29
Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Katie LenziniFebruary 9, 2011

2/9/2011 1

On the Horizon

Page 2: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

QuestionWhat was the significance of the Corporation

for Relief of Poor and Distressed Presbyterian Ministers and of the Poor and Distressed Widows and Children of Presbyterian Ministers?

2/9/2011 2

Page 3: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Answer

2/9/2011 3

Page 4: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Today’s Discussion1. Market Outlook2. Life Insurance Trends3. Annuity Trends4. On the Horizon

2/9/2011 4

Page 5: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Market OutlookStrengths

Economic climate improved from 2008 Surviving companies stronger

Increased capitalReduced expensesPotential opportunity in middle market

2/9/2011 5

Page 6: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Market OutlookWeaknesses

Dependency on US, global economiesDiscretionary incomeRiskier and more complicated productsNon-insurance competitors (banks,

telemarketing, internet)

Overall Outlook = Stable (upgraded from Negative Q2 2010)

2/9/2011 6

Page 7: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Market Outlook Qualities of Top Insurers

Strong brand nameBroad & varied distribution channelProduct diversityTop quality serviceAdvanced technologyPricing power

2/9/2011 7

Page 8: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

QuestionWhich life insurer held the most assets at

year-end 2009?

2/9/2011 8

Page 9: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Answer

2/9/2011 9

Page 10: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Market OutlookUncertainties

InvestmentsInterest RatesDistribution

2/9/2011 10

Page 11: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

QuestionWhere do you go for consumer information?

2/9/2011 11

Page 12: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

U.S. Individual Life Sales Trends

2/9/2011 12Source: LIMRA’s U.S. Individual Life Insurance Sales Trends, 1975-2009

Page 13: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Term Life InsuranceMost popular productFrom insurer’s perspective:

Competitive marketLittle flexibility in premium changesSensitive to mortality

2/9/2011 13

Page 14: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Whole LifeHigh level premiums, not flexible for

policyholderFrom insurer’s perspective:

Mutual company uses dividends to reflect experience

Profits affected by mortality, interest, expenses, and persistency

Resurgence in popularity

2/9/2011 14

Page 15: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Universal LifeFlexible premiumsUnbundled productSecondary Guarantees

Specified PremiumShadow AccountsConcern over profitability & level of reserves

2/9/2011 15

Page 16: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Variable Universal LifeSales followed stock marketPeaked in 2000

Equity-Indexed UL

2/9/2011 16

Page 17: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Variable Market Share

2/9/2011 Source: LIMRA - The Future of Flexible Premium Products 17

Page 18: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

U.S. Individual Life Annualized Premium Market Share

2/9/2011 18Source: LIMRA’s U.S. Individual Life Insurance Sales Trends, 1975-2009

Page 19: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Life Insurance OwnershipPercentage of Households

2/9/2011 19Source: LIMRA Household Trends in U.S. Life Insurance Ownership

Page 20: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Life Insurance OwnershipAmount of Life Insurance

2/9/2011 20Source: LIMRA Household Trends in U.S. Life Insurance Ownership

Page 21: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Annuity TrendsVariable or FixedDeferred and ImmediateTax-qualified available

2/9/2011 21

Page 22: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Annuity Sales Trends ($bil)

2/9/2011 22Source: LIMRA U.S. Individual Annuity Yearbook & U.S. Individual Annuities

Page 23: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Variable AnnuitiesSales following stock market trendsGuarantees on account value

Guaranteed minimum death benefit Guaranteed living benefits

Accumulation Withdrawal Income

From insurer’s perspective:Risk management and hedgingAsymmetrical riskRevenues derived from % assets

When stocks decline, so do revenues collected

2/9/2011 23

Page 24: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Fixed Annuities – DeferredGuaranteed interest ratesSpread from fixed account earnings rate

Equity IndexedGrowing market

share

2/9/2011 24Source: LIMRA U.S. Individual Annuity Yearbook & U.S. Individual Annuities

Page 25: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Fixed Annuities - ImmediatePoor salesOpportunity for growthMitigate post retirement uncertainties

2/9/2011 25

Page 26: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

QuestionWhich state was the first to forbid gender

discrimination in insurance rate-setting?

2/9/2011 26

Page 27: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Answer

2/9/2011 27

Page 28: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

On the HorizonRegulationPrinciple Based ApproachBaby boomers

LTC combination productsLongevity insurance

Pandemic ScenarioLife SettlementsGenetic Testing

2/9/2011 28

Page 29: Katie Lenzini February 9, 2011 2/9/2011 1 On the Horizon

Katie LenziniState Farm Life/Health [email protected]

2/9/2011 29