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Labour Labour Market Market Indicators Indicators for Monitoring for Monitoring Youth Youth Development Development Steven Steven Kapsos Kapsos Employment Employment Trends Unit Trends Unit International Labour Organisation International Labour Organisation

Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

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Page 1: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

Labour Labour MarketMarket IndicatorsIndicatorsfor Monitoring for Monitoring YouthYouth

DevelopmentDevelopment

Steven Steven KapsosKapsosEmploymentEmployment Trends UnitTrends Unit

International Labour OrganisationInternational Labour Organisation

Page 2: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

OutlineOutline

nn WhyWhy are are youthyouth labour labour marketmarketindicatorsindicators (LMI) important?(LMI) important?

nn WhatWhat are are thethe main main youthyouth LMI?LMI?nn WorldWorld andand regionalregional trendstrendsnn Sources for Sources for youthyouth labour labour marketmarket

informationinformationnn Challenges Challenges forfor monitoring monitoring youthyouth in in

thethe labour labour marketmarket

Page 3: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

WhyWhy are are youthyouth labour labour marketmarketindicatorsindicators (LMI) important?(LMI) important?

nn EntryEntry point for point for broaderbroader employmentemployment issuesissuesnn Unique challenges Unique challenges facingfacing youthyouth in labour in labour

marketsmarkets•• More More thanthan 3 3 timestimes as as likelylikely as as adultsadults to to bebe

unemployedunemployed•• More More likelylikely to to bebe engagedengaged in in partpart--timetime, , oftenoften

precariousprecarious employmentemployment

nn WorkWork experiencesexperiences atat youngyoung age have an age have an impact impact throughoutthroughout oneone’’ss productive productive lifelife

nn KnowledgeKnowledge for for betterbetter monitoring monitoring andandpolicypolicy developmentdevelopment

Page 4: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

WhatWhat are are thethe main main youthyouth LMI?LMI?

UNDP HDR/UNDP HDR/OECDOECDNoNo1515--2424n/an/a200320033030OECDOECD

YouthYouth unemploymentunemployment femalefemale rate rate as a as a percentagepercentage ofof male rate, 15male rate, 15--24 (%)24 (%)

ILO GETILO GETYesYes1515--2424MF, MF, M, FM, F

19911991--20042004n/an/aallallYouthYouth employmentemployment--toto--populationpopulationratioratio

ILO KILMILO KILMYesYes1515--2424MF, MF, M, FM, F

19801980--20042004120120allallShareShare ofof youthyouth in total in total unemploymentunemployment

ILO KILMILO KILMYesYes1515--2424MF, MF, M, FM, F

19801980--20042004117117allallTheThe ratio ratio ofof youthyouth--toto--adultadultunemploymentunemployment raterate

ILO LABPROJ/ILO LABPROJ/KILMKILM

YesYes1515--19, 19, 2020--2424

MF, MF, M, FM, F

19801980--20202020191191allallYouthYouth labour force labour force growthgrowth

ILO LABPROJ/ILO LABPROJ/KILMKILMYesYes

1515--19, 19, 2020--2424

MF, MF, M, FM, F19801980--20202020191191allall

YouthYouth labour force participation labour force participation raterate

ILO ILO LABORSTALABORSTA

NoNo1515--19, 19, 2020--2424

MF, MF, M, FM, F

1985, 1985, 19881988--20042004

9393allallEconomicallyEconomically active population, active population, by by levellevel ofof educationeducation andand age age group (group (ThousandsThousands) )

ILO KILMILO KILMYesYes1515--2424MF, MF, M, FM, F19801980--20042004120120allallUnemploymentUnemployment rate rate amongamong 1515--24 24

yearyear oldsolds

SourceSourceRegionalRegionalAggregatesAggregates??

Age Age groupsgroups

SexSexTime Time periodperiod

# # ofofcountriescountries

RegionsRegions

Data Data availabilityavailabilityAvailableAvailable IndicatorsIndicators

Page 5: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

GlobalGlobal youthyouth unemploymentunemployment

69,687

84,996

11.5

13.7

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

80,000

90,000

100,000

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

You

th u

nem

ploy

men

t ('0

00s)

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

You

th u

nem

ploy

men

t rat

e (%

)

Youth unemployment ('000s) Youth unemployment rate (%)

Page 6: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

RegionalRegional youthyouth unemploymentunemploymentratesrates

2.82.82.92.99.09.023.123.121.221.2Western Western AsiaAsia

5.75.74.84.896.596.517.117.18.78.7SouthSouth--easterneastern AsiaAsia

3.73.73.63.623.423.411.311.39.19.1SouthSouth AsiaAsia

2.72.72.82.814.614.67.67.66.76.7EasternEastern AsiaAsia

2.72.72.72.712.412.414.514.512.912.9Latin Latin AmericaAmerica & & thethe CaribbeanCaribbean

3.23.23.43.45.15.118.418.417.517.5SubSub--SaharanSaharan AfricaAfrica

3.63.63.73.75.55.534.234.232.432.4NorthernNorthern AfricaAfrica

2.52.52.62.62.02.018.318.317.917.9CISCIS

2.42.42.32.3--9.69.614.814.816.316.3DevelopedDeveloped EconomiesEconomies

3.13.12.82.818.918.913.713.711.511.5WORLDWORLD

2004200419941994% Change% Change2004200419941994

Ratio Ratio ofof youthyouth to to adultadultunemploymentunemployment raterateYouthYouth unemploymentunemployment raterate

Page 7: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

YouthYouth shareshare ofof total total unemploymentunemployment

62.260.2

52.1 53.0

44.9 44.4

38.1

44.8

29.9

26.7

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

South-easternAsia

Sub-SaharanAfrica

Northern Africa South Asia Western Asia Latin America &the Caribbean

Eastern Asia World CIS DevelopedEconomies

1994 2004

Page 8: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

YouthYouth employmentemployment--toto--populationpopulationratios by ratios by sexsex, 2004, 2004

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

South Asia Northern Africa Western Asia Latin America &the Caribbean

World South-easternAsia

Sub-SaharanAfrica

CIS DevelopedEconomies

Eastern Asia

Female Male

Page 9: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

YouthYouth labour force, 1980, 2004 labour force, 1980, 2004 andand 20152015

0

20'000

40'000

60'000

80'000

100'000

120'000

140'000

160'000

180'000

200'000

DevelopedEconomies

CIS Northern Africa Sub-SaharanAfrica

Latin America &the Caribbean

Eastern Asia South Asia South-easternAsia

Western Asia

1980 2004 2015

Page 10: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

YouthYouth labour force participation, labour force participation, 1515--2424

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

%

Developed Economies CIS Northern Africa Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America & the Caribbean Eastern Asia South Asia South-eastern Asia

Western Asia Oceania

Page 11: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

YouthYouth labour force participation, labour force participation, 2020--2424

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

%

Developed Economies CIS Northern Africa Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America & the Caribbean Eastern Asia South Asia South-eastern Asia

Western Asia Oceania

Page 12: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

YouthYouth labour force participation, labour force participation, 1515--1919

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

%

Developed Economies CIS Northern Africa Sub-Saharan Africa

Latin America & the Caribbean Eastern Asia South Asia South-eastern Asia

Western Asia Oceania

Page 13: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

SourcesSources ofof youthyouth LMILMI

nn ILO ILO DatabasesDatabases & Reports& Reports•• Key Key IndicatorsIndicators ofof thethe Labour Labour MarketMarket

(KILM) (KILM) DatabaseDatabasenn CountryCountry--levellevel andand regionalregional datadata

•• LABORSTALABORSTAnn ILO ILO databasedatabase containingcontaining country labour country labour

statisticsstatistics

•• Global Global EmploymentEmployment Trends reportsTrends reportsnn FocusFocus on on worldworld andand regionalregional trendstrends

Page 14: Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development€¦ · Labour Market Indicators for Monitoring Youth Development Steven Kapsos Employment Trends Unit International Labour

LookingLooking aheadahead: : challenges and challenges and prioritiespriorities

nn ExistingExisting labour labour marketmarket indicatorsindicatorsprovideprovide solidsolid startingstarting point to point to monitor monitor youthyouth developmentdevelopment

nn NeedNeed to to greatlygreatly strengthenstrengthen data data relatedrelated to to thethe qualityquality ofof employmentemploymentfor for youthyouth•• WagesWages andand earningsearnings•• HoursHours ofof workwork•• Labour Labour productivityproductivity