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Know Your Forcing

Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

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Page 1: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Know Your Forcing

Page 2: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Know Your Forcing

Page 3: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Suppose You Have Offline CLM Runs…

Page 4: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Suppose You Have Offline CLM Runs…

Page 5: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Suppose You Have Offline CLM Runs…

Does the change I made matter from a L-A feedbacks perspective?

Page 6: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Dirmeyer et al. 2011 GRL

Terrestrial Coupling

latent heat flux variability controlled by soil moisture variation

Page 7: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Dirmeyer et al. 2011 GRL

Terrestrial Coupling σSoilM

d(Latent)

d(SoilM)

Terrestrial Coupling

latent heat flux variability controlled by soil moisture variation

Page 8: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Dirmeyer et al. 2011 GRL; Lombardozzi et al. 2016 GMDD

Terrestrial Coupling σSoilM

d(Latent)

d(SoilM)

Terrestrial Coupling

latent heat flux variability controlled by soil moisture variation

Control With nighttime gs

Page 9: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Terrestrial Coupling works well but

only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Page 10: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Terrestrial Coupling works well but

only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Page 11: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Terrestrial Coupling works well but

only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Go full CAM-CLM simulation

Page 12: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Current Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling

Terrestrial Coupling works well but

only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Go full CAM-CLM simulation

Page 13: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

TBOT QBOT PBOT RAIN RADIATION … etc

DATM

Page 14: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

TBOT QBOT PBOT RAIN RADIATION … etc

Prognostic and Diagnostic Variables

DATM

Page 15: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

TBOT QBOT PBOT RAIN RADIATION … etc

Prognostic and Diagnostic Variables

DATM

So how can we extract land-atmosphere feedback information?

Page 16: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

PBOT RAIN RADIATION … etc

Prognostic and Diagnostic Variables

There is a structure up here!

TBOT QBOT

Page 17: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Sensible Latent

Fluxes from CLM

Page 18: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Mixed Layer Equations

Page 19: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Mixed Layer Equations

*** Assume 1-D and no diabatic processes

Page 20: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Mixed Layer Equations

Page 21: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Mixed Layer Equations

Page 22: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Sensible Latent

Fluxes from CLM

Page 23: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Sensible

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Page 24: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

Latent

Page 25: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

ΔTBOT ΔQBOT

** Note that there is now a prognosed TBOT and QBOT

Page 26: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

** Now we can compare the “drift” from the forcing over time due to the sensible and latent heat fluxes

Time of Day

Bott

om L

evel

Tem

p [K

]

Page 27: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simple Convective Boundary Layer Model

** Now we can compare the “drift” from the forcing over time due to the sensible and latent heat fluxes

Time of Day

Bott

om L

evel

Tem

p [K

]

Page 28: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

What the Model DOES NOT do…yet

Once saturation is reached at the top of the PBL, it stops

However a few diagnostics are calculated: - Convective available Potential Energy (CAPE) - Precipitable Water - Depth of Cloud

Page 29: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simulation to Test

Compare:

CLM 5.0 using ERA-Interim Forcing

CLM 4.5 using ERA-Interim Forcing

*** Evaluate the relative “drift” and triggering potential

Page 30: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simulation to Test

Page 31: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Simulation to Test

Can use the forcing data itself do perform a wet-dry scenario experiments

Page 32: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Wetting-Drying Experiments

Weckwerth et al. 2004

Observed Data from the:

o Atmosphere Radiation Measurement (ARM) Site in Oklahoma

o Time period: 1996-Present

o Temperature, Humidity, and Pressure vertical profiles usually 6-hourly

o Net radiation every 30-min

Page 33: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Time of Day

Net

Rad

iatio

n (R

net)

Given that we have net radiation from ARM-SGP

Page 34: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Time of Day

Net

Rad

iatio

n (R

net)

Given that we have net radiation from ARM-SGP

Take the morning vertical

profiles of T,q,p

Page 35: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Time of Day

Net

Rad

iatio

n (R

net)

Given that we have net radiation from ARM-SGP

Take the morning vertical

profiles of T,q,p

Latent Heat

Sensible Heat

Page 36: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Can Explore a continuum of evaporative fraction realities

Time of Day

Net

Rad

iatio

n (R

net)

Latent Heat

Sensible Heat Time of Day

Net

Rad

iatio

n (R

net)

Latent Heat

Sensible Heat Time of Day

Net

Rad

iatio

n (R

net)

Latent Heat

Sensible Heat

Are wet or dry surfaces more likely to trigger

moist convection (negative or positive

feedback)?

How do T and q evolve under various conditions?

Page 37: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ARM-SGP

June 7th 2006 over Central Plains

Page 38: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Dry Wet

June 7th 2006 over Central Plains

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ARM-SGP

Page 39: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Dry Wet

June 7th 2006 over Central Plains

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ARM-SGP

Page 40: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Dry Wet

June 7th 2006 over Central Plains

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ARM-SGP

Page 41: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ARM-SGP

Taking all July days from 1996-2011

Page 42: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ARM-SGP

Taking all July days from 1996-2011

Given the same atmospheric state Dry soils more convection

Negative Feedback

Page 43: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Relative Humidity Cross-Section: ERA-I

Evap Fraction = 0.8 July 1st 1979

Page 44: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Suppose You Have Offline CLM Runs…

Does the change I made matter from a L-A feedbacks perspective?

Page 45: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Suppose You Have Offline CLM Runs…

Does the change I made matter from a L-A feedbacks perspective?

Page 46: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Wetting-Drying Experiments: ERA-I

Page 47: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

Relative Humidity Profile – ERAI

Page 48: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability
Page 49: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

What state do CLM energy fluxes nudge T and Q towards?

Questions that can be Addressed

Time of Day

Bott

om L

evel

Tem

p [K

]

Page 50: Know Your ForcingCurrent Approaches to Evaluate L-A Coupling. Terrestrial Coupling works well . but. only measures flux sensitivity to moisture availability

What state do CLM energy fluxes nudge T and Q towards?

Questions that can be Addressed

Time of Day

Bott

om L

evel

Tem

p [K

]