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KWAZULU-NATAL 2015High-level overview on
Implementation of the PGDP
1
Presented by:
Office of the Premier
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Introduction
2
The purpose of this presentation is to provide ahigh-level overview of the progress made inKwaZulu-Natal over the last Year.
This assessment is based on:
the progress reported on the implementation of the 2014 Provincial Growth and Development Plan (PGDP)
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
307Vision2030
STRATEGIC GOALS
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
KZN PGDSSTRATEGIC FRAMEWORK
KwaZulu-Natal will be a
prosperousProvince with a healthy, secure
and skilled population, acting as a gateway to
Africa and the World
JOB CREATION1
GOVERNANCE AND POLICY
6
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
5
STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE
4
HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
2
SPATIAL EQUITY7
HUMAN &COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
3
1. Unleashing the Agricultural Sector 2. Enhance Industrial Development through Trade, Investment
& Exports3. Expansion of Government-led job creation programmes 4. Promoting SMME, Entrepreneurial and Youth Development5. Enhance the Knowledge Economy
6. Early Childhood Development, Primary and Secondary Education
7. Skills alignment to Economic Growth8. Youth Skills Development & Life-Long Learning
9. Poverty Alleviation & Social Welfare10. Enhancing Health of Communities and Citizens11. Enhance Sustainable Household Food Security 12. Promote Sustainable Human Settlements13. Enhance Safety & Security14. Advance Social Capital
15. Development of Harbours 16. Development of Ports17. Development of Road & Rail Networks18. Development of ICT Infrastructure19. Improve Water Resource Management & Supply20. Develop Energy Production and Supply
21. Increase Productive Use of Land 22. Advance Alternative Energy Generation23. Manage pressures on Biodiversity24. Adaptation to Climate Change
25. Strengthen Policy and Strategy Co-ordination & IGR26. Building Government Capacity 27. Eradicating Fraud & Corruption28. Promote Participative, Facilitative & Accountable
Governance
29. Actively Promoting Spatial Concentration 30. Facilitate Integrated Land Management & Spatial
Planning
3
3
General Overview based on PGDP Progress Reporting:
4
1
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
5
GOAL 1JOB
CREATION
1.5Develop the
knowledge base to enhance the knowledge economy
1.4Promote SMME
and entrepreneurial
development
1.3Improve the efficiency of
government led job creation programmes
1.2Enhance sectoral
development through trade &
investment
1.1Unleash
Agricultural Potential
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job Creation
6
R 332 670.00R 267 000.20
R 347 000.00
R 450 000.00
R 770 000.00
R 0.00
R 100 000.00
R 200 000.00
R 300 000.00
R 400 000.00
R 500 000.00
R 600 000.00
R 700 000.00
R 800 000.00
R 900 000.00
2010 2013 2015 2020 2030
Total value of output of all sectors within the provincial economy (Real Rands,2005)
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job Creation
7
2 419 0002 400 0002 800 000
3 300 000
4 500 000
0
1 000 000
2 000 000
3 000 000
4 000 000
5 000 000
2010 2013 2015 2020 2030
Total employment within the provincial economy
Actual Targets
R31 106.93 R 28
110.00
R 33 400.00
R 39 760.00
R 56 230.00
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
2010 2013 2015 2020 2030
GDP per capita within the provincial economy
Actual
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.1: Unleash Agricultural Potential (DAEA)
8
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Total employment within agricultural
sector including forestry and livestock
farming.
108 800 128 600 110 000
Value of agricultural contribution to the
provincial economy. (R million) 11 800 14 650 12 961
Development of commercial farmers (new
entrant, small scale, ITB and land reform
farmers)
3574 (2007) 3 870 3 574
Hectares of land under agricultural
production (excluding ITB) 4 148 783
(excluding ITB)
5 130 000
(excluding ITB)
4 380 000
(Including
ITB)
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.2: Enhance sectoral development through trade and investment (DEDT)
9
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Total employment within all sectors excluding primary agriculture
2,319,000 2,420,000 2,340,000
Total Value of the provincial economy
excluding primary agriculture ( Real Rands,2005)
R255,400m R332,000m R318.274.96m
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.3: Improve the efficiency of government led job creation programmes (DOPW)
10
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
2010
2015
TargetCurrent Status
Cumulative number of FTEs created
through EPWP and CWP, inclusive of all
sectors.
Phase 1
163,800
Phase 2
211 15667541
Cumulative number of FTEs created
through EPWP and CWP, inclusive of all
sectors.
483921 424088 766305
Total Rand Value of each EPWP work Opportunity
Infrastructure Sector R25 000 R40 000 R2B spent on 109331 67W.O
Environmental and Agriculture Sector R 20 000 R22 000 R272m spent on 18 344 W.O
Social Sector R 18 000 R21 000
R369m spent on 44 222WO
R107m spent on CWP 31 472
Non State 8214
National 49363
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.3: Improve the efficiency of government led job creation programmes (DOPW)
11
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
2010
2015
TargetCurrent Status
Number of Emerging Contractors
registered on KZN database24800 35000 44592
Number of Contracts awarded to
emerging Contractors284 411 840
Number of Emerging Contractors
trained200 400 547
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.4: Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development (DEDT)
12
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015 Target
Current Status
Number of Cooperatives and SMME’s
registered in KZN, that have been in
operation for more than 2 years
15 622 18 122
7474 (KZN
Supplier
database)
Number of new jobs created through
establishment of SMMEs and Coops.1 506 100 1 580 000 1640520
Increase the level of BBBEE
compliance in KZN
Level 4
Compliance
Level 3
Compliance
Level 5
Compliance
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Issue of BEE Level Contributor remains unclear as most
Departments have not submitted their verification results. As such the
current status average of Level 5 depicted may even be Level 6
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.5: Develop the knowledge base to enhance the knowledge economy (DEDT)
13
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
% of SA patents and designs registered
by KZN entities and individuals222
237
7% increase
on base year
181
168 pending
5 Accepted
8 granted
% of registered professional engineers in
the KZN labourforce
0.023 %
(1595 registered
engineers)
14% increase
on base year10.8%
Gross expenditure on R&D as a
proportion of provincial GVA (Real Rands
2005)
R 2 020 m R3,000 m R 2 516 m
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.5: Develop the knowledge base to enhance the knowledge economy (DEDT)
14
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015 Target
Current
Status
Percentage of Academic staff with
PHD Qualifications
48% UKZN
6,5% MUT
8% DUT
5% UNIZUL
50% UKZN
8% MUT
13% DUT
29% UNIZUL
55% UKZN
11% MUT
17% DUT
31% UNIZUL
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
15
This Goal is directly affected by the growth rate of the Global and National Economy;
The PGDP was developed on an assumption of an average per annum GDP growth rate of 5%. Current trends are well below the growth rate projected in 2011
The unemployment has decreased but the per capita GDP growth rate has not performed well enough;
STATS SA figures, however, signal improvement in the creation of jobs in the agricultural sector
Developing technical skills coupled with mentorship and employment opportunities remain a challenge
SMME and cooperative development are not yielding local economic development
Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationComments
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
16
GOAL 2HUMAN
RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT2.3
Enhance youth skills development
and life-long learning
2.2Support skills development
with economic growth
2.1Improve early
childhood development, primary and
secondary education
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development
17
99%
94% 95% 97% 98% 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Gross enrolment rate (GER)Primary
Actual Targets
90.6%
86.70% 88% 89% 90% 90%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Gross enrolment rate (GER)Secondary
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development
18
53.5%36%
60%70%
80%90%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Percentage of Grade 3, 6 and 9 learners performing at the required levels in Annual National Assessments (Literacy and Numeracy)
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development
19
486486500
550600 600
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Performance in SACMEQ· Reading
Actual Targets
485485
500550
600 600
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2010 2013 2015Target
2020 2025 2030
Performance in SACMEQ· Mathematics
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development
20
68.10%75%
80%85% 90%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
90.00%
100.00%
2010 2013 2015Target
2020 2025 2030
Percentage National Senior Certificate (NSC) pass rate
Targets
Results will be available after 2015 NSC Exams
35724
27 826 30 000
33 000 35 000 35 000
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000
25 000
30 000
35 000
40 000
2010 2013 2015Target
2020 2025 2030
Numbers of students qualifying for Bachelors programme in the
NSC
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development
21
13%12.50%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in TVET Colleges
Actual Targets
55%
66%68%
70%73% 75%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
TVET NC(V) graduation rate
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development
22
26.0%
22.10%22.50%
23%24% 25%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in Higher Education
Actual Targets
90%
80%82%
84%87% 90%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Adult Literacy rate
Actual
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.1: Improve early childhood development, primary and secondary education (DOE)
23
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Enrolment of 3-5 year old children in educational institutions (Public and private)
20% 30% 30%
Percentage of Grade 1 learners who attended Grade R class
92% 93% 93%
Retention rates: Grade 10-12 57% 75% 75%Grade 3 learners performing at he required levels in ANA• Literacy• Numeracy
33%15%
60%60%
71.4%70.9%
Grade 6 learners performing at the required levels
in ANA• Literacy• Numeracy
10%7%
60%60%
75.6%
43.8%
Grade 9 learners performing at the required levels in ANA• Literacy• Numeracy
50% 60%60%
48%
10%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.1: Improve early childhood development, primary and secondary education (DOE)
24KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
2010
2015
Target
Current
StatusPercentage of children who turned 9 in the
previous year who are currently in Grade 4 or
above
62% 65% 65%
Percentage of children who turned 12 in the
previous year who are currently in Grade 7 or
above
47% 55% 55%
Percentage of youth who obtain a national
Senior Certificate from School
47% 50% 72%
Number of learners qualifying in NSC for :
• Bachelors programme
• Diploma
• Certificate
27 826
35 488
30 000
37 000
35 724
39 751
24 202 25 000 21 544
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.2: Support skills alignment with economic growth (OTP)
25KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015 Target
Current
Status
Number of NSC candidates taking
• Mathematics
• Science
15 844
15 726
37 000
28 000
39 151
33 442
Full and part time students in public TVET
Colleges for
• All courses
• NC(V) courses
• N Courses
• Occupational qualification
88 166
25 393
53 007
88 600
26 000
53 500
109 490
28 939
67 540
4 109 4 500 939
Students graduating in:
• Education
• Science, Engineering and Technology(SET)
3680
5928
3800
6100
4 357
6 339
Number of PhD graduates 187 190 239
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.3: Enhance youth skills development and life-long learning (OTP)
26
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Youths supported by National Skills Fund, SETAs and Youth programmes
45 253 46 000 58 749
Participation in Adult Education Training (AET)
59 000 61 000 42 563
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentComments
27
HRD developed strategy for the province and this includes both private and public sector skills development at different levels;
School enrolments have improved but access to tertiary levels remains a concern;
Access to early childhood development has improved.
There is improvement in literacy and numeracy skills at Grades 3 and 6, however, Grade 9 remains a challenge;
Adult literacy rate has improved.
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
28
GOAL 3HUMAN AND COMMUNITY
DEVELOPMENT
3.6Advance Social
Capital
3.5Safety and
security3.4
Sustainable human
settlements
3.3Enhance
sustainable household
food security
3.2Enhance health of communities
and citizens
3.1Poverty
eradication and social welfare
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
29
0.7
0.7 0.72
0.80.9
1
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
PGDP Adjusted Human Development Index (Baseline StatsSA,2006)
Actual Target
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
30
54.449.1
56.4 58.461 63.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Life expectancy at birth :Male
Actual Targets
59.450.2
60.7 62.765 68
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Life expectancy at birth : Female
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
31
27.8
25.7
10.79
5.4
00
5
10
15
20
25
30
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Decrease in Absolute Poverty: % below food poverty line, PL = half
of R418 proposed by NPC)
Actual Target
17.617.6
19.4
22.1
25.4
29.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Decrease in social inequality : Share of income earned by poorest 60%
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
32
0
36083396
3057
2751
2476
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Total Number of crimes measured as the number of crimes reported per 100 000/population
Actual Targets
No Information
provided
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.1: Poverty alleviation and social welfare (DSD)
33
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Reduction in relative poverty: % below upper bound poverty line, PL= 1.25 R418 proposed by NPC) (Baseline : NIDS,2008)
67.5 60.8 56.6
Reduction in child poverty: % children that are stunted ,wasted or obese (Baseline: NIDS,2008,KIDS 2004)
15.3(stunted)
2.5 (wasted) 14.6 (obese)
14.2 (stunted)
2.3 (wasted) 14 (obese)
15.3(stunted)
2.4 (wasted) 14.6(obese)
Severe malnutrition under 5 years incidence (per 1000)
8.3 7 6.1/1000
Underweight for age under 5 years incidence (per 1000)
44.6 40 14.6
Percentage of children under 5 years with moderate acute malnutrition
New 10% 0.4%
Effective dependency ratio (economically inactive people/economically active people) Baseline
4.0 3.6 6.5
The poverty gap( p1) and severity of poverty(p2) (Baseline NIDS 2008)
28.8 (p1)16.7(p2)
27.4(p1)15.9(p2)
25.6(P1)
14.4(p2)
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.2: Enhancing health of communities and citizens (DOH)
34
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Facility maternal mortality ratio –proxy (per 100 000 live births)
195 125 124.9/100k
Infant Mortality rate (per 1000 live births) 7 5.6 7,4
Under 5 Mortality rate (per 1000 live Births) 4.8 4.7 5.9
Diabetes incidence( per 1000 population) 3 2.7 1.6
Hypertension incidence (per 1000 population over 40 years)
28.98 26.9 19.3
HIV Incidence(%) 1.01% 1% 1.01%
TB incidence (per 100 000 population) 1161 720 897
Malaria incidence ( per 1000 population at risk) 0.80 0.75 0.98
Professional nurses per 100 000 population 130 140 137.7
Medical Officers per 100 000 population. 24 28 28.5
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.3:Enhance sustainable household food security
35
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Dietary Diversity Index: % of households
consuming < 15 major food categories in
previous month
60% 54% 49.36%
Hunger episodes: household member has
gone hungry at least sometimes in past
12 months - % of households
35% 32% 28.3%
Number of local municipalities supported
with informal economy policies31 31 15
Number of municipal officials capacitated
to support the informal economy sector22 31 15
Number of municipalities funded for
informal economy infrastructure
development35 50 37
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.4: Sustainable human settlements (HOHS)
36
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Percentage housing backlog17.9%
(716 079units)
Decrease by 7%
(665 953 Units)
12%
decrease
90036
Percentage households with registrable form of tenure
55.1% 56% 55.7%
Percentage of Provincial Human Settlements budget spent on formal settlement development
36% 37% 44%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
.
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.5: Safety and security
37
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Number of serious crimes reported 282 747
(2013)
277 092
Number of crimes against women and
children
44 366
(2013)
43 478
Number of drug related crimes reported 45 802
(2013)
51 802
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
INDICATION OF CURRENT STATUS TRENDS BASED ON OPERATIONAL INFORMATION RECEIVED FROM SAPS, ACTUAL CRIME STATISTICS
NOT YET RELEASED
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.6: Advance Social Capital
38
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Number of community level institutions
active in participating in government
department programmes, with active
registration status in KZN.
2 438 2 682 2574
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development
Comments
39
Poverty Eradication Master Plan (PEMP)has been developed and Operations Centre formalisation in progress;
Operations Sukuma Sakhe has been incorporated as an approach to facilitate a phased approach to poverty interventions outlined in the PEMP
Socio-economic challenges are still a barrier to wellbeing
TB incidence remains an area of concern;
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
40
GOAL 4STRATEGIC
INFRASTRUCTURE
4.6Improve energy production and
supply
4.5Improve water
resource management
and supply 4.4Development of
ICT
4.3Development of
road and rail networks
4.2Development of
airports
4.1Development of
harbours
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure
41
3.7%
6%
8%
15%
17%
20%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Provincial and Municipal Fix Capital Formation as a % of GDP (2005 prices)
Actual Target
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.1: Development of harbours (DOT)
42
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Ports capacity measured in million TEU’s 2.5m 3.2m 2.76mill
Ports Capacity measured in Dry Bulk Volumes 108m110mil
tons104.24mil
Port capacity measured in containers Crane
handling26 30 24
Ports capacity measured by number of cruise
liner visits32 40 55
Ports capacity measured by Cruise ship
operators 2 3 2
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.2: Development of airports (DOT)
43
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Volume of passengers through KZN airports 5m 6m 4.75m
Tonnage throughput from DTP cargo terminal
(international)5000 7000 7150
Tonnage throughput from DTP cargo
terminal(domestic)New 7000 6700
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Airport only
opened 2010
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.3: Development of airports (DOT)
44
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Total number of TEUs on Natcor rail line 400 000 600 000 376203
Road to rail ratio out of Durban 4.12:1 3.5:1 6.25:1
Number of kilometres of declared road that provides access to communities
30 335 31 845 31 802
Percentage of provincial road network in poor to very poor condition
52% 45% 43%
Percentage of national road network in poor to very poor condition
15% 10% 2%
% Modal split in Commuter transport7% (for
Ethekwini)55% 55%
% Tonnage to Capacity Utilisation(Demand Installed)
18% 26% 24%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.4: Development of ICT infrastructure (DEDT)
45
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Number of kilometres of backbone
Fibre Optic cables rolled out
11800km 15000km 14683km
Number of Points of Presence (POPS) 8 40 43
Number of established Municipal
Access Networks
1 10 7
Number of Schools Connected 300 1800 1928
Number of Health Facilities Connected 45 300 199
Number of ICT Infrastructure Nodes 68 403 393
Minimum Broadband speed available
within the Province
256 kbs 5 (MB (50%
coverage)
Not
Measured
Lowest Cost of data Average R3 681
Pm (for 256kbs)
R8 440.00
(for 5MB)
R8 440.00
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.5: Improve water resource management and supply (COGTA)
46
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Cubic meters per capita per year available 917m3 1000m3 835m3
Number of water service systems in balance (supply and demand balance)
40% in balance out
of 155 measures
60% 49%
Non-revenue water 20% 40% 35.6%
Value of development/rezoning applications not approved due to bulk water and effluent constraints
R900 millionR750
millionTBD
% of households with access to 75 litres of water per person per day (Baseline and Target was based on 25 litres per day)
86% 95% 85.7%
% of households with yard water connections 23.8% 28% 23.5%
% of households with sanitation to MIG standards 85.61% 93.12% 90.8%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
REVISED VERIFIED BASELINE 2015 R3 826 BILLION
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.6: Improve energy production and supply (COGTA)
47
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Value of development/rezoning applications not approved due to electricity supply constraints
TBD TBD TBD
% of households with a source of electrical supply
75.9% 80% 80.2%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
2015 BASELINE VERIFIED
R2 393 BILLION
Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureComments
48
Infrastructure Master plan has been approved and the database development is progressing well;
Provision of electricity (access) has been improved;
National road infrastructure development has improved, but rail and harbour development is behind target;
Water and sanitation programmes are not achieving the desired results and this will impact adversely on human and agricultural development;
The increased capacity of the ports (harbour and air) has not improved as plans have been delayed;
Impact of reduced economic growth and the status of the economy in general on infrastructure development is of concern;
ICT infrastructure has delivered mixed results .
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
49
GOAL 5ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
5.4Mitigation and Adaptation to
climate change
5.3Manage pressures
on biodiversity
5.2Advance
alternative energy generation and
reduce reliance on fossil fuels
5.1Increase
productive use of land
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability
50
Apex IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Green House Gas Emissions
Baseline to
be
established
5,102,200
Mt CO2e
from 2010
Baseline
Being
Determined
% protection of high-risk biodiversity
Planning Units (HRBPU)TBD 70%
Not
Measured
Units of energy produced through
alternative energy generation (new build)9.1MW 1 200MW 49.1 MW
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability
51
0
5 102 200
10 603 200
14 131 20014 788 200
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Green House Gas Emissions (MtCO2e)
Actual Targets
Indicator not reported on
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability
52
0%
35%
70%
85%
100% 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
% protection of High -Risk Biodiversity Planning Units (HRBPU)
Actual Targets
Indicator not reported on
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability
53
49.19.1
604.55
1200
2400
3700
5000
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Units of energy produced through alternative energy generation.
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
.
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.1: Increase productive use of land
54
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
% increase in the Provincial Land Degradation Index
In 2003
approx12% of
the province
(1,118,313 ha)
severely
degraded.
2%16.7 % increase
(1 500 000 ha).
Ha. of land rehabilitated annuallyBaseline to be
established100 000 100 000
% use of high production potential land for non-agricultural activities
13% of total
land area in
KZN is
classified as
high potential
agricultural land.
1.5% 1%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.2: Advance alternative energy generation and reduce reliance on fossil fuels
55
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Units of energy saved through energy
efficiency interventions180 GWh 3 905 GWh 189Gwh
Rural Renewable Energy Rollout TBD TBD TBD
% of non- electrified households linked to
off-grid technologyTBD TBD TBD
% of non- electrified households linked to
mini-gridsTBD TBD TBD
The Eskom and DOE programme which was driving this has been placed on hold. The Province have been battling to find funding to obtain this information at a provincial level and at present there are not many households linked to off grid technologies.
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.3: Manage pressure on biodiversity
56
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Land transformation in High Risk
Biodiversity Planning Units per
district municipalities
At the average rate of transformation
of 127 909 ha/annum the
persistent threshold will be
met in 2012
Not exceeding
connectivity
thresholds, i.e.
75% of land in
identified
planning units
remains
untransformed
14
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
STILL AWAITING CLARIFICATION
FROM AWG
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.3: Manage pressure on biodiversity (DAEA)
57
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
% conformance of land and resource use
decisions with High-Risk Biodiversity
Planning Unit (HRBPU) guidelines per
district municipality
35% 70% 85%
Compliance with national Ambient Air Quality Standards
Not Available 60% 75%
% Blue drop rating 65% 75% 92%
% of waste water treatment works complying with enforcement measures to meet effluent standards
40% 55% 41%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.3: Manage pressure on biodiversity (DAEA)
58
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
% increase in volume of waste recycled
44.5% of packaging put
onto the market is
recycled annually
50% 47.7%
Lighting – 0% of lamps
put on the market are
recycled annually
25% 34.7 tons
Waste tyres- 2% of tyres
put onto the market are
recycled annually
80%4000 tons a
month
Production and waste recycling info results in
discrepancy between target % and Progress in tons –
Still awaiting AWG to provide required
information
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.4: Adapting to climate change (DAEA)
59
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Percentage of waste licence applications finalised within legislated timeframes
64% 80% 43%
% of environmental impact assessments (EIA) applications finalised within legislated timeframes
90 %(2014) 90% 100%
Number of compliance inspections conducted 600 750 649
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.4: Adapting to climate change (DAEA)
60
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Share of events with early warning systems, where affected parties received prior warning.
Not available 100% 100%
Average time taken to respond to disaster events within set timeframes
Not available 100% 100%
Regular forecast of anticipated impacts of climate change and response plan
Not available 100% 100%
Share of development applications addressing disaster risk Management ( where applicable)
5% 25% 75%
Percentage of IDP’s incorporating comprehensive strategies for adaptation and mitigation of climate change
New 50%
Not reported on
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 5: Environmental SustainabilityComments
61
Challenges regarding National Grid remains a challenge;
Engagements with National energy facilitated to assist with increasing KZN contribution of alternative energy onto the grid;
Improved blue drop rating (water);
Land degradation remains a concern;
EIA processes improved, but waste licences and compliance inspections still needs improvement.
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
62
GOAL 6GOVERNANCE AND POLICY
6.4Promote
participative, facilitative and
accountable governance
6.3Eradicate fraud and corruption
6.2Build government
capacity
6.1Strengthen policy,
strategy co-ordination
and IGR
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy
63
Apex Indicators Baseline2015
TargetCurrent Status
Improvement in level of client satisfaction
53% 55%
53% - survey
to be
conducted
October
PERCEPTIONS BIGGEST CHALLENGE FACING KZN (2013)
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.1: Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR (OTP)
64
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Percentage of public sector
expenditure spent in accordance with
the municipal Integrated Development Plan
51.6% 60%
Unknown: Database
and tool being
developed thorough
developed
(Infrastructure task
team)
Percentage of public sector capital
expenditure within KZN spent in
accordance with the PGDS identified/aligned projects
No baseline available
- this analysis is not
currently undertaken
and needs to be instituted.
50% As above
% of development applications that meet time norms for processing
60% in 2010 70% 74%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.2: Building government capacity (OTP)
65
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Percentage of municipal budget that was allocated to capital infrastructure (new construction, maintenance and operation) spent (PT)
86%(2013/14)
100% 89.1%**
Percentage of municipal budget allocated to capital infrastructure (CAPEX) (new construction, maintenance and operation (PT)
18.9% 20% 21%
Percentage of provincial departments and public entities’ budget allocated entities allocated to capital infrastructure spent (PT)
98% provincial (2013/14)
100% 101%
Percentage of provincial departments and public entities budget allocated to capital infrastructure (new construction, maintenance and operation) (PT)
17.2% 20%12.1%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
** AllocatedR13 021 Billion Spend R11 600 911 billion
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.2: Building government capacity (OTP)
66
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
% municipalities with clean audits 8.20% 100% 21%
% of provincial entities with clean audits
28.20% 100%
23.5% - up from 11%
(2 depts and 6
entities)
58.8 % unqualified
with findings (9 depts
and 11 entities)
Percentage of provincial departments
achieving Level 3 within 50% of the
Management Performance Tool (MPAT)
standards for each cycle
50% 65% 42,86%, (MPAT1.4)
down from 48% (MPAT
1.3)
Percentage of vacant funded posts 38% 15% 10%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.3: Eradicating fraud and corruption (OTP)
67
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Percentage of provincial and municipal
entities that have audit disclaimers or
adverse findings
Provincial
1 Qualified of 11
active 2012/13,
thus 9%
0% No Change
Disclaimers : 0%
Qualifications: 5 % (1
entity), down from 0%
Municipal 0% No Change
Disclaimers: 4.9%
2013/14
8% (2013/14)Improved status on Qualified and disclaimerfindings
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.3: Eradicating fraud and corruption (OTP)
68
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Number of Government Officials convicted for corruption or offences related to corruption
268 officials 2012-13
Improved conviction
rate20
GOVERNMENT FRAUD SUMMARY - SAPS STATISTICSYEAR DOCKETS
RECEIVEDR VALUE OF
AFFECTED BY FRAUD
CONVICTIONS VALUE OF CONVICTIONS
VALUE OF ASSETS RESTRAINED
Rate of casesfinalised
(%)[convictions finalised v
dockets received]
Ratio of R(v)
convictions to R(v)
affected by Fraud (%)
% Convictions Public PUBLIC PRIVATE TOTAL
2012/2013 708 R 1 157 126 957
278 268 546R 30 832 552 R 195 359 056 77,12 2,66 50,92
2013/2014 42 R 447 237 621 9 28 37R 61 741 111 R 143 611 875 88,10 13,80 24,32
2014/15 22 R51 214 909 20 3 23 R 6 435 005 R 432 902 500 104,5 1,4886 86,95
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.4: Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance (OTP)
69
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Voter participation in provincial and municipal elections
Prov 2009: 78.81% Local 2011: 61.52%
Prov: 80%Local: 65%
75.6%
Provincial
Increase in percentage of women, youth and people with disabilities within the public and private sphere
Women occupy 40% of jobs across all occupational levels 42% 43.6%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.4: Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance (OTP)
70
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Increase in representation and
participation of non-governmental
stakeholders in the PGDP Action
Workgroups
2010 Baseline4%
5% increase on baseline 9%
Percentage of Women across all
occupational levels 40% 44% 43,6%
Percentage of Employees with
Disabilities in the KZN Provincial
Administration
0.83% 1,2% 0,3%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.4: Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance (OTP)
71
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Percentage of high PGDP intervention areas (as per the PGDP Priority Interventions Areas Map) with functional OSS war rooms)
N/A 100% for Priority 1 Areas (red zones)
63%
30% for Priority 2
Areas (orange zones)
68%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy Comments
72
Pilot citizen satisfaction survey conducted in 2013 and setting the tone for the 2015 review with Statistic SA;
Register of policy instruments is in place;
Although 100 % clean audits not yet achieved, considerable progress has been made in the audit findings;
Management Performance Assessment Tool Scores for KZN are below the national norm, however, the overall position of the Province has improved by 2 positions (ranked 7th);
Standards for MPAT have increased progressively since 2012
Number of fraud cases reduced substantially over the MTEF;
Value of convictions and value of funds affected by fraud also reduced substantially in the 2014/15 financial year
Conviction rate improved. Fewer cases and lower value
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
73
GOAL 7SPATIAL EQUITY
7.2Facilitate
integrated land management and spatial planning
7.1Actively promote
spatial concentration and co-ordination of
development interventions
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity
74
0.507
0.499 0.5110.532 0.569 0.585
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030
Improved population physical access to goods and services as measured by the Spatial Equity /
Accessibility Index
Actual Targets
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity SO 7.1: Actively promote spatial concentration and co-ordination of development interventions (COGTA)
75
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015
TargetCurrent Status
Increase in the population density in designated development areas
6.2Households
/Ha
6.5 Household
s/Ha
3.17 Households
/HaSpatial Distribution of Human
Development Index (HDI) at provincial scale
68.78% 66% 61.91%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity SO 7.2: Facilitate integrated land management and spatial planning
76
Primary IndicatorsBaseline
20102015 Target
Current Status
Percentage of total provincial
geographical area with Land Use Management Schemes and systems
1.8% 50% 7.1%
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World
Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity
77
The PGDP has been cascaded to District Level
IDP processes have been aligned to facilitate alignment with the District Growth and Development Plans
Although legislative prescripts provide for “wall-to-wall” spatial covering, density targets and spatial planning in rural areas need further engagement with all key stakeholders
KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World