Upload
dalrino
View
215
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
1/40
POTENTIAL IMPACTS, MITIGATION
AND ADAPTATION OF CLIMATECHANGES ON WATER RESOURCES
AND IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE ININDONESIA
By:A. Hafied A. Gany, Ph.D., P.En.
!"i#e P$e%iden& H'n'$ai$e, ICID(
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
2/40
PRESENTATION OUTLINEOUTLINE
I. In&$'d)#&'$y Ba#*$')nd+II. Gene$a I%%)e% 'f Ci-a&e
Chane+III. Wa&e$ Re%')$#e% Manae-en&
in Ind'ne%ia+I". C'n#)%i'n+
". C'%in Re-a$*%.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
3/40
INTRODUCTION
F'$ %)'$&in f''d %e#)$i&y and&he e'e i/eih''d in, i$$ia&i'n
ha% 0een 1idey $a#&i#ed inInd'ne%ia f'$ de#ade% &'
in#$ea%e #$' yied and &'
a'1 &he #)&i/a&i'n 'f 1a&e$%en%i&i/e #$'% f'$ &he e'e2%%&ae die&.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
4/40
INTRODUCTION
Re#en& #'n%&$ain%:Un#e$&ain&y and )n$edi#&a0ii&y 'f 1a&e$a/aia0ii&y d)e &' CC+
CC i% n'1 #'n%ide$ed &' 0e )ne3)i/'#a+The i-a#& 'f CC 'n in a$i#)&)$e
%ee-% #hanin in *ey /a$ia0e%+
I-a#&% 'n #$' $'1&h+Rainfa, e/a'$a&i'n de-and, %&$ea-
f'1 and $')nd1a&e$ $e#ha$e.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
5/40
INTRODUCTION
CC i% 0e#'-in %inifi#an& and0e#'-e addi&i'na %&$e%% 'n f''d
$'d)#&i'n+
Ind'ne%ia i% #)$$en&y )nde$ &he%inifi#an& $e%%)$e f'$ %a&i%fyin f''d
need% and %&$e%% 'n en/i$'n-en&+En#$'a#h-en& 'f e#'%y%&e-%2 hea&h)nde$-ine &he i$$ia&ed a$i#)&)$e.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
6/40
TRENDS OF CLIMATE
CHANGE IN
INDONESIA
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
7/40
CLIMATE CHANGE IN INDONESIA
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
8/40
CLIMATE CHANGE IN INDONESIA
Ind'ne%ia i% e4&$e-ey /)ne$a0e &'#i-a&i# ha5a$d%+
The f$e3)en#y 'f na&)$a ha5a$d%
aea$% &' 0e in#$ea%in+Sin#e 6778 &e-e$a&)$e in
Ind'ne%ia ha% in#$ea%ed 0y 8.9C,$edi#&ed &' in#$ea%e 0y 6.;9.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
9/40
CLIMATE CHANGE IN INDONESIA
I& i% diffi#)& &' ene$ai5ea0')& #hane% in $e#ii&a&i'n+
E Ni>' and La Ni>a ha% aa$e i-a#& 'n Ind'ne%ian#i-a&e+
CC 1i #'n&in)e &' 0e a -a?'$ha5a$d in Ind'ne%ia.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
10/40
ISSUES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
11/40
WATER RESOURCES IN INDONESIA
WR in Ind'ne%ia i% e%&i-a&ed a&=,98 *-9!6,@
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
12/40
WATER RESOURCES IN INDONESIA
The -a?'$ $i/e$% a$e %e$/ed f'$inand &$an%'$&a&i'n i$$ia&i'n+
L'1and% a$ea% 'f 99. M ha!#'n%i%&ed =8.6 M ha 'f &ida, and69.9 M ha inand %1a-(+
=6 %#eni# a*e% a$e '&en&ia f'$%)'$&in i$$ia&ed a$i#)&)$e.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
13/40
WATER RESOURCES IN INDONESIA
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
14/40
IWRM POLIC IN INDONESIA
The$e a$e f')$ *ind% 'f $i/e$ 0a%in&e$$i&'$ie%, &he%e a$e:
In&e$na&i'na $i/e$ 0a%in+Cen&$a G'/e$n-en& $i/e$ 0a%in+P$'/in#ia G'/e$n-en& $i/e$
0a%in+ andDi%&$i#& G'/e$n-en& $i/e$ 0a%in+
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
15/40
IWRM POLIC IN INDONESIA
The$e a$e 696 $i/e$ 0a%in%+ in&e$na&i'na+ =7 in&e$;
$'/in#ia+ =7 $i/e$ 'f na&i'na%&$a&ei#+ 9 in&e$di%&$i#&-)ni#iai&y+ and 6di%&$i#&-)ni#iai&y. !T1'
'/e$n-en& '1ned #'-anie%(
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
16/40
IWRM POLIC IN INDONESIA
O)& 'f 696 $i/e$ 0a%in a$ea%+ &i=86=, &he$e a$e 'ny 69 an% f'$
$i/e$ 0a%in -anae-en& &ha& ha/ede#ided 0y &he Mini%&$y 'f P)0i#W'$*%+ and =7 an% 0y &he
'/e$n'$, a% &he 0a%i% f'$ $i/e$ 0a%in-anae-en&.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
17/40
GENERAL MAP OF RI"ER BASIN
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
18/40
IRRIGATED PADD /% CLIMATECHANGE
In =88=, @,6,699 ha i$$ia&i'n,#'n%i%&ed 'f
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
19/40
IRRIGATION MGT ROLE SHARING
Ba%ed 'n &he 'i#y, i$$ia&i'nha% 0een di/ided in&':
Cen&$a, =.96M ha+ ! 9,888ha(P$'/in#e, 6.=9M ha+
! =,888 &' 9,888 ha(Reen#y, 9.7=M ha+
! 6,888 ha(, f'$ ea#h %#he-e.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
20/40
FUTURE TREND OF IMPACT
Ba%ed 'n fied e4e$i-en&%,&he yied% a$e $ea&ed 1i&h a
#'effi#ien& 'f de&e$-ina&i'n @
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
21/40
FUTURE TREND OF IMPACTC)$$en&y, &he $i#e yied% in d$y
yea$% a$e a0')& 'ne;haf &h'%e 'fn'$-a yea$%, !Uni/e$%i&y 'f
G'&hen0)$, =88@(.Unde$ &he 1a&e$ )&ii5a&i'n 1i&h
1a&e$ %#a$#i&y in#$ea%e%d)e &' CC and %e#&'$a
#'-e&i&i'n
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
22/40
FUTURE TREND OF IMPACT
The$e 1i 0e %&$'n$e%%)$e% in&en%ify
i$$ia&i'n $'d)#&i'n and %1ihf$'- %&$a&eie% &' in#$ea%ehy%i#a and 1a&e$
$'d)#&i/i&y &' &he in#$ea%ee#'n'-i# $e&)$n% e%% 1a&e$
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
23/40
IRRIGATION SHIFT TO COMMERCIALJ
I$$ia&i'n %e#&'$ i% 0e#'-in-'$e #'--e$#iay '$ien&ed:!6(I$$ia&i'n f'#)%e% 'n hih
/a)e $'d)#&i'n e%% &' f''d%e#)$i&y+
!=(I$$ia&i'n #ai&a in&en%i/e0)%ine%% !n'& %-a h'de$(
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
24/40
LOWLAND POTENTIAL
A0')& 99 M ha 'f '&en&ia'1and in Ind'ne%ia. !=8 M ha
&ida+ 69 M ha inand %1a-+ 6.@M ha ha% 0een de/e'ed 6. Mha &ida, and 8.9M ha inand(+
Sinifi#an& '&en&ia 0)&%)%#e&i0e &' CCJ
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
25/40
LOWLAND POTENTIAL
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
26/40
IMMEDIATE IMPACT OF CC
The'$e&i#a e$%e#&i/e:In#$ea%ed a&-'%he$i# CO= enhan#eh'&'%yn&he&i# effi#ien#y $ed)#e
$e%i$a&i'n+Off;%e&&in &he '%% 'f $'d)#&i'n
'&en&ia d)e &' &e-e$a&)$e $i%e+CO= e/e% d')0ed, &e-e$a&)$e%a%' $i%en 0y KC, nea&in any 0enefi&.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
27/40
IMMEDIATE IMPACT OF CC
Ind'ne%ian C'ndi&i'nRea&ed 1i&h %ea e/e $i%e, Ind'ne%ian den%ey')a&ed, a$&i#)a$y = -ii'n e'e 1h' i/e
e%% &han 68- a0'/e %ea;e/e.One -e&e$ $i%e #')d in)nda&e 8,888ha
$ed)#e Ind'ne%ia2% &e$$i&'$y 0y in)nda&in '1;yin i%and% a% &e$$i&'$ia 0'$de$%+
A f)$&he$ 8#- $i%e, 1i&h and %)0%iden#e,#')d e$-anen&y in)nda&e N'$&he$n a/a,
Ea%&e$n S)-a&$a, and Le%%e$ I%and%.
U & i & f W & R i &
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
28/40
Un#e$&ain&y 'f Wa&e$ Re3)i$e-en&
IMMEDIATE IMPACT OF CC
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
29/40
IMMEDIATE IMPACT OF CCE4&$e-e $ainfa and in#$ea%e 'f f''d 1')d
in#$ea%e 1a&e$;0'$ne di%ea%e%+In#$ea%ed &e-e$a&)$e% 1i #a)%e &he %$ead 'f
/e#&'$;0'$ne di%ea%e%, -aa$ia, den)e fe/e$ e.+
The$ef'$e, &he a&&ain-en& 'f MDG% in Ind'ne%ia1')d 0e di%$)&ed 0y CC '/e$&y $ed)#&i'n+La#* 'f a##e%% &' 0'&h inf'$-a&i'n and
$e%')$#e% f'$ ada&a&i'n.The$ef'$e, ada&a&i'n eff'$&% n'& 0$in a0')&
#'n&$i0)&i'n &' '/e$&y ae/ia&i'n n'& &' $ed)#e&he ineffe#&i/e i$$ia&ed a$i#)&)$e.
IMMEDIATE IMPACT OF CC
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
30/40
IMMEDIATE IMPACT OF CCE4&$e-e $ainfa and in#$ea%e 'f f''d 1')d
in#$ea%e 1a&e$;0'$ne di%ea%e%+In#$ea%ed &e-e$a&)$e% 1i #a)%e &he %$ead 'f
/e#&'$;0'$ne di%ea%e%, -aa$ia, den)e fe/e$ e.+
The$ef'$e, &he a&&ain-en& 'f MDG% in Ind'ne%ia1')d 0e di%$)&ed 0y CC '/e$&y $ed)#&i'n+La#* 'f a##e%% &' 0'&h inf'$-a&i'n and
$e%')$#e% f'$ ada&a&i'n.The$ef'$e, ada&a&i'n eff'$&% n'& 0$in a0')&
#'n&$i0)&i'n &' '/e$&y ae/ia&i'n n'& &' $ed)#e&he ineffe#&i/e i$$ia&ed a$i#)&)$e.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
31/40
ALTERNATI"E TO MITIGATION OF CC
Mi&ia&i'n An an&h$''eni# -ean% f'$$ed)#in &he GHG e-i%%i'n d)e CC+Thi% e%e#iay )$en& Ind'ne%ia 0ein
&he 9$d
a$e%& GH a%%e% e-i&&e$.P'i#ie% f'$ $ed)#in def'$e%&a&i'n andGGE ha% 0een e%&a0i%hed.
The 'i#y, 1a%n2& i-e-en& effe#&i/ey.The 'i#y 'n &he )%e 'f f'%%i f)e%, ha%
0een #'n&$i0)&in GHG &' &$ie 0y =898.
ALTERNATI"E TO ADAPTATION TO CC
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
32/40
ALTERNATI"E TO ADAPTATION TO CC
Ada&a&i'n, #')d 0e e$#ei/ed a% ad?)%&-en&%
&' h)-an '$ hy%i#a %y%&e- $e%'n%e &' CCThe $i'$i&y %e#&'$% a$e %een a% a$i#)&)$e,
1a&e$, #'a%&a and )$0an a$ea%.
Ini&ia&i/e% a% de/e'-en& 'f #'--)ni&y a#&i'nan% &' #'e 1i&h f''din in &he fied 'f di%a%&e$$i%* $ed)#&i'n !DRR(+
Ada&a&i'n &' CC 1i 0e a 'n;&e$- $'#e%%and a$&ne$%hi%+
W'$*%h' #'n/ened &' di%#)%% &he CCAda&a&i'n 1i he &' a%%)$e ada&a&i'n
CAPACIT FOR ADAPTATION MITIGATION
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
33/40
CAPACIT FOR ADAPTATION ; MITIGATION
The$e i% #)$$en&y -)#h $ea&e$a1a$ene%% 'f -i&ia&i'n &han
a1a$ene%% 'f ada&a&i'n.
Thi% -a&&e$ i% $efe#&in &he0$'ade$ and%#ae $efe#&in
Ind'ne%ia a% &he 9$d
a$e%& e-i&&e$'f GHG, @ 'f &hi% fi)$e #'-e%f$'- def'$e%&a&i'n
CAPACIT FOR ADAPTATION MITIGATION
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
34/40
CAPACIT FOR ADAPTATION ; MITIGATION
S&ae% 'f ada&a&i'n:
a1a$ene%% 'n i%%)e 'f ada&a&i'n+a0ii&y &' anay5e 'f inf'$-a&i'n+
a1a$ene%% 'f &he #aa#i&y &' a%%e%% &he$ee/an& /)ne$a0ii&y 'f &he CC+a1a$ene%% 'f &he de-and 'f effe#&i/e
%y%&e- f'$ di%%e-ina&i'n 'f #i-a&einf'$-a&i'n+ and
&he i-'$&an#e 'f TA f'$ ada&a&i'n
GAPS AND O"ERLAP OF RESPONSIBILITIES
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
35/40
GAPS AND O"ERLAP OF RESPONSIBILITIES
Ind'ne%ia i% %&i fa#in &he diffi#)&y &'
-ee& ad-ini%&$a&i/e and in%&$)-en&% f'$%)%&ainin &he CD+
Raid de#en&$ai5a&i'n $'#e%% &ha& ha%
#'n&$i0)&ed addi&i'na #haene%+Ga% 0e&1een 'i#y and $a#&i#e, &he
de#i%i'n f'$ in&e$a&in+
Wea*ne%% 'f in&e$a&i'n 0e&1een /e$&i#aand h'$i5'n&a 'i#y+
!9 $'/in#e% and -'$e &han 88 di%&$i#&%(.
POTENTIAL ALTERNATI"ES
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
36/40
POTENTIAL ALTERNATI"ESA& Fa$- S#ae Ada&a&i'n+ C$'
&e#hn''y+ /a$ie&ie%+ di/e$%ifi#a&i'n$a#&i#e+ %'i and 1a&e$ -anae-en&+
%ea%'na $a#&i#e+ effi#ien& i$$ia&i'n+ 'nfa$- $e#y#in+ $'&a&i'n+ e.A& I$$ia&i'n Sy%&e- and fa$- %#ae+
%&'$ae, 1a&e$ a##')n&in+ #$'ina&&e$n%+ anne$% a& $i/e$ 0a%in e/e+
in#en&i/e+ ena&ie%, e.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
37/40
CONCLUSION ANDRECOMMENDATIONS
CONCLUDING REMARS !6=(
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
38/40
CONCLUDING REMARS !6=(
The $e%en&y in#$ea%e in '0aThe $e%en&y in#$ea%e in '0a&e-e$a&)$e 'f 6.KC &' $ea#h =KC, i& i% i*ey&e-e$a&)$e 'f 6.KC &' $ea#h =KC, i& i% i*eyde#$ea%iny effe#&i/e and in#$ea%inyde#$ea%iny effe#&i/e and in#$ea%iny
e4en%i/e ada&a&i'n '&i'n%, f'$ Ind'ne%iane4en%i/e ada&a&i'n '&i'n%, f'$ Ind'ne%ian$a#&i#e+$a#&i#e+
A#&i'n need% f'$ in&e$na&i'na, na&i'na,A#&i'n need% f'$ in&e$na&i'na, na&i'na,'#a and #'--)ni&y;0a%ed eff'$&%, #'-')nd'#a and #'--)ni&y;0a%ed eff'$&%, #'-')nd1i&h en/i$'n-en&a and %'#i';e#'n'-i#%+1i&h en/i$'n-en&a and %'#i';e#'n'-i#%+
CONCLUDING REMARS !6=(
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
39/40
CONCLUDING REMARS !6=(
Wa&e$ $'d)#&i/i&y need% &' i-$'/eWa&e$ $'d)#&i/i&y need% &' i-$'/ea#$'%% a $ei'n% 'n in&e$a&ed 0a%i%+a#$'%% a $ei'n% 'n in&e$a&ed 0a%i%+
Wa&e$ %a/in i$$ia&i'n &e#hn''ie%Wa&e$ %a/in i$$ia&i'n &e#hn''ie%1i ha/e &' 0e -ade in &he f)&)$e,1i ha/e &' 0e -ade in &he f)&)$e,
in#)din a##')n&in f'$ 1a&e$ %a/in%, a&in#)din a##')n&in f'$ 1a&e$ %a/in%, a&&he fied and a& $i/e$ 0a%in %#ae.&he fied and a& $i/e$ 0a%in %#ae.
7/24/2019 Irigation Adaptation to Climate Change
40/40
THAT2S ALLTHAN OU