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KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Page 1: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

KWAZULU-NATAL 2015High-level overview on

Implementation of the PGDP

1

Presented by:

Office of the Premier

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 2: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Introduction

2

The purpose of this presentation is to provide ahigh-level overview of the progress made inKwaZulu-Natal over the last Year.

This assessment is based on:

the progress reported on the implementation of the 2014 Provincial Growth and Development Plan (PGDP)

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 3: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

307Vision2030

STRATEGIC GOALS

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES

KZN PGDSSTRATEGIC FRAMEWORK

KwaZulu-Natal will be a

prosperousProvince with a healthy, secure

and skilled population, acting as a gateway to

Africa and the World

JOB CREATION1

GOVERNANCE AND POLICY

6

ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

5

STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE

4

HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT

2

SPATIAL EQUITY7

HUMAN &COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT

3

1. Unleashing the Agricultural Sector 2. Enhance Industrial Development through Trade, Investment

& Exports3. Expansion of Government-led job creation programmes 4. Promoting SMME, Entrepreneurial and Youth Development5. Enhance the Knowledge Economy

6. Early Childhood Development, Primary and Secondary Education

7. Skills alignment to Economic Growth8. Youth Skills Development & Life-Long Learning

9. Poverty Alleviation & Social Welfare10. Enhancing Health of Communities and Citizens11. Enhance Sustainable Household Food Security 12. Promote Sustainable Human Settlements13. Enhance Safety & Security14. Advance Social Capital

15. Development of Harbours 16. Development of Ports17. Development of Road & Rail Networks18. Development of ICT Infrastructure19. Improve Water Resource Management & Supply20. Develop Energy Production and Supply

21. Increase Productive Use of Land 22. Advance Alternative Energy Generation23. Manage pressures on Biodiversity24. Adaptation to Climate Change

25. Strengthen Policy and Strategy Co-ordination & IGR26. Building Government Capacity 27. Eradicating Fraud & Corruption28. Promote Participative, Facilitative & Accountable

Governance

29. Actively Promoting Spatial Concentration 30. Facilitate Integrated Land Management & Spatial

Planning

3

3

Page 4: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

General Overview based on PGDP Progress Reporting:

4

1

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 5: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

5

GOAL 1JOB

CREATION

1.5Develop the

knowledge base to enhance the knowledge economy

1.4Promote SMME

and entrepreneurial

development

1.3Improve the efficiency of

government led job creation programmes

1.2Enhance sectoral

development through trade &

investment

1.1Unleash

Agricultural Potential

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 6: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job Creation

6

R 332 670.00R 267 000.20

R 347 000.00

R 450 000.00

R 770 000.00

R 0.00

R 100 000.00

R 200 000.00

R 300 000.00

R 400 000.00

R 500 000.00

R 600 000.00

R 700 000.00

R 800 000.00

R 900 000.00

2010 2013 2015 2020 2030

Total value of output of all sectors within the provincial economy (Real Rands,2005)

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 7: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job Creation

7

2 419 0002 400 0002 800 000

3 300 000

4 500 000

0

1 000 000

2 000 000

3 000 000

4 000 000

5 000 000

2010 2013 2015 2020 2030

Total employment within the provincial economy

Actual Targets

R31 106.93 R 28

110.00

R 33 400.00

R 39 760.00

R 56 230.00

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

2010 2013 2015 2020 2030

GDP per capita within the provincial economy

Actual

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 8: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.1: Unleash Agricultural Potential (DAEA)

8

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Total employment within agricultural

sector including forestry and livestock

farming.

108 800 128 600 110 000

Value of agricultural contribution to the

provincial economy. (R million) 11 800 14 650 12 961

Development of commercial farmers (new

entrant, small scale, ITB and land reform

farmers)

3574 (2007) 3 870 3 574

Hectares of land under agricultural

production (excluding ITB) 4 148 783

(excluding ITB)

5 130 000

(excluding ITB)

4 380 000

(Including

ITB)

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 9: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.2: Enhance sectoral development through trade and investment (DEDT)

9

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Total employment within all sectors excluding primary agriculture

2,319,000 2,420,000 2,340,000

Total Value of the provincial economy

excluding primary agriculture ( Real Rands,2005)

R255,400m R332,000m R318.274.96m

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 10: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.3: Improve the efficiency of government led job creation programmes (DOPW)

10

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

2010

2015

TargetCurrent Status

Cumulative number of FTEs created

through EPWP and CWP, inclusive of all

sectors.

Phase 1

163,800

Phase 2

211 15667541

Cumulative number of FTEs created

through EPWP and CWP, inclusive of all

sectors.

483921 424088 766305

Total Rand Value of each EPWP work Opportunity

Infrastructure Sector R25 000 R40 000 R2B spent on 109331 67W.O

Environmental and Agriculture Sector R 20 000 R22 000 R272m spent on 18 344 W.O

Social Sector R 18 000 R21 000

R369m spent on 44 222WO

R107m spent on CWP 31 472

Non State 8214

National 49363

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 11: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.3: Improve the efficiency of government led job creation programmes (DOPW)

11

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

2010

2015

TargetCurrent Status

Number of Emerging Contractors

registered on KZN database24800 35000 44592

Number of Contracts awarded to

emerging Contractors284 411 840

Number of Emerging Contractors

trained200 400 547

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 12: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.4: Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development (DEDT)

12

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015 Target

Current Status

Number of Cooperatives and SMME’s

registered in KZN, that have been in

operation for more than 2 years

15 622 18 122

7474 (KZN

Supplier

database)

Number of new jobs created through

establishment of SMMEs and Coops.1 506 100 1 580 000 1640520

Increase the level of BBBEE

compliance in KZN

Level 4

Compliance

Level 3

Compliance

Level 5

Compliance

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Issue of BEE Level Contributor remains unclear as most

Departments have not submitted their verification results. As such the

current status average of Level 5 depicted may even be Level 6

Page 13: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.5: Develop the knowledge base to enhance the knowledge economy (DEDT)

13

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

% of SA patents and designs registered

by KZN entities and individuals222

237

7% increase

on base year

181

168 pending

5 Accepted

8 granted

% of registered professional engineers in

the KZN labourforce

0.023 %

(1595 registered

engineers)

14% increase

on base year10.8%

Gross expenditure on R&D as a

proportion of provincial GVA (Real Rands

2005)

R 2 020 m R3,000 m R 2 516 m

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 14: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationSO 1.5: Develop the knowledge base to enhance the knowledge economy (DEDT)

14

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015 Target

Current

Status

Percentage of Academic staff with

PHD Qualifications

48% UKZN

6,5% MUT

8% DUT

5% UNIZUL

50% UKZN

8% MUT

13% DUT

29% UNIZUL

55% UKZN

11% MUT

17% DUT

31% UNIZUL

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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15

This Goal is directly affected by the growth rate of the Global and National Economy;

The PGDP was developed on an assumption of an average per annum GDP growth rate of 5%. Current trends are well below the growth rate projected in 2011

The unemployment has decreased but the per capita GDP growth rate has not performed well enough;

STATS SA figures, however, signal improvement in the creation of jobs in the agricultural sector

Developing technical skills coupled with mentorship and employment opportunities remain a challenge

SMME and cooperative development are not yielding local economic development

Strategic Goal 1: Job CreationComments

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 16: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

16

GOAL 2HUMAN

RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT2.3

Enhance youth skills development

and life-long learning

2.2Support skills development

with economic growth

2.1Improve early

childhood development, primary and

secondary education

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 17: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development

17

99%

94% 95% 97% 98% 100%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Gross enrolment rate (GER)Primary

Actual Targets

90.6%

86.70% 88% 89% 90% 90%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Gross enrolment rate (GER)Secondary

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development

18

53.5%36%

60%70%

80%90%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Percentage of Grade 3, 6 and 9 learners performing at the required levels in Annual National Assessments (Literacy and Numeracy)

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 19: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development

19

486486500

550600 600

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Performance in SACMEQ· Reading

Actual Targets

485485

500550

600 600

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

2010 2013 2015Target

2020 2025 2030

Performance in SACMEQ· Mathematics

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development

20

68.10%75%

80%85% 90%

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

2010 2013 2015Target

2020 2025 2030

Percentage National Senior Certificate (NSC) pass rate

Targets

Results will be available after 2015 NSC Exams

35724

27 826 30 000

33 000 35 000 35 000

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

2010 2013 2015Target

2020 2025 2030

Numbers of students qualifying for Bachelors programme in the

NSC

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development

21

13%12.50%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in TVET Colleges

Actual Targets

55%

66%68%

70%73% 75%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

TVET NC(V) graduation rate

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 22: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource Development

22

26.0%

22.10%22.50%

23%24% 25%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in Higher Education

Actual Targets

90%

80%82%

84%87% 90%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Adult Literacy rate

Actual

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 23: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.1: Improve early childhood development, primary and secondary education (DOE)

23

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Enrolment of 3-5 year old children in educational institutions (Public and private)

20% 30% 30%

Percentage of Grade 1 learners who attended Grade R class

92% 93% 93%

Retention rates: Grade 10-12 57% 75% 75%Grade 3 learners performing at he required levels in ANA• Literacy• Numeracy

33%15%

60%60%

71.4%70.9%

Grade 6 learners performing at the required levels

in ANA• Literacy• Numeracy

10%7%

60%60%

75.6%

43.8%

Grade 9 learners performing at the required levels in ANA• Literacy• Numeracy

50% 60%60%

48%

10%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 24: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.1: Improve early childhood development, primary and secondary education (DOE)

24KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

2010

2015

Target

Current

StatusPercentage of children who turned 9 in the

previous year who are currently in Grade 4 or

above

62% 65% 65%

Percentage of children who turned 12 in the

previous year who are currently in Grade 7 or

above

47% 55% 55%

Percentage of youth who obtain a national

Senior Certificate from School

47% 50% 72%

Number of learners qualifying in NSC for :

• Bachelors programme

• Diploma

• Certificate

27 826

35 488

30 000

37 000

35 724

39 751

24 202 25 000 21 544

Page 25: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.2: Support skills alignment with economic growth (OTP)

25KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015 Target

Current

Status

Number of NSC candidates taking

• Mathematics

• Science

15 844

15 726

37 000

28 000

39 151

33 442

Full and part time students in public TVET

Colleges for

• All courses

• NC(V) courses

• N Courses

• Occupational qualification

88 166

25 393

53 007

88 600

26 000

53 500

109 490

28 939

67 540

4 109 4 500 939

Students graduating in:

• Education

• Science, Engineering and Technology(SET)

3680

5928

3800

6100

4 357

6 339

Number of PhD graduates 187 190 239

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Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentSO 2.3: Enhance youth skills development and life-long learning (OTP)

26

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Youths supported by National Skills Fund, SETAs and Youth programmes

45 253 46 000 58 749

Participation in Adult Education Training (AET)

59 000 61 000 42 563

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 2: Human Resource DevelopmentComments

27

HRD developed strategy for the province and this includes both private and public sector skills development at different levels;

School enrolments have improved but access to tertiary levels remains a concern;

Access to early childhood development has improved.

There is improvement in literacy and numeracy skills at Grades 3 and 6, however, Grade 9 remains a challenge;

Adult literacy rate has improved.

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

Page 28: KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 - KZN Planning Commission High level overview on... · KWAZULU-NATAL 2015 High-level overview on Implementation of the PGDP 1 Presented by: Office of the Premier

28

GOAL 3HUMAN AND COMMUNITY

DEVELOPMENT

3.6Advance Social

Capital

3.5Safety and

security3.4

Sustainable human

settlements

3.3Enhance

sustainable household

food security

3.2Enhance health of communities

and citizens

3.1Poverty

eradication and social welfare

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

29

0.7

0.7 0.72

0.80.9

1

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

PGDP Adjusted Human Development Index (Baseline StatsSA,2006)

Actual Target

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

30

54.449.1

56.4 58.461 63.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Life expectancy at birth :Male

Actual Targets

59.450.2

60.7 62.765 68

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Life expectancy at birth : Female

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

31

27.8

25.7

10.79

5.4

00

5

10

15

20

25

30

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Decrease in Absolute Poverty: % below food poverty line, PL = half

of R418 proposed by NPC)

Actual Target

17.617.6

19.4

22.1

25.4

29.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Decrease in social inequality : Share of income earned by poorest 60%

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

32

0

36083396

3057

2751

2476

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Total Number of crimes measured as the number of crimes reported per 100 000/population

Actual Targets

No Information

provided

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.1: Poverty alleviation and social welfare (DSD)

33

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Reduction in relative poverty: % below upper bound poverty line, PL= 1.25 R418 proposed by NPC) (Baseline : NIDS,2008)

67.5 60.8 56.6

Reduction in child poverty: % children that are stunted ,wasted or obese (Baseline: NIDS,2008,KIDS 2004)

15.3(stunted)

2.5 (wasted) 14.6 (obese)

14.2 (stunted)

2.3 (wasted) 14 (obese)

15.3(stunted)

2.4 (wasted) 14.6(obese)

Severe malnutrition under 5 years incidence (per 1000)

8.3 7 6.1/1000

Underweight for age under 5 years incidence (per 1000)

44.6 40 14.6

Percentage of children under 5 years with moderate acute malnutrition

New 10% 0.4%

Effective dependency ratio (economically inactive people/economically active people) Baseline

4.0 3.6 6.5

The poverty gap( p1) and severity of poverty(p2) (Baseline NIDS 2008)

28.8 (p1)16.7(p2)

27.4(p1)15.9(p2)

25.6(P1)

14.4(p2)

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.2: Enhancing health of communities and citizens (DOH)

34

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Facility maternal mortality ratio –proxy (per 100 000 live births)

195 125 124.9/100k

Infant Mortality rate (per 1000 live births) 7 5.6 7,4

Under 5 Mortality rate (per 1000 live Births) 4.8 4.7 5.9

Diabetes incidence( per 1000 population) 3 2.7 1.6

Hypertension incidence (per 1000 population over 40 years)

28.98 26.9 19.3

HIV Incidence(%) 1.01% 1% 1.01%

TB incidence (per 100 000 population) 1161 720 897

Malaria incidence ( per 1000 population at risk) 0.80 0.75 0.98

Professional nurses per 100 000 population 130 140 137.7

Medical Officers per 100 000 population. 24 28 28.5

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.3:Enhance sustainable household food security

35

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Dietary Diversity Index: % of households

consuming < 15 major food categories in

previous month

60% 54% 49.36%

Hunger episodes: household member has

gone hungry at least sometimes in past

12 months - % of households

35% 32% 28.3%

Number of local municipalities supported

with informal economy policies31 31 15

Number of municipal officials capacitated

to support the informal economy sector22 31 15

Number of municipalities funded for

informal economy infrastructure

development35 50 37

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.4: Sustainable human settlements (HOHS)

36

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Percentage housing backlog17.9%

(716 079units)

Decrease by 7%

(665 953 Units)

12%

decrease

90036

Percentage households with registrable form of tenure

55.1% 56% 55.7%

Percentage of Provincial Human Settlements budget spent on formal settlement development

36% 37% 44%

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.

Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.5: Safety and security

37

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Number of serious crimes reported 282 747

(2013)

277 092

Number of crimes against women and

children

44 366

(2013)

43 478

Number of drug related crimes reported 45 802

(2013)

51 802

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

INDICATION OF CURRENT STATUS TRENDS BASED ON OPERATIONAL INFORMATION RECEIVED FROM SAPS, ACTUAL CRIME STATISTICS

NOT YET RELEASED

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

SO 3.6: Advance Social Capital

38

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Number of community level institutions

active in participating in government

department programmes, with active

registration status in KZN.

2 438 2 682 2574

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Strategic Goal 3: Human and Community Development

Comments

39

Poverty Eradication Master Plan (PEMP)has been developed and Operations Centre formalisation in progress;

Operations Sukuma Sakhe has been incorporated as an approach to facilitate a phased approach to poverty interventions outlined in the PEMP

Socio-economic challenges are still a barrier to wellbeing

TB incidence remains an area of concern;

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40

GOAL 4STRATEGIC

INFRASTRUCTURE

4.6Improve energy production and

supply

4.5Improve water

resource management

and supply 4.4Development of

ICT

4.3Development of

road and rail networks

4.2Development of

airports

4.1Development of

harbours

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure

41

3.7%

6%

8%

15%

17%

20%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Provincial and Municipal Fix Capital Formation as a % of GDP (2005 prices)

Actual Target

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.1: Development of harbours (DOT)

42

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Ports capacity measured in million TEU’s 2.5m 3.2m 2.76mill

Ports Capacity measured in Dry Bulk Volumes 108m110mil

tons104.24mil

Port capacity measured in containers Crane

handling26 30 24

Ports capacity measured by number of cruise

liner visits32 40 55

Ports capacity measured by Cruise ship

operators 2 3 2

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.2: Development of airports (DOT)

43

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Volume of passengers through KZN airports 5m 6m 4.75m

Tonnage throughput from DTP cargo terminal

(international)5000 7000 7150

Tonnage throughput from DTP cargo

terminal(domestic)New 7000 6700

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Airport only

opened 2010

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.3: Development of airports (DOT)

44

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Total number of TEUs on Natcor rail line 400 000 600 000 376203

Road to rail ratio out of Durban 4.12:1 3.5:1 6.25:1

Number of kilometres of declared road that provides access to communities

30 335 31 845 31 802

Percentage of provincial road network in poor to very poor condition

52% 45% 43%

Percentage of national road network in poor to very poor condition

15% 10% 2%

% Modal split in Commuter transport7% (for

Ethekwini)55% 55%

% Tonnage to Capacity Utilisation(Demand Installed)

18% 26% 24%

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.4: Development of ICT infrastructure (DEDT)

45

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Number of kilometres of backbone

Fibre Optic cables rolled out

11800km 15000km 14683km

Number of Points of Presence (POPS) 8 40 43

Number of established Municipal

Access Networks

1 10 7

Number of Schools Connected 300 1800 1928

Number of Health Facilities Connected 45 300 199

Number of ICT Infrastructure Nodes 68 403 393

Minimum Broadband speed available

within the Province

256 kbs 5 (MB (50%

coverage)

Not

Measured

Lowest Cost of data Average R3 681

Pm (for 256kbs)

R8 440.00

(for 5MB)

R8 440.00

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.5: Improve water resource management and supply (COGTA)

46

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Cubic meters per capita per year available 917m3 1000m3 835m3

Number of water service systems in balance (supply and demand balance)

40% in balance out

of 155 measures

60% 49%

Non-revenue water 20% 40% 35.6%

Value of development/rezoning applications not approved due to bulk water and effluent constraints

R900 millionR750

millionTBD

% of households with access to 75 litres of water per person per day (Baseline and Target was based on 25 litres per day)

86% 95% 85.7%

% of households with yard water connections 23.8% 28% 23.5%

% of households with sanitation to MIG standards 85.61% 93.12% 90.8%

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REVISED VERIFIED BASELINE 2015 R3 826 BILLION

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureSO 4.6: Improve energy production and supply (COGTA)

47

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Value of development/rezoning applications not approved due to electricity supply constraints

TBD TBD TBD

% of households with a source of electrical supply

75.9% 80% 80.2%

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2015 BASELINE VERIFIED

R2 393 BILLION

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Strategic Goal 4: Strategic InfrastructureComments

48

Infrastructure Master plan has been approved and the database development is progressing well;

Provision of electricity (access) has been improved;

National road infrastructure development has improved, but rail and harbour development is behind target;

Water and sanitation programmes are not achieving the desired results and this will impact adversely on human and agricultural development;

The increased capacity of the ports (harbour and air) has not improved as plans have been delayed;

Impact of reduced economic growth and the status of the economy in general on infrastructure development is of concern;

ICT infrastructure has delivered mixed results .

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49

GOAL 5ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY

5.4Mitigation and Adaptation to

climate change

5.3Manage pressures

on biodiversity

5.2Advance

alternative energy generation and

reduce reliance on fossil fuels

5.1Increase

productive use of land

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability

50

Apex IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Green House Gas Emissions

Baseline to

be

established

5,102,200

Mt CO2e

from 2010

Baseline

Being

Determined

% protection of high-risk biodiversity

Planning Units (HRBPU)TBD 70%

Not

Measured

Units of energy produced through

alternative energy generation (new build)9.1MW 1 200MW 49.1 MW

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability

51

0

5 102 200

10 603 200

14 131 20014 788 200

0

2000000

4000000

6000000

8000000

10000000

12000000

14000000

16000000

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Green House Gas Emissions (MtCO2e)

Actual Targets

Indicator not reported on

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability

52

0%

35%

70%

85%

100% 100%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

% protection of High -Risk Biodiversity Planning Units (HRBPU)

Actual Targets

Indicator not reported on

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability

53

49.19.1

604.55

1200

2400

3700

5000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Units of energy produced through alternative energy generation.

Actual Targets

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.

Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.1: Increase productive use of land

54

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

% increase in the Provincial Land Degradation Index

In 2003

approx12% of

the province

(1,118,313 ha)

severely

degraded.

2%16.7 % increase

(1 500 000 ha).

Ha. of land rehabilitated annuallyBaseline to be

established100 000 100 000

% use of high production potential land for non-agricultural activities

13% of total

land area in

KZN is

classified as

high potential

agricultural land.

1.5% 1%

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.2: Advance alternative energy generation and reduce reliance on fossil fuels

55

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Units of energy saved through energy

efficiency interventions180 GWh 3 905 GWh 189Gwh

Rural Renewable Energy Rollout TBD TBD TBD

% of non- electrified households linked to

off-grid technologyTBD TBD TBD

% of non- electrified households linked to

mini-gridsTBD TBD TBD

The Eskom and DOE programme which was driving this has been placed on hold. The Province have been battling to find funding to obtain this information at a provincial level and at present there are not many households linked to off grid technologies.

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.3: Manage pressure on biodiversity

56

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Land transformation in High Risk

Biodiversity Planning Units per

district municipalities

At the average rate of transformation

of 127 909 ha/annum the

persistent threshold will be

met in 2012

Not exceeding

connectivity

thresholds, i.e.

75% of land in

identified

planning units

remains

untransformed

14

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

STILL AWAITING CLARIFICATION

FROM AWG

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.3: Manage pressure on biodiversity (DAEA)

57

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

% conformance of land and resource use

decisions with High-Risk Biodiversity

Planning Unit (HRBPU) guidelines per

district municipality

35% 70% 85%

Compliance with national Ambient Air Quality Standards

Not Available 60% 75%

% Blue drop rating 65% 75% 92%

% of waste water treatment works complying with enforcement measures to meet effluent standards

40% 55% 41%

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.3: Manage pressure on biodiversity (DAEA)

58

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

% increase in volume of waste recycled

44.5% of packaging put

onto the market is

recycled annually

50% 47.7%

Lighting – 0% of lamps

put on the market are

recycled annually

25% 34.7 tons

Waste tyres- 2% of tyres

put onto the market are

recycled annually

80%4000 tons a

month

Production and waste recycling info results in

discrepancy between target % and Progress in tons –

Still awaiting AWG to provide required

information

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.4: Adapting to climate change (DAEA)

59

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Percentage of waste licence applications finalised within legislated timeframes

64% 80% 43%

% of environmental impact assessments (EIA) applications finalised within legislated timeframes

90 %(2014) 90% 100%

Number of compliance inspections conducted 600 750 649

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental Sustainability SO 5.4: Adapting to climate change (DAEA)

60

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Share of events with early warning systems, where affected parties received prior warning.

Not available 100% 100%

Average time taken to respond to disaster events within set timeframes

Not available 100% 100%

Regular forecast of anticipated impacts of climate change and response plan

Not available 100% 100%

Share of development applications addressing disaster risk Management ( where applicable)

5% 25% 75%

Percentage of IDP’s incorporating comprehensive strategies for adaptation and mitigation of climate change

New 50%

Not reported on

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Strategic Goal 5: Environmental SustainabilityComments

61

Challenges regarding National Grid remains a challenge;

Engagements with National energy facilitated to assist with increasing KZN contribution of alternative energy onto the grid;

Improved blue drop rating (water);

Land degradation remains a concern;

EIA processes improved, but waste licences and compliance inspections still needs improvement.

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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62

GOAL 6GOVERNANCE AND POLICY

6.4Promote

participative, facilitative and

accountable governance

6.3Eradicate fraud and corruption

6.2Build government

capacity

6.1Strengthen policy,

strategy co-ordination

and IGR

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy

63

Apex Indicators Baseline2015

TargetCurrent Status

Improvement in level of client satisfaction

53% 55%

53% - survey

to be

conducted

October

PERCEPTIONS BIGGEST CHALLENGE FACING KZN (2013)

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.1: Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR (OTP)

64

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Percentage of public sector

expenditure spent in accordance with

the municipal Integrated Development Plan

51.6% 60%

Unknown: Database

and tool being

developed thorough

developed

(Infrastructure task

team)

Percentage of public sector capital

expenditure within KZN spent in

accordance with the PGDS identified/aligned projects

No baseline available

- this analysis is not

currently undertaken

and needs to be instituted.

50% As above

% of development applications that meet time norms for processing

60% in 2010 70% 74%

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.2: Building government capacity (OTP)

65

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Percentage of municipal budget that was allocated to capital infrastructure (new construction, maintenance and operation) spent (PT)

86%(2013/14)

100% 89.1%**

Percentage of municipal budget allocated to capital infrastructure (CAPEX) (new construction, maintenance and operation (PT)

18.9% 20% 21%

Percentage of provincial departments and public entities’ budget allocated entities allocated to capital infrastructure spent (PT)

98% provincial (2013/14)

100% 101%

Percentage of provincial departments and public entities budget allocated to capital infrastructure (new construction, maintenance and operation) (PT)

17.2% 20%12.1%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

** AllocatedR13 021 Billion Spend R11 600 911 billion

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.2: Building government capacity (OTP)

66

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

% municipalities with clean audits 8.20% 100% 21%

% of provincial entities with clean audits

28.20% 100%

23.5% - up from 11%

(2 depts and 6

entities)

58.8 % unqualified

with findings (9 depts

and 11 entities)

Percentage of provincial departments

achieving Level 3 within 50% of the

Management Performance Tool (MPAT)

standards for each cycle

50% 65% 42,86%, (MPAT1.4)

down from 48% (MPAT

1.3)

Percentage of vacant funded posts 38% 15% 10%

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.3: Eradicating fraud and corruption (OTP)

67

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Percentage of provincial and municipal

entities that have audit disclaimers or

adverse findings

Provincial

1 Qualified of 11

active 2012/13,

thus 9%

0% No Change

Disclaimers : 0%

Qualifications: 5 % (1

entity), down from 0%

Municipal 0% No Change

Disclaimers: 4.9%

2013/14

8% (2013/14)Improved status on Qualified and disclaimerfindings

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.3: Eradicating fraud and corruption (OTP)

68

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Number of Government Officials convicted for corruption or offences related to corruption

268 officials 2012-13

Improved conviction

rate20

GOVERNMENT FRAUD SUMMARY - SAPS STATISTICSYEAR DOCKETS

RECEIVEDR VALUE OF

AFFECTED BY FRAUD

CONVICTIONS VALUE OF CONVICTIONS

VALUE OF ASSETS RESTRAINED

Rate of casesfinalised

(%)[convictions finalised v

dockets received]

Ratio of R(v)

convictions to R(v)

affected by Fraud (%)

% Convictions Public PUBLIC PRIVATE TOTAL

2012/2013 708 R 1 157 126 957

278 268 546R 30 832 552 R 195 359 056 77,12 2,66 50,92

2013/2014 42 R 447 237 621 9 28 37R 61 741 111 R 143 611 875 88,10 13,80 24,32

2014/15 22 R51 214 909 20 3 23 R 6 435 005 R 432 902 500 104,5 1,4886 86,95

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.4: Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance (OTP)

69

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Voter participation in provincial and municipal elections

Prov 2009: 78.81% Local 2011: 61.52%

Prov: 80%Local: 65%

75.6%

Provincial

Increase in percentage of women, youth and people with disabilities within the public and private sphere

Women occupy 40% of jobs across all occupational levels 42% 43.6%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.4: Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance (OTP)

70

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Increase in representation and

participation of non-governmental

stakeholders in the PGDP Action

Workgroups

2010 Baseline4%

5% increase on baseline 9%

Percentage of Women across all

occupational levels 40% 44% 43,6%

Percentage of Employees with

Disabilities in the KZN Provincial

Administration

0.83% 1,2% 0,3%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy SO 6.4: Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance (OTP)

71

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Percentage of high PGDP intervention areas (as per the PGDP Priority Interventions Areas Map) with functional OSS war rooms)

N/A 100% for Priority 1 Areas (red zones)

63%

30% for Priority 2

Areas (orange zones)

68%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 6: Governance and Policy Comments

72

Pilot citizen satisfaction survey conducted in 2013 and setting the tone for the 2015 review with Statistic SA;

Register of policy instruments is in place;

Although 100 % clean audits not yet achieved, considerable progress has been made in the audit findings;

Management Performance Assessment Tool Scores for KZN are below the national norm, however, the overall position of the Province has improved by 2 positions (ranked 7th);

Standards for MPAT have increased progressively since 2012

Number of fraud cases reduced substantially over the MTEF;

Value of convictions and value of funds affected by fraud also reduced substantially in the 2014/15 financial year

Conviction rate improved. Fewer cases and lower value

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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73

GOAL 7SPATIAL EQUITY

7.2Facilitate

integrated land management and spatial planning

7.1Actively promote

spatial concentration and co-ordination of

development interventions

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity

74

0.507

0.499 0.5110.532 0.569 0.585

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

2010 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030

Improved population physical access to goods and services as measured by the Spatial Equity /

Accessibility Index

Actual Targets

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity SO 7.1: Actively promote spatial concentration and co-ordination of development interventions (COGTA)

75

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015

TargetCurrent Status

Increase in the population density in designated development areas

6.2Households

/Ha

6.5 Household

s/Ha

3.17 Households

/HaSpatial Distribution of Human

Development Index (HDI) at provincial scale

68.78% 66% 61.91%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity SO 7.2: Facilitate integrated land management and spatial planning

76

Primary IndicatorsBaseline

20102015 Target

Current Status

Percentage of total provincial

geographical area with Land Use Management Schemes and systems

1.8% 50% 7.1%

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World

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Strategic Goal 7: Spatial Equity

77

The PGDP has been cascaded to District Level

IDP processes have been aligned to facilitate alignment with the District Growth and Development Plans

Although legislative prescripts provide for “wall-to-wall” spatial covering, density targets and spatial planning in rural areas need further engagement with all key stakeholders

KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with a healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World