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IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT IN ARMENIA Prepared by EV Consulting June, 2014 Yerevan

IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT IN ARMENIA

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IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT IN ARMENIA. Prepared by EV Consulting. June , 201 4 Yerevan. Overview of the sector. Demand side analysis of skills gap. Supply side analysis of skills gap. Recommendations. Overview of IT and High technology sectors in Armenia. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT  IN ARMENIA

IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT IN ARMENIA

Prepared by EV Consulting

June, 2014

Yerevan

Page 2: IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT  IN ARMENIA

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Contents

Overview of the sector

Demand side analysis of skills gap

Supply side analysis of skills gap

Recommendations

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Overview of IT and High technology sectors in Armenia

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2006 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

75,200

294,000

18,700

36,768

4,021

7,996

Turnover in thsd USD ProductivityNumber of technical employees

Industry turnover, labor productivity and number of employees, 2006-2013

~3% of GDPCAGR: 22%

~0.7% of total labor forceCAGR: 10%

~4x higher the average level of economy

CAGR: 9%

IT and High technology sectors are one of the fastest growing sectors in the economy of Armenia.

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The number of companies operating in the sector has reached to about 380 in 2013 from 175 in 2008.

IT companies(87% of total number)

High-tech companies (13% of total number)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

119 112 125174

209 22556 74 72

107

151155

175 186 197

281

360380

Local International

CAGR: 20%

CAGR: 13%

CAGR: 22%

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The dynamic growth of the sector is marked with a number of significant developments

Trainings centers Labs and technoparks Multinationals Entrepreneurial ecosystem

• Microsoft innovation center

• Armenian-Indian ICT Excellence Center

• mLAB ECA

• Instigate Training center, etc.

• Armenian National Engineering Laboratory (ANEL)

• Gyumri Information Technology Center

• Oracle

• IBM

• Granatus Venture Fund I

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The industry has two directions of sustaining its growth: maintaining the outsourcing capabilities and higher value added entrepreneurial model of growth.

Outsourcing capabilities Entrepreneurial/higher value added growth

Sector development

• Multinationals’ entrance

• FDI

• Venture capital

• Scale-up to international markets

Low-cost high-quality workforce Innovation management, business acumen

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Due to growing number of IT companies in Armenia, demand in IT specialists will continue to increase.

The forecast of employee absorption potential in IT and High-tech sectors

Assumptions

• Market growth rate – 18%

• Productivity growth rate – 1%

• IT specialists absorption potential – 17%

Optimistic scenario

Pessimistic scenario

Base scenario

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Educational sector needs to quickly adapt and reflect these challenges in order to sustain the sector

competitiveness.

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Demand side analysis of skills gap in Armenian IT and High Technology sector

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IT and High-technology companies view the mismatch between the supply and the demand of the skilled IT labor as a key factor that hinders the growth of the sector.

Qualitative skills gap

Quantitative skills gap

150 employees short-term (3 months)

600 employees long-term (3 years)

EMPLOYEE DEMAND

Small companies

Medium companies

Large companies

30

45

72

30

198

353

Long-term employee demand Short-term employee demand

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The demand for new talent in surveyed High technology companies is higher compared to IT companies.

Number of demanded IT specialists categorized by IT and High-tech sectors

High-tech

IT

86

61

293

288

Short-term demand Long-term demand

IT

High-tech

Short-term demand Long-term demand

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Other

QA engineers

Mobile developers

Web developers

Hardware and automation engineers

Software engineers

34

8

7

17

27

54

39

38

78

70

92

264

Long-term demand Short-term demand

Software development will remain the most widespread and demanded specialization in the upcoming 3 years.

Number of required IT specialists categorized by specialization Breakdown of short-term "Other" category

Breakdown of long-term "Other" category

IT security specialists

Virtualization specialists

Database developers

UI/UX designers

Control automation specialists

Technician-installers

Technical sales specialists

1

1

1

4

6

10

11

Technical writersProject managers

Technical HR managersImage processing specialists

IT security specialistsVirtualization specialists

Game developersDatabase developers

Client support specialistsHardware technicians

UI/UX designers3D modellers

1111

22

33

44

710

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The main constraint of recruitment for companies is the lack of qualified candidates in the market.

Recruitment constraints in IT and Engineering companies

Number of respondents: 29

Lack of future business opportunities

Lack of recruitment staff

Budget limitations

High salary expectations

Lack of qualified candidates

1

2

9

12

25

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The migration trend severely impacts the pool of available IT specialists in Armenia.

Impactful, creative and global career seekers

Higher compensation seeker with strong personal ties with

the country

IT specialists in Armenia

Leave the country

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The local small companies with revenue limitations face intensifying competition in hiring local talent,

due to high remuneration levels.

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The quality gap of the skills in IT and High tech is due to low quality of graduates according to the sector companies.

Soft skills

English

Theoretical knowledge

Practical knowledge

10%

3%

3%

45%

17%

17%

31%

28%

45%

41%

45%

17%

14%

28%

17%

7%

14%

10%

3%

3%

Poor Fair AverageGood Excellent Difficult to answer

Assessment of skills for graduates in IT and Engineering sectors by companies

Number of respondents: 29

• Practical capabilities are below expectation - ~73% respondents

• Theoretical knowledge level is average or below – ~80% respondents

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Soft skills and English knowledge of the graduates are on a more acceptable level compared with theoretical and practical knowledge.

Soft skills

English

Theoretical knowledge

Practical knowledge

10%

3%

3%

45%

17%

17%

31%

28%

45%

41%

45%

17%

14%

28%

17%

7%

14%

10%

3%

3%

Poor Fair AverageGood Excellent Difficult to answer

Number of respondents: 29

Assessment of skills for graduates in IT and Engineering sectors by companies

• Soft skills are average or above - ~70% respondents

• English language skills are average or above – ~80% respondents

Practical knowledge

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Importance of soft skills and fluency in language are crucial for the employers.

Share of English-speaking employees in surveyed IT companies

Assessment of soft skill importance of job candidates

Number of respondents: 28Number of respondents: 29

Not important

Relatively important

Very important

10%

29%

61%

Employees with knowledge of Eng-

lish; 88%

Employees without knowledge of Eng-

lish; 12%

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Companies adjust their recruiting requirements and lower standards due to the lack of qualified candidates.

Motivation

Soft skills

Cultural fit

Technical knowledge and skills

University degree

4%

11%

4%

46%

11%

29%

21%

46%

46%

86%

61%

79%

50%

7%

Not important Relatively important Very important

Current company preference for different candidate skills and knowledge and other characteristics

Number of respondents: 28

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The university degree is not a crucial decision factor in recruitment by companies, indicating the diminishing role and image of higher education in the sector due

to the insufficient quality of graduates.

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Only 8% of surveyed companies considered the university degree to be of high-level importance for

the recruitment process.

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Currently, companies consider the Master’s degrees to have a limited benefit on top of knowledge gained through undergraduate studies.

The current structure of labor force in the sector by university degrees

62%

36%

2%

Master's degree and above Bachelor's degreeTechnical (non-higher)

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Ability to independently find relevant information, utilize it is a critical requirement and self-educate is

currently missing in the majority of graduates.

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The companies do not differentiate among the faculties and major specializations of the higher education institutions.

Companies' preference for the major or discipline of graduates

Number of respondents: 29

Electronic engineering

Radiophysics and radiotechnology

Computer systems and informatics

Applied mathematics and informatics

No preference

2%

7%

10%

12%

69%

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About 34% of the respondent companies expressed no preference in hiring graduates from particular university.

Training centers

AUA

RAU

YSU

SEUA

No preference

9%

5%

11%

21%

21%

34%

Company preference for recruiting from Armenian universities

Number of respondents: 28

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Supply side analysis of skills gap in Armenian IT and High Technology sector

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The higher education system in Armenia lacks the competitive dynamism and efficiency.

Despite the existence of 63 public and private players, the sector lacks an efficient competitive environment:

• State universities are privileged - providing substantial tuition subsidies and exemptions from army service for students.

• Armenia is not big enough to afford several universities competing in each discipline so a few have become monopoly providers of education in certain disciplines.

• Five universities dominate the sector by virtue of their scale of enrollment.

• Armenian higher educational institutions do not track their performances by international rankings, the statistics on the career development of the graduates, etc.

• The minimal connection with the global education market means the local market is a captive one.

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The quest to join European Higher Education Area pressures Armenia to reform, but the pace is still unsatisfactory

Netherlands

Lithuania

Slove

nia

Estonia

Croatia

Ukraine

Iran

Albania

Hungary

MontenegroLa

tvia

Romania

Macedonia

MoldovaSe

rbia

Armenia

Bulgaria

Czech Republic

Kazakhsta

n

Slova

k Republic

Israel

Tajiksta

nTurke

y

Azerbaijan

GeorgiaRussi

a

Kyrgyzs

tanEgyp

t1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Netherlands

Montenegro

Estonia

Albania

Lithuania

Israel

Slove

nia

Czech Republic

Latvi

a

Armenia

Macedonia

Ukraine

RussiaTurke

y

Hungary

Bulgaria

Croatia

Kazakhsta

n

Romania Iran

GeorgiaSe

rbia

Azerbaijan

Moldova

Kyrgyzs

tan

Slova

k Republic

Egypt

1

2

3

4

5

6

7WEF ranking on the Quality of Educational System, 2013-2014, Score, out of 7

WEF ranking on the Quality of Math and Science Education, 2013-2014, Score, out of 7

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The list of most significant higher education institutions that provide IT and Engineering specializations comprise 5 universities.

STATE ENGINEERING UNIVERSITY OF ARMENIA (SEUA)

YEREVAN STATE UNIVERSITY (YSU)

RUSSIAN-ARMENIAN (SLAVONIC) UNIVERSITY (RAU)

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY OF ARMENIA (AUA)

EUROPEAN REGIONAL ACADEMY (ERA)

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For the last 4 years there was no shortage in number of graduates enrolled in IT-related faculties.

2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13

7,009

8,820

7,075 6,576

1,657 1,950 1,842 1,959

Students Graduates

Number of IT-related students and graduates

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Provided the same tendency of faculty choice, the number of IT graduates will decrease starting from 2014/15 until 2022, with a slight recovery in 2016-2017.

Estimated number of graduates from IT-related faculties, 2013/14-2015/16

Assumption

95% of currently enrolled students will graduate.

2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

3,290

190 1,270

1,340 1,720

2,020 Graduates in ICT-related special-isations Number of ICT specialists required (base scenario)

Graduates in IT-related specializations

Number of IT specialists required (base scenario)

Page 33: IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT  IN ARMENIA

In 2018/19 and 2019/20 the number of the graduates is again expected to diminish due to the recent military reform

owing to which males are bound to have a 2-year military service deferring their higher education.

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Currently, there is a shortage of graduates in quantitative terms “produced” by the local higher education system, particularly, for the sector of IT and Engineering.

YSU SEUA AUA RAU ERA

IT STUDENTS 670 1,650 100 200 90

ENGINEERING STUDENTS 1,390 1,730 50 100 40

TOTAL STUDENTS 2,060 3,380 150 300 130

IT GRADUATES 190 460 25 40 30

ENGINEERING GRADUATES 480 640 25 20 10

TOTAL GRADUATES 670 1,100 50 60 40

Number of IT and Engineering students and graduates in the universities, 2013/2014

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There is no quantity shortage of teaching staff in IT-related faculties in Armenian universities.

ERA

AUA

RAU

YSU

SEUA

18

20

46

120

177

12

15

43

96

211

30

35

89

216388

IT High-tech

Number of teaching staff in universities by IT and Engineering specializations, 2013/2014

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The average student-teacher ratios in Armenian universities are quite low compared to international standards, but teaching stuff is gradually aging.

Student-to-faculty ratio in local and Western Universities, 2014

YSU SEUA AUA RAU ERAAVERAGE

AGE 50 56 45 ~45 ~40

Average age of the university lecturers, 2014

Page 37: IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT  IN ARMENIA

There is no set process between universities and companies in terms of organizing internship

projects for students, yet there are discussions to make the internships of students an efficient link

between the platforms.

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Career centers can also serve as a link between universities and the private sector. However,

these currently do not operate efficiently and are in their infancy stage.

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IT training center services have significant demand from both the students and junior level working professionals.

MICROSOFT INNOVATION CENTER

ARMENIAN-INDIAN IT EXCELLENCE CENTER MLAB ECA

TECHNICAL COURSES Available Available Available

NON-TECHNICAL DEVELOPMENT COURSES Available Available Available

PREREQUISITES Basic knowledge and algorithmic thinking

No requirements for beginners, minimum test

score/ knowledge for advanced stages

Basic programming knowledge required for transferring to

mobile programming platforms

ANNUAL NUMBER OF GRADUATES ~1,000 ~500 ~300

NUMBER OF INSTRUCTORS 9 10 ~50

AVERAGE AGE OF INSTRUCTORS ~27 ~40 ~33-35

INTERNSHIP Available Not available Not available

EMPLOYABILITY RATE 80%-90% N/A 90%

Characteristics and indicators training centers in Armenia

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Engineering educational centers prepare specialists that meet international quality standards and are almost 100% employed.

INSTIGATE TRAINING CENTER SYNOPSYS ARMENIA EDUCATIONAL DEPARTMENT

TECHNICAL COURSES Available Available

NON-TECHNICAL DEVELOPMENT COURSES Not available Available

PREREQUISITES Capacity to solve technical problems, basic mathematical knowledge

Strong technical knowledge and algorithmic thinking. Strong knowledge of

all technical fundamentals

ANNUAL NUMBER OF GRADUATES ~50 ~80

NUMBER OF INSTRUCTORS ~30 67

AVERAGE AGE OF INSTRUCTORS ~30 ~30-35

INTERNSHIP Involvement in company projects Involvement in company projects

EMPLOYABILITY RATE 100% 100%

Page 41: IT SKILLS ASSESSMENT  IN ARMENIA

There is total absence of professional off-job training program for senior developers on the market, so the

companies have no alternative but to provide on-the-job training.

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SUMMARY AND HIGH LEVEL RECOMMENDATIONS

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Only 45% of the graduates consider employment in the sector, thus, creating a quantitative imbalance of workforce.

~450 graduates ~2,000 new specialists demanded

IT and High technology sector

Whereas, the number of graduates with IT specializations annually about coincides with the annual new demand in the overall market

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Due to the fast growing industry dynamics there is also a qualitative skills gap

Teaching programs are not fit for the private sector standards

No effective links between university and private sector

Professional standards in teaching staff is low and there is no motivation to requalify

Teaching staff is aging

The university programs do not accentuate self-development

The university degree program is too long in comparison with the industry dynamics

Not sufficient number of high-level training programs for base and senior level specialists to requalify

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High-level SHORT-TERM recommendations and key points for policy makers

1. A new university curriculum should be developed together with the private sector

2. The quota of government funded students should be increased for IT

specializations

3. The link between the universities and private sector should be strengthened

through transforming the role of mandatory internship/apprenticeship programs.

4. More young professionals should be encouraged to teach to inject the practical

skills.

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High-level SHORT-TERM recommendations and key points for policy makers

5. The need in base and senior level specialists can be satisfied via creation of

special training programs.

6. Co-financing schemes for workforce development by means of training centers

creation can help smaller companies to close the skill gap.

7. Widespread and targeted communication campaigns shall be organized to

highlight the prospects and strong market demand for the engineering profession.

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High-level LONG-TERM recommendations and key points for policy makers

1. The fundamental reshape of the IT education is recommended to start with the

intervention at schools.

2. Simultaneously, the university funding needs considerable increase as well as

diversification through research grants and endowment foundations.

3. The number of university-based laboratories, which are established with the

help of multinationals, should be scaled up.

4. Creating an alternative program to prepare software programmers in less than 4

years will help increase the supply of labor in the medium term.

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High-level LONG-TERM recommendations and key points for policy makers

5. The universities should transform their career centers into modern support

mechanism for their graduates.

6. If Armenia aspires to transition from outsourcing, development center

destination to one of innovation centers functioning under entrepreneurship

model, it has to integrate fundamental, hard-core research into its university

system.

7. High tech accelerators can become the new type of schools for entrepreneurs.