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© Mark Godfrey Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. & Christina Kennedy Ph.D.

Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

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Page 1: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

© Mark Godfrey

Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D.

&

Christina Kennedy Ph.D.

Page 2: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Business as

Usual

oil

gas

coal bio-

electric biofuels wind

Page 3: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Business as

Usual

Cap and

Trade

oil

gas

coal bio-

electric biofuels wind

conservation

Page 4: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,
Page 5: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Avoid

Minimize

Restore

Offset

Enabling Conditions Supporting

Mitigation

• Government mitigation policy (US,

EU, Australia, S Africa, Brazil,

Colombia, others)

• Corporate policy (NPI goal)

• Standards of Financial Institutions

(IFC, EBRD)

Page 6: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,
Page 7: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Shortcomings of Site Based Mitigation

Wetland mitigation site

in Salem, Oregon

Page 8: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Other Conservation $ Offsets $

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Millions

$U

S

Conservation at a Game-Changing Scale

Wyoming

WY

Wildlife

and

Natural

Resource

Trust

2 mitigation

Projects

Colombia

Protected

Area

budget

Mitigation $

from one

mine

United States 0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Millions

$U

S

LWCF

NPS

Annual wetlands

and T/E

mitigation $

Page 9: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Biodiversity

breakeven point

No

ne

t lo

ss

fo

r b

iod

ive

rsit

y

Net

po

sit

ive

ou

tpu

t

for

bio

div

ers

ity

+

-

(Zero impact)

Anticipated

impacts

Residual

impacts

Avoided

impacts

Minimize/

Restore

Avoided

impacts

Impact

offset

Avoided

impacts

Positive contributions

to biodiversity

Siz

e o

f o

ffse

t

Residual

impacts

From Kiesecker et al. 2009

Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset

Minimize/

Restore

TIME

Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink, B. McKenney J. Dahlke, M. Holloran and D. Stroud 2009 A Framework for Implementing

Biodiversity Offsets: Selecting Sites and Determining Scale. BioScience 59:77-84.

Kiesecker, J.M., H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, B. McKenney 2010. Development by Design: Blending Landscape Level Planning with the

Mitigation Hierarchy. Frontiers In Ecology and the Environment 8: 261-266

“Early warning” & planning:

development projects and

conservation priorities

Selection of offset

portfolio & accounting

for no net loss

Page 10: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Avoid

Minimize

Restore

Offset

Development by Design (DbD) is an

overarching framework for effectively applying

the mitigation hierarchy

Core applications of DbD framework

1.When should project impacts be

avoided vs. offset?

2.How should offsets be selected?

3.How much is enough?

Page 11: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

FINE FILTER

Species

Other Goals i.e. Ecosystem Services

(X) Acres of habitat needed to maintain viability

( Y ) Acres of habitat or point locations (i.e. nests)

needed to maintain viability

Select BIODIVERSITY ELEMENTS Set GOALS

assess ECOLOGICAL CONDITION Conservation Portfolio Design:

Development Portfolio Design: Cost / Suitability Index

•Road & RR Density

• Population Density

• Converted Land Cover

• Irrigated Land Cover

• Housing density

Future development pressure

automated

site selection

(MARXAN with ZONES)

Development by Design Process

COARSE FILTER

Vegetation Types

( Z ) Amount of production

Page 12: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,
Page 13: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Sage-grouse Breeding populations

Identify spatial overlap between energy development and

core areas for sage-grouse.

Page 14: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Build-out

example

Authorized

Leases

w/ stips

Oil and Gas

Prediction

Surface

RFD #’s by

Field Office

Expected

new wells

per lease

OGCC

allowable

density

Run multiple scenarios varying RFD

Use build-out scenarios to estimate and visualize the potential

future spatial pattern of development

7-19% decline in Sage Grouse

Page 15: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Infrastructure/Mining/Oil & Gas in Mongolia

Page 16: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Mitigation Planning

For

Development

in the

Eastern Steppe

of

Mongolia

Page 17: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

added

removed

Хамгаалах газрын багц

Conservation Priorities

30% goal

Page 18: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,
Page 19: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Key Habitats

Page 20: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Development by Design for Wind

AVOID

OFFSET

No Mitigation

Page 21: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Development by Design for Wind

Mitigation Costs

Grassland

Prairie chicken

Playa lakes

Based on actual costs of restoring and protecting

Page 22: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Development by Design for Wind

MITIGATION COSTS

Page 23: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,
Page 24: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,

Kiesecker, JM, H Copeland, A Pocewicz, N Nibbelink, B McKenney, J Dahlke, M Holloran, and D Stroud 2009. A framework for implementing

biodiversity offsets: selecting sites and determining scale. BioScience 59:77-84

Kiesecker, JM, H Copeland, A Pocewicz, and B McKenney 2010. Development by Design: Blending Landscape Level Planning with the Mitigation

Hierarchy. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 8: 261-266

Copeland HE, Doherty KE, Naugle DE, Pocewicz A, Kiesecker JM (2009) Mapping Oil and Gas Development Potential in the US Intermountain West

and Estimating Impacts to Species. PLoS ONE 4(10): e7400. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0007400

McDonald R, Fargione J, Kiesecker J, Miller WM, Powell J (2009) Energy sprawl or energy efficiency: climate policy impacts on natural habitat for the

United States of America. PLOS One 4: 8.

McKenney, B. Kiesecker J.M. 2010. Policy Development for Biodiversity Offsets: A Review of Offset Frameworks. Environmental Management 45:165–

176.

Sochi, K. Evans, J. and J. M. Kiesecker . 2010. Conservation in the Wyoming Basins Ecoregion: Planning Today by Assessing Future Scenarios . Gap

Analysis Bulletin 17: 23-25

Doherty KE, DE Naugle, H Copeland, A Pocewicz, and JM Kiesecker 2009 Energy development and conservation tradeoffs: systematic planning for

sage-grouse in their eastern range. Studies in Avian Biology In Press

Copeland, HE, A Pocewicz, and J Kiesecker (In Press) Geography of energy development in Western North America: Potential impacts to terrestrial

ecosystems. Chapter in: Energy development and wildlife conservation in Western North America (Edited by DE Naugle)

Copeland, HE, KE Doherty, DE Naugle, A Pocewicz, and J Kiesecker (In Press) Forecasting development scenarios to aid in conservation design.

Chapter in: Energy development and wildlife conservation in Western North America (Edited by DE Naugle)

Kiesecker, JM, H Copeland, B McKenney, A Pocewicz, and K Doherty (In Press) Energy by Design: Making mitigation work for conservation and

development. Chapter in: Energy development and wildlife conservation in Western North America (Edited by DE Naugle)

Kiesecker, J.M. McKenney, B. Copeland, H. and D. Stroud. (In Prep) Accounting 101: Assessing no-net-loss for biodiversity offsets. Target Journal:

Conservation Biology

Kiesecker JM, Evans JS, Fargione J, Doherty K, Foresman KR, et al. (2011) Win-Win for Wind and Wildlife: A Vision to Facilitate Sustainable

Development. PLoS ONE 6(4): e17566. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0017566

Evans, J. Kiesecker, J.M. Fargione, J. et al. Mapping human disturbance for bio diver conservation in the contiguous US. Target Journal: Conservation

Letters

Obermeyer B, Manes R, Kiesecker J, Fargione J, and K Sochi. 2011. Development by Design: Mitigation of Wind Development’s Impacts on Wildlife in

Kansas. PLoS One 6(10): e26698. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0026698

Development by Design Publications:

Page 25: Joseph Kiesecker Ph.D. Christina Kennedy Ph.D. · From Kiesecker et al. 2009 Avoid Minimize/Restore Offset Minimize/ Restore TIME Kiesecker, J.M, H. Copeland, A. Pocewicz, N. Nibbelink,