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© Laurent Pascal/Total IS NEW TECHNOLOGY SUFFICIENT TO ENSURING AVIATION SAFETY? Offshore/Onshore Aviation Conference Kuala-Lumpur, Malaysia | September 02 nd 2013 Alexandre ALDEBERT | Aviation Advisor

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  • © Laurent Pascal/Total

    IS NEW TECHNOLOGY SUFFICIENT

    TO ENSURING AVIATION SAFETY? Offshore/Onshore Aviation Conference

    Kuala-Lumpur, Malaysia | September 02nd 2013

    Alexandre ALDEBERT | Aviation Advisor

  • TABLE OF CONTENTS

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 2

    1. TOTAL Aviation Activity Key figures

    2. Safety evolution

    3. Safety illusion

    4. Safe implementation: How to success?

    5. Conclusion

  • WHY TOTAL AT AN AVIATION

    CONFERENCE?

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 3

  • TOTAL E&P - AVIATION KEY FACTS

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 4

    38’000

    Annual flying hours:

    Annual passengers:

    40’000

    90

    Dedicated aircraft:

    Aviation inspections:

    80

    Aviation activity ratio:

    +11%

    / year

    RW

    FW

    Dedicated aviation services:

    32 countries

    • Develops its own Aviation Policy & Standards.

    • Active member of the OGP ASC.

    • Launch „End-user“: EC225 (UK) & AW139 (NL).

  • SAFETY EVOLUTION

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 5

  • SAFETY EVOLUTION SINCE 1960S

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    1960s 1980s 2000s 2010s

    Number of fatal airliner hull-loss accidents

    Emphasis on

    certification

    requirements

    Emphasis on

    procedures Emphasis on

    Human Factors

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 6

    Source: ASN

  • AVIATION SAFETY STATISTICS SUMMARY

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 7

    “Statistics are like a bikini: What they show is interesting, what they hide is vital.”

    ● Thousands of „reactive“ Aviation Safety statistics. ● Very few „proactive/preventive“ Aviation Safety

    statistics available.

  • GLOBAL HELICOPTER SAFETY RATE

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 8

    Source: IHST

  • HELICOPTER SAFETY RATE FOR ASIA & EUROPE

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 9

    Source: IHST

  • SAFETY ILLUSION

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 10

  • DEVELOPMENTS IN THE RW INDUSTRY SINCE 2000

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 11

    ● Technical developments: - New types: AW139, EC225, S92

    - New Equipments: EFB, EGPWS, FDM, HUMS, TCAS, RIPS, Data-link (…)

    - Certification: Crashworthiness, PC2E, EASA CS-29 (…)

    ● Operational developments: - Digital cockpit

    - Simulator training

    - Distance Learning Platforms

    ● Organizational developments: - GNSS & ARA procedures

    - LOFT training

    - SMS

    ● ATM & helideck areas developments.

  • EXAMPLES OF SAFETY EVENTS

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 12

  • IS IT SAFER?

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 13

    What are the challenges to succeed? What are the challenges to succeed?

  • SAFE IMPLEMENTATION: HOW TO

    SUCCESS?

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 14

  • AVIATION FUNDAMENTALS

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 15

    $‘$$$‘$$$ Certification

    • Specifications

    • Aircraft

    • Equipments

    • SoW

    Support

    •Parts

    • Supply chains

    • Services

    Operator

    • Approval

    • Procedures

    • Personnel

    Maintenance

    •Approval

    •Procedures

    • Personnel

    Personnel

    •Qualification

    •Competency

    •Number

    Others

    • ATM

    • Fuel

    •Facilities

    •Environment

    CAA • Rules

    • Authority

    • Personnel

    Experience

    Sharing

  • AIRCRAFT CERTIFICATION & RELIABILITY

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 16

    ● New certifications specifications (EASA, FAA).

    ● Aircraft design assessment deficiencies: - AW139, EC225, S92

    - A380, DA7X, B787

    ● Aircraft reliability problems.

    ● Poor quality components / Bogus parts.

    ● Undeveloped Operator reliability program.

    ● Manufacturers do not communicate „Component reliability“.

    ● Who is leading the Aviation Industry: Regulator or the others parties?

  • BRAND NEW AIRCRAFT TECHNICAL SUPPORT

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 17

    ● Parts shortage & un-manufactured tools.

    ● Un-optimised logistics supply chains.

    ● Engineering response & development delays.

    ● Un-adapted technical libraries.

    ● Safety Communications & sharing with all aviation parties.

    ● Limited number of authorized maintenance centers & component shops.

    ● Unshared flight data package for flight simulator design, limiting the number of flight training centers.

  • AIRWORTHINESS & MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 18

    ● Lack of maintenance program customization.

    ● Weak HUMS data interpretation & usage.

    ● Engineers shortage: - Hiring process & criteria

    - Requirement lowering?

    - Overtime & fatigue

    ● Engineers competency: - On-the-Job Training.

    - Continuous skills developments.

    - Supervision & evaluation.

    - Language & culture skills.

    C:/Users/sotong/Desktop/DAY ONE/engineer shortage.pdf

  • AIRCREW ISSUES

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 19

    ● Selection: - Shortage

    - Hiring process & criteria

    - Conversion criteria

    ● Initial training: - Simulator Vs A/C equipments different & kind of operation.

    - Type of training Vs older / younger aircrew (IT, DLS, repetition).

    - Line supervision & equipments use?

    ● Recurrent training: - Training program customized to operator procedures & A/C equipments?

    - Contracted training organizations checked by Air Operators ?

    ● Training personnel: - Experience & competency checked?

    ● Aircrew skills & competencies: - Shortfalls not documented…everybody passed without flying colors.

    - Development of new skills to fly intelligent aircraft?

  • OPERATOR PROCEDURES

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 20

    ● Unconsolidated & non-customised company documentation.

    ● Reporting Culture: - Still reactive : poor near-missed event reported.

    - Aircrew report technical defects, rarely operational events.

    - Engineers not issuing reports.

    ● Communication/Safety sharing: - Within the air operator.

    - With the CAA & Manufacturer.

    ● FDM analysis & usage.

    ● SMS outcomes remain unclear in general.

  • CONCLUSION

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 21

  • ACCIDENT RATE REDUCTION

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 22

    ● Equipments & technology

    ● Regulations

    ● Safety overisght

    ● Learning from errors

    ● Best practice sharing

    ● Cooperation between all aviation parties

    ● Human factors focus

    ● Pro-active stance

  • CONCLUSION

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 23

    ● New technology has improved & will continue to positively contribute to aviation safety.

    ● A/C are easier to fly, but: - overconfidence,

    - inattentive attitude,

    - more complex to understand.

    ● People are involved in most of the accidents.

    ● More complex new technology will be, longer an efficient implementation for an effective control will be.

    “New technology Power is nothing without control”

  • QUESTIONS?

    [email protected]

    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 24

    mailto:[email protected]

  • The TOTAL GROUP is defined as TOTAL S.A. and its affiliates and shall include the person

    and the entity making the presentation.

    Disclaimer

    This presentation may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private

    Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 with respect to the financial condition, results of

    operations, business, strategy and plans of TOTAL GROUP that are subject to risk factors

    and uncertainties caused by changes in, without limitation, technological development and

    innovation, supply sources, legal framework, market conditions, political or economic events.

    TOTAL GROUP does not assume any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking

    statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Further

    information on factors which could affect the company’s financial results is provided in

    documents filed by TOTAL GROUP with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers and the

    US Securities and Exchange Commission.

    Accordingly, no reliance may be placed on the accuracy or correctness of any such

    statements.

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    Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 25