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Just Dial
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JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited
Strong operating metrics; Profit miss on
once-off spends
Just Dial’s (JD) revenue momentum (+29% YoY) and other operating metrics
remained strong in 1QFY15. Reported EBITDA, however, fell 6% YoY on
account of once-off spends on advertisements and data/content acquisition.
Key highlights: 1) 15,800 new campaigns added during the quarter (+25%
YoY) – significantly higher vs average addition of 13,900/qtr in FY14. Total
listings grew 48% YoY and 19% QoQ. 2) Realization grew 3% YoY/QoQ –
improved customer-mix and in part due to the price-hikes taken in 3QFY14.
3) Interestingly, JD is considering termination of its license agreement with
Justdial Global (a group company). This could potentially create new revenue
streams for JD (details below). Strength in JD’s 1Q business momentum re-
inforces its LT growth potential, in our view. Near-term, growth revival in the
economy and concomitant improvement in SME business sentiments could
drive JD’s business momentum higher.
Strong operating metrics: JD’s 1QFY15 net sales grew 29% to `1.35bn but
EBITDA declined 6% to `340mn (OPM of 25.2% vs 34.7% LY) on account of
once-off spends of `100mn relating to advertisements and data/content
acquisition. Reported net profit was flat at `281mn. Ex-once-off, EBITDA/net
profit grew 21%/25% respectively – broadly on expected lines. The company’s
efforts at increasing paid-listings (‘campaigns’) appears to be bearing fruit
with 15,800 net campaigns added during the quarter. Total listings grew 48%
YoY (14.1mn vs 9.5mn LY, 11.8mn at Mar’14); This, to us, reflects JD’s
success in penetrating tier-2/3 cities. Details on search/usage traffic, mobile
contribution etc still awaited from management. Employee expenses grew
38% - largely relatable to incremental manpower (23% growth in employee
strength) for the Search-Plus initiatives (20 services now live on the platform
vs 17 as at Mar’14) and to acquire more listings.
Global expansion under consideration; License agreement with JD Global
likely to be terminated: JD is looking at expansion of its services to global
markets with specific focus on EMs, where the potential for its kind of
services is huge. Separately, it is also considering termination of its license
agreement with Justdial Global (a group company) for operations in
US/Canada post which the license to operate in all geos would rest with JD.
These changes could, we believe, create additional revenue-streams for JD;
Value-capture from the same would, inter-alia, depend upon the terms of the
termination that would be arrived at and JD’s ability to execute a global ramp-
up successfully.
Management Conference Call on Monday, July 28th
: JD management would
be hosting a conference call on Monday, July 28th
at 6PM IST. The dial-in
numbers are: Mumbai: +91 22 6746 5860/3960 0760, USA: 1 866 746 2133,
UK: 0 808 101 1573, Singapore: 800 101 2045, HK: 800 964 448.
Saurabh Lohariwala
Tel: (91 22) 6630 3099
Just Dial | JUST IN
26 July 2014
India | Internet | Flash Update
Price: `1,626
JM Financial Research is also available on:
Bloomberg - JMFR <GO>, Thomson Publisher & Reuters.
Please see important disclosure at the end of the report
Just Dial 26 July 2014
JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 2
Exhibit 1: 1QFY15 results summary (` mn)
1QFY15 1QFY14 YoY Chg % 4QFY14 QoQ Chg % 1QFY15E % Variation
Net Sales 1,350 1,046 29% 1,242 9% 1,338 1%
Staff Costs 673 487 38% 625 8% 650 4%
Other Expenses 337 196 72% 243 39% 258 30%
EBITDA 340 363 -6% 374 -9% 430 -21%
EBITDA margin (%) 25% 35% 950 30% 0.0 32% 691
Depreciation 57 42 35% 44 31% 46 25%
Interest
0 0% 0 0%
0%
Other Income 97 73 33% 129 -25% 132 -26%
PBT 380 393 -3% 459 -17% 516 -26%
Tax 99 113 -13% 118 -16% 139 -29%
Reported Net Profit 281 280 0% 342 -18% 376 -25%
Net Profit Excluding Once-offs 351 280 25% 342 3% 376 -7%
PAT margin (%) 26% 27% 82 27% 0.0 28% 213
Reported EPS (Rs.) 4.0 4.0 0% 4.9 -18% 5.4 -25%
Source: Company, JM Financial
Exhibit 2: Operating performance
4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 YoY % QoQ %
No of listings (Mn) 9.1 9.5 10.1 10.8 11.8 14.1 48% 19%
No of campaigns 206,500 221,500 238,650 249,600 262,150 277,950 25% 6%
Net addition 11,400 15,000 17,150 10,950 12,550 15,800 5% 26%
Campaigns(% of listing) 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.0% -15% -11%
Revenue per campaigns 19,035 18,882 18,883 19,208 18,953 19,261 2% 2%
Source: Company, JM Financial
Exhibit 3: Revenue trend (` mn) Exhibit 4: EBITDA and OPM trend
817 876
952 983 1,046
1,127 1,199
1,242
1,350
-
400
800
1,200
1,600
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Net sales - Rs mn
31%28%
25%
28%
35%
31%
28%30%
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
0
100
200
300
400
500
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
EBITDA Rs mn EBITDA margin
33%
Source: Company, JM Financial Source: Company, JM Financial
Just Dial 26 July 2014
JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 3
Exhibit 5: Employee Benefits Expenses Exhibit 6: Other Expenses
50%
49%
47%
50%
47%
51%
50%50%
50%
44%
46%
48%
50%
52%
0
200
400
600
800
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Employee benefits expense Rs mn % of sales
20%
23%
26%
22%
19%
17%
22%
20%
25%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
100
200
300
400
1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15
Other expenses - Rs mn % of sales18%
Source: Company, JM Financial Source: Company, JM Financial
Just Dial 26 July 2014
JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 4
Financial Tables (Standalone)
Profit & Loss (` mn)
Y/E March FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Net sales (Net of excise) 2,621 3,628 4,613 6,019 7,655
Growth (%) 42.5 38.4 27.2 30.5 27.2
Other operational income 0 0 0 0 0
Raw material (or COGS) 0 0 0 0 0
Personnel cost 1,308 1,779 2,286 2,815 3,467
Other expenses (or
SG&A) 640 841 905 1,399 1,588
EBITDA 672 1,008 1,422 1,805 2,599
EBITDA (%) 25.7 27.8 30.8 30.0 34.0
Growth (%) 48.1 50.0 41.0 26.9 44.0
Other non-op. income 132 135 400 512 620
Depreciation and amort. 90 144 173 200 277
EBIT 714 1,000 1,649 2,117 2,942
Add: Net interest income 0 0 0 0 0
Pre tax profit 713 1,000 1,649 2,117 2,942
Taxes 209 300 443 571 809
Add: Extraordinary items 2 -15 0 0 0
Less: Minority interest 0 0 0 0 0
Reported net profit 506 685 1,206 1,545 2,133
Adjusted net profit 506 685 1,206 1,545 2,133
Margin (%) 19.3 18.9 26.1 25.7 27.9
Diluted share cap. (mn) 65 69 70 70 70
Diluted EPS (`) 7.8 9.9 17.2 22.0 30.4
Growth (%) 69.2 27.8 72.9 28.1 38.1
Total Dividend + Tax 0 0 163 245 326
Source: Company, JM Financial
Balance Sheet (` mn)
Y/E March FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Share capital 531 695 702 702 702
Other capital 0 8 0 0 0
Reserves and surplus 542 3,556 4,643 5,944 7,750
Networth 1,072 4,259 5,345 6,645 8,452
Total loans 0 0 0 0 0
Minority interest 0 0 0 0 0
Sources of funds 1,072 4,259 5,345 6,645 8,452
Intangible assets 30 88 82 86 91
Fixed assets 578 895 978 1,391 1,839
Less: Depn. and amort. 251 359 532 725 995
Net block 357 623 528 752 935
Capital WIP 3 0 0 0 0
Investments 1,568 4,858 6,257 7,383 9,155
Def tax assets/- liability 9 -9 -18 -20 -22
Current assets 540 593 865 984 1,257
Inventories 0 0 0 0 0
Sundry debtors 0 9 0 0 0
Cash & bank balances 237 239 370 392 538
Other current assets 40 27 35 35 35
Loans & advances 262 318 460 557 683
Current liabilities &
prov. 1,405 1,806 2,287 2,455 2,874
Current liabilities 1,392 1,787 2,103 2,187 2,522
Provisions and others 13 18 184 268 352
Net current assets -865 -1,213 -1,422 -1,471 -1,617
Others (net) 0 0 0 0 0
Application of funds 1,072 4,259 5,345 6,645 8,452
Source: Company, JM Financial
Cash flow statement (` mn)
Y/E March FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
Reported net profit 506 685 1,206 1,545 2,133
Depreciation and amort. 82 108 173 193 270
-Inc/dec in working cap. -5 14 14 22 26
Others 0 0 0 0 0
Cash from operations
(a) 583 807 1,393 1,760 2,428
-Inc/dec in investments -386 -3,290 -1,399 -1,126 -1,772
Capex -170 -371 -78 -417 -452
Others 400 335 326 49 267
Cash flow from inv. (b) -156 -3,325 -1,151 -1,495 -1,957
Inc/-dec in capital -387 2,502 42 0 0
Dividend+Tax thereon 0 0 -163 -245 -326
Inc/-dec in loans -1 0 0 0 0
Others 3 19 9 2 2
Financial cash flow ( c ) -386 2,521 -112 -243 -324
Inc/-dec in cash (a+b+c) 41 2 130 22 147
Opening cash balance 196 237 239 370 392
Closing cash balance 237 239 370 392 538
Source: Company, JM Financial
Key Ratios
Y/E March FY12A FY13A FY14E FY15E FY16E
BV/Share (`) 20.7 63.9 76.2 94.7 120.5
ROIC (%) 63.5 28.2 26.8 27.5 30.1
ROE (%) 49.9 25.7 25.1 25.8 28.3
Net Debt/equity ratio (x) -1.7 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -1.1
Valuation ratios (x)
PER NA NA 94.5 73.8 53.4
PBV 78.7 25.4 21.3 17.2 13.5
EV/EBITDA NA NA 75.5 58.8 40.1
EV/Sales 31.5 28.4 23.3 17.6 13.6
Turnover ratios (no.)
Debtor days 0 1 0 0 0
Inventory days 0 0 0 0 0
Creditor days NA NA NA NA NA
Source: Company, JM Financial
Just Dial 26 July 2014
JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 5
JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited
(Formerly known as JM Financial Institutional Securities Private Limited)
Corporate Identity Number: U65192MH1995PLC092522
Member, BSE Limited and National Stock Exchange of India Limited
SEBI Registration Nos.: BSE - INB011296630 & INF011296630, NSE - INB231296634 & INF231296634
Registered Office: 7th Floor, Cnergy, Appasaheb Marathe Marg, Prabhadevi, Mumbai 400 025, India.
Board: +9122 6630 3030 | Fax: +91 22 6630 3488 | Email: [email protected] | www.jmfl.com
Analyst(s) Certification
The research analyst(s), with respect to each issuer and its securities covered by them in this research report, certify that:
All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect his or her or their personal views about all of the issuers and their securities; and
No part of his or her or their compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report.
I.
Analyst(s) holding in the Stock(s): (Nil) II.
III.
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