107
J C M N G A R S E

JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

J C M

NGA

R S E

Page 2: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 3: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 4: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

If you really want

NextGen Access,

then I wouldn’t start

from here!

Page 5: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

DESIGNCONSTRAINTS

Page 6: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

Page 7: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

Page 8: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 9: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

MOBILE BROADBAND

Page 10: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

BUSINESS NETWORKS

MOBILE BROADBAND

Page 11: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

BUSINESS NETWORKS

PUBLIC SECTOR NETWORKS

MOBILE BROADBAND

Page 12: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

BUSINESS NETWORKS

PUBLIC SECTOR NETWORKS

MOBILE BROADBAND

UNCERTAIN

DEMAND

Page 13: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

BUSINESS NETWORKS

PUBLIC SECTOR NETWORKS

MOBILE BROADBAND

EXPENSIVE

TO UPGRADE

Page 14: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

CONSUMER (FIXED-LINE) BROADBAND

BUSINESS NETWORKS

PUBLIC SECTOR NETWORKS

MOBILE BROADBAND

“DOCTOR”

OFCOM

AND HERBAL

REMEDIES

Page 15: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

TECHNOLOGYLEGACY

Page 16: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PHYSICAL

Page 17: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PHYSICALLINK

Page 18: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PHYSICALLINK

NETWORK

SESSIONTRANSPORT

PRESENTATIONAPPLICATION

Page 19: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PHYSICALLINK

NETWORK

SESSIONTRANSPORT

PRESENTATIONAPPLICATION

DATADIRECTORY

TRUST

Page 20: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PHYSICALLINK

NETWORK

SESSIONTRANSPORT

PRESENTATIONAPPLICATION

DATADIRECTORY

TRUSTUP IN THE CLOUDS

Page 21: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PHYSICALLINK

NETWORK

SESSIONTRANSPORT

PRESENTATIONAPPLICATION

DATADIRECTORY

TRUSTUP IN THE CLOUDS

Page 22: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

GEOGRAPHIC & SOCIO-

ECONOMICTAILS

MARKETSTRUCTURES

TECHNOLOGYLEGACY

Page 23: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Broadband Sudoku

First Third Second Third Final Third

DigitallyLiterate

DigitallyConnected

DigitallyDisconnected

Page 24: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

First Third Second Third Final Third

DigitallyLiterate

DigitallyConnected

DigitallyDisconnected

Broadband Sudoku

Page 25: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

First Third Second Third Final Third

DigitallyLiterate

DigitallyConnected

DigitallyDisconnected

Broadband Sudoku

Page 26: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

First Third Second Third Final Third

Broadband Sudoku

DigitallyLiterate

DigitallyConnected

DigitallyDisconnected

Page 27: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

First Third Second Third Final Third

Broadband Sudoku

DigitallyLiterate

DigitallyConnected

DigitallyDisconnected

UP IN THE

CLOUDS

Page 28: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

GEOGRAPHIC & SOCIO-

ECONOMICTAILS

RED TAPE AND VESTED INTERESTS

MARKETSTRUCTURES

TECHNOLOGYLEGACY

Page 29: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 30: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA

Page 31: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA EMP

Page 32: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA EMP

LEGACYPRODUCTS

Page 33: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA

BDUKSTRINGS

EMP

LEGACYPRODUCTS

Page 34: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA

EXISTING CONTRACTS

BDUKSTRINGS

EMP

LEGACYPRODUCTS

Page 35: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA

STATEAID

EXISTING CONTRACTS

BDUKSTRINGS

EMP

LEGACYPRODUCTS

Page 36: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

GEOGRAPHIC & SOCIO-

ECONOMICTAILS

RED TAPE AND VESTED INTERESTS

MARKETSTRUCTURES

TECHNOLOGICALAMBTION

Page 37: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

PIA

STATEAID

EXISTING CONTRACTS

BDUKSTRINGS

EMP

LEGACYPRODUCTS

Page 38: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

IT’S ALL TOODIFFICULT!

Page 39: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 40: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 41: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 42: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

James Clerk Maxwell

Born1831

Died1879

Page 43: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

An Edinburgh Man

Page 44: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Maxwell’sBirthplace

14, India Street,Edinburgh

Page 45: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Glenlair House in 1879

Page 46: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Inquisitive from the start:

"What's the go o' that?”

…..”but what's the particular go of it”

“Show me how it doos”

Page 47: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 48: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

The Edinburgh Academy

Page 49: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

The youngest ever member of the Royal Society of Edinburgh,JCM was elected at the age of 14

and a student at Edinburgh University at the age of 16!

Page 50: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 51: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Professor of Physics

Marischal College, Aberdeen1856-1860

Page 52: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Marischal College, Aberdeen

Page 53: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Geddes and Maxwell

Start in Scotland and take

the good ideas South!

Page 54: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Professor of Natural Philosophy

Kings College London1860-1865

Page 55: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 56: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Maxwell in 1864 “We have strong reason to conclude

that light itself (including radiant heat

and other radiation, if any) is an electromagnetic disturbance

in the form of waves propagated through the electro-magnetic field

according to electro-magnetic laws.”

Page 57: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Professor of Experimental Physics

The Cavendish Laboratory, Cambridge1871-1878

Page 58: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 59: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Maxwell’s Gravestone

Page 60: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Maxwell’s Contributions to “Encyclopaedia Britannica”

ATOM

ATTTRACTION

CAPILLARY ACTION

CONSTITUTION OF BODIES

ETHER

FARADAY

HARMONIC ANALYSIS

DIAGRAMS

DIFFUSION

Page 61: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Ivan Tolstoy(Maxwell’s Biographer)

“Maxwell's importance in the history of scientific thought is comparable to Einstein’s (whom he inspired) and to Newton’s (whose influence he curtailed)”

Page 62: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Albert Einstein

"The special theory of relativity owes its origins to Maxwell's equations of the

electromagnetic field."

Page 63: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Albert Einstein

"Since Maxwell's time, physical reality has been thought of as represented by continuous

fields, and not capable of any mechanical interpretation.

This change in the conception of reality is the most profound and the most fruitful that physics has experienced since the time of

Newton"

Page 64: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 65: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 66: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

IT’S ALL TOODIFFICULT?

Page 67: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MAY THE FORCE

BE WITH YOU!

Page 68: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

GEOGRAPHIC & SOCIO-

ECONOMICTAILS

RED TAPE AND VESTED INTERESTS

MARKETSTRUCTURES

TECHNOLOGYLEGACY

Page 69: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

Page 70: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

BB Subs Market Share 2015

Page 71: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

BB Subs Market Share 2015

NOT MUCH CHANGE THERE!

Page 72: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

EXPERIMENT WITH

DIFFERENTMODELS

Page 73: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

New Business Models

• Buying Consortia

• Cooperatives

• Social Enterprises

• Community Interest Companies

Page 74: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

EXPERIMENTWITH

DIFFERENTMODELS

TECHNOLOGYLEGACY

Page 75: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

0.5-40 10-100 1 10-100

UK Today

Japan Today

Page 76: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

BE AMBITIOUS WITH THE

TECHNOLOGY

EXPERIMENT WITH

DIFFERENTMODELS

Page 77: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

“…our goal is simple: within this parliament we want Britain to have the best superfast broadband network in

Europe.”

Jeremy Hunt, Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport,

8th June 2010

Page 78: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

BDUK Goals1. To ensure delivery of the 2Mbps Universal Service

Commitment within the lifetime of this parliament (2015).

2. To ensure this country has the best superfast broadband in Europe by the end of this parliament (2015).

3. To ensure the efficient use of funding to deliver Universal Service Commitment and Superfast Broadband.

4. To assist other Government initiatives which are dependent upon customers ability to access Broadband based services.

Page 79: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 80: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

10 Gb/s

Technology Speed Limit

1990 2000 2010 2020

Page 81: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

10 Gb/s

Consumer BB Speed Limits

1990 2000 2010 2020

Page 82: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

10 Gb/s

Consumer BB Speed Limits

1990 2000 2010 2020

AREA OFOPPORTUNITY

Page 83: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

10 Gb/s

UK Universal Service O/C?

1990 2000 2010 2020

Page 84: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Scotland’s Ambition

1990 2000 2010 2020

Page 85: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

BE AMBITIOUS WITH THE

TECHNOLOGY

EXPERIMENT WITH

DIFFERENT MODELS

GEOGRAPHIC & SOCIO-

ECONOMICTAILS

Page 86: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 87: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Map of Scotland

Scotland Census 2001

Census output areas with population density

greater than 50 inhabitants per square kilometer

shown in RED. Elsewhere the population is sparser.

Page 88: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Reflections on Maxwell’s Work

• Copper Wires, Fibre Optic Cables and Ether are all conductors of electromagnetism…

• We now need for a Grand Unified Theory for the EFFECTIVE DISTRIBUTION of these Electromagnetic Waves to ALL CITIZENS

• A Scottish Internet Exchange (SIX), Digital Village Pumps and a sensible way of sharing assets for the so-called “Final Third” are vital components of this Grand Unified Theory.

Page 89: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

BE AMBITIOUS WITH THE

TECHNOLOGY

EXPERIMENT WITH

DIFFERENT MODELS

BE INCLUSIVE,

NOT EXCLUSIVE

Page 90: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Scotland can (and probably should)

lead the UK on innovation for provisioning NGA to the final third -

simply because so much of the country is so sparsely populated!

Leadership on the Final Third

Page 91: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

RED TAPE AND VESTED INTERESTS

EXPERIMENTWITH

DIFFERENTMODELS

BE AMBITIOUS WITH THE

TECHNOLOGY

BE INCLUSIVE,

NOT EXCLUSIVE

Page 92: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Stuck in National Treacle

• BIG SIX STATUS-QUO• “OPEN” NETWORKS• EQUIVALENCE MANAGEMENT PLATFORM• PIA AND OFCOM REMEDIES• STATE AID & STATE SUBSIDIES• UNFUNDABLE PAYBACK PERIODS• RACING TO INFINITY (AND 2012)

Page 93: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 94: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

BE AMBITIOUS WITH THE

TECHNOLOGY

EXPERIMENT WITH

DIFFERENTMODELS

BE INCLUSIVE,

NOT EXCLUSIVE

UNDERSTAND HOW THINGS

WORK

Page 95: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

Stuck in National Treacle

• BIG SIX STATUS-QUO• “OPEN” NETWORKS• EQUIVALENCE MANAGEMENT PLATFORM• PIA AND OFCOM REMEDIES• STATE SUBSIDIES• UNFUNDABLE PAYBACK PERIODS• RACING TO INFINITY (AND 2012)

“SHOW ME HOW IT DOOS”

Page 96: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MARKETSTRUCTURES

AMBITOUSTECHNOLOGY

PLANS

INNOVATIVEMODELS

INCLUSIVEROLL-OUTS

UNDERSTANDHOW THINGS

WORK

LOCAL COMMUNITYOWNERSHIP

Page 97: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 98: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 99: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 100: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 101: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

The FIBRE OPTICGENERATION

Page 102: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

HYPER-CONNECTED!

Page 103: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

WHICH WAY TO GO?

Page 104: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!
Page 105: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

MANYPOSSIBILITIES

Page 106: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

J C M

NGA

R S E

Page 107: JCMJCM NGANGA RSERSE. If you really want NextGen Access, then I wouldn’t start from here!

http://lornemitchell.com

moreThursday Thoughts

@