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Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations Presented by: Nicholas Janiga, ASA | Partner HealthCare Appraisers, Inc. 1

Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

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Page 1: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations

Presented by:Nicholas Janiga, ASA | PartnerHealthCare Appraisers, Inc.

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Page 2: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Nicholas J. Janiga, ASA | Partner

Mr. Janiga is a Partner with HealthCare Appraisers and for the past 10 years hasbeen providing his clients consultation in business valuation, litigation support,intellectual property, healthcare provider compensation relationships, and othertypes of financial analyses. Mr. Janiga’s extensive industry experience includesworking with healthcare organizations, attorneys, administrators, providers,developers, consultants, investment bankers, and private equity groups inconnection with transactions involving healthcare entities, including ambulatorysurgery centers. Many of the transactions Mr. Janiga analyzes involve Stark, Anti-Kickback, IRC 501(c)(3), and/or other regulatory implications, which necessitatesanalyses of fair market value and/or commercial reasonableness.

Mr. Janiga earned a Bachelor of Business Administration degree in 2007 from theSeidman College of Business at Grand Valley State University, dual majoring infinance and economics, and minoring in accounting. He is an Accredited SeniorAppraiser (ASA) in Business Valuation through the American Society ofAppraisers.

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Page 3: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Outline of PresentationKey Thoughts on ASC Valuations

Supply + Demand Factors Driving M&A Activity

Macro

Micro

Forms/Structures of Recent M&A Activity

Valuation Overview and FMV Considerations

Common Errors/Pitfalls in Valuation Analyses

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Page 4: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsRecent Regulation

Where have we been the past decade

2005 Deficit Reduction Act

2006 End of Temporary Moratorium on Construction of New Physician-Owned Hospitals

2010 Patient Protection & Affordable Care Act

2011 Budget Control Act (Sequestration in 2013)

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Page 5: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsRecent Regulation

Where have we been the past decade continued…

2012 American Taxpayer Relief Act (2014 equipment utilization rate)

2013 Medicare Payment Advisory Commission June 2013 Report to Congress – Chapter 2: Medicare Payment Differences AcrossAmbulatory Settings

2015 Bipartisan Budget Act (Section 603 – Site Neutrality)

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Page 6: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsRecent Regulation

Where have we been the past decade continued…

2018 Department of HHS anticipates shifting 50% of Medicare fee-for-service payments to alternative payment mechanisms (i.e., value instead ofvolume payment mechanisms)

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Page 7: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsAchieving Lower Costs

Population Health Management

Value/Risk-based contracting with payors

Medicare Shared Savings Program (ACOs)

Other ACOs

7

Page 8: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsAchieving Lower Costs

8

158%

169%

161%

164%

174%

178%

181%182%

179%

145%

150%

155%

160%

165%

170%

175%

180%

185%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

HOPD Medicare Rates as % of ASC Medicare Rates, By Year

Page 9: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment – Orthopedic Surgeons

9

8%

31%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2005 2010 2015

% of Orthopedic Surgeons Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

Page 10: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment - Gastroenterologists

10

*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

9%

20%

43%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2005 2010 2015

% of Gastroenterologists Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

Page 11: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment - Pain Mgt Physicians

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*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

4%

21%

47%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2005 2010 2015

% of Pain Mgt Physicians Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

Page 12: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment - Urologists

12

*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

5%

17%

46%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2005 2010 2015

% of Urologists Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

Page 13: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment - Ophthalmologists

13

*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

8%

21%

41%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

2005 2010 2015

% of Ophthalmologists Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

Page 14: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment - ENTs

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*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

13%

24%

45%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

2005 2010 2015

% of ENTs Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

Page 15: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsHospital Employment - Family Medicine

15

*Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group

Management Association, Physician Compensation and

Production Surveys

48%

60%

76%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2005 2010 2015

% of PCPs Employed by Integrated Delivery Systems

Page 16: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Macro Supply + Demand FactorsMaturing Market

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3,028

3,358

3,597

3,848

4,106

4,362

4,567

4,8384,955

5,0395,152 5,228 5,307 5,343

5,446

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

5,000

5,500

6,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Number of Medicare-Certified ASCs by Year

Page 17: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Micro Supply + Demand FactorsMarket-Specific Factors

Size of primary service area

Number of existing market participants

Hospitals/Health Systems

ASC Management Companies

Freestanding ASCs

Independent Surgeons

State-Specific Items

Certificate of Need, reimbursement, employment

Local economic and demographic conditions17

Page 18: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Forms/Structures of Recent M&A Activity

De Novos

Existing Surgery CentersHOPD

Freestanding

Existing Surgery Centers as part of larger JOA

Single + Multispecialty Surgery Centers

Involvement of multiple types of market participants

Other driving factors (e.g., capital, contracts)

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Page 19: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Forms/Structures of Recent JV ActivityDriving Forces Behind Contribution of HOPD

Hospital’s “position” within the local market

Declining Case Volumes

Engage experienced management company

Recognition of possible payment neutrality

HOPD

Freestanding

Less costly physician alignment opportunity

Other local environment factors

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Page 20: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Valuation Overview and FMV Considerations

Income Approach

Single Period vs. Multi Period

Market Approach

Guideline Public Companies

Comparable Transactions

Asset Approach

Net Asset Method

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Page 21: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

FMV ConsiderationsGuideline Public Companies

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9.27x

9.64x

10.93x

8.00x

8.50x

9.00x

9.50x

10.00x

10.50x

11.00x

11.50x

AMSURG Surgery Partners Surgical Care Affiliates

Trailing Twelve Month Valuation MultiplesEnterprise Value / EBITDA

Page 22: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

FMV ConsiderationsComparable Transactions - HAI’s Annual ASC Valuation Survey

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

4.0-4.9x 5.0-5.9x 6.0-6.9x 7.0-7.9x 8.0+

EBITDA Multiple Trend for Controlling Interests in Multi-Specialty ASCs

2013 2014 2015 2016

Page 23: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Common Errors/Pitfalls in FMV Analyses

Forgetting to Adjust the Income Statement

Normalize RevenueFully Accounting for Appropriate Expenses

Fixed CostsManagement, billing and collecting, otherSupplies

Use of Valuation Approach(es)

Assessment of “Risk”

Level of Value (Secondary Discounts)

Adjusting for Stock vs. Asset Deal

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Page 24: Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations - Becker's ASC Review · *Data Compiled From: 2005, 2010, and 2015 Medical Group Management Association, Physician Compensation and Production Surveys

Thank You!Key Thoughts on ASC Valuations

Please contact me if you have questions regarding this presentation.

Nicholas J. Janiga, ASA | PartnerHealthCare Appraisers, Inc. (303) 566-3173 [email protected]://www.hcfmv.com/njaniga.html

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