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J P Morgan Conference J.P. Morgan Conference September 30, 2010 Edinburgh Edinburgh Graeme Liebelt M i Di t & CEO Managing Director & CEO For personal use only

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Page 1: JP Morgan Conference 2010 FINAL.ppt

J P Morgan ConferenceJ.P. Morgan ConferenceSeptember 30, 2010EdinburghEdinburgh

►Graeme Liebelt►M i Di t & CEO►Managing Director & CEO

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Orica presentation outlineOrica presentation outline

1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2 Favourable industry characteristics2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational culture

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1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational cultureg g

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Orica – 3 market leading platforms

W ld’ l di li Gl b l k t l d i A l di li fWorld’s leading supplier of commercial explosives and blasting systems

C t i i i

Global market leader in strata support systems, ventilation, water control and geotechnical solutions

A leading supplier of cyanide for use in gold extraction

A t li d NCustomers in mining, quarrying and infrastructure markets

and geotechnical solutions

Customers in underground mining and tunnelling

Australia and New Zealand’s largest supplier of chemical products to mining, water treatment tunnelling mining, water treatment and other industrial markets

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A global company

Orica employs more than 14,000 people with operations in over 50 countries and customers in over 100 countries

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Orica’s business evolution

Major acquisitions, investments and divestments of non-core assets have sharpened Orica’s focus on the mining services sectorhave sharpened Orica s focus on the mining services sector

Acquisitions and Dyno

N b l Minova Excel Samex Bontang Nanling Ruichy Black Acquisitions and

Acquisitions and Dyno

N b l Minova Excel Samex Bontang Nanling Ruichy Black and investments Nobel Minova Excel Samex Bontang Nanling Ruichy Explosives

and investments

and investments Nobel Minova Excel Samex Bontang Nanling Ruichy Explosives

2006 2007 2008 2009 20102006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Divestments/Demergers Qenos Incitec

PivotAdhesives & Resins

DuluxGroupDivestments/Demergers

Divestments/Demergers Qenos Incitec

PivotAdhesives & Resins

DuluxGroup

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Note: Years refer to Orica’s financial years (ending 30 September)

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Orica’s earnings mix – a mining focus

Orica’s portfolio is now predominantly focused on mining services sectors

EBIT (2005) EBIT (2009) *

Other Non‐ Other Non-Other NonMining32%

Other Non-Mining12%

Mining53%

Mining53%

DuluxGroup

g88%

DuluxGroup15%

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* EBIT (excluding individually material items) for Orica excluding DuluxGroup

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Orica’s business strategy

Capitalise on and extend global leadership in the provision of high

Orica s business strategy

service, critical consumables to the mining and infrastructure markets

Focussed on attractive segments of the mining value chain

Leveraged to increases in production and development volumes

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Business overview – Orica Mining ServicesSales 2009FY $4.0B

Business Characteristics

Sales 2009FY $4.0B

Clear global leader in a A$16B (approx) commercial explosives market

O l i l l i id ith l b l f t i tOnly commercial explosives provider with a global footprint

Privileged assets and strong manufacturing position

Market leading technology with R&D investment 7-8 times other industry players

Superior application experience and technical knowledge

Global number 1 with superior product offering and market leading technology

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Business overview – MinovaSales 2009FY $0.9B

Business Characteristics

Sales 2009FY $0.9B

Clear global leader in a A$7B (approx) underground stabilisation market

Recognised brand and strong reputation with globalRecognised brand and strong reputation with global geographic footprint

Comprehensive and superior product suiteComprehensive and superior product suite

Well positioned in emerging markets

I d f t h l d i tiIncreased focus on technology and innovation

Low capital intensity and high cash conversion

Global number 1 with the largest and most comprehensive product range

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Business overview – Orica Mining ChemicalsSales 2009FY $0.3B

Business Characteristics

Sales 2009FY $0.3B

Leading producer and global supplier of cyanide and other chemicals to the mining industry

World scale sodium cyanide manufacturing facility with scope for future expansion

Customer value-add through technical support and innovative supply chain

Committed to safe and efficient international supply chainCommitted to safe and efficient international supply chain –ISO 9002 and foundation signatory to International Cyanide Management Code

Leading global producer well positioned for above average growth

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1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational cultureg g

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Industry characteristics

Attractive industry structure – considerable consolidation over the last decade

High growth in commodity volumes, driven by industrialisation and urbanisation

Declining ore grades and increasing strip ratios

Strong growth in tunnelling

Mine safety standards lifting rapidly

Greater focus on efficiency and productivity driving demand for innovative products

Favourable industry characteristics and strong growth potential

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Urbanisation in China a strong driver of commodity growth

Tiered city structure – 2005123

Urbanisation rate for selected countriesPercentPercent

Tiered city structure – 2025123

► Tier 1 city defined as registered population >4.5 m and GDP/capita >USD3,000, ► Tier 2 city defined as either registered population >4.5 m or GDP/capita >USD3,000

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► Tier 3 city defined as registered population 1.5-4.5 m and GDP/capita USD1,500-3,000

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Strong growth in global commodity volumes

7 0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

% C

AG

R

6.0%

4.3%5.0%

4.0%

5.2%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

mne

gro

wth

1.1%1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

Volu

m

0.0%Thermal Coal Metallurgical

CoalIron Ore Copper Other Base

MetalGold

Above average GDP growth in most commodities

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Sources: Wood Mackenzie and CRU

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Strip ratios and ore grade

Consumption of Orica products is impacted by volume of material moved not volume of commodity extractedy

Trend to higher strip ratios and lower ore grades will drive growth higher than growth in underlying commodities

GLOBAL SODIUM CYANIDE DEMANDIndex (2009 = Average Ore Grade (gm/Tonne)

The growth rate in global gold ore production is reflected in cyanide demand

600

800

00 tn

CAGR 4.4%

80

100

120

140

(100)

0 60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1

200

400

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

'00

0

20

40

60

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 20140.00

0.20

0.40

0.601

Higher strip ratios and lower ore grades driving increased demand

Global Gold Ore Production (LHS) Global Ore Grade gpt (RHS)

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AN growth versus mine output

Australian AN Demand versus Mine Output (Relative Performance Base = 100)

1000

1200CAGR 8%

600

800

AN Demand

200

400 Mine OutputCAGR 4%

0

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

2005

2007

2009

Higher growth in AN demand

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Tunnelling and infrastructure

Of the ~1,070 km/year of planned global tunnels for the next 15 yearsglobal tunnels for the next 15 years ~37% will be constructed in China, which equates to ~6,000km of road and rail tunnels

Other national projects require major t lli d d dtunnelling and underground construction, including West to East gas pipelines, South to North water diversion and National strategic oil reserves

High market growth in Asia tunnelling

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1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational cultureg g

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Multiple avenues for growth

1. Expansion in manufacturingp g

AN expansion – Indonesia and Kooragang Island

Sodium cyanide expansion - Yarwun

Resin and bolt capacity expansion

Future AN opportunities – LATAM and Yarwun

2 Geographic expansion2. Geographic expansion

Africa

ChinaChina

Eastern Europe

3. Technical and service innovation

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Technology and innovation – a competitive edge

Technology leadership supported by extensive research partnerships and p palliances

Next generation initiating systems –revolutionary wireless boosters

Next generation chemicals and bolts -i l di Thi S d Li Q i kb ltincluding Thin Sprayed Liner, Quickbolt

Investment in leading edge technology companies e g 25% ownership of FiRePcompanies e.g. 25% ownership of FiReP

World class bolt R&D centre to be opened in October 2010

Differentiation through investment in technology and innovation

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1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational cultureg g

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Financial discipline – our guiding principles

Aim for top quartile returnsCorporate Target

Aim for top quartile returns

Maintain BBB+ credit rating

Financial Hurdle Target 15% IRR on investments

Business Imperatives

Gross margin growth

Productivity

Cash conversion

Disciplined growth and financial management

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Gross margin growth

A$M

g g

+16.4%+16.2%

+10.7%

2,8003,2003,600

0.1%+13.9% +4.3% +7.6%

1 2001,6002,0002,400

Half 2

Half 1

0400800

1,200

02002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Compound average growth rate from 2002 to 2009 of 10%

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Productivity 1

85%

78.9%

75.1%

80%

69.8%

72.8%73.2%74.0%

69.0%68 5%

70%

75%

68.5%

65%

60%2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Continuous improvement in productivity

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1 Productivity is measured as fixed costs (incl. depreciation and amortisation) as a percentage of gross margin.

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Net profit after tax 1p

A$M

+15.0%+12.9%

650

750

+4.4%+11.8%

+20 5%

+30.9%

450

550

Half 2

Half 1

+13.0%+20.5%

250

350 +11.0%2

50

150

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Compound average growth rate from 2002 to 2009 of 15%

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1 Pre individually material items2 H1 2010 versus H1 2009

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Focus on cash conversion – improvements in working capital

19.0%

20.0%

17.0%

18.0%

19.0%

es %

14.0%

15.0%

16.0%

ng T

WC

/ Sa

le

12.0%

13.0%Rol

lin

10.0%

11.0%

HY02 FY02 HY03 FY03 HY04 FY04 HY05 FY05 HY06 FY06 HY07 FY07 HY08 FY08 HY09 FY09 HY10

Solid improvements in trade working capital management

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Progressive dividends

120

DPScents/share

+5.6% +3.2%+20.3%100

120

+18.2%

+4.4% +4.2%+30.8%

60

80

20

40

0

20

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Continuous growth in dividends per share

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1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational cultureg g

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Values driven organisation

Our four "Deliver the Promise" principles support our performance-based culture:

Safety, Health and the Environment

Working Togetherg g

Commercial Ownership

Creative Customer Solutions

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Safety focusy

Full Year Full Year2009 2008

AWRCR 1 0.69 0.72

Recordable cases 146 144

Distribution incidents 43 24Distribution incidents 43 24

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1 All Worker Recordable Case Rate is calculated as the number of injuries and illnesses per 200,000 hours worked.

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Safety benchmarking

2.5Injury Rate (Recordable)

1 5

2

1

1.5

0.5

02000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Orica BHP Billiton Rio Tinto DuPont Dow BASFOrica BHP Billiton Rio Tinto DuPont Dow BASF

Continued focus on long-term, sustainable improvements in safety performance

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Sustainability

Challenge 2010 AchievementsChallenge 2010 Achievements

Versus 2004 BaselineEnergy efficiency 19% improvementgy y p

Greenhouse gas emissions 46% reduction

Water consumption 37% reduction

Waste generation 68% reduction

Challenge 2010 targets exceeded. Continued focus on a sustainable future.

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Why Invest In Orica?Why Invest In Orica?

1. Leading market positions and clear strategy

2 Favourable industry characteristics2. Favourable industry characteristics

3. Significant long-term growth opportunities

4. Financial discipline and strong earnings performance

5. Strong organisational culture

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Questions

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A diAppendix

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Business dimensions2009FY: Sales of A$7.4B, EBIT (pre individually material items) of $1.1B and NPAT (pre individually material items) of A$646M

Chemicals Oth

Businesses (2009) 1 Geographies (2009) 2

Chemicals Group16.0%

Australia

Europe16.0%

Other1.0%

Minova14.0%

Australia38.0%

Latin America

13.0%

Mining Services New North70.0% Zealand

3.0%Asia

10.0%

North America

19.0%

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1. EBIT (excluding individually material items) excluding DuluxGroup and Corporate Costs for the financial year ended 30 September 20092. EBIT (excluding individually material items) for Orica excluding DuluxGroup for the financial year ended 30 September 2009

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Broad End Market Diversity

Broad end market diversity across commodities and customer type reduces earnings volatility

Customer Exposure * Commodity Exposure *

Quarries & Construction

19%Thermal coal

29%Q i &

Other9%

Open Cut

29%Quarries & Construction

19%

52%

Underground29% Copper

Met coal9%

13%

Gold18%

9%Iron ore

3%

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* 2010F Orica Mining Revenue

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Manufacturing Expansion Opportunities Indonesia – Bontang AN Project•Construction of a 300ktpa AN plant•Construction of a 300ktpa AN plant•Project approximately 65% complete•Commissioning planned for late 2011•Total project cost of approximately US$550M

Australia•Yarwun sodium cyanide uprate•Proposed uprate to 95ktpa capacity (from 80ktpa) at a cost of approximately A$25M

•Kooragang Island AN expansion•Proposed uprate to 750ktpa capacity (from 430ktpa)•Likely timing of 2014/2015Project cost approximately A$600M $750M

Peru - AN Manufacturing•Working on several options for AN capacity expansion in Latin AmericaP f d l ti i M P

China – Initiating Systems•Joint Venture (Orica 51%) with Nanling to manufacture specific non-electric d t t f th Chi

•Project cost approximately A$600M-$750M

•Kooragang Island ammonia uprate•Uprate of 65ktpa at cost of approximately A$110M

•Preferred location is Marcona, Peru•Project would include a world scale AN plant (300ktpa)

detonators for the Chinese underground & tunnelling markets•Planned commissioning in 2011 at a cost of approximately A$100M

•Planned commissioning in late 2011 •Uprated capacity will be sufficient to support the proposed AN plant expansion to 750ktpa

•Yarwun AN expansionYarwun AN expansion•Opportunity to further uprate Yarwun AN facility (currently 570kt) as demand requires

Significant organic growth opportunities

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Strong balance sheet and disciplined capital management

Half year ended 31 March 2010 2009Half year ended 31 March 2010 2009

Net Debt (A$M) 1,228.9 1,477.0

$Net Interest Expense (A$M) 70.6 71.5

Interest Cover (times) 7.0 6.6

Operating Cash ($) 268.8 217.3

Cash Conversion 1 (%) 86.2 73.4

Rolling TWC to Rolling Sales (%) 13.5 14.6

Gearing (%) 24.9 25.7

1 Cash conversion is calculated as EBITDA add/less movement in trade working capital less sustenance capital spend, as a percentage of EBITDA. 2 Gearing recalculated with Hybrid shares notionally reclassified as 50% equity and 50% debt.

Gearing Adjusted 2 (%) 29.9 30.0

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Debt profile

Debt Maturity Profile (at 31 March 2010)Drawn Debt

A$M Drawn Undrawn Total

< 1 year 524 - 524

1 2 years 784 784

a ebt

Bank Loans $190M

Other $63M

1 – 2 years - 784 784

2 – 5 years 205 1,366 1,571

> 5 years 774 - 774Commercial Paper $244M

Total 1,503 2,150 3,653USPP $1,006M

Paper $244M

Investment grade rating BBB+

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DisclaimerThis presentation has been prepared by Orica Limited. The information contained in this presentation is for informational purposes only. The information contained in this presentation is not investment or financial product advice and is not intended to be used as the basis for making an i d i i Thi i h b d i h ki i h investment decision. This presentation has been prepared without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person.

N t ti t i li d i d t th f i No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information, opinions and conclusions contained in this presentation. To the maximum extent permitted by law, none of Orica Limited, its directors, employees or agents, nor any other person accepts any liability, including, without limitation, any p y g , y p p y y, g, , yliability arising out of fault or negligence, for any loss arising from the use of the information contained in this presentation. In particular, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is given as to the accuracy, completeness or correctness, likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forecasts prospects or returns contained in this presentation Such forecasts prospects or of any forecasts, prospects or returns contained in this presentation. Such forecasts, prospects or returns are by their nature subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies.

Before making an investment decision you should consider with or without the assistance of a Before making an investment decision, you should consider, with or without the assistance of a financial adviser, whether an investment is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs, objectives and financial circumstances. Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

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