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Laura KongDirector, UNESCO IOC ITICDavid CoetzeeNZ National Exercise CoordinatorTrinidad, June 2007

Exercise Pacific Wave Exercise Pacific Wave 0606

A Pacific-wide Tsunami Warning and Communication Exercise

New Zealand Exercise Observations

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PURPOSE:PURPOSE: Evaluate ability of countries to respond to an ocean wide tsunami

BACKGROUND:• ICG/PTWS-XX, Oct 2005• noted Pacific-Wide exercise never occurred • Exercise PTWS to evaluate readiness

Exercise Pacific Wave 06Exercise Pacific Wave 06

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OBJECTIVESOBJECTIVESValidate

• TWC dissemination• Countries to receive / confirm Bulletins• Dissemination of message to Agencies within Country, Provinces, Local jurisdictions• Organizational decision making processes about public warnings / evacuations

Identify modes to be employed to notify / instruct publicAssess elapsed time until public instructed

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Exercise StyleExercise Style

Functional exercise aimed at

• Communication / decision making at govt levels, without disrupting / alarming public

• Individual countries could extend Exercise down to level of public warning

(See ITIC documentation on types of exercises)(See ITIC documentation on types of exercises)

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2-day period 16-17 May (same day for PTWC)• Time compression of 4• Reasonable work hours across 13 time zones of Pacific and South China Sea

30 member states & 7 non member states participated in either:

– M9.2 EQ off-central Chile– M8.8 EQ north of Philippines

MethodMethod

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RECOMMENDATIONS - Prelim RECOMMENDATIONS - Prelim ReportReport Future exercises desired

Allow time for strategic / critical decision-making Run Exercise in real time Countries develop / conduct tsunami exercises to

regularly exercise national arrangementsConduct prior to Intl exercises to best benefit

Ensure 7X24 Tsunami Warning Focal Points regularly reviewed / updates circulated

Consider inclusion of addl information in bulletins Simple English word-picture of tsunami threat

Networking between agencies / media must continue to enhance awareness

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NEW ZEALAND NEW ZEALAND

All (16) Regions; 10 Departments All (16) Regions; 10 Departments actively exercised. 6 more actively exercised. 6 more observedobserved

Sub –objectives:Sub –objectives:– Assemble (decision makers)Assemble (decision makers)– Consider (information)Consider (information)– Decide (warning/evacuation)Decide (warning/evacuation)

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Time CompressionTime CompressionWave Timeline Compressed time factor Exercise time allocation

0 - -

1’st hour 1 1hr

2’nd hour 1 1hr

3’d hour 1 1hr

4’th hour 1 1hr

5’th hour 2 30 mins

6’th hour 2 30 mins

7’th hour 2 30 mins

8’th hour 2 30 mins

9’th hour 2 30 mins

10’th hour 2 30 mins

11’th hour 2 30 mins

12’th hour 2 30 mins

13’th hour 2 30 mins

14’th hour 2 30 mins

15’th hour 2 30 mins

15 hrs - 9 hrs 30mins

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• Information flow

• Warnings vs Situation Reports• Scope of Impact

1. A Different Paradigm

Post Impact

PreImpact

1010

• Basic development done for S. America

• Proved essential for determination of critical decision points:

2. Scenario Development2. Scenario Development

1111

Central Chile Scenario

1212

Central Chile Scenario

1313

E + 2hrs 30mins E + 3hrs

T + 30mins T + 1hr

WaveEarthquake

occurs/wave starts

Juan Fernadez I DART buoy San Felix I

PTWS Issue Info Bulletin/Watch/Wng

Tsunami confirmed/update

Tsunami confirmed/update

MCDEM response

Receive 1st info/watch/wng PTWC

Consultation between NDO, Nat Controller. Decide activation at M7.5Verbal Advisory out

NCMC activated. EMA's on standby. Consult with GeoNet. Prepare Advisory/Warning

Advisory outReq Group Plan & EOC activation.Prepare Warning & Request for Broadcast

Req LO'sReq GeoNet Rep

National Warning out. Req for broadcast out (if decided).Inform Clusters

MCDEM strategic

Brief Minister, DESG.Advise Watch Group/ODESC activated.

GeoNet Receive 1st info/warning PTWC

1'st assessment. Activate Science Panel at M7.5

Inform MCDEM actions taken

2'nd assessment LO in NCMC

3'd Assessment: Est arrival times, tidal state, wave height range

CDEM Groups

Recive National Watch/Warning

Confirm recpt Watch/Wng to MCDEM. Activate Group Plan & EOC

PoliceCall-outs as per NCMC Activation Plan

Receive National Watch/Warning

Confirm recpt Watch/Wng to MCDEM

Fire Call-outs as per NCMC Activation Plan

Receive National Watch/Warning

Confirm recpt Watch/Wng to MCDEM

MOH Receive National Watch/Warning

Confirm recpt Watch/Wng to MCDEM. Inform DHB's. Wng level Yellow

DPMC (DESG)

Receive National Watch/Warning

Confirm recpt Watch/Wng to MCDEM

NIWA Respond to Science Group

NELC/Life lines

Receive National Watch/Warning

Confirm recpt Watch/Wng to MCDEM

Clusters

Broadcasters

Comfirm req. for broadcast with MCDEM, Broadcast first announcement

E + 1hrE + 50minsT = Tsunami Confirmed

(Max E + 2hrs)

DISTANT SOURCE TSUNAMI: ACTION TIME LINES FOR CENTRAL CHILE SCENARIODISTANT SOURCE TSUNAMI: ACTION TIME LINES FOR CENTRAL CHILE SCENARIO

TimeE =

Earthquake E + 1hr 15mins

TimeE =

Earthquake

WaveEarthquake occurs/wave starts

Juan Fernandez Island Dart buoy San Felix Island

Receive 1st info/warning PTWC

Consultation between NDO, Nat Controller.

Consult with GeoNet.Request advisor in NCMC.

Report to NCMC Finalise Warning

Decide activation at M7.5>

Inform Director Sector Advisory outPrepare Warning

EMA's dispatched

Notify Activation Officer, Comms Manager, EMA's

Verbal alerts out: CDEM Groups

Media Advisory outPrepare Request for BroadcastUpdate Website

Displays organised:Contacts ListComms PlanMCDEM Checklist

Notify MCDEM Staff Activate NCMCInform NDO when complete

Prepare contacts data Display organised:Agencies action time lines

Est contact with GeoNet; PTWC

NCMC Staff Briefing Inform Clusters: Welfare, Transport, NELC

Display organised:Tsunami travel time

Verbal Advisory out EM Services

Inform CE DIA Finalise Request for Broadcast

Verbal acknowledgements out: Media

Standby/deploy as per instructions

Inform Minister

Inform DESG. Advise Watch Group/ODESC be activatedInform CE DIA

NDO Operations Logistics PIMController Policy EMA's

MCDEM Strategic

MCDEM Response

E + 50mins E + 1hr

Planning Intelligence

E + 2hrs

DISTANT SOURCE TSUNAMI: ACTION TIME LINES FOR MCDEM: CENTRAL CHILE SCENARIO

E + 1hr 15mins T = Tsunami Confirmed(Max E + 3hrs)

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• All distant & regional sources req’d:

Scenario DevelopmentScenario Development

Distant (3hrs>)Distant (3hrs>) Regional (<3hrs)Regional (<3hrs)S. AmericaS. America S. New HebridesS. New HebridesC. AmericaC. America Tonga & N. Tonga & N.

KermedecKermedecCascadiaCascadia S. KermedecS. KermedecAleutiansAleutians S. of NZS. of NZKurile IslandsKurile IslandsJapanJapanSolomon Islands, Solomon Islands, PNGPNG

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• New development• Collective of tsunami experts assembled• Liaison in National Crisis Management Centre• Permanent institution

3. Tsunami Experts Panel

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4. Tsunami Advice Standard advice: ‘1km inland or 35m Standard advice: ‘1km inland or 35m

above sea level’: Historical & real data above sea level’: Historical & real data facilitate more accurate advice facilitate more accurate advice

Understanding of PTWC info:Understanding of PTWC info:– Model appliedModel applied– ChangesChanges– TimeTime

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5. Information Systems 10 separate alert/warning messages 10 separate alert/warning messages

sent to 200+ recipients via National sent to 200+ recipients via National Warning System Warning System – Sending & confirmation processes proved Sending & confirmation processes proved

time & resource intensivetime & resource intensive– Confirmed requirement for unified Confirmed requirement for unified

messaging systemmessaging system

Confirmed need for better information Confirmed need for better information sharing & integrationsharing & integration

2020

6. Exercise conduct & format

All partcipants commented positively:All partcipants commented positively:– Inclusiveness/scale of exerciseInclusiveness/scale of exercise– Contributed to improvement of planningContributed to improvement of planning

Compressed timeCompressed time– High exercise tempo impacted on qualityHigh exercise tempo impacted on quality– Loss of realityLoss of reality

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Thank Thank YouYou

For more information, contact:Exercise Task Team Chair, Mark Sullivan (Australia) : tsunami@ema.gov.auICG/PTWS Secretariat - ITIC Director, Dr. Laura Kong : l.kong@unesco.orgNew Zealand Exercise Coordinator, David Coetzee: david.coetzee@dia.govt.nz