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8/6/2019 Is LM Summary
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The IS Curve : Describes the combinations of income Y and interest ratei for which the goods market (and savings market) is in equilibrium:
IS-LM Summary
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Assume Y = 0.24. What is a price of a (zero coupon)bond that promises to pay $100 in one year?
Numerical Example: Assume L(i) = a / iwith a = 1, P = 5 and Ms = 12.
The LM Curve : Describes the combinations of income Y and interestrate i for which the money (and other assets) market is in equilibrium:
Ms = Md = P Y L(i)
IS-LM Summary
Pb * (1 + i) = 100 ; i = 5 * 0.24 / 12 =10%
Pb = 100 / 1.1 = $ 90.91
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IS curve
S
I
Real i
Y
LY
Li
Real i
Y
LM curve
S = I + G – NT + NX Ms = Li +L Y
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IS-LM
Y
Real i LM
Y
Real i
ISExcess demand
for goods
Excess supplyof money
Excess supplyof goods
Excess demandfor money
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Equilibrium
Y
Real i LM
IS
Y
Real i Y pot
Y*
Long RunEquilibrium
Short RunEquilibrium
LM
IS
In the short run,Fiscal policy (IS) andMonetary policy (LM)can change theequilibrium output andinterest rate.
In the long run,equilibrium output is
given by the potentialoutput (availableresources andtechnology)
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Fiscal Policy Expansion
Y
Real i LM 0
IS1
Y
Real i
E 1Short Run
Equilibrium
LM 0
IS1
In the short run,an increase in G or adecrease in NT increasesGDP and real interestrate.
In the long run,prices increase,thus the real supply of money decreases. Theequilibrium output isgiven by the potentialoutput, real interestincreases increases even
more.
IS0
IS0
LM 2
E 2Long Run
Equilibrium
Y pot
Y pot
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Monetary Policy Expansion
Y
Real i LM 1
IS0
Y
Real i
E 1Short Run
Equilibrium
LM 1
IS0
In the short run,an increase in nominalmoney balancesincreases Ms and GDPand decreases the realinterest rate.
In the long run,as prices increase,the real supply of moneydecreases.GDP and real interestrate return to its originallevels.
LM 0
E 2Long Run
Equilibrium
LM 0Y pot
Y pot LM 0 =LM 2
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Problem (Demand for money & Fiscal & Monetary policies)Suppose that interest is paid on money balances at the rate: i M
(a) How would you expect this to affect the specification of the demand formoney?
(b) Suppose that i M
= a i where i is the nominal interest rate on bonds and0 < a < 1. What is the new money market equilibrium condition?
(c) How is the slope of the LM curve affected?(d) What does your analysis suggest will be the impact of the introduction
of interest bearing current accounts on the effectiveness of fiscal andmonetary policies.
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Problem (Demand for money & Fiscal & Monetary policies)Suppose that interest is paid on money balances at the rate: i M
(a) How would you expect this to affect the specification of the demand formoney?
(b) Suppose that i M
= ai where i is the nominal interest rate on bonds and0 < a < 1. What is the new money market equilibrium condition?
(c) How is the slope of the LM curve affected?(d) What does your analysis suggest will be the impact of the introduction
of interest bearing current accounts on the effectiveness of fiscal andmonetary policies.
Previously, Money demand was given by: Md = PYL(i)where money demand depends positivelyon income and negatively on interest rates,i, paid on bonds. E.g. Md = α Y – β i
(where α and β are positive constants)
Now, when interest rate is paid on money balances, Md = PYL(i , i M )where money demand depends positivelyon income, negatively on interest rates, i,paid on bonds and positively on interestrates, i M paid on money balances. E.g. Md = α Y – β i + γ i M
(where α , β and γ are positive constants)
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(b) Suppose that i M = a i where i is the nominal interest rate on bonds and0 < a < 1. What is the new money market equilibrium condition?
Money demand: Md = α Y – β i + γ i M
Md = α Y – β i + γ a iMoney market equilibrium: Md = Ms :
Ms = α Y – β i + γ a i
(c) How is the slope of the LM curve affected?
The LM curve represents the combinations of income Y and interest ratei for which the money market is in equilibrium.
From money market equilibrium condition, Ms = α Y + i [γ a - β ]
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β α
aγ β α −
aγ β >
aγ <
From money market equilibrium condition, M s = α Y + i [γ a - β ]We can write the equation of the LM curve as:
Previously, a = 0 and slope =
Now, a > 0 and slope =
If , the slope of the LM curve increases so that the LM curve
becomes steeper.If , the slope of the LM curve becomes negative and we will
then have a downward sloping LM curve!
β γ α
β γ −−
−=
aY
a M
iS
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aγ >
Y Z I iY Z G d ⇒↓⇒↓⇒↓⇒↑⇒↑⇒↑⇒↑↑
(d) What does your analysis suggest will be the impactof the introduction of interest bearing current accountson the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies.If , fiscal policy will have less impact on the economy.Consider an expansionary fiscal policy, sayan increase in government spending G.
The increase in G increases demand Z. Pictured from theKeynesian cross diagram, the demand function shifts
upwards while the IS curve shifts to the right (a change inexogenous variable G shifts both curve) leading to upwardpressure on output Y.However, the increase in output, leads to a rise in demandfor money, so that in the money market diagram, the Md
curve shifts to the right.Interest rate rises and this leads to a fall in investmentwhich manifests itself via a movement along the IS curve(since i is an endogenous variable in the i-Y plane) and via a downward shift for the expenditurefunction in the Keynesian cross diagram (since i is an exogenous variable in the Z-Y plane) .
Output falls but the fall in output as a result of the rise in the interest rate is less than theinitial rise in output so that overall, aggregate output rises.
ISLM ii
Y
Y
MZ
β γ
α
β γ −
−
−
=
a
Y
a
M i
S
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aγ >
(d) What does your analysis suggest will be the impactof the introduction of interest bearing current accountson the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies.If , fiscal policy will have less impact on the economy.Consider an expansionary fiscal policy, sayan increase in government spending G.
Now, if the LM curve were steeper, the effect of anexpansionary fiscal policy on output would be evenlower. This is because interest rates rise more witha steep LM curve and therefore the fall ininvestment is bigger than with the less steep LMcurve.
aγ β <Furthermore, if , the slope of the
LM curve becomes negative! In this casean expansionary fiscal policy has theopposite effects from what is expected!
IS
LM
IS
LM
β γ
α
β γ −
−
−
=
a
Y
a
M i
S
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Now, let us consider the impact of an expansionary monetary policy ,say an increase in Money supply.An expansionary monetary policy
increases money supply. As a resultthe LM curve shifts to the right andinterest rates falls, leading to a rise
in investment and a rise in output Y.
If , monetary policy willhave greater impact on the economy.aγ β >
LM
IS
Y
i
The expansionary monetary policy would lead to the same rightward
horizontal shift in both LM curves. As can be seen from the diagram, thisleads to a greater impact of monetary policy on the economy.
To see this, consider first the equation of the
LM curve when interest rate is kept constant:
β γ
α
β γ −
−
−
=
a
Y
a
M i
S
i
a M
Y
s
⎟
⎞⎜⎝ ⎛ −+=
α
γ β
α
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ia M
Y s
⎟ ⎠ ⎞
⎜⎝ ⎛ −+=
α γ β
α
β γ
α
β γ −
−−
=
a
Y
a
M i
S
To see this, consider first the equation of the
LM curve when interest rate is kept constant:
−
i
α 1=∂∂ sY
Keeping i fixed at whilevarying the money supply M s
lead to a similar change in Y.
if i is fixed.
Thus, the expansionary monetary
policy would lead to the samerightward horizontal shift in both LM curves.
As can be seen from the diagram, this leads to a greater impact of
monetary policy on the economy when LM is steeper (and a greater.)
LM
IS
Y
i