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“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”
KwaZulu-Natal
1
DRAFT 2017/18 PROVINCIAL GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT PLAN
PROVINCIAL EXECUTIVE COUNCIL LEKGOTLA23 August 2017
Session 4
By 2035 KwaZulu-Natal will be a prosperous Province with
a healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity
and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World.
1. REFINING THE 2016/17 PGDP
2. DRAFT 2017/18 PGDP
3. PGDP IMPLEMENTATION FOCUS
4. RESOLUTIONS
2
OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION
One Province – One Plan – One Future
3
1.REFINING THE 2016/17
PGDP
• PGDS 2016-2035 and PGDP 2016/17 were
endorsed at the February 2017 Lekgotla,
hence emphasis now is only on minor
refinements;
• WORKING WITH AWG GROUPS ON:
- Refinement of indicators
- Refinement of targets
- Refinement of interventions
• UPDATED CATALYTIC PROJECTS
4
1. REFINING THE 2016/17 PGDP
5
2.DRAFT 2017/18 PGDP
317
Vision2035
STRATEGIC GOALS
STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
KZN PGDSSTRATEGIC FRAMEWORK
KwaZulu-Natal will be a
prosperousProvince with a healthy, secure
and skilled population,
living in dignity and harmony,
acting as a gateway to
Africa and the World
INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH
1
GOVERNANCE AND POLICY
6
ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
5
STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE
4
HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
2
SPATIAL EQUITY7
HUMAN &COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
3
1. Develop and promote the agricultural potential of KZN 2. Enhance sectoral development through trade, investment &
business retention3. Enhance spatial economic development4. Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of Government-
led job creation programmes 5. Promoting SMME, Entrepreneurial and Youth Development6. Enhance the Knowledge Economy
7. Early Childhood Development, Primary and Secondary Education
8. Skills alignment to Economic Growth9. Youth Skills Development & Life-Long Learning
10. Eradicate poverty & improve social welfare services11. Enhancing health of communities and citizens12. Safeguard and enhance sustainable household food security 13. Promote Sustainable Human Settlements14. Enhance safety & security15. Advance social cohesion and social capital16. Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and the
advancement of women
17. Development of seaports and airports18. Develop road and rail networks 19. Develop ICT infrastructure 20. Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and
sanitation for all21. Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern
energy for all22. Enhance KZN waste management capacity
23. Enhance resilience of ecosystem services24. Expand application of green technologies 25. Adapt and respond to Climate Change
26. Strengthen policy and strategy co-ordination & IGR27. Building government capacity 28. Eradicating fraud & corruption29. Promote participative, facilitative & accountable
governance
30. Enhance the resilience of new and existing cities, towns and rural nodes, ensuring equitable access to resources, social and economic opportunities
31. Ensure integrated land management use across the Province, ensuring equitable access to goods and services, attracting social and financial investment
6
2016 PGDS STRATEGIC GOALS and OBJECTIVESSTRATEGIC
GOALNo STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 2016
1INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH
1.1 Develop and promote the agricultural potential of KZN
1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention
1.3 Enhance spatial economic development
1.4Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of government-ledjob creation programmes
1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development
1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy
2HUMAN
RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
2.1Improve early childhood development, primary andsecondary education
2.2 Support skills development to economic growth
2.3 Enhance youth and adult skills development and life-long learning
3HUMAN AND COMMUNITY
DEVELOPMENT
3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare services
3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
3.3 Safeguard and enhance sustainable livelihoods and food security
3.4 Promote sustainable human settlements3.5 Enhance safety and security3.6 Advance social cohesion and social capital
3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and the advancement of women
7
8
2016 PGDS STRATEGIC GOALS and OBJECTIVES
STRATEGIC GOAL No STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 2016
4STRATEGIC
INFRASTRUCTURE
4.1 Development of seaports and airports
4.2 Develop road and rail networks
4.3 Develop ICT infrastructure
4.4 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
4.5 Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all
4.6 Enhance KZN waste management capacity
5ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
5.1 Enhance resilience of ecosystem services
5.2 Expand the application of green technologies
5.3 Adapt and respond climate change
6GOVERNANCE AND
POLICY
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy coordination and IGR
6.2 Build government capacity
6.3 Eradicate fraud and corruption
6.4 Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance
7SPATIAL EQUITY
7.1Enhance the resilience of new and existing cities, towns and rural nodes, ensuring equitable access to resources, social and economic opportunities
7.2Ensure integrated land management use across the Province, ensuring equitable access to goods and services, attracting social and financial investment
9
GOAL 1
Inclusive Economic Growth
• No amendments to Goal Indicators
• 4 Amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• 2 additions to Interventions
10
GOAL INDICATORS Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
Total value of output of all
sectors within the provincial
economy (Constant, 2010 R
Value)
R489 208 m
1%: R 514 163m
3%: R567 126m
6%: R654 670 m
R 540 390m
R657 455m
R876 096 m
R 567 955m
R762 170m
R1 172 415 m
R 596 927m
R883 564m
R1 568 956 m
Total employment in all
sectors within the provincial
economy
Growth Scenarios
Low=1%; Medium=3%,
High=6%
2 497 000
L: 2 640 000
M: 2 713 000
H: 2 810 000
L: 2 830 000
M: 3 011 000
H: 3 258 000
L: 3 034 000
M: 3 340 000
H :3 777 000
L: 3 252 000
M: 3 706 000
H: 4 379 000
GDP per capita within the
provincial economy
Growth Scenarios
Low=1%; Medium=3%,
High=6%
R44
L: R 46 091
M: R 48 290
H: R 50 954
L: R 48 697
M: R 54 080
H: R61 024
L: R 51 449
M: R60 564
H: R73 085
L: R 54 358
M: R67 826
H: R87 530
Annual unemployment rate
(narrow and broad) for KZNNarrow = 21.47
Broad = 39.14
Narrow: 20
Broad: 38
Narrow: 19
Broad: 36.5
Narrow: 18
Broad: 34
Narrow: 17
Broad: 32.5
Employed Youth (15-34) ('000) 1 092 1 171 1 255 1 345 1 442
Percentage increase of youth
(15-34) amongst economically
active in employment.
- 7.23% 14.93% 23.17% 32.05%
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth: GOAL INDICATORS
NO PROPOSED
AMENDMENTS
10
11
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.1 Develop and Promote the Agricultural Potential of KZN
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.1.1
Increase employment within
the agricultural sector
(including forestry and
livestock)
141 000 162 150 180 320 198 490 216 660
1.1.2Increase in commercial
farmers 17 432 19 175 20 918 22 661 24 404
1.1.3Increase in emerging
commercial farmers1 780 1 869 1 958 2 047 2 136
1.1.4Hectares of land under
irrigation170 597 173 097 175 597 178 097 180 597
1.1.5
Real value of output of the
agricultural sector (Real
Rands, 2010)
R21,3
bln
R23,7
bln
R26,4
bln
R29,4
bln
R32,8
bln
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS11
12
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.2.1 Total absolute value of the provincial
economy excluding primary
agriculture. Low, Medium, High Growth
Scenarios
Low=1%, Medium=3%, High=6%
R468 715 m
L: 515 357
M:539 943
H:569 726
L: 580 241
M: 644 386
H: 727 130
L: 653 293
M: 769 033
H: 928 023
L: 735 542
M: 917 791
H:1 184 418
1.2.2 Absolute growth in provincial exports. 0.9% 2% 4% 4% 5%
1.2.3 Absolute growth in provincial
investment R Value2010)(Assuming
Medium at 3% Growth)
R104 504m
R4.934bn
R118 667 m
R27,28bn
R137 567 m
TBD
R159 478 m
TBD
R184 879 m
TBD
BASELINE AND TARGETS UPDATED WITH MORE RECENT DATA
NOW OBTAINED FROM TIKZN. 12
13
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention
No Strategic Objective IndicatorBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.2.4Growth in employment in key
manufacturing and service sectors.2 388 000 2 507 000 2 687 000 2 880 000 TBD
1.2.5 Growth output of manufacturing sector. R 79 104 R 88 272 R 99 385 R 111 898 R 125 985
1.2.6
1.2.6.1 Number of Domestic Tourists
(mn) (excluding visitors staying with
friends and relatives)
4.98 5.23 5.50 5.56 5.61
1.2.6.2 Number of International Tourists 743 615 815 112 TBD TBD TBD
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS
13
1414
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.2.7
Value spend in the tourism sector
Value Domestic spend in the tourism
sectorR 1 108 R 1 413 R 1 804 R 1 894 R 1 989
Value Foreign spend in the tourism
sector R 6 338 R 8 093 R 10 330 R 10 846 R 11 388
1.2.8
Growth in the number of jobs of
those employed in the Green
Economy.
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
1.2.9
Increase in the number of
businesses supported through
BR&E interventions.
82 200 250 400 500
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS 14
1515
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.3.1
Annual percentage change in
employment and unemployment per
district.
District Unemployment Rate
Ugu 27.4% 26.0% 24.0% 23.0% 22.0%
uMgungundlovu 22.2% 21.0% 20.0% 19.0% 18.0%
uThukela 32.3% 30.0% 28.0% 27.0% 25.0%
uMzinyathi 27.4% 27.0% 26.0% 25.0% 24.0%
Amajuba 29.6% 28.0% 27.0% 25.0% 24.0%
Zululand 31.4% 29.0% 28.0% 27.0% 26.0%
uMkhanyakude 31.5% 29.0% 28.0% 27.0% 26.0%
King Cetshwayo 26.5% 24.0% 22.0% 20.0% 19.0%
iLembe 23.2% 21.0% 20.0% 19.0% 18.0%
Harry Gwala 25.4% 24.0% 23.0% 22.0% 21.0%
eThekwini 15.9% 15.2% 14.5% 14.0% 13.5%
KZN 21.25% 19.8% 18.6% 17.6% 16.7%
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS
15
1616
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.3.1 Annual percentage change in employment
and unemployment per district.
District Employment ('000)
Ugu 139 144 153 163 174
uMgungundlovu 304 321 355 392 433
uThukela 114 120 131 143 156
uMzinyathi 55 57 62 67 72
Amajuba 101 104 110 117 124
Zululand 99 103 110 118 126
uMkhanyakude 74 78 87 96 106
King Cetshwayo 188 199 218 240 264
iLembe 129 137 152 169 187
Harry Gwala 79 84 93 102 113
eThekwini 1 269 1 293 1 360 1 428 1 497
KZN 2 551 2 640 2 830 3 034 3 252
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS
16
17
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2010)
Revised
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.3.3
1.3.3.1 Extent of (m²) of
appropriately zoned and
serviced industrial and
commercial land available
(Captured in gross leasable
area)(DTP)
New 322 000 m² 833 133 m² 933 165 m² 905 560 m² 768 495 m²
1.3.3.2 Extent of (m²) of
appropriately zoned and
serviced industrial and
commercial land available
(Captured in gross leasable
area)
(RBIDZ)
New 620 000m² 1 720 000m² 2 500 000m² 5 000 000m² 1 000 000m
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS
17
18
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.3 Enhance spatial economic development
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.3.4
1.3.4.1 Rand value of
private sector investment in
the Durban
SEZ.(Cumulative) (DTP)
R1.3 Billion
Est. private
sector capex
R7.5 Billion
Est. private
sector capex
R15 Billion
Est. private
sector capex
R22 Billion
Est. private
sector capex
R29.5 Billion
1.3.4.2 Rand value of
private sector investment in
the Richards Bay
SEZ.(RBIDZ)
R320 Million
R2.5 billion
(estimated)
Est. 11.1 billion
R3.2 billion
(estimated)
Est. 46 billion
R3.6 billion
(estimated)
Est. 52 billion
R4 billion
(estimated)
Est. 78 billion
• Revised targets from RBIDZ
• 2020 target based on actual pipeline
• 2025 target includes +/- R25 bn 2000 MW gas power plant and +/- R6 bn ship/rig
repair facility if land can be made available by Transnet
• 2030 target: projections and will depend on serviced land being available in Phase 2
• 2035 target includes proposed PPP oil refinery. Excludes downstream investment in
petrochemicals (=/- R10 bn)
18
1919
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.4 Improve the Efficiency, Innovation and Variety of
Government-led Job Creation Programmes
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.4.1 Growth in the number of new small
contractors 614 7 114 9 114 10 014 10 314
1.4.2Reduction in the cost per EPWP and CWP jobs
Infrastructure sectorR39.870 R38.674 R37.127 R35.271 R31.744
Environmental & Culture sectorR39.617 R37.636 R35.655 R33.159 R29.843
Social sector R30.901 R29.355 R27.811 R26.266 R24.721
1.4.3 Percentage of provincial government
expenditure of goods and services
procured on local content.
New 25 30 35 40
1.4.4 Direct employment multipliers from
infrastructure development and
maintenance and related development
projects
96 969 124 736 132 220 140 153 148 562
MOVED TO STRATEGIC
OBJECTIVE 1.5
19
2020
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.4 Improve the Efficiency, Innovation and Variety of
Government-led Job Creation Programmes
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.4.5
Cumulative Number of FTEs created
through EPWP and CWP, inclusive of
all Sectors
136 269 164 835 174 725 185 208 196 322
1.4.6
Cumulative Number of Work Opportunities created through EPWP and CWP inclusive of all Sectors
Infrastructure Sector 96 969 124 736 132 220 140 153 148 562
Environmental & Culture Sector 10 121 9 033 9 575 10 149 10 758
Social Sector 29 179 31 066 32 930 34 906 37 000
1.4.7
Number of emerging contractors
trained 580 1 160 1 410 1 560 1 710
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS 20
21
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.5 Promote SMME and Entrepreneurial Development
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.5.1 Increase in the number of SMMEs
and cooperatives established.18 122 1812 1994 2192 2412
1.5.2Increase in survival rate of SMMEs
and cooperatives.5% 5% 6% 8% 10%
1.5.3
Increase in the number of jobs
generated by SMMEs and
Cooperatives.
25 500 25 500 30 600 40 800 51 000
1.5.4
Proportion of private sector
expenditure on goods and
services procured on local
content.
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS 21
2222
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.5 Promote SMME and Entrepreneurial Development
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.5.5
Number of local municipalities
supported to develop informal
economy policies.
52 54 54 54 54
1.5.6
Number of municipal officials
capacitated to support the
informal economy sector.
156 162 162 162 162
1.5.7
Number of municipalities funded
for informal economy
infrastructure development.
40 45 50 55 55
1.5.8
Increase the level of BBBEE
Compliance in KZNLevel 3
compliance
Level 2
compliance
Level 2
compliance
Level 1
compliance
Level 1
compliance
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS22
23
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.6.1Gross expenditure on R&D
as a proportion of GVA GDP
R2 752m
0.56%
R4 000m
0.8%
R6 000m
1.05%
R8 000m
1.3%
TBD
1.6%
1.6.2
Percentage of SA patents
and designs registered by
KZN entities and individuals
181
12%
increase
from base
year
17%
increase
from base
year
22%
increase
from base
year
25%
increase
from base
year
1.6.3Number of functional
technology hubs.0 4 TBD TBD TBD
Replaced proportion from GVA to GDP as a
percentage and targets changed to percentages
23
24
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
1.6.4Occupation rate in techno
hubs.0 25% TBD TBD TBD
1.6.5Government contribution
on green economy R&D.TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
1.6.6
% of registered professional
engineers in the KZN labour
force
7.27%
increase
from base
year
10%
increase
on base
year
12.5%
increase
on base
year
15%
increase
on base
year
17.5%
increase
on base
year
NO PROPOSED AMENDMENTS
24
25
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial
development
SO 1.5 Interventions
Develop a tool and mechanism for collecting data on private sector
and provincial government expenditure on local content.
Provincial government expenditure added to track
progress on indicator that is moved to SO 1.5.
Percentage of provincial government expenditure of
goods and services procured on local content
26
Goal 1: Inclusive Economic Growth
SO 1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy
SO 1.6 Interventions
Develop a proxy indicator to measure government gross expenditure
on green economy R&D
This is a new intervention to ensure that an indicator is
developed to track governments contribution to research
and development in the Green Economy
27
Human Resource Development
• No amendments to Goal Indicators
• 11 Amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• 3 additions to Interventions
30
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
2.1 2.1.1 Percentage of learners performing at all the required levels in all grades in national
benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment
2.1.1.1 Percentage of learners
performing at the required levels in
grade 3 Language in national
benchmark assessments equivalent
(previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment
71.4%
48%
90.4%
82%
100%
87%
100%
92%
100%
97%
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and
secondary education
With ANA terminated there is no national benchmark and CAPS
assessments (Curriculum Assessment Policy Statement) will be used as
a provincial benchmark.
30
31
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
2.1.1.2 Percentage of learners
performing at the required levels in
grade 3 Mathematics in national
benchmark assessments equivalent
(previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment
95.9%
36%
100%
93%
100%
98%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and
secondary education
With ANA terminated there is now no national benchmark and CAPS
assessments will be used as a provincial benchmark
31
32
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
2.1.1.3 Percentage of learners
performing at the required levels in
grade 6 Language in national
benchmark assessments equivalent
(previously ANA) the CAPS provincial assessment
71.4%
41%
90.4%
91%
100%
96%
100%
100%
100%
100%
2.1.1.4 Percentage of learners
performing at the required levels in
grade 6 Mathematics in national
benchmark assessments equivalent
(previously ANA) ) the CAPS provincial assessment
95.9%
15%
100%
82%
100%
87%
100%
92%
100%
97%
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and
secondary education
With ANA terminated there is now no national benchmark and CAPS
assessments will be used as a provincial benchmark32
33
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
2.1.1.5 Percentage of learners performing
at the required levels in grade 9
Language in national benchmark
assessments equivalent (previously ANA)the CAPS provincial assessment
71.4%
15%
90.4%
71%
100%
76%
100%
81%
100%
86%
2.1.1.6 Percentage of learners performing
at the required levels in grade 9
Mathematics in national benchmark
assessments equivalent (previously ANA)the CAPS provincial assessment
95.9%
4%
100%
41%
100%
46%
50%
100%
51%
60%
100%
56%
70%
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and
secondary education
• Commission changed the targets provided by AWG otherwise
planning for mediocrity – For Discussion
• The “required levels” also need to remain constant33
36
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
2.1 2.1.8 Percentage of Grade 12 learners
passing Mathematics at 50% or more
in the NSC 12%
23%
25%
34%
45%
40%
65%
45%
75%
2.1.9 Percentage of Grade 12 learners
passing Science at 50% or more in
the NSC 18%
24%
25%
30%
45%
36%
65%
42%
75%
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and
secondary education
TARGETS ADJUSTED UPWARDS
36
38
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
2.1.14 Number of learners qualifying in
NSC for:
Bachelors programme
Diploma
Certificate
28 500
36 000
25 000
33 000
38 000
26 000
33 000
39 000
27 000
35 000
40 000
28 000
36 000
41 000
29 000
2.1.15 Retention rate Grade 1 - 12 51% 55% 60% 65% 70%
2.1.16
Percentage of learners in public
ordinary schools benefiting from
the “No Fee Schools” policy
75.5% 76% 76.5% 77% 2.1.16
2.1.17Percentage of learners benefitting
from school nutrition programme80% 82% 82.5% 83% 2.1.17
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.1 Improve early childhood development, primary and
secondary education
These are new indicators 38
44
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.2 Support skills alignment to economic growth
This is a new intervention to develop and measure
the indicator: proportion of students graduating
within 4 years of registering
SO 2.2 Interventions
Engage with relevant stakeholders to develop and measure the indicator
on proportion of students graduating within 4 years of registering
44
45
Goal 2: Human Resource Development
SO 2.3 Enhance youth and adult skills development and life-
long learning
This is a new intervention to increase opportunities
for skills development through work-integrated
learning
SO 2.3 Interventions
Increase the number of youth work-integrated learning opportunities
45
46
Human and Community Development
• 5 Amendments to Goal Indicators
• 14 Amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• 14 Amendments to Interventions
47
GOAL
INDICATORS
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
Life expectancy as
measure of the
quality of life
57.7 years 60.5 years 63 years 65.9 years 67.4 years
Life expectancy at
birth
Male: 49.2
Female: 51
Male: 56.5
Female: 61.2
Male: 59
Female: 63.7
Male: 61
Female: 66.2
Male: 63
Female 68.7
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR
47
4848
GOAL INDICATORS Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
Decrease in social
inequality
Gini Coefficient
19.4
0.63
22.1
0.62
25.4
0.61
29.2
0.69
TBD
0.58
Adjusted Human
Development Index
South African
Multidimensional Poverty
Index
0.72
0.05
0.80
0.03
0.90
0.025
1.00
0.020
TBD
0.0125
Decrease in absolute
poverty: % of households
below the national food
poverty line)
17.99 10.79 5.40 0.00 0.00
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
THESE ARE REFINED INDICATORS48
49
GOAL INDICATORSBaseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
Percentage of households
below the lower bound
poverty line
40.2% 30.2% 15.2% 00.00% 00.00%
Percentage of households
below the upper bound
poverty line
52.1% 45% 35% 20% 15.9%
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
THESE ARE NEW GOAL INDICATORS
49
50
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
3.1.1
Effective dependency ratio
(economically inactive
people/economically active
people) Baseline: Stats SA
QLFS. 2010)
60.8 54.7 52 49 47
3.1.2
Percentage of Functional
Operation Sukuma Sakhe
war rooms
New
783
80%
822
85%
863
90%
906
95%
3.1.3
The poverty gap (p1) and
severity of poverty (p2)
(Baseline NIDS 2008)
27.4 (p1)
15.9 (p2)
23.3 (p1)
14.5 (p2)
25,5 [p1]
14,4 [p2]]
5.1 (p1)
3.3 (p2)
0.0 (p1)
0.0 (p2)
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare
THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR50
53
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
3.1.5
Reduction in relative poverty: %
below upper bound poverty line, PL
= 1.25 R418 proposed by NPC)
(Baseline: NIDS, 2008)
DUPLICATION WITH GOAL
INDICATOR ON THE UPPER
POVERTY BOUND POVERTY LINE
3.6 3.2 6.5 5.5 4.2
3.1.6
3.1.5
Number of eligible social grant
applications
Percentage of social grant
beneficiaries (measured against
the KZN population)
3 918 463
34.86%
3 943 621
35.49%
3 968 779
36.45%
3 993 937
37.13%
4 019 095
38.99%
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare
THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR53
?
54
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare
SO 3.1 Interventions Scaling up integrated community- and facility-based interventions to decrease
malnutrition in children under the age of 5 years
Accelerate the roll-out of and the monitoring and evaluation impact of the Poverty
Eradication Master Plan and Sukuma Sakhe and related social welfare
programmes including the development of Community and Ward Based Plans for
the identified, most poverty stricken municipalities.
SPLIT INTO 2 INTERVENTIONS AS INDICATED BELOW
Accelerate the roll-out of the Poverty Eradication Master Plan and evaluate the
impact it has made in the most deprived wards.
Accelerate the roll-out of the Operation Sukuma Sakhe and evaluate the impact it
has made in the Province
THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS
55
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare
SO 3.1 Interventions Massification of ECD Services
Moved to Strategic Objective 2.1
Collaborate with NGOs with proven track records to augment service
delivery, training of trainers / practitioners, and for implementation models
Strengthen collaboration with and capacity building of NPOs to augment
service delivery
THIS IS A REFINED INTERVENTION
56
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
3.2.1
Percentage of people
living within an
internationally acceptable
radius of a fully functional
healthcare facility
throughout the Province
Percentage of population
within a 5km radius of a
health service
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
TBD
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
THIS IS A REFINED INDICATOR56
61
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS
SO 3.2 InterventionsRe-engineer Primary Health Care including community and facility-based services
and programmes, as well as to integrate lessons learned from NHI pilot.
Scale up implementation of strategic interventions to fast track transformation of
public health services towards universal health coverage
Implement the 90-90-90 strategy for HIV, AIDS; TB and Non-Communicable
Diseases
Implement the KZN 2017-2022 Multi-Sectoral Response Plan for HIV, TB and STIs
to reduce the burden of communicable diseases
Enhance physical and mental health programmes with increased focus on
screening and referral
Accelerate implementation of comprehensive integrated community- and facility-
based services/ interventions to improve maternal, neonatal and child health
Accelerate implementation of comprehensive and integrated community- and
facility-based services/ interventions to reduce the burden of non-communicable
diseases
61
62
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS
SO 3.2 Interventions
Research metric to track causes of natural deaths and notifiable deaths
as an early warning system
Facilitate health research and knowledge management to inform evidence-
based and responsive planning and decision-making
Develop norms and standards to measure the percentage of people living
within an internationally acceptable radius of a fully functional healthcare
facility throughout the Province
Develop the indicator to measure percentage of population within a 5 km
radius of a health service
Develop the indicator to measure the percentage of the population with
private medical cover
62
63
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
3.3.2
Hunger episodes: household
member has gone hungry at
least sometimes in past 12
months: % of households
32 24 12 0 0
3.3.2
Percentage of households
experiencing food inadequacy
(food access severely
inadequate)
5.8% 4.1% 1.8% 0.00% 0.00%
3.3.3
Percentage of households
involved in agriculture to
create the main source of food
for the household in the
Province
7.7% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 10.0%
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.3 Enhance sustainable household food security
THESE ARE NEW INDICATORS 63
70
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.6 Advance social cohesion and social capital
SO 3.6 Interventions 1. Establish a Social and Moral Regeneration Council at Provincial
level to systematically build social capital and work for social
cohesion
2. Formalise and implement a social cohesion strategy for the
Province (to cover responsible citizenry, moral regeneration, ethics
at work etc.) and to support mutually beneficial platforms as
solutions to help reduce tensions between South African and
foreign small and informal traders. Finalise and implement a Social
and Moral Regeneration Strategy for the Province to cover
responsible citizenry, moral regeneration, ethics and support
mutually beneficial platforms to help reduce tensions between SA
and foreign nationals
THESE ARE REFINED INTERVENTIONS
71
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
3.7.1
3.7.1.1 Percentage of youth, in
all spheres of socio-economic
opportunities
New 10% 15% 20% 25%
3.7.1.2 Percentage of wards that
have functional youth
structures
New 80% 85% 90% 95%
3.7.2
3.7.2.1 Percentage of women in
all spheres of socio-economic
opportunities
New 10% 15% 20% 25%
3.7.2.2 Percentage of wards that
have functional women
structures
New 80% 85% 90% 95%
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and
the advancement of women
THESE ARE NEW INDICATORS 71
72
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
3.7.3
3.7.3.1 Percentage of people
with disability in all spheres of
socio-economic opportunities
New 10% 15% 20% 25%
3.7.3.2 Percentage of functional
local disability forumsNew 80% 85% 90% 95%
3.7.4
Level of participation of women,
youth and people with
disabilities in the processes of
governance and consultative structures at all levels.
New TBD TBD TBD TBD
Goal 3: Human and Community Development
SO 3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and
the advancement of women
THIS IS A NEW INDICATOR
72
73
Strategic Infrastructure
• No amendments to Goal Indicators
• 2 amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• No addition to Interventions
76
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
4.1.1
Increase in efficiencies and volumes (of cargo and passengers) of Durban Port, Richards Bay Port and Dube Tradeport as measured by the following:
4.1.1.1 Ports throughput measured in million TEU’s at:
Durban Port 2.8 mil TEUs 3.29 mil TEUs
4.3 mil TEUs
5.4 mil TEUs
5.0 mil TEUs
5.8 mil TEUs
6.14 mil TEUs
Richards Bay Port 24 000 TEUs 24 000 TEUs
24 000 TEUs
30 000 TEUs
24 000 TEUs
30 000 TEUs
24 000 TEUs
30 000 TEUs
Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure
SO 4.1 Development of seaports and airports
TARGETS ADJUSTED UPWARDS BASED ON LATEST
INFORMATION FROM TRANSNET
76
77
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
4.1.1.2 Ports throughput measured in Dry Bulk volumes (Million tons) at:
Durban Port9.6 Million
Tons
9.6 Million
Tons
10.0 Million
Tons
12.6 Million
Tons
14.1 Million
Tons
Richards Bay Port
17.6 Mil
Tons
92 mil
tons
25.78 Mil
Tons
114 mil
tons
29.0 Mil
Tons
115 mil
tons
33.7 Mil
Tons
149 mil
tons
39.4 Mil
Tons
160 mil
tons
Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure
SO 4.1 Development of seaports and airports
TARGETS ADJUSTED UPWARDS BASED ON LATEST
INFORMATION FROM TRANSNET
77
87
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
(2015)
TARGETS
2020 2025 2030 2035
4.4.1Surface Water Storage as a
percentage of surface mean
annual runoff per district
TBD TBD TBD TBD TBD
4.4.2
Quantity of water
abstracted per annum in
each district.
2.470 mill m³ 2.655 mill m³ 2814.6 mill m³ 2955.3 mill m³ 3103 mill m³
4.4.2 (a)Quantity of surface water
abstracted abstracted per
annum in each district.
2061.8 mill m³ 2216.4 mill m³ 2349.4 mill m³ 2466.9 mill m³ 2590.2 mill m³
4.4.2 (b)
Quantity of groundwater
abstracted per annum in
KZN as a % of groundwater
potential
abstracted per annum in
each district.
24.5% 25.7% 27.0% 28.3% 29.8%
Goal 4: Strategic Infrastructure
SO 4.4 Ensure availability and sustainable management of
water and sanitation for all
THESE ARE REFINED INDICTORS 87
93
Environmental Sustainability
• No amendments to Goal Indicators
• No Amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• No addition to Interventions
100
Governance and Policy
• No amendments to Goal Indicators
• No Amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• 2 additions to Interventions
112
GOAL 6: GOVERNANCE AND POLICY
SO 6.3 Eradicate fraud and corruption
SO 6.3 Interventions Expedite the conclusion of all forensic and disciplinary cases related to
fraud and corruption
Ensure effective recovery of monies defrauded
THESE ARE NEW INTERVENTIONS
116
Spatial Equity
• No amendments to Goal Indicators
• No Amendments to Objective Indicators; and
• No addition to Interventions
REFER TO ATTACHED UPDATED LIST OF
CATALYTIC PROJECTS
CATALYTIC PROJECTS TO BE PRESENTED
WITH THE INFRASTRUCTURE PRESENTATION
IN SESSION 11
121
UPDATED CATALYTIC PROJECTS
122
PR
OV
INC
E O
VE
RV
IEW
138
3.PGDP IMPLEMENTATION
FOCUS
1. Key strategic actions and deliverables
for Goal Indicators
2. Key strategic actions and deliverables
for Objective Indicators
3. Intervention Action Plans
139
ACTION WORKGROUPS TO DEVELOP
ANNUAL BUSINESS PLANS
140
4.RESOLUTIONS
Draft Proposed Lekgotla Resolutions
Res
No.Resolutions Responsibility Timeframe
PGDP
AWG
1The Lekgotla to adopt the draft
2017/18 PGDP
Planning
Commission
August
2017All
2
The draft 2017/18 PGDP to be
submitted to the Executive
Council for approval
Planning
Commission
October
2017All
3
Action Work Groups to be
supported to develop, implement
and monitor the PGDP
implementation plans
OTP Ongoing All
141
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”
Siyabonga - Thank You
For South Africa to work,
KZN must work
www.kznppc.gov.za
142
“Working Together to achieve
KZN Vision 2035”