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Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
OILSIMEXPLORATION
Svalex 2007Longyearbyen, Svalbard, Norway20 - 23 August 2007
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Schedule - Example
Monday 20 August 16.00 Introduction to OILSIM Exploration 16.30 Simulation Phase 1 starts (Find Basins) 17.00 Phase 1 Deadline. Phase 2 (First Licensing Round opens) 18.00 End Day 1Tuesday 21 August 16.00 Oilsim Exploration continues 16.30 First Licensing Round deadline 16.45 Phase 3 starts: Farm-In, Order Rig, Providers, Drilling
Location, Testing (continues the rest of the day) 17.45 2nd Licensing Round opens 18:15 2nd Licensing Round deadline 18:55 Simulation ends 18.55 Debriefing 19.00 End Day 2
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Schedule - Example
OilSim Field DevelopmentWednesday 22 August 10.00 Introduction to OilSim Field Dev. 10.30 Challenge 1 Reservoir characterization 11.00 Challenge 2 – Design Basis 11.30 Challenge 3 – Concept Solutions 12.00 End first part ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 16.00 Challenge 4 – Planning 16.30 End of the 1 Cycle (Results) 17.00 2nd Cycle starts - Challenge 1 Reservoir characterization 17.30 Challenge 2 – Design Basis 18.00 Challenge 3 – Concept Solutions 18.30 Challenge 4 – Planning 18.50 End of simulation 18.50 Debriefing 19.00 Course ends
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Schedule - Example
OilSim Exploration Competition
Thursday 23 August 09.30 Simulation Phase 1 starts (Find Basins) 09.40 Phase 1 Deadline. Phase 2 (First Licensing Round
opens) 10.20 First Licensing Round deadline 10.20 Phase 3 starts: Farm-In, Order Rig, Providers, Drilling
Location, Testing (continues the rest of the day) 10.40 2nd Licensing Round opens 11.10 2nd Licensing Round deadline 11.45 Simulation ends 11.45 Debriefing 12.00 End
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Overview
• Enhance your overall understanding of petroleum exploration
• Common platform to work on• Multidisciplinary challenge• You are an exploration team in
charge of a new petroleum province• Your task is to get maximum return
on investment (ROI)
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Money
• You start with $200M– You can apply for more money later
• Earnings:– Net value of the oil fields discovered– MINUS costs (surveys, wells, etc.)
• Winning team: – highest return on investment (ROI)– ROI = Earnings / Funds received
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Learning Points
• Where and how to find oil• Surveys used in exploration• Licensing rounds• Farm-in and Partnerships• Rigs and Sub-contractors• Reducing uncertainty• Economically viable volumes
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Oil & Gas Industry
• Upstream– Exploration– Production
• Downstream– Refining– Distribution
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Structure
• Phase 1: Find Basins• Phase 2: Bid for Licences• Phase 3: Drilling
– 3.1 Farm-in– 3.2 Order Rig– 3.3 Select Providers– 3.4 Select Position– 3.5 Testing
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
MapColumns (1 to 112)
Row
s (1
to 1
52)
1000 m deep
Cell (112,89)
Block 168
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Login
www.oilsim.com
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Main screen
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
First task
• Find the 3 basins in the area• Basin: Sedimentary rocks in the deep
subsurface where oil and gas was generated
• Procedure1.Buy and study magnetic and gravimetric
surveys2.Submit 3 block numbers; one for each basin
centre
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Surveys
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Gravimetric surveys
• Gravimetric surveys show the gravity in the sub-surface
• Sedimentary rocks (“basins”) have lower densities than the surrounding crystalline rocks
• Low gravity (green) -> Basins• High gravity (red) -> Crystalline
rocks
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Gravimetric surveys
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Magnetic surveys
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
More detail
NorthEast
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Quarter map survey
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Enter decision
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 1
• Possible to get between 0 and 100 knowledge points (KP)– KP’s can be used e.g. when you apply
for money
• Must be solved before deadline• After the deadline, all submissions
are evaluated
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 1 solved
• All basins are located• Message sent to all teams with the
results• Oil and gas is close to the basins• Next step: First licensing round
– The blocks around one of the basins are on offer
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Second task
• Bid to get an exploration licence• Exploration licence: A permission from
the Government to explore a block• Procedure
1. Buy and study Common Risk Segment Maps and 2D Seismic surveys
2. Submit 3 bids– Block number– Amount offered to Government (“bonus”)
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Migration
Basin
Prospect
Play
Migration
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Prospect
Migration
ReservoirSeal
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Real Seismic
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
2D Seismic surveys
• A 2D Seismic survey is a cross section of the geological layers– along either a column or a row
• Is used for locating prospects• Look out for traps• Three separate geological layers
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
2D Seismic example
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Prospects
Top of sealing rock
Top of reservoir rock
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Cross-sections
Column
Row
Prospect, ReservoirBasin, Source
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Wells
179
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Remarks
• In OILSIM, there is only one type of trap: the four-way closure structural trap– in reality, there are several other types
• Three prospecting systems– 3. Eocene (1.500 m below seabed)– 2. Paleocene (2.500 m -)– 1. Cretaceous (3.500 m -)
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Common Risk Segment
• Prospect probability– Red: low– Orange: medium– Green: high
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Tips
• Use CRS to see which blocks to study
• Buy and study many 2D surveys• Focus on shallow water blocks
– It is cheaper to drill exploration wells in shallow water
– It is more economically viable to produce oil and gas in shallow water
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Enter bid
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Remarks
• Minimum bonus: 1000000• You will only get one licence• Highest bid gets the licence• If you lose on all three blocks, you
will get a random licence (of the ones that are left)
• Do submit 3 bids -> more KP’s and higher probability for success
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 2
• Submit your bid before the deadline
• After the deadline, all bids are evaluated, and each team gets one and only one licence
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 2 solved
• Every team has got one exploration licence
• Message sent to all teams with the results
• Knowledge Points: a measure of how prosperous the blocks the team bid for were
• Next step: Farm-in
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Farm-in & -out
• The headquarters of you company has evaluated the licence that you got awarded
• Although the possibility of finding oil is fair, the costs involved are large, and the headquarters wants you to spread the risk.
• This is accomplished by:– investing in other licences (farm-in), and– letting other invest in your licence (farm-out)
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.1 Farm-out
• Get other’s to invest 20% or more in your licence (“farm-out”)
• You can only send farm-in offers (!)– Offers to buy parts of other licences
• Procedure for farming in:1.Study 2D Seismic surveys
2.Submit one offer for each viable licence– Amount offered– Share wanted (in whole %)
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Farm-in
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Send an offer
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Partnerships
• Partners pay their share of all future costs incurred by the partnership.
• Partners receive their share of the net proceedings from any oil found on the licence
• The operator team takes all decisions regarding acquirement of 3D seismic, drilling of wells and testing of wells
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.1
• Study 2D seismic surveys of the other licences
• Submit your bids– Minimum amount 100,000 for 1%
• You are not allowed to drill before at least 20% of your licence has been farmed out
• You can farm-in & -out at any time• Partners in a block get all info about
drilled wells and discovered prospects
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.1
• Partnerships will be established every time a seller accepts an offer
• On the main page, you can see all the licences– The licences you operate– The licences you have invested in– Other licences
• Next task: order rig
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.2 Rig
• 3 rig types– Drillships– Semi-submersibles– Jack-up rigs
• Different water depths, Different day rates– Rig cost = drilling days * day rate
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Available Rigs
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Drilling days
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Drilling Depths
Seabed
3500 m below seabed
Layer 3
Layer 2
Layer 1
1500 m below seabed
2500 m below seabed
“water depth”
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Seabed Depth
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.2 Rigs
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Rigs
• Limited number of rigs available• You can order a rig
– use it within 20 minutes
• Not enough for all– Wait in a queue, if another team is
using the rig
• Rig day rates are dynamic
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.3 Providers
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Track Record
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Select Providers
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.4 Position
• You have to choose where to drill– Which cells?
• ..and how deep to drill– Either to the Eocene horizon– Through the Eocene to the Paleocene
horizon, – or through the Eocene, the Paleocene,
and to the Cretaceous horizon
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
3D Seismic
• Shows the structure:– in one (of the three) horizons– in one block
• Look out for “tops”– a top = a trap = a prospect
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
3D Seismic
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Three targets
Layer 1
Layer 2
Layer 3
Column 60, Row 79
Column 60, Row 78
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Select Positions
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Summary
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Drilling position 3
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Drilling position 2
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Conf. & Budget
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Drilling results
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Drilling result
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Task 3.5 Testing
• If you discover a field-> decide whether you want more information about that field
• You get more information by doing a production test (and other tests)
• Tests take 10 days per field• Tests have the same day-rate as the
drilling (you use the same providers)
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Test decision
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Field value
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Prospects
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Licence Value
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Appraisal
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Narrowing ranges
• First well:– 0 to 572 MBO (after drilling)– 11 to 266 MBO (after testing)– Proven volume: 11 MBO
• Second well– 11 to 233 MBO (after drilling)– 35 to 210 MBO– Proven volume: 35 MBO
Jens Petur Bærentsen SimprentisMarcos Monteferrante
Continue...
• Drill appraisal wells to narrow the uncertainty (get proven volumes)
• Drill into other prospects• Farm-in and -out• Two additional licensing rounds• Apply for more money, if you run
out of cash
• Winner: highest ROI