• Hydro 914 MW1
• Gas Pipeline 270 km
• Energy Marketing
Customer Business 700 MW
4 4
Strategic Focus – Operational Excellence
Improvement of our competitive position
• Strong Availability across the fleet
• Lower mining, operating & outage costs
at Alberta coal
• 3-year maintenance agreement with
Alstom
• Productivity improvements at the plants
& mine
• Strategic agreements with OEMs in wind
and gas resulting in lower OM&A and
capital costs
5 5
Strategic Focus – Growth and Optionality
Target an average of $40-$60 million per year in EBITDA growth
• $650 million in committed long-term
contracted growth underway, adding
$90 million of EBITDA in 2017
• Potential opportunity to life extend
Alberta coal through CCS and coal-to-
gas conversion
• Low-cost gas and hydro brownfield
expansion opportunities in Alberta
6 6
Strategic Focus – Financial Strength and Stability
Positioned to fund growth in a low power price environment
• $500 million in debt reduction in 2014 with a plan to reduce debt by a
further $300 - $500 million in 2015
• Leverage TransAlta Renewables as a source of equity through the drop
down of TransAlta contracted assets
• Strong contract profile; 88% hedged in 2015 & 75% hedged through
2020
• All recent growth has been long-term contracted
7 7
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2015 2016 2017 2018
PPAsLong-term contractShort term contract / HedgesOpen Merchant
Total portfolio contractedness
2015 Hedge prices
AB ~$50 - $55/MWh
PacNW ~$40 - $45/MWh
2016 Hedge prices
AB ~$50 - $55/MWh
PacNW ~$45 - $50/MWh
MW
Hedges Mitigating Impact of Weaker Power Prices
88% 81% 77% 68%
Contract and hedging strategy underpin stable cashflows
Alberta
• Well hedged through 2015
• Hedge levels assume normal
wind and hydro volatility
• Positioned for upside from
mid-term price recovery
Pacific-Northwest
• Puget Sound Energy and other
long-term contracts provide
base of between ~280MW and
380MW
• Additional shorter-term hedges
managed dynamically to
capture market volatility
8 8
Environmental Strategy
• Canadian federal regulations amended in 2012 designate useful life of coal plants as 50 years
• Weighted average life of TransAlta’s Alberta coal fleet is ~17 years
• Flexibility provisions enabling unit substitution and ability to apply years from one closed unit to
another to extend operating life
• Overlapping air emission regulation on SOx and NOx; Alberta government developing an
equivalency agreement with Federal gov’t to deal with air emissions
• As an outcome of forced coal unit retirements, the federal GHG regulations will equal and
eventually exceed the effects of CASA
Plant MW Annual GWh1 Final GHG
Regulations
Sundance 1 & 2 560 4,170 2019
Sundance 3 368 2,740 2026
Sundance 4 406 3,023 2027
Sundance 5 406 3,023 2028
Sundance 6 401 2,986 2029
Keephills 1 & 2 790 6,046 2029
Sheerness 1 98 1,415 2036
Sheerness 2 98 1,415 2040
Genesee 3 233 1,675 2055
Keephills 3 232 1,675 2061
¹ Based on 85% availability
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
ton
nes
NOx Emissions under final GHG Gazette Regs vs. CASA
GHG Legislation NOx emissions
NOx under CASA
Timing is the only issue
9 9
Proven Track Record of Growth
$4.0 billion of growth during last five years
$650 million of growth underway
$M
$650M in
committed capital
~$90M in
incremental
EBITDA
Capital Invested in Growth
10 10
$800
$900
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
$1,800
2014E 2017E 2018E 2021E
Existing Business Australian Growth Post PPA upside
Significant Near to Medium-term EBITDA Growth
Significant EBITDA Increase from Committed Growth and Post Alberta PPA Upside
Committed growth cash flows & Post-PPA upside
$M
Upside at
$75/MWH
Upside at
$65/MWH Upside at
$55/MWH
11 11
Potential Investment Opportunities
• Gas-fired well positioned to meet 3,000 MW + of
additional generation required in Alberta by 2020
• Sundance 7, low cost option in our portfolio
• Saskatchewan and B.C. require additional
generation to meet growing loads
• Expansion & acquisition opportunities in United
States & Australia
• Evaluating hydro pumped storage at TransAlta’s
existing hydro sites
• Privatization of Australia’s electricity assets
• Significant acquisition opportunities
Gas-fired
Renewables &Transmission
12 12
Options for Life Extension of Canadian Coal Assets
• Carbon Capture & Storage
has significant potential
• Evaluating coal to gas
conversions
• Flexibility under Federal
GHG legislation allows
optimization of cash flows
across the Alberta coal units
Pursuing Options to Transition Coal Assets
13 13
Recent Accomplishments
Debt maturity profile is manageable over both the short and long-term
• $500 million reduction in net debt
since YE 2013
• Rating agencies have all re-
affirmed our investment grade in
2014
• As at Dec. 31, 2014, ~$1.6
billion in liquidity.
• $500 million was used to
pay USD maturity in Jan.
2015
Agency Rating Outlook
S&P BBB- Stable
Moody’s BBB- Negative
DBRS BBB Stable
Fitch BBB- Stable
120 27
177 400
500
400
520
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
CAD MTN USD Notes
$M Debt Maturity Schedule
14
Performance Highlights
3 months ended Dec. 31 12 months ended Dec. 31
(in $CAD millions) 2014 2013 Change 2014 2013 Change
Comparable EBITDA $301 $242 $59 $1,036 $1,023 $13
Funds from Operations $225 $179 $46 $762 $729 $33
Free Cash Flow $104 $61 $43 $295 $295 -
Sustaining Capital $87 $96 $(9) $342 $341 $1
Adjusted Availability(1) 93.2% 91.8% 1.4% 90.5% 87.8% 2.7%
Q4 2014 commentary
• Comparable EBITDA increased over last year due to the following achievements offsetting lower
Alberta power prices:
• Strong availability throughout our generation portfolio
• Continued improved operational performance at Canadian Coal
• Higher than planned margins delivered by our Energy Marketing Team
• Robust hedging strategy
• FFO increased compared last year primarily due to lower reclamation costs and lower non-cash
mark to market gains included in EBITDA
• Strong portfolio availability in the quarter as a result of higher availability at Canadian Coal
(1) Adjusted for economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal
15 15
3,000
3,200
3,400
3,600
3,800
4,000
4,200
4,400
2013 2014
$M
Net Debt
12%
13%
14%
15%
16%
17%
18%
2013 2014
Strengthening our Financial Position
$500 million reduction in net debt since YE 2013
¹ Assumes 50/50 treatment of Preferred shares and reported net debt balance
FFO / Debt1
Impact of
Foreign
Exchange
• Deliver FFO / Debt target in 2015
• Financing options / flexibility using TransAlta Renewables and out sources of funding
• Ability to meet all obligations including sustaining dividend and investment grade ratings
in a low price environment
16 16
Funding Growth and Debt Reductions
TransAlta will use RNW as an efficient way to fund South Hedland and
other growth opportunities at TransAlta
Significant funding available finance growth opportunities
Committed Funding Requirements (2015 - 2017)
$ millions Low High
Debt Reductions $ (300) - $ (500)
Committed Growth Capital - South Hedland $ (570) - $ (570)
Total Uses $ (870) - $(1,070)
Potential Sources (2015 - 2017)
$ millions Low High
Excess Cash Flow¹ $ 300 - $ 300
Pfd Shares $ 300 - $ 500
RNW Drop Downs $ 700 - $ 1,000
DRIP $ - - $ 200
Total Sources2 $ 1,300 - $ 2,000
¹ Cash Flow after deducting sustaining capital, dividends and partner distributions
2 Does not include potential partnerships
17 17
TransAlta Corporation and TransAlta Renewables are strategically aligned
Strategic Flexibility – Leveraging TransAlta Renewables
TransAlta Renewables
TransAlta
Public
70% 30%
• Sponsored vehicle to own long-term
contracted assets
• Access lower cost funding and
enhance returns for contracted assets
• Release capital to TransAlta as
required
• >$3 billion potential drop down
inventory
• Strong currency to support accretive
acquisition of third party assets
18 18
Significant Inventory of Drop-Down Opportunities
• Six power stations with long-term contracts
• 270 km gas pipeline
• ~$100 mm EBITDA growing to ~$200 mm
Australia Business
Alberta Hydro • 13 units, representing 90% of Alberta’s hydro
• ~$60 - $120 mm EBITDA
Additional
Renewables
Canadian Gas Fired
Generation
• ~1,000 MW in Alberta and Ontario
• ~$220 mm EBITDA
• 99 MW contracted wind farm in Quebec
• 7 MW contracted hydro facility in Ontario
19 19
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
$55 $65 $75
Long-term Upside Potential
• Significant potential upside
once the Alberta legislated
PPAs expire
• Alberta prices have
averaged ~$65/MWh since
deregulation
• AESO estimates that
~$80/MWh is required to
attracted new gas-fired
generation
Significant increase in cashflows once Alberta legislated
PPAs expire in 2018 and 2021
Potential incremental annual
EBITDA from Alberta PPAfacilities¹
Incre
me
nta
l E
BIT
DA
$M
Alberta power prices $/MWh
¹ Represents potential annual incremental EBITDA per year starting in 2021. The term of the incremental upside is governed by the retirement dates of each of the generating units
under the Federal greenhouse legislation but could go longer if some or all of the units have carbon capture and storage installed, or are converted to gas fired.
20 20
Investment Proposition
Focused on maximizing value and shareholder returns
• Diversified and highly contracted portfolio
• Significant near and long-term EBITDA growth
• Well positioned for growth in markets with strong fundamentals
• Diversified and low cost portfolio provides greatest optionality to meet
Alberta’s future capacity needs
• Access to low cost capital for funding growth