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June 6, 2017 Meeting
“The mission of the Boston Green Ribbon Commission is to convene
leaders from Boston’s key sectors to support the outcomes of the City’s
Climate Action Plan.”
GRC CORE STRATEGIES
City of Boston Climate Action Plan
Climate Ready Boston Carbon Free Boston
Develop strategies for Boston and its metro region to prosper in the face of long-term climate change
impacts.
Develop strategies for Boston to reach its goal of a carbon neutrality
by 2050.
1. Climate Consensus2. Vulnerability Assessment3. Resilience Initiatives4. Implementation Roadmap
1. Pathways and Policy Analysis2. Stakeholder Input3. Strategy Selection4. Implementation Plan
2
MEETING AGENDA
8:00 Welcome
8:o5 Dialogue with Gina McCarthy, former EPA Administrator
8:35 Dialogue with Senator Michael Barrett, Chair, Joint Committee on Telecommunications, Utilities and Energy
8:55 Climate Ready Boston
9:10 Health Care Case Study in Successful Sector Emissions Reductions
9:25 Carbon Free Boston
9:50 Mayor’s Carbon Cup Presentation
10:00 Adjourn
3
4
THANKYOU, CHANCELLOR MOTLEY!
J. Keith MotleyChancellor, U Mass BostonGRC Member, 2010 - 2017
5
WELCOME TO OUR NEW GRC MEMBER
Carole Wedge, President Shepley Bulfinch
Gina McCarthy, former EPA Administrator
GUEST SPEAKER
“How Cities and States Can Lead on Climate Action in the Current Political
Context”
6
Senator Michael BarrettChair, Joint Committee on Telecommunications,
Utilities and Energy
GUEST SPEAKER
“Opportunities for Commonwealth Leadership”
7
CLIMATE READY BOSTON:MOVING AHEAD ON IMPLEMENTATION
Bud Ris, Co-ChairGRC Climate Preparedness Working Group
8
32
CLIMATE READY BOSTON PHASE II
Implementation is Ramping Up:
• CRB Phase I: approximately $1 million
• CRB Phase II: approximately $2.3 million
Key Initiatives:
• District Scale Resilience Planning
• Feasibility of Outer Harbor Coast Protection
• Governance/Finance
• Outreach re CRB Findings/Recommendations
• Implementation Scoreboard to Monitor Progress
10
CLIMATE READY BOSTON PHASE II
City of Boston: District Scale Resilience Planning• East Boston• Charlestown• Seaport• Dorchester
U Mass Boston: Outer Harbor Coastal Protection Feasibility
SECTOR CLIMATE PROGRESS
Health Care Working Group
June 6, 2017
Coordinated by
• Illness, injury, mortality• Aggravates preexisting conditions• Infectious, water & food-borne disease• Mental health and conflict• Population displacement• Food insecurity & instability• All worse for vulnerable populations• Facility and community vulnerability
12Sources: Sabbir, Wikimedia Commons, USDA, NOAA, PSR
HEALTH CARE IS ON THE FRONT LINES OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Our response:
The Threat:
• Prepare clinically• Reduce our greenhouse gas emissions• Increase facility and community resilience
RECENT PROGRESS AND FUTURE GOALS
• Our recent renewable energy purchases are delivering a 33% GHG reduction for the entire metro Boston health care sector, and we’re moving forward…
• Boston Medical Center: 92-100% carbon neutral for all energy by 2018.
• Partners HealthCare: “net carbon positive” by 2025, including supporting additional renewable energy so the surplus is available to the communities in which we operate.
13
Making Progress: Energy Conservation, Renewables & Zero
Emission SourcingReaching for a 25% Energy Reduction
Beginning 2016:• 77% low impact hydro• 11% wind & solar• 8% large hydro• 4% nuclear
100% Clean Electricity
Renewable & Zero Emission Electricity
14
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
25% Reduction Target
79%
INVESTMENTS GENERATE $130M SAVINGS OVER 20 YEARS
Equivalent to New Patient Revenue @ $20 per Dollar Saved = $2.6 billion
$-
$5,000,000
$10,000,000
$15,000,000
$20,000,000
$25,000,000
$30,000,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Energy Costs
Current Projection 3% Business as Usual Projection
15
NET-ZERO MADE POSSIBLE BY OFFSITE PPA FOR SOLAR
16
BY 2020 FOLLOWING 2011-2015 TRENDS, SECTOR GHG REDUCED 13% ABSOLUTE, 27% COMPARED TO BUSINESS AS
USUAL
Absolute -6.3
Compared to 1.5%
BAU -12.4
27% by 2020
13% by 2020
-2.1-4.6 -9.3 -12.4
0.94-3.1 -4.7 -6.3
0
0
City of Boston 2020
GHG Emission
Reduction Goal = 25%
22M sq. ft of Boston health care buildings
Sector energy savings equivalent to >$300M in new patient revenue
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Without BAU -5.7 -7.1 -8.5 -9.9 -11.3 -12.8
With 1.5% BAU -11.8 -14.8 -17.7 -20.7 -23.6 -26.6
Actual wo BAU 0 -3.07 0.94 -4.70 -6.27
Actual w BAU 0 -4.46 -2 -9 -12.41
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
% R
eduction o
f G
HG
fom
2011
17
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
% R
eduction o
f G
HG
fom
2011
33% Absolute reduction is equivalent to 47% compared to business as usual
BY 2020: SECTOR GHG ABSOLUTE REDUCTION W/ BMC & PARTNERS RENEWABLE ENERGY BUYS=33%. MEETS CITY
AND STATE 25% GHG REDUCTION GOAL 3+ YEARS EARLY.
North Carolina Solar Electric: reduces sector GHG 6%
Absolute
33%
27%
18
TAKEAWAYS
• Ambitious goals are needed and not hard to achieve at cost savings or at least cost neutral, but require leadership’s support and staff persistence.
• Energy markets and our options are almost entirely determined by public policy, so policy leaders need to hear about our goals and needs .
• A Better City and the GRC Commercial Real Estate Group are leading another renewable energy purchasing aggregation effort. We urge you to set your own ambitious goals, and participate in such efforts.
19
SETTING THE COURSE TO CARBON NEUTRALITY BY 2050
Mindy Lubber, ChairGRC Carbon Free Boston Working Group
20
GRC CARBON FREE BOSTON WORKING GROUP
Members
• Mindy Lubber (Chair)• Amos Hostetter• Alex Liftman• Joe Grimaldi• Robert Brown• Israel Ruiz• Katie Lapp• Tim Healy• Penni Mclean-Conner• Bill Fahey
Working Group Roles
• Strategic and technical guidance on carbon neutrality strategies
• Outreach to stakeholders• Plan input• Communicating the
strategy
• Lead by example
21
CARBON FREE BOSTON
MODELING OF POLICIES TO MITIGATE GHG EMISSIONS
Cutler J. Cleveland, PhDProfessor of Earth and Environment, College of Arts and Sciences
Presentation to the Boston Green Ribbon Commission
Climate Ready Boston: Adaptation
– Report released in December 2016– Implementation planning underway
Carbon Free Boston: Mitigation
– Report completion target Q1 2018
Next Climate Action Plan update
– Mid-late 2018
GRC-supported Climate Planning in the City of Boston
Deeper, systemic, and integrated analysis is needed for City to reach 2050 target
Carbon Free Boston
23
• De-carbonization of the grid
• De-carbonization of heating and cooling
• Sweeping improvements in building energy
efficiency
• Deep fuel substitution and mode shifts in
transportation
• (Near) zero waste
• Changes in land use patterns
Carbon Neutrality Requires Daunting Change
24
• Reliance on technology models with no explicit representation of policies or costs
• Cross-scale, cross-sector policy dynamics are not represented
• Reliance on one-off studies
• Lack of in-house technical support
• Data acquisition is notoriously difficult
The Analytical Challenges
25
Example: Technology “Wedges” in U.S. Transportation
Source: Williams, J.H., B. Haley, R. Jones (2015). Policy implications of deep decarbonization in the United States. A report of the Deep Decarbonization Pathways Project of the Sustainable Development Solutions Network and the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations. Nov 17, 2015.
But what must a city actually do to get
EVs on the road - model doesn’t help
26
• Quantification of different technology “wedges” that make target feasible
• Quantification of relative effectiveness and cost of policies that are economically viable and politically acceptable
• Evaluation of interim progress
• Impartiality and transparency
Attributes of Ideal GHG Mitigation Policy Model
27
Buildings Model
Demand for fuels
Emissions
Demand for electricity
TransportModel
WasteModel
Power SectorModel
Demand for fuels
Electricitysupply
Changes to electric load levels & shape over time
GHG Calculator(Integrating Module)
Demand for electricity
Demand for electricity
Demand for fuels
Demand for fuels Energy use
CodesAudits
Retrofits
Congestion pricingParking fees
Feebates for EVs
Zero waste
Incentives for distributed generationStrengthen RPS
Install PV on municipal buildings
Model Structure
28
Phase I: Summer 2016– Scoping study recommendations for sector-specific, policy-driven GHG
mitigation modeling
Phase II: Fall 2016 to Summer 2017 – Market research
– Fundraising
– Plan for sustained policy analysis
Phase III: Summer 2017 to Winter 2018 – Sector-specific, policy-driven GHG mitigation modeling
– Report to City and GRC
Phase IV: Expand service to other municipalities, regions, and states
Carbon Free Boston Timeline and Deliverables
29
Technical Advisory Group– Sector-specific experts that guide model choice and design
Implementation Advisory Group– Stakeholders from business, industry, government,
education, religious organizations, trade and neighborhood organizations, NGOs, etc.
– Represent key emissions sectors – energy, buildings, transportation, waste
– Input on both recommended policies and implementation strategies
Input From Experts and Stakeholders
30
MAYOR’S CARBON CUP PRESENTATION
The Carbon Cup Commitment
• >1 million square feet of space
• 35% reduction in emissions by 2020
31
THANKYOU CARBON CUP PARTICIPANTS
-
50,000.00
100,000.00
150,000.00
200,000.00
250,000.00
300,000.00
350,000.00
400,000.00
Base Year 2015/2016
To
ns
of
CO
2e
Emissions Savings of All Participants
166,000 tons Reduction in CO2e Emissions
46% Savings
32
THANKYOU CARBON CUP PARTICIPANTS
• AvalonBay Communities
• Boston Medical Center
• Boston Properties
• Boston University
• Brigham and Women's Hospital
• Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
• Harvard University*
• John Hancock*
• Massachusetts General Hospital*
• Sheraton Boston Hotel*
• Vertex Pharmaceuticals
* Have already achieved 35% reduction in emissions from base year
33
2017 CARBON CUP AWARD
34
35
THANKYOU TO OUR FUNDERS!
Sherry and Alan LeventhalFamily Foundation
36
FALL 2017 GRC MEETING
Wednesday, November 15
8:00 am – 10:00 am
Nutter McClennen and Fish, 155 Seaport
Thank You!
37