Jarida La Ofisi Ya Taifa Ya Takwimu

NBS NEWS LETTER

Issue NO: 12 Date: March, 2016

“Statistics in a changing world”


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Tanzania GDP rises to 7.1 percent

Tanzania’s Gross Domestic

Product (GDP) provisional

growth in the Fourth Quarter of

2015 increased to 7.1 percent

compared to 4.1 percent

recorded during the

corresponding period a year

before. The quarterly GDP

estimates will be revised on

availability of the revised data.

The National Bureau of

Statistics (NBS) made the

revelation through its website

attributing the growth to

improved performance in some

key sectors.

The lead sectors in the growth included Information and Communication that grew at 23.0 percent, Public Administration and Defence (19.7 percent), Finance and Insurance (13.6 percent), and Mining and Quarrying which grew at 10.6 percent.

However, there were sectors whose performance was dismal. These included electricity and gas which grew at 0.1 percent, water supply (1.4 percent), accommodation and food

Services (1.7 percent) and agriculture which recorded a growth of 2.6 percent. Explaining the trend of the GDP in the 4th quarter, Prof. Deus Ngaruko, who is an economist based at the Open University of Tanzania, said the growth was impressive but more efforts were needed to ensure there would be sustainability in the country. “The growth rate was good during the period under study. It must be recalled that the country was also in

the middle of holding its

General Election. Most

government resources were

directed into funding that

crucial democratic

responsibility, and before that

the New Constitution matter,”

he said.

He also observed that some of

those who gained financially

from the General Election,

including artists, did not

spend what they collected in –

Fourth Quarter GDP Growth Rates, 2006 - 2015


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the country, but used a big part of their proceeds making new records outside the country. The Don urged the government to encourage more investments in sectors that can employ more people such as agriculture, arguing that this would lead to improved production and hence widen its tax base. “The government should promote industriatilisation, this will help boost agriculture, hence farmers’ incomes would also improve,” Prof. Ngaruko said.

He argued that widening of tax base was crucial for improved economic growth in the country. Emerging sectors such as real estate and even small and medium enterprises could play a crucial role. The economics professor noted that fighting graft and embezzlement of public funds should be continued in order to enforce fiscal discipline and accountability in the government system. He stressed the need to exploit natural resources prudently--

so as to plough back the benefits into

pushing the country’s economic

growth.

According to 2014/15 Intergrated Labour Force Survey (ILFS), in a day, Tanzanians use 18.5 percent of their time in income generating activities.

“Widening of tax base was crucial for improved economic growth in the country. Emerging sectors such as real estate and even small and medium enterprises could play a crucial role.”

“The growth rate was good during the period under study. It must be recalled that the country was also in the middle of holding its General Election. Most government resources were directed into funding that crucial democratic responsibility, and before that the New Constitution matter,” he said.


4

March 2016 inflation rate drops to 5.4

THE headline inflation rate for

March, 2016 decreased to 5.4

percent from 5.6 percent recorded

a month before.

The National Bureau of Statistics

(NBS) Director for Population

Census and Social Statistics, Mr.

Ephraim Kwesigabo, made this

revelation as he addressed

reporters in Dar es Salaam.

“The decrease of inflation rate for

March, 2016 was due to the

decrease of speed of price-

increase for commodities--

for the month of March compared to the speed of price-increase recorded in February, 2016,” he said. Mr. Kwesigabo said that the monthly inflation rate for the month increased by 0.5 percent compared to an increase of 0.7 percent recorded in February, 2016; whereas, the 12 month index change for non-food products increased to 3.0 percent in March from 1.9 percent recorded in the previous month.

However, he said the overall--

index increased to 101.93 in March from 101.44 recorded in February.

The director added that, the increase of the overall index was mainly attributed to price increase of both food and non-food items. Food items that resulted to such increase included cassava flour which increased 4.8 percent, fruits by 4.5 percent, beans by 3.6 percent and fish by 3.7 percent. On other hand, non-food items which contributed to such--

NBS Director of Population Census and Social Statistics, Mr. Ephraim Kwesigabo briefs the media about Consumer Price Index figures for March, 2016 in Dar es Salaam. Right is NBS Manager for Price and Labour Statistics, MS. Ruth Minja.


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increase included garments

for women which increased

by 5.4 percent, charcoal by

7.3 percent and firewood by

2.5 percent.

“The decrease of

inflation rate for

March, 2016 was

due to the

decrease of speed

of price-increase

for commodities

for the month of

March compared

to the speed of

price-increase

recorded in

February, 2016,”

he said Mr.

Kwesigabo.

Moreover, he said the inflation rate for food consumed at home and away from home slightly decreased to 8.0 percent in Marchfrom 9.1 percent in the previous month while inflation rate which excludes food and energy increased to 2.8 percent from 2.5 percent recorded a month earlier. Not only that but also he said that food and non-food alcoholic beverages inflation rate for March slightly decreased to 8.3 percent from 9.5 percent recorded in February.

The purchasing

power of

Tanzanian

Shillings 100

reached TZS 98

and 11 cents in

March, 2016 from

December, 2015.

Movement of National Consumer Price Indices (NCPI) and Inflation Rates from March, 2015 – March, 2016. (Dec., 2015 = 100)


6

Kapala nominated 2015 NBS Best Employee of the

Year

NBS Staff clapping hands to congratulates the winner of the process of nominating 2015 National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Best Employee of the year in Dar es Salaam recently.

It was all smiles for Mr. Abert Kapala after he emerged the overall winner of the process of nominating 2015 National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Best Employee of the year. Mr. Kapala, who is the Regional Statistical Manager for Dar es Salaam, garnered 55 out of 111 votes, which is equivalent to 49.5 percent; the remaining percentage was shared among four other finalists.

The nomination process within NBS is always very competitive because almost all members of staff have the potential to win. However, there have to be only one winner. The process starts at the departmental level where a member is nominated by peers through secret ballots. The nominees from different departments then contest --

to find the directorate level candidate who will compete against finalists from other directorates. In the 2015 NBS Best Employee of the year Mr. Kapala was contesting against four other finalists namely; Benedict Mugambi (Directorate of Statistical Operations), Veronica Mwangoka (Economic Statistics), Lilian Karumuna (Finance, Administration and Marketing) and Stephano Cosmas (Population Census and Social Statistics). On D-Day all the five finalists were given five minutes each to explain themselves before management and staff at NBS Headquarters Conference Room why they should be the best nominee of the year. After the passionate contest, it was time for members of floor to vote. The annual event of nominating

the winner was coordinated and

by NBS Workers Union, a branch

of the Tanzania Union--


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of Government and Health

Employees (TUGHE).

The NBS Director General and

other members of the

management graced the event.

The result of the vote showed that Mr. Mugambi got 22 votes, Mr. Cosmas (15), Ms. Karumuna (13) and Ms. Mwangoka (6). Speaking after he was

announced the winner; Mr.

Kapala gave a note of thanks to

the entire NBS team for

recognition.

“All contesters were qualified to

become winners. The

competition was tough but I--

am happy that you decided I

should be a winner, thanks you

all,” he said with a broad

smile.

“It was all smiles for

Mr. Abert Kapala

after he emerged the

overall winner of the

process of

nominating 2015

National Bureau of

Statistics (NBS) Best

Employee of the

year,”

“All contesters were qualified to become winners. The competition was tough but I am happy that you decided I should be a winner, thanks you all,” he said with a broad smile

Contesters of National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) 2015 Best Employee of the year posed for a photo before the nomination process in Dar es Salaam in March, 2016.


8

NBS STAFF ZONE

SANGO SIMBA – Retired Manager of Environment Statistics and Statistical Analysis. Appointment – 12/10/1984 Retired – 25/12/2015

Sango Simba was born on December 26, 1960 in Tabora Region. He attended Kabanga Primary School in Kigoma Region from 1970 to 1976. He then joined Pugu Secondary School in 1977 and completed O-level studies in 1980 before he joined Azania Secondary School in 1981 to 1983 for A-level studies. Mr. Simba joined the National Service at Mafinga Barracks and completed the mandatory year in 1984. He joined the Institute of Statistics (EASTC) in 1986 and completed his studies in 1988, where he was awarded a Diploma in Statistics. From 1991 to 1993 he joined the University of Dar es Salaam and was awarded a Bachelor’s Degree in Statistics. In 1997, joined the University of Botswana for Post Graduate studies in Population and Development. He then undertook his Master’s Degree in Demographics at the University of Dar es Salaam in 2005. Mr. Simba attended various short courses both within and outside the country. Some of these included:

Historical Background

Short courses

Management and Preparation of

Development Projects in April,

1999 (University of Dar es

Salaam).

Statistical Analysis using SPSS

progamme, Report Writing and

Presentation in April 2003

(EASTC in Dar es Salaam).

Methods of Control Data in

August, 2007 (ISI Lisbon in

Portugal).

Analysis of Statistics in Poverty

in September 2008 (Stockholm

Sweden).

Training on Governance

(Gaining New Perspective) -

Management Training &

Consultancy Limited in United

Kingdom (UK) and Dubai in

September 2009 (Conducted in

Dar es Salaam, Tanzania).


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Training on Development change and

Leadership for the Global Perspective (Global

Leadership of Change) in Kuala Lumpa,

Malaysia in August 2010.

resources to the detriment of national interest. At the National Bureau of Statistics, he collected, analyzed, interpreted economics data and information for easy use by government officials; He was also a member of various committees and professional groups.

Employment He secured a job with the Government of Tanzania in October, 1984 after completing National Service Training (JKT) and retired in December 2015. In his public service, he served in three ministries:

Prime Minister’s Office and

First Vice President’s Office in

October 1984 to June 1995.

President's Office, Planning

Commission from July 1995 to

June 1999.

National Bureau of Statistics

from July 1999 to December

2015.

At the Prime Minister's Office; First Vice President and the President's Office, Planning Commission his core duty was to prepare, manage and evaluate programmes of regional development. He was a Government advisor in financial--

Key duties/functions

Positions He served in various capacities:

From December 1984 to June 1994 he worked as an Assistant Planning Officer at the Office of the Prime Minister and First Vice President.

July 1995 to June 1999, he served as Planning Officer at the President's Office, Planning Commission.

August 1999 to July 2008, Senior Statistician at the National Bureau of Statistics.

August 1999 to June 2003, Regional Statistics Manager in Kilimanjaro Region.

July 2005 to July 2007, Manager of the Statistical Methods, Standards and Coordination at NBS – Headquarters.

August 2007 to July 2008, Head of the Department of Environmental Analysis and Analysis of Data NBS – Headquarters.

August 2007 to December 2015, Manager of Environment Statistics and Statistical Analysis NBS – Headquarters.


10

Change of social circles: Retirement causes one to change friends and close associates. Early preparations are the key to managing this aspect of the retirement time.

Mr. Simba advised NBS Staff to implement various matters in order to cope with the Fifth Phase Government and its policy of “Hapa Kazi Tu”.

Preparation for Retirement: To retire one must prepare oneself from the first day of securing a job. One must decide of the location and time of his/her retirement.

Change of Mind Set: This comes from the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP) which resulted in the amendment of the Statistics law (Statistical Act) which also changed the system of producing Official Statistics. Before TSMP, NBS was only the producer of Official statistics in the country but after amendments, NBS gave room to other organizations and stakeholders to produce official statistics. This situation results to competition of research work.

Existence of equal rights and decision making (Fair Play and Natural Justice): This is the main pillar of the NBS in accomplishing tasks and increase productivity among employees of NBS.

Challenges in career life

Mr. Simba shared the challenges he faced in his career life. Some included:

Unwillingness of some decision makers in using statistics.

Lack of awareness among citizens about the importance of statistics in planning, monitoring and evaluating their development programmes.

Lack of resources, including man power and finance.

Lack of competence among some government employees.

Poor access and distribution of official statistics to informal and small and medium businesses.

Challenges after retirement

His advice

Mr. Simba explained the challenges in three categories.

Mind Set: This is the first major challenge for any officer who retires. It’s a huge challenge for many civil servants as they cannot cope outside the systems they grew in. As a result many suffer from health challenges such as hypertension, ulcers and the like.

Sudden reduction of income: Poor planning and early preparations is still a big problem as most of those retiring experience a significant drop of their incomes, while they continue facing more or same obligations.


11

Mind Set: This is the first major challenge for any officer who retires. It’s a huge challenge for many civil servants as they cannot cope outside the systems they grew in. As a result many suffer from such health challenges as hypertension, ulcers and the like.

Each who serves in NBS should consider himself a family member of NBS and cooperate with others freely.

Attitude towards NBS mandates: Bureau’s staff should work hard and not by habit. Statisticians should train and be competent in all Statistical jobs including preparing proposals for research, managing, and analyzing, iInterpreting and presenting statistical information in order to increase productivity and efficiency at work.

Solidarity at Work (Team Work): NBS team should form solidarity both within and outside the office.

NBS Retired Manager of Environment Statistics and Statistical Analysis, Sango Simba delivering his remarks during a farewell ceremony conducted in Dar es Salaam in March, 2016


12

Key quotes in statistics

"On this World Statistics Day, I urge all partners and stakeholders to work together to ensure that the necessary investments are made, adequate technical capacity is built, new data sources are explored and innovative processes are applied to give all countries the comprehensive information systems they need to achieve sustainable development," United Nations Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, October 20, 2015.

Ban Ki-moon

“The successful implementation of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) would help to improve the lives of Tanzanians because the 17 goals form programmes focusing on improving the living standards of the people,” World Bank Country Director (Tanzania), Ms. Bella Bird, (October 8, 2015).

Ms. Bella Bird

"Given the importance of Statistics in the implementation of 17 goals and 169 indicators of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the National Bureau of Statistics is well organized to ensure all required data is available,” the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Director General, Dr. Albina Chuwa, (October 23, 2015).

Dr. Albina Chuwa

“A single piece of statistical information is worth a thousand words. The manner in which one person extracts information for one’s story can help users to better understand the graphs and tables. Failure on the side of the journalist to grasp the key message can make the story very boring and complicated,” The Senior Statistician of NBS, Mr. Stephano Cosmas (2016).

Mr. Stephano Cosmas


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NBS PICTORIAL NEWS

Mr. Benedict Mugambi elaborating his strength to try to convince NBS Staff to nominate him as a NBS best employee of the year during the process of nominating 2015 NBS best employee of the year in Dar es Salaam in March, 2016.

NBS Director General, Dr. Albina Chuwa interviewed by BBC reporter John Solombi during the launching of official database of people with disabilities in Dar es Salaam recently.


14

NBS PICTORIAL NEWS

NBS Director of Finance, Administration and Marketing, Stanley P. Mahembe giving his remarks during the nomination of 2015 NBS best employee of the year in Dar es Salaam recently.

The Acting Director for Economic Statistics Ms. Joy Sawe, delivering her remarks during a farewell ceremony to Mr. Sango Simba who retired. The event was held in Dar es Salaam in March, 2016.


For comments and suggestions please contact: - Director General: National

Bureau of Statistics 18 Kivukoni Road P. O. Box 796, 11992 Dar es Salaam Tel.

+255 22 2122722/4 Fax: +255 22 2130852 E-mail: [email protected], Website

www.nbs.go.tz

NBS Regional Offices Contacts

Arusha P.o Box 7108 Tel: 027-2502009 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0755-373111 Dodoma P.o Box 891 Tel: 026-2963113 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0754-697765 Iringa P.o Box 739 Tel: 026-2702771 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0754-048116 Kagera P.o Box 1299 Bukoba Tel: 028-2220836 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0752-202726

Manyara P.o Box 89 Babati Tel: 027-2530297 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0786-203565

Mara P.o Box 769 Musoma Tel: 028-2622447 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0754-482280

Kigoma P.o Box 953 Tel: 028– 2803360 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0659-419713

Kilimanjaro P.o Box 1 Moshi Tel: 027-2751662 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0752-202726 Dar es Salaam P.o Box 42444 Tel: 02-22203108 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0768-202240 Singida P.o Box 807 Tel: 026-2502078 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0713-495663

Rukwa P.o Box 797 Sumbawanga Tel: 025-2802711 Email [email protected]

Mbeya P.o Box 841 Tel: 025-2502612 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0754-823544

Morogoro P.o Box 581 Tel: 023-2604974 Email: [email protected] Mobile: 0788-800932 Mtwara P.o Box 56 Tel: 023-2333313 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0713-547488 Lindi P.o Box 506 Tel: 023-2202680 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0754-279581 Mwanza

P.o Box 1932 Tel: 028-2502005 E-mail [email protected] Mobile: 0713-356969

Ruvuma

P.o Box 397 Songea Tel: 027-2530297 E-mail [email protected] Mobile: 0754– 844366 Shinyanga

P.o Box 2134 Tel: 028-2762901 E-mail [email protected] Mobile 0786-210343

Tabora

P.o Box 703 Tel: 026-2605202 Email [email protected] Mobile 0754-870512 Tanga P.o Box 566 Tel: 027-2646332 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0713-755965 Pwani P.o Box 30080 Kibaha Tel: 023-2402275 Email [email protected] Mobile: 0715-883137

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Jarida La Ofisi Ya Taifa Ya Takwimu