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“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”
KwaZulu-Natal
1
STATUS OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THE PGDS BASED ON TARGETS SET IN THE 2016/2017 PGDP
August 2017 Provincial Executive Council Lekgotla PresentationSession 03
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”
1. CONTEXT FOR REPORTING
2. STATUS PER GOAL
3. OVERALL FINDINGS
2
OUTLINE OF PRESENTATION
One Province – One Plan – One Future
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”3
CONTEXT FOR REPORTING
CONTEXT FOR REPORTING
4
INITIAL 2010 BASELINE
SECONDARY 2015 BASELINE
PROGRESS MEASURED ON TARGETS SET FOR 2020
FOCUS IS ON VISION 2035
2010
2015
2020
2035
7 GOALS
31 GOAL INDICATORS
266OBJECTIVE
INDICATORS
29NEW
/AMENDED INDICATORS
60 BASELINE
AND TARGETS STILL TO BE
DETERMINED
31 STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”
2016 PGDS STRATEGIC GOALS and OBJECTIVESSTRATEGIC
GOALNo STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 2016
1INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH
1.1 Develop and promote the agricultural potential of KZN
1.2 Enhance sectoral development through trade investment and business retention
1.3 Enhance spatial economic development
1.4Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of government-ledjob creation programmes
1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development
1.6 Enhance the Knowledge Economy
2HUMAN
RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
2.1Improve early childhood development, primary andsecondary education
2.2 Support skills development to economic growth
2.3 Enhance youth and adult skills development and life-long learning
3HUMAN AND COMMUNITY
DEVELOPMENT
3.1 Eradicate poverty and improve social welfare services
3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
3.3 Safeguard and enhance sustainable livelihoods and food security
3.4 Promote sustainable human settlements3.5 Enhance safety and security3.6 Advance social cohesion and social capital
3.7 Promote youth, gender and disability advocacy and the advancement of women
5
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”6
2016 PGDS STRATEGIC GOALS and OBJECTIVES
STRATEGIC GOAL No STRATEGIC OBJECTIVE 2016
4STRATEGIC
INFRASTRUCTURE
4.1 Development of seaports and airports
4.2 Develop road and rail networks
4.3 Develop ICT infrastructure
4.4 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
4.5 Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all
4.6 Enhance KZN waste management capacity
5ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
5.1 Enhance resilience of ecosystem services
5.2 Expand the application of green technologies
5.3 Adapt and respond climate change
6GOVERNANCE AND
POLICY
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy coordination and IGR
6.2 Build government capacity
6.3 Eradicate fraud and corruption
6.4 Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance
7SPATIAL EQUITY
7.1Enhance the resilience of new and existing cities, towns and rural nodes, ensuring equitable access to resources, social and economic opportunities
7.2Ensure integrated land management use across the Province, ensuring equitable access to goods and services, attracting social and financial investment
IMPLEMENTATION OF THE PROVINCIAL GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT
PLAN (PGDP)
7
PGDP implementation institutionalized through the 18
Action Work Groups (AWGs).
AWGs responsible for the reporting on strategic objectives
of PGDP.
Progress reported on Goal Indicatorsand achievement
reported by Action Work Groups up to
June 2017
Where indicators have been amended
and baseline and targets have not
been determined progress achieved
could not be reported
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”8
KWAZULU-NATAL POPULATION
9326 9715 10237 10807
Source: Stats SA
KZN POPULATION 2002 /2006/2011/ 2016 (‘000)
2002 2006 2011 2016
Latest population projections by Stats SA:
• KZN Population for 2017 is 11 074 800
• Represents 19.6% of SA population
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”9
KWAZULU-NATAL POPULATION
KZN, Limpopo, Free
State and Eastern Cape
affected by out-
migrants
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”10
13543
10807
6731 6362
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
Gauteng KZN EC WC
POPULATION OF TOP FOUR PROVINCES
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”11
NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS IN KZN
19022101
2428
2831
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2002 2006 2011 2016
GROWTH OF HOUSEHOLDS FROM 2002 – 2016 IN KZN (‘000)
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”12
NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS TOP FOUR PROVINCES
It is estimated that Gauteng had the largest number of households, followed by
KwaZulu-Natal, Western Cape and Eastern Cape.
4888
2831
1831 1759
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
GP KZN WC EC
NO OF HOUSEHOLDS TOP 4 PROVINCE(‘000)
HOUSEHOLDS
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway to Africa and the World”13
62.7
74.8
53.9
76.7
51.6
31.7
59.1
39
11.517.1
9.6 11.817.0
12.3
23.7
9.9
17.012.3
23.7
6.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
KZN GP EC WC
Sources of income, 2016 Stats SA (%)
Salary Grants Income from a business Remittance Pension
SOURCES OF INCOME KZN, EC,WC AND GAUTENG
EC & KZN have highest no of people who are dependent on the state grants
which has policy implications
USE OF DASHBOARD FOR REPORTING PERFORMNCE• A performance dashboard has been used to gauge performance based on the 2015 baseline and progress
towards the 2020 PGDP targets
• The dashboard is used as a management tool and not a report card on a particular Department;
• The dashboard communicates basic findings at minimal expense;
• Given the focus and timelines the tool delivers results in a reasonable timeframe so that the Province will not lose momentum and Action Work Groups stay focussed;
• This is therefore an indication of the likelihood of whether the province is meeting its target towards achieving its vision of 2035;
• Performance of the Province needs to be considered against a backdrop of poor international and national economic conditions. 15
LIKELY
DOUBTFUL
UNLIKELY
NEW INDICATOR
USE OF DASHBOARD FOR REPORTING PERFORMNCE
• The PGDP uses mainly outcome indicators to assess progress of achievement of NDP goals;
• Outcome indicators are however only measurable in the intermediate or long term;
• Progress on change can jump forward, stall, circle around or even double back on itself based on a variety of factors;
• Progress on change is not based on programmes and interventions by a single Department but is largely determined by efforts and initiatives form both government and non-government partners working together.
16
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”17
PROGRESS PER GOALGOAL 1- INCLUSIVE ECONOMIC GROWTH
Goal 1 : Economic Growth
18
GOAL INDICATORSBaseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020Current Status
Total output value of all sectors within the provincial economy
(Constant, 2010 R Value) R433 846m R489 208m
1%: R 514 163m
3%: R567 126m
6%: R654 670 m
R446 675m
Total employment in all sectors within the provincial economy
Growth Scenarios
Low=1%,
Medium=3%,
High=6%
2 340 000 2 497 000
L: 2 640 000
M: 2 713 000
H: 2 810 000
2 555 000
GDP per capita within the provincial economy
Growth Scenarios
Low=1%; Medium=3%; High=6%
R28 110 R44 512
L: R 46 091
M: R 48 290
H: R 50 954
44 337
Annual unemployment rate (narrow) for KZN Narrow = 19.65 Narrow = 21.47 20% (Narrow) 25.8 %(Narrow)
Annual unemployment rate (broad) for KZN Broad = 36.62 Broad = 39.14 38 %( Broad) 41.0 %( Broad)
Employed Youth (15-34) ('000) NEW 1 092 1 171 996Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
19
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
R436,390m
R450515m
R468816m
R482 423m
R489 500m
446 675
433 846
489 208
514 163
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
Total output value of all sectors within the provincial
economy :Target vs Actuals
2 400 000
2 520 000
2 670 000
2 573 000
2 479 000
2 583 000
2 340 000 2 497 0002 640 000
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
3 000 000
3 500 000
4 000 000
Total employment in all sectors within the provincial economy : Target vs Actuals
1%: R 514 163m
3%: R567 126m
6%: R654 670 m
L: 2 640 000
M: 2 713 000
H: 2 810 000
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
20
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
33 400
31 284
30 810
39 760
44 269
44 337
28 110
44 512
46 091
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GDP per capita within the provincial economy : Target vs Actuals
L: R 46 091
M: R 48 290
H: R 50 954
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
21
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
21.47%
23.90%
25.80%
21.47%20.00%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual unemployment rate (narrow) for KZN
39.14%
40.70%
41.00%
39.14%38%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Annual unemployment rate (broad) for KZN
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
22
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
1090
996
10921171
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Employed Youth (15-34) ('000)
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
23
1.1 Develop and Promote the Agricultural Potential of KZN: AWG 1
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Target
2020Current Status
1.1.1 Increase employment within the agricultural
sector (including forestry and livestock) 141 000 162 150 141 000
1.1.2 Increase in commercial farmers 17 432 19 175 17 432
1.1.3 Increase in emerging commercial farmers 1 780 1 869 1 780
1.1.4 Hectares of land under irrigation 170 597 173 097 170 597
1.1.5 Real value of output of the agricultural sector
(Real Rands, 2010) R21,3bln R23,7 bln R19, 9 bln
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
24
1.2 Enhance sectorial development through trade investment and business retention:
AWG 2
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current
Status
1.2.1Total absolute value of the provincial economy excluding
Strategic Objective agriculture. Low, Medium, High Growth
Scenarios
Low=1%; Medium=3%; High=6%
R468
715m
L: 515 357
M:539 943
H:569 726 470 370
1.2.3 Absolute growth in provincial investment KZN Gross Fixed
Capital Formation R 2010 Prices) (Assuming Medium at 3%
Growth)
R10.4bln R11.8bln R12,8bln
1.2.4 Growth in employment in key manufacturing and service
sectors. 2 388 000 2 507 000 1 935 314
1.2.5 Growth output of manufacturing sector. R79 104 R88 272 R79 483
Contraction rate of -6.65%
Contraction rate of –3.8%
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
25
1.2 Enhance sectorial development through trade investment and business retention: AWG 2
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current
Status
1.2.6.1 Number of Domestic Tourists (mn) 4.98m 5.23m 4.1mn
1.2.6.2 Number of International Tourists (mn) 743, 615 815, 112 753, 615
1.2.7.1 Value Domestic spend in the tourism sector R1 108 R1 413 R995
1.2.7.2 Value Foreign spend in the tourism sector R6 338 R8 093 R5 877
1.2.9Increase in the number of businesses supported through BR&E
interventions. 82 200 176
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
26
1.3 Enhance Spatial Economic Development: AWG2
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.3.2.1
Extent of (m²) of appropriately zoned and serviced
industrial and commercial land available
(Captured in gross leasable area)(DTP)322 000m² 833 133 m² 628 448m2
1.3.2.2
Extent of (m²) appropriately zoned and serviced
industrial and commercial land available (Captured
in gross leasable area)
(RBIDZ)
620 000m² 1 720 000m² 620 000m2
1.3.3.1Rand value of private sector investment in the
Durban Aerotropolis (Cumulative) (DTP) R1,3bln R7,5bln R1.7 Billion
1.3.3.2Rand value of private sector investment in the
Richards Bay SEZ.(RBIDZ) R320m R2,5bln R8 billion
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
27
1.4 Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of government led job creation programmes: AWG3No Strategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.4.1Growth in the number of new
small contractors. 614 7 114 9 549
1.4.2.1
Reduction in the cost per
EPWP and CWP jobs :
Infrastructure sector
R39 870 R38 674 R 25, 012.00
1.4.2.2
Reduction in the cost per
EPWP and CWP jobs :
Environmental & Culture
sector
R39 617 R37 636 R 17, 140.00
1.4.2.3
Reduction in the cost per
EPWP and CWP jobs : Social
sector
R30 901 R29 355 R 16, 167.00
1.4.4
Direct employment
multipliers from
infrastructure development
and maintenance and related
development projects
96 969 124 736 89 639Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Initially undertaken by
Dept of PW now all
departments contributing to
target.
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
28
1.4 Improve the efficiency, innovation and variety of government led job creation programmes: AWG3
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.4.5
Cumulative number of FTEs
created through EPWP and
CWP, inclusive of all sectors
53 493 63 150 76 136
1.4.6
Cumulative number of work
opportunities created
through EPWP and CWP
inclusive of all sectors
136 269 164 835 180 821
Infrastructure sector 96 969 124 736 89 639
Environmental & culture
sector10 121 9 033 17 894
Social sector 29 179 31 066 28 809
1.4.7Number of emerging
contractors trained 580 1 160 790 Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Municipalities and Departments must
design projects Labour Intensively
Alignment of targets with DEA and NDPW
Alien invasive plant projects are Labour intensive hence the
increase in job creation
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
29
1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development: AW4
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.5.1Increase in the number of SMMEs and
cooperatives established. 18 122 19 934 18 956
1.5.2Increase in survival rate of SMMEs and
cooperatives. 5% 5%
New strategic objective
indicator. Review to be
conducted during the five –
year reporting period
1.5.3Increase in the number of jobs generated by
SMMEs and Cooperatives. 25 500 27 500 26 305
The KZN Executive Council Resolution No. 151 (17 May 2017) regarding the KZN Targeted Procurement Commodities/Sectors provides market
opportunities for designated groups which include SMMEs and cooperatives. This new development will contribute towards the increase
in the number of SMMEs and cooperatives established.Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
30
1.5 Promote SMME and entrepreneurial development: AW4
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.5.5
Number of local municipalities supported
to develop informal economy sector
policies. 52 54 14
1.5.6
Number of municipal officials capacitated
to support the informal economy sector. 156 162 151
1.5.7
Number of municipalities funded for
informal economy infrastructure
development. 40 45 45
1.5.8Increase the level of BBBEE Compliance in
KZN
Level 3
Compliance
Level 2
ComplianceLevel 6
Currently at Level 6 compliance and
BBBEE Compliance awareness campaigns
conducted in all Districts. Quarterly
BBBEE implementation team stakeholder
coordination conducted.
The success rate of SMME’s and entrepreneurial development continue to be at a slow pace. The province need to
systematically stimulate entrepreneurship and put in place activities and programmes that help strengthen economic
participation particularity the youth and women Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
31
1.6 Enhance the knowledge economy: AWG5
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.6.1.1Gross expenditure on R&D of provincial GVA R2 752 R3 000 m R3 188m
1.6.2% of SA patents and designs registered by KZN entities and
individuals181
12% increase on
base year181
1.6.3 Number of functional technology hubs. 0 4 0
Target achieved same as 2015 baseline. No increase
since 2015Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 1 : Inclusive Economic Growth
32
1.6 Enhance the knowledge economy: AWG5
No Strategic Objective IndicatorsBaseline
2015
Target
2020
Current Status
1.6.4 Occupation rate in techno hubs. 0% 25% 0
1.6.6% of registered professional engineers in
the KZN labour force7.27%
10% increase
on base year1%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
This is a cause of serious concern, especially given the poor education outcomes in
maths and science
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”33
STATUS PER GOALGOAL 2- HUMAN RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT
Goal 2 : Human Resource DevelopmentGoal Indicators Baseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
Gross enrolment rate (GER) - Primary 94% 99% 100% 99%
Gross enrolment rate (GER) - Secondary 86.7% 90.6% 92% 90.6%
Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in TVET Colleges 12.5% 13% 20% 13%
TVET NC(V) graduation rate 66% 55% 57% 55%
Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in Higher
Education 22.1% 26% 28% 26%
Adult Literacy rate 80% 90% 92% 90%
Percentage of Grade 12 leaners passing with
Mathematics and Science. 18 15 24 22.18
34
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
35
99%
99%
99%
97%
99%
94.0% 99%100%
0%
100%
Gross enrolment rate (GER) Primary : Target vsActuals
90.6%
90.6%
90.6%89%
90.6%
86.7% 91%92%
0%
100%
Gross enrolment rate (GER) Secondary : Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
36
10%
13%
13%13%
13%
12.5%
13%
20.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in TVET Colleges : Target vs Actuals
55% 55% 55% 55% 55%
53% 55% 57%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
TVET NC(V) graduation rate : Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
37
9.3% 9.3%
26% 26% 26%
22.1%
26.0%28%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) in Higher Education : Target vs Actuals
90% 90% 90%
80%
90% 92%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Adult Leiteracy rate : Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
38
22.18%
15%
24%
10%
30%
50%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Percentage of Grade 12 learners passing with Mathematics and Science : Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
Whilst progress has been made to ensure universal access to education the critical issue relate to the quality of education
39
2.1 Improve early childhood development, Strategic Objective and secondary education : AWG6
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current
Status
2.1.1.1Percentage of learners performing at the required levels in grade 3 Language in
national benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) 71.4% 90.4% 76.9%
2.1.1.2Percentage of learners performing at the required levels in grade 3
Mathematics in national benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) 95.9% 100% 88.2%
2.1.1.3Percentage of learners performing at the required levels in grade 6 Language in
national benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) 76.4% 100% 85.6%
2.1.1.4Percentage of learners performing at the required levels in grade 6
Mathematics in national benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) 61.4% 86.4% 77.3%
2.1.1.5Percentage of learners performing at the required levels in grade 9 Language in
national benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) 49% 74% 66.2%
2.1.1.6Percentage of learners performing at the required levels in grade 9
Mathematics in national benchmark assessments equivalent (previously ANA) 2.9% 27.9% 36%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
40
2.1 Improve early childhood development, Strategic Objective and secondary education : AWG 6
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
2.1.2
Percentage of NSC pass rate (70% across KZN
should be the minimum requirement for the
Province).
70.7% 80% 71%
2.1.3Percentage of children in lower quintiles who
succeed in primary and secondary school. 70% 75% 60.38%
2.1.4
Percentage of children with special needs
(disability, giftedness) and “at risk” children
whose needs are being adequately met by the
education system.
18 996 19 055 20 404
2.1.7.1Number of NSC candidates taking
Mathematics 109 800 110 00 89 681
2.1.7.2Number of NSC candidates taking
Science 66 300 70 000 52 302
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
41
2.1 Improve early childhood development, Strategic Objective and secondary education : AW 6
No Strategic Objective Indicators
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
2.1.5 Number of ECD facilities adhering to norms
and standards. 2 287 2 401 1 474
2.1.6 Percentage of children in 0-4 age group
accessing ECD facilities. 25% 35% 27%
297
759
1056
KZN Population aged 0–4 years attending a day care centre, crèche, early childhood development centre (ECD) playgroup, nursery school or pre-primary school, by whether they attend or not (‘000)
Attend Do not Attend Total
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
42
2.1 Improve early childhood development, Strategic Objective and secondary education : AWG 7
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
2.1.8 Percentage of Grade 12 learners passing Mathematics at 50%
or more in the NSC 12% 23% 13.77%
2.1.9 Percentage of Grade 12 learners passing Science at 50% or
more in the NSC 18% 24% 22.18%
2.1.10 Percentage of Grade 1 learners who attended a Grade R class 93% 99% 97.1%
2.1.11 Retention rates: Grades 10-12 70% 80% 71%
2.1.12 Percentage of children who turned 9 in the previous year
who are currently in Grade 4 or above 67% 70% 71%
2.1.13 Percentage of children who turned 12 in the previous year
who are currently in Grade 7 or above 53% 60% 56.5%
2.1.14 Number of learners qualifying in NSC for: Bachelors
programme28 500 33 000 36 139
2.1.14 Number of learners qualifying in NSC for: Diploma 36 000 38 000 39 507
2.1.14 Number of learners qualifying in NSC for: Certificate 25 000 26 000 22 347
2.1.15Retention rates: Grades 1-12 51% 55% 65.61%
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
43
2.2 Support skills development to economic growth : AWG 7
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020Current Status
2.2.1Full and part time students in public TVET colleges for All
courses109 490 119 490 141 640
2.2.1Full and part time students in public TVET colleges for NC(V)
courses28 989 32 489 31 614
2.2.1Full and part time students in public TVET colleges for N
courses67 450 77 450 85 782
2.2.1Full and part time students in public TVET colleges for
Occupational programmes4 682 5 182 7 202
2.2.2 Students graduating in: Education 4 347 4 857 3 698
2.2.2Students graduating in: Science, Engineering and
Technology (SET)6 339 6 739 8 221
2.2.4 Number of PhD graduates 239 291 307
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Current output exceeds targets –Targets to be reviewed
Goal 2 : Human Resource Development
44
2.2 Support skills development to economic growth : AWG 7
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
2.2.5Percentage of academic staff with PhD Qualifications
NB. National target for 2020 is 46% (Draft HRD Strategy for SA)55% UKZN 57% UKZN 56%
2.2.5Percentage of academic staff with PhD Qualifications
NB. National target for 2020 is 46% (Draft HRD Strategy for SA)11% MUT 27% MUT 11%
2.2.5Percentage of academic staff with PhD Qualifications
NB. National target for 2020 is 46% (Draft HRD Strategy for SA)17% DUT 27% DUT 27%
2.2.5Percentage of academic staff with PhD Qualifications
NB. National target for 2020 is 46% (Draft HRD Strategy for SA)31% Unizul 36% Unizul 47%
2.2.5Percentage of academic staff with PhD Qualifications
NB. National target for 2020 is 46% (Draft HRD Strategy for SA
Combined 28% Combined 35% 36.75%
2.2.9 Number of artisans qualifying in scarce skills. 1225 Completed
2 851 Registered 1500 2766
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”45
STATUS PER GOALGOAL 3- HUMAN AND COMMUNITY DEVELOPMENT
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
46
Goal Indicators Baseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
Life expectancy as
measure of the
quality of life
52.6 years 57.7 years 60.5 years 56.4years
Decrease in social
inequality (Gini
Coefficient)
17.6 19.4 22.1 22.1
PGDP Adjusted
Human
Development Index
(Baseline, Stats SA,
KZN Department of
Health. 2006)
0.70 0.72 0.80 0.80
Decrease in
absolute poverty: %
below food poverty
line
25.70 17.99 10.79 10.79
47.950.349.2
5154
58.7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Male Female
PROVINCIAL LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH OF MALES AND FEMALES STATSSA
2001-06 2006-11 2011-16
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
47
50.1 56.5 54.4 57.0 56.4 56.4
49.5
57.760.5
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
20
15
20
16
20
17
20
18
20
19
20
20
Life expectancy at birth Total : Target vsActuals
17.6 22.1 22.1 22.1
17.619.4
22.1
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
Decrease in social inequality: share of income earned by poorest 60% (source data: NIDS) :
Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
48
0.72 0.72 0.70 0.80 0.80 0.80
0.70 0.720.80
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
2.00
PGDP Adjusted Human Development Index (Baseline, Stats SA, KZN Department of
Health. 2006) : Target vs Actuals
17.99 17.99 17.99 10.79 10.79 10.79
25.70
17.99
10.79
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
Decrease in absolute poverty: % below food poverty line (Baseline: NIDS, 2008, PL = half
R418 proposed by NPC) Please see note at end of table : Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
49
No Strategic Objective Indicators : AWG 8Baseline
2015
Targets
2020Current Status
3.1.1
Effective dependency ratio (economically
inactive people/economically active people)
Baseline: Stats SA QLFS. 2010)
4 3.2 6.5
3.1.2Functional Operation Sukuma Sakhe war
rooms. 340 828 585
3.1.3The poverty gap (p1) and severity of poverty
(p2) (Baseline NIDS 2008)
27.4 (p1)
15.9 (p2)
23.3 (p1)
13.5 (p2)
25.5[p1]
14.4[p2]
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
50
No Strategic Objective Indicators : AWG 8Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
3.1.4
Reduction in child poverty and malnutrition: % children that
are stunted, wasted or obese. (Baseline: SANHANES 2013).
South African National Health and Nutrition Examination
Survey (SANHANES) - Stunted
15.3 12.3 14.2
3.1.4
Reduction in child poverty and malnutrition: % children that
are stunted, wasted or obese (Baseline: SANHANES 2013).
South African National Health and Nutrition Examination
Survey (SANHANES) - Wasted
2.5 2 2.3
3.1.4
Reduction in child poverty and malnutrition: % children that
are stunted, wasted or obese (Baseline: SANHANES 2013).
South African National Health and Nutrition Examination
Survey (SANHANES) - Obese
14.6 12 14
3.1.4.1Children under 5 years severe acute malnutrition incidence
(per 1000)5.3/1000 4.6/1000 4.6/1000
3.1.4.2Child under 2 years underweight for age incidence
(annualised) 56.1 / 1,000 46 / 1,000 45.8/1000
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
51
No Strategic Objective Indicators : AWG 8Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
3.1.5
Reduction in relative poverty: % below upper
bound poverty line, PL = 1.25 R418 proposed by
NPC) (Baseline: NIDS, 2008)
3.6 3.2 0.5%
3.1.6 Number of eligible social grant applications. 3 918 463 3 943 621
According to Stats SA Percentage of individuals that benefited from social grants consistently
increased from 12,7% in 2003 to 29,9% in 2016 and now to 36,0% in 2017 in KwaZulu-Natal
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
52
3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
NoStrategic Objective Indicators :
AWG10
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current
Status
3.2.2 Infant mortality rate (per 1000 live
births)31/1000 29/1000 31/1000
3.2.3 Under-5 mortality rate (per 1000 live
births)42/1000 40/1000 42/1000
3.2.4 Maternal mortality in facility ratio
(per 100 000 live births)121.1/1000 100/1000 106.7/1000
3.2.5 Percentage of the population with
private medical cover. 12.8% TBD 11.9%
3.2.6 Percentage of Primary Health Care
facilities scoring above 70% on the
Ideal Clinic Dashboard
62.5% 100% 64.2%
3.2.7 Decrease in incidence of chronic
illnesses : Diabetes incidence and
prevalence (per 1000 population)
2.2/1000 2.2/1000 2.8/1000
683
8898
28 52
39 73
0 0
357 408
0 5
199 63
0 00
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
Covered Not Covered Do Not Know Unspecified
KZN Medical Aid CoverageSource: Stats SA
Black African Coloured Indian/Asian WhiteLikely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
53
3.2 Enhance health of communities and citizens
No Strategic Objective Indicators : AWG10Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
3.2.8
Prevalence and incidence of communicable diseases :
Hypertension incidence and prevalence (per 1000
population over 40 years)
18.6/1000 18.8/1000 21.8/1000
3.2.8 HIV incidence (in general population) 1.01% 1% 1.01%
3.2.8HIV prevalence and incidence among 15-24 year old
pregnant women24.9% 24.9% 25.8%
3.2.8 Infant 1st PCR test positive around 6 weeks’ rate 1.2% 0.5% 0.98%
3.2.8 TB incidence and prevalence (per 100 000 population) 642.5/100,000 400/100,000 511.3/100,000
3.2.8Malaria incidence and prevalence (per 1000 population at
risk)0.8/1000
Zero new local
cases0.3/1000
3.2.9 Professional Nurses per 100 000 population 161/100,000 164/100,000 153/100,000
3.2.10 Medical Officers per 100 000 population 28.8/100,000 30/100,000 26.41/100,000
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
54
3.3 Enhance sustainable household food security
No Strategic Objective Indicators : AWG 8Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
3.3.1Dietary Diversity Index: % of households consuming
< 15 major food categories in previous month54 46 49%
3.3.2
Hunger episodes: household member has gone
hungry at least sometimes in past 12 months - % of
households
32 24 28%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
55
3.4 Sustainable human settlements
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators : AWG 11
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current
Status
3.4.1 Percentage of households living
in formal dwellings in KZN 72.6% 73.78 72.66%
3.4.1 Total no. of households 2 775 843 3 100 574 2 905 735
3.4.1 Households in formal dwellings 2 015 262 2 288 223 2 124 446
3.4.2 Percentage housing backlogDecrease by
7%
Decrease by
7%8.08%
0.20%
8.10%
15.70%
75.90%
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
70.00%
80.00%
OTHER INFORMAL TRADITIONAL FORMAL
Percentage of households in KZN that lived in formal, informal and traditional dwellings KZN, 2016
Source: Stats SA
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 3 : Human and Community Development
56
3.4 Sustainable human settlements
No Strategic Objective Indicators : AWG 11Baseline
2015
Targets
2020Current Status
3.4.3
Percentage households with a registrable
form of tenure (outside Ingonyama Trust
Board land).
(Total units less rural/total actual units)
56% 57% 45.1%
3.4.4
Percentage of Provincial Human
Settlements budget spent on formal
settlement development
37% 42% 50.3%
3.4.5
Percentage of Social Housing and Rental
Opportunities
(CRU +Institutional/total Units)
944 units
R 89,750m
Increased by
10%
(R1 038)
(2540/80307) =3.2% (14/15 – to
date)
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”57
STATUS PER GOALGOAL 4 – STRATEGIC INFRASTRUCTURE
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
58
Goal Indicators Baseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current
Status
Percentage of provincial budget allocated to new
capital infrastructure. 17.2% 20% 22% 18%
Percentage of provincial budget allocated to new
capital infrastructure spent. 98% 100% 100% 100%
Percentage of municipal budget allocated to new
capital infrastructure18.9% 20% 22% 21%
Percentage of municipal budget allocated to new
capital infrastructure spent 86% 100% 100% 98%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Due to delays in SCM processes and
reprioritization of projects in the election
year
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
59Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
18%
17% 20% 22%
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Percentage of provincial budget allocated to new capital infrastructure :
Target vs Actuals
100%
98%
100%
100%
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Percentage of provincial budget allocated to new capital infrastructure spent :
Target vs Actuals
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
60
4.1 Development of seaports and airports : AWG 12
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.1.1.1 Ports Throughput measured measured in million TEU’s
1. Durban Port 2.8m 6m 678 850 for Q1
2. Richards Bay Port 24 000 24 000 4 376 for Q1
4.1.1.2 Ports Throughput measured in Dry Bulk volumes (Million tons)
1. Durban Port9.6 Million
Tons 9.6 Million Tons 2.2 Million Tons for Q1
2. Richards Bay Port17.6 Million
Tons 25.78 Million Tons 2.3 Million Tons for Q1
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
The Presidential Infrastructure
Coordinating Committee has identified the
following SIP2 Port Projects for the port of
Durban:1. DCT (Pier 2) Berth
expansion and deepening
2. 2. (Pier 1) Salisbury Island expansion
Project Stage: feasibility study completed
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
61
4.1 Development of seaports and airports : AWG 12
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.1.1.4Port Capacity measured by Cruise
Ship Operators
Currently 1 main
cruise ship
operator and
other operators
call in randomly
3 1
4.1.1.5Port Capacity measured by
number of Cruise Liner visits66 66 9
4.1.1.6Tonnage throughput from DTP
cargo terminal (international)7 150 tonnes 13 300 tonnes 2 480 for Q1
4.1.1.7Tonnage throughput from DTP
cargo terminal (domestic)6 700 tonnes 8 000 tonnes 2 013 for Q1
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
62
4.1 Development of seaports and airports : AWG 12
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.1.2.1Volume of passengers through KZN
1. KZN SeaportsTBD TBD 34 605
4.1.2.2 Volume of passengers through KZN
2. KZN Airports
P/A
KSIA: 4,930,155
Margate: 24,535
RBay: 76,734
PMB: 127,788
Total: 5,159,212
P/A
KSIA: 6,163,400
Margate: 25,164
RBay: 84,910
PMB: 179,275
Total: 6,425,749
P/A
KSIA: 5,447,172
Margate:30,116
RBay: 75,304
PMB: 155,676
Total: 5,708,268
4.1.3.1Number of scheduled domestic
connectionsKSIA: 9 KSIA: 11 9
4.1.3.2 Number of scheduled international
connectionsKSIA: 8 KSIA: 15 11
Estimated based on 1st
Quarter Performance
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
4.2 Development of road and rail networks : AWG 12
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.2.1
Percentage of container cargo destined for inland
(inter- and intra provincial) hubs leaving eThekwini
by rail.
25% 29% 32%
4.2.2 Volume (in tons) of coal being transported from
inland areas to Richards Bay Port for export. 72 mtpa 90 mtpa 21.77mtpa (Q1)
4.2.3 Number of kilometres of declared rural roads that
provide access to communities 32 800 33 890 32 620km
4.2.5 Road to rail ratio out of Durban 3.2:1 2.7:1 2.2:1
4.2.6 Percentage of provincial road network in poor to
very poor condition 45% 35% 36%
4.2.7 Percentage of national road network in poor to
very poor condition 10% 2% 2%
4.2.8 % Tonnage to Capacity Utilisation (Demand
Installed) 50% 86% 58% 63
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
64
4.3 Development of ICT
No Strategic Objective Indicators AWG13Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.3.1 Number of kilometres of backbone Fibre Optic cables rolled out 20 000 35 000km 32 597.05
4.3.2 Percentage of local municipalities with good established access
networks. 30% 70% 30%
4.3.3 Percentage of households with access to the internet at home. 5% 20% 8%
4.3.4 Level of increase in mobile broadband coverage in the Province. 36% 40% 36%
4.3.5 Reduction in average cost of data per megabyte (MB) R8.16 R7.58 R8.08
4.3.6 Percentage of Schools Connected 25% 100%
(@ 10mbps )47%
4.3.7 Percentage of Health Facilities Connected 32% 50%
(@ 10mbps )30.25%
4.3.8 Minimum broadband speed available within the Province 50% (@ 5 mbps)
5MB
(90% @ 5mbps)
(50% @ 10mbps)
5MB
32@5mbps
4.3.9 Number of Public Wi-Fi Hotspots established 1 180 2000 1 217
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
65
4.4 Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
No Strategic Objective Indicators AWG13Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.4.2 Quantity of water abstracted per annum in each
district. 2 470 mill m³ 2 655 mill m³ 2 082,5mill m³
4.4.3 Percentage of households with access to a basic
level of sanitation (Ventilated Improved Pit
Latrine) and higher
78% 86% 88.55%
4.4.4 Percentage households with access to potable
drinking water, within 200m of the dwelling 79.2% 90% 85.44%
4.4.5 Reduction on Non-Revenue Water loss (physical
and non-physical.) 51% 60% 46%
4.4.6 Percentage of water service systems in balance
(supply and demand balance) 51% 60% 51%
4.4.7 Percentage of households with access to 75 litres
of water per person per day 61% 70% 61%
4.4.8 Percentage of households with yard water
connections 61% 70% 61%
4.4.9 Percentage of households with sanitation to MIG
standards 93.12% 100% 88.55%
Due to drought
Decrease in water extracted due to drought
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
66
4.5 Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable
and modern energy for all
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators AWG13
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current
Status
4.5.1
Percentage of households
receiving reliable and
affordable electricity
supply.
80.2% 90% 81.5%68.90%
74.80%
78.20%
81.50%
2002 2006 2011 2016
Percentage of households connected to the mains electricity supply in KZN , 2002─2016
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
% of households in the country connected to mains electricity supply increased from 68.9% in 2002 to 81,5% in 2016
Goal 4 : Strategic Infrastructure
67
4.6 Enhance KZN waste management capacity
No Strategic Objective Indicators AWG13Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
4.6.1 Percentage increase in tonnage of waste
recycled. New 10% 47.7%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”68
STATUS PER GOALGOAL 5 – ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY
Goal 5 : Environmental Sustainability
69
Goal Indicators Baseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
% protection of High -Risk Biodiversity
Planning Units (HRBPU)
Baseline to be
established70% 85% 83%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 5 : Environmental Sustainability
70
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
83%0%
70%
85%
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
% protection of High -Risk Biodiversity Planning Units (HRBPU) : Target vs Actuals
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 5 : Environmental Sustainability
71
5.1 Increase productive use of land
No Strategic Objective Indicators AWG13Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
5.1.3% use of high value agricultural land for non-
agricultural activities1.5% 1.3% 1%
5.1.4Compliance with national Ambient Air Quality
Standards60% 80% 75%
5.1.5 Blue Drop rating 75% 80% 86.1
5.1.6 Green Drop rating
(New Indicator) 81.5 80 66.8%
5.1.7% of waste water treatment works complying with
enforcement measures to meet effluent standards55% 70% 52.6%
5.1.8Percentage of waste license applications finalised
within legislated timeframes100 100% 100%
5.1.9% of environmental impact assessments (EIA)
applications finalised within legislated timeframes98% 98% 96%
5.1.10 Number of compliance inspections conducted 750 850 839
Goal 5 : Environmental Sustainability
72
5.2 Expand application of green technologies
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
5.2.1Number of small scale renewable energy
projects 2 25 4
5.2.2Units of energy produced through
alternative energy generation (new build) 390 MW 1000 MW 382,1 MW
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 5 : Environmental Sustainability
73
5.3 Mitigation and Adaptation to climate change
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
5.3.1
Number of Districts / Metro with updated
Disaster Management plans.
(New Indicator)
TBD TBD 100%
5.3.2
Provincial coverage of functional Disaster
Management Centres.
(New Indicator)
100% 100% 100%
5.3.3
Percentage of events with early warning
systems, where affected parties received
prior warning.
100% 100% 100%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”74
STATUS PER GOALGOAL 6 – GOVERNANCE AND POLICY
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
75
Goal Indicators Baseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
Improvement in level of client satisfaction
measured through percentage of citizens
satisfied with the level of government
services
53% 55% 60% 64%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
The next Client Satisfaction Survey is planned for later this financial
year, depending on whether or not the required budget can be secured
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
76
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
53%
64.1%
64.1%
64%
53%55%
60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Improvement in level of client satisfaction measured through percentage of citizens
satisfied with the level of government servicesTarget vs Actuals
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
77
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.1.1 Percentage of IDPs and District Growth and Development Plans, departmental and public entity Annual
Performance Plans aligned to the PGDS/P. (New Indicator)
6.1.1.1 Provincial Departments 100% 100% 100%
6.1.1.2 Provincial Entities New 100% Not yet assessed
6.1.1.3 DGDP’s New 100% 40%
6.1.1.4 IDP’s New 100% 40%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
78
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.1.2 Average IDP assessment score.
(New Indicator) 70.73 90 66.02%.
6.1.3 Level of functionality of IGR forums. (New Indicator)
6.1.3.1 Level of functionality of Provincial
IGR forums 35% 90% Not yet assessed
6.1.3.2 Level of functionality of
Municipal IGR forums 100% 100% 60%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
79
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
No
Strategic
Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.1.4 Reduction in number of registered IGR disputes. (New Indicator)
6.1.4.1 Provincial 50% 60% Not yet assessed
6.1.4.1 Municipal New TBD Not yet assessed
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
80
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.1.5 Number of cross border (inter municipal, inter provincial and international) agreements and shared services
agreements maintained. (New Indicator)
6.1.5.1 Provincial and
International 10 30 Not yet assessed
6.1.5.2 Municipal and Shared
Services 10 10 Not yet assessed
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
81
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.2.1 Percentage of vacant funded posts in provincial departments, municipalities and public entities.
(Expanded indicator)
6.2.1.1
Percentage of vacant
funded posts in
provincial departments
15% <10% 9%
6.2.1.2
Percentage of vacant
funded posts in
municipalities
4192/52549 =
7.9% <10% 28%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
82
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.2.2 Number of municipalities, provincial departments, public entities achieving clean audits.
6.2.2.1 Percentage municipalities with clean audits 21% 100% 18%
6.2.2.2 %of provincial departments and entities with
clean audits 23.5% 100% 23.5%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.2.3Percentage of positive rating of service delivery at provincial and local levels, measured through the
KZN Citizens Satisfaction Surveys. (Only to be reassessed in next Citizen Satisfaction Survey)
6.2.3.1 Provincial Level – measuring rating category “Good/Very Good/Excellent” Consider 2% as no trends therefore conservative
Provision of basic education 63% 65% 63%
Provision of health care 49% 51% 49%
Maintenance of Provincial Roads 52% 54% 52%
Eradicating poverty and improving social welfare 38% 40% 38%
Promoting agriculture 41% 43% 41%
Improving household food security 31% 33% 31%
Provision of safety and security 33% 35% 33%
Promoting accountable government 32% 34% 32%
Enhancing entrepreneurism and SMME’s 34% 36% 34%
Eradicating fraud and corruption 29% 31% 29% 83
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
84
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
NoStrategic Objective
Indicators
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current
Status
6.2.3.2
Municipal Level, using rating category of “Satisfied” Consider 2% as no
trends therefore conservative (Only to be reassessed in next Citizen
Satisfaction Survey)
Water services 52% 54% 52%
Electricity services 61% 63% 61%
Municipal clinics 61% 63% 61%
Sanitation services 49% 51% 49%
Affordable Housing 36% 38% 36%
75.80%
81.30%
83.70% 83.30%
2002 2006 2011 2016
Percentage of households with access to piped or tap water in their dwellings, off-site
or on-site in KZN, 2002–2016
51.40%
62.80%70.90%
76.90%
2002 2006 2011 2016
Percentage of households that have access to improved sanitation in KZN 2002–2016
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
85
6.1 Strengthen policy, strategy co-ordination and IGR
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.2.4
% of provincial departments achieving Level 3
within 50% of the Management Performance
Assessment Tool (MPAT) standards for each
cycle.
65% 70% 57.14%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
86
6.3 Eradicate fraud and corruption
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.3.1
Percentage of positive rating of provincial performance as regards
eradication of fraud and corruption at provincial and local levels,
measured through the KZN Citizens Satisfaction Surveys. (New
Indicator)
55% 60% 55%
6.3.2.1 The rand value affected by fraud and corruption in the public and
private sectors. (R’000) R85m R20m R575m
6.3.2.2Number of government officials convicted for corruption or
offences related to corruption33 50 30
6.3.2.3Conviction rate measured as percentage convictions of the total
number of dockets received in the year )84% 90% 47%
6.3.3
Number of departments achieving a satisfaction or better rating
through MPAT on fraud and integrity
(New Indicator)
11 13 12
6.3.4
Percentage of cases from the National Anti-Corruption hotline
closed by departments.
(New Indicator )
87 95 91%
Goal 6 : Governance and Policy
87
6.4 Promote participative, facilitative and accountable governance
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
6.4.1Voter participation in provincial and
municipal elections
Prov: 75.6%
Local: 61.14%
Prov: 82%
Local: 67%
Prov: 75,6%
Local: 61.48
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”88
STATUS PER GOALGOAL 7 – SPATIAL EQUITY
Goal 7 : Spatial Equity
89
Goal Indicators Baseline
2010
Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
Improved population physical
access to goods and services as
measured by the Spatial Equity /
Accessibility Index
0.499 0.511 0.532 0,507
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
Goal 7 : Spatial Equity
90Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
0.507 0.507 0.507 0.507
0.499 0.511 0.532
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.700
0.800
0.900
1.000
Improved population physical access to goods and services as measured by the Spatial Equity
/ Accessibility Index : Target vs Actuals
Goal 7 : Spatial Equity
91
7.1 Enhance the resilience of new and existing cities, towns and rural nodes, ensuring equitable access to resources, social and economic opportunities
No Strategic Objective Indicators Baseline
2015
Targets
2020
Current Status
7.1.1Spatial Distribution of Human Development
Index (HDI) at provincial scale0.57 0.57 0.58
7.1.2
Percentage of total provincial geographic area
with Land Use Management Schemes and
Systems.
NEW 65% 37.06%
Likely
Doubtful
Unlikely
HIGH LEVEL SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
92
GOAL 1:
- Shared Economic Growth Targets are not being met and unemployment is rising;
- Both Agriculture and Manufacturing Sectors have performed poorly;
+ New investments in SEZs are presenting positive prospects.
GOAL 2:
- Education outcomes are still not able to bridge the skills gap;
- Performance in maths and science remains cause for concern;
- Enrolment rate in tertiary institutions is still to low and there is a serious lack of capacity;
+ Universal access to primary and secondary education is largely achieved.
HIGH LEVEL SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
93
GOAL 3:
- Life expectancy for both male and female is stagnating and is showing signs of regress;
- Increase in mortality related to non-communicable diseases and non-natural cuases;
- Number of grant dependant persons and households are increasing;
- Shortage of medical professionals;
- % of households with registrable form of land tenure still to low;
- Drug related crimes on the rise;
+ Absolute poverty is decreasing, although to slow;
+ Housing backlog being reduced
HIGH LEVEL SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
94
GOAL 4:
- Provincial and Municipal Capital investment is declining;
- Freight and passenger volumes through air and seaports are well below target;
- Quality of the Provincial road network is deteriorating;
- Pace of broadband rollout and high speed internet connectivity to slow;
- Water resources and reliability of water service remains a concern;
- Rising cost of electricity is starting to impact on access to electricity;
+ Road to rail ratio out of Port of Durban showed signs of improvement;
+ Quality of National Road network is improving;
+ Direct international airport connectivity has improved.
HIGH LEVEL SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
95
GOAL 5:
- Slow progress on small scale renewable energy projects;
- Decrease in energy produced through alternative energy generation;
- Green drop water rating declining:
+ Blue drop water rating improving
GOAL 6:
- There has been a regression in clean audits at both municipal and provincial level;
- Alarming turnover of staff resulting in expertise and knowledge not being retained
impacting on governance performance;
- Intergovernmental Relations are of concern in particular International Relations Strategy
that has not been finalised;
- The rand value affected by fraud and corruption has increased dramatically;
+ Employment equity targets are increasingly being met.
HIGH LEVEL SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
96
GOAL 7:
- Regression in spatial equity largely due to perpetuation of dispersed rural settlements;
- Slow progress in rollout of land use management schemes across the province;
“KZN as a prosperous Province with healthy, secure and skilled population, living in dignity and harmony, acting as a gateway between Africa and the World”
Siyabonga - Thank You
For South Africa to work,
KZN must work
www.kznppc.gov.za
97
“Working Together to achieve
KZN Vision 2035”