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Framework for measuring market opportunity
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Market Opportunity Assessment
Isurus Market Research and Consulting | www.isurusmrc.com | 617-547-2400
Market Opportunity Assessment
Market opportunity assessment is the comprehensive and systematic estimate of what portion of the
market will buy a new offering. It is used to guide product development investment decisions, and can be
applied at various stages of the decision process (preliminary evaluation, providing data for a business
case, and guiding final go/no-go decisions).
Comprehensive and systematic market opportunity assessment:
reduces risk, by enabling companies to avoid unproductive costs, missed opportunities, and
investments that dilute the portfolio management strategy.
increases the likelihood of a successful product introduction, by providing a realistic assessment
of the product development, marketing, and sales challenges the organization will face.
Market opportunity assessment: What is it and why is it important?
Framework
Market Opportunity Assessment
The Isurus framework for market opportunity assessment
The Isurus framework measures market opportunity using four dimensions of data.
Although the market’s stated intent to buy the offering is central to assessing market
opportunity, a more accurate assessment factors in the buying environment as a whole,
including market pain and priorities, positioning of the seller’s brand, and buying behavior.
Market Opportunity Assessment
Isurus’ approach to market opportunity assessment
Isurus’ approach addresses two common problems that occur in estimating market opportunity:
Overestimating the market’s likelihood to buy due to:
The “wow” factor”: When a new offering is particularly innovative and exciting, the initial interest
and buzz doesn’t necessarily translate into purchases.
Market readiness: Even when a new offering fills an important need in the marketplace, it can
take longer for organizations to adopt it because their existing internal processes and systems
prevent them from using it effectively.
Overestimating the opportunity for your organization
A realistic assessment of the opportunity for your organization should factor in both reactions to the
offering, and your organization as the provider of it. Some offerings may be a better opportunity for
a competitor than they are for you.
Market Opportunity Assessment
Marketplace pain and priority
Isurus’ research across all industries consistently shows that organizations make significant investments
only when they have pain, and when it is an organizational priority to address the pain. Innovative
technology or exciting functionality can generate interest but rarely leads to widespread market adoption if
the product doesn’t also satisfy a recognized and important problem in the business.
Market opportunity assessment should determine:
What business problems does the offering solve?
How critical is it to solve the problem, or can they continue to live with it?
How important is the problem, relative to other priorities?
Does the market’s tolerance for change fit with the new offering?
Market Opportunity Assessment
Brand positioning
A realistic assessment of market opportunity takes into account how the seller is positioned in the marketplace.
In short, the market may want to buy the offering but will they buy it from you?
The seller’s brand awareness and image in the target market impact the
opportunity for a new offering and the investment required for the seller to
take advantage of the opportunity. A well-known brand that is viewed as
a credible provider of the offering typically equates to greater opportunity
for the new offering. If the seller’s brand is less well-known, it will take
more money and more time to establish the brand as a viable provider of
the new offering.
Provider awareness and image
Competitive landscape Market opportunity assessment should include an analysis of the
number and strength of competitors. For entrenched competitors, this
analysis should include an objective assessment of their strengths and
weaknesses and estimates of likely win-rates against them.
Market Opportunity Assessment
Buying behavior
Understanding the buying behavior for a new offering provides a realistic assessment of the investment and
time required to acquire customers.
A comprehensive market opportunity assessment factors in:
Buying cycle: Is the offering a replacement of an existing solution, or a new purchase? If a
replacement, what is the typical lifespan of the existing solution?
Knowledge of the decision makers: Do marketing and sales have existing relationships with the
decision makers, or will the offering require them to identify and build new relationships?
Purchase cycle: How long is the evaluation and purchase process likely to take?
Market Opportunity Assessment
Intent to buy
The market’s stated intent to buy is central to assessing market opportunity: It provides a concrete reaction
to the concept and serves as the basis for analyses using other dimensions in the framework.
The offering description is critical for accurately assessing market opportunity. It should provide a realistic
representation of the offering but doesn’t need to be a fully fleshed-out product description. For most
enterprise software offerings, the offer description should:
Provide a benefits-focused summary of key features and functionality
Describe the delivery model (on-premise, SaaS, etc)
Address integration and implementation, if considered to be important value drivers
Present the pricing model and price points
Be objective, and exclude marketing- or sales- language.
Intent to buy data are filtered by other dimensions in the framework to provide a realistic assessment of
market opportunity. Topline intent-to-buy data typically over-estimate the true size of the opportunity.
Market Opportunity Assessment
Isurus framework summary
Market Opportunity Assessment
Market pain and priorities
Intent to buy
Brand positioning
Buying behavior
How significant and widespread is the pain in the marketplace?
How critical is the need to address the pain, or will the market continue to live with it or make due with workarounds?
How likely is the market to take concrete action? Has budget been set aside to deal with it?
How does this problem rank, relative to other organizational priorities?
Does the tolerance for change in business processes fit with the offering?
Does the company have sufficient awareness and equity in the market to be a credible provider?
Who are existing competitors, and what is their strength in the marketplace?
Is the market willing to invest in the offering, at specified price points and on a defined timeframe?
To accurately forecast market opportunity, key parameters of the offering must be defined for the market:
Features and functionality Pricing model, pointsImplementation and integration Delivery model
A company’s ability to take advantage of the opportunity is strongly influenced by:
• The timeframe of the buying cycle, which is typically influenced by whether the purchase is a replacement (and therefore tied to churn cycles) or a new investment.
• How effectively high-opportunity segments can be identified by size, industry, customer status or other characteristics.
• If marketing and sales have existing relationships with the decision makers, or if the offering requires them to build new relationships.
Outcomes
Market Opportunity Assessment
Outcomes: benefits
A systematic market opportunity assessment provides benefits across the organization.
Set realistic expectations Forecast unit sales, sales cycle, and uptake timelines based on primary market research data.
Assess the opportunity’s “fit” for your organization – just because there is a large or growing market, doesn’t mean it is necessarily a good opportunity for you.
Manage the product portfolio Provide a systematic, research based framework for comparing and evaluating product investments.
Inform marketing
Inform product development
The benefits of market opportunity assessment:
Better position the offering by identifying the benefits and features with highest perceived value
Capitalize on competitor vulnerabilities
Refine the product offering to maximize market appeal