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© Laurent Pascal/Total
IS NEW TECHNOLOGY SUFFICIENT
TO ENSURING AVIATION SAFETY? Offshore/Onshore Aviation Conference
Kuala-Lumpur, Malaysia | September 02nd 2013
Alexandre ALDEBERT | Aviation Advisor
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 2
1. TOTAL Aviation Activity Key figures
2. Safety evolution
3. Safety illusion
4. Safe implementation: How to success?
5. Conclusion
WHY TOTAL AT AN AVIATION
CONFERENCE?
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 3
TOTAL E&P - AVIATION KEY FACTS
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 4
38’000
Annual flying hours:
Annual passengers:
40’000
90
Dedicated aircraft:
Aviation inspections:
80
Aviation activity ratio:
+11%
/ year
RW
FW
Dedicated aviation services:
32 countries
• Develops its own Aviation Policy & Standards.
• Active member of the OGP ASC.
• Launch „End-user“: EC225 (UK) & AW139 (NL).
SAFETY EVOLUTION
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 5
SAFETY EVOLUTION SINCE 1960S
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1960s 1980s 2000s 2010s
Number of fatal airliner hull-loss accidents
Emphasis on
certification
requirements
Emphasis on
procedures Emphasis on
Human Factors
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 6
Source: ASN
AVIATION SAFETY STATISTICS SUMMARY
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 7
“Statistics are like a bikini: What they show is interesting, what they hide is vital.”
● Thousands of „reactive“ Aviation Safety statistics. ● Very few „proactive/preventive“ Aviation Safety
statistics available.
GLOBAL HELICOPTER SAFETY RATE
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 8
Source: IHST
HELICOPTER SAFETY RATE FOR ASIA & EUROPE
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 9
Source: IHST
SAFETY ILLUSION
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 10
DEVELOPMENTS IN THE RW INDUSTRY SINCE 2000
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 11
● Technical developments: - New types: AW139, EC225, S92
- New Equipments: EFB, EGPWS, FDM, HUMS, TCAS, RIPS, Data-link (…)
- Certification: Crashworthiness, PC2E, EASA CS-29 (…)
● Operational developments: - Digital cockpit
- Simulator training
- Distance Learning Platforms
● Organizational developments: - GNSS & ARA procedures
- LOFT training
- SMS
● ATM & helideck areas developments.
EXAMPLES OF SAFETY EVENTS
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 12
IS IT SAFER?
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 13
What are the challenges to succeed? What are the challenges to succeed?
SAFE IMPLEMENTATION: HOW TO
SUCCESS?
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 14
AVIATION FUNDAMENTALS
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 15
$‘$$$‘$$$ Certification
• Specifications
• Aircraft
• Equipments
• SoW
Support
•Parts
• Supply chains
• Services
Operator
• Approval
• Procedures
• Personnel
Maintenance
•Approval
•Procedures
• Personnel
Personnel
•Qualification
•Competency
•Number
Others
• ATM
• Fuel
•Facilities
•Environment
CAA • Rules
• Authority
• Personnel
Experience
Sharing
AIRCRAFT CERTIFICATION & RELIABILITY
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 16
● New certifications specifications (EASA, FAA).
● Aircraft design assessment deficiencies: - AW139, EC225, S92
- A380, DA7X, B787
● Aircraft reliability problems.
● Poor quality components / Bogus parts.
● Undeveloped Operator reliability program.
● Manufacturers do not communicate „Component reliability“.
● Who is leading the Aviation Industry: Regulator or the others parties?
BRAND NEW AIRCRAFT TECHNICAL SUPPORT
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 17
● Parts shortage & un-manufactured tools.
● Un-optimised logistics supply chains.
● Engineering response & development delays.
● Un-adapted technical libraries.
● Safety Communications & sharing with all aviation parties.
● Limited number of authorized maintenance centers & component shops.
● Unshared flight data package for flight simulator design, limiting the number of flight training centers.
AIRWORTHINESS & MAINTENANCE MANAGEMENT
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 18
● Lack of maintenance program customization.
● Weak HUMS data interpretation & usage.
● Engineers shortage: - Hiring process & criteria
- Requirement lowering?
- Overtime & fatigue
● Engineers competency: - On-the-Job Training.
- Continuous skills developments.
- Supervision & evaluation.
- Language & culture skills.
C:/Users/sotong/Desktop/DAY ONE/engineer shortage.pdf
AIRCREW ISSUES
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 19
● Selection: - Shortage
- Hiring process & criteria
- Conversion criteria
● Initial training: - Simulator Vs A/C equipments different & kind of operation.
- Type of training Vs older / younger aircrew (IT, DLS, repetition).
- Line supervision & equipments use?
● Recurrent training: - Training program customized to operator procedures & A/C equipments?
- Contracted training organizations checked by Air Operators ?
● Training personnel: - Experience & competency checked?
● Aircrew skills & competencies: - Shortfalls not documented…everybody passed without flying colors.
- Development of new skills to fly intelligent aircraft?
OPERATOR PROCEDURES
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 20
● Unconsolidated & non-customised company documentation.
● Reporting Culture: - Still reactive : poor near-missed event reported.
- Aircrew report technical defects, rarely operational events.
- Engineers not issuing reports.
● Communication/Safety sharing: - Within the air operator.
- With the CAA & Manufacturer.
● FDM analysis & usage.
● SMS outcomes remain unclear in general.
CONCLUSION
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 21
ACCIDENT RATE REDUCTION
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 22
● Equipments & technology
● Regulations
● Safety overisght
● Learning from errors
● Best practice sharing
● Cooperation between all aviation parties
● Human factors focus
● Pro-active stance
CONCLUSION
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 23
● New technology has improved & will continue to positively contribute to aviation safety.
● A/C are easier to fly, but: - overconfidence,
- inattentive attitude,
- more complex to understand.
● People are involved in most of the accidents.
● More complex new technology will be, longer an efficient implementation for an effective control will be.
“New technology Power is nothing without control”
QUESTIONS?
Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 24
mailto:[email protected]
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Is new technology sufficent to ensuring aviation safety ?– OOA Conference – Kuala-Lumpur – 02SPE13 25