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7/27/2019 Lec 7BUE
1/20
ScheduleWeek Date Topic Classification of Topic
1 9 Feb. 2010 Introduction toNumerical Methodsand Type of Errors
Measuring errors, Binaryrepresentation, Propagation of errorsand Taylor series
2 14 Feb. 2010 Nonlinear Bisection Method
3 21 Feb. 2010 Newton-Raphson Method
4 28 Feb. 2010 Interpolation Lagrange Interpolation
5 7 March 2010 Newton's Divided Difference Method
6 14 March 2010 Differentiation Newton's Forward and BackwardDifference
7 21 March 2010 Regression Least squares
8 28 March 2010 Systems of Linear
Equations
Gaussian Jordan
9 11 April 2010 Gaussian Seidel
10 18 April 2010 Integration Composite Trapezoidal and SimpsonRules
11 25 April 2010 Ordinary DifferentialEquations
Euler's Method
12 2 May 2010 Runge-Kutta 2nd and4th order Method
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Linear Regression
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3
What is Regression?What is regression? Given ndata points ),(,...),,(),,( 2211 nnyxyxyx
best fit )(xfy to the data. The best fit is generally based onminimizing the sum of the square of the residuals, rS
Residual at a point is
)( iii xfy
n
i
iir xfyS1
2))(( ),( 11yx
),( nn yx
)(xfy
Figure. Basic model for regression
Sum of the square of the residuals
.
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4
Least Squares CriterionThe least squares criterion minimizes the sum of the square of theresiduals in the model, and also produces a unique line.
2
1
10
1
2
n
i
ii
n
i
ir xaayS
x
iiixaay10
11
, yx
22, yx
33, yx
nnyx ,
iiyx ,
iiixaay10
y
Figure. Linear regression of y vs. x data showing residuals at a typical point, xi .
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5
Finding Constants of Linear Model
2
1
10
1
2
n
i
ii
n
i
ir xaayS Minimize the sum of the square of the residuals:
To find
0121
10
0
n
i
iir xaay
aS
021
10
1
n
i
iiir xxaay
a
S
giving
0a and 1a we minimize with respect to 1a 0aandrS .
yxanayxaa 10n
1iii
n
1i1
n
1i0
xyxaxaxyxaxan
1i
210i
n
1ii
2i
n
1i1i
n
1i0
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Finding Constants of Linear Model0aSolving for
2
2
1
xxn
yxxyn
a
and
or
xxn
xyxyx
a2
2
2
0
1aand directly yields,
)xaya( 10
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Example 1The torque, T needed to turn the torsion spring of a mousetrap throughan angle, is given below.
Angle, Torque, T
Radians N-m
0.698132 0.188224
0.959931 0.209138
1.134464 0.230052
1.570796 0.250965
1.919862 0.313707
Table: Torque vs Angle for atorsional spring
Find the constants for the model given by
10 aaT
Figure. Data points for Angle vs. Torque data
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5 1 1.5 2
(radians)
Torque(N-m
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Example 1 cont.
1a
The following table shows the summations needed for the calculations ofthe constants in the regression model.
2 T
Radians N-m Radians 2 N-m-Radians
0.698132 0.188224 0.487388 0.131405
0.959931 0.209138 0.921468 0.200758
1.134464 0.230052 1.2870 0.260986
1.570796 0.250965 2.4674 0.394215
1.919862 0.313707
3.6859 0.602274
6.2831 1.19218.8491 1.5896
Table. Tabulation of data for calculation of important
5
1i
5n
Using equations described for
2
2
1
5
TT5
a
228316849185
1921128316589615
..
...
2
1060919
.N-m/rad
summations
0aT
and with
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Example 1 cont.
n
T
T i
i
5
1_
Use the average torque and average angle to calculate
_
1
_
0 aTa
n
i
i
5
1_
5
1921.1
1103842.2
5
2831.6
2566.1
Using,
)2566.1)(106091.9(103842.2 21 1
101767.1 N-m
0a
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Example 1 Results
Figure. Linear regression of Torque versus Angle data
Using linear regression, a trend line is found from the data
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Nonlinear Regression
Some popular nonlinear regression models:
1. Exponential model: )( bxaey
2. Power model: )( baxy
3. Saturation growth model:
xb
axy
4. Polynomial model: )( 10m
mxa...xaay
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Exponential ModelGiven best fit
bxaey to the data.
bxaey
),(nn
yx
),( 11 yx
),(22
yx
),(ii
yx
)(ii
xfy
),(,...),,(),,( 2211 nn yxyxyx
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Finding constants of Exponential ModelConsider the equation Taking the logarithm on both sides, we get
bxaey
bxalnelnalnaelnyln bxbx
bxAY Then by using the linear module let then,alnA,Yyln
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Example 2-Exponential ModelMany patients get concerned when a test involves injection of a
radioactive material. For example for scanning a gallbladder, a few dropsof Technetium-99m isotope is used. Half of the techritium-99m would begone in about 6 hours. It, however, takes about 24 hours for theradiation levels to reach what we are exposed to in day-to-day activities.Below is given the relative intensity of radiation as a function of time.
Table. Relative intensity of radiation as a function of time.
t(hrs) 0 1 3 5 7 9
1.000 0.891 0.708 0.562 0.447 0.355
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Example 2-Exponential Model cont.The relative intensity is related to time by the equation
Find:
a) The value of the regression constants and
b) Radiation intensity after 24 hours
tAe
A
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t Y t
0 1.000 0 0 0
1 0.891 -0.115 1 -0.115
3 0.708 -0.345 9 -1.035
5 0.562 -0.576 25 -2.88
7 0.447 -0.805 49 -5.635
9 0.355 -1.035 81 -9.315
3.963
lnY 2t
876.2Y 25t 165t2
98.18Yt
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1151.0
365
98.41
625990
9.7188.113
25)165(6
)876.2(25)98.18(6
tt6
tYYt6
222
Calculating the Other Constant
The value of can now be calculated
and the value of A can now be calculated
9998.0A
00025.047958.047933.0)6
25(1151.0
6
876.2tYAln
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Plot of data
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Plot of data and regression curve
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Relative Intensity After 24 hrs
The relative intensity of radiation after 24 hours
241151.09998.0 e2103160.6
This result implies that only %317.61009998.0
10316.6 2
radioactive intensity is left after 24 hours.