9

Click here to load reader

Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

The Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines

Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics: An Introduction to KantianEconomicsAuthor(s): Jean-Jacques LaffontSource: Economica, New Series, Vol. 42, No. 168 (Nov., 1975), pp. 430-437Published by: Blackwell Publishing on behalf of The London School of Economics and Political Scienceand The Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related DisciplinesStable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2553800 .Accessed: 25/08/2011 21:32

Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at .http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp

JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range ofcontent in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new formsof scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected].

Blackwell Publishing, The London School of Economics and Political Science, The Suntory and ToyotaInternational Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines are collaborating with JSTOR to digitize,preserve and extend access to Economica.

http://www.jstor.org

Page 2: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

[NOVEMBER

Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics: an Introduction to Kantian Economics

By JEAN-JACQUES LAFFONT'

The purpose of this paper is to ask questions about the realism, the implications and the possible modifications of the usual formalizations of the behaviour of economic agents when they are very numerous and are subjected to macroeconomic constraints. The common practice is to assume selfish behaviour which is viewed as an irremovable fact of social and economic life. The relevance of large numbers in our problem is that the consequences for the community of individual actions may be of a different order of magnitude than for individuals themselves. When the number of agents is small, theories of cooperative behaviour that go beyond selfish individual interest have been proposed, but in our context they are too complex or too costly in terms of information.

The phenomena we wish to put forward are the possibility and the consequences of collective behaviour (without any direct communica- tion between agents) that is in contradiction to the maximization of direct personal interest. Such behaviour may be induced by making people aware of a macroeconomic constraint. The State may play a major role in the realization of conditions favourable to the awakening of this consciousness.

Our basic assumption is that human nature in some economic circumstances is capable of behaviour other than the selfish pattern imputed to the "homo oeconomicus" by economic theory. We will show by means of some examples that such behaviour has been revealed in past events. The important consequences of this observation is that it may be optimal when choosing among possible policies to induce such behaviour (by the diffusion of the appropriate information, for example). We do not mean to imply that most problems can be solved this way: "One must not expect miraculous transformations in human behaviour. Ethical codes, if they are viable, should be limited in scope" (Arrow, 1973, p. 316).

To give substance to the concept of a new ethics, we postulate that a typical agent assumes (according to Kant's moral) that the other agents iull act as he does and he m yi7n hik iitility firnctinn uinder th1i new

I A first draft of this note was slightly revised after reading K. Arrow's (1973) paper. Arrow sees two main reasons for the introduction of ethical considerations, pollution and disequilibria in information endowments. He applies his argument to firms. Part of our note may be viewed as a special case of Arrow's. We focus on consumers instead of firms, and investigate the consequences of a special ethics we call Kantian ethics. We deal essentially with externality problems and some macro- economic constraints not usually viewed as externalities.

I am grateful to V. Fitzgerald for stimulating discussions. 430

Page 3: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

1975] AN INTRODUCTION TO KANTIAN ECONOMICS 431

constraint. Note that in non-cooperative behaviour (cf. Laffont and Laroque, 1972) agents suppose that the others will continue to act as they do at the decision date. Our proposition is then equivalent to a special assumption about anticipation of others' behaviour. It is clear that the meaning of "the same action" will depend on the model and will mean usually "the same kind of action". However to simplify the argument we choose economies with identical agents so that it will be literally true. Our purpose is to illustrate an idea rather than to present a complete model.

We will argue essentially two points. First, to induce people to behave in a "Kantian" way may be a very good solution to some problems, and the relevance of such a policy is connected to the existence of macro- economic constraints. Second, the question of knowing whether people do or do not take into account macroeconomic constraints is an import- ant clue to the understanding of many different problems.

I. LOOKING FOR UNSELFISH BEHAVIOUR

Let us consider the case of a large homogeneous beach where a large number of anonymous people come every day, and where dustbins are located every one hundred meters. Assume that the individual's welfare depends on the total number of beer cans scattered over the beach. The impact on an individual's own welfare of throwing his own few beer cans on the beach is assumed to be negligible, and it is tiresome for him to have to walk to a dustbin. Why is it, then, that (at least in some countries) people do not leave their beer cans on beaches? A classical argument may rest on the hope that a demonstration effect will work: however, with anonymous people the strength of this argument can easily be weakened. What is then the best way to describe the decision process of these people?

Every economic action takes place in the framework of a moral or ethics. The moral based on the main rules, "do not injure your neigh- bour's person or his property" and "have freely entered but binding contracts on markets", appear to have worked pretty well until fairly recently, at least as far as economic efficiency was concerned. Modern times reveal increasing economic interdependences that are not market- able (by physical impossibility or because it would be too costly). The possibility of changing the ethics, or of modifying the social responsi- bilities of citizens, must be investigated. The "beach" example given above shows that in some countries citizens have appreciated their "new" responsibilities and we argue that "Kant's rule" fits well the framework of their new decision process.

Other examples come to mind. For a variety of reasons it is considered in the United States that taxation or rationing to solve the energy problem would be very costly and the government instead asks Ameri- cans to voluntarily conserve energy. Why should this work if people are selfish maximizers? The demonstration effect cannot even be invoked

Page 4: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

432 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER

here. Something else is expected from the American people; we argue that it is reasonable to expect a kind of Kantian behaviour in this case and that it will work if the operation is well conducted. Providing information through news media is noticeably inexpensive, which is yet another argument for this solution. Hopefully, people will become aware of the relevant macroeconomic constraint and adopt Kantian behaviour under this constraint.

The stability of this type of solution creates the same problems (even more acutely) as the stability of cooperative solutions. But it is not much different from the problems of enforcement of the Civil Code. Ethical and social pressures must be combined to make negligible the number of people who cheat.

We conclude this section by saying that people have already shown their ability to go beyond selfish maximization.

II. ON THE SUFFICIENCY OF SELFISH BEHAVIOUR

We repeat in this section the well-known efficiency property of market economies with individual maximizers, and the uselessness of Kantian behaviour in this framework. We assume that all agents have the same (differentiable, increasing and concave) utility function. The conceptualization of "large number" is borrowed from Aumann (1964) and we use a measurable space of agents A - [0, 1] endowed with the Lebesgue measure yt. There are two commodities X and Y in this economy; the initial endowments are (1, 1) for each agent. We normalize the price of X to 1. It is possible to transform good X into good Y according to the process y ? cax. The price of good Ywill then be usually p=l/a.

The optimization problem of a consumer is then

Max U(x, y)

subject to

x+(1/a)y=1 + (1/a)1

which gives U2/ U1 = 1/a (if we assume, as we will do tlhroughout this paper, that we have interior solutions).

The only macroeconomic constraints of this model are essentially additive constraints on resources:

{xdL= 1 and {yd,z=1.

The special characteristic of these constraints is that consideration only of the equilibrium price p= 1 /a allows agents to behave in a way that is consistent with these constraints and Pareto-optimal. In this framework it is fruitless in terms of economic efficiency for consumers to go beyond their selfish behaviour. The only consequence of Kantian

Page 5: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

1975] AN INTRODUCTION TO KANTIAN ECONOMICS 433

behaviour would be the immediate realization of the equilibrium without any tatonnement process. In more general models this result would not subsist without a better definition of "the same kind of behaviour" and without great information requirements. The sufficiency of selfish behaviour for efficiency in this case has led many economists to leave unquestioned the behavioural assumption of individual maximization.

III. CONSUMPTION EXTERNALITIES AND SOCIAL RESPONSIBILITY

We modify slightly the example of Section II to introduce a macro- externality of consumption. By this we mean that the welfare of an agent is affected by an additive externality to which all agents (or a non- negligible group of consumers) contribute. To be more specific, we add another argument to the utility function, namely the aggregate consump- tion of y: fAyd[L.

The optimization problem of a selfish consumer is then

Max U y, j| ydi)

subject to

x+(1/U)y= 1 +(1/a)1

which gives the first-order condition: U2 UU1 = 1/a. The consumer has here a non-cooperative or parametric behaviour

with respect to the amount of the externality. It is well known (cf. Laffont and Laroque, 1972) that the outcome of such a non-cooperative economy is inefficient. The marginal conditions of the Pareto optimum with equal distribution are: U2/ U1 = 1/as - U3/ U,.

Let us assume now that we have changed the ethics of the typical agent so that when he maximizes his utility function he assumes that everybody behaves as he does. When he chooses the quantity y of good Y, he assumes that

T ydpu =y

so that his maximization problem becomes

Max U(1 + 1/a- (l/a)y, y, y)

for which the marginal conditions are

U2/ U1= 1/a- U3/U1.

This Kantian behaviour realizes the optimum that would be attained with selfish behaviour only if appropriate taxes t =-U3/ U1 were im- posed on the consumption of good Y.

This formalization seems to be satisfactory for the example of the beach, in which case the solution of taxation clearly appears to be

Page 6: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

434 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER

irrelevant. The choice is then between two solutions. One possibility is to adopt a repressive policy, which will require an expensive control system (or extremely high penalties) and which is not flexible enough to allow fine tuning towards an optimum (such a policy allows only rules like "it is forbidden" or "do not"). Another possibility is to accept the (radical?) idea that preferences and behaviour are endogenous to the system, and to try by means of an information campaign to induce a Kantian type of behaviour, even if a negligible set of consumers does not comply. When the economic development of the Middle Ages required honest practices among merchants, a new ethics appeared-helped by some coercive legislation. Even if it may seem dangerous to some humanists, we would predict that future societies will use the formidable power of modern news media and governmental authority to impose this type of solution in some circumstances. Only experience will tell us to what degree it is possible to go against direct private interest, a fascinating question of sociology.

In concluding this section we want to emphasize the connection between the relevance of a new ethics and the existence of new macro- economic constraints different from the usual additive constraints. In the following sections we consider more sophisticated models and show how different problems can be articulated in relation to the following questions: Does a new macroeconomic constraint exist? Do people take it into account?

IV. DEPENDENT RANDOMNESS AND MACROECONOMIC CONSTRAINTS

Let us consider an infinite succession of overlapping generations of identical consumers who live two periods. The total population of "young" and "old" consumers is constant. In the first period of his life a consumer bears no uncertainty, but he faces S different states of the world in the second period. A state of nature defines an endowment of good 0 (which is for simplicity the only good in the endowment). Let wS > 0 be the endowment of good 0 in period 1, if s = 0 and in state s of period 2ifs=1,2,..., S.

In period 1 a consumer can buy goods to consume in this period. This consumption may modify his probabilities of being in such-and-such a state in the second period. Let x, E RL (L is the number of goods) be the consumption vector for a consumer in period 1 if s =0, in state s of period 2 if s=1,..., S.

Il, is the probability of being in state s for s= 1, . . ., S. It is now a function of x0.

There is no forward market for goods, but in period 1 a consumer can buy at price qs insurance against state s= l, . . ., S. Let Zs be the amount of claims against state s bought (if positive) or sold short (if negative) by a representative consumer. The technology is a simple fixed-coeffici- ents technology with no lag in production so that the price of good 1 is Pl, 1=1,..., L. The price of good 0 is normalized to 1.

Page 7: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

1975] AN INTRODUCTION TO KANTIAN ECONOMICS 435

We consider only stationary states; with the expected utility hypothesis, the maximization problem of a consumer is then

s Max I lIS(x0)U(x0, x)

s=l

subject to s

pxo0_?wo- qszs s=1

PXsW< Ws+Zs s= 1,.. ., S

xs_0 s=O,1,...,S.

For simplicity we assume that there is a unique insurance company with a zero profit constraint. This requirement is made possible by having the number of consumers go to infinity so that frequencies ini all states of nature converge to probabilities.

It is then possible (see Helpman and Laffont, 1975) to show the exist- ence of a stationary equilibrium which is in general inefficient. At the equilibrium (we simplify a little by ignoring the usual non-convexity of the expected utility function and assuming that all consumers choose the same action in the first period of their life), the price of insurance will be such that

qs = FH(xo).

The choice of x0 by a consumer has two effects, one on his own prob- ability distribution and his utility function, and another, which is negligible from his point of view, on the price of insurance. The macro- economic constraints of the problem are the terms of the insurance contracts, which can be changed by collective behaviour, and the origin of the inefficiency is that individual behaviour does not take into account these constraints. An analogy with externalities is useful in order to understand this inefficiency. The insurance company can be viewed as a firm with fixed coefficients 1/I,8 which is subject to macro- externalities of consumption.

The efficient solution suggested by Helpman and Laffont (1975), namely a variable insurance premium qs = 113(xo), is strictly equivalent in this model to a form of Kantian behaviour. However, it is a case where a (relatively) simple institutional framework makes Kantian behaviour and selfish behaviour coincide.

V. NEUTRALITY OF MONEY AND MACROECONOMIC CONSTRAINT

We borrow this last example from a brilliant paper by David Starrett (1973), which shows the relevance of the "macroeconomic constraint discussion" in a traditional problem. Consider as in Section IV an economy where overlapping generations live two periods and the popul- ation is stationary. In the first period of their life consumers receive

Page 8: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

436 ECONOMICA [NOVEMBER

wages w and transfers t from the government in the form of money. They can choose to consume (there is only one good) cl, or to hold money m with a real return rm, or to hold an asset a (capital in a firm) with a stochastic return r. In the second period they consume c2, their receipts from money rmm and from their asset holdings ra.

The maximization programme of a consumer is

Max U(cl)+EU(c2)

subject to

ci=w+t-a-m C2 =rmm +ra.

M is the nominal per capita quantity of money, m is the real per capita quantity of money and P is the price level.

Starrett focuses then on stationary states for which Am/m = 0. By definition

rm-- =- AP/P= Am/mr- AM/M.

So

Am/rm = 0 implies AM/P=m(1 -rm).

Assumptions are made on the technology so that the return on the asset is stochastic for an individual but not at the macro-level. (There is for example technological uncertainty at the level of the firm, but the law of large numbers eliminates the uncertainty at the macro-level.)

There is a macroeconomic constraint that relates the per capita transfer to young consumers t to the amount of real money created by the government:

t= AM/P=m(l -rm).

Starrett (1973) shows then how a stationary state corresponds to each policy of the government. Neutrality of money is defined as the impos- sibility of the government affecting the long-run equilibrium. The crucial question about the neutrality of money turns out to be: Are consumers aware of the relation between the transfers they receive and the rate of inflation? If they are aware of this relation, their maxim- ization program becomes

Max U(cl) + EU(rmm + ra)

subject to

c1 +a?m=w+ t=w+m(l -rm)

or

C1 +a+rmm= w.

Then the real yield of money turns out to be 1, whatever the govern- ment does. Money is neutral. We do not suggest that consumers behave

Page 9: Laffont -Macroeconomic Constraints, Economic Efficiency and Ethics. an Introduction to Kantian Economics

1975] AN INTRODUCTION TO KANTIAN ECONOMICS 437

this way (see Starrett 1973)-this is a question of fact-but we emphasize (and it was noted by Starrett) the relevance of the question: Do people or do they not take into account the macroeconomic constraint?

VI. CONCLUSION

We could consider many more examples: the average quality of a good (as in Akerlof, 1970) can be considered as a macroeconomic constraint. Also, the problem of optimal tax evasion might be looked at together with the idea of a budgetary constraint for the government, so that if consumers suffer disutility from paying taxes the presence of cheating, which induces higher taxes, creates an inefficiency at the macro- level. To illustrate our argument we have ignored all distribution problems by assuming that people are alike, but heterogeneity of people creates great difficulties for the definition of modes of Kantian behaviour at the operational level, at least. Under these assumptions we have shown that we can expect to realize the positive aspects of Kantian behaviour even when the social interest is, to some reasonable degree, in conflict with private interest. The argument indicates why it should be possible with some hope of success to ask people to make non-financial sacrifices such as efforts to put rubbish in bins and to save energy.

Harvard University and University of Montreal

REFERENCES AKERLOF, G. A. (1970). The market for "lemons": quality uncertainty and the

market mechanism. Quarterly Journzal of Economics, 84, 488-500. ARROW, K. J. (1973). Social responsibility and economic efficiency. Public Policy,

21, 303-317. AUMANN, R. J. (1964). Markets with a continuum of traders. Econonietrica, 34,

39-50. HELPMAN, E. and LAFFONT, J.-J. (1975). On moral hazard in general equilibrium

theory. Journal of Economic Theory, 10, 8-23. LAFFONT, J. J. and LAROQUE, G. (1972). Effets externes et theorie de l'equilibre

general. Cahiers diu Seminaire d'Econometrie. Paris: CNRS. STARRETT, D. (1973). Neutrality of money and the long-run Phillips curve. HIER

Discussion Paper, no. 268.