Leadership in

Labour Market Planning

Creating Local LMI

“Do you have any data on…?” is a question we hear more and more often from employers.

“We need more information on…” is a recurring request from researchers and others working to understand and address labour force issues.

It is a difficult process to pull together labour market information (LMI) from many fragmented sources.

There is also a distinct community need to improve public awareness and the user friendliness of LMI.

• Providing authoritative research

• Identifying employment trends

• Targeting workforce opportunities

• Initiating development projects

• Bringing people together

3

Innovative Labour Market Solutions

Motivations

• lack of accurate, timely, actionable local

labour market data

• need for effective employment services &

workforce development

• aging workforce & its implications for Ontario’s economy

DWA Goals

• Create capacity to innovate while creating

independent programs in the community.

• Build on community partnerships, to learn how to

better engage employers.

• Create opportunities to share Labour Market

Information in a way that meets the needs of target groups

• Strengthen partnership role among community

partner organizations

Labour Market Plan

DWA provides labour market planning leadership through

creation of the annual labour market plan.

The plan identifies new program & service needs, informs

and supports program and service decisions, contributes to

the setting of budget priorities.

Durham Region requires provincially supported,

collaborative, locally-made and locally-focused

interventions.

LMI helps

• To identify labour market supply / demand

• To get a profile of current labour market conditions

• To understand and recognize trends in the labour market

• To predict outlooks for various occupational groups based on a variety of structural factors (economic, demographic, social, political)

• To provide input for and stimulate further research into informed employment and career decisions

7

Baseline Profile

• Characteristics of local employers

• Industrial trends in employment

• Population growth & age characteristics

• Migration patterns

• Educational attainment

• Occupation characteristics

• Other data– GTA analysis, KPI reports, apprenticeship, job generation & loss rates, other research bodies

Labour Market Projections

Economic situation • loss of $4-5 billion each year from underutilizing

immigrants & youth loss • Canada rated “D” in productivity and innovation since

1980s • 28% retirees delaying exit due to the economy Eventual economic growth • Technological changes will fuel steady demand for

university-educated professionals in emerging occupations

• Predominantly trades & support professions, shortages ID • By 2017 immigration will account net additions Canadian

labour force

Population Dynamics

Increasing Industries

Highest numbers of firms by industry:

Professional, Scientific & Technical Services

16% of all employers

Construction

15% of all employers

Highest number of firms by size and industry:

Among large firms (100+ employees), Retail Trade,

Manufacturing , Health Care and Social Assistance have by

far the biggest numbers

Total Employment & Sector Employment

Manufacturing and Wholesale Trade industries experienced losses in the number of employers across all size firms. Increases found in Construction, Retail Trade, and Health Care & Social Assistance (Finance & Insurance, Real Estate & Rental and Leasing, and Public Administration, also show either an increase or no change). The losses in Manufacturing and Wholesale Trade follow a trend evident across Ontario.

Small & Medium Enterprises

SME are primarily responsible for community economic

renewal and growth.

Durham SMEs:

• 58% have no employees

• 23% have 1-4 employees

• 90% have nine or fewer employees

• 98% have 49 or fewer employees.

Top 10 Industry Sub-Sectors With Increase In SME Employment

June 2011 To June 2012

Industry Sub-Sector

3-Digit NAICS

Total

Employment

2011

Total

Employment

2012

Absolute

Change

Percent

Change

624 - Social Assistance

2779 3239 460 17%

448 - Clothing and Clothing Accessories

Stores 3042 3473 431 14%

813 - Religious, Grant-Making, Civic and

Professional Organizations 1973 2234 262 13%

418 - Miscellaneous Wholesaler-

Distributors 898 1144 246 27%

445 - Food and Beverage Stores

3803 4019 216 6%

812 - Personal and Laundry Services 2553 2760 208 8%

722 - Food Services and Drinking Places 13347 13529 182 1%

413 - Food, Beverage and Tobacco

Wholesaler-Distributors 410 570 160 39%

441 - Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers 2347 2498 151 6%

523 - Securities, Commodity Contracts,

Financial Investment 1492 1628 136 9%

Employers By Employee Size Range June 2012

Industry Sector

2-Digit Naics

Number Of Employers RA

NK

0

1-4

5-9

10-19

20-49

50-99

100+

TOTAL

11 Agriculture 527 166 36 17 15 5 3 769 14

23 Construction 2816 977 325 144 66 24 6 4358 2

31-33 Manufacturing 393 241 127 105 85 44 29 1024 12

41 Wholesale Trade 613 283 154 99 61 18 11 1239 10

44-45 Retail Trade 1083 698 563 361 172 71 65 3013 3

48-49

Transportation/Warehousing 987 229 53 35 27 10 14 1355 9

52 Finance and Insurance 934 263 85 58 98 6 2 1446 8

53 Real Estate 2271 298 65 36 13 4 3 2690 4

54 Professional Scientific Tech 3084 1285 156 66 39 8 5 4643 1

55 Management of Companies 833 88 21 12 7 6 2 969 13

56 Administrative Support 852 413 163 87 44 12 15 1586 7

62 Health Care & Social Assist 428 635 284 215 77 26 25 1690 6

72 Accommodation & Food 305 233 195 230 132 71 16 1182 11

81 Other Services 1163 1026 290 105 39 9 4 2636 5

Migration

An area’s migration patterns are often indicative of its labour force characteristics. An area offering the greatest employment growth can attract more people than they lose.

Durham has strong net growth among 25-44 year olds,

part of the prime working age population. Young

families, with steady responsibilities.

Durham Region continues to grow at a strong pace,

around one and a half times that for Ontario as a whole.

Durham Region

Migration Data And Population Change, 2006-2011

MIGRATION FIGURES, 2006 To 2011 Net Total Population Change,

2006 To 2011

In-migrants Out-migrants Net-migrants Net change

0-17 year olds 31,541 20,077 11,464

0-14 year olds -2,100

18-24 year olds 12,773 14,140 -1,367

15-24 year olds 8,185

25-44 year olds 53,176 37,495 15,681

25-44 year olds -4,090

45-64 year olds 21,283 19,225 2,058

45-64 year olds 31,415

65 years & older 9,987 6,567 3,420

65 years & older 13,455

TOTAL 128,760 97,504 31,256

TOTAL 46,865

Not in Labour Force Both Sexes

No certificate, diploma or degree 50,945

Certificate, diploma or degree 77,475

High school certificate or equivalent 34,770

Apprenticeship or trades certificate or diploma 10,600

College, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma 17,530

University certificate, diploma or degree 14,565

University certificate or diploma below bachelor level 3,595

University certificate or degree 10,970

Bachelor's degree 7,200

University certificate or diploma above bachelor level 1,565

Degree in medicine, dentistry, veterinary medicine or

optometry 305

Master's degree 1,635

Earned doctorate 270

Total 128,415

Education

Health and Wellness • Detentak Laboratory • Orthodent • Purdue Pharma • Extendicare • Thorton View Bioscience and Agriculture • Greenwood Mushroom Farm • Hermann Laue Spice • Dutchmaster Nurseries • Ocala Orchards • Pefferlaw Peat Products Research, Development, Advance Manufacturing • Mead Westvaco Packaging Systems • McNairn Packaging • Search Engine People

Automotive • Custom Steel Fabrication • Autodyne Machinery • Global Emission Systems • NAPA Auto Parts • Volkswagan Canada Sustainable Energy • OPG • Whitby Hydro • Veridian • Direct Energy Information Technology • Hubbell Canada • Trench

CASS Employers

Areas of Interest

• Nuclear Energy Sector

• Construction

• Agriculture

• Service Class

• SME Growth & Innovation

Nuclear Sector in Durham Region

Nuclear Industry – National

Canadian nuclear industry employs over 60,000 Canadians both directly and indirectly.

30,000+ direct nuclear industry jobs

• Uranium mining

• Power generation

• Nuclear Medicine

• Research

30,000+ indirect jobs • Manufacturing

• Hospitality

• Human resources

• Housing

Nuclear Industry – Durham Region

• Jobs in Durham: 190,105

• Jobs in Durham (NAICS 2211): 8,515

• 16% of direct nuclear occupations in Canada

• Durham Labour Force: 313,870

• Durham Labour Force (NAICS 2211): 6,300

• Determined the occupations that fell within the nuclear industry (NAICS 2211)

Refurbishment Impacts & Current Operations

Refurbishment Operations Total Impact

Employment 10,636 16,640 27,276

Labour Income $1.2 billion $2.1 billion $3.3 billion

Fuel Costs N/A $518 million $518 million

Equipment, materials and supplies

$1.9 billion $1.2 billion $3.1 billion

TOTAL $3.1 billion $3.8 billion $6.9 billion

Nuclear Occupations Over 75% of jobs in NAICS 2211 50-74% of jobs in NAICS 2211

Utilities managers Physicists and astronomers

Systems testing technicians Mechanical engineers

Power system electricians Electrical and electronics engineers

Electrical power line and cable workers Metallurgical and materials engineers

Boilermakers Mechanical engineering technologists and technicians

Stationary Engineers and Power Station and System Operators

Electrical and electronics engineering technologists and technicians

Power systems and power station operators

Industrial instrument technicians and mechanics

Supervisors, petroleum, gas and chemical processing and utilities

Contractors and supervisors, electrical trades and telecommunications occupations

Electrical mechanics

Other trades and related occupations

Construction in Durham

Residential & non-residential, will be in growth mode after 2014.

Residential growth will continue at a slowing pace to 2019.

Non-residential building will lead expansion - projects: GTA public transit, Northern Ontario new mining &processing facilities, 2015 Pan American games, anticipated energy infrastructure.

Aging Population

• High proportions 40 – 44 & 45 – 49

• Support industries - large proportion 50 – 54 age group

Construction Industry

Direct Construction Industry • Trades helpers and labourers (2,430

residents)

• Electrical trades &telecommunications (1,935 residents)

• Carpenters & cabinetmakers (1,815 residents)

• Other construction trades (1,790 residents)

• Managers in construction, transportation (1,615 residents)

• Masonry, plastering trades (1,350 residents)

• Plumbers, pipefitters, gas fitters (1,330 residents) and

• Contractors & supervisors, trades and related workers (1,310 residents).

Supporting Industries

• Finance and insurance clerks (2,715

residents)

• Managers in financial and business

services (1,635 residents)

• Insurance and real estate sales

occupations and buyers (1,580

residents)

• Electrical trades and

telecommunications occupations (1,275

residents)

• Computer and information systems

professionals (1,250 residents)

Trades in Durham Region

0

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35,000

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Agriculture [111-1121100 1151-1152] (8)

Utilities [22]

Construction [23]

Trade [41-45]

Transportation andwarehousing [48-49]

Trades in Durham Region

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

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Trades, transport and equipmentoperators and related occupations[H]Contractors and supervisors intrades and transportation [H0]

Construction trades [H1]

Other trades occupations [H2-H5]

Transport and equipment operators[H6-H7]

Trades helpers, construction, andtransportation labourers andrelated occupations [H8]Occupations unique to primaryindustry [I]

Occupations unique to processing,manufacturing and utilities [J]

Machine operators and assemblersin manufacturing, includingsupervisors [J0-J2]

Labour Market Rankings – GTA

Service Class Prosperity

Richard Florida’s Great Reset, there are two kinds of jobs that are growing: • higher paid knowledge • professional service class Exploring the service class as an emerging important sector for Durham should become a priority in both research and application. Durham’s proximity to creative epicenters – Toronto region & the gateway to the east - must consider value of service class as a key economic activity because it is essential, not ancillary to Ontario’s functioning economy. The Canadian trend indicates that service class occupations have risen as a share of total employment in tandem with creative class occupations, while agricultural and working class jobs have waned.

Creative Economy Ignite Local start-ups and businesses are looking for community support. Ignite grows the small to medium sized business in Durham Region and is an extension of the Art of Transition 2010 event.

Squabble Studios Ltd. game development studio

U STAR DVD creating video and picture collages, customized cartoons,

Vehicle Wheel

Traction Device

aimed to increase safety while driving, which provides an alternative to winter tires

technology.

Warrior1 Training Smart exercise with a methodical and exciting approach. Changing lives forever.

Stickheads Inc manufacture Canadian made hockey stick hat.

SwiftMotionCo. lifestyle apparel brand influenced by Northern and coastal board sport culture.

5 Paddles Brewing

Company Inc. nano-brewery

Agriculture in Durham

Durham has an agriculture asset and could be responding to the creative economy needs through creative food economy, with the creation of ethinic food farms (specialized food products), and food-to-table food processing. Approximately 40% cent of Durham Region is classified as agriculture land. The DWA in partnership with the Region of Durham Economic Development Department, Durham Agriculture Advisory Committee, and the Local Diversity and Immigration Partnership Council will explore the creation of demonstration projects, feasibility studies, and experimental farms.