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1 Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Trends in Behavior Based Efficiency Programs Claire McIlvennie Program Associate, Consortium for Energy Efficiency SEE Action Webinar December 16, 2015

Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Page 1: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Learning from the

Past to Inform

Future WorkTrends in Behavior Based

Efficiency Programs

Claire McIlvennie

Program Associate, Consortium for Energy Efficiency

SEE Action Webinar

December 16, 2015

Page 2: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Page 3: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Program administrators formed CEE:

To reach binational

markets

Accelerate market

uptake of efficient

products and services

Which achieves lasting

public benefit of

energy efficiency

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CEE supports market initiatives and

explorations with cross cutting functions

Residential Commercial Industrial

Evaluation, measurement and verification

Behavior change

New program design

Connectivity

Emerging technology

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Agenda for Today

What is the CEE Behavior Program Summary?

Results to Date

Future Work and Next Steps

Page 6: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Background

Behavioral insights create

opportunities to drive energy savings

from efficiency programs BUT….

They also come with many questions,

uncertainties, and challenges.

How can we best support

the CEE membership to

succeed in this space?

Page 7: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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CEE Behavior Program Summary

What: Annual, online survey Summary Document

Who: CEE Member Organizations

Purpose: Serve as a resource for members and help

facilitate information exchange

Available since: 2010 (members), 2012 (public)

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What information do we collect?

Evaluation

Organization

Description

Program Duration

Location

Funding

Vendors/Contractors

Sector and Target

Audience

Insights

Savings

Program Components Program DetailsBehavior Insights

Strategies

Goals

Gamification (new!)

Two-way feedback (new!)

Type of Evaluation

Data Source/Metrics

Challenges

Key Takeaways Behavior Research Regulatory Requirements

Claiming Savings

Savings Goals

Savings Achieved

Persistence

Savings Attribution

Page 9: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Using the Program Summary

Program Name

Filter by Behavior Insight

Filter by

Filter bySector

Target PopulationFilter by

Page 10: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Using the Program Summary

“Social Norms” Filter by

2015 Public

Behavior Program

Summary

106 programs62 programs

Evaluation Complete & Claiming Savings

• 23 programs

Target Sector

• Residential (45), Commercial (8), Industrial (13)

Strategies: Provide Feedback

• Estimated (22), Enhanced Billing (25), Real-time (9)

Goals: Market Transformation

• 22 programs

Page 11: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Methodology and Caveats

Caveats and Scope

• NOT a representative sample

• Select topics

Public

2012

2013

2014

2015

Master Behavior

Program SummaryCombine

Key Takeaways & Emerging Trends

Common Challenges

Page 12: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Who is running behavior-based

programs?

178 Programs

83 program administrators

42 US States

1 CAN Province

99 Claiming Savings

Residential

Commercial

Industrial

Public

133 (75%)

55 (31%)

19 (11%)

16 (9%)

Page 13: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Behavior Insights Used

45%

25%

37%

45%

9%

90%

43%

20%

39%

12%

25%26%

11%

21%

15%

39%

45%

52%49%

72%

8%

64%

4%

10%

28%

16%

8%

27%

56%

50%

63%

30%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

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Behavior Insights Used

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

90% - Feedback

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Behavior Insights Used

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

90% - Feedback 72% - Modeling Behavior

64% - Social Norms

63% - Prompts

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Behavior Insights Used

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

90% - Feedback 72% - Modeling Behavior

64% - Social Norms

63% - Prompts

56% - Goal

Setting

52% - Interpersonal

Communication50% - Priming

Page 17: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Behavior Insights Used

Follow ThroughPerson-to-Person

Feedback

Easier to gain regulatory acceptance

Social Norms

Modeling

Interpersonal

Communication

Prompts

Priming

Goal Setting

Page 18: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Behavior Insights Used

Are insights more effective when used in

combination?

Page 19: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Evaluation

42% Complete

24% Planning/Underway

Type of EvaluationImpact – 85%

Process – 49%

ChallengesUncertainty regarding persistence – 31%

Data collection – 30%

Difficulty attributing savings – 26%

Sample Size – 21%

DesignExperimental – 49%

Non-Experimental – 27%

Quasi – Experimental – 9%

MetricsEnergy Savings – 75%

Customer Satisfaction – 62%

Awareness – 59%

Number of Participants Reached – 40%

Cost Savings – 35%

Page 20: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Key Takeaways

Implementation

Tips

Program

Benefits

Savings &

Evaluation

CUSTOMER

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Key Takeaways: Implementation Tips

Planning

Ahead

Communication

& Marketing

Managing Data

& Technology

“Careful, early planning by engaging a multidisciplinary team (program team,

evaluation team, and regulators) at the outset is critical to a successful program

launch and execution.”

Page 22: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Key Takeaways: Program Benefits

Energy

Savings

Customer

Satisfaction

Entry Point for

the Future

“Having an icon can help make an ‘invisible concept’

something concrete and visible.”

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Key Takeaways: Savings & Evaluation

Participant

Sample

“Maintaining no changes during program implementation can

prove to be a little difficult as more information about the program

emerges.”

Benefits and Challenges of Rigorous

EM&V Design

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Future Work and Next Steps

Page 25: Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work - …...Learning from the Past to Inform Future Work Author Claire McIIvennie Subject presentation on the trends in behavior-based efficiency

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Future Work and Next Steps

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Untapped opportunities to incorporate new insights to enhance

programs and drive savings across sectors

Future Opportunity

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Future Work and Next Steps

Rewarding Change Framing Efficiency

Connected Technology & Behavioral Insights

+ =

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Future Work and Next Steps

• Persistence – measurement, length

• Connected technologies

• Savings attribution

Key Areas to Watch

2016 Program Summary

Coming to our public

website in spring of

2016!

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Resources: Behavior Program Summary

http://library.cee1.org/content/2015-cee-behavior-program-

summary-public-version/

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Resources: Behavior at CEE

http://www.cee1.org/content/cee-behavior-work

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Contact

Claire McIlvennie

Program Associate

Evaluation, Research, & Behavior

[email protected]

Kira Ashby

Senior Program Manager

Behavior

[email protected]