4
Key Takeaways 11 Mar 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY) Still not the time to invest Analyst meeting on 11 Mar 2016. Earnings should continue to improve, but still far from a turnaround. Huge investment in content during industry slowdown, so the stock is still not interesting. Business restructuring helps lower loss from last year GRAMMY has tried many things to improve its operating performance, the main thing being decreasing its holding in The ONE Enterprise Company Limited, operator of the channel “One”’ digital TV license, from 100% to 51% holding in March 2015, which helped GRAMMY book half of the net loss from ONE from 2Q15 onward. The company also divested its noncore businesses and booked extra revenues of Bt158mn last year. However, with the huge investment cost related to its digital TV businesses - GMM 25 and One 31 channel - while its TV rating and ad spending remain weak, the company reported a 2015 normalized loss of Bt889mn, improving from a loss of Bt1.0bn in 2014. Excluding net loss related to ONE, the 2015 normalized loss would be Bt276mn, improving from a loss of Bt588mn in 2014. Outlook still cloudy in 2016 As ad spending should grow slightly, GRAMMY’s digital TV businesses should gradually improve its advertising revenue following an improving TV rating. The company targets revenue from ONE of Bt1.8bn, up 71% YoY with a targeted TV rating of 1 by the end of this year from 0.3 at the end of 2014. For GMM 25, the company targets revenue of Bt800mn, up 100% YoY mainly from tie-in advertising revenue. However, even if it reaches these targets, it would not be enough to cover expected digital TV operating costs for this year. Recently GRAMMY announced it would cut more than 100 jobs in an effort to manage costs and to restructure the organization into a provider of total media solutions as the downturn in physical sales in music business was fueled by digital music which needs less staff. The company also decided to outsource its call center operation to improve efficiency on its core businesses, but this may not be much help in lowering SG&A expenses. The company’s outlook remains cloudy as its two digital TV channels still build themselves up, so the stock is not interesting yet. Not rated TP: N.A. Closing price: Bt7.10 Upside/downside N.A. Sector Media & Publishing Paid-up shares (shares mn) 819.95 Market capitalization (Bt bn) 5.82 Free float (%) 22.74 12-mth daily avg. turnover (Bt mn) 1.52 12-mth trading range (Bt) 15.30/7.00 Major shareholders (%) Paiboon Damrongchaitham 47.89 Thaveechai Jrurangkool 16.11 Nattapol Jurangkool 7.61 Thailand Research Department Ms. Sukanya Leelarwerachai License, No. 68790

Key Takeawaysaws.co.th/uploads/researchs/file_031958_xwmyf.pdfKey Takeaways 11 Mar 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY) Still not the time to invest Analyst

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    1

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Key Takeawaysaws.co.th/uploads/researchs/file_031958_xwmyf.pdfKey Takeaways 11 Mar 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY) Still not the time to invest Analyst

Key Takeaways 11 Mar 2016

1

Please see disclaimer on last page

GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY)

Still not the time to invest

► Analyst meeting on 11 Mar 2016.

► Earnings should continue to improve, but still far from a

turnaround.

► Huge investment in content during industry slowdown, so the

stock is still not interesting.

Business restructuring helps lower loss from last year

GRAMMY has tried many things to improve its operating

performance, the main thing being decreasing its holding in The

ONE Enterprise Company Limited, operator of the channel “One”’

digital TV license, from 100% to 51% holding in March 2015, which

helped GRAMMY book half of the net loss from ONE from 2Q15

onward. The company also divested its noncore businesses and

booked extra revenues of Bt158mn last year. However, with the

huge investment cost related to its digital TV businesses - GMM 25

and One 31 channel - while its TV rating and ad spending remain

weak, the company reported a 2015 normalized loss of Bt889mn,

improving from a loss of Bt1.0bn in 2014. Excluding net loss related

to ONE, the 2015 normalized loss would be Bt276mn, improving

from a loss of Bt588mn in 2014.

Outlook still cloudy in 2016

As ad spending should grow slightly, GRAMMY’s digital TV

businesses should gradually improve its advertising revenue

following an improving TV rating. The company targets revenue

from ONE of Bt1.8bn, up 71% YoY with a targeted TV rating of 1 by

the end of this year from 0.3 at the end of 2014. For GMM 25, the

company targets revenue of Bt800mn, up 100% YoY mainly from

tie-in advertising revenue. However, even if it reaches these targets,

it would not be enough to cover expected digital TV operating costs

for this year. Recently GRAMMY announced it would cut more than

100 jobs in an effort to manage costs and to restructure the

organization into a provider of total media solutions as the downturn

in physical sales in music business was fueled by digital music

which needs less staff. The company also decided to outsource its

call center operation to improve efficiency on its core businesses,

but this may not be much help in lowering SG&A expenses. The

company’s outlook remains cloudy as its two digital TV channels still

build themselves up, so the stock is not interesting yet.

Not rated

TP: N.A.

Closing price: Bt7.10

Upside/downside N.A.

Sector Media & Publishing

Paid-up shares (shares mn) 819.95

Market capitalization (Bt bn) 5.82

Free float (%) 22.74

12-mth daily avg. turnover (Bt mn) 1.52

12-mth trading range (Bt) 15.30/7.00

Major shareholders (%)

Paiboon Damrongchaitham 47.89

Thaveechai Jrurangkool 16.11

Nattapol Jurangkool 7.61

Thailand Research Department

Ms. Sukanya Leelarwerachai

License, No. 68790

Page 2: Key Takeawaysaws.co.th/uploads/researchs/file_031958_xwmyf.pdfKey Takeaways 11 Mar 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY) Still not the time to invest Analyst

2

Please see disclaimer on last page

CG Report

Score Range Number of Logo Description 90 – 100 80 – 89 70 – 79 60 – 69 50 – 59

Below 50

No logo given

Excellent Very Good

Good Satisfactory

Pass N/A

Corporate Governance Report disclaimer

The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors

Association (“IOD”) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant

to the policy of the Office of the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed

on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and the Market for Alternative

Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a

general public investor. The result, therefore, is from the perspective of

a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on

inside information.

The survey result is as of the date appearing in the Corporate

Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey

result may be changed after that date, Asia wealth Securities Company

Limited does not conform nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.

Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies (CGR). CG Rating by the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) in 2015.

ADVANC BAFS BCP BIGC BTS CK CPN DRT DTAC DTC EASTW EGCO GRAMMYHANA HMPRO INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCE KKP KTB LHBANK LPN MCOT MINTMONO NKI PHOL PPS PS PSL PTT PTTEP PTTGC QTC RATCH ROBINS SAMARTSAMTEL SAT SC SCB SCC SE-ED SIM SNC SPALI THCOM TISCO TKT TMBTOP VGI WACOAL

AAV ACAP AGE AHC AKP AMATA ANAN AOT APCS ARIP BMCL BOL BROOKBWG CENTEL CFRESH CHO CIMBT CM CNT COL CPF CPI CSL DCC DELTADEMCO ECF EE ERW GBX GC GFPT GLOBAL GUNKUL HEMRAJ HOTPOT HYDRO ICCICHI INET IRC KSL KTC LANNA LH LOXLEY LRH MACO MBK MC MEGAMFEC NBC NCH NINE NSI NTV OCC OGC OISHI OTO PAP PDI PEPG PJW PM PPP PR PRANDA PREB PT PTG Q-CON QH RS S&JSABINA SAMCO SCG SEAFCO SFP SIAM SINGER SIS SITHAI SMK SMPC SMT SNPSPI SSF SSI SSSC SST STA STEC SVI SWC SYMC SYNTEC TASCO TBSPTCAP TF TGCI THAI THANA THANI THIP THRE THREL TICON TIP TIPCO TKTKS TMI TMILL TMT TNDT TNITY TNL TOG TPC TPCORP TRC TRU TRUETSC TSTE TSTH TTA TTCL TTW TU TVD TVO TWPC UAC UT UVVNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICOVNT WAVE WINNER YUASA ZMICO

2S AEC AEONTS AF AH AIRA AIT AJ AKR AMANAH AMARIN AP APCOAQUA AS ASIA AUCT AYUD BA BEAUTY BEC BFIT BH BIG BJC BJCHIBKD BTNC CBG CGD CHG CHOW CI CITY CKP CNS CPALL CPL CSCCSP CSS CTW DNA EARTH EASON ECL EFORL ESSO FE FIRE FOCUS FORTHFPI FSMART FSS FVC GCAP GENCO GL GLAND GLOW GOLD GYT HTC HTECHIEC IFEC IFS IHL IRCP ITD JSP JTS JUBILE KASET KBS KCAR KGIKKC KTIS KWC KYE L&E LALIN LHK LIT LIVE LST M MAJOR MAKROMATCH MATI MBKET M-CHAI MFC MILL MJD MK MODERN MOONG MPG MSC MTIMTLS NC NOK NUSA NWR NYT OCEAN PACE PATO PB PCA PCSGH PDGPF PICO PL PLANB PLAT PPM PRG PRIN PSTC PTL PYLON QLT RCIRCL RICHY RML RPC S SALEE SAPPE SAWAD SCCC SCN SCP SEAOIL SIRISKR SMG SOLAR SORKON SPA SPC SPCG SPPT SPVI SRICHA SSC STANLY STPISUC SUSCO SUTHA SYNEX TAE TAKUNI TCC TCCC TCJ TEAM TFD TFI TICTIW TLUXE TMC TMD TOPP TPCH TPIPL TRT TSE TSR UMI UP UPFUPOIC UREKA UWC VIBHA VIH VPO WHA WIN XO

Source: Thai Institute of Directors (IOD)

Page 3: Key Takeawaysaws.co.th/uploads/researchs/file_031958_xwmyf.pdfKey Takeaways 11 Mar 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY) Still not the time to invest Analyst

3

Please see disclaimer on last page

CG Report

ขอมล Anti-Corruption Progress Indicator ของบรษทจดทะเบยน ระดบ 1ACD AEONTS AFC AIRA AJ ALUCON AMC AQUA ARIP AUCT BAT-3K BIG BJCBLISS BMCL BOL BRR BSBM CBG CCET CCN CGD CMR CPH CSC CSPCTW DCON DRACO DSGT DTCI E EMC ESSO FOCUS FSMART GIFT GLANDGRAND GUNKUL HFT HTECH IHL ILINK ITD JSP KDH KTIS KTP LEE LSTMAJOR MATCH MAX M-CHAI MDX MIDA ML MPIC NC NEP NNCL NWR OHTLPICO PK PL PPM PRAKIT PRECHA PRIN PSTC PYLON RAM RICH RS SANKOSAUCE SAWAD SAWANG SCN SEAFCO SF SHANG SIRI SMART SMM SOLAR SPACK SPGSPPT SPVI STA STAR SVH SVOA SWC TAPAC TC TCCC TCJ TCOAT THTKS TNH TNPC TPA TPAC TPOLY TRC TRUBB TSE TTA TTI TTL TTTMTWP TWZ U UMS UPA UPOIC UTP UVAN VARO VI VIBHA VIH VTEWG

ระดบ 22S ABICO AF AKP AMARIN AMATA AOT APCO AYUD BEAUTY BFIT BH BKDBLAND BTNC CCP CI CSR CSS EFORL EPCO FE FNS FVC GEL GLOBALHEMRAJ IEC IFS INET JUTHA KASET KCAR KKC KSL L&E LALIN LTX MMALEE MBK MBKET MEGA MK MPG MTLS NCH NCL NPP OCC OCEAN PBPCA PRINC QH ROCK RPC S&J SGP SIAM SIS SKR SMG SMIT SORKONSUSCO TAKUNI TEAM TF TIC TIP TIPCO TMC TMI TPP TRT TRU TRUETSC TSI TTW TVD TVO UKEM UNIQ UWC VNG WIIK WIN XO

ระดบ 3AABC ACAP ADVANC AEC AGE AH AIE AMANAH ANAN AP APCS APURE ASASIA ASIAN ASIMAR BIGC BROOK BTS BWG CEN CENTEL CFRESH CHARAN CHO CHOTICM CNT COL CPALL CPF CPI CPL DELTA DEMCO DIMET DNA DTAC EAECF EE EVER FPI GBX GC GFPT GLOW HMPRO HOTPOT ICC ICHI IFECINOX INSURE IRC JAS JTS JUBILE KC KTC KYE LHK LPN LRH MAKROMC MCOT MFC MFEC MINT MJD MONO MOONG NBC NDR NINE NMG NSINTV OGC PACE PCSGH PDI PG PHOL PLAT PPS PR PRANDA PREB PSQLT RATCH RML ROBINS ROJNA RWI SAMCO SCCC SCG SEAOIL SE-ED SENA SINGERSITHAI SMK SMPC SPALI SPC SPCG SPI SRICHA SSI STANLY SUPER SVI SYMCSYNEX SYNTEC TASCO TCMC TFI THAI THRE THREL TICON TKT TLUXE TNL TPCORPTMILL TMT TSTE TSTH TTCL TU TVI UOBKH UREKA VGI VNT WACOAL WHAZMICO

ระดบ 3BAAV AHC AI AIT AKR ARROW ASK BA BDMS BEC BECL BJCHI BUICGH CHG CHOW CIG CITY CK CKP COLOR CWT EARTH EASON EPG F&DFANCY FIRE FMT FORTH GENCO GL GOLD GPSC GRAMMY HYDRO IRCP IT JCTKCM KWC LH LIT LOXLEY MACO MANRIN MATI MODERN MSC NOBLE NOK NPKNUSA OISHI OTO PAF PAP PATO PF PJW PLANB PLE POLAR PRG PTLQ-CON QTC RCI S11 SALEE SAM SAMART SAMTEL SAPPE SC SCP SFP SIMSLP SMT SPA SPORT SSC SST STEC STPI SUC SUTHA T TAE TBSPTCC TFD TGCI TGPRO THANA THIP TIW TK TMW TNDT TOPP TPC TPCHTPIPL TSR TT TYCN UAC UBIS UEC UMI UP UPF UT UV VPOWAVE WINNER YUASA

ระดบ 4ASP BAFS BANPU BAY BBL BKI BLA CIMBT CNS CSL DCC DRT DTCEASTW ECL EGCO ERW FSS GCAP HANA HTC INTUCH IRPC IVL KBANK KCEKGI KKP KTB LANNA LHBANK MTI NKI PSL PTG PTTEP SABINA SCB SNCSNP SSF SSSC TCAP THCOM TISCO TIMB TMD TNITY TOG

ระดบ 5BCP CPN GYT PE PM PPP PT PTT PTTGC SAT SCC THANI TOP

ไมเปดเผยหรอไมมนโยบายA ACC AJD AQ BCH BGT BROCK BSM BTC CHUO CPR CRANE EICFER JMART JMT KAMART KBS KIAT LDC MBAX MCS METCO NEW NEWS NYTPAE PDG PERM PMTA POST RCL RICHY ROH S SIMAT TCB TR TSFTVT WORKหมายเหตระดบ 1 : มนโยบายระดบ 2 : ประกาศเจตนารมณระดบ 3 : มมาตรการปองกน ซงทง 2 กรณ ถอเปนผลการประเมนในระดบเดยวกน

3A : บรษทมการประกาศเจตนารมณเขารวมโครงการ CAC หรอภาค3B : บรษทมค ามน และนโยบายของบรษท แตมไดประกาศเจตนารมณเขารวมโครงการ CAC หรอภาค

ระดบ 4 : ไดรบการรบรองระดบ 5 : ขยายผลสผท เกยวของ

Page 4: Key Takeawaysaws.co.th/uploads/researchs/file_031958_xwmyf.pdfKey Takeaways 11 Mar 2016 1 Please see disclaimer on last page GMM Grammy PCL (GRAMMY) Still not the time to invest Analyst

Contact

4

Please see disclaimer on last page

This report has been prepared by Asia Wealth Securities Company Limited (“AWS”). The information herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate, but AWS makes no representation as to the accuracy and completeness of such information. AWS does not accept any liability for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of such information or opinions in this report. Before making your own independent decision to invest or enter into transaction, investors should study this report carefully and should review information relating. All rights are reserved. This report may not be reproduced, distributed or published by any person in any manner for any purpose without permission of AWS. Investment in securities has risks. Investors are advised to consider carefully before making decisions.

Branch Address Phone Fax

Head Office 540 Floor 7,14,17 , Mercury Tower, Ploenchit Road, Lumphini,

Pathumwan Bangkok 10330

02-680-5000 02-680-5111

Silom 191 Silom Complex Building,21st Floor Room 2,3-1 Silom Rd.,

Silom, Bangrak, Bangkok, 10500 Thailand

02-630-3500 02-630-3530-1

Asok 159 Sermmitr Tower, 17th FL. Room No.1703, Sukhumvit 21

Road, Klong Toey Nua, Wattana, Bangkok 10110

02-261-1314-21 02-261-1328

Pinklao

7/3 Central Plaza Pinklao Office Building Tower B, 16th Flr., Room

No.1605-1606 Baromrajachonnanee Road, Arunamarin,

Bangkoknoi, Bangkok 10700

02-884-7333 02-884-7357,

02-884-7367

Chaengwattana

99/99 Moo 2 Central Plaza Chaengwattana Office Tower, 22nd Flr.,

Room 2204 Chaengwattana Road, Bang Talad, Pakkred,

Nonthaburi 11120

02-119-2300 02-8353014

Chaengwattana 2

9/99 Moo 2 Central Plaza Chaengwattana Office Tower, 22nd Flr.,

Room 2203 Chaengwattana Road, Bang Talad, Pakkred,

Nonthaburi 11120

02-119-2388 02-119-2399

Mega Bangna 39 Moo6 Megabangna, 1st Flr., Room 1632/7 Bangna-Trad Road,

Bangkaew Bangplee, Samutprakarn 10540

02-106-7345 02-105-2070

Rayong 356/18 Sukhumvit Road, Nuen-Phra Sub District, Muang District,

Rayong Province 21000

038-808200 038-807200

Khonkaen 26/9 Srijanmai Road, Tamboonnaimuang, Khon Khaen

40000

043-334-700 043-334-799

Chonburi 44 Vachiraprakarn Road, Bangplasoi, Muang Chonburi, Chonburi

20000

038-274-533 038-275-168

Chaseongsao 233-233/2 Moo2 1st Flr., Sukprayoon Road, Na Meung Sub-

District, Meung District, Chachoengsao 24000

038-981-587 038-981-591