Learning from local issues – the focus for radicalisation

IAN KERSHAWHead of Planning and Performance , Safer

Sutton Partnership

With the financial support of the Prevention of and Fight against Crime ProgrammeEuropean Commission Directorate – General Home Affairs

This project has been funded with the support of the European Commission. this communication reflects the views only of the author and the European Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein

18th March 2014 Cardiff

Demographics

Population c. 195,000 projected to rise by 10% to 214,000 by 2021

c. 80,000 households

26% increase in numbers of births every year

By 2021 number of people aged 65 or over projected to increase by 21%

Increasingly multicultural

Demographics

Christian58%

Buddhist1%

Hindu4%

Jewish0%

Muslim4%

Sikh0%

Other religion0%

No religion25%

Religion not stated7%

Sutton 2011

2001

Demographics

83%2%

2%

2%

3%

1% 4% 1% 2%

Ethnicity LB Sutton - 2011 (GLA Population Projections)

White Black Caribbean Black African Black Other Indian Pakistani Other Asian Chinese Other

Similarity with Europe

• Age Distribution - very similar with ageing population (14% - Sutton, 16% EU) and exactly the same working age population (67%)

• Significant religious diversity – Largely Christian but important contributions from Judaism, Hinduism, Islam and Sikhism in many of the EU states.

• Immigration flow - as in EU, increasing numbers of BME and foreign nationals settling in Sutton

Similar crime trends to Sutton

Recorded Crime Trends in the European Union, 2006 – 2009Latest publication from EuroStat (EU Statistics page)

% of residents of Sutton surveyed who are very worried or fairly worried about listed categories of crime.

Source: IPSOS MORI Survey 2013

Catalysts for disaffection and extremism

Influential community voices

There will always be an idiot ...

Signs of success