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70
April 2017
KPMG
ISSUE MONITOR
5G ,
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KPMG
Contacts
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,
. KPMG , ,
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2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
Contents
2
Page
Executive summary ................. 3
5G
..........................................................................................
4
1) 5G .....
2) 5G ......
3) 5G ..............
4) 5G ....
4
5
6
6
......................................................................
7
1) 5G ..
2) 5G ..
[] , 5G ..
7
7
8
........................................................................................
9
1) 5G .....
2) ....
9
11
5G
1) .........
2) ..........
3) .....
13
15
16
... 18
-
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
Executive Summary
5G
5G (ITU) IMT-2020 , (4G) 20 (1 20Gbps), 10 (0.1 1/m2), 10 (10
1ms)
5G , , , 2
5G (ITU) 3GPP
2017 3GPP 5G
: , , , 5G
: 2016 5G
5G
, ,
: , ,
: ,
: 5G
(Standardization), (Collaboration), (Service)
Standardization(): 2017 5G 5G
Collaboration(): 5G ,
Service():
3
Executive Summary5G,
.5G,,
,
5G . 5G 5G
5G .5G,,,
,5G,5G
,.
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KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.4
5G 5G
1984
,
. 1990 2G, 2000 3G, 2010 4G
10 2020 5G .
2020 70% 500
, 55% .
,
, (Latency)
5G .
5G
5G 5 2017 2 3GPP(3rd
Generation Partnership Project, 3GPP) 5G 5G
. 5G (International
Telecommunication Union, ITU) IMT-
2020, (4G) 20 (1 20Gbps), 10
(0.1 1/m2), 10 (10 1ms) . 5G
5G
, , 13
.
5G , , 13
Source: 25 ITU-R WP 5D
5G
-
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5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.5
5G
. 1G , 2G
, 3G , 4G
, TV
. 5G
.
,
(IoT) ,
.
5G
Source: KPMG
5G ICT
Source: KPMG
1 2 3 4 5
1984 2000 2006 2011 2020
1G+
2G+/
3G+/
4G+
/IoT/
14.4Kbps 144Kbps 14Mbps 75Mbps 20Gbps
, 5G (C), (P), (N), (D)
.
SK, KT, LG, , , , LG
ICT, ,
. ICT
,
.
Contents Platform DeviceNetwork
CJ E&MOTT
SKT, KTAI ,
AI ,
5G
,
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
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network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.6
5G
2016 162, 494 LTE
185, 691
LTE . 90 773
(2G) 2000 5,047 (3G), 2010 1 5,500 (4G)
20 . 24.7 (2G), 234.3 (3G),
370.6 (4G) . 5G 2020
3G, 4G
, 2026 5G 2 3,175 50% 1
1,588 . 2020 5G
, 2026 635 60% 381
.
5G 2026 50% 1 1,588
5G
Source: (2013)
5G
5G 5G
. ICT 17%
5G
. 1990 2G,
2000 3G, 2010 4G
, ,
, 5G
. , 5G
5G . 5G
,
, , 2
.
378 3,565
11,588
2%
17%
50%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2020 2023 2026
( )
27 154
381
5%
20%
60%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2020 2023 2026
( )
5G
5G
() 5G() 5G ()
(%) (%)
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.7
5G
.
.
CDMA 3G, 4G
.
2.5~5%. 2015
79 ,
251 . 5G 3GPP 5G
, LTE 4G
5G
.
5G
2017 3GPP 5G
. ITU 2016 5G , 5G WRC
()-15 5G
. 2017 5G
, 2019 WRC-19 5G 2020 10
5G . 2017 5G
5G
.
5G 3GPP
2017 3GPP 5G
Source: ITU Note: 5D#() ITU-R 6 SG5() WP(Working Party)5D
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
5D#18 #19 #20 #21 #22 #23 #24 #25 #26 #27 #28 #29 #30 #31 #32
#33 #34 #35 #36
Report Technology trend(M 2023)
Report IMT feasibility above 6GHz
Recommendation Vision of IMT beyond 2020
Modifications of Resolutions 56/57
Background&Process
Circular Letters & Addendum
Requirements, Evaluation Criteria, & Submission
Templates
Technical performance Requirements
Evaluation criteria & method
Proposals IMT-2020
Evaluation
Consensus building
Outcome&Decision
IMT-2020Specification
Wo
rksho
p
WRC-15
WRC-19
ITU 5G
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.8
.
(//), (/), ( /
) .
,
. ,
.
.
5G
5G ITU 3GPP
. ITU , IMT
,
(framework) ,
3GPP ITU
.
3GPP 5G
, , , , , 193
(Member State)
. (Sector
Member) ,
400 ,
ITU ,
.
5G
5G
10
, LG 5,230
( ) 1,924 , 1,658 ,
() 1,556 .
( ), ( ),
(), (), (),
CATT()
.
5G (
)
LG E-UTRA
(
)
, E-UTRA
(
)
.
5G
Source: (2016)Note: 5G . , (3G4G5G) , 4G 5G (3GPP Rel 8 ~
13)
518
674
757
831
862
977
1,556
1,658
1,924
5,230
CATT
LG
()
(5 )
USB USB-C
Source: (2016)
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.9
5G
ITU 5G
. ,
. 5G
5G ICT
.
[1]
.
(Federal Communications Commission, FCC) 2016 7, 5G (28, 39
) . 5G .
5G
'(Advanced Wireless Research Initiative, AWRI)'
4.
[2]
(EU) 2020 5G 7
, (EC) 2013 5G
5GPPP(5G Public-Private Partnership Association, 5GPPP)
5G . GMS
5G .
[3]
2017 3 () 5G
5G
. (Ministry of Industry and
Information Technology, MIIT) 2016 11 5G
52 5G .
[4]
2020 ICT 2017 5G
, , .
5G , , ,
5G (5G Mobile Communication Promotion Forum,
5GMF) 2020 5G
.
,
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KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
KPMG Issue Monitor 61
5G
[5]
5G
(2014 ), 5G MASTER (2015 ), 5G
(2016) . 2016 5G , 4
5G
. , , ,
4 .
5G
4 5G : ICT
5G
(2020) 5
(2022)
1 9.4% ()
15% () 1
1.6 (2020) 15 (2026)
5G
. 2018 ,
2019 . ,
5G 3
.
5G
2016 7 - - - 2018
AWRI 5GPPP IMT-2020 5GMF 5G
2017
- 2022
2022
2018
AT&T,
,
,
,
,
NTT KT, SK,
5G
5G
5G
5G
Source: KPMG
Source: (2016) KPMG
10
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.11
5G
. , ,
, 5G
.
5G ,
5G .
[1]
5G
, ,
, 5G .
5G
, 3GPP 5G
5G
.
5G
3GPP
2017 3GPP NSA(Non-Standalone)*
5G ( ) (RF) 28GHz
6GHz
5G
, LG
, SK
4G 5G ,
5G
2016 11 3GPP
.
5G , ,
,
2017 2,
5G RFIC(Radio
Frequency Integrated Circuit)
LG 80MHz (MIMO, Multiple Input
Multiple Output) FDR ** , 5G
Source: KPMGNSA*: 5G LTE FDR **: 1
,
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KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
5G
KT
2010 5G , 5G
16 6 (The Next Generation Mobile Networks, NGMN) 18 5G 3GPP
16 11 5G R&D
SK
16 8 AT&T, , 15 5G
11 5G , 5G (5G Automotive Association, 5GAA), BMW 5G T5
, (Federated Network Slicing)
LG
MWC 2017 5G (Self BackHoleNode)
5G 5G , 5G
, , , , , 5G (Verizon 5G Technology Forum, V5GTF)
5G IoT , , 3
17 11 5G , 17 5G
AT&T
16 2 5G , 17 1 5G 5G Evolution
17 , DirectTV Now 5G
16 SK5G
5G NB-IoT
5G 17 3 42 17 4~5 5G
, 20 5G 1
NTT
19 6 ITU 5G , 20 10 5G
5 5G
5G
Source: KPMG
[2]
5G
. , , ,
5G . 5G
,
.
5G
12
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
5G
5G , ,
. ,
, , 5G
5G .
Source: KPMG
5G
5G (Virtual Reality, VR),
. 4G
5G
,
. Full HD 4 4K UHD, 16
8K UHD
, (Augmented Reality, AR),
.
, , , ,
, .
5G , ,
Upstream Customer
Telecommunication
- 5G -
Downstream Customer
,
13
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
[1] (VR)
1 360 .
.
,
. ,
.
, VR
.
[2] (AR)
5G
.
, , .
SK
.
3D
.
[3]
.
,
, 360 .
,
, , ,
5G . 2016 12 ,
.
.
,
14
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
, 5G . ,
5G 1km2
4G 10 100 ,
2020 500 . , 5G
. 5G
, ,
,
, . 5G
. 5G
, ,
.
[1]
5G .
. ,
. ,
, ,
, ,
.
.
, ,
Source: KPMG
SW
IBM
LG
ABBSchneider
, , , , , , , , ,
, - , , IDC,
15
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
[2]
0.006 .
5G
, .
.
GT 50 28
1 100 . 5G
,
,
.
5G
. 5G (Artificial Intelligence, AI)
,
. 5G
. 5G
.
5G
.
IT
Source: KPMG
GM
2018
,
BMW
LG
MS
NASA
,
IoT SK
KT
16
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
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2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
[1] (AI)
5G .
.
.
5G
.
,
(Digital Flywheel) .
, ,
.
[2]
3 CES 2017, MWC 2017 ICT
5G . 5G
/ ,
.
, . ,
, , , ,
, .
Source: KPMG
(Siri) 2011 10 , , OS
(Alexa) 2014 11 ,
(Assistant) 2016 5 , ,
2(Deep Speech 2) 2016 9 , ,
(Cortana) 2016 12 AI
SK (NUGU) 2016 8 ,
(Bixby) 2016 11
(Clova) 2017 3 , AI
() 2017() ,
, ,, ,
17
-
KPMG Issue Monitor 70
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2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
5G .
.
,
. ,
.
5G
. 5G
, , ,
, ICT
. 5G
.
(Standardization), (Collaboration), (Service)
.
(Standardization)
80%, 89%
. ,
5G (First
mover) , 5G
.
, 5G
. , 5G
. , ,
.
2017 3GPP 5G
. 2017 5G 5G
.
, ,
5G
18
-
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5G ,
2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a
Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
(Collaboration)
5G .
, , ,
5G
.
,
3GPP .
,
, 5G
5G
.
,
. 5G
, .
,
. 5G ,
, ,
.
,
TIP
5GAmericas
5GPPP
NGMN
5GForum
5GNF 5GTSA
AT&T
KTSK
LG
NTT
5G
Source: KPMG
119
-
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2017 Samjong KPMG ERI Inc., the Korean member firm of the KPMG
network of independent member firms affiliated
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Swiss entity. All rights reserved. Printed in Korea.
(Service)
. 5G
.
.
.
, ,
.
. ,
.
SK
(Alexa) (NUGU)
,
. 5G
.
.
Source: KPMG
AT&T
, 2016 10
, ,
, 220
5 ,
,
,
5G (5GAA)
, VR
SK
,
(NUGU) , ,
KT
, , ,
(Genie) , ,
20
-
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