Issue&Obama Crosstabs

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    May 30, 2012

    TO: JOE MONAHAN

    FROM:Bruce DonisthorpeMANZANO STRATEGIES

    RE: 2012 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ANALYSIS & DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS

    METHODOLOGY

    Automated phone dialing survey using established demographic methodological

    standards to about 1,500 likely voting Demcratic registered households with known

    voting history in primary elections from throughout New Mexico. Surveys were

    conducted using this method on May 22, 2012, between 6 pm and 9 pm.

    As is done routinely in surveys, results were weighted or adjusted at the top-line to

    ensure that responses accurately reflect the populations makeup by factors such as

    age, sex, region, and other established demographic standards and variables.

    The margin of sampling error for the surveys conducted for most questions is 2.5%

    with a 95% level of confidence for the interviews conducted in this survey.

    TOP LINE: ISSUES Question: I AM GOING TO READ YOU A LIST OF ISSUES ANDLATER ASK WHICH ONE OF THEM IS MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN THIS ELECTION.

    THE ISSUES: EDUCATION, HEALTH CARE, JOBS & THE ECONOMY, THE ENVIRONMENT,PROTECTING SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE, AND IMMIGRATION REFORM. WHICHOF THESE ISSUES IS MOST IMPORTANT TO YOU IN VOTING FOR CANDIDATES IN THISELECTION?

    Jobs/Economy: 32%

    Protecting SS/Medicare: 29%

    Health Care: 17%

    Education: 9%

    Environment: 6% Immigration Reform: 3%

    UNSURE: 4%

    Margin of Error: 2.5%

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    DEMOGRAPHIC BREAKOUTS:

    EDUC% ENV% H.CARE% i-REF% JOBS/E% SS/M% UNSURE%

    TOPLINE 9% 6% 17% 3% 32% 29% 4%

    GENDER

    FEMALE 10% 6% 21% 3% 26% 29% 4%

    MALE 8% 6% 12% 3% 37% 30% 5%

    ETHNICITY

    ANGLO 8% 8% 17% 3% 29% 31% 5%

    HISPANIC 10% 2% 17% 4% 30% 33% 4%

    GEOGRAPHY

    1ST CD 9% 6% 16% 4% 33% 27% 4%

    2ND CD 5% 2% 15% 3% 31% 38% 5%

    3RD CD 10% 7% 17% 2% 31% 29% 4%

    IDEOLOGY

    LIBERAL 12% 9% 20% 3% 24% 26% 5%

    MODERTE 8% 3% 16% 2% 37% 29% 3%

    CONSERV 5% 7% 15% 3% 36% 29% 5%

    TOP LINE: OBAMA Question: IDO YOU HAVE A FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE

    OPINION OF THE JOB PERFORMANCE OF PRESIDENT BARAK OBAMA?

    CD-1 CD-2 CD-3

    Favorable: 71% 51% 74%

    Unfavorable: 18% 33% 16%

    UNSURE: 11% 16% 10%

    Margin of Error/CD: 4% 4.8% 4.4%

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