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JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011

JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

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Page 1: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference

David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer12 January 2011

Page 2: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

GSK performance through patent cliff + Avandia

GSK patent cliff + Avandia2006-2009

5,000

6,000

PaxilReQuipFlonase

£5.4bn (23% of GSK’s total turnover)

4,000

FlonaseImitrexZofranCoregLamictalWellbutrinel

ecte

d pr

oduc

ts

2,000

3,000 Avandia

£1.2bn

S tu

rnov

er fo

r se

1,000

(4% of GSK’s total turnover)

US

2

0

2006 2009CER growth rates. Total franchise turnover included above; Business Performance EPS excludes major restructurings.

Page 3: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

GSK performance through patent cliff + Avandia

+9% +2%-3%

+3%

20

25

30

Turnover £bn

GSK patent cliff + Avandia2006-2009

+19% +10% -9%+2%

120140

152005 2006 2007 2008 2009

5,000

6,000

PaxilReQuipFlonase

£5.4bn (23% of GSK’s total turnover)

EPS+19% +10%

020406080

100

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

penc

e

4,000

FlonaseImitrexZofranCoregLamictalWellbutrinel

ecte

d pr

oduc

ts

FCF2 0003,0004,0005,0006,000

£bn2,000

3,000 Avandia

£1.2bn

S tu

rnov

er fo

r se

01,0002,000

2005 2006 2007 2008 20091,000

(4% of GSK’s total turnover)

US

Dividend

3

penc

e0

2006 2009CER growth rates. Total franchise turnover included above; Business Performance EPS excludes major restructurings.

Page 4: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

GSK’s strategic priorities

Grow a diversified global businessGrow a diversified global business

Deliver more products of value

Simplify the operating modelSimplify the operating model

4

Page 5: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Grow a diversified global business

Drive & diversify small molecule Rx business

Prophylacticvaccines

Therapeuticvaccines

BiopharmVaccines Globalise & innovate consumer brands

PharmaPharmaLeverage current & future vaccines portfolio

Emergingmarket OTC

Consumer

Deliver Biopharm R&D pipeline

brands OTC

Oral care/nutritionals

Launch past, present, future portfolio in Japan

nutritionalsStrengthen Emerging Markets business

5

Page 6: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Turnover growth +4% despite decline in US Pharma

+5%

+15%

US

Rest of Pharma£0.7bn

Asia Pac/J Ph

Consumer £3.7bn

+17% -7%

US Pharma£5.8bn

Emerging Markets Pharma

Japan Pharma£2.3bn

EuropePharma£4.9bn

Markets Pharma£2.6bn

+24%ViiV(HIV)

£1 2bn

+3%

£1.2bn-2%

CER growth rates; Business performance

3%

GSK 3Q YTD 2010 Turnover £21.2bn +4%6

Page 7: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Underlying turnover +5% 3Q10 YTD

Total reported +4%

% Change CER 3Q10 YTD

£ million

21 195Total reported

Avandia

+4%

-33%

21,195

391

Pandemic*

Valtrex

>100%

-60%

1,141

436

Total excl. Pandemic,Avandia, Valtrex +5%19,227

* Pandemic includes includes Relenza and vaccines related to H5N1 pre-pandemic and H1N1 pandemic. 7

Page 8: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Investment businesses reaching significant scale and delivering sustained growth

30% of GSK sales generated from expansion markets

Derm: 4% of GSK+5% 3Q10 YTD

Cx: 19% of GSK

Vx: 11% of GSK+7% 3Q10 YTD

+2% in 2009Resp: 26% of GSK

+4% 3Q10 YTD+5% 3Q10 YTD

+7% in 2009

4% 3Q10 YTD+5% in 2009

CER growth rates% of GSK based on 3Q10 YTD excluding pandemic products; vaccines growth excludes pandemic vaccine; (including pandemic FY’09 +30%;3Q10 YTD +51%); derm growth rate is proforma Expansion markets = Emerging markets / Asia Pac / Japan & Central & Eastern Europe (Rx +Cx) 8

Page 9: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Creating a broader portfolio of potential high value assets as generic exposure declines

Horizant

Benlysta

PotigaNew products 3Q10 YTD

£1 25b +36% (+55% l di R t i 27%)

MenhibrixHorizant£1.25bn +36% (+55% excluding Rotarix -27%)

Pandemic vaccine also added £1.0bn

2008 2010/112007 2009CER growth rates

9

Page 10: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Pipeline maturing while maintaining ~30 assets in late-stage development

Six assets moved into late stageSix assets moved into late-stageZoster

(herpes)

B f*

Integrase ‘572(HIV)

MEK*

Prosensa PRO051*(DMD)

‘786 (T fi )*

Two Rare Diseases assets added to the late-stage pipeline

Braf*(melanoma)

MEK*(melanoma)

‘786 (Traficet)*(Crohn’s Disease)

Two Rare Diseases assets added to the late-stage pipelineEx vivo stem cell

gene therapy(ADA-SCID)

Amigal(Fabry disease)

More to come with data expected on many key assets in 2011-12

10* Commitment to PIII decision made; first patient expected to be dosed shortly

Page 11: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Increasing externalisation in early R&D

More than 80 active projects from ~50 external engines

38 internal i

Tempero Pharmaceuticals

engines

Alveonix Pentraxin Pentraxin

TherapeuticsUCL Institute of Ophthalmology

11

Page 12: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Bolt-on acquisitions and partnerships

17 deals undertaken across the business since May 2008

Emerging Markets/Asia Pacific/Japan VaccinesPharma

Egypt /Pakistan /Near East

EM/APWalvax

ConsumerAlgeria Korea Japan

AZ TikaArgentina

12

Page 13: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Why we are successful with our bolt-on strategy

Strong strategic alignment with key growth areas: Emerging Markets, Vaccines, Consumer, Rare Diseases

Rigorous financial metrics: IRR and ROIC

Selective and choosy: majority of deals are not pursuedSelective and choosy: majority of deals are not pursued

Disciplined integration and strong governance:Board focus and review of post-acquisition performanceGSK ‘fusion’ approach developed to manage integration

13

Page 14: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Re-energising GSK’s dermatology business –Stiefel acquisition

Key growth levers create a great platform for the future:

+6% pro forma growth in 3Q10

Geographic expansion

g p

6% pro forma growth in 3Q10~40% operating margin in 3Q10#1 dermatology companyStrong brand with global presenceCombined global sales ~£1.0bn

Portfolio and pipeline

gExpert management team in placeCost synergies – manufacturing; admin Business development

Transaction closed July 2009 14

Page 15: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

New HIV company launched November 2009

10 marketed products10 marketed productsCombined revenue >£1.6bnSignificant pipeline opportunities; 4 in Phase II, 1 in Phase IIIGlobal, lean, agile, entrepreneurial, focused Leverages infrastructure of GSK and Pfizer

Combined revenue estimated based on 2009 actual sales 15

Page 16: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff

Delivering on the strategy

Diverse geographic and business mix

Reducing product concentrationReducing product concentration

R&D pipeline optionality

Focus on cost reduction

Reducing legal exposure

Strong cash generation

Return cash to shareholders

16

Page 17: JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference - gsk.com · JP Morgan 2011 Healthcare Conference David Redfern, Chief Strategy Officer 12 January 2011. GSK performance through patent cliff