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Issues in the Management of Public Sector Projects in Pakistan. Atiq ur Rehman [email protected]. What intended beneficiaries needed?. What intended beneficiaries asked for?. What planners promised …in PC1. What intended beneficiaries felt…. What was delivered…. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Issues in the Management of Public Sector Projects in Pakistan
Atiq ur [email protected]
What intended beneficiaries needed?
What intended beneficiaries asked for?
What planners promised …in PC1
What intended beneficiaries felt…
What was delivered…
What was received by intended beneficiaries…
Aid, Governance, andDevelopment Outcomes
2007 Transactions Size Illicit Income
Rs. Billion % Rs. Bn
Bank Loans 870 10% 87
Tax Evasion 835 50% 417.5
PSDP 520 25% 130
Import of petroleum and its distribution in the domestic market 67 5% 3.35
Government current expenditure (other than debt servicing, salaries, utilities, subsidies) 94 10% 9.4
Public Utilities and Public Sector Corporations less gas companies 175 15% 26.25
Law Enforcement Agencies and Judiciary
2561 673.5
CPI and RANK
2005 2006 2007
Pakistan CPI 2.1 2.2 2.4
Rank 144 142 138
India CPI 2.9 3.3 3.5
Rank 88 70 72
China CPI 3.2 3.3 3.5
Rank 78 70 72
Fate of World Bank Projects in Pakistan 1996-01
CountryProjects
(No)Satisfactory
(%)Sustainabili
ty (%) Impact (%)
Bangladesh 23 78 57 35
India 63 73 66 51
Nepal 14 77 54 31
Pakistan 42 69 48 31
Sri Lanka 19 68 53 26
World Corruption Map
ADB Projects in 38 Countries
• Audit Reports main finding: 70% of ADB Projects are unlikely to provide long-term social and economic benefits
• Unsustainable and/or failed projects are potentially the equivalent of US$ 4.6 bn of Pakistan’s US$ 6.5 bn in ADB debt.
• All four projects evaluated in 2001 were found unsustainable
Major Problems with ADB Projects1968-2002
96 9170 61
43 35 26
020406080
100120
Perc
ent o
f Pro
ject
s
“The key is not to prioritize what's on your
schedule, but to schedule your priorities.”
Stephen R. Covey quotes
Planning Machinery in Pakistan
Issues along Project Cycle
Generic Project Cycle
Identification
Implementation
Ex-post Evaluation
Preparation
Appraisal & approval Financing
PC-III
PC-IV
PC
-I/P
C-I
I
Mo
nit
ori
ng
& E
valu
atio
nPC-V
“Well begun is half done”
Mary Poppins
Project Preparation
• Feasibility studies are rarely undertaken• Lack of information practices• Lack of capacity in project planning• Lack of multidisciplinary approach• Incomplete and imprecise planning: 4Qs
• Lack of cohesion between cost and physical targets
• Lack of involvement of stakeholders in planning• Organizational designs are not appropriately
made - conflicts. • Modalities of implementation not defined• Tools are not used
Common Issues
Knowledge Management
• Completed projects offer a wealth of information on the possible impacts of and obstacles to development projects,
• Why the lessons are not learned?
Stage Specific Issues
Stage - I
Project Identification
Issues in Identification
• How projects are identified?• Basis of identification? …individualism
– Expertise basis– Will of power
• No scientific way of identification -– “knowledge-base”
• Stakeholders involvement • Duplication of activities?
Stage - II Project Planning
All projects suffer from poor preparation
(PMI)
Major Problems with ADB Projects1968-2002
96 9170 61
43 35 26
020406080
100120
Perc
ent o
f Pro
ject
s
Project Cases
Bolan Medical College
• Cost of the Bolan Medical College & Hospital Complex in Quetta was originally estimated at Rs70 million but ended up at Rs750 million.
Container terminal at Port Qasim
• Cost of a container terminal at Port Qasim was estimated at Rs320 million when the project was first proposed in the early 1980s but ended up at Rs2,400 million by the time it was built in the mid-1990s.
Rice Polishing Plant
• It took more than 17 years for a rice-polishing plant in Sindh to be set up.
• When the Auditor-General of Pakistan’s office asked the project agency in question why it had taken so long, the agency said – “the operating instructions for the machinery
imported from Czechoslovakia were in the Czech language and the agency couldn’t find anybody to translate them”
Chashma Right Bank Irrigation Project (CRBIP)
• Chashma: Original cost = Rs. 1.570 billion
• By 1999: Cost escalated to Rs. 17 billion but just 15% work completed
Jagran Hydropower project
• 66.5 MW project
• 1991 Original cost = Rs. 2.616 billion
• 1994: Revised Cost = Rs. 2.603 billion
• Actual Cost =Rs. 4.401 billion
• Delay = 3 years
Establishment of Airport at Sialkot
• Project for the establishment of Airport at Sialkot was completed in just Rs. 2.7 billion.
• Private sector ensured good quality of runways and other infrastructure at lower cost as compared to other airports completed by CAA.
• It is worth comparing with proposed airport at Islamabad, wherein case estimated cost is around Rs. 24 billion.
Issues
Project Preparation
• Feasibility studies are rarely undertaken• Lack of information practices• Lack of capacity in project planning• Lack of multidisciplinary approach• Incomplete and imprecise planning: 4Qs
• Lack of cohesion between cost and physical targets
• Lack of involvement of stakeholders in planning• Organizational designs are not appropriately
made - conflicts. • Modalities of implementation not defined• Tools are not used
Conceptual Map of Project Planning
FRAMEWORK FOR PROJECT DEFINITION
Stage 1: Processes
Stage 2: Effects
Stage 3:Impact
Aim
Imp
act
Imp
act
Imm
edia
te
Imm
edia
te
Res
ult
sR
esu
lts
Activities
Eff
ects
/E
ffec
ts /
Inte
rmed
iate
Inte
rmed
iate
Res
ult
sR
esu
lts ObjectivesObjectives
Output
Pro
jec
t D
efi
nit
ion
Fra
me
wo
rkP
roje
ct
De
fin
itio
n F
ram
ew
ork
Philosophy: Prevention is
Better than the Cure!
Stage - III
Project Appraisal & Approval
Approving bodies
• Technical
• Financial
• Economic
• Organizational
• Environmental
• Social & Political
• Others
Techniques
• Non-Discounting Techniques– Breakeven Analysis– Detailed Profit and Loss Statement Analysis– Payback Period– Unit Cost Analysis– Simple BCR– Bruno Ratio (undiscounted): Cost of resources/forex
saved
• Discounting Techniques– Benefit Cost Ratio (discounted)– IRR– IERR– Bruno Ratio (discounted)
Stage - IV
Project Financing
• What is criteria for selection of projects for financing?
• What is criteria of allocation resources among projects?
Stage - V
Project Implementation
Nothing is impossible for the person who doesn't have to do it.
Bigger Picture
• Lack of institutional capacity
• Incompatibility with needs
• Politicization of processes
• Bureaucratization of processes
• Lack of Accountability• Others
Specific Issues
• Time Management
• Cost Management
• Scope Management
• Quality Management
• .
• Communication Mgt
Balancing Projects
• Projects are dynamic• So we need
– to manage scope throughout– to keep time in balance– to keep dollars in balance– to keep resources in balance
How can we, at a time…•turn the project to be competitive on cost, time and scope,
•keep happy all stakeholders – the people inside the org, the people outside the org, the high-ups, the audit teams, the politicians, the media and…last but not
least the Audit,
Cost and Resource Curve
Time Management
• Lack of proper planning• Activities are not properly identified• Activities are not properly scheduled• Bureaucratic procedures• Authoritative culture vs work culture
• Procurement and contract management• Staffing• Lack of ownership• Lack of coordination – intra/inter departmental• Frequent changes in policies and procedures• Poor knowledge management practices
• Monitoring
• Lack of skills:– Leadership– Communication– Negotiation– Conflict Management
Cost Management
• Cost items not properly – Identified– Quantified– Valued
• Delays in activities– Delays in approval– Delays in releases– Delays in start
• Monitoring
Scope Management
• Requirements / specifications of output not clearly and well thought-out
• Lack of futuristic approach
• Culture of confidentiality
• Monitoring
Quality Management
• Stakeholders Analysis not carried out• Power dynamics not given consideration• Cost and time planning not appropriately
done• Stakeholders not consulted• Monitoring
Key to Success???
I’m glad the hole is not in my end!
Contract Types Versus Risk
Stage - VI
Project Evaluation
Dimensions of M&E– Dimensions of Monitoring and Evaluation
• Delivery• Usage• Impact
Types of M&E
– Types of Monitoring• Process Monitoring• Effects Monitoring
– Types of Evaluation• Ex-ante Evaluation• Mid Term Evaluation• Terminal Evaluation• Impact Evaluation
Evaluation
• No culture of evaluation
• PC-V never filled and submitted
• No proper use of available evaluation studies
Stage - VII
Operations & Maintenance
LESSONS LEARNT FROM SAP
1) Programme should not be over designed. The design
should be simpler and more modest in their scope,
involving a fewer components and executing agencies.
2) Procurement capacities of the line departments
should be strengthened. There is an urgent need of
harmony in the procurement procedures of the
Government and the use of common bidding
documents of the Donors.
3) National Project Directors should be notified in the
beginning of the programme with full financial and
administrative power for its proper implementation
4)Operating manuals, both physical as well as financial need to be developed before launching a programme and workshops, for imparting training to all functionaries, top level, middle as well as lower tiers should to be organized, at frequent intervals.
5) Institutional reforms cannot be achieved by applying conditionalities only. It requires addressing the key issues relating to governance.
• 6) Political factors should be well defined along with the assessment and the judgment of risks at the time of programme formulation.
• 7) An upfront financing approach should be adopted, keeping in view the resource constraint of GoP at Federal as well as Provincial level.
• 8) Loan agreements should be flexible to match with ground realities.
Resources
• www.pc.gov.pk
THANK YOU!!!