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CIC CIOs Page 1 Is This Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012 Committee on Institutional Cooperation Chief Information Officers August 2012 Foreword Each decade has proffered a new ITenabled alternative to traditional, residential education, yet universities have continued to thrive. Early in the last decade, several universitybacked online ventures fizzled while more recently some universities and forprofit institutions (e.g., Apollo group) have established successful online degree programs. Most recently, news of Massively Open Online Courses (MOOCs), venturebacked startups like The Khan Academy, Coursera, Udacity or institutional consortia like EdX have renewed the question of ITenabled alternatives to residential education. Is this time different? Does the confluence of improving technologies in HD video, adaptive tutors, and fast connections; economic pressures regarding student debt and tuition; and social readiness to embrace distributed education with different relationships between students and instructors signal a substantial change for higher education? The CIC CIOs believe this time will be different in its effect on residential universities relative to previous experiences, but the more enduring effects may not be the focus of the 2012 press. The CIOs offer our (1) nearterm actions for campuses, (2) discussion questions for campus leaders, (3) additional context for recent developments in ITenabled education, and (4) State of the Union – Higher Education: Competitive Challenges to the Traditional Higher Education Model, a compelling analysis by the Education Advisory Board. 1 1) NearTerm Actions 1. Engage purposefully in nearterm trials of MOOCs, adaptive learning systems, and emerging technologies to develop institutional understanding while also formulating a longerterm strategy for engaging online learning for badges, professional development, MOOCs, credit bearing courses, and degree programs. 2. Ramp up institutional capacities for online course production to support instructional design, media development, assessment, and analytics. 3. Develop IT system readiness to integrate with a range of educational software that may need to link to campus system information for rosters, identity, services in a legal, secure and policy compliant way. 1 Shared with CIC Provosts by special permission of Education Advisory Board.

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Page 1: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

CIC  CIOs   Page  1    

Is  This  Time  Different?  Questions  for  MOOCs  and  Online  Learning  Beyond  2012    Committee  on  Institutional  Cooperation  Chief  Information  Officers    August  2012  

Foreword    Each  decade  has  proffered  a  new  IT-­‐enabled  alternative  to  traditional,  residential  education,  yet  universities  have  continued  to  thrive.    Early  in  the  last  decade,  several  university-­‐backed  online  ventures  fizzled  while  more  recently  some  universities  and  for-­‐profit  institutions  (e.g.,  Apollo  group)  have  established  successful  online  degree  programs.    Most  recently,  news  of  Massively  Open  Online  Courses  (MOOCs),  venture-­‐backed  startups  like  The  Khan  Academy,  Coursera,  Udacity  or  institutional  consortia  like  EdX  have  renewed  the  question  of  IT-­‐enabled  alternatives  to  residential  education.    Is  this  time  different?    Does  the  confluence  of  improving  technologies  in  HD  video,  adaptive  tutors,  and  fast  connections;  economic  pressures  regarding  student  debt  and  tuition;  and  social  readiness  to  embrace  distributed  education  with  different  relationships  between  students  and  instructors  signal  a  substantial  change  for  higher  education?        The  CIC  CIOs  believe  this  time  will  be  different  in  its  effect  on  residential  universities  relative  to  previous  experiences,  but  the  more  enduring  effects  may  not  be  the  focus  of  the  2012  press.    The  CIOs  offer  our  (1)  near-­‐term  actions  for  campuses,  (2)  discussion  questions  for  campus  leaders,  (3)  additional  context  for  recent  developments  in  IT-­‐enabled  education,  and  (4)  State  of  the  Union  –  Higher  Education:  Competitive  Challenges  to  the  Traditional  Higher  Education  Model,  a  compelling  analysis  by  the  Education  Advisory  Board.1  

1) Near-­‐Term  Actions    

1. Engage  purposefully  in  near-­‐term  trials  of  MOOCs,  adaptive  learning  systems,  and  emerging  technologies  to  develop  institutional  understanding  while  also  formulating  a  longer-­‐term  strategy  for  engaging  online  learning  for  badges,  professional  development,  MOOCs,  credit-­‐bearing  courses,  and  degree  programs.  

 2. Ramp  up  institutional  capacities  for  online  course  production  to  support  instructional  design,  

media  development,  assessment,  and  analytics.    

3. Develop  IT  system  readiness  to  integrate  with  a  range  of  educational  software  that  may  need  to  link  to  campus  system  information  for  rosters,  identity,  services  in  a  legal,  secure  and  policy-­‐compliant  way.  

                                                                                                                         1  Shared  with  CIC  Provosts  by  special  permission  of  Education  Advisory  Board.  

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2) Discussion  Questions  for  Campus  Leaders    1. What  kinds  of  online  experiences  are  needed  as  substitutes  or  as  complements  for  current  

models?  • Freely  available  online  resources  (videos,  exercises,  assessments,  etc.)  empower  the  

flipped  classroom  model  and  serve  as  complements  that  improve  satisfaction,  efficiency,  and  efficacy  of  the  residential  learning  experience?  

• Online,  large-­‐scale  experiences  that  become  substitutes  to  traditional,  residential  classroom  experiences  through  the  engagement  of  thousands  of  peer  learners  and  adaptive  software?  

• Online  experiences  that  establish  by  certification  basic  competency  in  disciplines  –  what  is  the  form  of  that  certification  and  does  it  serve  as  a  complement  or  substitute  to  the  curriculum  and  major  and  direct  interaction  with  faculty?      

2. Why  does  scale  matter  for  distributing  university  content,  modules,  courses,  or  degrees  beyond  current  models?  

a. For  fee  reasons  i. Grow  new  sources  of  revenue  with  “profit”  margins  that  scale  faster  than  costs?  ii. Reduce  costs  per  credit  hour  for  students?  iii. Grow  base  of  click-­‐stream  training  data  for  refining  adaptive  analytics  and  

tutoring  algorithms  to  enhance  learning  effectiveness?  iv. Grow  access  to  courses/degrees  to  satisfy  demands  for  educating  more  citizens?  

b. For  free  reasons  i. Institutional  brand  amplification  and  awareness?  ii. Recruit  top  students?  iii. Social  good?  

c. For  research  reasons  i. Develop  deeper  understanding  of  human  cognitive  growth?  ii. Refine  better  methods  for  teaching  specific  content?  

 3. What  is  lacking  within  the  institution  to  achieve  its  online  objectives?  

a. Foundational  components  i. Capital  to  invest  and  risk  in  online  course  production?    ii. Access  to  markets  of  potential  students  via  course  placement  in  

portals/aggregators  for  discovery,  marketing,  access,  etc.?  iii. Technology  platform  and  integrated  infrastructure  for  conducting  online  courses  

or  courses  at  Internet  scale?  b. Skills  required  

i. Content  Expertise  for  online  course  development?    ii. Process  Expertise  in  how  to  do  instructional  design  for  online,  faculty  

pedagogical  training,  analytics  expertise,  business  model  development,  etc.?  iii. Staff  to  support  services  to  distant  students,  maintain  accreditation  and  legal  

compliance?  c. Organizational  change  

i.  Political  Will  regarding  change  and  uncertainty?    ii. University  Partners  to  offer  a  broader  array  of  lessons,  courses,  or  degrees?  iii. Construct  that  amalgamates  and  presents  college  offerings  in  a  cohesive  

outwardly  facing  CIC  or  University  view  iv. Construct  that  amalgamates  and  presents  college  offerings  in  a  cohesive  

outwardly  facing  CIC  or  University  view  

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CIC  CIOs   Page  3    

 4. What  kinds  of  partners  are  needed  and  why?    What  are  the  non-­‐negotiables  in  any  

partnership  and  why?  a. What  are  the  walk-­‐away  provisions?  b. Are  there  exclusivity  expectations?  c. How  will  conflicts  be  resolved?  d. What  is  the  basis  for  cost  and  revenue  sharing?  e. What  are  the  reputational  risks  related  to  partners’  actions?  f. Who  owns  the  IP  and  on  what  terms  is  it  licensed  for  reuse?    

 5. What  is  the  degree  of  urgency  and  why?  

a. What  opportunities  are  perishable?  b. What  is  the  ramp  up  time  to  desired  outcomes?  c. What  are  the  explicit  risks/benefits  of  moving  too  early  or  too  late?  d. Does  participation  enable  an  ability  to  shape  the  terms  of  engagement?  e. What  is  the  degree  of  institutional  readiness  to  engage  in  online  learning?  

3) Additional  Background    1.        A  number  of  factors  provide  incentives  and  context  for  growth  in  online  learning,  and  these  

may  combine  to  have  a  significant  impact  on  higher  education.    a. Governments,  Boards  and  stakeholders  desire  and  are  acting  to  create  more  affordable  

education  options  (e.g.,  Western  Governor’s  University,  etc.).  b. Universities  are  experimenting  and  seeking  potential  first  mover  advantages  as  innovators  

and  parts  of  consortia.  c. Venture  funds  are  investing  in  new  commercial  models  and  see  the  Internet  as  creating  a  

low  barrier  to  entry.      d. Reduced  costs  to  produce  and  deliver  mixed  media  for  traditional  educational  experience.  e. Improvements  in  information  technology  infrastructure  extending  reach.  

 2.        The  path  to  monetizing  “free”  courses  at  Internet  Scale  remains  unclear.    “MOCs”  or  Massive  

Online  Courses  (not  free)  may  provide  an  interesting  middle  path  to  access  (a)  the  benefits  that  only  occur  at  a  scale  larger  than  traditional  courses,  (b)  have  a  sustainable  revenue  stream  to  cover  their  costs,  and  (c)  provide  valuable  university  credit.    New  models  of  pay,  subsidized,  and  free  may  rapidly  evolve  with  experience,  and  institutions  will  want  to  remain  nimble  to  adapt  with  opportunities.    This  is  a  time  of  caution  for  any  long-­‐term  deals.    

3.        Early  commercial  innovators  are  aggregating  courses  across  known  university  brands  to  establish  scale  in  distribution  rather  than  developing  their  own  content  from  scratch.    This  differs  from  some  previous  online  commercial  ventures.    If  scale  matters  –  and  it  appears  that  it  does  –  then  should  the  CIC  directly  and  urgently  assess  the  value  in  creating  scale  together?      A  number  of  factors  may  affect  the  desirability  of  CIC  affiliation  relative  to  the  growing  options.    

4.        Faculty  support  for  pedagogy  and  creation  of  online  materials  will  take  enhanced  and  integrated  support  from  campus  providers  of  pedagogical,  technological,  audio  visual,  content  expertise,  etc.    These  are  not  specific  to  MOOCS  or  distance  learning  and  are  needed  for  campus  blended  and  “flipped  classroom”  courses  also.  

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CIC  CIOs   Page  4    

4)  State  of  the  Union    See  appended  document  from  Education  Advisory  Board.  

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State�of�the�Union�– Higher�Education

Competitive�Challenges�to�the�Traditional�Higher�Education�Model

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company��•��Washington,�DC

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Road�Map�for�Discussion

3

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1 A�Tipping�Point:�New�Teaching�Methods�Gain�Legitimacy

2 The Incumbent’s Innovations2

3

The�Incumbent s Innovations

3 Overview�of�Additional�PresentationsResourcing�Strategic�Priorities

Preparing�for�Cloud�Migration

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

4

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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5

Disruption�FatigueWho�Knew�that�Innovation�Could�Sound�So�Familiar?

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Required Reading at Board The Conventional Litany of theRequired�Reading�at�Board�Meetings�and�Planning�Retreats

The�Conventional�Litany�of�the�Broken�University�Business�Model

• Uncontrolled�cost�increases

• Graduates�lack�critical�skills

• Resistance�to�pedagogical�innovation

• Irrelevant�scholarship

• Tenure�protects�faculty�from�accountability

• Undergraduate�tuition�subsidizing�faculty�researchy

• Traditional�universities�captive�to�the�prestige�arms�race—real�change�will�come�from�radical,�low�cost�models

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

,

6

The�Incumbent’s�Dilemma

Premium�Position�Captivity

Certain�Downside,�Speculative�Upside�for�Exiting�Prestige�Arms�Race

I’ C t i l N t G i Fi tClayton�Christensen�in�a�Nutshell:�

“Be�More�Like�BYU�Idaho”

I’m�Certainly�Not�Going�First

“I�understand�that�as�an�organization�we�could�be�a�lot�

ff f dEnd�tenure

Dismantle�departments

Refocus research on pedagogy

more�efficient.�But�if�I�tried�to�make�some�of�the�changes�that�are�being�recommended,�the�accreditors�would�be�all�over�me,�Refocus�research�on�pedagogy

Switch�to�fully�online�degrees

Enroll�the�marginally�qualified

I’d�have�a�faculty�revolt,�and�pretty�quickly,�I’d�be�out�of�a�job.”�

Provost

Reduce�number�of�programs

Scale�back�merit�based�aid

Cut back big�time sports

Public�Research�University

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

Cut�back�big�time�sports

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7

Featured�Models�of�Efficiency�Impossible�to�Emulate

Premium�Position�Captivity

Nascent�Small�Scale�Publics�Built�from�Scratchy p

N STEM F d I tit ti Fill M Cli i P t BNew�STEM�Focused�Institution�Fills�Unmet�Need�at�Low�Cost

Mayo�Clinic�Partner�Becomes�Learner�Focused�System�Branch

• Opened�in�2005 • Opened�in�2008�to�serve�nearby�M Cli i• Single�16�story�building

• No�sports,�gym,�or�dorms

• No�tenure;�12�month�contracts

Mayo�Clinic

• First�class�of�57�undergrads�in�2011

• No�departments;

• No�departments

“From�the�beginning�we�decided�we�didn’t�t thi t b t diti l i tit ti

• Differentiated�faculty�model�separates�curricular�design,�teaching,�and�targeted�projects

want�this�to�be�a�traditional�institution,�because�we�in�business�who�had�been�involved�with�other�higher�education�institutions�felt�that�everything�took�too�long.”

“The�bad�news�at�the�beginning�was�that�we�had�no�faculty;�the�good�news�was�that�we�had�no�faculty.”

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Reinventing�Higher�Education:�The�Promise�of�Innovation,�Ed.�Kevin�Carey,�Andrew�P.�Kelly,�and�Ben�Wildavsky,�Harvard�Education�Press,�2011.

Chair�of�Planning�Committee Chancellor�Stephen�Lehmkuhle

8

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• Unaccredited

N fit t iti f

• Free�video�micro�lectures

• Unaccredited

N fit t iti f• Non�profit,�tuition�free

• 1,300�students

• Non�profit,�tuition�free

• 3,000+�lectures�available

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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9

The�Song�Remains�the�SameFor�Decades�Productivity�was�Synonymous�with�Lower�Quality

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B l’ C t Di U S N B t C llBaumol’s Cost�Disease U.S.�News�Best�Colleges�and�Universities

Musicians�Can’t�be�More�Productive,�Costs�Rise�with�Wages

Cost�is�Proxy�for�Quality

Fewer�Musicians

Play�Faster

Faculty�Salaries

Class�Size Faculty�/�Student�Ratio

Spending�per�Student

Replace�with�Androids Use�of�Adjuncts Alumni�Giving�Rate

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

10

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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11

Opening�the�Floodgates

A�Genuinely�Disruptive�Moment

Sebastian�Thrun’s Massive�Open�Online�Course�(MOOC)�Goes�Viralp g g

Two�Fashionable�Brands One�Hot�Global�Topic Truly�Amazing�Uptake

Celebrity FacultyCelebrity�Faculty

From�Topics�Covered

160,000

Dr.�Sebastian�ThrunStanford�Professor

Announcement�to�Launch:2�months

• Knowledge�Representation

• Inference

• Machine Learning

Cutting�Edge�Corporation

• Machine�Learning

• Planning�and�Game�Playing

• Information�Retrieval

190

• Computer�Vision

• RoboticsEnrolled�Students

Countries

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Steven�Leckart,�“The�Stanford�Education�Experiment,”�Wired�Magazine,�April�2012.

12

A�Seminar�at�Scale

Infrastructure�for�a�Massive�Open�Online�Course

New�Teaching�Technologies�and�Social�Models�Essential�to�Course�Design

Instructional AutomatedPeer to Peer Student Designed

Relatively�Common Still�Rare

Instructional�Videos

Automated�Assessment

Peer�to�Peer�Academic�Support

Student�Designed�Tools

Instructors�Thrunand�Norvig record�

Students’�homework,�quizzes,�and�exams�

Students�post�and�answer�thousands�of�

Students�create�software�tools�to�support�the�course,�g

traditional�lectures�and�post�online

q ,graded�by�computerquestions�on�various�

message�boards

pp ,including�an�AI�“playground”�for�testing�code

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Tamar�Lewin,�“Instruction�for�Masses�Knocks�Down�Campus�Walls,”�The�New�York�Times,�March�4,�2012.

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13

Parting�Ways�Over�AssessmentThrun and�Stanford�Differ�Over�Credentialing

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Completed

160,000

28,000

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Students�completing�class�can�add�certificate�to�CV

World�Resumes�Requested 1,000

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WorldClass�Talent Perfect�

Scores 248Top�student�resumes�passed�

(None�from�Stanford�students)

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Steven�Leckart,�“The�Stanford�Education�Experiment,”�Wired�Magazine,�April�2012.

p palong�to�employers

Notes:

14

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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15

A�Venture�Capital�Backed�StartupYour�Revenue�Model�Is�Thrun’s Loss�Leader

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An�Inverted�Revenue�ModelA�MOOC�Incubator

• Courses�are�free

• Assessment�and�certificates�are�free

• Revenue may come from value added services

• Private�company�founded�by�Dr.�Thrun and�funded�by�Charles�River�Associates

• Infrastructure,�instructional�design,�and� • Revenue�may�come�from�value�added�services�to�students�and�employers:

�Premium�Tutoring

�A th ti t d C d ti l

, g ,business�services�for�global�MOOC�courses

• Eleven�STEM�courses�now�available;�eight�more�by�end�of�2013

�Authenticated�Credentials

�Lead�Generation• Taught�by�prominent�faculty�on�leave�from�prestigious�traditional�universities

$10M $30M1,000 $100,000� 10�30%

Imagining�a�Multi�Million�Dollar�Human�Capital�Search�Opportunity

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Steven�Leckart,�“The�Stanford�Education�Experiment,”�Wired�Magazine,�April�2012.

$10M�$30M,Students

$ ,AI�Starting�Salary Recruiter�Commission

16

The�Burning�PlatformEconomic�Conditions�Accelerating�the�Rise�of�Alternatives

g

The Unpleasant Economic RealitiesThe�Unpleasant�Economic�Realities

• State�budget�cuts• Federal�budget�pressure• Soaring student debt

• Bankruptcy�rates�rising• Falling�home�equity• High graduate unemployment• Soaring�student�debt • High�graduate�unemployment

The�Threat�You’ve�Feared:�Regulation

• Caps�on�Tuition�and�Fees • Governors�launching�charter�

The�Real�Threat:�Irrelevance

p

• Limits�on�Collective�Bargaining

• Faculty�Productivity�Mandates

universities�and�other�alternatives• Venture�philanthropists�funding�alternative�projects

• Non�traditional�students�flocking�

• Performance�Based�Funding

• Academic�Program�Elimination

to�for�profit�universities• Traditional�undergraduates�opting�for�community�colleges

• Faculty�launching�educational�

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

• Forced�Articulationy g

technology�startups

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17

The�Incumbent�ResponseNew�Venture�Offers�Elite�Universities�a�New�Platform

p

The�Start�of�a�Larger�ConversationA�Venue�for�Star�Faculty

• Private�company�founded�by�Stanford�computer�scientists�Andrew�Ng�and�Daphne�Koller

• Partners�with�elite�universities�to�showcase�

“This�is�good�news.�Experimentation�with�new�initiatives�in�technology�use�is�an�important�part�of�the�substantive�inquiry�that�will�help�inform�the�University’s�academic�leaders�about�the�best�course�of�action�in�this�area.�The�B d f Vi it ’ i i t t i i ti th hi h t

“the�world’s�best�courses”

• No�money�exchanged�in�partnerships;�Coursera serves�primarily�as�central�web�portal

Board�of�Visitors’�primary�interest�is�in�promoting�the�highest�order�of�excellence�in�our�students’�learning�and�enrichment,�especially�in�a�resource�constrained�environment.”

Helen�Dragas

Sustainable�Business�Model�or�Marginal�Revenue?

Rector,�UVA�Board�of�Visitors

Certificates

Lead�Generation

Tutoring Enterprise�Platform

Tuition�Sharing AdsSecure�Assessment

Screening�Tests

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Coursera contract�with�the�University�of�Michigan;�Helen�Dragas’s emailed�statement�to�The Washington�Post,�July�16,�2012;�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

Nominal�Revenue Potentially�Lucrative

18

A�Tipping�PointFrom�Inspiration�to�Fruition�in�Only�a�Year

pp g

July�2011Thrun and Norvig

January�2012Two Stanford professors

July�2012Coursera expands to 12Thrun and�Norvig

announce�that�their�Stanford�AI�course�will�be�open�to�anyone

Two�Stanford�professors�found�Coursera;�Venture�capital�firms�invest�$16�M

Coursera expands�to�12�universities�and�100+�courses

March�2011Thrun sees�SalmanKhan speak at TED

December�2011MIT�announces�“MITx”

May�2012MIT�and�Harvard�announce�“edX” free online courses andKhan�speak�at�TED

Thrun gets�venture�capital�to�create�Udacity

“edX”�– free�online�courses�and�certificates

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Steven�Leckart,�“The�Stanford�Education�Experiment,”�Wired�Magazine,�April�2012.

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19

Disruption�from�Above,�Then�Below

A�Battle�on�Two�Fronts

New�Models�Will�Threaten�Incumbents�from�Both�Ends�of�the�Spectrump ,

U li “Q lit ” f

Selective�Institutions

Growth�of�High�Quality�Online�Only�Curriculum

Uncoupling�“Quality”�from�Price�and�Exclusivity

• Celebrity�Faculty�Open�Courses

• Hot Employer Partnerships

Squeezed�in�the�Middle

• Hot�Employer�Partnerships�

• Top�Global�Brands�Crowd�Out�Mid�Tier�Institutions

Gathering Legitimacy of

Pressure�on�Graduate&�Professional�Revenue

Eroding Margins on Lower Division Gathering�Legitimacy�of�Low�Cost�Models

• Legislator�and�Parental�Support�for�“No�Frills”�Programs

Eroding�Margins�on�Lower�Division

Expensive�and�Undifferentiated

Access�Focused�Institutions

• Flipped�Classrooms�and�Technology�Assisted�Instruction

• Employer�Acceptance�of�Non�Traditional Educators and

Unbundling�of�General�Education

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Traditional�Educators�and�Credentials

Notes:

20

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 15: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

21

Three�Emerging�Business�Models:�QualityElite�Institutions�(or�Faculty)�Betting�on�Three�Models

g g Q y

Bypass TraditionalScaling Elite ProgramsEnable Faculty�Driven Bypass�Traditional�Accreditation

Scaling�Elite�ProgramsEnable�Faculty�Driven�Pedagogical�Innovation

P t hi ith 12 lit E t bli h d i 2008 b f d f • Founded by Dr Thrun in 2012 and• Partnership�with�12�elite�universities�and�growing

• Provide�infrastructure�for�online�and�hybrid�teaching

• Established�in�2008�by�founder�of�Princeton�Review

• Exclusive�partnerships�with�premier�graduate�programs:�

• Founded�by�Dr.�Thrun in�2012�and�funded�by�Charles�River�Associates

• Provide�certificates�valued�by�l d 20 i i i l

y g

• Will�offer�courses�in�all�disciplines,�with�assessments�and�certificates

• USC�� MAT�• Georgetown�� Nursing�• UNC�Chapel�Hill�� MBA• Wash�� U�LL.M.

employers,�not�degrees.�20�initial�partner�companies

• Infrastructure,�instructional�design,�and�business�services�for�

• Massive�data�set�will�fuel�cutting�edge�pedagogical�research�for�hybrid�and�online�learning

• Provides�start�up�capital�and�expertise�for�cutting�edge�online�pedagogy�and�marketing

global�MOOC�courses

• Targeting�continuing�education�in�STEM�market;�19�courses�by�2013

T ht b i t f lt

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

• Taught�by�prominent�faculty�on�leave�from�prestigious�traditional�universities

Notes:

22

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 16: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

23

Three�Emerging�Business�Models:�CostEmerging�Models�for�Reducing�Cost�of�Degrees

g g

Credit�BankCompetency�Based�CreditsTargeting�General�Education

B i M d l N “ ” “ dit ” j t • Founded in 1971 by SUNYBusiness�Model• Most�affordable�provider�of�online�general�education�courses

• 30�50�courses�account�for�1/3�of�all higher ed

• No�“courses”�or�“credits,”�just�competency�exams

• No�traditional�instructors;�800+�faculty�a�mix�of�assessment�

• Founded�in�1971�by�SUNY�System�as�Regents�College

• Became�independent�institution�in�1998

30 000 d ( lall�higher�ed

Pricing• $99�a�month�+�$39�course�registration�fee

designers,�subject�matter�experts,�and�student�mentors

• 32,000�students�nationwide

• 30% annual growth

• 30,000�students�(mostly�undergraduate)

• “Students�have�educational�paths�that�are�as�unique�and�di th E l i• $999�a�year�for�10�courses

Enrollment• 1,000�students�in�2010;�3,000�students in 2011

• 30%�annual�growth

• Tuition:�$5,780�per�year;�hasn’t�been�increased�since�2007.�Eligible�for�aid�in�select�states

diverse�as�they�are�…�Excelsior�College�revolutionized�adult�higher�education�by�recognizing�learning�wherever�and�whenever�it occurs.”

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

students�in�2011• New�subsidiaries�in�Indiana,�Washington,�and�Texas

it�occurs.

Notes:

24

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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25

The�Platform�Wars

Quality�at�Scale

Big�Data�Fueling�Emerging�Market�for�Education’s�“Google�Equivalent”

Next�Gen Learning PlatformNext�Gen�Learning�Platform

• Course�administration

• Multimedia�content�delivery

• Live�collaboration�tools

• Real�time�performance�data

• Predictive�analytics

• Adaptive�assessment

• Automated�advising

“It's�hard�to�predict�who�will�win�the�platform�wars,�but�it's�easy�to�predict�that�someone�will.�Th f b ildi li l f li ibl I h bil h h i

The�Power�of�a�Platform

The�costs�of�building�an�online�platform�are�negligible—Instagram,�the�mobile�photo�sharing�platform,�had�nine�employees�at�the�beginning�of�this�year.�They�were�just�another�group�of�young�people�gathered�around�a�table�staring�at�MacBook�Airs.�The�rewards�of�building�the�winning�platform�are�vast,�as�Instagram found�when�it�was�bought�by�Facebook�for�$1�billion.”

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Kevin�Carey,�“Revenge�of�the�Underpaid�Professors,”�The�Chronicle�of�Higher�Education,�May�20,�2012.

Kevin�Carey,�New�America�Foundation

Notes:

26

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 18: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

Road�Map�for�Discussion

27

p

1 A�Tipping�Point:�New�Teaching�Methods�Gain�Legitimacy

2 The Incumbent’s Innovations2

3

The�Incumbent s Innovations

3 Overview�of�Additional�PresentationsResourcing�Strategic�Priorities

Preparing�for�Cloud�Migration

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

28

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 19: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

29

The�Incumbent�ResponseChanges�in�Fundamental�Beliefs�Allow�for�a�Wider�Array

of�Responses�From�Traditional�Universities

p

T di i li B li B t I t Sh

Quality at Scale1

Traditionalists�Believe… But�Innovators�Show…

Quality�means�small�courses� Academic�rigor�is�possible�in�Quality�at�Scale1 with�tenured�faculty large�scale�settings

Competing�on�Cost2 An�education�is�worth�what�you�pay�for�it

Lower�costs�can�be�achieved�by�taking�new�paths�to�a�degree

Integrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

3Degrees�represent�mastery

of�a�disciplineDegrees�can�represent�employer�

relevant�competencies

4 Curiosity�driven�disciplinary�research�is�most�fruitful

Grand�challenges�can�only�be�solved�by�multidisciplinary�collaborationProblem�Focused�Research

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

30

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 20: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

31

How�Will�Disruption�Manifest?Pressures�on�the�Traditional�Higher�Education�Business�Model

p

Elite institutions and faculty rapidlyDisruptive�Competitors:

1

• Elite Open Course Credentials

Quality�at�Scale

Elite�institutions�and�faculty�rapidly�legitimize�technology�intensive,�globally�scalable�instructional�models�

• Elite�Open�Course�Credentials

• Signature�Online�Master’s�Programs

• Prestigious�OnlineUndergraduate�Universities

Competing�on�Cost2

Incumbent�Responses:

g

3Integrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

• Course�Sharing�Consortia

• Flipped�Classrooms

• Adaptive�Learning

• Learnin Anal ti s

Problem�Focused�Research4

• Learning�Analytics

• Online�Community

• Gamification of�Education

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

32

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 21: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

33

Filling�Gaps�in�the�Course�Catalog

Course�Sharing�Consortia

Comprehensiveness�Achieved�by�Combining�Offerings�Onlineg p g

Shared�Course�

Lowering�the�Cost�and�Risk�of�Launching�Online�Programs

Taking�Niche�Offerings�to�Scale�Without�Sacrificing�Breadth

Online�Consortium�of�Independent�Colleges�&�Universities�(OCICU)

New�Paradigm�InitiativeAssociated�Colleges�of�the�South

Portal• Courses�broadcast�via�teleconference;�remote�students�participate�in�real�time

• Declining�viability�of�language�d k l

• New�Ventures�of�Regis�University�provides�online�infrastructure

• Course�design,�maintenance,�and�

Departments�offer�many� Yet�colleges�still�struggle�

departments�a�key�catalystfaculty�training�included

sub�scale�courses to�afford�breadth

Chinese Art HistoryPhysics Biology Arabic

16�Institutions83�Institutions

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Leigh�Brown�Perkins,�“A�New�Paradigm�For�Learning,”�Rollins�Magazine,�March�2012.

Chinese Art�HistoryPhysics Biology Arabic

Notes:

34

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 22: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

35

Winning�on�All�Fronts�with�Course�Redesign

Flipped�Classrooms

Alternative�Model�Expands�Capacity,�Improves�Quality,�and�Costs�Lessg g

� Concept�1� Concept�2� Concept�3

TAs�and�Peer�MentorsFaculty

Pre�Reading Pre�Quiz Lecture Practices Problem�Solving Homework

Pre�Lecture

Embedded�Videos Mini�Tests

e�Tutore�TutorPre�Lecture�

Prep

12% 45% 31%Reduction�inDFW�rate

Increase�inenrollment�cap

Cost�savingsper�student

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�“Physics�Large�Course�Redesign�Project�Report,”�UNC�Charlotte,�Center�for�Teaching�&�Learning,�Sept.�8,�2011.

Notes:

36

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 23: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

37

Few�Excuses�LeftCourse�Redesign�Gaining�Traction�Across�Institutional�Types�and�Disciplines

PhysicsPhysics• Clickers�and�frequent�feedback�opportunities�keep�students�on�track

“I�always�thought�I�was�a�pretty�good�lecturer,�but�…�I�had�come�to�a�realization�that�even�my�most�successful�students�weren’t�retaining�a�lot�of�the�material�I’d�covered from one course to the next.”

English• From�3�hours�to�1�hour�in�class�per�week

• Students�grouped�based�on�answers�to�questions

covered�from�one�course�to�the�next.

Elizabeth�AlexanderTexas�Wesleyan�History�Professor

Historyl h d l

• Additional�time�spent�in�one�on�one�sessions,�peer�tutoring,�and�multimedia�lessons

• Historical�Methods�class�won�“Radically�Flexible�Classroom”�award

• Movable�furniture�and�tech�enabled�classrooms�facilitate�group�work

M th“Do�our�students�actually�learn

Math• Emporium�model:�1�hour�in�class,�2�hours�in�large�computer�lab

• Significantly�improved�completion�

during�class,�or�do�they�simply�feverishly�scribble�down�everything�we�say,�hoping�somehow�to�understand�the�material�later?”

Eric Mazur

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�The�National�Center�for�Academic�Transformation�(www.thencat.org);�“Texas�Wesleyan’s�

Classroom.NEXT:�21st Century�Learning�in�Action,”�Campus�Technology,�April�10,�2012.��

g y p pand�retention�rates

• 19%�instructional�cost�savings

Eric�MazurHarvard�Physics�Professor

Notes:

38

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 24: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

39

Transforming�Commodity�Courses

Adaptive�Learning

Breaking�the�Cost/Capacity�Curve�With�Self�Paced�Learningg y

Dramatic Improvement inAdaptive Software Promotes Dramatic�Improvement�in�Remediation�Results

Finished

Adaptive�Software�Promotes�Engagement�and�Provides�Analytics

50%

25%

Finished4�weeks�early

Moved�into�regular�freshman�mathActivity�Based�Learning

Sh t i “ l ld”Short,�engaging,�“real�world”�problems�to�solve

Achievement�PointsUses game�like badge system to track

66% 75%Uses�game like�badge�system�to�track�progress�and�motivate�students

Automated�AssessmentBuilt�into�activities�and�diagnostic�exams,�

Remedial�Math�Pilot5,000�students

13%6%

Pass�Rate Withdraw�Rate

which�adapt�to�performance

Performance�DashboardsInstructors�focus�face�time�on�bi t t bli bl k

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Bruce�Upbin,�“Knewton Is�Building�the�World’s�Smartest�Tutor,”�Forbes�Magazine,�Feb.�22,�2012.

Before After

biggest�stumbling�blocks

Notes:

40

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 25: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

41

“Moneyball”�for�Education

Learning�Analytics

Instructor�Dashboards�Provide�Real�Time�Outcome�Data,�Predictive�Analyticsy

Open�Learning�Initiative�Introductory�Statistics�Dashboard

Predictive map of AccuracyPredictive�map�of�overall�learning�

outcomes

Accuracy�distribution�bysub�objective

Performance�distribution�for�each�objectivej

Participation�by�assignment�

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Candace�Thille,�“Changing�the�Production�Function�in�Higher�Education,”�American�Council�on�Education,�March�2012.

ass g e tcategory

Notes:

42

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 26: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

43

A�Homegrown�“Build”�with�Impressive�Resultsg p

Average�GPA

Improving�Grades�and�Persistence�Gator�Online�Student�Association

2.96

3.04

2.76

Non�GOSAMembers

All�ActiveStudents

GOSA�Members

• “Facebook”�for�online�undergrad�business�program

50%

Difficult�Course�Drop�Rates• Built�and�managed�by�volunteer�students�and�alumni�using�open�source�programs

• Peer to peer academic social and job 50%32% 33%

23% 20% 17%

• Peer�to�peer�academic,�social,�and�job�search�support�

• Advisor’s�Corner�for�staff�to�answer�questions�and�receive�private�messages�

Before�GOSA

After�GOSA

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Gator�Online�Student�Association,�available�at:�http://www.ufonlinestudents.org/,�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

Fall Winter Spring

Notes:

44

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 27: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

45

Game�Based�Learning�on�the�Horizon

Gamification of�Education

Motivating�and�Educating�a�Generation�of�Gamersg

6�Million�Years 200�Million�MinutesTotal�worldwide�playtime Total�playtime�per�day

10�Million�Players 1�Billion�DownloadsSince�2009Currently�subscribed

Built�in�Assessment Contextual�Learning Motivating�Progression

• Players�must�solve�problems,�coordinate�teams,�and�develop�mastery�to�“beat�the�game”

C l ti i ifi k

• Players�learn�by�doing,�not�reading�or�watching

• Puzzles�placed�in�compelling,�i t iti ti

• Games�must�be�accessible�and�fun,�yet�challenging

• Huge�amount�of�data�used�to�lib t i ti• Completion�signifies�known�

competencies�and�objective�achievements

intuitive�narrative

• Crowd�sourced�“theorycrafting”�for�serious�players

calibrate�incentives

• “Experience�points”�and�items�provide�social�recognition

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Source:�James�Paul�Gee,�“Games�and�21st Century�Learning,”�Games�for�Learning�Institute,�May�6,�2009;�Jane�McGonigal,�“Be�a�Gamer,�Save�the�World,”�The�Wall�Street�Journal,�Jan�22,�2011.

Notes:

46

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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47

Incentivizing�Pedagogical�ChangeThree�Lessons�in�Encouraging�Faculty�to�Improve�Their�Courses

g g g g

1 2 31 2 3

Provide�Centralized�Instructional Design Support

Focus�on�New�Hires�to�Create�Culture of Innovation

It’s�Not�About�Technology.It’s About Assessment.Instructional�Design�Support Culture�of�Innovation It s�About�Assessment.

Typical�Problem:• Multiple,�duplicative�services

Typical�Problem:• Political�capital�spent�trying�to�

Typical�Problem:• Faculty�recoil�at�“online”�and�

• No�integration�of�tech�&�instructional�design�expertise

Exemplar Model:

convert�eternal�skeptics

• Research�remains�the�priority

Exemplar Model:

“machine�aided”�teaching

• Wasteful�tech�investments

Exemplar Model:Exemplar�Model:• Center�for�Teaching�&�Learning�combines�tech�and�pedagogy�staff

• Staff�directly�involved�with�course�

Exemplar�Model:• Faculty�Development�Institute�focuses�on�new�hires

• 100s�of�short�courses�available

Exemplar�Model:• Faculty�required�to�submit�self�assessment�studies�yearly

• Agnostic�about�end�product;�design�at�all�levels on�every�facet�of�teaching experimentation�encouraged

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

48

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 29: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

49

Mapping�the�World�of�the�PossibleHow�Ontario’s�Best�Faculty�Approach�High�Capacity�Instruction

pp g

Problem Feeling�of�“anonymity,”��no�personal�connections

More�students�mean�more�work�for�faculty

Few�incentives�or�resources�for�instructional�innovation

SolutionCreating�a�Sense�of�Community

Improving�EfficiencySupporting�a�Culture�

of�Teaching

Supplementary�tutorials

“ h k h ”

LMS�administration

l

Teaching�&�learning�center

Scholarship of teaching

Strategies

“Think�Pair�Share”

Extensive�course�websites

Social�media

Clickers

Commercial�assessment�software

Pre�recorded�content

Open�educational�resources

Scholarship�of�teaching

Teaching�emphasis�in�promotion�guidelines

Dean�&�chair�supportClickers

Pre�class�availability

Peer�mentorships

p

TA�led�tutorials

Team�based�instruction

Professional�development�workshops

Teaching�awards

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Source:�Angelika�Kerr,�“Teaching�and�Learning�in�Large�Classes�in�Ontario�Universities:�An�Exploratory�Study,”�Higher�Education�Quality�Council�of�Ontario,�2011;�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

50

“ h l d h f l l

Aiming�Higher�than�Equivalence

“While�continuing�to�study�the�impact�of�online�learning�on�completion�is�important,�the�question�to�be�answered�is�not�‘is�online�education�as�good�as�(or�better�than)�traditional�education?’�but�rather,�‘how�can�the�technology�be�used�most�effectively�to�support�and�accelerate�colleges’�efforts�to�dramatically�increase�student�progress�and�completion?’”

Candace�ThilleDirector,�Open�Learning�Initiative

A Change of Heart

“I�have�been�on�record�for�some�time�as�being�skeptical�about�the�likely�effects�on�productivity�in�higher�education�of�various�new�technologies…�But�the�evidence...about�the�work�at�Carnegie�

A�Change�of�Heart

Mellon�has�caused�me�to�rethink�my�positions.”

William�BowenPresident�Emeritus,�Princeton�University

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Candace�Thille,�“Changing�the�Production�Function�in�Higher�Education,”�American�Council�on�Education,�Feb�2012.

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51

Disruptive�Competition�and�Incumbent�InnovationPressures�on�the�Traditional�Higher�Education�Business�Model

p p

Quality�at�Scale1 Disruptive�Competitors:

• Affinity�Population�Marketing

• Competency Based Placement

Competing�on�Cost

Lower�cost�options,�more�convenient�

2

• Competency�Based�Placement

• Pay�by�the�Course�Subscriptions

• No�Frills�Charter�Universities

delivery�modes,�and�targeted�marketing�attract�students�who�would�not�otherwise�have�enrolled Incumbent�Responses:

3

• Flexible�Articulation

• 2+2�Models

• 3+2�and�4+1�Master’s�Programs

• Credit A re ator

Integrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

Problem�Focused�Research4

• Credit�Aggregator

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

52

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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53

The�$10,000�Degree

Competing�on�Convenience

Early�Attempts�at�Drastic�Price�Reduction�Will�Affect�Few�Students$ , g

Targeted Merit Aid for Accelerated 2+2 ProgramTargeted�Merit�Aid�for�High�Achieving�STEM�Majors

Accelerated�2+2�Program�Starts�in�High�School

University�of�Texas�of�the�Permian�Basin Texas�A&M�University�� San�Antonio

N di l

Accepted�into�selective“Texas�Science�Scholar”�program

Majoring in IT and Security

Qualifies�for�dual�enrollment�program�in�high�school

No�remedial�courses

Majoring�in�STEM�field

Majoring�in�IT�and�Security

27�credits�at�a�community�college

$10 000 $10 000

4�year�completion 36�credits�at�Texas�A&M�� SA

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

$10,000 $10,000

Notes:

54

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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55

The�Path�Dependency�of�Total�Cost

Competing�on�Convenience

Reducing�Degree�Costs�through�Articulation�and�Faster�Time�to�Completionp y

Six�Years�at�Public�University

Typical�Option

$103�K

Three Years in BA Program Two Years in Master’s

3�+�2

Three�Years�in�BA�Program Two�Years�in�Master s

$86�KSix�years�of�room�and�board�significantly�increase�total�cost

Two�Years�at�PrivateTwo�Years�at�CC

$83�K2�+�2�Private With�this�option,�degree�

from private university

“On�Time”�Graduation

Four�Years�at�Public�University

$69�K

from�private�university�costs�less�than�six�year�degree�from�public

Graduation

By�far�the�cheapest�$40 K

Two�Years�at�PublicTwo�Years�at�CC

2�+�2�

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�College�Board,�Trends�in�College�Pricing�2011.

1 Assumes�in�state�tuition�at�public�four�year�($8,244)�and�two�year�($2,963),�tuition�at�private�university�($28,500)�and�room�/ board�while�at�the�public�four�year�($8,887)�and�at�the�private�four�year�($10,089)

option,�in�part�due�to�fewer�years�on�campus

$40�KPublic

Notes:

56

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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57

Marketing�a�Transfer�Friendly�AdvantageEnrollment�Strategy�Adapts�as�Student�Demand�Shifts�to�Completion

g y g

New Message and New Policies

2100Transfer�Friendly

New�Message�and�New�Policies�Reinvigorate�Campus

• No associate’s degree required

1900

2000

D li i E ll t Th t i

No�associate s�degree�required• Community�college�partnerships

• Marketed�transferscholarships on

1700

1800

rollm

ent

Declining�Enrollments�Threatening�Long�Term�Viability

scholarships�on�CSU�campuses

1400

1500

1600

Fall�En

r

Targeted�Marketing

R i d C lif i B d

• Systematic�review�of�program�demand�and�market�share

• Focus on demographics with

1200

1300

1400 Recession and�California�Budget�Cuts�Lead�to�Course�Reductions�

at�Public�Institutions

• Focus�on�demographics�with�highest�persistence

• Individualized�degree�mapping�toward�on�time�completion

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

12002004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

58

The�Net�Price�Calculator�Does�Its�Job

“We’re�definitely�seeing�students�and�parents�looking�more�closely at retention rates time to degree and net price Theyclosely�at�retention�rates,�time�to�degree,�and�net�price.�They�understand�that�these�factors�are�important,�and�the�data�are�now�much�easier�to�get�your�hands�on.”�

Kathleen DawleyKathleen�DawleyPresident�&�CEO,�Maguire�Associates

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

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59

Disruptive�Competition�and�Incumbent�InnovationPressures�on�the�Traditional�Higher�Education�Business�Model

p p

Quality�at�Scale1

Disruptive�Competitors:

I t ti A d i

2 Competing�on�Conveniencep p

• Digital�Badges

• Employer�DefinedStackable�Credentials

Integrating�Academicand�Career�Preparation

Schools�compete�on�ability�of�students�to�l d “ b f h ” h h l

3

Incumbent�Responses:• Competency�Based�ePortfolios

land�“job�of�choice”�through�employer�relevant�curriculum,�experiential�learning,�and�comprehensive�career�advising�services

p y

• Workforce�Development�Campuses

• “Applied”�Liberal�Arts�Curricula

Problem�Focused�Research4

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

60

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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61

Dismal�Job�Market�Making�Career�Prep�a�PrioritySpotlight�on�Higher�Ed�as�Graduates�Search�for�Employment

g p y

Chasing�the

Of�those�who�graduated�since�2006…

• Over�11%�were�unemployed

• Only�51%�were�employed�full�timeAmerican�Dream

Of�those�who�graduated�since�2009…

• Fewer than half were employed within a year of graduating• Fewer�than�half�were�employed�within�a�year�of�graduating

• Three�times�as�likely�to�be�unemployed�as�2006�08�graduates

“Given�that�the�unemployment�picture�for�young�college�graduates�has�yet to show substantial improvement the Class of 2012 will be joining a

A�Vicious�Cycle

yet�to�show�substantial�improvement,�the�Class�of�2012�will�be�joining�a�significant�backlog�of�unemployed�college�graduates�from�the�Classes�of�2009,�2010,�and�2011�in�an�extremely�difficult�job�market.”

“The�Class�of�2012:�Labor�Market�for�Young�Graduates�Remains�Grim”

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Carl�Van�Horn,�Charley�Stone,�and�Cliff�Zukin,�“Chasing�the�American�Dream:�Recent�College�Graduates�and�the�Great�Recession,”�John�J.�Heldrich Center�for�Workforce�Development,�May�2012.

Economic�Policy�Institute

Notes:

62

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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63

Beginnings�of�a�Marketplace�for�Digital�Badges

Integrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

Will�Micro�Certifications�Replace�the�Symbolic�Power�of�Diplomas?g g p g g

What’s a Digital Badge? What’s Needed for a Liquid Market?What s�a�Digital�Badge? What s�Needed�for�a�Liquid�Market?

Proof�of�Concept�FundingMacArthur�Foundation�launches�$2M�contest�for�badge�design

O IT St d d

Mozilla’s Open BadgesInfrastructure makes it easy to issue display

1

Open�IT�StandardsMozilla�developing�interoperabilityspecs�for�badge�formats

issue, display,and manage badges across the web.

2

Government Affinity Industry Individual

Credible�SponsorsFamed�organizations�designing�and�recognizing badges

3

• Collectable,�sharable�certifications�of�specified�competencies• Acquired by examination demonstration proof of experience

Government Affinity�Groups

Industry�Associations

Individual�Employers

recognizing�badges

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

• Acquired�by�examination,�demonstration,�proof�of�experience• Help�students�find�a�job,�collaborator,�or�social�media�followers

Source:�www.DMLCompetition.net;�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.�

Notes:

64

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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65

Using�Badges�as�Infrastructure�for�Learning�OutcomesEarly�Adopter�Rethinking�Assessment�in�a�Digital�Age

g g g

Internship DeliverablesBeyondMere Grades Internship�Deliverables

E�Portfolio

Sustainable�Agriculture�& Food Systems

Beyond�Mere�GradesNew�Major�Building

Learner�Centric�Toolkits

Recorded�Presentations

Suzy�Smith

Strategic�Management

&�Food�Systems �

• Agriculture�students�will�earn�badges�based�on�competencies,�skills,�classes,�

Interpersonal�Communication

Experimentation�& Inquiry

p , , ,and�internships

• Mix�of�pre�determined�standards�and�self�assessment�with�peer�review

Experimental�Results�and�Analysis

&�Inquiry• Intended�to�capture�learning�that�occurs�outside�of�traditional�classroom�setting�and�beyond�graded�assignments

• Operationalizes�emphasis�on�learning�outcomes

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

Peer,�Mentor,�and�Faculty�Feedback EvidenceInstruction

66

Approaching a Tipping PointApproaching�a�Tipping�Point

“A�lot�of�the�foundation�for�competency�based�education�is�in�place�now.�Employer�identified�competencies,�a�growing�inventory�of�high�quality�online�courses,�enough�accredited�two�year�and�four�year�institutions�so�that�working�students�can�get�degrees�

ll kill It ill ll t k ff h ti i l t f t thas�well�as�skills.�It�will�really�take�off�when�a�prestigious�employer�or�two�features�the�credential—people�may�downplay�online�education,�but�would�they�if�a�Boeing�or�a�John�Deere�were�on�board? If�even�one�of�those�firms�endorses�the�concept,�it�will�get�a�lot�of�legitimacy�quickly,�and�I�think�we'll�see�a�big�part�of�the�'applied‘�market�split�their�education among traditional and non�traditional models ”education�among�traditional�and�non traditional�models.

Burck SmithCEO,�StraighterLine

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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67

A�Streamlined�Pipeline�for�Local�Industry

Integrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

Accelerated�Degree�Program�Focuses�on�Workforce�Developmentp y

A�new�value�proposition�for�parents�and�students

Cohorts�Begin�Courses�in�Local�High�Schools

2�Year�Campus�Curriculum�Focuses�on�“Real�World”�Skills

Graduates�Hit�the�Ground�Running�at�Local�Businesses

St d t l t ti l D l ti / i l l I d t f d i l• Students�explore�potential�careers,�apply�in�9th grade

• Successful�applicants�assigned�an�industry�mentor

• Dual�counting�/�special�general�ed credits�accelerate�“core”

• Students�intern�with�local�employers,�earn�credit�and�financial assistance

• Industry�focused�curriculum�mitigates�cost�of�training�new�employees

• Developing�stackable�certificates�for continued training

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Missouri�Innovation�Campus�White�Paper:�http://www.ucmo.edu/about/mic/documents/micpaper.pdf

• Free�college�credit�earned�in�11th and�12th grades

financial�assistance

• Results�in�BS�in�Systems�Engineering�Technology

for�continued�training

• Hope�to�attract�new�businesses�in�“research�park”�model

68

Not�an�Unfunded�Mandate Anymorey

$500�K $10�MBlock�grant�to�support�initial�Innovation�Campus�initiatives

Competitive�funding�to�adapt�Innovation�Campus�model�throughout�Missouri

“…[C]ompanies in high�growth sectors need a highly skilled…[C]ompanies in�high growth�sectors�need�a�highly�skilled�workforce�to�grow,�innovate�and�compete�…�but�the�current�business�model�for�higher�education�is�not�keeping�pace.”

Governor Jay NixonGovernor�Jay�Nixon

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056AJay�Nixon,�“Missouri�Innovation�Campus�Will�Speed�Students�Toward Degrees,�Jobs,”�The�Kansas�City�Star,�Feb.�26,�2012.

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69

Liberal�Arts�2.0

Integrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

Articulating�“Return�on�Education”�to�Outcome�Focused�Students

Liberal arts college in Motto: “Challenge Convention.

“LEEP�provides�a�greater�return�on�

Liberal�arts�college�in�Worcester,�Massachusetts

Motto:� Challenge�Convention.�Change�Our�World.”

“Develop�focused�skillsto�make�immediate�contributions�to�the�workplace”

“Turn�your�talentsand�passions�into�a�rewarding�career”

your�educational�investment�by�preparing�you�to�thrive�in�today’s�highly�interconnected,�competitive,�and�dynamic�global�economy”y g y

1 2 3 “Return�on�Education”Alliance�&�Mentors“Effective�Practice”

• Clark’s�“defining�contribution”�on�top�of�AAC&U�core�learning�outcomes

• Employers�and�alumni�partner�with�Clark�to�provide�career�guidance

• New�interactive�website�focusing�on�alumni�placements�and�salaries

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

outcomes

Notes:

70

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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71

Disruptive�Competition�and�Incumbent�InnovationPressures�on�the�Traditional�Higher�Education�Business�Model

p p

Quality�at�Scale1

2 Competing�on�ConvenienceDisruptive�Competitors:• Competitive�“Grand�Challenges”

3

Incumbent�Responses:

• Venture�PhilanthropyIntegrating�Academic�and�Career�Preparation

Problem�Focused�Research

Philanthropy,�corporate,�and�government�

4

p• Alternative�Research�Structures

• Incubator�Campuses

• Community�Based�Scholarshipfunding�concentrates�on�handful�of�universities�with�demonstrated�capabilities�to�solve�business,�technical,�and�social�problems

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

p

Notes:

72

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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73

Science�in�the�Service�of�SocietyFunders�Emphasizing�“Grand�Challenges,”�Not�Disciplinary�Research

y

University�Model

Department Faculty Salary Disciplinary Research Idea Publication

Journal

“Grand�Challenge”�Model

Department Faculty�Salary Disciplinary�Research Idea Publication

Foundation Idea Global Competition Invention Prize Money

A Push to Remake Science Policy in Canada

Foundation Idea Global�Competition Invention Prize�Money

“The�current�suite�of�programs�is�mainly�(but�not�exclusively)�focused�on�investigator�led�‘idea�push’�projects…�However,�there�remains�a�gap�with�respect�to�collaborative�R&D�and�innovation�projects�that�are�large�scale,�industry�facing,�demand�driven�and�outcome�oriented…”

A�Push�to�Remake�Science�Policy�in�Canada

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Innovation�Canada:�A�Call�to�Action

Notes:

74

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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75

Does�Anyone�Actually�Read�This�Stuff?

Problem�Focused�Research

Even�Faculty�Questioning�the�Benefits�of�“Publish�or�Perish”y y

1616

11 11 11Citations�of�Essays�Published by English

4

13

43

12 2Mark�Bauerlein

Published�by�English�Departments�in�2004

U�of�Georgia SUNY�Buffalo U�of�Vermont U�of�Illinois

0�2�Citations 3�6�Citations >6�Citations

“Yes,�research�is�an�intellectual�good,�and�yes,�we�shouldn't�reduce�our�measures�to�bean�counting.�But�we�can�no�longer ignore the costs of supporting research—financial costs (salaries sabbaticals grants travel; the cost to

A�Worthy�Cause,�But�At�What�Cost?

longer�ignore�the�costs�of�supporting�research financial�costs (salaries,�sabbaticals,�grants,�travel;�the�cost�to�libraries�to�buy�and�store�material,�to�scholarly�presses�to�evaluate,�produce,�and�market�it;�and�to�peers�to�review�it),�opportunity�costs (not�mentoring�undergraduates,�not�pushing�foreign�languages�in�general�education�requirements,�etc.),�and�human�costs (asking�smart,�conscientious�people�to�labor�their�lives�away�on�unappreciated�things).”

Mark Bauerlein

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Mark�Bauerlein,�“Literary�Research:�Costs�and�Impact,”�Center�for�College�Affordability�and�Productivity, Nov�2011;�“The�Research�Bust,”�The�Chronicle�Review,�Dec�4,�2011.

Mark�BauerleinProfessor�of�English,�Emory�University

Notes:

76

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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77Problem�Focused�Research

Will�Research�Dollars�Migrate�to�the�Private�Sector?Venture�Philanthropists�Playing�Increasingly�Central�Role�in�R&D

g

“…[U]niversity� and�government�financed�l b t ff d th l d

Paul�Allen Leaving�the�Academy

labs�cannot�afford�the�personnel�and�equipment�to�perform�the�multidisciplinary�work�that�Mr.�Allen�wishes�to�encourage”

• $500M�investmentRi d D l t h

• Attracting�top�faculty�from�elite�institutions

• Doubling size to 360 staff

Ricardo�Dolmetsch(Former)�Professor�of�Neurobiology

Stanford�University

• Doubling�size�to�360�staff

• Marketing�accountability,�speed,�and�publicly�accessible�results�to�funders

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Peter�Monaghan,�“Microsoft�Co�Founder’s�Brain�Institute�Attracts�Top�Academic�Researchers,”�The�Chronicle�of�Higher�Education,�April�1,�2012.

Notes:

78

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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79

Competing�in�the�Age�of�Venture�PhilanthropyCDOs�Hear�Major�Donors�Critique�Higher�Education�as�Destination�for�Big�Gifts

p g g py

Stewardship

Can’t�Quantify�Impact

p

“Big�donors�are�now�demanding�business�plans—we’ll sustain funding after the initial gift

Less�Attractive�the�Closer�We�Look

“We�did�a�survey�of�trustees�trying�to�find�out�what drove their giving behavior. We wereplans we ll�sustain�funding�after�the�initial�gift�

is�used�up�and�report�on�progress�against�goals�on�a�quarterly basis.”

what�drove�their�giving�behavior.��We�were�discouraged�to�learn�that�several�were�lessinclined�to�give�after�becoming�a�trustee,�because�they�saw�up�close�the�vision�and�efficiency challenges.”

CDO,��Selective�Private�University

efficiency�challenges. �

CDO,�Tuition�Dependent�Private�University

Academic�Vision

Funding�Transformations,�Not�Operations

“You�won’t�get�an�eight�figure�gift�for�financial�aid�or�deferred�maintenance.��Venture�

Organized�around�Disciplines,�Not�Problems“Social�entrepreneurs�want�to�solve�big�problems�that�are�inherently�interdisciplinary,�

philanthropists�want�to�seed�transformational�ideas.”

like�public�health�or�sustainable�energy.��It’s�a�struggle�to�get�all�our�disciplines�synchronized,�and�we’re�starting�to�lose�out�to�NGOs�who�have�more�integrated�marketing�pitches.”

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis.

CDO,��Private�Research�University CDO,��Flagship�Public�University

Notes:

80

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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81

Restructuring�the�Research�EnterpriseOvercoming�the�Limits�of�Departmental�Autonomy

g p

Energy�Initiative Thematic�Divisions

• More�than�a�dozen�new�interdisciplinary�schools�(i.e.,�Human�Evolution�and�Social�Change,�Earth�and�S E l ti )

• Established�in�2006�to�transform�global�energy�system

• More than 50 industry partners provide financial Space�Exploration)

• Large�scale�research�initiatives�(Sustainability,�Biodesign)

• Eliminated�many�traditional�departments�(Biology,�Sociology Anthropology Geology)

More�than�50�industry�partners�provide�financial�support�and�tech�transfer�relationships

• Connects�more�than�50�departments,�laboratories,�centers,�and�programs�involved�in�energy�related�research on campus

Innovation�Collaborative

Sociology,�Anthropology,�Geology)research�on�campus

Key�Themes�Initiative

• Baylor�Research�and�Innovation�Collaborative�(BRIC)�will�provide�faculty,�industry,�and�start�ups�with�

• University�will�focus�on�one�major�global�challenge�every�two�years�(starting�this�year)p y y p

330,000�square�feet�of�space

• International�partnerships,�interdisciplinarity,�commercialization,�and�workforce�development�are�central themes

y y g y

• First�theme,�“Water�in�Our�World,”�will�address�global�water�crisis�from�all�angles

• Builds�on�existing�institutional�strengths�and�focuses�

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

central�themesenergies�of�nearly�every�academic�unit

Notes:

82

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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Road�Map�for�Discussion

83

p

1 A�Tipping�Point:�New�Teaching�Methods�Gain�Legitimacy

2 The Incumbent’s Innovations2

3

The�Incumbent s Innovations

3 Overview�of�Additional�PresentationsResourcing�Strategic�Priorities

Preparing�for�Cloud�Migration

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

84

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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You�Can’t�Go�Home�Again85

Major�Revenue�Sources�Under�Attack…. …While�Costs�of�“Big�Bets”�Increasing�

External�Pressures�Forcing�Schools�to�Reassess�Ability�to�Make�Strategic�Investments

Flat�Or�Declining

Tuition: “Net tuition growth will be muchOnline�Degree�Programs$5M t h lTuition:� Net�tuition�growth�will�be�much�

lower�than�past�10�years.”�(Moody’s)

State�Funding:�7.6%�decline�in�FY�11�12�is�largest in at least 50 years. (Grapevine)

• $5M�technology• $1M�marketing

Global�Campus�Development• $75M infrastructurelargest�in�at�least�50�years.�(Grapevine)

Winner�Take�AllCenter�for�Sustainability

• $75M�infrastructure�• $5M�faculty�and�staff

Philanthropy:�Top�25%�of�schools�received�84%�of�2011�$.�(Commonfund)

Research Funding: “Future growth will Multidisciplinary Research*

y• $8M�infrastructure�• $1M�increased�operating

Research�Funding:� Future�growth�will�slow�dramatically…�top�programs�will�be�best�positioned.”�(Moody’s)

Multidisciplinary�Research• $10M�infrastructure• $3M�special�equipment

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis

*While�support�for�personnel,�facilities,�and�equipment�can�vary�widely�by�research�area,�a�typical�threshold�level�for�a�multidisciplinary�center�is�approximately�10M�one�time�costs�and�$1�3M�in�continuing�funds.

86

A More Activist Central Role of NecessityA�More�Activist�Central�Role,�of�Necessity

“There�are�clear�differences�of�opinion�among�our�board�about�how�much�we�need�centrally…but�I�would�argue�that�our�most�important�initiatives�are�inherently�interdisciplinary�y g p y p yand�require�coordination�and�investments�above�and�beyond�what�a�unit�can�provide.”

Vice�Chancellor,�AdministrationLarge�Research�University

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis

Page 48: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

87Strategic�Plans�Unhelpful�For�Resource�Allocation�

All�Things�to�All�People

Percentage�of�Strategic�Plans�That�Include�Indicated�Strategic�Goal�

Strategic�Plans�a�Declaration�of�Values,�Not�a�Roadmap�Toward�Differentiation

Based�off�Education�Advisory�Board�Audit

(n=32�strategic�plans;�ACC=9;�Ohio=11;�SLA=12)*

94% 94% 88% 78% 59% 56%All = 97%100%

94%� 94% 88% 78% 59% 56%All� �97%�

50%

0%Academic�Excellence

Student�Success Secure�Finances Student�Satisfaction�

Community�Ties Increase�Research Organizational�Processes

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis

*Audit�participants�include�a�selection�of�schools�from�the�Atlantic�Coast�Conference,�the�University�System�of�Ohio,�and�several�small�liberal�arts�conferences.

ALL SLA ACC Ohio�

88

Over�Investment�in�Priority�Accumulation�Means�Plans�Become�Expansive�Wish�Lists

Number�of�Individual�initiatives(Per�Plan�by�Category)

Number�of�Total�Initiatives(Per�Plan)

2.62.4

2.2

1.8

34%

25%28%

1.61.4 1.4

1.31.1 1.013%

<10 10 to 19 20 to 29 >40<10 10�to�19 20�to�29 >40�

Experts�recommend�that�plans�identify�no�more�than�seven�strategic�initiatives�

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

gper�planning�cycle.

Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis

Page 49: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

h l k h ld d

89

While�An�Opportunity�to�Assess�Stakeholder�Needs,�Strategic�Plans�Not�Designed�to�Enable�a�Differentiated�Strategy�

Strategic�Plans�Serve�Multiple�Constituencies�…

A dit Pl d t l

And�Have�Many�Productive�Uses

1. Maximize�Fundraising�Dollars:�A�broadly�written�

State Legislatures:Many states

Accreditors:�Plans�need�to�comply�with�accreditation�requirements

g ystrategic�plan�allows�for�flexibility�in�matching�donor�interests�with�goals.

2. Promote�Inclusivity:�The�consensus�based�nature�State�Legislatures:�Many�states�require�funding�requests�to�be�in�line�with�the�strategic�plan

F d i B dl itt l

yof�higher�education�strategic�planning�enables�multiple�stakeholders�to�voice�their�opinion�on�the�direction�of�the�university.

Fundraisers: Broadly�written�plans�allow�for�flexibility�in�matching�donor�interests�to�goals

3. Inspire�Big�Thinking�Among�Star�Faculty:�Strategic�plans�encourage�faculty�to�think�expansively�about�the�school’s�value�proposition

Incoming�Presidents:�Many�new�presidents�use�the�planning�process�to�conduct�stakeholder�analyses

4. Boost�Morale:�In�a�time�of�seemingly�unending�cuts,�aspirational�plans�help�energize�the�community

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

90

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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91

Needing�a�Push�from�the�CBO

CBO�As�Agent�of�Change

As�Outcomes�of�Planning�Gain�Importance,�Attention�Shifts�to�Implementation�and�Execution

Higher�Education�Strategic�Planning�Cycle�at�Average�University�

T diti l FDefine�Strategy�

Most�planning�efforts�stop�at�the�definition�stage,�leaving�units�to�complete�remaining�steps.

Traditional�Focus

Quantify�Requirements

Communicate�Results

14

Emerging Model

CBO’s�Role

23

Emerging�ModelIncreased�demands�and�bigger�bets�will�push�leading�institutions�to�focus�additional�energies�on�the�execution�

f h l lAlign�Unit�Strategy

Measure�Performance

3stages�of�the�planning�cycle.

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056ASource:�Reuss,�“Successful�Strategic�Planning:�A�Guide�for�Nonprofit�Agencies�and�Organizations”�(1993);�Education�Advisory�Board�interviews�and�analysis

Notes:

92

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 51: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

93

Operationalizing�Strategic�InitiativesTranslating Institutional Priorities into Resource Requirements and Budget AllocationsTranslating�Institutional�Priorities�into�Resource�Requirements�and�Budget�Allocations

Defining�Actionable�Initiatives Enhancing�Transparency�and�Accountability

IIAligning Unit�Led

IVCultivating Institutional

IIIMeasuring Implementation

IQuantifying Resource Aligning�Unit Led�

Strategy�Development

3. Defined�Initiative�Parameters

Cultivating�Institutional�Perspectives�Among�Faculty

10. Chief�Business�Officer�Simulator

Measuring�Implementation�and�Impact

7. Outcome�Progress�Reviews

Quantifying�Resource�Requirements

1. Cost�Revenue�Feasibility Planning Parameters

4. Business�Case�Support�Services

Simulator

11. Outside�Expert�Review

l

Reviews�

8. Probationary�Approval�Periods

Feasibility�Planning

2. Strategic�Plan�Implementation�T

5. Gain�Sharing�Guardrails

12. Faculty�Communication�Toolkit

13. Anonymous�

9. Strategic�Goal�Owners

Teams�

6. Budget�Reduction�Scenario�Plans

Prioritization�Voting

14. Paperless�Budget�Requests

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Requests

Notes:

94

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 52: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

Road�Map�for�Discussion

95

p

1 A�Tipping�Point:�New�Teaching�Methods�Gain�Legitimacy

2 The Incumbent’s Innovations2

3

The�Incumbent s Innovations

3 Overview�of�Additional�PresentationsResourcing�Strategic�Priorities

Preparing�for�Cloud�Migration

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

96

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Page 53: Is this Time Different? Questions for MOOCs and Online Learning Beyond 2012

Many�Hands�Make�Light�Work

97

Cloud System

Users�Gain�Accessibility�While�Institutions�Offload�Maintenance�&�Ownershipy g

Cloud�SystemExternal�Owner�of�at�Least�One�Major�Component�Group

Application or Software as a Service (SaaS)

MonitoringCollaboration Content

Application�or�Software�as�a�Service�(SaaS)

Platform�as�a�Service�(PaaS)

Any�Internet�browserInfrastructure�as�a�Service�(IaaS)

Identity File�Storage Database

A d i ithBlock�Storage ComputeNetwork

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Any�device�with�internet�connectivity

Source:�CIO�Research�Center,�“Making�Cloud�Less�Cloudy:”�http://cioresearchcenter.com/2010/12/107/��(accessed�12�April�2012);�Education�Advisory�Board�Interviews�and�analysis.

98

Ramifications�of�a�Cloud�Based�Infrastructure

• Accessible�from�any�device�with�Internet�connection• System�is�flexible�and�can�easily�add�users�or�capacity

• If�hardware�and�software�is�owned�by�external�party,�payment�can�be�based�on�actual�consumption

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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99

A�Conductor�Rather�than�a�One�Man�BandIT�Staff�are�Better�Able�to�Coordinate�Delivery�of�Wide�Array�of�Services�than�

to�Provide�them�DirectlyApplicationsEnterprise�Systems Applications�Development

Security

Desktop�Support�and�User�Services

Infrastructure�Maintenance

Business�IT�Staff�Coordinate�

Service�Delivery�by�Cloud�Providers�Network�ServicesIntelligence

W b S i d D t C tWeb�Services�and�Development Academic�

Technology

Data�Center�Management

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

100

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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101

DeduplicationPaying�only�for�IT�Services�Consumed�Could�Save�Considerable�Amounts�by�

Eliminating�Duplicative�Spend

p

b d dl d$300�Million�Total $195�Million

Distributed�IT�SpendTotal�University�IT�Spend

Central�IT Spend*

Duplicates�centrally�

35% 65%

DistributedIT�Spend

IT�Spend$100�M 85% 15%

provided�services

Dept�specificIT�spend

$165M�in�duplicative�spend

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A Source:�Education�Advisory�Board�Interviews�and�analysis.

*NB:�All��benchmarking�surveys�of�IT�spend�identified�in�the�research�process�reported�only�central�spending�or�was�not�specific about�the�total�amount�.��These�figures�represent�the�approximate�average�of�several�IT�benchmarking�reports�done�by�onsite�consultants�for�several�large�research�institutions.�

Notes:

102

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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Higher�Education�Cloud�Roadmap

Cloud�Roadmap�For�Higher�Education 103

g p1:�Ready�to�Go• Commodity�technologies• Proven success in higher

2:�On�the�Cutting�Edge• Commodities�proven�in�industry but less so in

3:�In�the�Waiting�Room• Major�providers�not�yet�offering higher educationProven�success�in�higher�

education• Likely�to�get�cheaper�over�time

industry�but�less�so�in�higher�education

• Solutions�currently�being�developed�specifically�for�higher education

offering�higher�education�solutions

• Higher�Education�solutions�offered�by�niche�vendors

higher�education

C l d & E M il Data Center/IaaS Enrollment Management

Unit�Driven�ExperimentationRoad�Tested A�Year�or�So�Away

Wireless�Management

D S

Calendar�&�E�Mail Data�Center/IaaS Enrollment�Management

Student�Information�System

Under Construction

Productivity�Apps

Enterprise�Resource�Planning�(ERP):

FinanceP

Data�Storage

Research�&�High�Powered�ComputingData�Backup

Under�Construction

eProcurementSelf�Service�Portal

HRIS/Payroll

Research�Administration

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

CRM

Notes:

104

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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105

Preparing�for�the�Storm�Cloudp gKey�Organizational�Capabilities�for�Effective�Cloud�Adoption�Across�Campus

IVI II IIIPreventing�Shadow�

Systems

IVEffective�Contracting�

and�Security

ILegacy�Systems�Retirement

IIIT�Staff�Change�Management

III

CRM/Enrollment�Management

Calendar�and�Email

Data�Backup

Data�Center HRIS

Research�Computing

Ready�to�Go In�the�Waiting�RoomOn�the�

Cutting�Edge

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

Notes:

106

©�2012�The�Advisory�Board�Company�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com�• 24056A

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University�Business�Executive�Roundtable�� Education�Advisory�Board

2445�M�Street,�NW�•�Washington,�DC�20037Telephone:�202�266�6400�•�Facsimile:�202�266�5700�•�www.educationadvisoryboard.com